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Optimal scheduling of home energy systems considering battery aging and CO2 emissions 考虑电池老化和二氧化碳排放的家庭能源系统优化调度
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-04-15 Epub Date: 2026-01-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2026.127433
Tayenne Dias de Lima, Pedro Faria, Zita Vale
Battery energy storage systems (BESS) play a critical role in enhancing the flexibility, reliability, and efficiency of residential energy management. Optimized scheduling of BESS is essential to maximize operational benefits while mitigating carbon emissions. Consequently, investigations addressing the enhanced operation of BESS in energy management systems are highly relevant. From this perspective, it is important to consider operational patterns that preserve the long-term performance and lifespan of batteries. This paper presents a mixed integer linear programming model for the optimal scheduling of home energy systems supported by solar generation and battery systems. After optimization, the model calculates battery degradation, considering both cycle and calendar aging effects. Additionally, a carbon emissions penalty was incorporated into the objective function to address environmental impacts. The model was coded in Python and solved through the CBC solver. The model was tested under different battery SOC limits and seasonal conditions (winter and summer), highlighting the role of BESS in reducing energy costs, emissions, and grid dependency while evidencing the impact of operational strategies on battery aging.
电池储能系统(BESS)在提高住宅能源管理的灵活性、可靠性和效率方面发挥着至关重要的作用。BESS的优化调度对于实现运营效益最大化和减少碳排放至关重要。因此,调查解决能源管理系统中BESS的增强操作是高度相关的。从这个角度来看,重要的是要考虑保持电池长期性能和寿命的操作模式。本文提出了太阳能发电和蓄电池并网的家庭能源系统最优调度的混合整数线性规划模型。优化后的模型计算电池退化,同时考虑周期和日历老化效应。此外,碳排放惩罚被纳入目标函数,以解决环境影响。该模型用Python编写,并通过CBC求解器求解。该模型在不同的电池SOC限制和季节条件(冬季和夏季)下进行了测试,突出了BESS在降低能源成本、排放和电网依赖方面的作用,同时证明了运营策略对电池老化的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Independent aggregators securing end user Wasserstein distributionally robust flexibility through bilevel incentives 独立聚合器通过双层激励确保最终用户Wasserstein分布健壮的灵活性
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-04-15 Epub Date: 2026-02-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2026.127484
Ángel Paredes , Yihong Zhou , José A. Aguado , Thomas Morstyn
The imperative for increased power system flexibility, driven by the energy transition, positions Independent Aggregators (IAs) as central to integrating Distributed Energy Resources (DERs). However, the inherent uncertainty of DERs limits their participation in reserve markets and complicates the design of economic incentives through bi-level optimization methods. To address this challenge, this paper proposes a bi-level optimization framework that employs a novel reformulation of Wasserstein distributionally robust joint chance constraints. The approach enables IAs to mobilize stochastic DER flexibility through robust incentives while securing reserve provision. The problem is reformulated as a single-level mixed-integer linear program using Karush-Kuhn-Tucker conditions and a Faster Inner Convex Approximation (FICA) technique. This provides computationally fast and accurate probability guarantees for reserve delivery. Empirical validation using Spanish market data demonstrates that the proposed FICA-enabled framework for DER aggregation substantially enhances economic efficiency and ex-post risk compliance over benchmarks. FICA increases the aggregator profits under stringent robustness while determining optimal incentive combinations that unlock higher flexibility volumes, with less computational burden as single-level approaches. This research offers IAs a practical, robust tool for effective reserve market participation, facilitating DER integration in reserve markets.
在能源转型的推动下,增加电力系统灵活性的必要性,将独立聚合器(IAs)定位为集成分布式能源(DERs)的核心。然而,储备银行固有的不确定性限制了它们参与储备市场,并使通过双层优化方法设计经济激励变得复杂。为了解决这一挑战,本文提出了一个双层优化框架,该框架采用了Wasserstein分布鲁棒联合机会约束的一种新的重新表述。该方法使投资银行能够通过强有力的激励措施调动随机DER灵活性,同时确保储备供应。利用Karush-Kuhn-Tucker条件和快速内凸逼近(FICA)技术,将该问题重新表述为单级混合整数线性规划。这为储备交付提供了计算快速、准确的概率保证。使用西班牙市场数据的实证验证表明,拟议的fica支持的DER聚合框架大大提高了经济效率和事后风险合规性。FICA在严格的鲁棒性下增加了聚合器的利润,同时确定了最优的激励组合,从而释放了更高的灵活性,并且作为单级方法的计算负担更少。本研究为国际储备机构有效参与储备市场提供了一个实用的、强大的工具,促进了储备市场的DER整合。
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引用次数: 0
Toward a new spatial paradigm of electricity–computing synergy under renewable energy endowments and geographical environmental constraints 可再生能源禀赋和地理环境约束下的电计算协同空间新范式
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-04-15 Epub Date: 2026-02-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2026.127495
Jiaju Guo , Wenjuan Hou , Xiaoyue Wang , Xueliang Zhang , Shaohong Wu , Linsheng Yang , Wenhui Jiang , Lunwei Zhang
Under the dual context of rapid AI-driven digital expansion and green, low-carbon transition, understanding how renewable energy supports computing power and how global environmental change—particularly extreme climate events—shapes the spatial heterogeneity of China's electricity–computing integration has become a pressing scientific challenge. By integrating energy supply, computing demand, and environmental constraints (including mean and extreme climate conditions), this study develops a three-dimensional framework to assess the suitability of computing power centers (CPCs) and establish a new spatial paradigm for electricity–computing synergy in China. The results reveal pronounced spatial mismatches among the three dimensions. From the energy perspective, the energy supply is evolving into distinct renewable clusters, with the Northwest and Tibetan Plateau hosting 87.25% of national photovoltaic and 79.77% of wind potential, while the Southwest anchors a hydropower cluster accounting for 63% of national installed capacity. However, environmental constraints act as a spatial filter; Northern regions maximize suitability by leveraging natural cooling to balance Power Usage Effectiveness (PUE) and Water Usage Effectiveness (WUE), whereas Southern and Western regions are constrained by intensifying heatwaves and seismic risks, respectively. Conversely, computing demand remains heavily concentrated in Eastern coastal agglomerations. To resolve these structural imbalances, we propose a functional zoning paradigm comprising energy-oriented, demand-driven, and incremental-development regions. We further demonstrate that prioritizing this energy-computing coupling substantially improves operational efficiency and reduces carbon footprints. This spatial paradigm promotes interregional complementarity and facilitates the decoupling of Artificial Intelligence expansion from carbon emissions, providing a scientific basis for the “East-Data, West-Computing” initiative.
在人工智能驱动的数字化快速扩张和绿色低碳转型的双重背景下,了解可再生能源如何支持计算能力,以及全球环境变化(特别是极端气候事件)如何塑造中国电计算融合的空间异质性,已成为一项紧迫的科学挑战。通过整合能源供应、计算需求和环境约束(包括平均和极端气候条件),本研究构建了一个三维框架来评估计算能力中心(cpc)的适宜性,并为中国的电力计算协同建立了一个新的空间范式。结果显示,三个维度之间存在明显的空间不匹配。从能源的角度来看,能源供应正在演变成不同的可再生能源集群,西北和青藏高原拥有全国87.25%的光伏和79.77%的风电潜力,而西南地区则拥有占全国63%装机容量的水电集群。然而,环境约束是一个空间过滤器;北部地区通过利用自然冷却来平衡电力使用效率(PUE)和水使用效率(WUE),从而最大限度地提高适宜性,而南部和西部地区分别受到热浪和地震风险加剧的限制。相反,计算需求仍然主要集中在东部沿海地区。为了解决这些结构性失衡,我们提出了一个功能分区模式,包括能源导向、需求驱动和增量开发区域。我们进一步证明,优先考虑这种能源计算耦合大大提高了操作效率并减少了碳足迹。这一空间范式促进了区域间的互补,促进了人工智能发展与碳排放的脱钩,为“东数据西计算”提供了科学依据。
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引用次数: 0
Current trends and challenges in solar PV-integrated battery energy storage technology: Key components, methods, and future prospects 太阳能光伏集成电池储能技术的当前趋势和挑战:关键部件、方法和未来展望
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-04-15 Epub Date: 2026-02-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2026.127461
Mehmet Kurtoğlu , Fatih Eroğlu
Battery energy storage systems (BESSs) play a significant role in increasing the performance of solar photovoltaic (PV) systems by reducing the adverse effects of intermittency of power generated by solar PV systems. Over the past decade, the integration of BESS technology with solar PV systems has gained significant attention in residential applications, electric vehicle charging stations, and large-scale grid-connected systems. Although numerous studies on solar PV-integrated BESS, a review that holistically covers all key aspects such as DC-DC converter topologies, maximum power point tracking (MPPT) methods, optimization approaches, and energy management systems (EMSs) is still missing. While existing studies focus on these topics separately, there remains a research gap that combines standalone and grid-scale applications of solar PV-integrated BESS. The novelty of this study is that it presents a systematic and up-to-date review of solar PV-integrated BESS by highlighting DC-DC converter topologies, MPPT methods, optimization methodologies, and EMS strategies. In this context, a total of 166 articles have been carefully chosen from an initial pool of about 35,000 using criteria such as article type, language, database indexing, recency, and, most importantly, relevance to the main topic, with sources limited to reputable publishers. This paper not only presents an overview of the DC-DC converter topologies, MPPT methods, optimization methods and EMS of solar PV-integrated BESS but also provides a detailed review, basically with regard to the latest publications of it. Moreover, as a future outlook, potential research directions and recommendations are outlined to overcome the current research gaps and topics of solar PV-integrated BESS. By presenting a comprehensive overview and a critical analysis of recent developments, this review aims to serve as an essential reference for researchers and industry professionals working on solar PV-integrated BESS technologies.
电池储能系统(BESSs)通过减少太阳能光伏发电系统产生的电力间歇性的不利影响,在提高太阳能光伏(PV)系统的性能方面发挥着重要作用。在过去的十年中,BESS技术与太阳能光伏系统的集成在住宅应用、电动汽车充电站和大型并网系统中得到了极大的关注。尽管对太阳能光伏集成BESS进行了大量研究,但对DC-DC转换器拓扑、最大功率点跟踪(MPPT)方法、优化方法和能源管理系统(ems)等所有关键方面的全面综述仍然缺失。虽然现有的研究分别关注这些主题,但将太阳能光伏集成BESS的独立应用和电网规模应用相结合的研究仍然存在空白。这项研究的新颖之处在于,它通过强调DC-DC转换器拓扑、MPPT方法、优化方法和EMS策略,对太阳能光伏集成BESS进行了系统和最新的回顾。在这种情况下,总共有166篇文章是从最初的大约35000篇文章中精心挑选出来的,这些文章使用的标准包括文章类型、语言、数据库索引、近期性,以及最重要的是与主题的相关性,来源仅限于信誉良好的出版商。本文不仅概述了太阳能光伏集成BESS的DC-DC变换器拓扑结构、MPPT方法、优化方法和EMS,而且对其最新发表的论文进行了详细的综述。展望未来,提出了克服当前研究空白和研究课题的潜在研究方向和建议。通过对最近发展的全面概述和批判性分析,本综述旨在为研究太阳能光伏集成BESS技术的研究人员和行业专业人员提供必要的参考。
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引用次数: 0
Improving the simulation-based optimization in the REMod model to deal with complexity in energy system modeling 改进REMod模型中基于仿真的优化,以应对能源系统建模的复杂性
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-04-15 Epub Date: 2026-02-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2026.127503
Patrick Jürgens , Paul Müller , Fritz Brandhuber , Christoph Kost
To reflect the complexity of the energy transition, a current challenge in modeling national energy transition pathways is to combine high resolution in time, space, techno-economic and sector coupling details in a single model. To address this challenge, the paper discusses improvements in the simulation-based optimization approach, which is used by the energy system model REMod as an alternative to the widely used linear optimization approach. The REMod model uses a simulation of the energy system coupled with a black-box optimization algorithm to optimize the transformation path. To limit the computational complexity, while taking into account the hourly operation of the energy system along the whole transformation path, various aspects have to be considered: performance of the simulation, choice of the optimization algorithm and selection of the termination criterion and population size. The model employs a novel method of endogenous interpolation to incorporate the entire transformation path into the objective function, and it can be evaluated in parallel. This allows for an increase in complexity both in technological details and in geographical resolution, enabling a long-term energy system model to be solved that is unique in terms of its techno-economic and sector coupling details, temporal resolution, and multi-regional representation. The approach cannot guarantee global optimality, which leads to variance in the results that requires careful consideration when interpreting them. With its system-wide focus on transition pathways, the model complements existing models that excel in specific sectors or operational optimization, for example.
为了反映能源转型的复杂性,目前建立国家能源转型路径模型的一个挑战是在单一模型中结合时间、空间、技术经济和部门耦合细节的高分辨率。为了应对这一挑战,本文讨论了基于仿真的优化方法的改进,该方法被能源系统模型REMod用作广泛使用的线性优化方法的替代方法。REMod模型通过对能源系统的仿真,结合黑盒优化算法对转换路径进行优化。为了限制计算复杂度,在考虑能源系统沿整个转换路径每小时运行的同时,需要考虑仿真性能、优化算法的选择、终止准则和种群大小的选择等方面。该模型采用了一种新颖的内源插值方法,将整个变换路径纳入目标函数,并可并行计算。这允许增加技术细节和地理分辨率的复杂性,使长期能源系统模型得以解决,该模型在技术-经济和部门耦合细节、时间分辨率和多区域代表性方面是独一无二的。该方法不能保证全局最优性,这将导致在解释结果时需要仔细考虑的结果的差异。例如,该模型在整个系统范围内关注过渡途径,补充了在特定部门或操作优化方面表现出色的现有模型。
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引用次数: 0
Improving energy distribution in collective self-consumption via XGBoost-based allocation coefficients prediction 基于xgboost的分配系数预测改善集体自用能量分配
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-04-15 Epub Date: 2026-02-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2026.127469
Sebastián Madrigal, Ramon Gallinad, Jose L. Vicario, Antoni Morell, Ramon Vilanova
Energy communities operate under collective self-consumption schemes, where locally generated renewable energy is shared among participating members. In practice, this sharing is commonly governed by static allocation coefficients fixed in advance, which do not capture the time-varying and heterogeneous demand of participants. This mismatch can reduce community self-consumption, increase surplus injections, and raise reliance on the grid. This paper proposes a data-driven framework to dynamically compute allocation coefficients based on predicted individual demand and demonstrates its application in a municipal energy community in Catalonia, Spain. The approach uses an extreme gradient boosting model to forecast hourly consumption profiles and then derive adaptive allocation coefficients that better align shared photovoltaic generation with expected demand. The proposed strategy is evaluated against a static baseline and alternative dynamic schemes using multiple performance indicators, including community self-consumption, surplus energy, and grid dependency. In the case study, the extreme gradient boosting-based allocation increases community self-consumption by 8.4%, reduces surplus energy by 34%, and lowers grid dependency by up to 30% for key members, resulting in a more balanced and efficient distribution of locally generated energy. These results highlight the potential of machine learning-enabled allocation to improve collective self-consumption performance in the existing regulatory framework.
能源社区在集体自我消费计划下运作,当地生产的可再生能源在参与成员之间共享。在实践中,这种共享通常是由事先固定的静态分配系数控制的,它不能捕捉参与者的时变和异构需求。这种不匹配会减少社区的自我消耗,增加多余的注入,并增加对电网的依赖。本文提出了一种基于预测的个人需求动态计算分配系数的数据驱动框架,并在西班牙加泰罗尼亚市的一个市政能源社区进行了应用。该方法使用极端梯度提升模型来预测每小时的消费概况,然后得出自适应分配系数,从而更好地将共享光伏发电与预期需求结合起来。采用多种性能指标(包括社区自用、剩余能源和电网依赖)对静态基线和备选动态方案进行评估。在案例研究中,基于极端梯度提升的分配使社区自用电量增加了8.4%,剩余能源减少了34%,关键成员对电网的依赖降低了30%,从而使当地产生的能源分配更加平衡和有效。这些结果突出了机器学习配置在现有监管框架下提高集体自我消费绩效的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Value co-creation in the renewable energy-hydrogen-methanol chain: A complex network evolutionary game under multi-market contexts 可再生能源-氢-甲醇链的价值协同创造:多市场背景下的复杂网络进化博弈
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-04-15 Epub Date: 2026-02-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2026.127492
Rong Shi , Yue Chen , Shuxia Yang , Xiongfei Wang
The extension of the green hydrogen value chain plays a vital role in optimizing the energy structure and advancing the development of clean energy. However, the storage and transportation of green hydrogen pose a significant challenge to its expansion. As a promising hydrogen carrier, green e-methanol is expected to provide an effective pathway for promoting the application of green hydrogen. This work constructs a complex network evolutionary game model within a multi-market coupling context to investigate the strategic evolution of value co-creation in a renewable‑hydrogen-methanol value chain (RHMV) consisting of renewable energy, green hydrogen, and methanol producers. It further examines the effects of key influencing factors. The study yields the following findings: (1) A portion of participants in the RHMV are inclined to engage in value co-creation. (2) When the initial willingness to cooperate is low, value co-creation cannot be realized, and the effect of increasing this parameter differs heterogeneously among different participating entities. (3) Carbon quota prices, government subsidies, e-methanol prices, and green certificate prices all possess incentive thresholds, and their incentive effects are nonlinear. (4) There are feasible ranges for hydrogen production energy consumption and the electricity price fluctuation coefficient, with the optimal values differing across various entities within the RHMV. Finally, corresponding policy recommendations are provided based on the research findings.
延伸绿色氢价值链对优化能源结构、推进清洁能源发展具有重要作用。然而,绿色氢的储存和运输对其发展构成了重大挑战。绿色e-甲醇作为一种极具发展前景的氢载体,有望为促进绿色氢的应用提供有效途径。本文在多市场耦合背景下构建了一个复杂的网络进化博弈模型,以研究由可再生能源、绿色氢和甲醇生产商组成的可再生氢-甲醇价值链(RHMV)中价值共同创造的战略演变。进一步考察了关键影响因素的作用。研究结果表明:(1)部分参与主体倾向于参与价值共同创造。(2)当初始合作意愿较低时,无法实现价值共同创造,且增加该参数的效果在不同参与主体之间存在异质性。(3)碳配额价格、政府补贴、e-甲醇价格和绿色证书价格均存在激励阈值,且其激励效果是非线性的。(4)制氢能耗和电价波动系数存在可行范围,在RHMV内不同主体的最优值不同。最后,根据研究结果提出相应的政策建议。
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引用次数: 0
Energy optimization for data centers via carbon-aware multi-energy market coordination 通过碳意识多能源市场协调实现数据中心的能源优化
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-04-15 Epub Date: 2026-02-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2026.127371
Dafeng Zhu , Sicheng Liu , Bo Yang , Haoran Deng , Yu Wu , Zhao Yang Dong
AI-driven digitalization is intensifying data center (DC) energy use and emissions, while variable demands and renewables exacerbate supply-demand and carbon allocation-emission imbalances. These challenges are further compounded by existing strategies that often overlook carbon-energy coupling and lack real-time, incentive-compatible coordination across DCs and energy resources. To address these challenges and satisfy online demands, a tiered carbon trading and capture coordination model is proposed, along with a multi-energy market framework integrating energy storage, an electrolyzer and a combined cooling and power unit, to maximize overall benefits and fully absorb renewable energy. Then, an improved stochastic optimization constructs virtual queues and introduces an auxiliary variable to ensure charge/discharge benefits and system stability while decarbonizing DCs without requiring priori information of system random processes. To avoid privacy leakage, a distributed energy clearing method is applied to facilitate low-complexity trading among DCs. Through case studies, the proposed method can reduce carbon emissions and approach the optimal costs while mitigating battery degradation.
人工智能驱动的数字化加剧了数据中心(DC)的能源使用和排放,而可变需求和可再生能源加剧了供需和碳分配-排放的不平衡。现有战略往往忽视了碳-能源耦合,缺乏DCs和能源之间的实时、激励相容的协调,使这些挑战进一步复杂化。为了应对这些挑战并满足在线需求,提出了一个分层碳交易和捕集协调模型,以及一个集储能、电解槽和联合冷却与发电机组为一体的多能源市场框架,以最大限度地提高整体效益并充分吸收可再生能源。然后,改进的随机优化算法构建虚拟队列并引入辅助变量,在不需要系统随机过程的先验信息的情况下,在对dc进行脱碳的同时保证充放电效益和系统稳定性。为了避免隐私泄露,采用分布式能量清算方法,方便数据中心之间的低复杂度交易。通过案例研究,该方法在降低电池退化的同时,可以减少碳排放,接近最优成本。
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引用次数: 0
Deep reinforcement learning-based energy scheduling for green buildings with stationary and EV batteries of heterogeneous characteristics 基于深度强化学习的固定式和电动汽车异质电池绿色建筑能量调度
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-04-15 Epub Date: 2026-02-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2026.127463
Chi Liu , Zhezhuang Xu , Jiawei Zhou , Yazhou Yuan , Kai Ma , Meng Yuan
The substantial energy demands of buildings are increasingly supplied by renewable sources like photovoltaics. However, their intermittency necessitates the integration of stationary energy storage systems (ESS) within building energy management systems (BEMS) to stabilize power and coordinate multi-energy flows. The proliferation of electric vehicles (EVs) facilitates their integration with ESS, forming a combined battery system (CBS) that expands the arbitrage potential and flexibility of BEMS. To fully exploit the potential of CBS in optimizing BEMS operational costs, this paper proposes a deep reinforcement learning (DRL) real-time joint energy scheduling method based on heterogeneous battery systems. We first analyze the aging characteristics of different battery types within the CBS, and propose an innovative degradation assessment framework tailored to heterogeneous energy storage systems in vehicle-to-grid scenarios. This framework introduces a cycle degradation coefficient to provide real-time feedback on battery aging costs, making it suitable for DRL-driven scheduling. To achieve optimized collaborative scheduling of ESS and EVs, we propose an enhanced DRL algorithm incorporating double dueling and prioritized experience replay mechanisms. This algorithm addresses challenges such as complex state features, action coupling, and decreased learning efficiency in heterogeneous energy storage environments. It also prioritizes the travel demands of EV users to promote their participation. Experimental simulations from a real-world commercial building validate the effectiveness of the proposed approach, achieving a 43.39% reduction in system operating costs compared to the mixed-integer linear programming approach under equivalent conditions.
建筑物的大量能源需求越来越多地由光伏等可再生能源提供。然而,它们的间歇性需要在建筑能源管理系统(BEMS)中集成固定式储能系统(ESS)来稳定电力和协调多能流。随着电动汽车(ev)的普及,电动汽车与ESS的整合成为可能,形成了组合电池系统(CBS),从而扩大了BEMS的套利潜力和灵活性。为了充分发挥CBS在优化BEMS运行成本方面的潜力,本文提出了一种基于异构电池系统的深度强化学习(DRL)实时联合能量调度方法。我们首先分析了CBS中不同类型电池的老化特征,并提出了一种针对车辆到电网场景下异构储能系统的创新退化评估框架。该框架引入循环退化系数,提供电池老化成本的实时反馈,使其适用于drl驱动的调度。为了实现ESS和电动汽车的优化协同调度,我们提出了一种包含双重决斗和优先体验回放机制的增强型DRL算法。该算法解决了异构储能环境中复杂状态特征、动作耦合和学习效率下降等问题。它还优先考虑电动汽车用户的出行需求,以促进他们的参与。实际商业建筑的实验仿真验证了该方法的有效性,在同等条件下,与混合整数线性规划方法相比,系统运行成本降低了43.39%。
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引用次数: 0
Robust dispatch of multi-electrolyzer systems for renewable energy hydrogen production under wind forecast uncertainty 风力预报不确定性下可再生能源制氢多电解槽系统的鲁棒调度
IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-04-15 Epub Date: 2026-02-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2026.127483
Yichi Zhang , Xiongzheng Wang , Gongzhe Nie , Chengyao He , Yunfan Yang , Mingzhi He , Xin Meng
To address real-time control failures in renewable energy hydrogen production systems (REHPS) caused by forecasting errors and optimization delays, this paper proposes a rolling horizon framework embedded with a rule-based compensation mechanism to enhance the real-time performance and controllability of optimal scheduling in practical applications. A mixed-integer linear programming model is formulated using multi-state nonlinear electrolyzer modeling and time-of-use electricity prices to optimize the start-stop sequences and power allocation of electrolyzer clusters. By integrating the rule-based compensation within the rolling window, dispatch decisions are effectively corrected to achieve real-time response. Clustering analysis based on a real-world wind power dataset shows that the proposed strategy increases the wind utilization rate by an average of 7.224% and the system hydrogen production efficiency by 5.97%, compared to the best rule-based strategy (S1). Furthermore, the sensitivity analysis of the strategy demonstrates its robustness across varying prediction accuracy levels. The proposed rule-based compensator enables the deployment of a centralized optimizer onto an industrial-grade real-time controller without requiring additional hardware. This solution has been applied in the preliminary design study of a hundred-megawatt-scale REHPS in Northeast China, providing a deployable optimization solution for large-scale renewable hydrogen production.
针对可再生能源制氢系统(REHPS)中由于预测误差和优化延迟导致的实时控制失效问题,提出了嵌入基于规则的补偿机制的滚动地平线框架,以提高实际应用中最优调度的实时性和可控性。利用多状态非线性电解槽模型和分时电价建立了混合整数线性规划模型,对电解槽群的启停顺序和功率分配进行了优化。通过在滚动窗口内集成基于规则的补偿,有效地修正调度决策,实现实时响应。基于实际风电数据的聚类分析表明,与基于规则的最佳策略(S1)相比,该策略可使风电利用率平均提高7.224%,系统制氢效率平均提高5.97%。此外,对该策略的敏感性分析表明,该策略在不同的预测精度水平上具有鲁棒性。提出的基于规则的补偿器可以在工业级实时控制器上部署集中式优化器,而无需额外的硬件。该方案已应用于东北百兆瓦规模REHPS的初步设计研究,为大规模可再生制氢提供了可部署的优化解决方案。
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Applied Energy
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