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Economic Revival of Russia最新文献

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Plan and market: marriage of convenience 计划和市场:权宜之计的联姻
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.37930/1990-9780-2021-3-69-46-52
A. Porokhovsky
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引用次数: 0
The fourth industrial revolution: economic form and social content 第四次工业革命:经济形式与社会内容
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.37930/1990-9780-2022-1-71-106-112
E. A. Gorin
The changes in social relations, forms of economic interaction and requirements for vocational education in conditions of intensive technological development, the creation of new innovative industries and the emergence of new forms of employment are considered. The necessary knowledge and competencies of employees for effective participation in economic and social life, ensuring a balance of individual and public interests based on the unity of economic form and social content are discussed. Forecasts of the impact of technological modernization processes on the requirements for employees and the economic activities of St. Petersburg enterprises and organizations are given.
社会关系的变化,经济相互作用的形式和职业教育的要求在密集的技术发展,创造新的创新产业和出现新的就业形式的条件下进行了考虑。讨论了员工有效参与经济和社会生活所需的知识和能力,在经济形式和社会内容统一的基础上确保个人利益和公共利益的平衡。预测了技术现代化进程对圣彼得堡企业和组织对雇员的要求和经济活动的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of strategic trends in the factors affecting moscow real estate market 莫斯科房地产市场影响因素的战略趋势分析
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.37930/1990-9780-2023-2-76-138-152
P. Petrova
The paper provides a strategic analysis of trends in the real estate market development in Moscow, which, in the author’s opinion, may indicate a strategic threat of the formation of an emergency period in the housing market of the capital city. The emergency period in the study refers to a period of cyclical growth in market prices, characterized by excessive investment due to long-term speculative expectations of investors. The residential real estate market is one of the most important socioeconomic areas, reflecting the well-being of the population, as well as influencing many significant industries in Russia. Any disturbances and shocks regarding real estate prices can lead to social unrest among the population and, as a result, a deterioration in their quality of life. Apart from that, the real estate market is closely connected with the construction industry, which is one of the powerhouses of the Russian economy. To prevent instability in the housing market, national and regional strategies should consider its sustainable socio-economic advancement as a national (regional) strategic priority. The purpose of the study is to identify some strategic trends that are necessary for analysis at the forecasting stage at the beginning of the strategy formation process. The article shows that some emerging strategic trends point to the existing likelihood of an emergency period in the housing market in Moscow, however, the strategic management tools implemented by the government and the banking sector effectively resist its occurrence, as well as other external factors.
本文对莫斯科房地产市场的发展趋势进行了战略分析,作者认为,这可能表明首都住房市场形成紧急时期的战略威胁。本研究中的紧急时期是指市场价格出现周期性增长的时期,其特征是由于投资者的长期投机预期导致投资过度。住宅房地产市场是最重要的社会经济领域之一,反映了人口的福祉,并影响着俄罗斯的许多重要行业。任何有关房地产价格的干扰和冲击都可能导致社会动荡,从而导致人们的生活质量下降。除此之外,房地产市场与建筑行业密切相关,建筑行业是俄罗斯经济的动力之一。为了防止住房市场不稳定,国家和区域战略应将其可持续的社会经济发展作为国家(区域)战略优先事项。本研究的目的是确定一些战略趋势,这些趋势在战略形成过程开始时的预测阶段进行分析是必要的。文章表明,一些新兴的战略趋势表明莫斯科房地产市场存在紧急时期的可能性,然而,政府和银行部门实施的战略管理工具有效地抵制了它的发生,以及其他外部因素。
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引用次数: 0
Transforming Human Needs, Values, and Motivation in the Transition to Noonomics 在向经济学的过渡中转变人类的需求、价值和动机
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.37930/1990-9780-2021-3-69-134-143
M. Pavlov
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引用次数: 0
On Subtle Factors of Development Uncertainty in the Long Term and Ways of Adapting to New Challenges 论长期发展不确定性的微妙因素及适应新挑战的途径
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.37930/1990-9780-2022-3-73-61-70
D. Belousov
The article considers long-term development trends under conditions of uncertainty, a preliminary scenario analysis of the economic status after the events of February 24, 2022 is provided. The author proposes methods and means to adapt to new challenges. Particular attention is paid to the structuring of basic trends and systemic processes. The advancement of development scenarios and the main scenario-forming contradictions are described in detail. The article provides recommendations for the transition from stabilization to development. An example of the implementation of the proposed adaptation strategy in relation to organizations of science and technology is given.
本文考虑了不确定条件下的长期发展趋势,对2022年2月24日事件后的经济状况进行了初步情景分析。作者提出了适应新挑战的方法和手段。特别注意基本趋势和系统过程的结构。详细阐述了发展情景的先进性和主要情景形成矛盾。本文为从稳定过渡到发展提供了建议。给出了在科技组织中实施所提出的适应战略的一个例子。
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引用次数: 1
Technological Transition: Economic Crisis, Sanctions and a New Technological Agenda 技术转型:经济危机、制裁和新技术议程
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.37930/1990-9780-2022-3-73-71-88
A. Gorodetsky
The relationship between the concepts of transformational transition and the role of technological transition as its most important component, the content of the category of technological transition and technological sovereignty, as characteristics of technological development in the Transitional era of changing the world order, an acute global economic and geopolitical crisis, sanctions and hybrid wars. The necessity and expediency of economic mobilization are substantiated, the modernized agenda of technological development is analyzed, and an approach to analyzing the risks of digitalization is proposed.
转型转型的概念和作为其最重要组成部分的技术转型的作用之间的关系,技术转型范畴的内容和技术主权,作为改变世界秩序的过渡时代技术发展的特征,一个尖锐的全球经济和地缘政治危机,制裁和混合战争。论证了经济动员的必要性和权宜之计,分析了技术发展的现代化议程,提出了数字化风险分析方法。
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引用次数: 1
Demand in the Housing Market and the Needs of Russian People: an Econometric Approach 住房市场的需求和俄罗斯人民的需求:一个计量经济学方法
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.37930/1990-9780-2022-4-74-41-56
I. Eliseeva, M. Bochenina
The article emphasizes the peculiarities of such goods as housing and the situation with the affordability of housing, which has developed in the modern Russian market, due to the outstripping growth rates of housing prices. The article considers regional peculiarities of emerging trends in federal districts in conditions of relatively low mortgage rates. Particular attention is paid to the scale and structure of mortgage lending in CFD, attention is paid to the increased role of investment decisions when purchasing housing in CFD by borrowers from other regions. Assessing the prospects of housing market development in the light of the demographic policy, emphasis is made on the growing discrepancy between the needs of the population for housing and the emerging demand, shifted to the purchase of more affordable small-size housing. This causes structural shifts in the supply of housing. The authors consider it possible to define this situation as “quasi-demand”, which does not solve the problem of improving housing conditions and, in fact, creates a pent-up demand, the aggravation of which is likely in the medium-term period of 7-8 years. The article is written based on official statistics with the use of econometric modeling and graphs.
文章强调了住房等商品的特殊性,以及由于房价过快增长而在现代俄罗斯市场上发展起来的住房负担能力的情况。文章考虑了在相对较低的抵押贷款利率条件下,联邦区新兴趋势的区域特点。特别关注差价合约抵押贷款的规模和结构,关注来自其他地区的借款人在购买差价合约住房时投资决策的作用。在根据人口政策评估住房市场发展前景时,强调人口对住房的需要与新出现的需求之间的差距越来越大,因而转向购买负担得起的小型住房。这导致了住房供应的结构性转变。作者认为可以将这种情况定义为“准需求”,这种情况不能解决改善住房条件的问题,实际上造成了被压抑的需求,这种需求在7-8年的中期可能会加剧。本文以官方统计数据为基础,使用计量经济学模型和图表。
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引用次数: 0
Predicting Potential of the Systematic Dissemination of General-Purpose Technologies Concept in the Economy 通用技术概念在经济中系统传播的预测潜力
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.37930/1990-9780-2022-4-74-9-27
S. Tolkachev, A. Teplyakov, A.V. Falaleeva
The article attempts a comparative analysis of popular concepts of technological development – industrial revolutions, technological modes, general purpose technologies. It shows the development of ideas about general purpose technologies and the current state of the problem. General purpose technologies are consistently deployed on the scheme “production-transport-information” in accordance with the logic of capital accumulation. Based on the development of the author’s concept of cyclic development of the general purpose technologies complex, the role of digital technologies as key for the emerging third technological megacycle or the third industrial revolution is substantiated. There is a forecast assumption that the full-scale industrial deployment of NBIC-technologies will be in the next technological megacycle, when all industry prerequisites for the effective synthesis of individual components will mature.
本文试图对流行的技术发展概念——工业革命、技术模式、通用技术进行比较分析。它展示了通用技术思想的发展和问题的现状。通用技术按照资本积累的逻辑,始终按照“生产-运输-信息”的方案进行部署。基于作者的通用技术综合体循环发展概念的发展,数字技术作为新兴的第三次技术大周期或第三次工业革命的关键作用得到了证实。有一种预测假设认为,nbic技术的全面工业部署将在下一个技术大周期,届时各个组件有效合成的所有行业先决条件都将成熟。
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引用次数: 0
«Big Sarov»: explicit and implicit consequences of territorial deployment of science “大萨罗夫”:科学领域部署的显性和隐性后果
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.37930/1990-9780-2021-4-70-128-146
D. Faykov, Dmitry Yu. Baydarov
The possibilities of developing fundamental science outside of large agglomerations, primarily in places with a high concentration of research and development, are considered. It is shown that the territorial location of scientific centers and large installations generates effects related to the diversification of the economy of cities, the interaction of defense and civil science, with forms of international cooperation, organizational and legal definition of scientific projects of the “mega-science” class, the development of quality of life, etc. An attempt is made to reveal the causes of these effects and their impact on the development of scientific activities. On the example of the project of the Center for Fundamental Science in Sarov, theoretical and practical solutions to issues related to the peculiarities of territorial placement are proposed.
还考虑了在大集聚区以外发展基础科学的可能性,主要是在研究和开发高度集中的地方。研究表明,科学中心和大型设施的地域位置产生的影响与城市经济的多样化、国防和民用科学的互动、国际合作形式、“大科学”类科学项目的组织和法律定义、生活质量的发展等有关。试图揭示这些影响的原因及其对科学活动发展的影响。以萨罗夫基础科学中心的项目为例,提出了与领土放置特殊性相关问题的理论和实践解决方案。
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引用次数: 0
Key Performance Indicators of Executive Bodies: Regional Monitoring Experience 执行机构的关键绩效指标:区域监测经验
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.37930/1990-9780-2022-4-74-139-148
N. A. Limkina
The system of indicative planning of the executive authorities of the Republic of Mordovia is considered. The purpose of the empirical study is to assess the quantitative and qualitative parameters of the key performance indicators of ministries and departments in the region. During the preparation of the article, general scientific methods of research (analysis, synthesis, deduction, induction), statistical-economic and formal-legal methods were used. As a result, the legislative framework underlying the application of target indicators for the work of executive authorities at the federal and regional levels was studied, and an assessment was made of the implementation of key indicators by regional executive authorities. Attention is focused on the problems associated with the development and evaluation of the activities of executive authorities. These data can be used in the development of strategic planning program documents.
审议了摩尔多瓦共和国行政当局的指示性规划制度。实证研究的目的是对区域内各部委关键绩效指标的定量和定性参数进行评估。在文章的编写过程中,使用了一般的科学研究方法(分析,综合,演绎,归纳),统计经济学和形式法律方法。结果,研究了在联邦和区域两级行政当局的工作中应用目标指标的立法框架,并对区域行政当局执行关键指标的情况进行了评估。注意的重点是与发展和评价行政当局的活动有关的问题。这些数据可用于战略规划方案文件的制定。
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Economic Revival of Russia
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