Neighborhood-scale air pollution hotspots have recently been identified through detailed field campaigns, including the 100x100 Black Carbon Experiment which took place in West Oakland, CA, in 2017. Here, high-resolution nested atmospheric simulations are used together with a Bayesian inversion framework to estimate source apportionment at the hyper-local scale for a neighborhood in West Oakland. Forward simulations are performed with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model using 6 grid nests from 11.25 km to 2 m horizontal resolution. On the finest grid, building geometries are resolved using the immersed boundary method. Seven point sources and four line sources at known locations are included in the forward simulation for two 1-h periods during the 2017 field campaign. Data from 12 black carbon sensors are used to perform source inversion using a Markov Chain Monte Carlo approach, which provides a probability distribution for each of the 11 source strengths. From this, a most-likely plume can be created using the peaks of the distributions, and source apportionment can be estimated for each sensor. In addition, a composite plume can be constructed to indicate 90% confidence that concentrations are above or below a specified value. With this probabilistic analysis, it is possible to determine that more than half of the neighborhood has black carbon concentrations of higher than 0.4 μg/m3, with some areas higher than 3 μg/m3 during the time periods studied.
{"title":"Hyper-local source strength retrieval and apportionment of black carbon in an urban area","authors":"Bicheng Chen , Tammy Thompson , Fotini Katopodes Chow","doi":"10.1016/j.aeaoa.2024.100252","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aeaoa.2024.100252","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Neighborhood-scale air pollution hotspots have recently been identified through detailed field campaigns, including the 100x100 Black Carbon Experiment which took place in West Oakland, CA, in 2017. Here, high-resolution nested atmospheric simulations are used together with a Bayesian inversion framework to estimate source apportionment at the hyper-local scale for a neighborhood in West Oakland. Forward simulations are performed with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model using 6 grid nests from 11.25 km to 2 m horizontal resolution. On the finest grid, building geometries are resolved using the immersed boundary method. Seven point sources and four line sources at known locations are included in the forward simulation for two 1-h periods during the 2017 field campaign. Data from 12 black carbon sensors are used to perform source inversion using a Markov Chain Monte Carlo approach, which provides a probability distribution for each of the 11 source strengths. From this, a most-likely plume can be created using the peaks of the distributions, and source apportionment can be estimated for each sensor. In addition, a composite plume can be constructed to indicate 90% confidence that concentrations are above or below a specified value. With this probabilistic analysis, it is possible to determine that more than half of the neighborhood has black carbon concentrations of higher than 0.4 μg/m<sup>3</sup>, with some areas higher than 3 μg/m<sup>3</sup> during the time periods studied.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":37150,"journal":{"name":"Atmospheric Environment: X","volume":"22 ","pages":"Article 100252"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2024-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590162124000194/pdfft?md5=9bf0ee5a076a1b2988fce4fa2a311a47&pid=1-s2.0-S2590162124000194-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140632552","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-04-01DOI: 10.1016/j.aeaoa.2024.100267
Yuxing Chen , Yan Zhang , Guangyuan Yu , Qian Wang , Hui Ma , Fan Yang
Transportation is a major sector of anthropogenic emissions in urban areas and deteriorates air quality. The surface and vertical observational data were combined with the model results to reveal its impact on the horizontal and vertical variations of pollutants during the COVID-19 lockdown period. The evident reductions in ambient PM2.5 (∼30%) and NO2 (∼50%) concentrations but a ∼25% increase in O3 concentration were observed at the transportation sites. On the vertical scale, a uniform decrease of ∼28% in PM2.5 concentrations was observed within 600 m. However, the vertical profiles of NO2 and O3 exhibited increasing vertical variation rates with concentrations varying significantly within 400 m. Meanwhile, Ox shared a similar pattern of vertical profile with O3, with a uniform increase (∼5%) within 600 m in the urban area. The WRF-CMAQ model reproduced the variations, and revealed that the reduction of transportation emissions was the key factor contributing to the increase of urban O3 and Ox due to the weakened NO titration effect. The simulated vertical profile of NO2 was featured by a decreasing curve, while that of O3 exhibited the opposite trend. We find that the transportation emissions impact vertical concentrations of NO2 and O3 within at most 400 m. The process analysis revealed that the vertical transport and horizontal transport from bay areas contributed to O3 in the urban area, while chemical processes mainly consumed it. The reduction in transportation emissions weakened the consumption and resulted in O3 accumulation during rush hours and at night. The variation of planetary boundary layer height also favored the rise of urban O3 by promoting vertical transport at daytime and trapping it at night. The reduction in NOx emissions from the transportation enhanced O3 pollution, suggesting that collaborative reductions in VOCs from multiple sectors should be conducted. This study also indicated that regional collaborations in emission reductions were necessary for comprehensive air pollution prevention.
{"title":"Impacts of transportation emissions on horizontal and vertical distributions of air pollutants in Shanghai: Insights from emission reduction in COVID-19 lockdown","authors":"Yuxing Chen , Yan Zhang , Guangyuan Yu , Qian Wang , Hui Ma , Fan Yang","doi":"10.1016/j.aeaoa.2024.100267","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aeaoa.2024.100267","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Transportation is a major sector of anthropogenic emissions in urban areas and deteriorates air quality. The surface and vertical observational data were combined with the model results to reveal its impact on the horizontal and vertical variations of pollutants during the COVID-19 lockdown period. The evident reductions in ambient PM<sub>2.5</sub> (∼30%) and NO<sub>2</sub> (∼50%) concentrations but a ∼25% increase in O<sub>3</sub> concentration were observed at the transportation sites. On the vertical scale, a uniform decrease of ∼28% in PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentrations was observed within 600 m. However, the vertical profiles of NO<sub>2</sub> and O<sub>3</sub> exhibited increasing vertical variation rates with concentrations varying significantly within 400 m. Meanwhile, O<sub><em>x</em></sub> shared a similar pattern of vertical profile with O<sub>3</sub>, with a uniform increase (∼5%) within 600 m in the urban area. The WRF-CMAQ model reproduced the variations, and revealed that the reduction of transportation emissions was the key factor contributing to the increase of urban O<sub>3</sub> and O<sub><em>x</em></sub> due to the weakened NO titration effect. The simulated vertical profile of NO<sub>2</sub> was featured by a decreasing curve, while that of O<sub>3</sub> exhibited the opposite trend. We find that the transportation emissions impact vertical concentrations of NO<sub>2</sub> and O<sub>3</sub> within at most 400 m. The process analysis revealed that the vertical transport and horizontal transport from bay areas contributed to O<sub>3</sub> in the urban area, while chemical processes mainly consumed it. The reduction in transportation emissions weakened the consumption and resulted in O<sub>3</sub> accumulation during rush hours and at night. The variation of planetary boundary layer height also favored the rise of urban O<sub>3</sub> by promoting vertical transport at daytime and trapping it at night. The reduction in NO<sub><em>x</em></sub> emissions from the transportation enhanced O<sub>3</sub> pollution, suggesting that collaborative reductions in VOCs from multiple sectors should be conducted. This study also indicated that regional collaborations in emission reductions were necessary for comprehensive air pollution prevention.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":37150,"journal":{"name":"Atmospheric Environment: X","volume":"22 ","pages":"Article 100267"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2024-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590162124000340/pdfft?md5=3572bc0a9209595b62607eab878693b6&pid=1-s2.0-S2590162124000340-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141097265","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-03-28DOI: 10.1016/j.aeaoa.2024.100254
V. Jayachandran, T. Narayana Rao
India is experiencing a rapid urban growth in recent decades modifying the regional air quality around urban agglomerations. Hyderabad, the capital city of Telangana state in India, has been experiencing significant urbanization of about 17 % growth in urban agglomeration over the past two decades. We investigated the long-term pollution characteristics along with the meteorology in and around Hyderabad (300 km × 300 km) using satellite-based remote sensing, and reanalysis data. Columnar aerosol loading was highest during the Spring while the positive trend was more during the Winter. The northeastern and southeastern parts of the study domain experienced higher aerosol loading. A significant increasing linear trend in AOD and PM2.5 is observed over the urban region as well as the northern and eastern parts. The NO2 and SO2 columnar concentrations showed considerable enhancement over the northeast sub-region where numerous thermal power plants are located, and over the urban centre. The SO2 concentration and SSA values were higher during the Autumn, while the NO2 values peaked along with lower SSA values during the Spring. The observed spatio-temporal features in air pollutants are further investigated using rainfall information, transport pathways, vegetation index, and fire events. Higher surface temperature and the polluted northeasterlies caused the comparative enhancement of NO2 concentration during Spring. The investigation on the NDVI and the fire events in different sub-regions points to the possibility of enhanced human settlement, and thereby the associated anthropogenic activities are notable over the West and South parts of Hyderabad. However, the presence of thermal power plants in the northeast and natural gas plants along the coast act as persistent regional sources for aerosols and pollutant gases irrespective of the wet removal.
{"title":"Long-term regional air pollution characteristics in and around Hyderabad, India: Effects of natural and anthropogenic sources","authors":"V. Jayachandran, T. Narayana Rao","doi":"10.1016/j.aeaoa.2024.100254","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aeaoa.2024.100254","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>India is experiencing a rapid urban growth in recent decades modifying the regional air quality around urban agglomerations. Hyderabad, the capital city of Telangana state in India, has been experiencing significant urbanization of about 17 % growth in urban agglomeration over the past two decades. We investigated the long-term pollution characteristics along with the meteorology in and around Hyderabad (300 km × 300 km) using satellite-based remote sensing, and reanalysis data. Columnar aerosol loading was highest during the Spring while the positive trend was more during the Winter. The northeastern and southeastern parts of the study domain experienced higher aerosol loading. A significant increasing linear trend in AOD and PM<sub>2.5</sub> is observed over the urban region as well as the northern and eastern parts. The NO<sub>2</sub> and SO<sub>2</sub> columnar concentrations showed considerable enhancement over the northeast sub-region where numerous thermal power plants are located, and over the urban centre. The SO<sub>2</sub> concentration and SSA values were higher during the Autumn, while the NO<sub>2</sub> values peaked along with lower SSA values during the Spring. The observed spatio-temporal features in air pollutants are further investigated using rainfall information, transport pathways, vegetation index, and fire events. Higher surface temperature and the polluted northeasterlies caused the comparative enhancement of NO<sub>2</sub> concentration during Spring. The investigation on the NDVI and the fire events in different sub-regions points to the possibility of enhanced human settlement, and thereby the associated anthropogenic activities are notable over the West and South parts of Hyderabad. However, the presence of thermal power plants in the northeast and natural gas plants along the coast act as persistent regional sources for aerosols and pollutant gases irrespective of the wet removal.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":37150,"journal":{"name":"Atmospheric Environment: X","volume":"22 ","pages":"Article 100254"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2024-03-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590162124000212/pdfft?md5=e34fcbc90fea65b9cd29c2e1c1c34dbc&pid=1-s2.0-S2590162124000212-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140328655","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-03-26DOI: 10.1016/j.aeaoa.2024.100253
Emeric Germain-Piaulenne , Jean-Daniel Paris , Valérie Gros , Pierre-Yves Quéhé , Michael Pikridas , Dominique Baisnée , Antoine Berchet , Jean Sciare , Efstratios Bourtsoukidis
The observational characterization of anthropogenic methane (CH4) emissions in the Eastern Mediterranean and Middle East (EMME) region, known for its significant oil and gas (OG) production, remains limited. Light alkanes, such as ethane (C2H6), are co-emitted with CH4 by OG activities and are promising tracers for identifying the CH4 emissions from this sector at the wider regional scale. In this study, in-situ measurements of CH4 and alkanes (C2–C8 were collected during a field campaign at a regional background site (Cape Greco, Cyprus). A mobile laboratory housed the instrumentation at the south-eastern edge of the island between December 2021 and February 2022. This specific location and time of year were selected to capture air masses originating from distant southern and eastern regions, primarily impacted by sources from the Middle East. Based on these observations we 1) evaluate the significance of long-range transported versus local sources in Cyprus, 2) identify and document regional anthropogenic CH4 sources with the help of the concomitant alkane measurements, and 3) assess the accuracy of the EDGAR sectoral emission inventory over the EMME region. The highest alkane mixing ratios observed were associated with the Middle Eastern OG CH4 signal. Surprisingly, the Middle Eastern emissions of CH4 were found to be heavily influenced by the breeding and waste management sectors. By investigating the measured CH4 mixing ratios together with an atmospheric dispersion model (FLEXPART), we derive a comprehensive characterization of the pollution sources at a regional scale over the Eastern Mediterranean region. Our results indicate that CH4 emissions from the Middle Eastern OG sector are likely underestimated by ca. 69 %. These findings underscore the efficacy of using experimental observations of alkanes for CH4 source identification at receptor sites. This tracer approach would also benefit from a substantial revision of light hydrocarbon emission inventories.
东地中海和中东地区(EMME)因大量生产石油和天然气(OG)而闻名,该地区人为甲烷(CH4)排放的观测特征仍然有限。轻烷烃(如乙烷 (C2H6))与甲烷(CH4)共同排放于 OG 活动中,是在更广泛的区域范围内确定该行业甲烷(CH4)排放量的理想示踪剂。在这项研究中,在区域本底站点(塞浦路斯格雷科角)的实地活动中收集了 CH4 和烷烃(C2-C8)的原位测量值。2021 年 12 月至 2022 年 2 月期间,一个移动实验室在该岛东南边缘安装了仪器。选择这一特定地点和时间是为了捕捉来自遥远的南部和东部地区的气团,这些气团主要受到中东气源的影响。基于这些观测结果,我们:1)评估了塞浦路斯长程飘移和本地来源的重要性;2)在烷烃测量结果的帮助下,确定并记录了区域人为甲烷来源;3)评估了 EDGAR 部门排放清单对 EMME 区域的准确性。观测到的最高烷烃混合比与中东 OG CH4 信号有关。令人惊讶的是,中东地区的甲烷排放量受养殖业和废物管理部门的影响很大。通过将测量到的甲烷混合比与大气扩散模型(FLEXPART)结合起来进行研究,我们得出了东地中海地区区域范围内污染源的综合特征。结果表明,中东地区 OG 行业的甲烷排放量可能被低估了约 69%。这些发现强调了利用对烷烃的实验观测来确定受体地点的甲烷来源的有效性。这种示踪方法还将受益于对轻烃排放清单的大幅修订。
{"title":"Middle East oil and gas methane emissions signature captured at a remote site using light hydrocarbon tracers","authors":"Emeric Germain-Piaulenne , Jean-Daniel Paris , Valérie Gros , Pierre-Yves Quéhé , Michael Pikridas , Dominique Baisnée , Antoine Berchet , Jean Sciare , Efstratios Bourtsoukidis","doi":"10.1016/j.aeaoa.2024.100253","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aeaoa.2024.100253","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The observational characterization of anthropogenic methane (CH<sub>4</sub>) emissions in the Eastern Mediterranean and Middle East (EMME) region, known for its significant oil and gas (OG) production, remains limited. Light alkanes, such as ethane (C<sub>2</sub>H<sub>6</sub>), are co-emitted with CH<sub>4</sub> by OG activities and are promising tracers for identifying the CH<sub>4</sub> emissions from this sector at the wider regional scale. In this study, in-situ measurements of CH<sub>4</sub> and alkanes (C2–C8 were collected during a field campaign at a regional background site (Cape Greco, Cyprus). A mobile laboratory housed the instrumentation at the south-eastern edge of the island between December 2021 and February 2022. This specific location and time of year were selected to capture air masses originating from distant southern and eastern regions, primarily impacted by sources from the Middle East. Based on these observations we 1) evaluate the significance of long-range transported versus local sources in Cyprus, 2) identify and document regional anthropogenic CH<sub>4</sub> sources with the help of the concomitant alkane measurements, and 3) assess the accuracy of the EDGAR sectoral emission inventory over the EMME region. The highest alkane mixing ratios observed were associated with the Middle Eastern OG CH<sub>4</sub> signal. Surprisingly, the Middle Eastern emissions of CH<sub>4</sub> were found to be heavily influenced by the breeding and waste management sectors. By investigating the measured CH<sub>4</sub> mixing ratios together with an atmospheric dispersion model (FLEXPART), we derive a comprehensive characterization of the pollution sources at a regional scale over the Eastern Mediterranean region. Our results indicate that CH<sub>4</sub> emissions from the Middle Eastern OG sector are likely underestimated by ca. 69 %. These findings underscore the efficacy of using experimental observations of alkanes for CH<sub>4</sub> source identification at receptor sites. This tracer approach would also benefit from a substantial revision of light hydrocarbon emission inventories.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":37150,"journal":{"name":"Atmospheric Environment: X","volume":"22 ","pages":"Article 100253"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2024-03-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590162124000200/pdfft?md5=db9a4b2590238663632a943ccfb708db&pid=1-s2.0-S2590162124000200-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140309690","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-03-22DOI: 10.1016/j.aeaoa.2024.100250
Arthur Elessa Etuman , Isabelle Coll , Vincent Viguié , Nicolas Coulombel , Caroline Gallez
In this paper we set up a modeling chain to study the impact of different urban planning scenarios on air quality and ultimately the exposure of the population. The analysis relates to the intensity of the polluting activities associated with each scenario, as well as their environmental and health impact. The implementation of a 2030 prospective scenario on Ile-de-France allows us to assess the magnitude of the leverage effect of the actions recommended in the regional master plan. The objective is to quantify the importance of emission reductions, but also the gain in terms of exposure to pollutants, which can be obtained when we transcribe into the model the implementation of regulatory texts on the metropolis of Greater Paris. The results allow us to debate the paradox between reducing emissions and increasing the exposure created by situations of high urban densification.
{"title":"Exploring urban planning as a lever for emission and exposure control: Analysis of master plan actions over greater Paris","authors":"Arthur Elessa Etuman , Isabelle Coll , Vincent Viguié , Nicolas Coulombel , Caroline Gallez","doi":"10.1016/j.aeaoa.2024.100250","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.aeaoa.2024.100250","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In this paper we set up a modeling chain to study the impact of different urban planning scenarios on air quality and ultimately the exposure of the population. The analysis relates to the intensity of the polluting activities associated with each scenario, as well as their environmental and health impact. The implementation of a 2030 prospective scenario on Ile-de-France allows us to assess the magnitude of the leverage effect of the actions recommended in the regional master plan. The objective is to quantify the importance of emission reductions, but also the gain in terms of exposure to pollutants, which can be obtained when we transcribe into the model the implementation of regulatory texts on the metropolis of Greater Paris. The results allow us to debate the paradox between reducing emissions and increasing the exposure created by situations of high urban densification.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":37150,"journal":{"name":"Atmospheric Environment: X","volume":"22 ","pages":"Article 100250"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2024-03-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590162124000170/pdfft?md5=9fa932f182f2462761fd2da283c9b670&pid=1-s2.0-S2590162124000170-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140276168","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-03-22DOI: 10.1016/j.aeaoa.2024.100251
Diljit Kumar Nayak, Gazala Habib, Sri Harsha Kota
India implemented a range of multifarious strategies to address the issue of substandard air quality. One such flagship scheme of government of India is National Clean Air Programme (NCAP), which recommends sector specific reduction in emissions and increase in forest cover etc. To reduce particulate matter concentrations by 40% in 2026 compared to 2019. The present study aims to gauge the impact of Land Use Land Cover (LULC) changes alone on success of NCAP, using weather research forecasting model with chemistry (WRF-Chem) and integrated geographical information system and remote sensing software Terrset. The findings elucidate that, by the year 2026, the Ventilation Coefficient (VC) in India's eastern, central, northern, and north-eastern regions is anticipated to register a decline ranging from 18% to 50% compared to the baseline year of 2019. Conversely, an increase of 17% is expected in the southern region. The alterations in Fallow Land, Barren and sparsely vegetated land, Urban and Built-up Land, and Tundra, contribute to these shifts, displaying varying percentage changes across distinct zones. Simulations indicate that these LULC changes are impeding the planned reduction in PM2.5 levels. Projections suggest an increase in PM2.5 levels as high as 13% in the eastern, central, northern, and north-eastern regions, accompanied by a decrease of 33% in the Southern zone of the country. Significantly, non-attainment cities in Himachal Pradesh and Maharashtra are expected to witness a substantial rise in PM2.5-induced premature mortality, with Pune city projected to experience over 24,525 additional premature deaths by 2026. A comparable examination conducted for the year 2022, utilizing actual LULC data, suggests that if the NCAP fails to effectively implement LULC changes, it may reduce this anticipated trade-off. Addressing this concern, the study employed WRF-Chem to simulate 60 combinations, proposing LULC enhancements conducive to improving VC. The results underscore the critical importance of preserving at least 36% of the LULC category of mixed forest land, encompassing plantations, orchards, and areas under shifting agriculture. Additionally, a reduction in barren land and fallow land emerges as pivotal for enhancing the ventilation coefficient. The study accentuates the necessity of refraining from further expansion in densely populated areas to counter these anticipated VC trends. This study provides valuable insights, highlighting the need to prioritize LULC management to effectively combat the alarming air pollution.
{"title":"Can Landuse Landcover changes influence the success of India's national clean air plans ?","authors":"Diljit Kumar Nayak, Gazala Habib, Sri Harsha Kota","doi":"10.1016/j.aeaoa.2024.100251","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.aeaoa.2024.100251","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>India implemented a range of multifarious strategies to address the issue of substandard air quality. One such flagship scheme of government of India is National Clean Air Programme (NCAP), which recommends sector specific reduction in emissions and increase in forest cover etc. To reduce particulate matter concentrations by 40% in 2026 compared to 2019. The present study aims to gauge the impact of Land Use Land Cover (LULC) changes alone on success of NCAP, using weather research forecasting model with chemistry (WRF-Chem) and integrated geographical information system and remote sensing software Terrset. The findings elucidate that, by the year 2026, the Ventilation Coefficient (VC) in India's eastern, central, northern, and north-eastern regions is anticipated to register a decline ranging from 18% to 50% compared to the baseline year of 2019. Conversely, an increase of 17% is expected in the southern region. The alterations in Fallow Land, Barren and sparsely vegetated land, Urban and Built-up Land, and Tundra, contribute to these shifts, displaying varying percentage changes across distinct zones. Simulations indicate that these LULC changes are impeding the planned reduction in PM<sub>2.5</sub> levels. Projections suggest an increase in PM<sub>2.5</sub> levels as high as 13% in the eastern, central, northern, and north-eastern regions, accompanied by a decrease of 33% in the Southern zone of the country. Significantly, non-attainment cities in Himachal Pradesh and Maharashtra are expected to witness a substantial rise in PM<sub>2.5</sub>-induced premature mortality, with Pune city projected to experience over 24,525 additional premature deaths by 2026. A comparable examination conducted for the year 2022, utilizing actual LULC data, suggests that if the NCAP fails to effectively implement LULC changes, it may reduce this anticipated trade-off. Addressing this concern, the study employed WRF-Chem to simulate 60 combinations, proposing LULC enhancements conducive to improving VC. The results underscore the critical importance of preserving at least 36% of the LULC category of mixed forest land, encompassing plantations, orchards, and areas under shifting agriculture. Additionally, a reduction in barren land and fallow land emerges as pivotal for enhancing the ventilation coefficient. The study accentuates the necessity of refraining from further expansion in densely populated areas to counter these anticipated VC trends. This study provides valuable insights, highlighting the need to prioritize LULC management to effectively combat the alarming air pollution.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":37150,"journal":{"name":"Atmospheric Environment: X","volume":"22 ","pages":"Article 100251"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2024-03-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590162124000182/pdfft?md5=cf8d8c935a5335f2d5ef3c93357af320&pid=1-s2.0-S2590162124000182-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140275748","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-03-06DOI: 10.1016/j.aeaoa.2024.100248
Zhimin Rao, Yixiu Li, Yicheng Li, Jiandong Mao, Hu Zhao, Chunyan Zhou, Xin Gong
Bioaerosols are biologically originated particles in the atmosphere, which is mainly composed of bacteria, fungi, viruses, pollen, spores, and the fragmentation and disintegration of plants and animals. Bioaerosols are easy to be spread in the lower atmosphere and cause various epidemic diseases, which is harmful to human health. The forecasting and alert of bioaerosols have important scientific significance and reality needs. In this paper, a method is proposed for estimating and predicting the concentration profile of atmospheric bioaerosols using fluorescence lidar observational data. Using the powerful nonlinear prediction ability of artificial neural networks and through repeated training, a mathematical model can be established for the relationship among atmospheric environment, meteorological parameters, and bioaerosol concentration profiles. The input parameters are temperature and humidity, aerosol extinction coefficient, backscatter coefficient, PM2.5, PM10, SO2, NO2, CO, O3, and wind speed, and outputs the concentration profile of bioaerosols. The prediction results with the measurement relative deviation of genetic algorithm back propagation (GA-BP) neural network and adaptive genetic algorithm back propagation (AGA-BP) neural network were analyzed. The results indicate that the AGA-BP neural network can effectively predict the concentration distribution of bioaerosols, and the predicted concentrations of bioaerosols are 1793 particles × m−3, 3088 particles × m−3, 5261 particles × m−3, 7410 particles × m−3 and 9133 particles × m−3 for air quality with superior, fine, mild contamination, middle level pollution and heavy pollution at an altitude of 0.315 km, respectively. We found that the predicted concentration of pollution weather is much higher than that of good weather. Furthermore, the AGA-BP neural network was used to predict the concentration profiles of atmospheric bioaerosols under different weather conditions, which provided a new research method for forecasting and alert of atmospheric bioaerosols.
{"title":"Forecasting and alert of atmospheric bioaerosol concentration profile based on adaptive genetic algorithm back propagation neural network, atmospheric parameter and fluorescence lidar","authors":"Zhimin Rao, Yixiu Li, Yicheng Li, Jiandong Mao, Hu Zhao, Chunyan Zhou, Xin Gong","doi":"10.1016/j.aeaoa.2024.100248","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.aeaoa.2024.100248","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Bioaerosols are biologically originated particles in the atmosphere, which is mainly composed of bacteria, fungi, viruses, pollen, spores, and the fragmentation and disintegration of plants and animals. Bioaerosols are easy to be spread in the lower atmosphere and cause various epidemic diseases, which is harmful to human health. The forecasting and alert of bioaerosols have important scientific significance and reality needs. In this paper, a method is proposed for estimating and predicting the concentration profile of atmospheric bioaerosols using fluorescence lidar observational data. Using the powerful nonlinear prediction ability of artificial neural networks and through repeated training, a mathematical model can be established for the relationship among atmospheric environment, meteorological parameters, and bioaerosol concentration profiles. The input parameters are temperature and humidity, aerosol extinction coefficient, backscatter coefficient, PM2.5, PM10, SO<sub>2</sub>, NO<sub>2</sub>, CO, O<sub>3</sub>, and wind speed, and outputs the concentration profile of bioaerosols. The prediction results with the measurement relative deviation of genetic algorithm back propagation (GA-BP) neural network and adaptive genetic algorithm back propagation (AGA-BP) neural network were analyzed. The results indicate that the AGA-BP neural network can effectively predict the concentration distribution of bioaerosols, and the predicted concentrations of bioaerosols are 1793 particles × m<sup>−3</sup>, 3088 particles × m<sup>−3</sup>, 5261 particles × m<sup>−3</sup>, 7410 particles × m<sup>−3</sup> and 9133 particles × m<sup>−3</sup> for air quality with superior, fine, mild contamination, middle level pollution and heavy pollution at an altitude of 0.315 km, respectively. We found that the predicted concentration of pollution weather is much higher than that of good weather. Furthermore, the AGA-BP neural network was used to predict the concentration profiles of atmospheric bioaerosols under different weather conditions, which provided a new research method for forecasting and alert of atmospheric bioaerosols.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":37150,"journal":{"name":"Atmospheric Environment: X","volume":"22 ","pages":"Article 100248"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2024-03-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590162124000157/pdfft?md5=98856f4af1e8e012fd1d3048c250a1df&pid=1-s2.0-S2590162124000157-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140088179","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-01-01DOI: 10.1016/j.aeaoa.2024.100239
R. Zalakeviciute , S. Bonilla Bedoya , D. Mejia Coronel , M. Bastidas , A. Buenano , A. Diaz-Marquez
Urban ecosystem is an intricate agglomeration of human, fauna and flora populations coexisting in natural and artificial environments. As a city develops and expands over time; it may become unbalanced, affecting the quality of ecosystem and urban services and leading to environmental and health problems. Fine particulate matter (particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter ≤2.5 μm - PM2.5) is the air pollutant posing the greatest risk to human health. Quito, the capital city of Ecuador, exhibits a high occurrence of exposure to unhealthy levels of PM2.5 due to a combination of natural and social variables. This study focused on three central parks of this high elevation city, investigating the spatial distribution of PM2.5 concentrations. The particle pollution was then modeled using Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI). Hazardous instantaneous levels of PM2.5 were consistently found on the edges of the parks along busy avenues, which are also the most frequented areas. This raises concerns about both short- and long-term exposures to toxic traffic pollution in recreational areas within urban dwellings in the global south. The NDVI model successfully predicted the spatial concentrations of PM2.5 in a smaller urban park, suggesting its potential application in other cities. However, further research is required to validate its effectiveness.
{"title":"Central parks as air quality oases in the tropical Andean city of Quito","authors":"R. Zalakeviciute , S. Bonilla Bedoya , D. Mejia Coronel , M. Bastidas , A. Buenano , A. Diaz-Marquez","doi":"10.1016/j.aeaoa.2024.100239","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aeaoa.2024.100239","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Urban ecosystem is an intricate agglomeration of human, fauna and flora populations coexisting in natural and artificial environments. As a city develops and expands over time; it may become unbalanced, affecting the quality of ecosystem and urban services and leading to environmental and health problems. Fine particulate matter (particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter ≤2.5 μm - PM<sub>2.5</sub>) is the air pollutant posing the greatest risk to human health. Quito, the capital city of Ecuador, exhibits a high occurrence of exposure to unhealthy levels of PM<sub>2.5</sub> due to a combination of natural and social variables. This study focused on three central parks of this high elevation city, investigating the spatial distribution of PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentrations. The particle pollution was then modeled using Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI). Hazardous instantaneous levels of PM<sub>2.5</sub> were consistently found on the edges of the parks along busy avenues, which are also the most frequented areas. This raises concerns about both short- and long-term exposures to toxic traffic pollution in recreational areas within urban dwellings in the global south. The NDVI model successfully predicted the spatial concentrations of PM<sub>2.5</sub> in a smaller urban park, suggesting its potential application in other cities. However, further research is required to validate its effectiveness.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":37150,"journal":{"name":"Atmospheric Environment: X","volume":"21 ","pages":"Article 100239"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590162124000066/pdfft?md5=b831268b84d8254d4555b1b834e85d18&pid=1-s2.0-S2590162124000066-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139727207","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-01-01DOI: 10.1016/j.aeaoa.2024.100240
Jianhua Liu , Xiaoxiao Niu , Lu Zhang , Xin Yang , Pengfei Zhao , Chao He
The increasingly pronounced compound pollution issue of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and surface ozone (O3) concentrations in China has exacerbated the risk of human morbidity and death. In this study, the spatial and temporal characteristics, health risks and synergistic control pathways of PM2.5–O3 compound pollution in 365 cities in China from 2015 to 2020 were investigated based on spatial statistical analysis, integrated risk index model and spatial correlation analysis. The results show that: The strict air pollution control measures lead to a sustained decrease in PM2.5 leading polluted cities and a sustained increase in clean cities during the study period. However, there is a trend of increasing (2015–2017) and then decreasing (2018–2020) in cities with compound PM2.5 and O3 pollution because of changes in volatile organic compounds (VOCs) and NOx caused by human activities. According to the exposure analysis method, the population exposed to PM2.5 dominated polluted cities declined by 471 million from 2015 to 2020; in contrast, the population living in clean cities increased by 460 million. With the intensification of PM2.5–O3 compound pollution in China, the exposure to PM2.5–O3 compound pollution urban population increases sharply from 349 million in 2015 to 622.5 million in 2018, an increase of more than 40 %; as air quality improves after 2017, the population exposed to PM2.5–O3 compound pollution gradually decreases, falling to the equivalent level in 2015 by 2020. Meanwhile, the population health risks attributed to PM2.5 pollution were reduced, whereas the population health risks attributed to PM2.5–O3 compound pollution were aggravated. From a spatial perspective, PM2.5–O3 compound pollution and health risk exacerbation regions were concentrated in northern and eastern China. In addition, we found that PM2.5 and O3 concentrations have significant synergistic trends, which are consistent with the spatial distribution of VOCs and NOx. Therefore, the establishment of a scientific early warning system for PM2.5–O3 compound pollution and the continuous and vigorous promotion of comprehensive emission reduction of NOx and VOCs are conducive to the synergistic management of PM2.5 and O3 in China.
{"title":"Exposure risk assessment and synergistic control pathway construction for O3–PM2.5 compound pollution in China","authors":"Jianhua Liu , Xiaoxiao Niu , Lu Zhang , Xin Yang , Pengfei Zhao , Chao He","doi":"10.1016/j.aeaoa.2024.100240","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.aeaoa.2024.100240","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The increasingly pronounced compound pollution issue of fine particulate matter (PM<sub>2.5</sub>) and surface ozone (O<sub>3</sub>) concentrations in China has exacerbated the risk of human morbidity and death. In this study, the spatial and temporal characteristics, health risks and synergistic control pathways of PM<sub>2.5</sub>–O<sub>3</sub> compound pollution in 365 cities in China from 2015 to 2020 were investigated based on spatial statistical analysis, integrated risk index model and spatial correlation analysis. The results show that: The strict air pollution control measures lead to a sustained decrease in PM<sub>2.5</sub> leading polluted cities and a sustained increase in clean cities during the study period. However, there is a trend of increasing (2015–2017) and then decreasing (2018–2020) in cities with compound PM<sub>2.5</sub> and O<sub>3</sub> pollution because of changes in volatile organic compounds (VOCs) and NOx caused by human activities. According to the exposure analysis method, the population exposed to PM<sub>2.5</sub> dominated polluted cities declined by 471 million from 2015 to 2020; in contrast, the population living in clean cities increased by 460 million. With the intensification of PM<sub>2.5</sub>–O<sub>3</sub> compound pollution in China, the exposure to PM<sub>2.5</sub>–O<sub>3</sub> compound pollution urban population increases sharply from 349 million in 2015 to 622.5 million in 2018, an increase of more than 40 %; as air quality improves after 2017, the population exposed to PM<sub>2.5</sub>–O<sub>3</sub> compound pollution gradually decreases, falling to the equivalent level in 2015 by 2020. Meanwhile, the population health risks attributed to PM<sub>2.5</sub> pollution were reduced, whereas the population health risks attributed to PM<sub>2.5</sub>–O<sub>3</sub> compound pollution were aggravated. From a spatial perspective, PM<sub>2.5</sub>–O<sub>3</sub> compound pollution and health risk exacerbation regions were concentrated in northern and eastern China. In addition, we found that PM<sub>2.5</sub> and O<sub>3</sub> concentrations have significant synergistic trends, which are consistent with the spatial distribution of VOCs and NOx. Therefore, the establishment of a scientific early warning system for PM<sub>2.5</sub>–O<sub>3</sub> compound pollution and the continuous and vigorous promotion of comprehensive emission reduction of NOx and VOCs are conducive to the synergistic management of PM<sub>2.5</sub> and O<sub>3</sub> in China.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":37150,"journal":{"name":"Atmospheric Environment: X","volume":"21 ","pages":"Article 100240"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590162124000078/pdfft?md5=b632de808465f90f81545d7b36afb98c&pid=1-s2.0-S2590162124000078-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139634961","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Spatial distributions of interleukin-8 (IL-8)-based relative inflammation potentials (IP) of PM2.5 from vehicle exhaust and non-exhaust emission sources in Japan are derived using the meteorology–chemistry model (NHM-Chem) and laboratory experiments. In this study, IP is first defined as multiplying PM2.5 from different emission sectors by supernatant IL-8 concentrations released using PM2.5 samples, normalized to that of particle-free controls. The simulated IP of primary exhaust particles IP(E) accounts for 3%–30% of the total vehicle IP (exhaust + non-exhaust, primary + secondary), IP(V), which is low in densely populated regions (3%–15%) and high (5%–30%) in less populated regions, because there are fewer exhaust PM2.5 emitters (diesel trucks) in more populated regions. The contribution of IP(V) to IP of the total environmental PM2.5, IP(A), varied substantially in space by approximately 3–5 times (the contributions are greater in larger cities as there is more traffic). In our estimates, IP(V) is approximately one and two orders of magnitude higher than IP(E) and IP(T), the IP of fresh tire wear particles (TWPs), respectively. IP(T) has a minor contribution to IP(V) and IP(A). Recently, however, aged TWPs have been reported to be toxic; thus, the aging process of TWPs needs to be considered in the future.
{"title":"Numerical simulation of IL-8-based relative inflammation potentials of aerosol particles from vehicle exhaust and non-exhaust emission sources in Japan","authors":"Mizuo Kajino , Satoko Kayaba , Yasuhiro Ishihara , Yoko Iwamoto , Tomoaki Okuda , Hiroshi Okochi","doi":"10.1016/j.aeaoa.2024.100237","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aeaoa.2024.100237","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Spatial distributions of interleukin-8 (IL-8)-based relative inflammation potentials (IP) of PM<sub>2.5</sub> from vehicle exhaust and non-exhaust emission sources in Japan are derived using the meteorology–chemistry model (NHM-Chem) and laboratory experiments. In this study, IP is first defined as multiplying PM<sub>2.5</sub> from different emission sectors by supernatant IL-8 concentrations released using PM<sub>2.5</sub> samples, normalized to that of particle-free controls. The simulated IP of primary exhaust particles IP(E) accounts for 3%–30% of the total vehicle IP (exhaust + non-exhaust, primary + secondary), IP(V), which is low in densely populated regions (3%–15%) and high (5%–30%) in less populated regions, because there are fewer exhaust PM<sub>2.5</sub> emitters (diesel trucks) in more populated regions. The contribution of IP(V) to IP of the total environmental PM<sub>2.5</sub>, IP(A), varied substantially in space by approximately 3–5 times (the contributions are greater in larger cities as there is more traffic). In our estimates, IP(V) is approximately one and two orders of magnitude higher than IP(E) and IP(T), the IP of fresh tire wear particles (TWPs), respectively. IP(T) has a minor contribution to IP(V) and IP(A). Recently, however, aged TWPs have been reported to be toxic; thus, the aging process of TWPs needs to be considered in the future.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":37150,"journal":{"name":"Atmospheric Environment: X","volume":"21 ","pages":"Article 100237"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590162124000042/pdfft?md5=01954f40e38063138446d301bd284f4b&pid=1-s2.0-S2590162124000042-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139549351","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}