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Benefit Evaluation of Carbon Reduction and Loss Reduction under a Coordinated Transportation–Electricity Network 交通-电力协调网络下的减碳和降损效益评估
IF 2.3 Q2 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2024-01-10 DOI: 10.3390/wevj15010024
Haiyun An, Qian Zhou, Yongyong Jia, Zhe Chen, Bingcheng Cen, Tong Zhu, Huiyun Li, Yifei Wang
With the extensive promotion of new energy vehicles, the number of electric vehicles (EVs) in China has increased rapidly. Electric vehicles are densely parked in garages, which means parking garages contain a large amount of idle energy storage resources. How to make this idle energy storage in garages participate in power system dispatch and evaluate the network loss and system carbon emissions considering electric vehicle energy storage has become an important research topic. The uncertainty around parking habits for electric vehicles causes it to be difficult to predict compared with the traditional energy storage system. Therefore, it is necessary to study its influence on the synergistic effect of loss reduction and carbon reduction as energy storage access. The benefits of new energy power generation output growth, energy waste reduction, and carbon emission reduction brought by loss reduction measures can be well reflected in the loss reduction index system of a power system in a low-carbon scenario. In this paper, a large amount of parking information in a certain area is collected, and the approximate parking habits of all vehicles in the simulated garage are obtained by the Monte Carlo method. Then, the load aggregation model is established, which is incorporated into the power system as an energy storage model. The synergy of loss reduction and carbon reduction is considered in this paper and comprehensively optimizes the strategy of integrating electric vehicles into the power system from the perspectives of electricity and carbon. In the scenarios of carbon flow calculation and network loss calculation, the YALMIP and CPLEX of MATLAB are applied, with various constraints input for simulation, so that the benefit evaluation method of carbon reduction and loss reduction under a coordinated transportation–electricity network is obtained.
随着新能源汽车的广泛推广,中国的电动汽车(EV)数量迅速增加。电动汽车密集停放在车库中,这意味着车库中蕴藏着大量的闲置储能资源。如何让车库中的闲置储能参与电力系统调度,并评估考虑电动汽车储能的网络损耗和系统碳排放,已成为一个重要的研究课题。与传统储能系统相比,电动汽车停车习惯的不确定性导致其难以预测。因此,有必要研究其对储能接入的降损减碳协同效应的影响。降损措施带来的新能源发电量增长、能源浪费减少、碳排放降低等效益,可以很好地体现在低碳情景下电力系统的降损指标体系中。本文收集了一定区域内的大量停车信息,通过蒙特卡洛方法得到了模拟车库中所有车辆的大致停车习惯。然后,建立负荷聚合模型,将其作为储能模型纳入电力系统。本文考虑了减损和减碳的协同作用,从电力和碳的角度全面优化了将电动汽车纳入电力系统的策略。在碳流量计算和网损计算场景中,应用 MATLAB 的 YALMIP 和 CPLEX,输入各种约束条件进行仿真,从而得到交通-电力协调网络下的减碳和减损效益评价方法。
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引用次数: 0
Parameter Compensation for the Predictive Control System of a Permanent Magnet Synchronous Motor Based on Bacterial Foraging Optimization Algorithm 基于细菌觅食优化算法的永磁同步电机预测控制系统参数补偿
IF 2.3 Q2 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2024-01-09 DOI: 10.3390/wevj15010023
Jiali Yang, Yanxia Shen, Yongqiang Tan
The accurate identification of permanent magnet synchronous motor (PMSM) parameters is the foundation for high-performance driving in predictive control systems. The traditional PMSM multi-parameter identification method suffers from insufficient rank of the identification equation and is prone to getting stuck in local optimal solutions. This article combines the bacterial foraging optimization algorithm (BFOA) to establish a built-in PMSM predictive control parameter compensation model. Firstly, we analyzed the reasons why the distortion of PMSM motor parameters affects the actual speed and calculated the deviation of d-axis and q-axis currents caused by the distortion. Secondly, parameter compensation was applied to the prediction model, and BFOA was combined to optimize the compensation parameters. This algorithm does not use the traditional voltage equation as the fitness function but instead uses a brand-new set of four equations for parameter iteration optimization. The optimized compensation parameters can reduce current deviation and improve the robustness of the PMSM predictive control system. The proposed model can cover four kinds of motor distortion parameters, including stator resistance, D-axis inductance, Q-axis inductance, and permanent magnet flux linkage. Finally, the traditional PMSM predictive control model is compared with the predictive control model combined with BFOA. The simulation results show that the dynamic and static performance of the compensated system is improved when single or multiple parameters are distorted.
永磁同步电机(PMSM)参数的精确识别是预测控制系统实现高性能驱动的基础。传统的 PMSM 多参数识别方法存在识别方程秩不够的问题,容易陷入局部最优解。本文结合细菌觅食优化算法(BFOA),建立了内置的 PMSM 预测控制参数补偿模型。首先,分析了 PMSM 电机参数失真影响实际转速的原因,并计算了失真引起的 d 轴和 q 轴电流偏差。其次,对预测模型进行参数补偿,并结合 BFOA 对补偿参数进行优化。该算法不使用传统的电压方程作为拟合函数,而是使用全新的四方程组进行参数迭代优化。优化后的补偿参数可以降低电流偏差,提高 PMSM 预测控制系统的鲁棒性。所提出的模型可涵盖四种电机畸变参数,包括定子电阻、D 轴电感、Q 轴电感和永磁磁通联结。最后,比较了传统的 PMSM 预测控制模型和结合 BFOA 的预测控制模型。仿真结果表明,当单个或多个参数失真时,补偿系统的动态和静态性能都得到了改善。
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引用次数: 0
Subcooled Liquid Hydrogen Technology for Heavy-Duty Trucks 用于重型卡车的过冷液氢技术
IF 2.3 Q2 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2024-01-08 DOI: 10.3390/wevj15010022
Enrico Pizzutilo, Thomas Acher, Benjamin Reuter, Christian Will, Simon Schäfer
Subcooled liquid hydrogen (sLH2) is an onboard storage, as well as a hydrogen refueling technology that is currently being developed by Daimler Truck and Linde to boost the mileage of heavy-duty trucks, while also improving performance and reducing the complexity of hydrogen refueling stations. In this article, the key technical aspects, advantages, challenges and future developments of sLH2 at vehicle and infrastructure levels will be explored and highlighted.
过冷液氢(sLH2)是一种车载储氢技术,也是戴姆勒卡车公司和林德公司目前正在开发的一种加氢技术,可提高重型卡车的续驶里程,同时还能改善性能并降低加氢站的复杂性。本文将探讨并重点介绍 sLH2 在车辆和基础设施层面的关键技术、优势、挑战和未来发展。
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引用次数: 0
Time-Sensitive Network Simulation for In-Vehicle Ethernet Using SARSA Algorithm 使用 SARSA 算法对车载以太网进行时间敏感型网络模拟
IF 2.3 Q2 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2024-01-08 DOI: 10.3390/wevj15010021
Chen Huang, Yiqi Wang, Yuxin Zhang
In order to more accurately analyze the problem of time delay simulation and calculation in the time-sensitive network (TSN) of vehicular Ethernet, a TSN reservation class data delay analysis model improved based on the State–Action–Reward–State–Action (SARSA) reinforcement learning algorithm is proposed. Firstly, the TSN data queue forwarding delay model and reservation class data delay analysis intelligent body model are established, then the TSN traffic scheduling mechanism is improved by the SARSA reinforcement learning algorithm, and the improved TSN network reservation class data analysis model is established for the uncertainty of traffic scheduling in the network; finally, the fitting performance of the proposed method is verified by simulation and experimental validation. The results show that the deviation between the two is less than 5% under different BE loads, i.e., the established reservation class data delay analysis model is able to correctly fit the scheduling mechanism of the vehicle-mounted TSN network, which proves the reasonableness of the model simulation.
为了更准确地分析车载以太网时敏网络(TSN)中的时延模拟计算问题,提出了基于状态-行动-奖励-状态-行动(SARSA)强化学习算法改进的TSN预约类数据时延分析模型。首先建立了TSN数据队列转发时延模型和预约类数据时延分析智能体模型,然后利用SARSA强化学习算法改进了TSN流量调度机制,针对网络中流量调度的不确定性建立了改进后的TSN网络预约类数据分析模型;最后通过仿真和实验验证了所提方法的拟合性能。结果表明,在不同BE负载下,二者的偏差小于5%,即建立的预约类数据延迟分析模型能够正确拟合车载TSN网络的调度机制,证明了模型模拟的合理性。
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引用次数: 0
Emerging Trends in Autonomous Vehicle Perception: Multimodal Fusion for 3D Object Detection 自动驾驶汽车感知领域的新趋势:三维物体检测的多模态融合
IF 2.3 Q2 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2024-01-07 DOI: 10.3390/wevj15010020
S. Y. Alaba, Ali C. Gurbuz, John E. Ball
The pursuit of autonomous driving relies on developing perception systems capable of making accurate, robust, and rapid decisions to interpret the driving environment effectively. Object detection is crucial for understanding the environment at these systems’ core. While 2D object detection and classification have advanced significantly with the advent of deep learning (DL) in computer vision (CV) applications, they fall short in providing essential depth information, a key element in comprehending driving environments. Consequently, 3D object detection becomes a cornerstone for autonomous driving and robotics, offering precise estimations of object locations and enhancing environmental comprehension. The CV community’s growing interest in 3D object detection is fueled by the evolution of DL models, including Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) and Transformer networks. Despite these advancements, challenges such as varying object scales, limited 3D sensor data, and occlusions persist in 3D object detection. To address these challenges, researchers are exploring multimodal techniques that combine information from multiple sensors, such as cameras, radar, and LiDAR, to enhance the performance of perception systems. This survey provides an exhaustive review of multimodal fusion-based 3D object detection methods, focusing on CNN and Transformer-based models. It underscores the necessity of equipping fully autonomous vehicles with diverse sensors to ensure robust and reliable operation. The survey explores the advantages and drawbacks of cameras, LiDAR, and radar sensors. Additionally, it summarizes autonomy datasets and examines the latest advancements in multimodal fusion-based methods. The survey concludes by highlighting the ongoing challenges, open issues, and potential directions for future research.
对自动驾驶的追求有赖于开发能够做出准确、稳健和快速决策的感知系统,以有效解释驾驶环境。物体检测是这些系统了解环境的核心。随着计算机视觉(CV)应用中深度学习(DL)技术的出现,2D 物体检测和分类技术取得了长足的进步,但它们在提供必要的深度信息(理解驾驶环境的关键因素)方面仍有不足。因此,三维物体检测已成为自动驾驶和机器人技术的基石,可提供物体位置的精确估算并增强环境理解能力。随着卷积神经网络(CNN)和变压器网络等 DL 模型的发展,CV 界对 3D 物体检测的兴趣与日俱增。尽管取得了这些进步,但三维物体检测仍面临着各种挑战,如不同的物体尺度、有限的三维传感器数据和遮挡物。为了应对这些挑战,研究人员正在探索多模态技术,将摄像头、雷达和激光雷达等多个传感器的信息结合起来,以提高感知系统的性能。本调查详尽评述了基于多模态融合的三维物体检测方法,重点关注基于 CNN 和 Transformer 的模型。它强调了为全自动驾驶车辆配备多种传感器以确保其稳健可靠运行的必要性。调查探讨了摄像头、激光雷达和雷达传感器的优缺点。此外,调查还总结了自动驾驶数据集,并研究了基于多模态融合方法的最新进展。调查报告最后强调了当前面临的挑战、有待解决的问题以及未来研究的潜在方向。
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引用次数: 0
Advancements in Electric Vehicle PCB Inspection: Application of Multi-Scale CBAM, Partial Convolution, and NWD Loss in YOLOv5 电动汽车 PCB 检测的进展:多尺度 CBAM、部分卷积和 NWD Loss 在 YOLOv5 中的应用
IF 2.3 Q2 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2024-01-03 DOI: 10.3390/wevj15010015
Hanlin Xu, Li Wang, Feng Chen
In the rapidly evolving electric vehicle industry, the reliability of electronic systems is critical to ensuring vehicle safety and performance. Printed circuit boards (PCBs), serving as a cornerstone in these systems, necessitate efficient and accurate surface defect detection. Traditional PCB surface defect detection methods, like basic image processing and manual inspection, are inefficient and error-prone, especially for complex, minute, or irregular defects. Addressing this issue, this study introduces a technology based on the YOLOv5 network structure. By integrating the Convolutional Block Attention Module (CBAM), the model’s capability in recognizing intricate and small defects is enhanced. Further, partial convolution (PConv) replaces traditional convolution for more effective spatial feature extraction and reduced redundant computation. In the network’s final stage, multi-scale defect detection is implemented. Additionally, the normalized Wasserstein distance (NWD) loss function is introduced, considering relationships between different categories, thereby effectively solving class imbalance and multi-scale defect detection issues. Training and validation on a public PCB dataset showed the model’s superior detection accuracy and reduced false detection rate compared to traditional methods. Real-time monitoring results confirm the model’s ability to accurately detect various types and sizes of PCB surface defects, satisfying the real-time detection needs of electric vehicle production lines and providing crucial technical support for electric vehicle reliability.
在快速发展的电动汽车行业,电子系统的可靠性对于确保汽车的安全和性能至关重要。印刷电路板(PCB)作为这些系统的基石,需要高效准确的表面缺陷检测。传统的印刷电路板表面缺陷检测方法,如基本图像处理和人工检测,效率低下且容易出错,尤其是对于复杂、微小或不规则的缺陷。针对这一问题,本研究引入了一种基于 YOLOv5 网络结构的技术。通过整合卷积块注意模块(CBAM),该模型识别复杂和微小缺陷的能力得到了增强。此外,部分卷积(PConv)取代了传统的卷积,从而实现了更有效的空间特征提取并减少了冗余计算。在网络的最后阶段,实现了多尺度缺陷检测。此外,考虑到不同类别之间的关系,还引入了归一化瓦瑟斯坦距离(NWD)损失函数,从而有效解决了类别不平衡和多尺度缺陷检测问题。在公共印刷电路板数据集上进行的训练和验证表明,与传统方法相比,该模型的检测精度更高,误检率更低。实时监测结果证实了该模型能够准确检测出各种类型和尺寸的印刷电路板表面缺陷,满足了电动汽车生产线的实时检测需求,为电动汽车的可靠性提供了重要的技术支持。
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引用次数: 0
Prospects of Passenger Vehicles in China to Meet Dual Carbon Goals and Bottleneck of Critical Materials from a Fleet Evolution Perspective 从车队演变角度看中国乘用车实现双碳目标的前景和关键材料的瓶颈
IF 2.3 Q2 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2024-01-02 DOI: 10.3390/wevj15010014
Rujie Yu, Longze Cong, Yaoming Li, Chunjia Ran, Dongchang Zhao, Ping Li
China has pledged to peak its CO2 emissions by 2030 and achieve carbon neutrality by 2060. To meet these goals, China needs to accelerate the electrification of passenger vehicles. However, the rapid development of electric vehicles may impact the supply of critical raw materials, which may hinder the low-carbon transition. Therefore, the impact of vehicle electrification on CO2 emissions and the corresponding bottlenecks in the supply of critical raw materials should be systematically considered. In this study, we developed the China Automotive Fleet CO2 Model (CAFCM) to simulate a mixed-technology passenger vehicle fleet evolution. We further assessed the impact of energy and CO2 emissions and evaluated the demand for critical battery materials. We designed three scenarios with different powertrain type penetration rates to depict the potential uncertainty. The results showed that (1) the CO2 emissions of passenger vehicles in both the operation stage and the fuel cycle can peak before 2030; (2) achieving the dual carbon goals will lead to a rapid increase in the demand for critical raw materials for batteries and lead to potential supply risks, especially for cobalt, with the cumulative demand for cobalt for new energy passenger vehicles in China being 5.7 to 7.3 times larger than China’s total cobalt reserves; and (3) the potential amount of critical material recycled from retired power batteries will rapidly increase but will not be able to substantially alleviate the demand for critical materials before 2035. China’s new energy vehicle promotion policies and key resource supply risks must be systematically coordinated under the dual carbon goals.
中国已承诺到 2030 年二氧化碳排放量达到峰值,到 2060 年实现碳中和。为了实现这些目标,中国需要加快乘用车的电气化进程。然而,电动汽车的快速发展可能会影响关键原材料的供应,从而阻碍低碳转型。因此,应系统考虑汽车电气化对二氧化碳排放的影响以及相应的关键原材料供应瓶颈。在本研究中,我们开发了中国汽车二氧化碳排放模型(CAFCM)来模拟混合技术乘用车的演变。我们进一步评估了能源和二氧化碳排放的影响,并评估了对关键电池材料的需求。我们设计了三种不同动力总成渗透率的情景,以描述潜在的不确定性。结果表明:(1) 乘用车在运行阶段和燃料循环阶段的二氧化碳排放量均可在 2030 年前达到峰值;(2) 双碳目标的实现将导致对电池关键原材料需求的快速增长,并引发潜在的供应风险,尤其是钴的供应风险,中国新能源乘用车对钴的累计需求量将是其需求量的 5.7-7.3 倍。中国新能源乘用车对钴的累计需求量是中国钴总储量的 5.7-7.3 倍;(3)从退役动力电池中回收的关键材料的潜在数量将迅速增加,但无法在 2035 年前大幅缓解对关键材料的需求。在双碳目标下,中国的新能源汽车推广政策和关键资源供应风险必须系统协调。
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引用次数: 0
Utilizing Probabilistic Maps and Unscented-Kalman-Filtering-Based Sensor Fusion for Real-Time Monte Carlo Localization 利用基于概率图和非增益卡尔曼滤波的传感器融合技术进行实时蒙特卡洛定位
IF 2.3 Q2 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2023-12-21 DOI: 10.3390/wevj15010005
Wael A. Farag, Julien Moussa H. Barakat
An autonomous car must know where it is with high precision in order to maneuver safely and reliably in both urban and highway environments. Thus, in this paper, a reliable and relatively precise position estimation (localization) technique for autonomous vehicles is proposed and implemented. In dealing with the obtained sensory data or given knowledge about the vehicle’s surroundings, the proposed method takes a probabilistic approach. In this approach, the involved probability densities are expressed by keeping a collection of samples selected at random from them (Monte Carlo simulation). Consequently, this Monte Carlo sampling allows the resultant position estimates to be represented with any arbitrary distribution, not only a Gaussian one. The selected technique to implement this Monte-Carlo-based localization is Bayesian filtering with particle-based density representations (i.e., particle filters). The employed particle filter receives the surrounding object ranges from a carefully tuned Unscented Kalman Filter (UKF) that is used to fuse radar and lidar sensory readings. The sensory readings are used to detect pole-like static objects in the egocar’s surroundings and compare them to the ones that exist in a supplied detailed reference map that contains pole-like landmarks that are produced offline and extracted from a 3D lidar scan. Comprehensive simulation tests were conducted to evaluate the outcome of the proposed technique in both lateral and longitudinal localization. The results show that the proposed technique outperforms the other techniques in terms of smaller lateral and longitudinal mean position errors.
自动驾驶汽车必须高精度地知道自己的位置,才能在城市和高速公路环境中安全可靠地行驶。因此,本文提出并实现了一种用于自动驾驶汽车的可靠且相对精确的位置估计(定位)技术。在处理获得的感知数据或给定的车辆周围环境知识时,所提出的方法采用了概率方法。在这种方法中,所涉及的概率密度是通过保留从中随机选择的样本集合(蒙特卡罗模拟)来表示的。因此,这种蒙特卡罗采样允许用任何任意分布来表示位置估计结果,而不仅仅是高斯分布。为实现这种基于蒙特卡洛的定位,所选择的技术是基于粒子密度表示的贝叶斯滤波(即粒子滤波器)。所采用的粒子滤波器从经过仔细调整的无香料卡尔曼滤波器(UKF)接收周围物体的范围,该滤波器用于融合雷达和激光雷达的感测读数。感官读数用于检测电子定位仪周围的杆状静态物体,并将其与提供的详细参考地图中的物体进行比较,参考地图中包含离线生成并从三维激光雷达扫描中提取的杆状地标。为了评估所提出的技术在横向和纵向定位方面的效果,我们进行了全面的模拟测试。结果表明,所提出的技术在横向和纵向平均位置误差较小方面优于其他技术。
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引用次数: 0
Combined Electromagnetic and Mechanical Design Optimization of Interior Permanent Magnet Rotors for Electric Vehicle Drivetrains 电动汽车动力传动系统内部永磁转子的电磁和机械组合优化设计
IF 2.3 Q2 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2023-12-21 DOI: 10.3390/wevj15010004
Guanhua Zhang, G. W. Jewell
In many high-speed electrical machines, centrifugal forces within the rotor can be first-order constraints on electromagnetic optimization. This can be particularly acute in interior permanent magnet (IPM) machines in which magnets are usually retained entirely by the rotor core with no additional mechanical containment. This study investigates the nature of the trade-off between mechanical and electromagnetic requirements within the context of an eight-pole, 100 kW IPM machine with a base speed of 4000 rpm and an extended speed range up to 12,000 rpm. A series of mechanical and electromagnetic models are used to estimate the level of shaft interference, mechanical stress in critical regions of the rotor and the impact of various features and dimensions within the machine on electromagnetic torque. A systematic exploration of the design space is undertaken for rotor diameters from 120 mm to 180 mm, with optimal designs in terms of torque per unit length established at each diameter while meeting the constraints imposed on mechanical stress. The final preferred design has a rotor of 165 mm and an axial length of 103 mm long with a fractional slot winding in a 30-slot stator. The overall machine has an active mass of 42.3 kg, which corresponds to ~2.4 kW/kg. This paper describes the optimization study in detail and draws on the results to explore the nature of the design trade-offs in such rotors and the impact of core properties.
在许多高速电机中,转子内的离心力会对电磁优化产生一阶限制。这一点在内部永磁(IPM)机器中尤为突出,在这种机器中,磁铁通常完全由转子铁芯固定,没有额外的机械约束。本研究以一台基础转速为 4000 rpm、扩展转速范围可达 12000 rpm 的八极 100 kW IPM 机器为背景,探讨了机械和电磁要求之间的权衡性质。一系列机械和电磁模型用于估算轴干扰程度、转子关键区域的机械应力以及机器内部各种特征和尺寸对电磁扭矩的影响。对转子直径从 120 毫米到 180 毫米的设计空间进行了系统探索,在满足机械应力限制的前提下,确定了每种直径下单位长度转矩的最佳设计。最终优选设计的转子直径为 165 毫米,轴向长度为 103 毫米,在 30 个槽的定子中采用分数槽绕组。整个机器的有效质量为 42.3 千克,相当于 ~2.4 千瓦/千克。本文详细介绍了优化研究,并利用研究结果探讨了此类转子的设计权衡性质以及铁芯特性的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Examination of the Factors Influencing the Electric Vehicle Accident Size in Norway (2020–2021) 研究影响挪威电动汽车事故规模的因素(2020-2021年)
IF 2.3 Q2 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2023-12-20 DOI: 10.3390/wevj15010003
Xuerui Hou, Meiling Su, Chenhui Liu, Ying Li, Qinglu Ma
With the great increase of electric vehicles (EVs) in the past decade, EV-involved traffic accidents have also been increasing quickly in many countries, bringing many new traffic safety challenges. Norway has the largest EV penetration rate in the world. Using the EV accident data from Norway in 2020 and 2021, this study aims to investigate the features of EV safety comprehensively. Firstly, a descriptive analysis is conducted. It has been found that rear-end collisions are the major collision type of EVs, and EVs are very likely to collide with pedestrians/cyclists. In addition, in terms of roadway type, EV accidents mainly occur on medium- and low-speed roads; in terms of environment, they mainly occur in good visibility conditions and dry road surface conditions. Then, a regression analysis is conducted to identify the key factors affecting the accident size, which is the number of traffic units involved in an accident and taken as the accident severity surrogate here. Since EV accidents are divided into four categories in order of accident size, the ordered logit model is adopted. It divides a multi-categorical dependent variable into multiple binary data points in order and calculates the probability of the dependent variable falling into each category with the logit model, respectively. The estimation results indicate that time of day, speed limit, and presence of medians have statistically significant impacts on the EV accident size. Finally, some countermeasures to prevent EV accidents are proposed based on the research results.
过去十年来,随着电动汽车(EV)的大幅增加,在许多国家,涉及电动汽车的交通事故也迅速增加,带来了许多新的交通安全挑战。挪威是世界上电动汽车普及率最高的国家。本研究利用挪威2020年和2021年的电动汽车事故数据,旨在全面研究电动汽车安全的特点。首先,进行描述性分析。研究发现,追尾碰撞是电动汽车的主要碰撞类型,电动汽车极易与行人/骑自行车者发生碰撞。此外,从道路类型来看,电动车事故主要发生在中低速道路上;从环境来看,电动车事故主要发生在能见度良好和路面干燥的条件下。然后,进行回归分析,找出影响事故规模的关键因素。事故规模是指事故涉及的交通单位数量,在此作为事故严重程度的代用指标。由于电动车事故按事故规模大小分为四类,因此采用了有序对数模型。它将一个多类别因变量依次划分为多个二进制数据点,并分别用 logit 模型计算因变量落入每个类别的概率。估计结果表明,一天中的时间、车速限制和中间线的存在对电动车事故规模有显著的统计学影响。最后,根据研究结果提出了一些预防电动车事故的对策。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
World Electric Vehicle Journal
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