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Recent Upsurge in Sectarianism in Pakistan : Understanding the Sunni-Shia Divide as a Case-study of Inter-Group Rivalry and the Role of Ultra-Right Parties 最近巴基斯坦宗派主义的高涨:理解逊尼派和什叶派的分裂,作为团体间竞争和极右翼政党作用的案例研究
IF 0.1 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.31945/iprij.210207
Maheen Ahmad
There is a heightened concern in Pakistan over the rise of violent sectarianism, which has been pitting certain sections of denominational groups against each other, often assuming violent proportions. At the forefront of this renewed phase with a strong antiShia sentiment is the role of hate-spewing divisive elements, more specifically ultra-right elements that are exacerbating an exaggerated division between Sunni and Shia Muslims for their own political motives. If their momentum is sustained, then the risk is that they can further radicalize the mainstream and lodge one group against the other, putting them in a perpetual state of animosity, whereby Pakistani citizens may experience intense and implosive antagonism. This paper attempts to explain this emerging scenario in the light of theoretical frameworks of social and cognitive psychology underpinning inter-group dynamics and offers certain lessons from the erstwhile Hutu/Tutsi divide in the Rwandan Genocide of the 1990s.
巴基斯坦对暴力宗派主义的兴起更加担忧,这种宗派主义使教派团体的某些部分相互对立,往往具有暴力的程度。在这一具有强烈反什叶派情绪的新阶段的最前沿,是煽动仇恨的分裂分子的作用,更具体地说,是极右翼分子,他们出于自己的政治动机,加剧了逊尼派和什叶派穆斯林之间的过度分裂。如果他们的势头持续下去,那么他们就有可能进一步激进化主流,让一个群体与另一个群体对立,使他们永远处于敌对状态,巴基斯坦公民可能会经历激烈的内爆对抗。本文试图根据支撑群体间动态的社会和认知心理学理论框架来解释这一新兴场景,并从20世纪90年代卢旺达种族灭绝中的胡图族/图西族分裂中提供一些教训。
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引用次数: 0
Indian Naval Modernization and its Implications for Pakistan 印度海军现代化及其对巴基斯坦的启示
IF 0.1 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.31945/iprij.210203
Saif-ul-Haq
Modernization of armed forces is a way to assert national power beyond geographical boundaries. India envisions itself as a regional hegemon. Indian Ocean Region (IOR) has remained close to the hearts and minds of the Indian statesmen. With the growing volume of sea trade, Indian Navy finds greater share in the national security projection. Indian Navy has embarked upon an effective modernization plan to upgrade its combat power. This modernization drive is raising grave security concerns for other littoral countries in the region. Since the Independence, Pakistan has faced the Indian belligerence on all fronts. Conventional asymmetry and actionreaction syndrome largely governs Indo-Pak Naval relationship. Indian Maritime Doctrine encourages Indian Navy to pursue offensive actions to dictate terms of conflict. Indian offensive actions are adversely impacting strategic stability in the region. This paper endeavors to examine the impact of Indian Naval modernization on Pakistan and gives suggestions about the challenges and opportunities for Pakistan.
军队现代化是超越地理界限维护国家力量的一种方式。印度把自己想象成地区霸主。印度洋地区(IOR)一直是印度政治家的心头之物。随着海上贸易量的增长,印度海军在国家安全规划中占有更大的份额。印度海军已经着手实施一项有效的现代化计划,以提升其战斗力。中国的现代化建设引起了本地区其他沿岸国的严重安全关切。自独立以来,巴基斯坦在各方面都面临着印度的好战。传统的不对称和反作用综合症在很大程度上支配着印巴海军关系。印度海军学说鼓励印度海军采取进攻性行动来决定冲突的条件。印度的进攻行动对该地区的战略稳定产生了不利影响。本文试图考察印度海军现代化对巴基斯坦的影响,并就巴基斯坦面临的挑战和机遇提出建议。
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引用次数: 0
The Challenge of Regional Connectivity in Central, South and West Asia 中亚、南亚和西亚地区互联互通的挑战
IF 0.1 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2021-06-30 DOI: 10.31945/iprij.210105
Moonis Ahmar
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引用次数: 0
Impact of Corruption on Economic Growth: Evidence from Asian Countries 腐败对经济增长的影响:来自亚洲国家的证据
IF 0.1 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2021-06-30 DOI: 10.31945/iprij.210102
Muhammad Zubair Mumtaz, Z. Smith
Previous literature argues that corruption hampers economic performance. Moreover, there is limited literature available on the interaction between corruption, government spending, and its effect on the overall economic taxonomy in Asia. This study employs the use of various classifications of government expenses and then analyses their impact on economic performance using different measures of corruption. The findings provide evidence that corruption has an inverse effect on military spending but concurrently it has an indirect and negative impact on economic activity within a country. This study also contrasts the findings of corruption and economic growth in Asian and African countries reporting that a higher level of corruption is deterring economic growth for Asian economies. The policy implications suggest that the association between corruption and economic growth is worsening in countries that utilise excessive government expenditures. Hence it is imperative that states monitor their government spending more closely to eliminate the corrupt practices.
先前的文献认为,腐败阻碍了经济表现。此外,关于腐败、政府支出及其对亚洲整体经济分类的影响之间的相互作用的文献有限。本研究采用不同的政府支出分类,然后使用不同的腐败指标分析其对经济绩效的影响。调查结果提供的证据表明,腐败对军事开支有相反的影响,但同时它对一个国家的经济活动也有间接的负面影响。该研究还对比了亚洲和非洲国家的腐败和经济增长的结果,报告称,较高的腐败水平阻碍了亚洲经济体的经济增长。政策含义表明,在过度利用政府支出的国家,腐败与经济增长之间的关系正在恶化。因此,各国必须更密切地监督政府支出,以消除腐败行为。
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引用次数: 0
A Comparative Analysis of the Environmental Policies in China and Pakistan: Developing a Legal Regime for Sustainable China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) under the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) 中巴环境政策比较分析:“一带一路”倡议倡议下中巴经济走廊可持续发展的法律制度
IF 0.1 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2021-06-30 DOI: 10.31945/iprij.210104
M. Butt, Yen-Chiang Chang, Khadija Zulfiqar
Recent studies reflect that the legal regime of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) is one of the crucial gateways of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). It is somehow replete with multiple environmental perplexities. Environmental quandary is expected in the BRI's development projects. This turns it into a main reason behind a recent shift in China's environmental policies owing to international commitments. The broader prospects involved offer a larger role in the international organisations. In accordance with the global environmental policy transformation, China integrates climate change as a new science with terrestrial and marine ecosystems. In the development of CPEC projects, there are lessons to be learnt by Pakistan also. It needs to integrate its environmental policies to refine its international status and maintain itself as a sustainable and principal partner of China's BRI. This study explores the inadequacies in * M. Jahanzeb Butt is a PhD Scholar, School of Law, Dalian Maritime University, China. ** Yen Chiang Chang is Professor of International Law, School of Law, Dalian Maritime University, China. ***Khadija Zulfiqar is a PhD Scholar, School of Law, Dalian Maritime University, China. ___________________ @2021 by the Islamabad Policy Research Institute. IPRI Journal XXI (1): 83-122 https://doi.org/10.31945/iprij.210104 M Jahanzeb Butt, Yen Chiang Chang & Khadija Zulfiqar 2 IPRI JOURNAL  2021 Pakistan's existing environmental policy while comparing it with the Chinese counterpart, and Chinese environmental policy shift, which is being implemented on CPEC and BRI projects.
最近的研究表明,中巴经济走廊的法律制度是“一带一路”倡议倡议的重要门户之一。不知何故,这里充满了多重环境困惑。预计“一带一路”倡议的发展项目将面临环境困境。这就成为中国最近因国际承诺而改变环境政策的主要原因。所涉及的更广阔的前景为国际组织提供了更大的作用。根据全球环境政策的转变,中国将气候变化作为一门新科学与陆地和海洋生态系统相结合。在CPEC项目的发展过程中,巴基斯坦也可以吸取教训。它需要整合其环境政策,以提高其国际地位,并保持其作为中国“一带一路”倡议可持续发展的主要合作伙伴的地位。本研究探讨了中国大连海事大学法学院博士学者M.Jahanzeb Butt的不足之处。**严江昌,中国大连海事大学法学院国际法教授***Khadija Zulfiqar是中国大连海事大学法学院的博士学者。___________________@伊斯兰堡政策研究所2021年。IPRI期刊XXI(1):83-122https://doi.org/10.31945/iprij.210104M Jahanzeb Butt,Yen Chiang Chang和Khadija Zulfiqar 2 IPRI期刊 2021年巴基斯坦现有的环境政策,同时将其与中国的环境政策进行比较,以及中国正在CPEC和BRI项目中实施的环境政策转变。
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引用次数: 7
Hypersonic Weapons in South Asia: Implications for Strategic Stability 南亚的高超音速武器:对战略稳定的影响
IF 0.1 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2021-06-30 DOI: 10.31945/iprij.210103
A. Sultan, Itfa Khursheed
The development of new technologies and their use for military means has narrowed the gap between the technologically advanced and less developed countries. This may have disturbed the traditional balance of power with greater prospects of conflict between states with asymmetric military potential, besides increasing the risks of conventional and nuclear entanglement. The dangers are more pronounced in South Asia where growing conventional disparity coupled with new war fighting doctrines continue to strain strategic stability, thus making it imperative for the other side to strengthen its ‘cross domain’ deterrence posture. India’s recent test of Hypersonic Technology Demonstrator Vehicle (HSTDV), which apparently aims to build its credentials of a technologically advanced country; once operationalised, would proffer an option of a preemptive conventional counterforce strike against Pakistan’s short range ballistic missiles (SRBMs) – to deter Pakistan from the early deployment of its SRBMs and to create space for India’s limited war fighting doctrine of ‘Cold Start.’ In response, Pakistan is likely to develop countermeasures that could ensure the integrity of its Full Spectrum Deterrence (FSD) posture. This action-reaction syndrome could trigger a new arms race with increased risks of miscalculation in a future military crisis between the two nuclear armed states. This paper aims to discuss * Dr Adil Sultan is a Director Nuclear and Strategic Affairs at Centre for Aerospace and Security Studies (CASS) **Ms Itfa Khursheed is a researcher at CASS, Islamabad _____________________ @2021 by the Islamabad Policy Research Institute. IPRI Journal XXI (1): 61-81 https://doi.org/10.31945/iprij.210103 Dr. Adil Sultan and Itfa Khursheed 2 IPRI JOURNAL  2021 the ongoing global developments in the field of hypersonic weapons; its implications for strategic stability in South Asia; and Pakistan’s likely
新技术的发展及其用于军事手段缩小了技术先进国家和技术不发达国家之间的差距。这可能扰乱了传统的力量平衡,具有不对称军事潜力的国家之间更有可能发生冲突,此外还增加了常规和核纠缠的风险。在南亚,这种危险更加明显,在那里,日益扩大的常规差距加上新的作战理论继续破坏战略稳定,因此,另一方必须加强其“跨域”威慑态势。印度最近测试了高超音速技术验证飞行器(HSTDV),其目的显然是建立其技术先进国家的证书;一旦投入使用,将为巴基斯坦的短程弹道导弹(srbm)提供先发制人的常规反力量打击的选择,以阻止巴基斯坦早期部署其srbm,并为印度的“冷启动”有限作战理论创造空间。作为回应,巴基斯坦可能会制定对策,以确保其全方位威慑(FSD)姿态的完整性。这种行动-反应综合症可能引发新的军备竞赛,增加两个核国家在未来军事危机中误判的风险。本文旨在讨论* Adil Sultan博士是航空航天与安全研究中心(CASS)核与战略事务主任** Itfa Khursheed女士是伊斯兰堡政策研究所驻伊斯兰堡CASS研究员_____________________ @2021。IPRI Journal XXI (1): 61-81 https://doi.org/10.31945/iprij.210103 Adil Sultan和Itfa Khursheed博士2 IPRI Journal 2021高超音速武器领域的持续全球发展;对南亚战略稳定的影响;巴基斯坦很可能
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引用次数: 0
China’s Belt and Road Initiative in South Asia and beyond: Apprehensions, Risks and Opportunities 中国“一带一路”倡议倡议在南亚及其他地区的启示、风险与机遇
IF 0.1 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2020-12-31 DOI: 10.31945/iprij.20002
Murad Ali
Since its official launching in 2013, China’s transcontinental Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) has remained under significant focus in media, policy think-tanks and academia around the world. While some countries view China as a major development partner under the BRI, others are apprehensive of the rising role of Beijing. Drawing on policy documents, reports of national and international organizations and available literature on the subject, this paper aims at unpacking two main aspects of the BRI; the socio-economic prospects as well as geopolitical implications of the BRI for major South Asian countries where China is emerging as an important development actor. Second, response of the major global powers and actors in Europe, Africa and Central Asia, such as, key South Asian countries Pakistan and India. Their key expectations as well as reservations are also of major concern. The paper argues that unprecedented Chinese investment under the BRI in these regions has not only huge socio-economic potentials but it also has geopolitical and security implications (as in the case of Pakistan-India relations in South Asia). The paper concludes that for harvesting true potential of the BRI through new vistas of trade and connectivity for participating nations, China should work more closely with countries having antagonistic stance towards the BRI and should take measures to ensure international norms and inclusiveness of the initiative.
自2013年正式提出以来,中国的跨大陆“一带一路”倡议(BRI)一直受到世界各地媒体、政策智库和学术界的高度关注。虽然一些国家将中国视为“一带一路”倡议下的主要发展伙伴,但另一些国家对北京日益上升的作用感到担忧。根据政策文件、国家和国际组织的报告以及有关该主题的现有文献,本文旨在揭示“一带一路”的两个主要方面;“一带一路”倡议对南亚主要国家的社会经济前景和地缘政治影响,中国在这些国家正成为重要的发展参与者。二是欧洲、非洲和中亚主要大国和行为体的反应,如南亚主要国家巴基斯坦和印度。他们的主要期望和保留意见也令人主要关切。本文认为,中国在“一带一路”倡议下对这些地区的空前投资不仅具有巨大的社会经济潜力,而且还具有地缘政治和安全影响(就像南亚的巴基斯坦-印度关系一样)。文章认为,为了通过参与国贸易和互联互通的新前景挖掘“一带一路”的真正潜力,中国应与对“一带一路”持敌对态度的国家加强合作,并采取措施确保“一带一路”的国际规范和包容性。
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引用次数: 0
Mapping Militant Manifestations in Balochistan 绘制俾路支省的武装表现
IF 0.1 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2020-12-31 DOI: 10.31945/iprij.200203
M. Azam
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引用次数: 0
Hybrid War Threats and Essence of Perception Management: Challenges for Pakistan 混合战争威胁和感知管理的本质:巴基斯坦面临的挑战
IF 0.1 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2020-12-31 DOI: 10.31945/iprij.200201
A. Abbasi
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引用次数: 1
Arms Control in Crisis: An Assessment of Contemporary Trends 危机中的军备控制:对当代趋势的评估
IF 0.1 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2020-12-31 DOI: 10.31945/iprij.200205
S. Ullah
Arms control regime has witnessed severe setbacks in recent years. This paper addresses the question that despite acknowledged benefits of arms control for peace and stability, the major powers are currently turning against arms control. By analyzing the reasons behind ongoing arms control crisis, the paper takes into account contending perspectives of major powers to map the emerging trends in arms control. The mere existence of nuclear weapons does not encourage the states to adopt restraint measures, rather it is their perception about the risks and challenges to their security that compel them to go for arms control. The ongoing geo-political competition, also exhibited in the form of strategic rivalries at global level, and advanced military-technological developments sans any consensus on mutual vulnerabilities shape the understanding of nuclear armed states for strategic stability. These are the two primary drivers behind the evolving arms control crisis. Recently, United States has veered away from its bilateral commitments that signifies the collapse of arms control arrangements between Washington and Moscow which originally served as a stabilizing factor in their adversarial relations. Prevailing disagreements on the constituents of strategic stability, concerns about other state’s compliance and transparency, and accentuating differences in military capabilities are the defining features of how major states currently pursue arms control. In the absence of consensus on what threatens strategic stability among adversaries, any prospects for new arms control measures remain bleak. This factor also diminishes the prospects of any trilateral arms control agreement among U.S., Russia and China.
军备控制制度近年来遭遇了严重挫折。本文讨论的问题是,尽管军备控制对和平与稳定有着公认的好处,但主要大国目前却反对军备控制。通过分析持续的军备控制危机背后的原因,本文考虑到主要大国的竞争视角,以绘制军备控制的新趋势。仅仅核武器的存在并不能鼓励各国采取克制措施,相反,正是它们对自身安全面临的风险和挑战的认识迫使它们采取军备控制。持续的地缘政治竞争,也表现为全球层面的战略对抗,以及在相互脆弱性上没有达成任何共识的先进军事技术发展,形成了核武器国家对战略稳定的理解。这是不断演变的军备控制危机背后的两个主要驱动因素。最近,美国偏离了其双边承诺,这意味着华盛顿和莫斯科之间的军备控制安排的崩溃,而军备控制安排原本是两国敌对关系的稳定因素。在战略稳定的组成部分上普遍存在分歧,对其他国家的遵守和透明度的担忧,以及军事能力的突出差异,是主要国家目前寻求军备控制的决定性特征。在对手之间对威胁战略稳定的因素缺乏共识的情况下,采取新的军备控制措施的前景仍然黯淡。这一因素也削弱了美国、俄罗斯和中国之间达成任何三边军控协议的前景。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
IPRI Journal
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