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Floating Offshore Solar Photovoltaics for Land-Constrained and Diverse Renewable Supply Conditions in the United States and Canada 浮动海上太阳能光伏发电的土地限制和多样化的可再生能源供应条件在美国和加拿大
IF 2.6 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-10-22 DOI: 10.1109/JPHOTOV.2025.3616635
Gabriel Lopez;Dmitrii Bogdanov;Rasul Satymov;Christian Breyer
Energy transition pathways for large continental areas are largely understood to be achievable using a diverse set of onshore renewable energy technologies. Previous research for the integrated United States and Canada energy–industry system indicated that solar photovoltaics (PVs) may dominate the primary energy structure, complemented by onshore wind power. However, societal constraints may require increased supply diversity, and onshore renewable energy may not be sufficient for densely populated regions, especially on the east coast of the United States. The LUT Energy System Transition Model was applied to investigate the role of floating offshore solar PV coupled with offshore wind and wave power when onshore solar PV is limited. The results indicate that, when onshore solar PV is limited to 60% of electricity generation, 434 GW of floating offshore solar PV may be installed by 2050 as part of a hybrid power plant sharing the same grid connection as offshore wind power, which reaches 414 GW of installed capacity, contributing 607 and 1576 TWh to the electricity supply, respectively. In total, 7.4 TW of solar PV capacity is installed by 2050, complemented by 1.4 TW of onshore wind power. Increased supply diversity still leads to a 42% reduction in the levelized cost of electricity, reaching 32.7 €/MWh in 2050. Compared with cost-optimal conditions, the levelized cost of final energy and nonenergy use in 2050 increases by 28% to 52.7 €/MWh. Nevertheless, such increased costs may be justifiable to meet societal constraints, and a diverse power-to-X economy structure for the United States and Canada may still be technoeconomically viable.
人们普遍认为,利用多种陆上可再生能源技术,大型大陆地区的能源转型途径是可以实现的。此前对美国和加拿大一体化能源工业系统的研究表明,太阳能光伏(pv)可能主导一次能源结构,陆上风力发电作为补充。然而,社会限制可能需要增加供应的多样性,陆上可再生能源可能不足以满足人口稠密地区,特别是在美国东海岸。应用LUT能源系统转换模型,研究了当陆上太阳能光伏发电有限时,海上浮动太阳能光伏发电与海上风电和波浪能耦合的作用。结果表明,当陆上太阳能光伏发电的发电量限制在60%时,到2050年,作为与海上风电并网的混合电站的一部分,可安装434 GW的浮动海上太阳能光伏发电,装机容量达到414 GW,分别贡献607和1576 TWh的电力供应。到2050年,太阳能光伏发电装机容量将达到7.4太瓦,陆上风电装机容量将达到1.4太瓦。供应多样性的增加仍然导致电力成本降低42%,到2050年达到32.7欧元/兆瓦时。与成本最优条件相比,2050年最终能源和非能源使用的平准化成本增加了28%,达到52.7欧元/兆瓦时。尽管如此,这种增加的成本可能是合理的,以满足社会约束,对美国和加拿大来说,多样化的电力- x经济结构在技术上仍然是可行的。
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引用次数: 0
Golden List of Reviewers 评审者黄金名单
IF 2.6 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-10-22 DOI: 10.1109/JPHOTOV.2025.3620446
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引用次数: 0
An Interpretable Deep Learning Model for Solar Power Generation Forecasting in a Grid-Connected Hybrid Solar System 并网混合太阳能发电预测的可解释深度学习模型
IF 2.6 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-10-22 DOI: 10.1109/JPHOTOV.2025.3608474
Tajrian Mollick;Md Jobayer;Md. Samrat Hossin;Shahidul Islam Khan;A. S. Nazmul Huda;Saifur Rahman Sabuj
Solar energy adoption is rapidly growing as a sustainable option, with solar panels used on residential buildings, commercial properties, and large-scale farms. However, the unpredictable nature of solar power can lead to suboptimal energy generation from photovoltaic (PV) panels. Despite the high effectiveness of deep learning (DL) models in forecasting PV power, they often struggle with the perception of being “closed boxes” that lack clear explanations for their prediction results, which fail to highlight the key features for PV prediction. To address the critical issue of full transparency, this study explores a well-known DL model named lightweight deep neural network (LWDNN) in PV power forecasting, along with the application of explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) tools like Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) and local interpretable model-agnostic explanations (LIME). Real-time data collected from a grid-connected solar PV system located in Dhaka were utilized to perform the prediction. By enabling XAI model interpretation, we identified feature contributions and explained individual predictions, reducing training computational demands without compromising accuracy. The reliability of the LWDNN model is assessed using both complete and reduced feature sets through performance metrics such as root mean squared error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and coefficient of determination (R2). The test results show that the proposed LWDNN model based on SHAP analysis outperforms conventional schemes by achieving RMSE = 6.180 kW, MAE = 1.939 kW, and R2 = 0.988. Finally, the model was implemented on a Raspberry Pi for low-power solar forecasting, demonstrating the feasibility of edge deployment.
太阳能作为一种可持续能源的采用正在迅速增长,太阳能电池板被用于住宅建筑、商业地产和大型农场。然而,太阳能的不可预测性可能会导致光伏(PV)板产生的能量不理想。尽管深度学习(DL)模型在预测PV功率方面具有很高的有效性,但它们经常被认为是“封闭的盒子”,缺乏对其预测结果的明确解释,这无法突出PV预测的关键特征。为了解决完全透明的关键问题,本研究探索了一个著名的分布式模型,名为轻量级深度神经网络(LWDNN),用于光伏发电预测,以及可解释的人工智能(XAI)工具的应用,如Shapley加性解释(SHAP)和局部可解释的模型不可知解释(LIME)。利用从位于达卡的并网太阳能光伏系统收集的实时数据进行预测。通过启用XAI模型解释,我们确定了特征贡献并解释了单个预测,在不影响准确性的情况下减少了训练计算需求。通过诸如均方根误差(RMSE)、平均绝对误差(MAE)和决定系数(R2)等性能指标,使用完整和简化的特征集来评估LWDNN模型的可靠性。实验结果表明,基于SHAP分析的LWDNN模型的RMSE = 6.180 kW, MAE = 1.939 kW, R2 = 0.988,优于传统方案。最后,该模型在树莓派上进行了低功耗太阳能预测,验证了边缘部署的可行性。
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引用次数: 0
Performance Enhancement of Bifacial PV Modules on Horizontal Single-Axis Trackers in Desert Environments 沙漠环境下水平单轴跟踪器双面光伏组件性能增强研究
IF 2.6 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-10-17 DOI: 10.1109/JPHOTOV.2025.3614768
Íñigo de la Parra;Miguel García;Javier Marcos;Luis Marroyo
The adoption of bifacial photovoltaic (PV) modules has grown significantly due to their potential for higher energy yield. However, their real-world performance under outdoor conditions remains insufficiently explored. This study analyzes the energy gains of bifacial PV modules in a horizontally tracked power plant in the Atacama Desert, Chile, comparing a conventional single-axis tracker with an optimized tracker designed for bifacial performance. Results show that bifacial modules on conventional trackers achieve ∼5% higher energy production, while those on optimized trackers reach up to 6.1%, emphasizing the role of tracker design in maximizing bifacial PV efficiency.
由于双面光伏(PV)组件具有更高的能量产量潜力,其采用已显著增长。然而,它们在室外条件下的实际性能仍然没有得到充分的探索。本研究分析了智利阿塔卡马沙漠水平履带式发电厂双面光伏组件的能量增益,比较了传统的单轴跟踪器和专为双面性能设计的优化跟踪器。结果表明,传统跟踪器上的双面组件的能量产量提高了约5%,而优化跟踪器上的双面组件的能量产量高达6.1%,强调了跟踪器设计在最大化双面光伏效率方面的作用。
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引用次数: 0
Tracking Concepts for High-Density PV Power Plants 高密度光伏电站的跟踪概念
IF 2.6 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-10-16 DOI: 10.1109/JPHOTOV.2025.3616601
Nils-Peter Harder
In the search for new sites, photovoltaic (PV) system installations spread out into complex places and contexts, such as hilly terrain, floating PV, and agriPV. It is, therefore, plausible to assume that PV power plants will increasingly need to use space and, thus, sunlight more efficiently, e.g., by not wasting solar energy in the space between module rows. This means it may become increasingly important to consider the energy output of PV systems per area of land use, i.e., the “efficiency of the PV system.” To increase this efficiency, power plants with high density of PV modules are needed. For tracked systems, this necessitates adapting the tracking strategies to avoid excessive losses from either row-to-row shading or angle-of-incidence losses in backtracking. This article explores different tracking strategies that could contribute to enabling high-density PV power plants with high efficiency. The advantages of these advanced tracking strategies are quantified at two different latitudes as a function of the ground coverage ratio.
在寻找新场地的过程中,光伏(PV)系统的安装扩展到复杂的地方和环境中,如丘陵地形、浮动PV和agriPV。因此,我们可以合理地假设,光伏发电厂将越来越需要利用空间,从而更有效地利用阳光,例如,不要在组件行之间的空间浪费太阳能。这意味着考虑光伏系统每面积土地使用的能量输出可能变得越来越重要,即“光伏系统的效率”。为了提高这种效率,需要高密度光伏组件的发电厂。对于跟踪系统,这需要调整跟踪策略,以避免过多的损失,无论是行到行阴影或入射角损失在回溯。本文探讨了不同的跟踪策略,可以有助于实现高密度光伏电站的高效率。这些先进的跟踪策略的优势在两个不同的纬度被量化为地面覆盖率的函数。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of Wind Speed and Direction on Cooling of a Pontoon-Based Floating Photovoltaic System 风速和风向对浮式光伏系统冷却性能的影响
IF 2.6 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-10-08 DOI: 10.1109/JPHOTOV.2025.3611425
Vilde Stueland Nysted;Torunn Kjeldstad;Dag Lindholm;Marit Sandsaunet Ulset;Josefine Selj
Floating photovoltaics (FPVs) are gaining traction as a land-saving alternative to ground-mounted photovoltaics (GPV). A commonly cited advantage of FPVs is their potential for lower operating temperatures due to the cooling effect of water. However, existing literature shows that the thermal performance of FPV systems may not consistently exceed that of GPV systems, as it is influenced by technology and location. Consequently, studying the thermal properties of a range of FPV systems is crucial to optimize power output and enable accurate energy yield modeling for new sites. This work investigates the thermal properties and calculated heat loss coefficients, or U-values, associated with the Faiman model for an FPV system using Ciel & Terre's Hydrelio Air floats, located in a pond in South Africa. A dependence of U-values on wind direction was observed, with improved cooling when the wind approaches from the rear side of the system. The estimated U-value components were U0 = 21.6 W/m2·K and U1 = 3.60 W·s/m3·K for wind from the front and U0 = 19.4 W/m2·K and U1 = 7.10 W·s/m3·K for wind from the rear side. The impact of the observed cooling variation due to wind direction on system performance was also evaluated, revealing a 1.7% increase in median performance ratio when the wind originates from the rear side.
浮动光伏发电(FPVs)作为地面安装光伏发电(GPV)的一种节省土地的替代方案正受到越来越多的关注。fpv的一个普遍优点是,由于水的冷却作用,它们有可能降低工作温度。然而,现有文献表明,由于受技术和位置的影响,FPV系统的热性能可能不会始终优于GPV系统。因此,研究一系列FPV系统的热特性对于优化功率输出和实现新站点的准确能量产出建模至关重要。在南非的一个池塘中,采用了Ciel & Terre公司的hydrlio Air浮子,研究了FPV系统的热性能,并计算了热损失系数(u值),与Faiman模型相关。观察到u值与风向的依赖关系,当风从系统的背面接近时,冷却效果得到改善。正面风的u值分量为U0 = 21.6 W/m2·K, U1 = 3.60 W·s/m3·K;背面风的u值分量为U0 = 19.4 W/m2·K, U1 = 7.10 W·s/m3·K。研究还对风向对系统性能的影响进行了评估,结果表明,当风来自背面时,系统的平均性能比增加了1.7%。
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引用次数: 0
Is the Land Equivalent Ratio (LER) a Sufficient Indicator to Describe the Efficiency of Agrivoltaic System? 土地等效比(LER)是描述光伏发电系统效率的充分指标吗?
IF 2.6 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-10-03 DOI: 10.1109/JPHOTOV.2025.3611430
Szymon Pelczar
The land equivalent ratio (LER) is a widely used coefficient by researchers in studies related to agrivoltaic systems. Although the indicator mentioned was developed to determine the benefits of intercropping, it has also been found useful for evaluating agrivoltaic installations. The objective of the LER is to describe the effectiveness of land use under agrivoltaic conditions versus conventional conditions, which implies separate production of crops and electricity. However, the mentioned coefficient does not give a complete description of an agrivoltaic system and its performance. To do so, additional indicators are developed. This study aims to demonstrate that additional parameters, which can be used to better describe an agrivoltaic system in terms of its comparison with conventional conditions. The coefficients presented can help assess the validity of agrivoltaic implementation and to make the decision whether, considering given conditions, it is more desirable to realize a conventional photovoltaic power plant or an agrivoltaic one.
土地当量比(land equivalent ratio, LER)是研究人员在光伏系统相关研究中广泛使用的一个系数。虽然所提到的指标是为了确定间作的效益而制定的,但也发现它对评价农业发电装置很有用。LER的目标是描述在农业发电条件下与传统条件下土地利用的有效性,这意味着作物和电力的分离生产。然而,上述系数并没有给出一个完整的描述一个农业光伏系统及其性能。为此,制定了其他指标。本研究旨在证明,在与常规条件比较方面,可以使用其他参数来更好地描述农业光伏系统。所提出的系数可以帮助评估光伏发电实施的有效性,并在给定条件下决定是实现传统光伏电站还是光伏电站更可取。
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引用次数: 0
Diagnosing PID in Field Electroluminescence Inspections of PV Modules Using Multilevel Forward Current Biasing 多电平正向偏置法在光伏组件现场电致发光检测中的PID诊断
IF 2.6 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-09-29 DOI: 10.1109/JPHOTOV.2025.3611424
Rodrigo del Prado Santamaría;Gisele A. dos Reis Benatto;Thøger Kari;Aysha Mahmood;Peter B. Poulsen;Sergiu V. Spataru
Potential-induced degradation (PID) in photovoltaic (PV) modules can be identified using electroluminescence (EL) imaging by comparing the luminescence of degraded cells to that of healthy cells. In nondegraded modules, cells exhibit consistent radiative recombination and luminescence properties, whereas PID alters these, creating measurable differences. This work presents a methodology to quantify relative changes in luminescence between degraded cells and a reference cell within the same module by acquiring EL images at two distinct current injection levels. The resulting metric enables automatic PID characterization and reduces reliance on subjective visual interpretation. The approach was further adapted for daylight field EL inspections using a multibias modulation technique, which introduces an intermediate current bias between high-current injection and open-circuit voltage (Voc). This adaptation mitigates variability from changing irradiance, allowing effective PID characterization under low irradiance conditions. Validation in both field and lab environments confirmed the robustness of the method, with module luminescence differences exceeding 2.5% even at 50% current bias. These results highlight the potential of the proposed metric for reliable PID diagnosis in PV modules.
通过比较降解细胞与健康细胞的发光,电致发光(EL)成像可以识别光伏(PV)组件中的电位诱导降解(PID)。在非降解模块中,细胞表现出一致的辐射重组和发光特性,而PID改变了这些,产生了可测量的差异。本研究提出了一种方法,通过在两个不同的电流注入水平下获取EL图像,来量化同一模块内降解细胞和参考细胞之间发光的相对变化。由此产生的度量可以实现自动PID表征,并减少对主观视觉解释的依赖。该方法进一步适用于使用多偏置调制技术的日光场EL检测,该技术在大电流注入和开路电压(Voc)之间引入了中间电流偏置。这种适应性减轻了辐照度变化带来的可变性,允许在低辐照度条件下进行有效的PID表征。现场和实验室环境的验证证实了该方法的稳健性,即使在50%电流偏置下,模块发光差异也超过2.5%。这些结果突出了所提出的指标在PV模块中可靠PID诊断的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
5-Ammonium Valeric Acid Iodide (5-AVAI) Molecules Modified Buried Interface for Realizing High-Performance Perovskite Solar Cells 5-戊酸碘化铵(5-AVAI)分子修饰埋藏界面实现高性能钙钛矿太阳能电池
IF 2.6 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-09-22 DOI: 10.1109/JPHOTOV.2025.3605941
Long Ji;Zhi David Chen;Shibin Li
The [4-(3,6-dimethyl-9h-carbazol-9yl)butyl]phosphonic acid (Me-4PACz) self-assembled molecules (SAM) constitute a hole transport layer, which is widely applied to modify NiOx. In addition, it has been exploited to address some of the issues between the buried interface of NiOx and perovskite. Nevertheless, the Me-4PACz molecule is unable to completely cover the buried interface or effectively passivate the buried interface defects, thus limiting the efficiency of inverted perovskite solar cells. Consequently, a molecule containing carboxyl (-COOH) and amino (-NH3) groups, 5-ammonium valeric acid iodide (5-AVAI), is incorporated into Me-4PACz. Notably, 5-AVAI interacts with NiOx and the underlying perovskite to form a bridging ligand that passivates interfacial defects, thereby facilitating hole transport and reducing nonradiative interfacial recombination. As a result, a buried interface device based on 5-AVAI realizes a conversion efficiency of 24.62%. Overall, this work demonstrates a new approach to improve the performance of perovskite cells by modifying the buried interface NiOx with 5-AVAI molecules.
[4-(3,6-二甲基-9 -咔唑-9基)丁基]膦酸(Me-4PACz)自组装分子(SAM)构成空穴传输层,广泛应用于NiOx的修饰。此外,它还被用于解决NiOx和钙钛矿的埋藏界面之间的一些问题。然而,Me-4PACz分子无法完全覆盖埋藏界面或有效钝化埋藏界面缺陷,从而限制了倒置钙钛矿太阳能电池的效率。因此,含有羧基(-COOH)和氨基(-NH3)基团的5-戊酸碘化铵(5-AVAI)分子被并入Me-4PACz。值得注意的是,5-AVAI与NiOx和底层钙钛矿相互作用,形成桥接配体,钝化界面缺陷,从而促进空穴传输,减少非辐射界面重组。结果表明,基于5-AVAI的埋地接口器件的转换效率为24.62%。总的来说,这项工作展示了一种通过用5-AVAI分子修饰埋藏界面NiOx来提高钙钛矿电池性能的新方法。
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引用次数: 0
Correlation of Nanoscale Structure, Composition, and Performance: A Study of the CIGS Materials Paradigm 纳米级结构、组成和性能的相关性:CIGS材料范式的研究
IF 2.6 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-09-17 DOI: 10.1109/JPHOTOV.2025.3602602
Niklas Pyrlik;Christina Ossig;Svenja Patjens;Giovanni Fevola;Jan Hense;Catharina Ziska;Martin Seyrich;Frank Seiboth;Andreas Schropp;Jan Garrevoet;Gerald Falkenberg;Christian G. Schroer;Romain Carron;Michael E. Stuckelberger
Multimodal imaging of thin-film solar cells has been demonstrated at hard X-ray nanoprobes: simultaneously assessing X-ray beam induced current and X-ray fluorescence, lateral variations in the electrical performance and the distribution of absorber and trace elements can be correlated. Here, we complement the suite of modalities with scanning X-ray diffraction and map the crystallographic structure of Cu(In,Ga)Se2(CIGS) at the nanoscale: in the quaternary compound semiconductor, lattice strain and structural defects induced by tetragonal lattice distortions, steep vertical In/Ga gradients, and lateral inhomogeneities pose a great challenge. Investigating a series of solar cells with varying In/Ga ratio, we probed for the first time a statistically significant number of nearly 500 CIGS grains in the bulk layer of operational cells. Overall, we assessed the entirety of the Cu(In,Ga)Se2 Materials Science Tetrahedron—thanks to, first, extraordinary sensitivity with K-edge excitation allowing to correlate the lateral Cd and In/Ga distribution, local performance, and lattice spacing, second, detection of voids, some filled with CdS, in the CIGS layer, and third, performance-relevant findings from a crystallographic analysis of grain orientation and boundaries. Beyond further optimization of Cu(In,Ga)Se2 photovoltaic cells toward the detailed balance limit of solar-cell conversion efficiency, the developed methodology paves the way to extract a maximum of information from correlative hard X-ray nanoscopy at diffraction-limited storage rings.
薄膜太阳能电池的多模态成像已经在硬x射线纳米探针上得到了证明:同时评估x射线束诱导电流和x射线荧光,电学性能的横向变化以及吸收剂和微量元素的分布可以相互关联。在这里,我们用扫描x射线衍射补充了一套模式,并在纳米尺度上绘制了Cu(In,Ga)Se2(CIGS)的晶体结构:在四元化合物半导体中,四方晶格畸变、陡峭的垂直In/Ga梯度和横向不均匀性引起的晶格应变和结构缺陷构成了很大的挑战。我们研究了一系列不同In/Ga比的太阳能电池,首次在工作电池的体层中发现了近500个具有统计学意义的CIGS颗粒。总的来说,我们评估了Cu(In,Ga)Se2材料科学四面体的整体,首先,由于k边激发的非凡灵敏度,可以将横向Cd和In/Ga分布、局部性能和晶格间距联系起来,其次,在CIGS层中检测到空隙,其中一些填充了Cd,第三,从晶粒取向和边界的晶体学分析中获得与性能相关的发现。除了进一步优化Cu(In,Ga)Se2光伏电池以达到太阳能电池转换效率的详细平衡极限之外,所开发的方法还为在衍射限制的存储环上从相关的硬x射线纳米显微镜中提取最大限度的信息铺平了道路。
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引用次数: 0
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IEEE Journal of Photovoltaics
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