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Exploring the red tourism–aviation nexus through the PVAR model: The case of China during the COVID-19 pandemic 通过 PVAR 模型探索红色旅游与航空的关系:COVID-19 大流行期间的中国案例
IF 2.4 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-09-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.cstp.2024.101288
Hang He , Kan Wai Hong Tsui , Hanjun Wu , Long Lin

The COVID-19 pandemic profoundly impacted the tourism and aviation sectors, leading to a shift from international to domestic travel, especially in China. Cultural tourism, including red tourism, was still active and played a pivotal role in China’s domestic tourism during the pandemic. This study used the panel vector autoregression (PVAR) model and the panel Granger causality test to investigate the interplay between red tourism, airline seat capacity, and the COVID-19 cases during the COVID-19 pandemic. This study contributed to the existing literature of the interplay (or the endogenous interaction) among these three endogenous variables. It found that red tourist numbers have significantly affected airline seat capacity in Chinese domestic market in the face of the disruptive effects of COVID-19. Red tourist numbers and airline seat capacity have the positive and negative relationships with the COVID-19 cases of origin cities but not at red tourism destinations. Although it primarily focuses on China’s red tourism, this study highlights avenues for cross-cultural exploration and a deeper understanding of the dynamic interplay among red tourism, aviation, and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. This study concludes by offering insights in developing and shaping cultural tourism and industry’s preparedness strategies, helping the tourism and aviation industries recover and thrive in the post-COVID-19 era.

COVID-19 大流行对旅游业和航空业产生了深远影响,导致旅游从国际旅游转向国内旅 游,尤其是在中国。大流行期间,包括红色旅游在内的文化旅游依然活跃,在中国国内旅游中发挥着举足轻重的作用。本研究利用面板向量自回归(PVAR)模型和面板格兰杰因果检验,研究了 COVID-19 大流行期间红色旅游、航空公司座位数和 COVID-19 案例之间的相互作用。该研究为现有文献中关于这三个内生变量之间相互作用(或内生互动)的研究做出了贡献。研究发现,面对 COVID-19 的破坏性影响,红色旅游人数极大地影响了中国国内市场的航空公司座位数。红色旅游人数和航空客座率与COVID-19对始发城市的影响存在正负关系,但与红色旅游目的地的影响无关。虽然本研究主要关注中国的红色旅游,但它强调了跨文化探索的途径,以及对红色旅游、航空和 COVID-19 流行病影响之间动态相互作用的更深入理解。最后,本研究为制定和塑造文化旅游和产业的备灾战略提供了见解,有助于旅游业和航空业在后 COVID-19 时代的恢复和繁荣。
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引用次数: 0
Shared benefits and sustainable mobility – A case of autonomous bus 共享效益和可持续交通--自动驾驶巴士案例
IF 2.4 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-09-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.cstp.2024.101286
Kari Koskinen , Niina Mallat , Bikesh Raj Upreti

Prior research has found that people’s intentions to use autonomous technologies such as autonomous buses largely depend on factors like trust towards the technology, while little is known about the role played by the shared benefits. Unlike benefits obtained by the individual user of technologies, shared benefits are commonly societal benefits shared by users. We formulated hypotheses to explore the role of shared benefits in driving the use intention of autonomous buses and tested the model with survey data collected from people living in the greater Helsinki metropolitan area. We analyzed data using Covariance-based SEM, and our results show that perceived shared benefits are among the most vital indicators of autonomous bus use intention. To promote citizens’ acceptance of autonomous buses, the public transport authorities and bus operators should ensure that autonomous buses deliver shared benefits through service that is environmentally friendly, comfortable, easy to use, and accessible for all.

先前的研究发现,人们使用自动驾驶技术(如自动驾驶公交车)的意愿在很大程度上取决于对该技术的信任等因素,而对共享利益所起的作用却知之甚少。与技术用户个人获得的利益不同,共享利益通常是用户共享的社会利益。我们提出了一些假设,以探讨共享利益在推动自动驾驶巴士使用意向方面的作用,并利用从居住在大赫尔辛基都市区的人们那里收集到的调查数据对模型进行了测试。我们使用基于协方差的 SEM 对数据进行了分析,结果表明,感知到的共享利益是自动驾驶巴士使用意向的最重要指标之一。为了提高市民对自动驾驶公交车的接受度,公共交通机构和公交车运营商应确保自动驾驶公交车通过提供环保、舒适、易于使用、人人可及的服务来实现共同利益。
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引用次数: 0
Beyond polarisation and simplified storylines: Exploring discursive struggles over a transport infrastructure project in Vienna, Austria 超越两极分化和简化的故事情节:探索奥地利维也纳交通基础设施项目的话语斗争
IF 2.4 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-09-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.cstp.2024.101293
Peter Obersteiner , Katharina Trimmel , Thomas Brudermann , Michael Kriechbaum

Major transportation infrastructure projects are often associated with public disputes and polarised debates. However, by using the example of a controversial infrastructure project in Vienna (the “Lobau highway”), we show that a binary “pro-versus-con” framing does not do justice to the complex realities of such debates. Based on a Q methodological analysis, we reveal four distinct perspectives, which reflect a broad spectrum of “generally pro” and “generally against” positions: (i) More roads, more traffic, (ii) Less politics, more facts, (iii) Better roads, better city, and (iv) The highway must be built. While our analysis points at unexpected overlaps between perspectives and some entry points for consensus building, it also highlights disagreement on fundamental beliefs such as the impact of roads on the environment, the phenomenon of induced traffic, or the right to drive a car. Against this background, we discuss the wider socio-political context of the analysed debate, reflect on the basic premise of consensus building, and derive policy implications.

大型交通基础设施项目往往与公共争议和两极分化的辩论联系在一起。然而,我们以维也纳一个颇具争议的基础设施项目("洛保高速公路")为例,说明 "支持与反对 "的二元对立框架并不能公正地反映此类辩论的复杂现实。基于 Q 方法分析,我们揭示了四种截然不同的观点,它们反映了 "普遍支持 "和 "普遍反对 "的广泛立场:(i) 更多的道路,更多的交通;(ii) 更少的政治,更多的事实;(iii) 更好的道路,更好的城市;(iv) 必须修建高速公路。虽然我们的分析指出了观点之间意想不到的重叠以及建立共识的一些切入点,但也凸显了在道路对环境的影响、诱导交通现象或驾驶汽车的权利等基本信念上的分歧。在此背景下,我们讨论了所分析辩论的广泛社会政治背景,反思了建立共识的基本前提,并得出了政策含义。
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引用次数: 0
Activating the potential for more walking in work tour: An explorative study on car commuters 激活更多步行上班游的潜力:对开车上班族的探索性研究
IF 2.4 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-09-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.cstp.2024.101290
Ali Farzaneh Movahed, Meeghat Habibian

This paper investigates the Potential for More Walking (PMW) in work tour among car commuters and proposes ways to encourage them to activate this potential. The study utilized a sample of 621 car commuters in the city of Qom, Iran, who expressed a willingness to replace their daily commute pattern with an alternative commute pattern that involves more walking time. The findings of the random effect binary logit model indicated that network patterns with improved connectivity in the residential neighborhood have a significant impact on activating the PMW. Additionally, subjective factors such as positive perceptions towards sidewalk conditions, longer distances between home and workplace, and positive attitudes towards walking were found to be associated with an increased tendency to activate the PMW. Moreover, the study assessed a set of transportation demand management measures that could influence individual behavior towards activating the PMW. The results indicated that pull measures are generally more effective than push measures in promoting walking during work commuting. Furthermore, the measures of turning streets with dense land-uses into pedestrian malls, increasing green spaces on sidewalks, and widening sidewalks were found to have the highest impact on activating the PMW, respectively.

本文调查了驾车通勤者在上班途中增加步行时间的潜力(PMW),并提出了鼓励他们激活这一潜力的方法。研究利用了伊朗库姆市的 621 名驾车通勤者作为样本,他们表示愿意用涉及更多步行时间的替代通勤模式取代日常通勤模式。随机效应二元对数模型的研究结果表明,改善居民区连通性的网络模式对激活 PMW 有显著影响。此外,研究还发现,对人行道条件的积极看法、家庭与工作场所之间的较远距离以及对步行的积极态度等主观因素,都与更倾向于启用 "步行小路 "有关。此外,该研究还评估了一套交通需求管理措施,这些措施可能会影响个人启用 PMW 的行为。结果表明,在促进上下班步行方面,拉动式措施通常比推动式措施更有效。此外,研究还发现,将用地密集的街道改造成步行街、增加人行道绿地和拓宽人行道等措施对激活 "预防性小型工程 "的影响最大。
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引用次数: 0
CODATU XVIII: Special Issue Editorial CODATU XVIII
IF 2.4 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cstp.2024.101218
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引用次数: 0
Strategic approaches to crisis management: Global challenges in the Turkish container shipping sector due to the COVID-19 危机管理的战略方法:土耳其集装箱航运业因 COVID-19 而面临的全球挑战
IF 2.4 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-08-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.cstp.2024.101283
Arda Toygar , Umut Yıldırım

The Covid-19 pandemic has posed significant challenges to the sector, and Türkiye’s strategic location plays a crucial role in crisis management. This study aims to explore the repercussions of the pandemic on the sector and propose appropriate solutions. To identify the most effective solutions for prioritizing the challenges posed by Covid-19, 53 sector experts participated in the study. The Stepwise Weight Assessment Ratio Analysis method was used to weigh the criteria representing these challenges. The solutions were ranked using the Weighted Aggregated Sum Product Assessment and Combined Compromise Solution methods. The results indicate that the primary challenge is the increased shipping cost, followed by the prolongation of the transport time, global-scale impacts, and port congestion. The most appropriate solution identified was alternative vessel loading, followed by mixed-mode transportation usage, reservation guarantees, long-term contracts with shipping operators, integrated logistics services, container purchases, and technological integration.

Covid-19 大流行给该行业带来了重大挑战,而土耳其的战略位置在危机管理中发挥着至关重要的作用。本研究旨在探讨大流行病对该行业的影响,并提出适当的解决方案。为了确定最有效的解决方案,优先应对 Covid-19 带来的挑战,53 位行业专家参与了研究。采用逐步加权评估比率分析法对代表这些挑战的标准进行了权衡。使用加权汇总产品评估法和综合折衷解决方案法对解决方案进行了排序。结果表明,首要挑战是运输成本的增加,其次是运输时间的延长、全球范围的影响和港口拥堵。最合适的解决方案是替代装船,其次是混合运输方式、预约担保、与航运运营商签订长期合同、综合物流服务、集装箱采购和技术整合。
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引用次数: 0
Impact assessment of future fleet compositions in vehicle emissions in urban areas: A methodological framework and a case study 未来车队组成对城市地区汽车尾气排放的影响评估:方法框架和案例研究
IF 2.4 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-08-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.cstp.2024.101285
Emmanouil Nisyrios , Marco Raul Soares Amorim , Guido Cantelmo , Konstantinos Gkiotsalitis , Constantinos Antoniou

This study explores the impact of emerging vehicle technologies on direct urban traffic emissions. It investigates emission reduction potential from shifts in fleet compositions and modal choices, especially considering climate change. To achieve this, three key research areas are explored for historical, current, and future scenarios (up to 2050): mode choice, emission factors for different vehicle categories, and diverse vehicle propulsion technologies. The estimation of the modal split is pivotal, developing a methodology utilizing Stated Preference survey data, discrete choice modeling, Monte Carlo simulations, and macroscopic traffic simulations. Future scenarios derive from the reference year’s modal split, and emission factors and fleet compositions are predetermined via an extensive literature review, aiding the assessment of their respective emissions. A subsequent sensitivity analysis identifies the impact of specific parameters on emissions, guiding future research focus. Study results underscore differences in greenhouse gas emissions and primary air pollutants between base and future scenarios.

本研究探讨了新兴汽车技术对城市交通直接排放的影响。它调查了车队组成和模式选择的变化所带来的减排潜力,特别是考虑到气候变化。为此,本研究针对历史、当前和未来(至 2050 年)情景,探讨了三个关键研究领域:模式选择、不同车辆类别的排放系数和多样化的车辆推进技术。其中,模式选择的估算至关重要,它利用陈述偏好调查数据、离散选择建模、蒙特卡洛模拟和宏观交通模拟来制定方法。未来情景源自参考年的模式划分,排放因子和车队组成是通过广泛的文献审查预先确定的,有助于评估各自的排放量。随后的敏感性分析确定了特定参数对排放量的影响,为未来的研究重点提供了指导。研究结果强调了基本方案和未来方案之间在温室气体排放和主要空气污染物方面的差异。
{"title":"Impact assessment of future fleet compositions in vehicle emissions in urban areas: A methodological framework and a case study","authors":"Emmanouil Nisyrios ,&nbsp;Marco Raul Soares Amorim ,&nbsp;Guido Cantelmo ,&nbsp;Konstantinos Gkiotsalitis ,&nbsp;Constantinos Antoniou","doi":"10.1016/j.cstp.2024.101285","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.cstp.2024.101285","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study explores the impact of emerging vehicle technologies on direct urban traffic emissions. It investigates emission reduction potential from shifts in fleet compositions and modal choices, especially considering climate change. To achieve this, three key research areas are explored for historical, current, and future scenarios (up to 2050): mode choice, emission factors for different vehicle categories, and diverse vehicle propulsion technologies. The estimation of the modal split is pivotal, developing a methodology utilizing Stated Preference survey data, discrete choice modeling, Monte Carlo simulations, and macroscopic traffic simulations. Future scenarios derive from the reference year’s modal split, and emission factors and fleet compositions are predetermined via an extensive literature review, aiding the assessment of their respective emissions. A subsequent sensitivity analysis identifies the impact of specific parameters on emissions, guiding future research focus. Study results underscore differences in greenhouse gas emissions and primary air pollutants between base and future scenarios.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46989,"journal":{"name":"Case Studies on Transport Policy","volume":"18 ","pages":"Article 101285"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2024-08-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142099628","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Application of cell phone data to monitor attendance during motor racing major event. The case of Formula One Gran Prix in Imola 应用手机数据监测赛车重大赛事期间的上座率。伊莫拉一级方程式大奖赛案例
IF 2.4 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.cstp.2024.101287
Alessandro Nalin , Andrea Simone , Claudio Lantieri , Denis Cappellari , Glauco Mantegari , Valeria Vignali

The advent of connected devices, such as smartphones, has had a transformative impact on the landscape of recent years. Once privacy concerns have been addressed, data can be handled and analysed in a proficient manner to gain insights into patterns and movements, thereby influencing urban policies. It is likely that mobility and transport-related topics have been the subject of the most extensive investigation in the field of cell phone big data. While the topic of commuting patterns has been extensively researched by numerous authors, there is a paucity of literature on the monitoring of attendance during major motorsport events. Despite the predictability of crowding (tickets are sold in advance and the schedule is fixed and rigid), multiday motorsport events are disruptive in terms of traffic, overcrowding and uneasiness for hosting cities. This paper aims to address the aforementioned gap by presenting a case study of monitoring attendance during the Formula One Emilia-Romagna and Made in Italy Grand Prix, held in Imola, Italy, from 22nd to 24th April 2022. The results demonstrated the potential of data to inform the prediction of mobility choices and the planning of appropriate mobility-related policies, with the aim of reducing the impact of future events. This represents a significant challenge for public administrations and stakeholders.

近年来,智能手机等联网设备的出现对城市面貌产生了变革性影响。一旦隐私问题得到解决,就可以对数据进行熟练的处理和分析,深入了解其模式和移动情况,从而对城市政策产生影响。在手机大数据领域,与流动性和交通相关的主题很可能是最广泛的调查对象。虽然许多作者对通勤模式这一主题进行了广泛研究,但有关大型赛车活动期间观众人数监测的文献却很少。尽管人流具有可预测性(门票提前售出,赛程固定且严格),但多日赛车活动在交通、过度拥挤和令主办城市不安等方面具有破坏性。本文旨在通过对 2022 年 4 月 22 日至 24 日在意大利伊莫拉举行的一级方程式艾米利亚-罗马涅和意大利制造大奖赛期间观众人数的监测案例研究,填补上述空白。研究结果表明,数据可以为预测交通选择和规划适当的交通相关政策提供信息,从而减少未来赛事的影响。这对公共管理部门和利益相关者来说是一项重大挑战。
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引用次数: 0
Environmental and economic potential of high-capacity trucks 大容量卡车的环境和经济潜力
IF 2.4 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-08-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.cstp.2024.101284
Tomi Solakivi, Lauri Ojala

High-capacity trucks (HCTs) are vehicles that are heavier or larger than normally allowed and are used as a means of increasing the efficiency of road freight transport and reducing emissions. The present research analyses the economic and environmental efficiency of HCTs by comparing them with normal semitrailers. Survey-based estimates on cost structure, fuel consumption, load factor and empty running of semitrailers, road trains and HCT combinations currently operating in Finland have been used to calculate whether HCTs improve the cost competitiveness and reduce the emissions of road transport. The results indicate that HCTs have a 42% emission reduction potential in mass-based transport and a 38% potential in volume-based transport compared to normal semitrailers.

大运量卡车(HCT)是指比正常允许运量更重或更大的车辆,是提高公路货运效率和减少排放的一种手段。本研究通过将高运量卡车与普通半挂车进行比较,分析了高运量卡车的经济和环境效益。通过对目前在芬兰运营的半挂车、公路列车和 HCT 组合的成本结构、燃料消耗、装载率和空载运行情况进行调查估算,计算出 HCT 是否提高了公路运输的成本竞争力并减少了排放。结果表明,与普通半挂车相比,HCT 在以质量为基础的运输中具有 42% 的减排潜力,在以体积为基础的运输中具有 38% 的减排潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Analysing wholesale market development strategies for decongesting city centre considering retailers’ procurement choices 考虑零售商的采购选择,分析疏解市中心批发市场的发展战略
IF 2.4 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-08-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.cstp.2024.101278
Taufiq Nugroho , Chandra Balijepalli , Febri Zukhruf

This research is aimed at developing a method for relocating wholesale markets in a city with the objective of decongesting the central area by improving the traffic efficiency and to make it pollution free. This paper proposes a bi-level optimisation framework pursuing the local authority’s objective of maximising welfare benefits relative to the spend ensuring good value for money at the upper level. The lower-level framework considers retailers’ response to the relocation of wholesale markets allowing them the choice of procurement location. The lower-level problem also models the route choice of commercial vehicle traffic as well as the private vehicle traffic to measure the resulting on-street congestion. The bi-level problem has been solved with integer Particle Swarm Optimisation algorithm for the case of Bandung, Indonesia. The results show that relocating wholesale markets improves the city centre traffic efficiency and pollution level by about 14%. Traffic speeds over the entire city also improve by up to 6.6% and the pollution levels marginally would drop too. Market relocation as a strategy would significantly improve the efficiency and pollution levels but must be carefully planned and evaluated otherwise the emissions outside of city centre could increase.

本研究旨在开发一种迁移城市批发市场的方法,目的是通过提高交通效率来缓解中心区域的拥挤状况,并使其成为无污染区域。本文提出了一个双层优化框架,在上层追求地方当局的目标,即相对于确保物有所值的支出,实现福利效益最大化。下层框架考虑了零售商对批发市场搬迁的反应,允许他们选择采购地点。下层问题还模拟了商用车辆和私家车辆的路线选择,以衡量由此造成的街道拥堵。针对印度尼西亚万隆的情况,采用整数粒子群优化算法解决了这个双层问题。结果显示,搬迁批发市场可将市中心的交通效率和污染水平提高约 14%。整个城市的交通速度也提高了 6.6%,污染水平也略有下降。作为一项战略,市场搬迁将显著提高效率和污染水平,但必须进行仔细规划和评估,否则市中心以外的排放量可能会增加。
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引用次数: 0
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Case Studies on Transport Policy
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