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Investigating the effects of changing departure times on controlling secondary traffic peaks during the implementation of a congestion charge zone 研究在设立挤塞收费区期间,改变发车时间对控制二次交通高峰的影响
IF 3.3 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.cstp.2025.101700
Sedigheh KhorramDehnavi , Salman AghidiKheyrabadi , Ali MorovatiSharifabadi , Alireza NaserSadrabadi
Transportation demand management policies have the potential to significantly alter individuals’ routine travel behavior. One of the key responses of private car passengers to the implementation of congestion plans is the adjustment of trip departure times. If the management of changing trip departure time shifts is not effective, the emergence of traffic peak periods before and after the plan may exceed current peak traffic levels. A literature review reveals that the investigation of trip departure time adjustments has received limited attention, and behavior regulation strategies to mitigate peak period formation have not been explored. The primary aim of this paper is to develop scenarios integrating transportation demand management strategies to prevent the occurrence of a tipping point. To achieve this, the effects of social and economic factors, travel characteristics, and citizens’ attitudes toward transportation demand management policies on private car passengers’ departure time shifts in the congestion zone have been examined. To estimate the probability of departure time adjustments, 2,256 individuals were interviewed in Shiraz, yielding 13,536 observations through Stated-Preference (SP) analysis. The calibration of the binary logit model has demonstrated that congestion pricing policies, parking fees, reductions in public transportation travel time, and enhancements in bus service quality exert significant influence on departure time modifications. Based on extensive policy considerations, 27 out of the 36 defined scenarios—those generating a peak period outside the congestion plan’s implementation timeframe—have been deemed unsuitable for execution. This paper introduces a novel probability-thresholding framework that operationalizes behavioral model outputs to proactively screen Transport Demand Management (TDM) scenarios for secondary congestion risks — a methodological advancement not previously applied in developing-city contexts.
交通需求管理政策有可能显著改变个人的日常出行行为。私家车乘客对实施挤塞计划的主要回应之一是调整行车出发时间。如果改变出行出发时间的管理不有效,计划前后出现的交通高峰可能会超过当前的交通高峰水平。文献综述表明,对出行出发时间调整的研究受到了有限的关注,并且尚未探索缓解高峰时段形成的行为调节策略。本文的主要目的是开发整合交通需求管理策略的场景,以防止临界点的发生。为此,研究了社会经济因素、出行特征和市民对交通需求管理政策的态度对拥堵区私家车乘客出发时间偏移的影响。为了估计出发时间调整的可能性,我们访问了设拉子地区的2256个人,通过状态偏好(SP)分析得出13536个观察结果。二元logit模型的校正表明,拥堵收费政策、停车费、公共交通出行时间的减少和公共汽车服务质量的提高对出发时间的调整有显著影响。基于广泛的政策考虑,在36个已定义的场景中,有27个场景(即在拥堵计划实施时间框架之外产生高峰时段的场景)被认为不适合执行。本文介绍了一种新的概率阈值框架,该框架可操作行为模型输出,以主动筛选交通需求管理(TDM)方案中的二次拥堵风险——这是一种以前未在发展中城市环境中应用的方法进步。
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引用次数: 0
Demystifying complexities in the adoption of hydraulic-powered personal rapid transit systems: a multi-stakeholder perspective 揭开采用液压动力个人快速交通系统的复杂性:多方利益相关者的视角
IF 3.3 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.cstp.2025.101683
Muhammad Usman Ghani , Zheng Yonglai , Ahsan Waqas , Omrane Benjeddou , Hamad R. Almujibah
The emergence of Personal Rapid Transit (PRT) systems has provided a highly appealing solution to the challenges linked to urban mobility, including pollution, congestion, and access. Nevertheless, the global implementation of PRT systems is extremely limited, indicating a significant research void that must be elucidated by examining numerous factors and obstacles that influence the adopting such systems in urban environments. This study fills this void by employing a comprehensive multi-stakeholder approach—including a literature review and quantitative analysis to comprehend the complexities associated with PRT adoption. According to the findings, critical technological, environmental, economic, societal, and regulatory obstacles impede the implementation of PRT systems. Given the technological obstacles, integration with municipal infrastructure appeared to be the most critical factor, as indicated by the path coefficient value of 0.454, which significantly impacts adoption decisions. Additional important factors that fall within the purview of the path coefficient are economic and environmental considerations, which have respective path coefficients of 0.208 and 0.343. This is associated with a significant and tangible influence on the feasibility and reception of PRT systems. Stakeholders deemed the development of multifaceted planning and adaptive policy frameworks to emphasize the significance of regulatory support and public acceptability with path coefficients of 0.307 and 0.276, respectively. The study’s practical implications encompass urban planners, policymakers, and investors, particularly regarding utilizing collaborative strategies to surmount obstacles to adoption.
个人快速交通(PRT)系统的出现为城市交通带来的挑战提供了一个极具吸引力的解决方案,包括污染、拥堵和通道问题。然而,PRT系统的全球实施极为有限,这表明一个重大的研究空白,必须通过审查影响在城市环境中采用这种系统的众多因素和障碍来阐明。本研究通过采用全面的多利益相关者方法填补了这一空白,包括文献综述和定量分析,以理解与采用PRT相关的复杂性。根据调查结果,关键的技术、环境、经济、社会和监管障碍阻碍了PRT系统的实施。考虑到技术障碍,与市政基础设施的整合似乎是最关键的因素,路径系数值为0.454,显著影响采用决策。路径系数范围内的其他重要因素是经济和环境因素,其路径系数分别为0.208和0.343。这对PRT系统的可行性和接收产生了重大而切实的影响。利益相关者认为制定多方面的规划和适应性政策框架,以强调监管支持和公众可接受性的重要性,路径系数分别为0.307和0.276。该研究的实际意义包括城市规划者、政策制定者和投资者,特别是在利用合作战略克服采用障碍方面。
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引用次数: 0
Reliability-based crash risk analysis for prioritizing safety projects 基于可靠性的碰撞风险分析对安全项目进行优先排序
IF 3.3 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.cstp.2026.101709
Hossein Saedi, Ali Abdi Kordani, Hamid Reza Behnood
Social crash costs and the limitations of allocated highway safety budgets are two key factors influencing the prioritization of highway safety projects. To ensure the efficient use of these budgets, expenditures must be optimized to achieve the highest possible impact. This study presents a framework that uses the Empirical Bayesian (EB) method to develop probabilistic models of social crash costs. The framework calculates the exceedance probability of crash costs for various collision types, including rare events, through the Monte Carlo method, a technique within reliability analysis. The framework is applied to Highway 36 in Iran, which spans 186 km. Utilizing a reliability-based risk analysis, all highway segments—comprising 34 tangent and 30 horizontal curve segments—were prioritized for safety improvements. A key outcome of this study, beyond project prioritization, is the creation of exceedance probability curves for social crash costs across different collision types. These curves offer a valuable foundation for informed decision-making in risk mitigation.
社会碰撞成本和公路安全预算分配的局限性是影响公路安全项目优先级的两个关键因素。为了确保这些预算的有效使用,必须优化支出,以实现最大可能的影响。本研究提出了一个框架,使用经验贝叶斯(EB)方法来开发社会崩溃成本的概率模型。该框架通过蒙特卡罗方法(可靠性分析中的一种技术)计算各种碰撞类型(包括罕见事件)的碰撞成本超出概率。该框架适用于伊朗36号高速公路,全长186公里。利用基于可靠性的风险分析,所有高速公路路段——包括34个切线路段和30个水平弯道路段——都被优先考虑进行安全改进。除了项目优先级之外,本研究的一个关键成果是创建了不同碰撞类型的社会崩溃成本的超越概率曲线。这些曲线为降低风险的知情决策提供了宝贵的基础。
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引用次数: 0
Railway liberalization and efficiency: Incumbents vs. Entrants in Austria and Czechia 铁路自由化和效率:奥地利和捷克的现有者与进入者
IF 3.3 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.cstp.2026.101710
Marek Vokoun , František Stellner , Tomáš Nigrin , Jan Neugebauer
This study evaluates the scale efficiency (SE) of passenger railway operators in Austria and Czechia between 2015 and 2019, aiming to understand the impact of liberalization on sectoral performance. Using an input-oriented Slack-Based Measure (SBM) Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) model under Variable Returns to Scale (VRS), the research analyzed financial and operational data from ORBIS and MagnusWeb databases for both incumbent and non-incumbent companies. Results reveal a consistent pattern: national incumbents, ÖBB Personenverkehr AG (Austria) and České dráhy, a.s. (Czechia), exhibited significant and persistent scale inefficiencies, averaging 35.39% and 51.54% SE respectively. This indicates they operate below their optimal scale, likely due to decreasing returns to scale. In stark contrast, several private and regional operators in both countries consistently achieved perfect or near-perfect SE, demonstrating optimal alignment with the Most Productive Scale Size (MPSS). For example, CityRail, RegioJet (Czechia), Montafonerbahn AG, and WESTbahn Management GmbH (Austria) maintained 100% SE. While Austria’s overall sector showed higher average efficiency and resilience due to a broader base of well-performing non-incumbents, the Czech sector exhibited greater volatility among smaller operators, though it showed an improving trend by 2019. The findings suggest that railway liberalization, while fostering efficiency among new entrants, has not uniformly resolved the deep-seated inefficiencies of incumbents. Achieving true sectoral efficiency requires structural reforms beyond mere market access, addressing issues such as governance, subsidies, and regulatory oversight.
本研究评估了奥地利和捷克2015 - 2019年间客运铁路运营商的规模效率(SE),旨在了解自由化对部门绩效的影响。本研究采用可变规模回报(VRS)下以投入为导向的基于松弛测度(SBM)的数据包络分析(DEA)模型,分析了来自ORBIS和MagnusWeb数据库的既有企业和非既有企业的财务和运营数据。结果显示了一致的模式:国家现有企业ÖBB Personenverkehr AG(奥地利)和České dráhy, a.s(捷克)表现出显著和持续的规模效率低下,平均SE分别为35.39%和51.54%。这表明它们的运营低于其最佳规模,可能是由于规模回报减少。与此形成鲜明对比的是,这两个国家的一些私营和地区运营商始终如一地实现了完美或接近完美的SE,证明了与最生产规模尺寸(MPSS)的最佳一致性。例如,CityRail、RegioJet(捷克)、Montafonerbahn AG和WESTbahn Management GmbH(奥地利)保持了100%的SE。虽然奥地利的整体行业表现出更高的平均效率和弹性,因为有更多表现良好的非老牌公司,但捷克的行业在小型运营商中表现出更大的波动性,尽管到2019年呈现出改善的趋势。研究结果表明,铁路自由化虽然促进了新进入者的效率,但并没有统一地解决现有企业根深蒂固的低效率问题。实现真正的部门效率需要结构性改革,而不仅仅是市场准入,还要解决治理、补贴和监管监督等问题。
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引用次数: 0
Delays in container vessels operations and trade in container terminals: Empirical Insights on Nigerian container terminals 集装箱船运营和集装箱码头贸易的延迟:对尼日利亚集装箱码头的实证见解
IF 3.3 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.cstp.2025.101655
Chinyeaka Nwokodi Nwoloziri , Ibeawuchi Chibueze Nze , Arbia Hlali
The Nigerian container ports handle with systemic delays, including prolonged ship turnaround times, berth congestion, bureaucratic documentation, inefficient customs procedures, and traffic gridlock, which exacerbate operational inefficiencies. This study investigates the economic impact of vessel delays through a quantitative analysis of secondary data from Nigerian port container terminals (2007–2022), encompassing ship turnaround times, vessel traffic calls, berth occupancy rates, Gross Registered Tonnage (GRT), TEU throughput, and vessel operation tariffs. Employing a log-linear multiple regression model and Analysis of Variance (ANOVA), the research evaluated correlations between delay costs and three critical variables: container trade volume (TEU), ship traffic volume, and GRT of vessels. The results revealed statistically significant positive correlations on Delays in Vessels Operations and Trend of Shipping Operations in Nigerian Container Terminals is significant given R = 0.839527and P-value = 0.019826. The effect of Delay Costs in Vessels Operations on Trend of Container Shipping Operations is significant given (R = 0.764598 and P-value = 0.0169194). The effect of Delay Costs in Vessels Operations on Ship Calls in Nigerian Container Terminals is significant given R = 0.732767 and P = 0.045269. Effect of Delay Costs in Vessels Operations on GRT of Ships handled in Nigerian Container Terminals is significant given R = 0.644546 and P-value = 0.17143. These findings underscore how growing trade volumes and vessel sizes amplify the financial penalties of port inefficiencies. The study attributes these delays to infrastructural constraints, post-concession policy gaps, and procedural bottlenecks. To mitigate economic losses, it advocates strict adherence to a two-day ship turnaround benchmark and systemic reforms targeting digitized customs processes, berth optimization, and road network upgrades. By addressing these challenges, Nigerian ports could reduce delay-related costs.
尼日利亚的集装箱港口面临着系统性的延误,包括船舶周转时间延长、泊位拥堵、官僚文件、海关程序效率低下和交通堵塞,这些都加剧了运营效率低下。本研究通过对尼日利亚港口集装箱码头(2007-2022年)的二手数据进行定量分析,调查船舶延误的经济影响,包括船舶周转时间、船舶交通呼叫、泊位占用率、总注册吨位(GRT)、TEU吞吐量和船舶运营费率。采用对数线性多元回归模型和方差分析(ANOVA),评估了延误成本与集装箱贸易量(TEU)、船舶运输量和船舶GRT三个关键变量之间的相关性。结果显示,在R = 0.839527, p值= 0.019826的情况下,尼日利亚集装箱码头船舶作业延误与航运作业趋势呈显著正相关。船舶作业延误成本对集装箱运输作业趋势的影响显著(R = 0.764598, p值= 0.0169194)。在R = 0.732767和P = 0.045269的条件下,船舶作业延误成本对尼日利亚集装箱码头船舶停靠的影响显著。船舶作业延误成本对尼日利亚集装箱码头船舶处理GRT的影响显著,R = 0.644546, p值= 0.17143。这些发现突显出,不断增长的贸易量和船舶规模如何放大了港口效率低下带来的经济惩罚。该研究将这些延迟归因于基础设施限制、特许后政策差距和程序瓶颈。为了减轻经济损失,它主张严格遵守两天的船舶周转基准,并针对数字化海关流程、泊位优化和道路网络升级进行系统性改革。通过解决这些挑战,尼日利亚港口可以减少与延误相关的成本。
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引用次数: 0
How will electric, autonomous, and shared vehicles impact sustainable urban mobility? Professionals’ insights from Brazil 电动汽车、自动驾驶汽车和共享汽车将如何影响可持续的城市交通?巴西专业人士的见解
IF 3.3 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.cstp.2025.101680
Anna Luíza Nobre Bezerra , Antônio Nélson Rodrigues da Silva
It was anticipated that the so-called “Mobility 4.0″ would introduce modifications to transport systems that could potentially influence mobility conditions provided by existing modes of transport. Nevertheless, it remains unclear how these changes will impact mobility in terms of its sustainability. This gap is particularly evident in countries such as Brazil, where this research was conducted. This study evaluated the prospective implications of selected mobility 4.0 developments (in particular, electric and autonomous vehicle technologies, and shared mobility) by examining 18 themes related to sustainable urban mobility. An online questionnaire was designed and distributed to professionals in the field. The questionnaire sought to categorize the most significant impacts within each theme using a 5-level Likert scale, ranging from very positive to very negative. Data analysis extracted from 320 valid responses provides empirical evidence that helps identify these technologies’ potential impacts on urban mobility’s sustainability. Depending on the theme, these impacts may be positive, negative, or neutral/undefined. It is noteworthy, for example, that electric vehicles and shared mobility have been evaluated very positively in relation to the theme Control of impacts on environment, which falls within the Environmental aspects domain. Overall, the level of knowledge demonstrated by the respondents did not significantly impact the results. However, when observed, this characteristic was notably marked among the respondents with advanced practical knowledge. Finally, in terms of policy recommendations, the outcomes suggest that policymakers must be prepared to constantly adapt policies based on changing technology, user behavior, and urban dynamics. Moreover, potential discrepancies in access to distinct socioeconomic groups are also a concern that must be addressed by policies, as these groups may have differing needs and expectations.
预计所谓的“机动性4.0″”将对运输系统进行修改,可能会影响现有运输方式提供的机动性条件。然而,目前尚不清楚这些变化将如何影响交通的可持续性。这一差距在巴西等国家尤其明显,巴西是进行这项研究的国家。本研究通过考察与可持续城市交通相关的18个主题,评估了选定的交通4.0发展(特别是电动和自动驾驶汽车技术,以及共享交通)的潜在影响。设计了一份在线问卷,并分发给该领域的专业人士。调查问卷试图使用5级李克特量表对每个主题中最重要的影响进行分类,范围从非常积极到非常消极。从320个有效回复中提取的数据分析提供了经验证据,有助于确定这些技术对城市交通可持续性的潜在影响。根据主题的不同,这些影响可能是积极的、消极的或中性的/未定义的。值得注意的是,例如,电动汽车和共享出行在环境影响控制主题方面得到了非常积极的评价,这属于环境方面的领域。总体而言,被调查者所展示的知识水平对结果没有显著影响。然而,当观察时,这一特征在具有高级实践知识的受访者中尤为明显。最后,在政策建议方面,研究结果表明,政策制定者必须做好准备,根据不断变化的技术、用户行为和城市动态不断调整政策。此外,在接触不同社会经济群体方面的潜在差异也是一个必须通过政策加以解决的问题,因为这些群体可能有不同的需求和期望。
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引用次数: 0
Ship arrival patterns at the port of Sines: A comparative analysis of ETA and ATA 锡尼士港船舶到达模式:ETA与ATA的比较分析
IF 3.3 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.cstp.2026.101705
Luís Rosa, Francisco Borges, Crismeire Isbaex, Carmen Luisa Vásquez, Teresa Batista
Accurate vessel arrival predictions are fundamental to efficient port operations, yet their reliability remains poorly understood. This study examines 15 years of arrival data from the Port of Sines (2009–2023) to assess the accuracy of Estimated Time of Arrival (ETA) predictions and their operational implications. The analysis of vessel movements reveals that precise on-time arrivals occurred in only 1.77 % of cases. While 56.93 % of vessels arrived ahead of schedule, delayed arrivals were disproportionately severe, averaging 6 h and 52 min late. The data shows 1,623 instances of extreme delays exceeding 24 h, highlighting significant forecasting challenges. Terminal specific analysis demonstrates marked variation in performance: The Container Terminal recorded the highest average delay (+10:26 h) and was the only facility where late arrivals outnumbered early ones. It was found that vessels with frequent port calls exhibited substantially better punctuality, indicating that operational knowledge improves scheduling accuracy. These timing discrepancies translate directly into extended anchorage periods, generating measurable economic costs and environmental impacts through increased fuel consumption and emissions. Better forecasting accuracy could significantly reduce the operational inefficiencies that currently outbreak container shipping operations.
准确的船舶到达预测是高效港口运营的基础,但其可靠性仍鲜为人知。本研究考察了锡尼什港(2009-2023)15年的到达数据,以评估估计到达时间(ETA)预测的准确性及其操作意义。对船只运动的分析显示,准确准时到达的病例仅占1.77%。虽然56.93%的船只提前到达,但延误严重,平均迟到6小时52分钟。数据显示,超过24小时的极端延误有1623起,这凸显了预测方面的重大挑战。航站楼具体分析显示了显著的表现差异:集装箱码头记录了最高的平均延误(+10:26小时),是唯一一个迟到人数超过早到人数的设施。研究发现,频繁停靠港口的船只表现出更好的准点率,这表明操作知识提高了调度准确性。这些时间差异直接转化为锚固期的延长,通过增加燃料消耗和排放产生可衡量的经济成本和环境影响。更好的预测准确性可以显著减少目前爆发的集装箱运输业务的运营效率低下。
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引用次数: 0
Dual airports, market exit and airline competition——evidence of the Chinese market 双机场、市场退出和航空公司竞争——中国市场的证据
IF 3.3 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cstp.2025.101640
Ying Sun
The paper studies the opening of Beijing Daxing International Airport (BDIA) and the accompanying transfer of flight capacity by Eastern Airlines and Southern Airlines to BDIA away from Beijing Capital International Airport (BCIA). The study treats this transfer as an exit event at BCIA (and the announcement of the capacity reduction as a potential exit event) to study how incumbents at BCIA react to the (potential) exit. It is found that, as potential market exit has occurred, the incumbents of BCIA increase fares close to and far away from the departure date and reduce fares when the departure date is neither close nor far away. Meanwhile, when the departure date is neither close nor far away, incumbents also reduce code-sharing and seat supply. The reasons for incumbents’ preemptive actions may be lock-in effect or competition softening. In addition, this paper also implies a ‘ratchet’ effect by potential market exit.
本文研究了北京大兴国际机场(BDIA)的开通以及东航和南航从首都国际机场向BDIA转移的航班运力。本研究将这一转移视为BCIA的退出事件(并将削减产能的公告视为潜在的退出事件),以研究BCIA的在职人员如何应对(潜在的)退出。研究发现,当潜在的市场退出发生时,BCIA的在位者在离出发日期近和远的地方增加票价,在离出发日期不近和不远的地方降低票价。同时,当出发日期既不接近也不遥远时,现有公司也会减少代码共享和座位供应。现有企业先发制人的原因可能是锁定效应或竞争软化。此外,本文还暗示了潜在市场退出的“棘轮”效应。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluation of e-scooter sharing as a feeder mode for public transport in suburban communities in Germany – A mixed methods approach 电动滑板车共享作为德国郊区公共交通的接驳模式的评估-混合方法方法
IF 3.3 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.cstp.2025.101657
Jan Gödde, Joachim Scheiner
E-scooter-sharing is primarily offered in large cities, where e-scooters are frequently used as a feeder mode for public transport (first and last mile). Nevertheless, critics argue that these services may be redundant in well-connected urban areas and could offer greater value in suburban or peripheral regions, where first/last mile transport is often less flexible, the number of departures of feeder modes is lower and distances to stations are longer. This study evaluates the utilization potential of e-scooter-sharing and the challenges of implementing it in suburban communities in Germany by using a three-part mixed methods approach: we estimate demand through spatial analysis, engage stakeholders in focus groups to discuss implementation strategies, and analyze user behavior and movement patterns in a living lab, in which we test e-scooter-sharing in a suburban town over a two-month period. Results suggest utilization potential in intermodal commuting routes of young inhabitants, with insufficient cycling networks and financial difficulties being the main challenges of adoption. Cooperation between cities and providers is identified as the key to successful adaptation, for establishing parking regulations, and creating an integrated experience of public transport and e-scooter-sharing.
电动滑板车共享主要在大城市提供,在那里,电动滑板车经常被用作公共交通的支线模式(第一英里和最后一英里)。然而,批评人士认为,这些服务在交通发达的城市地区可能是多余的,而在郊区或外围地区可能提供更大的价值,因为这些地区的第一/最后一英里交通通常不太灵活,支线模式的发车次数较少,到车站的距离更长。本研究通过三部分混合方法评估了共享电动滑板车的利用潜力以及在德国郊区社区实施的挑战:我们通过空间分析估计需求,让利益相关者参与焦点小组讨论实施策略,并在生活实验室中分析用户行为和运动模式,其中我们在郊区城镇测试了两个月的共享电动滑板车。结果表明,在自行车网络不足和经济困难是采用多式联运通勤路线的主要挑战的情况下,年轻居民有利用多式联运通勤路线的潜力。城市和供应商之间的合作被认为是成功适应的关键,可以建立停车法规,创造公共交通和电动滑板车共享的综合体验。
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引用次数: 0
Pardon me but your e-scooter is in my space: Evaluating the effectiveness of e-scooters parking policies through big data analytics 不好意思,你的电动滑板车占用了我的空间:通过大数据分析评估电动滑板车停车政策的有效性
IF 3.3 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.cstp.2026.101707
Sharon Shoshany-Tavory, Hillel Bar-Gera
The growing popularity of shared e-scooters promises to enhance the mobility of urban dwellers in an environmentally friendly manner. On the other hand, e-scooters may potentially pose a risk to other road users, particularly pedestrians, and improperly parked vehicles may hinder accessibility. Therefore, to advance the goals of sustainability and mobility, cities should consider how street space should be managed for all travelers. One policy for shared e-scooter parking control is to limit parking to designated corrals. Corral-based parking policies have been adopted by many municipalities, with limited reports on effectiveness. This study provides an in-depth exploration of such policy deployment, governing the highly utilized services offered in the city of Tel-Aviv. By using our suggested framework and big-data spatio-temporal analytics of e-scooters data, we outline success measures, common pitfalls, and demonstrate city-wide patterns and location-specific results. Our discussion offers policy improvement suggestions, addressing design and policies, including corral-centered monitoring, redistribution policy, resilience estimation, and better space utilization. These could benefit municipalities, operators, and monitoring tools suppliers.
共享电动滑板车的日益普及有望以一种环保的方式增强城市居民的流动性。另一方面,电动滑板车可能会对其他道路使用者,特别是行人构成潜在风险,而停放不当的车辆可能会妨碍无障碍。因此,为了推进可持续性和流动性的目标,城市应该考虑如何为所有旅行者管理街道空间。共享电动滑板车停车控制的一项政策是将停车限制在指定的畜栏内。许多市政当局都采用了基于畜栏的停车政策,但关于其有效性的报道有限。本研究对这种政策部署进行了深入探索,管理特拉维夫市提供的高度利用的服务。通过使用我们建议的框架和对电动滑板车数据的大数据时空分析,我们概述了成功的措施,常见的陷阱,并展示了全市范围内的模式和特定地点的结果。我们的讨论提供了政策改进建议,解决了设计和政策,包括以畜栏为中心的监测、再分配政策、弹性评估和更好的空间利用。这将使市政当局、运营商和监控工具供应商受益。
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Case Studies on Transport Policy
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