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Demand without Supply? Populist Attitudes and Voting Behaviour in Post-Bailout Portugal 没有供给的需求?纾困后葡萄牙的民粹主义态度和投票行为
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2020-04-02 DOI: 10.1080/13608746.2020.1864910
José Santana-Pereira, J. Cancela
ABSTRACT Unlike other European nations, Portugal has experienced an absence of relevant populist parties, even if its recent background of severe economic crisis could have been a fertile ground for their advent. To illuminate this apparent contradiction, we look at the demand side of the equation, drawing on survey data to examine the spread, correlates, and potential electoral implications of populist attitudes in Portugal. We show that while individuals with a populist outlook do not share a particular socioeconomic profile, several attitudinal factors are significant predictors of individual-level populism. Furthermore, those with stronger populist attitudes are not more likely to abstain in elections, but rather tend to vote for parties that exhibit some degree of populism in their rhetoric.
与其他欧洲国家不同,葡萄牙缺乏相关的民粹主义政党,尽管其最近严重的经济危机背景本可以为民粹主义政党的出现提供肥沃的土壤。为了阐明这一明显的矛盾,我们着眼于等式的需求方,利用调查数据来检查葡萄牙民粹主义态度的传播、相关性和潜在的选举影响。我们表明,虽然具有民粹主义观点的个人并不具有特定的社会经济特征,但一些态度因素是个人层面民粹主义的重要预测因素。此外,那些民粹主义态度更强烈的人不太可能在选举中弃权,而是倾向于投票给那些在言论中表现出某种程度民粹主义的政党。
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引用次数: 16
The Exceptional Case of Post-Bailout Portugal: A Comparative Outlook 纾困后葡萄牙的例外情况:比较展望
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2020-04-02 DOI: 10.1080/13608746.2021.1872152
Elisabetta De Giorgi, José Santana-Pereira
ABSTRACT The analysis explores government, party system and political attitudes as dimensions revealing Portugal’s exceptionalism during its post-bailout period (2015–19) vis-á-vis three other South European countries, Greece, Italy and Spain. It shows that government stability was greater in Portugal, no party system revolution took place and political trust recovered more quickly than in the other countries. In contrast, Portugal is not dissimilar from the other cases regarding the prevalence of populist attitudes, even though populist actors did not achieve electoral success before 2019. The article includes an update on political attitudes and government-opposition relations during the covid-19 pandemic and introduces the other articles in this collection.
摘要本分析探讨了政府、政党制度和政治态度作为维度,揭示了葡萄牙在后救助时期(2015-19)与-á-vis其他三个南欧国家,希腊、意大利和西班牙的例外主义。它表明,葡萄牙政府的稳定性更高,没有发生政党制度革命,政治信任恢复得比其他国家更快。相比之下,在民粹主义态度盛行方面,葡萄牙与其他国家没有什么不同,尽管民粹主义行动者在2019年之前没有取得选举成功。本文介绍了2019冠状病毒病大流行期间的最新政治态度和政府与反对派的关系,并介绍了本文集中的其他文章。
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引用次数: 6
In the Shadow of the ‘Government of the Left’: The 2019 Legislative Elections in Portugal 在“左翼政府”的阴影下:2019年葡萄牙议会选举
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2020-04-02 DOI: 10.1080/13608746.2020.1868702
Carlos Jalali, J. Moniz, Patrícia Silva
ABSTRACT This article examines the Portuguese 2019 legislative election, which took place after a period of unprecedented and unexpected cooperation of the pro-European centre left and eurosceptic radical left. Initially dismissed as a ‘contraption’, this alliance belied the initial expectations and increasingly became a reference for South European social democratic parties. Yet, despite a seemingly reinforced popular mandate, it was not maintained after the 2019 election. We identify three factors for this. First, we suggest that the 2015–19 ‘contraption’ was a case of weak contract parliamentarism, making it easier not to renew. Second, the electoral victory of the Socialist Party made deals between the left-wing parties less necessary. Third, enduring programmatic differences between those parties hindered cooperation. Finally, it should be noted that the ‘contraption’ impacted interparty relations on the left and the expansion in the number of parliamentary parties in 2019, notably on the right.
本文考察了葡萄牙2019年的立法选举,这次选举是在亲欧中左翼和疑欧激进左翼前所未有的合作之后举行的。这个联盟最初被认为是一个“精巧的装置”,但它与最初的期望不符,并逐渐成为南欧社会民主党派的参考。然而,尽管民众的授权似乎得到了加强,但在2019年大选后并没有得到维持。我们确定了三个因素。首先,我们认为2015-19年的“精巧设计”是一个弱合同议会制的例子,这使得不续约变得更容易。其次,社会党的选举胜利使得左翼政党之间的交易变得不那么必要了。第三,各方在方案上的长期分歧阻碍了合作。最后,应该指出的是,这个“精巧的装置”影响了左翼政党之间的关系,以及2019年议会政党数量的增加,尤其是右翼政党。
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引用次数: 6
How to Combine Public Spending with Fiscal Rigour? ‘Austerity by Stealth’ in Post-Bailout Portugal (2015-2019) 如何将公共支出与财政严格结合起来?2015-2019年救助后葡萄牙的“隐形紧缩”
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2020-04-02 DOI: 10.1080/13608746.2020.1863592
Catherine Moury, Elisabetta De Giorgi, P. Barros
ABSTRACT In this article, we argue that the Costa I Socialist government (2015–2019) managed to combine responsiveness to voters with responsibility towards domestic and international actors by pursuing some kind of ‘austerity by stealth’, which we define as less visible fiscal contraction that is not displayed by the government in its public discourse. The radical left parties implicitly agreed with this strategy in exchange for the adoption of a long list of visible anti-austerity policies. This allowed the Costa I government to fulfil its electoral pledges and maintain the support of the radical left on the one hand, whilst also reducing the country’s deficit and consequently the costs of interest-debt repayments.
在本文中,我们认为哥斯达黎加社会主义政府(2015-2019)通过追求某种“隐形紧缩”,成功地将对选民的回应与对国内和国际行动者的责任结合起来,我们将其定义为政府在公共话语中没有展示的不太明显的财政紧缩。激进左翼政党暗中同意这一战略,以换取采取一长串明显的反紧缩政策。这使得哥斯达一政府一方面能够履行其选举承诺,并保持激进左翼的支持,同时也减少了国家的赤字,从而降低了偿还利息债务的成本。
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引用次数: 6
Reforming Greece’s Tax Administration during the Financial Crisis: The Paradox of Power Asymmetry 金融危机中的希腊税收改革:权力不对称的悖论
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2020-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/13608746.2020.1762371
Dionyssis G. Dimitrakopoulos, Argyris Passas
ABSTRACT This article examines the depoliticisation of Greece’s tax administration under the post-2010 bailout agreements in light of three alternative models of domestic change. It shows that one model (external incentives model that is based on power asymmetry) accounts for the direction of the reform but not how far the reform ended up going. There is little evidence in support of the second model (social learning) because of the absence of genuine programme ownership and evidence in support of the third model (lesson-drawing) is limited to the diagnosis of the problem. The final outcome was unintentionally shaped by key choices made by Greek governments in line with the literature on conditionality.
本文根据国内变化的三种替代模式,研究了2010年后救助协议下希腊税收管理的非政治化。它表明,一个模型(基于权力不对称的外部激励模型)说明了改革的方向,但没有说明改革最终走了多远。支持第二种模式(社会学习)的证据很少,因为缺乏真正的项目所有权,而支持第三种模式(吸取教训)的证据仅限于对问题的诊断。希腊政府根据有关条件的文献做出的关键选择,无意中影响了最终结果。
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引用次数: 3
Migration Crisis, Organised Crime and Domestic Politics in Italy: Unfolding the Interplay 移民危机,有组织犯罪和意大利国内政治:展开相互作用
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2020-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/13608746.2020.1738092
Iole Fontana
ABSTRACT Focusing on Italy in the years of the ‘migration crisis’ between 2013 and 2017, this article explores how migration, crime groups and the domestic politics of migration control became entangled in times of crisis. Departing from previous theoretical discussions, it builds a framework that combines crime groups’ actions with domestic political processes in host countries and explores how the crime-migration nexus shaped – and was shaped by – Italian migration policymaking. The article contends that in the context of crisis the nexus took on new forms and that Italian migration politics and policies served to foster rather than counter the phenomenon, in a continuous interplay between criminal practices and policy choices.
本文以2013年至2017年“移民危机”时期的意大利为研究对象,探讨移民、犯罪集团和国内移民控制政治在危机时期是如何纠缠在一起的。从先前的理论讨论出发,它建立了一个框架,将犯罪集团的行动与东道国的国内政治进程结合起来,并探讨了犯罪与移民之间的联系是如何形成的——以及被意大利移民政策制定所塑造的。文章认为,在危机的背景下,这种联系采取了新的形式,意大利的移民政治和政策在犯罪行为和政策选择之间的持续相互作用中促进了而不是反对了这种现象。
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引用次数: 6
Repression without Exception: A Study of Protest Bans during Turkey’s State of Emergency (2016-2018) 镇压无例外:土耳其紧急状态期间禁止抗议的研究(2016-2018)
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2020-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/13608746.2020.1748353
Mert Arslanalp, Deniz Erkmen
ABSTRACT Following the coup attempt of 15 July 2016, the Turkish government declared a state of emergency that would last for two years. In this paper, we focus on an understudied aspect of this period, protest repression during the state of emergency, using an original dataset of protest bans issued in 2007–2019. Engaging with the theoretical claims of emergency scholarship, our paper demonstrates that emergency powers were used to target areas, groups, and issues that were not related to the ‘urgency’ underpinning emergency rule. Moreover, such derogations of rights were perpetuated after the termination of the state of emergency within so-called ordinary legality. These practices were nevertheless embedded in the already authoritarian political-institutional context of Turkey and its layered history of emergencies.
2016年7月15日发生未遂政变后,土耳其政府宣布进入为期两年的紧急状态。在本文中,我们使用2007-2019年发布的抗议禁令原始数据集,重点关注这一时期未被充分研究的方面,即紧急状态期间的抗议镇压。与紧急奖学金的理论主张相结合,我们的论文表明,紧急权力被用于针对与支撑紧急规则的“紧迫性”无关的地区、群体和问题。此外,这种对权利的克减在紧急状态结束后在所谓的普通合法性范围内继续存在。然而,这些做法植根于土耳其本已专制的政治制度背景及其多层次的紧急事件历史。
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引用次数: 8
Between Domestic Learning and External Coercion: Budgeting and Fiscal Management Reform in Greece 在国内学习与外部强制之间:希腊的预算与财政管理改革
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2020-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/13608746.2020.1762372
Calliope Spanou
ABSTRACT The article examines the interplay between external pressure and domestic learning through a case-study of Greek budgetary and fiscal management reform. Pre-crisis, budgetary management inadequacies were not efficiently addressed, mainly due to lack of awareness of problems, a low uncertainty environment and a strong political propensity to maintain discretionary use of financial resources. In contrast, crisis-era bailout conditionality represented a drastic change in the environment, increasing uncertainty and encouraging domestic openness to reform. The fiscal governance framework was significantly transformed, to a point of paradigm change. While there is no doubt regarding the impact of external pressure, the analysis highlights certain aspects that point to a domestic learning process, though variable in different parts of the political-administrative system.
本文以希腊预算和财政管理改革为例,探讨了外部压力与国内学习之间的相互作用。危机前,预算管理不足的问题没有得到有效解决,主要原因是缺乏对问题的认识、不确定性低的环境和保持随意使用财政资源的强烈政治倾向。相比之下,危机时期的救助条件代表了环境的急剧变化,增加了不确定性,鼓励了国内对改革的开放。财政治理框架发生了重大转变,达到了范式转变的程度。虽然外界压力的影响是毫无疑问的,但分析强调了国内学习过程的某些方面,虽然在政治-行政系统的不同部分有所不同。
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引用次数: 4
Migration and Healthcare Reforms in Spain: Symbolic Politics, Converging Outputs, Oppositions from the Field 西班牙的移民和医疗改革:象征政治,趋同输出,来自外地的反对
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2020-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/13608746.2020.1769342
María Bruquetas-Callejo, Roberta Perna
ABSTRACT Migrants’ healthcare entitlement represents a conflictive issue in the political battlefield, with research pointing towards the determinant role of party politics in determining policy outputs. Addressing the 2012 healthcare reform and 2018 counter-reform adopted in Spain by a right-wing and left-wing government respectively and drawing on qualitative analysis of parties’ discourses and policy measures, we argue that ideological differences along the healthcare-migration nexus were overemphasised to play symbolic politics. Partisan competition had less impact on actual outputs, while clashes between the central and regional governments, path-dependent practices and opposition from multiple venues played a central role in the policymaking process.
移民的医疗保健权利代表了政治战场上的一个冲突问题,研究指出政党政治在决定政策产出方面的决定性作用。针对西班牙右翼和左翼政府分别采用的2012年医疗改革和2018年反改革,并通过对政党话语和政策措施的定性分析,我们认为,在医疗保健-移民关系上的意识形态差异被过分强调,以发挥象征性政治作用。党派竞争对实际产出的影响较小,而中央和地方政府之间的冲突、路径依赖的做法和来自多个场所的反对在政策制定过程中发挥了核心作用。
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引用次数: 6
The Universities 大学
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2019-12-05 DOI: 10.4324/9780429344077-2
Toby Burrows
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引用次数: 0
期刊
South European Society and Politics
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