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Google Trends and Media Coverage: A Comparison During the COVID-19 Pandemic 趋势与媒体报道:COVID-19大流行期间的比较
IF 2.6 3区 管理学 Q3 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2025-04-06 DOI: 10.1111/1468-5973.70045
Katja Schulze, Johannes Ludwig Löffler, Martin Voss

Since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, infodemiological studies have utilized Google Trends (GT) data to monitor and predict changes in public interest and social behavior. However, the question posed by researchers regarding the relation between online search interest and public media coverage has remained mostly unanswered. Moreover, many studies focus their research mainly on disease labels and symptoms. Thus, this article aims to contribute to crisis research, providing a long-term analysis of Google search queries and media coverage in Germany between January 2020 and December 2022, incorporating a broad range of different keywords and categories. The study identified strong correlations between GT and public media data for the categories of disease labels, dynamics, and severity, followed by moderate to strong correlations for characteristics. GT analysis of these keywords may be suitable to monitor public awareness, validate the media impact and assess the efficacy of health communication strategies. Since the results for symptoms showed no significant relation, disease symptoms may serve as valuable keywords for surveilling or forecasting the spread of infectious diseases. The study emphasizes the significance of examining the relationship between media coverage and information-seeking behavior during pandemics and other crises.

自2019冠状病毒病大流行开始以来,信息流行病学研究利用谷歌趋势(GT)数据监测和预测公共利益和社会行为的变化。然而,研究人员提出的关于在线搜索兴趣和公共媒体报道之间关系的问题仍未得到解答。此外,许多研究主要集中在疾病的标签和症状上。因此,本文旨在为危机研究做出贡献,提供2020年1月至2022年12月期间德国b谷歌搜索查询和媒体报道的长期分析,包括广泛的不同关键词和类别。该研究确定了GT与公共媒体数据之间在疾病标签、动态和严重程度类别方面的强相关性,其次是特征方面的中度至强相关性。对这些关键词的GT分析可能适用于监测公众意识、验证媒体影响和评估卫生传播策略的有效性。由于结果与症状无显著相关性,疾病症状可作为监测或预测传染病传播的有价值的关键词。该研究强调了在大流行和其他危机期间检查媒体报道与信息寻求行为之间关系的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Public Health Response Model Estimates Bombing Consequences of Three Historical Events 公共卫生反应模型估计三个历史事件的轰炸后果
IF 2.6 3区 管理学 Q3 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2025-04-05 DOI: 10.1111/1468-5973.70043
Jennifer Malik, Abigail A. A. Enders, Jack Morrison

Emergency medical response after mass casualty bombing events impacts victim outcomes. Preparedness efforts and scenario analysis via a public health response model may help mitigate morbidity and mortality from an explosive attack. The stock-and-flow model implementation and analysis were conducted using three, well-documented, historical bombing events: Birmingham Pubs, Centennial Olympic Park, and Boston Marathon. The explosives public health response model was evaluated using the known injuries sustained in the historical events and subsequent patient outcomes. Injury type and severity were used by the model to predict hospital routing, countermeasure consumption, and victim outcomes, including treatment efficacy. The model predictions are compared to the literature reports available for each event, and statistical acceptance criteria were results within two standard deviations of the historical data. The Birmingham Pubs bombings historically had 182 surviving casualties, and it is predicted there are 181 (±1.5) surviving casualties; Centennial Olympic Park bombing had 111 surviving casualties, and the model predicts 111 (±0); and Boston Marathon bombings resulted in 281 surviving casualties, and the model predicts 280 (±5.1). For all three historical events, the model predicts within two standard deviations for all examined parameters (alive, fatal, hospital routing, fatal untreated, and fatal ineffective treatment) except for the modeled hospital routing of Centennial Olympic Park bombing. Historically, all surviving victims were transported (111 patients) to area hospitals, and the model predicts 83 (±9.9) hospital transports with more people receiving sufficient care at attack site triage. The public health response model examined herein is an effective planning and mitigation tool for event preparedness to reduce risk based on historical accuracy with victim outcomes. Optimization of triage, hospital routing, and countermeasure consumption can improve victim outcome with this modeling tool. Explosives continue to be a public health risk, and mitigation efforts, such as this model, provide avenues for improved health care response.

大规模伤亡爆炸事件后的紧急医疗反应影响受害者的结局。通过公共卫生反应模型进行的准备工作和情景分析可能有助于减少爆炸袭击造成的发病率和死亡率。库存-流量模型的实现和分析使用了三个有充分记录的历史爆炸事件:伯明翰酒吧、百年奥林匹克公园和波士顿马拉松。使用历史事件中已知的伤害和随后的患者结果对爆炸物公共卫生反应模型进行了评估。模型使用损伤类型和严重程度来预测医院路线、对策消耗和受害者结局,包括治疗效果。将模型预测与每个事件的可用文献报告进行比较,统计接受标准是历史数据的两个标准差范围内的结果。伯明翰酒吧爆炸案历史上有182人幸存,预计有181(±1.5)人幸存;百年奥林匹克公园爆炸案有111人幸存,模型预测111人(±0);波士顿马拉松爆炸案导致281人幸存,该模型预测有280人(±5.1)。对于所有三个历史事件,除了百年奥林匹克公园爆炸的医院路线模型外,该模型对所有检查参数(活的、致命的、医院路线、致命的未经治疗和致命的无效治疗)的预测都在两个标准差之内。从历史上看,所有幸存的受害者(111名患者)都被送往地区医院,该模型预测有83(±9.9)家医院被送往医院,更多的人在袭击现场接受了足够的治疗。本文所研究的公共卫生应对模型是一种有效的规划和缓解工具,用于事件准备,以根据受害者结果的历史准确性降低风险。使用此建模工具,可以优化分类、医院路线和对策消耗,从而改善受害者的预后。爆炸物仍然是一种公共健康风险,而减轻风险的努力,如这种模式,为改进保健反应提供了途径。
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引用次数: 0
Trust Erosion Framework for Organisational Responses to and Management of Global Emergencies 组织应对和管理全球紧急情况的信任侵蚀框架
IF 2.6 3区 管理学 Q3 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2025-04-03 DOI: 10.1111/1468-5973.70039
LaShonda Eaddy, Santosh Vijaykumar, Yan Jin, Xuerong Lu, Swati Sharma, Aravind Sesagiri Raamkumar

In response to the societal crisis of trust widely documented by researchers and pollsters, this conceptual paper proposes a Trust Erosion Framework (TEF). By drawing analogies with the process of soil erosion, we postulate that the erosion of trust proceeds in stages: detachment, transportation and deposition. Furthermore, erosion of trust may be precipitated by the gravitational pulls of sticky and spillover crises, moderate weather events (e.g., disinformation), or extreme weather events (e.g., global crises). Responses to trust erosion and further management of trust is a dynamic, cyclical process. We illustrate the key ideas within our framework through a case study of the World Health Organization's crisis communication management during the COVID-19 pandemic. In these ways, the TEF offers an organised, evidence-based way to understand and respond to trust erosion especially during major global crises. The expanded conceptualisation of trust erosion may enable crisis communication stakeholders from academia, practice and policy to develop innovative, proactive communication strategies, that anticipate headwinds and respond in a timely, effective manner.

针对研究人员和民意测验专家广泛记录的社会信任危机,本文提出了一个信任侵蚀框架(TEF)。通过与土壤侵蚀过程的类比,我们假设信任的侵蚀是分阶段进行的:分离、运输和沉积。此外,粘性危机和溢出危机、中等天气事件(如虚假信息)或极端天气事件(如全球危机)的引力可能会加速信任的侵蚀。应对信任侵蚀和进一步管理信任是一个动态的、周期性的过程。我们通过对2019冠状病毒病大流行期间世界卫生组织危机沟通管理的案例研究,阐述了我们框架中的关键思想。通过这些方式,TEF提供了一种有组织的、基于证据的方式来理解和应对信任侵蚀,尤其是在重大全球危机期间。扩大信任侵蚀的概念可能使来自学术界、实践和政策的危机沟通利益相关者能够制定创新的、积极的沟通战略,预测不利因素并及时有效地作出反应。
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引用次数: 0
Correction to “A Micro-Level Model for Crisis Management in Tourism Destinations: An Interdisciplinary Approach” 修正“旅游目的地危机管理的微观层次模型:跨学科方法”
IF 2.6 3区 管理学 Q3 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1111/1468-5973.70042

Khardani, C., and Schmude, J. 2024. “A Micro-Level Model for Crisis Management in Tourism Destinations: An Interdisciplinary Approach.” Journal of Contingencies and Crisis Management 32, no. 3: e12619. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-5973.12619

The research focus for all three should be “Organisational” and not “Tourism.”

I apologize for this error.

陈志强,陈志强。2009。旅游目的地危机管理的微观层次模型:跨学科的方法。突发事件与危机管理学报,第32期。3: e12619。https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-5973.12619The这三者的研究重点应该是“组织”而不是“旅游”。我为这个错误道歉。
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引用次数: 0
Navigating the Beneficiary/NGO Relationship: A Model of Intercultural Trust in Disaster Response 导航受益人/非政府组织关系:灾害应对中的跨文化信任模型
IF 2.6 3区 管理学 Q3 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2025-03-31 DOI: 10.1111/1468-5973.70038
Christa L. Remington, Charity R. Remington

This study examines the role of cultural competence in increasing trust between community-based NGO workers and beneficiaries in Haiti. Using data from focus groups (n = 7) and surveys (n = 140) done with Haitians still living in NGO managed camps nearly a decade after the 2010 earthquake, this study includes the rarely heard beneficiary perspective and examines ways that NGOs can more effectively build trust and cultivate buy-in from the communities they serve in the aftermath of disasters. Our results show that there is a positive relationship between trust and cultural competence. Additionally, there is a positive relationship between trust and respect, even when cultural competence is ranked low. We propose a model of intercultural trust, where respect is an antecedent of cultural competence, and cultural competence enhances trust in the NGO worker/beneficiary relationship. This study encourages NGOs to increase their aid workers' cultural awareness, knowledge, and skills to cultivate greater trust with beneficiaries, thereby increasing the effectiveness of post-disaster programs.

本研究考察了文化能力在增加海地社区非政府组织工作人员和受益人之间信任方面的作用。本研究使用焦点小组(n = 7)和调查(n = 140)的数据,调查对象是在2010年地震发生近十年后仍生活在非政府组织管理的营地中的海地人,包括很少听到的受益者观点,并探讨了非政府组织如何在灾后更有效地建立信任和培养他们所服务的社区的支持。我们的研究结果表明,信任与文化能力之间存在正相关关系。此外,即使在文化能力排名较低的情况下,信任和尊重之间也存在正相关关系。我们提出了一个跨文化信任模型,其中尊重是文化能力的先决条件,文化能力增强了非政府组织工作人员/受益人关系中的信任。本研究鼓励非政府组织提高其援助人员的文化意识、知识和技能,以培养与受益人之间更大的信任,从而提高灾后项目的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Organisational Resilience to Compound Events: Wildfire and the COVID-19 Pandemic in the Sierra Nevada Region of California 复合事件的组织弹性:加州内华达山脉地区的野火和COVID-19大流行
IF 2.6 3区 管理学 Q3 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2025-03-27 DOI: 10.1111/1468-5973.70041
Kristin VanderMolen, Tamara U. Wall

The years 2020 and 2021 mark the two largest wildfire seasons in recorded California state history and the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. This article employs the resilience as meta-capability framework in the study of small- and medium-sized enterprise (SME) response to and recovery from these compound events in the Sierra Nevada region of California, with three aims. The first is to advance understanding of organisational resilience to compound events. The second is to motivate a theoretically informed body of work that moves SME climate-related impact studies beyond empirical description of outcomes and towards understanding of how resilient organisations might be built. The third is to support increased SME resilience through the identification and dissemination of the key capabilities and conditions that enabled response and recovery. Findings, based on semi-structured interviews with 32 Sierra Nevada SMEs, suggest that the resilience as meta-capability framework is helpful towards achieving those ends.

2020 年和 2021 年是加利福尼亚州有史以来最大的两个野火季节,也是 COVID-19 大流行的开始。本文在研究加利福尼亚内华达山脉地区中小型企业(SME)对这些复合事件的响应和恢复时采用了 "复原力即元能力 "框架,目的有三。首先是加深对组织应对复合事件能力的理解。第二个目的是推动有理论依据的工作,使中小企业与气候相关的影响研究超越对结果的经验性描述,进而了解如何建立具有抗灾能力的组织。第三,通过识别和传播有助于应对和恢复的关键能力和条件,支持提高中小企业的抗灾能力。根据对 32 家内华达山脉中小企业的半结构式访谈得出的结果表明,作为元能力的复原力框架有助于实现这些目标。
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引用次数: 0
Wear a Mask, Save a Life? Insights From COVID-19 on Shifting Digital Influence Amid High Epistemic Uncertainty During Crisis 戴口罩救命?2019冠状病毒病对危机期间认知高度不确定性下数字影响力转移的启示
IF 2.6 3区 管理学 Q3 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2025-03-19 DOI: 10.1111/1468-5973.70040
Yonggang Lu

This study examines opinion leadership and information diffusion on Twitter (X) during crisis periods with high epistemic uncertainty among the public. By analysing a tweet dataset captured during a unique COVID-19 period marked by conflicting face mask guidelines, we explore how crisis situations like this reshape social media influence dynamics. Our findings reveal complex and paradoxical relationships between traditional indicators of opinion leadership and actual influence, mediated through engagement metrics. Content relevance and engagement patterns can outweigh traditional user attributes in determining influence, with non-traditional opinion leaders emerging through creative, highly engaging crisis-related posts. A network structure of community clusters with limited cross-community flow further defines influence pathways. Our study highlights the importance of flexible, distributed models of online crisis information diffusion that consider the dynamic interplay between user attributes, network topology, engagement patterns and contextual factors. These insights also suggest potential benefits in exploring more adaptive, context-sensitive approaches to managing information flow in digital environments during crises.

本研究考察了公众在具有高度认知不确定性的危机时期在Twitter (X)上的意见领导和信息传播。通过分析在COVID-19期间捕获的推特数据集,该数据集以相互冲突的口罩指导方针为标志,我们探讨了此类危机情况如何重塑社交媒体影响动态。我们的研究结果揭示了意见领导力的传统指标与实际影响力之间复杂而矛盾的关系,并通过参与指标进行中介。内容相关性和参与模式在决定影响力方面可能超过传统的用户属性,非传统意见领袖通过创造性的、高度参与的危机相关帖子出现。有限跨社区流动的社区集群网络结构进一步定义了影响路径。我们的研究强调了灵活、分布式的在线危机信息扩散模型的重要性,该模型考虑了用户属性、网络拓扑、参与模式和上下文因素之间的动态相互作用。这些见解还表明,在危机期间探索更具适应性、对上下文敏感的方法来管理数字环境中的信息流,可能会带来好处。
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引用次数: 0
From Wallets to Warnings: The Impact of Disaster Loss Severity and Types on Public Disaster Protective Actions 从钱包到警告:灾害损失的严重程度和类型对公共灾害保护行动的影响
IF 2.6 3区 管理学 Q3 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2025-03-10 DOI: 10.1111/1468-5973.70037
Ziyao Wang, Jichun Chen, Ben Ma, Qi Bian

Pre-disaster protective actions play a crucial role in mitigating disaster risks and enhancing resilience. Using data from Taiwan, China, this study examines how the degree and type of disaster-induced damages influence protective actions. The findings reveal the following: (1) The extent of disaster damage, rather than merely experiencing a disaster, motivates individuals to engage in protective actions. (2) Economic and financial losses are the primary drivers of public protective actions, compared to other types of losses. (3) The study distinguishes between binary variables (the presence or absence of protective actions) and continuous variables (degree of preparedness) to assess the varying impacts of different factors. Risk perception is found to mediate the relationship between disaster damage and both the presence and extent of protective actions. Meanwhile, resilience only moderates the relationship between risk perception and the presence or absence of protective actions. (4) Information sources and perceptions of government authority significantly influence both the likelihood and extent of protective actions. However, trust in government and social capital do not exert any influence in this regard. This study advocates for targeted interventions for individuals severely affected by disaster-related financial losses and emphasizes the need to enhance protective actions through diverse information channels.

灾前保护行动在减轻灾害风险和增强复原力方面发挥着至关重要的作用。本研究以中国台湾地区为研究对象,探讨灾害损害程度与类型对防护措施的影响。研究结果表明:(1)灾害破坏的程度,而不仅仅是经历了灾难,促使人们采取保护行动。(2)与其他类型的损失相比,经济和金融损失是公共保护行动的主要驱动因素。(3)区分二元变量(有无保护行动)和连续变量(准备程度),以评估不同因素的不同影响。风险感知被发现调解灾害损害和保护行动的存在和程度之间的关系。同时,弹性只调节风险感知与保护行为存在与否之间的关系。(4)信息来源和对政府权威的认知显著影响保护行动的可能性和程度。然而,对政府的信任和社会资本在这方面没有任何影响。本研究提倡对受灾害相关经济损失严重影响的个人进行有针对性的干预,并强调需要通过多种信息渠道加强保护行动。
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引用次数: 0
Examining Tension Management of Coastal Residents' Decisions to Stay or Leave During Hurricane Florence 研究佛罗伦萨飓风期间沿海居民决定留下或离开的紧张管理
IF 2.6 3区 管理学 Q3 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2025-03-09 DOI: 10.1111/1468-5973.70036
Andrew S. Pyle, Ryan P. Fuller, Hillary Smith

This study examines how coastal residents in the path of a hurricane manage the tension to evacuate or stay. In interviews with 17 coastal residents, we found evidence of tension management through account giving. Stayers justified their choices as keeping close to loved ones and animals, reducing difficulties in returning, and benchmarking prior storms to guide their actions over other sources of information. Evacuees framed the tension as either the only choice or the better of two poor choices. Our analysis also revealed contradictions in evacuating: a case of haves (have resources to evacuate but do not) and have nots (want to evacuate, but do not have the resources) and the perception that shelters were not a viable option. Lastly, stayers extracted lessons learned that reinforced their action and would likely guide future behaviours through benchmarking. Implications of these findings are offered for emergency managers, including speaking to residents' tension management, addressing contradictions, and acknowledging lesson learned, are discussed.

这项研究考察了飓风路径上的沿海居民如何管理疏散或留下来的紧张情绪。在对17名沿海居民的采访中,我们发现了通过交代来管理紧张的证据。滞留者认为他们的选择是为了与亲人和动物保持密切联系,减少返回的困难,并在风暴之前进行基准测试,以指导他们的行动,而不是其他信息来源。撤离者认为这种紧张局势要么是唯一的选择,要么是两个糟糕选择中的一个。我们的分析还揭示了疏散中的矛盾:有(有资源疏散,但没有)和没有(想要疏散,但没有资源)的情况,以及认为避难所不是一个可行的选择。最后,留职人员吸取了经验教训,加强了他们的行动,并可能通过基准来指导未来的行为。讨论了这些发现对应急管理人员的启示,包括与居民的紧张管理交谈,解决矛盾,并承认吸取的教训。
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引用次数: 0
Conditions for Successful Collaboration in Emergency Response: Evidence From a Survey Experiment of Organized Search and Rescue Volunteers in Norway 应急合作成功的条件:来自挪威有组织的搜索和救援志愿者调查实验的证据
IF 2.6 3区 管理学 Q3 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2025-02-28 DOI: 10.1111/1468-5973.70034
Dag Wollebæk, Vibeke Wøien Hansen

Trust, previous collaboration history, power asymmetry, and shifts from horizontal to hierarchical governance are factors that have been argued and, to some extent, shown to impact the success of collaboration. However, we know little about how these factors play out in the context of emergency response collaboration, particularly between public authorities and organized search and rescue (SAR) volunteers. Using a conjoint experiment with organized SAR volunteers in Norway, we examine how collaboration that blends hierarchical command and horizontal network coordination works in practice by randomly varying multiple features of a hypothetical mission. Our exploratory study confirms that the shift from horizontal to vertical modes of governance poses a challenge for collaborative emergency response. Furthermore, the findings highlight that trust, as social capital built through repeated interactions, is a key resource in multi-actor emergency management, both as an initial condition and during the response phase.

信任、以前的合作历史、权力不对称,以及从水平治理到等级治理的转变,都是被争论过的因素,在某种程度上,这些因素被证明会影响合作的成功。然而,我们对这些因素如何在应急协作的背景下发挥作用知之甚少,特别是在公共当局与有组织的搜救志愿者之间。通过与挪威有组织的搜救志愿者的联合实验,我们通过随机改变假设任务的多个特征,研究了混合分层指挥和水平网络协调的协作如何在实践中发挥作用。我们的探索性研究证实,从水平治理模式向垂直治理模式的转变对协同应急响应提出了挑战。此外,研究结果强调,信任作为通过反复互动建立起来的社会资本,无论是作为初始条件还是在响应阶段,都是多行动者应急管理的关键资源。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Contingencies and Crisis Management
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