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How alliances form and conflict ensues 联盟如何形成,冲突如何发生
IF 1.1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2024.05.009
Lu Dong , Lingbo Huang , Jaimie W. Lien , Jie Zheng

In a social network in which friendly and rival bilateral links can be formed, how do alliances between decision-makers form, and what determines whether a conflict will arise? We study a network formation game between ex-ante symmetric players in the laboratory to examine the dynamics of alliance formation and conflict evolution. A peaceful equilibrium yields the greatest social welfare, while a successful bullying attack transfers the victimized player's resources evenly to the attackers at a cost. In within-subject and between-subject laboratory experiments, we find that the relative frequency of peaceful and bullying outcomes increases in the cost of attack. We further examine the dynamics leading to the final network and find that groups tend to coordinate quickly on a first target for attack, while the first attacker entails a non-negligible risk of successful counter-attack. These findings provide insights for understanding social dynamics in group coordination.

在一个可以形成友好和敌对双边联系的社会网络中,决策者之间的联盟是如何形成的,又是什么决定了冲突是否会发生?我们研究了实验室中事前对称参与者之间的网络形成博弈,以考察联盟形成和冲突演变的动态。和平均衡产生最大的社会福利,而成功的欺凌攻击则会将受害玩家的资源平均转移给攻击者,但需要付出代价。在主体内和主体间的实验室实验中,我们发现和平与欺凌结果的相对频率随着攻击成本的增加而增加。我们进一步研究了形成最终网络的动态过程,发现群体倾向于迅速协调确定第一个攻击目标,而第一个攻击者则会带来不可忽视的反击成功风险。这些发现为理解群体协调中的社会动态提供了启示。
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引用次数: 0
Differentiating roles of the reference alternative 参考备选方案的不同作用
IF 1.1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2024.05.008
Dan Qin

This article explores the behavioral implications of different roles of the reference alternative. We delineate the boundaries of three reference-dependent choice models, each associated with distinct behavioral patterns: the endowment effect model, the loss aversion model, and the reference-dependent shortlisting model. Furthermore, we demonstrate that the intersections of these models correspond to meaningful special cases within each model.

本文探讨了参照替代物的不同作用对行为的影响。我们划分了三种依赖参照物的选择模型的界限,每种模型都与不同的行为模式相关:禀赋效应模型、损失规避模型和依赖参照物的筛选模型。此外,我们还证明了这些模型的交叉点对应于每个模型中的有意义的特例。
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引用次数: 0
Bayesian Nash equilibrium in all-pay auctions with interdependent types 具有相互依赖类型的全酬拍卖中的贝叶斯纳什均衡
IF 1.1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2024.05.007
Ori Haimanko

We prove the existence of a behavioral-strategy Bayesian Nash equilibrium in all-pay auctions with statistically interdependent types (signals) under quite general assumptions on the values, costs and tie-breaking rules. Moreover, the set of equilibria is shown to be the same for any tie-breaking rule used in the auction.

我们证明了在具有统计上相互依赖的类型(信号)的全付拍卖中,在价值、成本和打破平局规则的一般假设下存在行为策略贝叶斯纳什均衡。此外,对于拍卖中使用的任何打破平局规则,均衡集都是相同的。
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引用次数: 0
Belief formation under signal correlation 信号相关性下的信念形成
IF 1.1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2024.05.004
Tanjim Hossain , Ryo Okui

This paper demonstrates the importance of considering incorrect perceptions of variance in characterizing people's belief formation rules when they suffer from correlation neglect. Using laboratory experiments, we elicit posterior beliefs regarding the realization of a random variable where some signals that a subject receives are correlated. Subjects in our experiments consistently neglect correlation and also misperceive signal variance when updating their beliefs. We present behavioral models that illustrate how people who suffer from both biases overvalue strongly correlated signals and undervalue weakly correlated signals relative to Bayesian predictions. Additional experiments provide strong support for such a nuanced impact of correlation neglect on belief updating rules. The estimated model parameters are consistent with subjects showing high levels of correlation neglect and undersensitivity to increases in the true variance. Moreover, we find significant heterogeneity across subjects, with a majority exhibiting correlation neglect combined with variance misperception.

本文论证了在描述人们的信念形成规则时,考虑人们对方差的不正确认识的重要性,当他们受到相关性忽视时。通过实验室实验,我们激发了受试者对随机变量实现的后验信念,其中受试者接收到的一些信号是相关的。在我们的实验中,受试者在更新他们的信念时始终会忽略相关性,而且还会误解信号方差。我们提出了行为模型,说明相对于贝叶斯预测,存在这两种偏差的人是如何高估强相关信号和低估弱相关信号的。额外的实验为相关性忽视对信念更新规则的细微影响提供了有力支持。估计的模型参数与受试者表现出的高水平相关性忽视和对真实方差增加的低敏感性是一致的。此外,我们还发现受试者之间存在明显的异质性,大多数受试者都表现出了相关忽视和方差误知。
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引用次数: 0
Characterizing the typewise top-trading-cycles mechanism for multiple-type housing markets 多类型住房市场的类型化顶部交易-周期机制特征
IF 1.1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2024.04.010
Di Feng , Bettina Klaus , Flip Klijn

We consider the generalization of the classical Shapley and Scarf housing market model (Shapley and Scarf, 1974) to so-called multiple-type housing markets (Moulin, 1995). Throughout the paper, we focus on strict preferences. When preferences are separable, the prominent solution for these markets is the typewise top-trading-cycles (tTTC) mechanism.

We first show that for lexicographic preferences, a mechanism is unanimous (or onto), individually rational, strategy-proof, and non-bossy if and only if it is the tTTC mechanism. Second, we obtain a corresponding characterization for separable preferences. We obtain additional characterizations when replacing [strategy-proofness and non-bossiness] with self-enforcing group (or pairwise) strategy-proofness. Finally, we show that for strict preferences, there is no mechanism satisfying unanimity, individual rationality, and strategy-proofness.

Our characterizations of the tTTC mechanism constitute the first characterizations of an extension of the prominent top-trading-cycles (TTC) mechanism to multiple-type housing markets.

我们考虑将经典的 Shapley 和 Scarf 住房市场模型(Shapley 和 Scarf,1974 年)推广到所谓的多类型住房市场(Moulin,1995 年)。在本文中,我们始终关注严格偏好。我们首先证明,对于词法偏好,如果且仅当一个机制是 tTTC 机制时,该机制才是一致的(或对等的)、个体理性的、防策略的和非老板的。其次,我们得到了可分离偏好的相应特征。如果把[策略证明性和非老板性]替换为自我强化的群体(或成对)策略证明性,我们还能得到其他特征。最后,我们证明了对于严格偏好,不存在满足一致性、个体理性和策略防弊性的机制。我们对 tTTC 机制的描述是对著名的顶层交易循环(TTC)机制扩展到多类型住房市场的首次描述。
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引用次数: 0
Folk theorems in repeated games with switching costs 有转换成本的重复博弈中的民间定理
IF 1.1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2024.05.006
Yevgeny Tsodikovich , Xavier Venel , Anna Zseleva

We study how switching costs affect the subgame perfect equilibria in repeated games. We show that (i) the Folk Theorem holds whenever the players are patient enough; (ii) the set of equilibrium payoffs is obtained by considering the payoffs of a simple one-shot auxiliary game; and (iii) the switching costs have a negative impact on a player in the infinitely undiscounted repeated game but can be beneficial for him in a finitely repeated game or in a discounted game.

我们研究了转换成本如何影响重复博弈中的子博弈完全均衡。我们的研究表明:(i) 只要博弈者有足够的耐心,福克定理就成立;(ii) 只要考虑到简单的单次辅助博弈的收益,就能得到一组均衡收益;(iii) 在无限不贴现的重复博弈中,转换成本对博弈者有负面影响,但在有限重复博弈或贴现博弈中,转换成本可能对博弈者有利。
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引用次数: 0
Integrating Raiffa and Nash approaches to bargaining using interim agreements 利用临时协议整合雷法和纳什谈判方法
IF 1.1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2024.05.003
Kalyan Chatterjee , Rakesh Chaturvedi

Raiffa's solution to the bargaining problem, outlined in Luce and Raiffa (1957), is the point where the negotiation curve - a sequence of points that constitute step-by-step improvements from the status quo in the feasible payoff space - meets (possibly in the limit) the efficient boundary of the feasible region. A bargaining model with interim agreements yields a negotiation curve in equilibrium (in the spirit of Raiffa), and as the bargaining frictions disappear, the Raiffa path of payoffs converges to the Nash solution.

拉伊法在卢斯和拉伊法(1957)中概述了讨价还价问题的解决方案,即谈判曲线--在可行的报酬空间中构成从现状逐步改善的点序列--与可行区域的有效边界相交(可能在极限中)的点。具有临时协议的谈判模型在均衡状态下会产生一条谈判曲线(符合雷法的精神),随着谈判摩擦的消失,雷法的报酬路径会收敛到纳什解。
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引用次数: 0
Fairness and competition in a bilateral matching market 双边匹配市场的公平与竞争
IF 1.1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2024.05.001
Helmut Bester

This paper analyzes fairness and bargaining in a dynamic bilateral matching market. Traders from both sides of the market are pairwise matched to share the gains from trade. The bargaining outcome depends on the traders' fairness attitudes. In equilibrium fairness matters because of market frictions. But, when these frictions become negligible, the equilibrium approaches the Walrasian competitive equilibrium, independently of the traders' inequity aversion. Fairness may yield a Pareto improvement; but also the contrary is possible. Overall, the market implications of fairness are very different from its effects in isolated bilateral bargaining.

本文分析了动态双边匹配市场中的公平性和讨价还价。市场双方的交易者成对配对,分享贸易收益。讨价还价的结果取决于交易者的公平态度。在均衡状态下,由于市场摩擦,公平性很重要。但是,当这些摩擦变得可以忽略不计时,均衡就会接近瓦尔拉斯竞争均衡,而与交易者的不公平厌恶无关。公平可能带来帕累托改进,但也有可能带来相反的结果。总之,公平对市场的影响与它在孤立的双边谈判中的效果截然不同。
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引用次数: 0
Efficiency and maximality in anonymous two-sided economies 匿名双面经济中的效率与最大化
IF 1.1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2024.04.003
Nabil Afodjo , Roland Pongou

We study efficiency and maximality in anonymous two-sided economies, where each agent only cares about trading with a desired number of partners from the opposite side. For both homogeneous and heterogeneous economies, we provide a necessary and sufficient condition that ensures the efficiency of all pairwise stable matchings. In addition, we provide a sufficient condition for maximality in heterogeneous economies. These conditions have implications for the design of anonymous markets that function optimally without the continuous intervention of a social planner.

我们研究了匿名双面经济中的效率和最大化问题,在匿名双面经济中,每个代理人只关心与对立面所需的伙伴数量进行交易。对于同质经济和异质经济,我们都提供了一个必要条件和充分条件,以确保所有配对稳定匹配的效率。此外,我们还为异质经济中的最大化提供了充分条件。这些条件对设计无需社会规划者持续干预就能实现最佳功能的匿名市场具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Aggregating inconclusive data sets 汇总无结论的数据集
IF 1.1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2024.04.011
Gabrielle Gayer , Ehud Lehrer , Dotan Persitz

An administrator is provided with data collected by several practitioners. These data may include inconclusive observations. The administrator is required to form a frequency distribution on the states of nature that would be approved by external auditors as long as it is compatible with the available information. We state a novel result on the compatibility of a probability with a finite set of capacities. We use this result to provide necessary and sufficient conditions for the compatibility of the administrator's frequency distribution with the data collected by the practitioners, according to two auditing criteria.

管理者会收到多名从业人员收集的数据。这些数据可能包括不确定的观察结果。管理者需要就自然状态形成一个频率分布,只要该频率分布与现有信息相符,就会得到外部审计师的认可。我们提出了一个关于概率与有限容量集兼容性的新结果。根据两个审计标准,我们利用这一结果为管理者的频率分布与从业人员收集的数据的兼容性提供了必要条件和充分条件。
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引用次数: 0
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Games and Economic Behavior
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