Energy Research & Social Science最新文献_第2页

Belonging drives investment intentions: Emotional attachment in sustainable crowdfunding for community energy projects 归属感驱动投资意向：社区能源项目可持续众筹中的情感依附

IF 7.4 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2026.104532

Benjamin Kirchler , Andrea Kollmann , Johannes Reichl , Jed J. Cohen

Achieving the European Union's ambitious climate change targets will require substantial additional investment, particularly from private citizens. Despite the considerable potential for citizens to participate in sustainable initiatives, there is a significant gap between their expressed interest and actual investment behaviour. Crowdfunding has emerged as a promising method to reduce barriers to citizen participation, but the persistent attitude-behaviour gap remains a critical obstacle. We analyse how emotional attachment can bridge this gap and enhance the success of crowdfunding in community energy projects through an experimental design involving a representative sample of 3562 European citizens. Participants were randomly assigned to one of two sustainable crowdfunding conditions. In the football condition, they were exposed to a campaign aimed at reducing the carbon footprint of a football stadium, while the control group viewed a campaign for a neutral building (school or library). Participants were then asked to indicate both their likelihood to participate (LTP) and their willingness to pay (WTP) for the campaign. Our results show that the interaction between emotional attachment and the football condition significantly increases LTP by around ten percentage points and leads to a higher WTP among fans. Consistent with the Theory of Planned Behaviour, prior knowledge of crowdfunding, environmental awareness, and social norms significantly influence investment decisions. Overall, the findings suggest that communities of interest—formed around shared passions rather than geography—are more effective motivators than communities of place, offering a novel pathway to mobilise citizen finance for the energy transition.

实现欧盟雄心勃勃的气候变化目标将需要大量的额外投资，特别是来自私人公民的投资。尽管公民参与可持续倡议的潜力巨大，但他们表达的兴趣与实际投资行为之间存在巨大差距。众筹已经成为减少公民参与障碍的一种有前景的方法，但持续存在的态度-行为差距仍然是一个关键障碍。我们通过涉及3562名欧洲公民的代表性样本的实验设计，分析了情感依恋如何弥合这一差距，并提高社区能源项目众筹的成功。参与者被随机分配到两种可持续众筹条件中的一种。在足球的情况下，他们看到的是旨在减少足球场碳足迹的活动，而对照组看到的是中性建筑（学校或图书馆）的活动。然后，参与者被要求表明他们参与的可能性（LTP）和他们为活动支付的意愿（WTP）。我们的研究结果表明，情感依恋和足球状态之间的相互作用显著提高了LTP约10个百分点，并导致球迷的WTP更高。与计划行为理论一致，众筹的先验知识、环境意识和社会规范显著影响投资决策。总的来说，研究结果表明，围绕共同的激情而不是地理位置形成的兴趣社区比地方社区更有效，为能源转型提供了调动公民资金的新途径。

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引用次数: 0

The role of infrastructural visibility for social innovation processes: Stabilising new sociomaterial relations through infrastructuring 基础设施可见性在社会创新过程中的作用：通过基础设施稳定新的社会物质关系

IF 7.4 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2026.104560

Catharina Lüder , Lennart Zinck , Ariane Debourdeau , Friederike Rohde

Significant changes are underway to increase citizens’ and local actors’ participation in Germany’s energy transition. This raises questions about the potential for cooperation between municipalities and citizens, as well as the role of energy infrastructure in facilitating it. Drawing on qualitative interviews conducted in two municipalities in Saxony-Anhalt, Germany, this paper illustrates how various approaches to social innovation in energy (SIE) and infrastructure visibility interact to create distinct opportunities for cooperation. Drawing on literature on SIE and a relational understanding of infrastructure, this paper discusses the role of infrastructuring, emphasising how sociomaterial relations both give shape to, and are shaped by new ways of doing, organising, and thinking about energy. We understand infrastructuring as the ongoing, situated formation of sociomaterial relations. It is a means of bringing about or coping with social change at the local level that can either enable or restrict participation. We examine two approaches to infrastructuring. In the first, renewable energy infrastructures were made invisible to citizens in a former mining village. In the second, the visibility of a wind farm was used to experiment with new forms of participation in three ‘wind villages’. These approaches give rise to different patterns of cooperation by rendering sociomaterial infrastructures visible or invisible to local actors. Our analysis shows that visible infrastructure stabilises sociomaterial relations, encouraging active cooperation between citizens and municipalities during local energy transitions. It also clarifies the role of artefacts and objects in shaping and stabilising SIE in rural areas.

德国正在进行重大改革，以增加公民和地方行动者对德国能源转型的参与。这就对市政当局和公民之间的合作潜力以及能源基础设施在促进这种合作方面的作用提出了问题。根据在德国萨克森-安哈尔特两个城市进行的定性访谈，本文阐述了能源社会创新（SIE）和基础设施可见性的各种方法如何相互作用，以创造不同的合作机会。本文借鉴了有关社会科学技术的文献和对基础设施的相关理解，讨论了基础设施的作用，强调了社会物质关系如何塑造能源的新方式，组织和思考能源。我们将基础设施理解为社会物质关系的持续形成。它是在地方一级实现或应对社会变革的一种手段，这种变革可能使参与成为可能，也可能限制参与。我们研究了基础设施的两种方法。在第一个项目中，可再生能源基础设施对一个前采矿村的居民来说是不可见的。在第二个项目中，一个风电场的能见度被用来在三个“风村”中试验新的参与形式。这些办法使社会物质基础设施对地方行动者可见或不可见，从而产生了不同的合作模式。我们的分析表明，可见的基础设施稳定了社会物质关系，在当地能源转型期间鼓励公民和市政当局之间的积极合作。它还澄清了人工制品和物品在农村地区形成和稳定社会主义社会方面的作用。

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引用次数: 0

From thermal stress to health risk: Energy and housing injustice in Hong Kong's subdivided homes 从热压力到健康风险：香港细分住宅的能源和住房不公平

IF 7.4 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2026.104567

Laurence L. Delina , Kim Cochon , Johanne Rei R. Castro , Chloe Chan

Energy insecurity poses a critical threat to the well-being of Hong Kong households, particularly those residing in subdivided units—small spaces created by partitioning larger apartments—especially during periods of extreme weather. This mixed-methods study integrates survey and interview data to examine how energy insecurity and housing precarity intersect and influence self-reported health outcomes. Using an energy justice framework, the analysis highlights persistent energy injustices in Hong Kong. Most respondents reported heavy reliance on air conditioning, resulting in significant cost burdens, while over half experienced mould growth during the wet season; consequently, about one-third reported at least occasional physical health impacts. Ventilation deficiency, including unusable windows and dependence on appliance-based systems, emerged as a strong predictor of ill health. Overall, intensive coping strategies during temperature extremes, coupled with inadequate housing quality, exacerbate domestic thermal stress and health vulnerability. Institutional barriers further compound these injustices, such as landlord-controlled metering, subsidy schemes that exclude renters, and complex application procedures. Although subsidies and respite shelters exist, awareness remains limited. Accordingly, we recommend policy reforms grounded in energy justice principles, including recipient-centred subsidies, metering regulation, and integrated housing and public health interventions.

能源不安全对香港家庭的福祉构成了严重威胁，特别是那些居住在细分单元的家庭，特别是在极端天气期间。细分单元是指将较大的公寓分隔成的小空间。这项混合方法研究整合了调查和访谈数据，以研究能源不安全和住房不稳定如何交叉并影响自我报告的健康结果。该分析采用能源公正的框架，突显香港持续存在的能源不公正现象。大多数受访者表示严重依赖空调，造成了巨大的成本负担，而超过一半的人在雨季经历了霉菌生长；因此，大约三分之一的人报告说，至少偶尔会对身体健康产生影响。通风不足，包括无法使用的窗户和依赖电器系统，成为健康状况不佳的有力预测因素。总体而言，极端温度期间的强化应对策略，加上住房质量不足，加剧了家庭热应激和健康脆弱性。制度障碍进一步加剧了这些不公正，例如房东控制的计量、排除租房者的补贴计划以及复杂的申请程序。虽然有补贴和临时庇护所，但认识仍然有限。因此，我们建议以能源公正原则为基础进行政策改革，包括以接受者为中心的补贴、计量监管以及综合住房和公共卫生干预措施。

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引用次数: 0

Geospatial electrification pathways for Sub-Saharan Africa: A systematic review of planning tools, implementation strategies, and socio-economic impacts 撒哈拉以南非洲的地理空间电气化路径：规划工具、实施战略和社会经济影响的系统审查

IF 7.4 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2026.104540

Joseph M. Ntayi , Slyvia Manjeri Aarakit , Herbert Murungi , Kenneth Byangwa , Gideon Nkurunziza , Josephine Nassali

In recent decades, geospatial modeling has played an increasingly central role in how electricity is planned and delivered in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). This systematic review synthesizes findings from 57 peer-reviewed studies and institutional reports published between 2010 and early 2024. It evaluates the use of spatial tools, electrification strategies, and the social impacts of energy planning. The review adopts the PRISMA and SALSA frameworks to analyze the types of modeling tools applied, including OnSSET, HOMER Pro, and PyPSA-Earth, and their effectiveness in generating least-cost electrification pathways. Findings highlight that hybrid approaches that combine grid, mini-grid, and off-grid systems are generally the most cost-effective. The geospatial strategies demonstrate measurable impacts on education, health, income, and gender equity, although gender metrics remain underreported. Persistent spatial inequalities especially in rural and marginalized areas are exacerbated by policy gaps, weak data governance, and institutional fragmentation. This paper emphasizes that the success of geospatial electrification tools depends not only on technical innovation but also on governance reforms and a deliberate focus on spatial justice. It offers practical insights for policymakers, researchers, and development partners to ensure electricity planning in SSA is inclusive, data-driven, and development-oriented.

近几十年来，地理空间建模在撒哈拉以南非洲（SSA）的电力规划和输送中发挥着越来越重要的作用。该系统综述综合了2010年至2024年初发表的57项同行评议研究和机构报告的发现。它评估了空间工具的使用、电气化策略和能源规划的社会影响。该综述采用PRISMA和SALSA框架来分析所应用的建模工具类型，包括OnSSET、HOMER Pro和PyPSA-Earth，以及它们在生成成本最低的电气化路径方面的有效性。研究结果强调，结合电网、微型电网和离网系统的混合方法通常是最具成本效益的。地理空间战略对教育、卫生、收入和性别平等产生了可衡量的影响，尽管性别指标仍未得到充分报告。政策差距、薄弱的数据治理和制度碎片化加剧了持续存在的空间不平等，特别是在农村和边缘地区。本文强调，地理空间电气化工具的成功不仅取决于技术创新，还取决于治理改革和对空间正义的刻意关注。它为政策制定者、研究人员和发展合作伙伴提供了实用的见解，以确保SSA的电力规划具有包容性、数据驱动和以发展为导向。

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引用次数: 0

When wind power is rejected: Sámi self-determination and restorative energy justice in Arctic Norway 当风力发电被拒绝：Sámi自决和恢复能源正义在北极挪威

IF 7.4 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2026.104569

Larry Ibrahim Mohammed

Energy justice theory offers a framework for guiding a fair green transition; however, when applied in decision-making, its principles can conflict, particularly in multicultural societies with diverse values. This paper examines such tensions in Arctic Norway by analysing the justifications provided by energy authorities for rejecting three wind power projects due to potential impacts on Indigenous livelihoods. It also explores the role of Indigenous self-determination arrangements in the wind power process. Drawing on qualitative analyses of wind power application documents, correspondence, consultation minutes, site visits, initial licensing decisions, and appeal outcomes, the study presents three key findings. Firstly, cumulative impacts on reindeer husbandry are central to permit rejections in reindeer herding areas, despite a lack of consensus on how to assess them. Secondly, licensing decisions made on appeal explicitly engage with international legal sources for Indigenous rights and consider the unique situations of reindeer herders. In contrast, initial licensing decisions tend to be influenced by national energy goals, often relying on mitigation measures as a panacea for coexistence between reindeer and wind power. Thirdly, Indigenous actors lack the certainty of actual influence over licensing outcomes despite formal participation mechanisms. The paper argues for the foregrounding of a restorative justice approach within energy justice theory to mediate tensions between what is deemed beneficial for the public and what is just for Indigenous peoples. It concludes with a proposal for a proactive form of Indigenous self-determination to ensure the incorporation of Indigenous perspectives in energy decision-making processes.

能源正义理论为指导公平的绿色转型提供了框架；然而，当应用于决策时，其原则可能会发生冲突，特别是在具有不同价值观的多元文化社会中。本文通过分析能源当局拒绝三个风力发电项目的理由，分析了挪威北极地区的这种紧张局势，因为这些项目可能对土著居民的生计产生影响。它还探讨了土著自决安排在风力发电过程中的作用。通过对风力发电申请文件、信函、咨询记录、实地考察、初始许可决定和上诉结果的定性分析，该研究提出了三个主要发现。首先，对驯鹿养殖的累积影响是允许在驯鹿放牧地区拒绝的核心，尽管在如何评估这些影响方面缺乏共识。其次，在上诉中作出的许可决定明确涉及土著权利的国际法律来源，并考虑到驯鹿牧民的独特情况。相比之下，最初的许可决定往往受到国家能源目标的影响，往往依靠缓解措施作为驯鹿和风能共存的灵丹妙药。第三，尽管有正式的参与机制，土著行为体对许可结果缺乏实际影响的确定性。本文主张在能源正义理论中引入恢复性司法方法，以调解对公众有益和对土著人民公正之间的紧张关系。报告最后建议采取积极主动的土著自决形式，以确保在能源决策过程中纳入土著的观点。

{"title":"When wind power is rejected: Sámi self-determination and restorative energy justice in Arctic Norway","authors":"Larry Ibrahim Mohammed","doi":"10.1016/j.erss.2026.104569","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.erss.2026.104569","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Energy justice theory offers a framework for guiding a fair green transition; however, when applied in decision-making, its principles can conflict, particularly in multicultural societies with diverse values. This paper examines such tensions in Arctic Norway by analysing the justifications provided by energy authorities for rejecting three wind power projects due to potential impacts on Indigenous livelihoods. It also explores the role of Indigenous self-determination arrangements in the wind power process. Drawing on qualitative analyses of wind power application documents, correspondence, consultation minutes, site visits, initial licensing decisions, and appeal outcomes, the study presents three key findings. Firstly, cumulative impacts on reindeer husbandry are central to permit rejections in reindeer herding areas, despite a lack of consensus on how to assess them. Secondly, licensing decisions made on appeal explicitly engage with international legal sources for Indigenous rights and consider the unique situations of reindeer herders. In contrast, initial licensing decisions tend to be influenced by national energy goals, often relying on mitigation measures as a panacea for coexistence between reindeer and wind power. Thirdly, Indigenous actors lack the certainty of actual influence over licensing outcomes despite formal participation mechanisms. The paper argues for the foregrounding of a restorative justice approach within energy justice theory to mediate tensions between what is deemed beneficial for the public and what is just for Indigenous peoples. It concludes with a proposal for a proactive form of Indigenous self-determination to ensure the incorporation of Indigenous perspectives in energy decision-making processes.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48384,"journal":{"name":"Energy Research & Social Science","volume":"132 ","pages":"Article 104569"},"PeriodicalIF":7.4,"publicationDate":"2026-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146079436","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Proposing a value-sharing mechanism for wind power: Impacts of benefit-sharing and community engagement on acceptance and environmental awareness 提出风电的价值分享机制：利益分享和社区参与对接受度和环境意识的影响

IF 7.4 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2026-01-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2026.104537

Kyungmin Lee , Sun-Jin Yun , Ji Yong Myeong

As governments increasingly promote installing wind power plants, conflicts with residents have emerged. Some wind farm villages implement financial benefit-sharing schemes and organize public hearings, yet empirical evidence on the effectiveness of such mechanisms remains limited. This study examines whether financial benefit-sharing and community participation are associated with residents' acceptance of wind turbines and with environmental awareness. We propose a Value-sharing Mechanism (VSM) framework by comparing villages with different benefit-sharing types and participation levels. A survey of 95 residents from three wind farm villages in Jeju Island, South Korea, classified as utility-focused, benefit-focused, and participation-focused models, was conducted. The Kruskal-Wallis test, correlation analysis, and linear regression were employed to assess the relationships among perception of benefit-sharing, community engagement, local acceptance, and environmental awareness. Results indicate that both benefit-sharing and community engagement are positively associated with local acceptance, but not with environmental awareness. These findings inform theoretical insights through the lens of commons theory and may inform practice for designing self-governing sustainable renewable energy projects under the VSM framework.

随着政府越来越多地推动安装风力发电厂，与居民的冲突也出现了。一些风电场村庄实施了经济利益分享计划，并组织了公开听证会，然而，关于这种机制有效性的经验证据仍然有限。本研究考察了经济利益分享和社区参与是否与居民对风力涡轮机的接受程度和环境意识有关。通过对不同利益共享类型和参与水平的村庄进行比较，提出了一个价值共享机制框架。对韩国济州岛三个风电场村的95名居民进行了调查，分为以效用为中心、以利益为中心和以参与为中心的模式。采用Kruskal-Wallis检验、相关分析和线性回归评估了利益分享感知、社区参与、地方接受度和环境意识之间的关系。结果表明，利益分享和社区参与都与当地的接受程度呈正相关，但与环境意识无关。这些发现通过公地理论的视角提供了理论见解，并可能为在VSM框架下设计自治的可持续可再生能源项目提供实践信息。

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引用次数: 0

Small (and not-so-small) villages in the Amazon: The challenge of access to electricity infrastructure 亚马逊地区的小村庄（不那么小）：获得电力基础设施的挑战

IF 7.4 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2026-01-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2026.104550

Antonio C.P. Brasil Junior , Rafael C.F. Mendes , José Lavaquial

This article analyzes electrification in small Amazonian villages, focusing on settlements of 1000–5000 inhabitants that face persistent deficits in basic services despite growing socio-economic complexity. To interpret this transitional condition, it introduces the concept of embryonic urbanity, which captures how emerging urban nuclei formulate collective demands for infrastructure, territorial inclusion, and environmental sustainability. Within this framework, electrification is shown to be a key driver of early urban consolidation and social development. The study then assesses renewable hybrid energy systems as alternatives to diesel-based generation in isolated grids. Simulation results using the platform HOMER-Pro indicate that hybridization could reduce annual diesel consumption by about 140.5 million liters, equivalent to 376.6 ktCO2e. These findings highlight hybrid systems as a strategic pathway for integrating universal access with decarbonization and resilient territorial development in the Amazon.

本文分析了亚马逊小村庄的电气化情况，重点关注1000-5000居民的定居点，尽管社会经济日益复杂，但这些定居点仍面临基本服务的持续不足。为了解释这一过渡条件，本文引入了城市萌芽性的概念，该概念捕捉了新兴城市核心如何形成对基础设施、领土包容和环境可持续性的集体需求。在这一框架内，电气化被证明是早期城市整合和社会发展的关键驱动力。该研究随后评估了可再生混合能源系统作为孤立电网中柴油发电的替代品。使用HOMER-Pro平台的仿真结果表明，混合动力可以减少每年约1.405亿升的柴油消耗，相当于376.6万吨二氧化碳当量。这些发现强调了混合系统是将亚马逊地区的普遍获取与脱碳和弹性领土发展相结合的战略途径。

引用次数: 0

Public perceptions under the spotlight: The role of public communication in shaping acceptance and resistance towards nuclear energy and battery manufacturing in Hungary 聚光灯下的公众看法：公众沟通在匈牙利对核能和电池制造的接受和抵制中所起的作用

IF 7.4 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2026-01-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2026.104531

Mónika Rajcsányi-Molnár , István András , Márta Konczos Szombathelyi

The scope of the paper is the examination, comparison and analysis of the public perception of the nuclear energy and battery manufacturing sectors in Hungary with a focus on the role of public communication in the effectiveness of public acceptance. The study uses focus group discussions conducted in three cities in Hungary and analyses their results using thematic analysis. The study investigates the levels of knowledge of the respondents regarding the subject, their perceptions of sectoral benefits and risks, trust in various stakeholders, and the effect of public communication. These are revealed in eight coding frames, which provide a detailed map to the data on each research subtopic (dimensions, categories, subcategories, definitions, occurrence), while representative examples are provided in the Results. The study reveals complex knowledge levels on both investigated sectors, with nuclear energy seen as providing for energy safety and being good for the environment, whereas battery manufacturing was associated with economic profit and environmental pollution. Trust in the government and industry, as well as the credibility of the scientific community significantly differed between the two sectors. We can conclude that media communication and corporate public communication play a critical role in perception. Furthermore, to gain confidence in battery manufacturing, targeted sensitive sector frameworks should be used to address concerns and to emphasize benefits to the public.

本文的范围是审查，比较和分析匈牙利公众对核能和电池制造部门的看法，重点是公众沟通在公众接受有效性中的作用。该研究采用了在匈牙利三个城市进行的焦点小组讨论，并使用主题分析分析了他们的结果。该研究调查了受访者对该主题的知识水平，他们对部门利益和风险的看法，对各种利益相关者的信任以及公众沟通的效果。这些都显示在8个编码框架中，这些编码框架提供了每个研究子主题（维度、类别、子类别、定义、发生）数据的详细地图，而结果中提供了代表性示例。该研究揭示了两个被调查部门的复杂知识水平，核能被视为提供能源安全和对环境有益，而电池制造则与经济利润和环境污染有关。在这两个部门之间，对政府和工业界的信任以及科学界的可信度存在显著差异。我们可以得出结论，媒体传播和企业公众传播在感知中起着至关重要的作用。此外，为了获得对电池制造业的信心，应该使用有针对性的敏感行业框架来解决问题，并强调对公众的好处。

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引用次数: 0

From waste to fuel: Uncovering the drivers of garbage and plastic burning in Northwest Nigeria 从废物到燃料：揭露尼日利亚西北部垃圾和塑料燃烧的驱动因素

IF 7.4 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2026-01-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2026.104547

Bishal Bharadwaj , Tara Gates , Srijani Deb , Ian Gates

Anecdotal evidence indicates that energy-poor households in regions lacking formal waste management systems often resort to burning garbage, including plastic, to fulfill their energy requirements and manage waste. The Multi-Tier Framework (MTF) dataset from Northwest Nigeria was used to examine the prevalence of garbage and plastic burning, along with the underlying reasons and methods households employ for this practice. Analyzing data from 3669 households, findings show that up to 58% of households in certain local government areas (LGAs) burn garbage including plastic as fuel. Factors driving this behaviour extend beyond economic constraints, notably increased plastic waste, inadequate waste management infrastructure, and declining availability of traditional fuels. In some instances, external influences significantly motivate the use of polluting fuels. This localized investigation underscores the emerging challenge of plastic burning in impoverished communities in the Global South, where rising plastic pollution, diminishing biomass resources, and the absence of formal waste services converge, exacerbating health and environmental risks.

轶事证据表明，在缺乏正式废物管理系统的地区，能源贫乏的家庭往往通过燃烧垃圾，包括塑料，来满足其能源需求和管理废物。来自尼日利亚西北部的多层框架（MTF）数据集用于检查垃圾和塑料燃烧的普遍性，以及家庭采用这种做法的根本原因和方法。分析了3669户家庭的数据，结果显示，在某些地方政府辖区（lga），高达58%的家庭燃烧垃圾，包括塑料作为燃料。推动这种行为的因素超出了经济限制，特别是塑料废物增加、废物管理基础设施不足以及传统燃料的可用性下降。在某些情况下，外部影响极大地促使使用污染燃料。这一局部调查凸显了全球南方贫困社区塑料燃烧的新挑战，在那里，塑料污染加剧，生物质资源减少，缺乏正式的废物处理服务，加剧了健康和环境风险。

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引用次数: 0

Racing against the clock: Modeling the global transition to renewable energy technologies 与时间赛跑：模拟全球向可再生能源技术的过渡

IF 7.4 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2026-01-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2026.104541

Alessandro Bessi , Mariangela Guidolin , Piero Manfredi

Thirty years after the first UN conference of parties on global climate change (COP1), the global energy sector remains reliant on fossil fuels, with low- to zero-emission power sources struggling to take the lead in most national markets. Despite the sustained growth of solar and wind energy technologies (SWET) being confirmed in 2023, carbon emissions and climate constraints continue to rise, suggesting that a pathway toward net-zero emissions remains complex. Our analysis uses innovation diffusion models to offer an up-to-date perspective of the current co-evolution of SWET against its main fossil competitors, namely coal and natural gas energy technologies (CGET), across the 75 largest energy-consuming countries. Our model-based evidence suggests that the energy transition struggles in crowding-out traditional fossil fuels and therefore is hardly identifiable as a worldwide trend. Important achievements remain highly localized to only a few regions worldwide suggesting an uneven process, with still many barriers and needing public support as well as international cooperation. Model-based forward projections suggest that most countries will likely achieve the SWET-to-CGET parity well beyond the energy milestone of 2030. Current war scenarios, local crises and the declarations (as well as actions) of the new US administration about US energy policy, bring substantial uncertainty on the global perspectives.

在联合国第一次全球气候变化缔约方会议（COP1）召开30年后，全球能源部门仍然依赖化石燃料，低排放或零排放的能源难以在大多数国家市场占据主导地位。尽管2023年太阳能和风能技术（swt）将持续增长，但碳排放和气候限制将继续增加，这表明实现净零排放的道路仍然很复杂。我们的分析使用创新扩散模型，提供了在75个最大的能源消费国中，当前与主要化石燃料竞争对手（即煤炭和天然气能源技术（CGET））共同演变的最新视角。我们基于模型的证据表明，能源转型正在努力挤出传统的化石燃料，因此很难确定这是一种全球趋势。重要的成就仍然高度局限于全球少数地区，这表明进程不平衡，仍然存在许多障碍，需要公众支持和国际合作。基于模型的前瞻性预测表明，大多数国家可能会在2030年能源里程碑之后实现sweet -to- cget平价。当前的战争形势、局部危机以及美国新政府关于美国能源政策的声明（以及行动），给全球前景带来了巨大的不确定性。

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引用次数: 0