Energy Research & Social Science最新文献_第5页

To reform or not reform? Competing energy transition perspectives on Indonesia's monopoly electricity supplier Perusahaan Listrik Negara (PLN) 改革还是不改革？印尼垄断电力供应商印尼国家电力公司（PLN）的能源转型竞争视角

IF 6.9 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2024-10-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103797

Indri Dwi Apriliyanti , Diwangkara Bagus Nugraha , Stein Kristiansen , Indra Overland

This paper maps the opposing rationales for reforming or not reforming the giant monopoly electricity provider in the world's fourth most populous country. Indonesia's state-owned power company, Perusahaan Listrik Negara (PLN), distributes electricity to 98 % of the country's households. Only 13 % of the company's power generation is from renewable sources, while 60 % is from coal-fired power plants. PLN is sometimes cast as the main obstacle to the energy transition in Indonesia, which has a more carbon-intensive electricity sector than both China and India. How PLN evolves is therefore important for global climate mitigation. Based on document analysis and rare interviews with the high-level policymakers who govern PLN, we find that keeping consumer prices low and maintaining security of supply are the utility's dominant concerns. Indirect costs, negative environmental externalities and alternative business opportunities in renewable energy are rarely taken into consideration. This is due to entrenched elite interests and what is referred to in the theoretical literature as ‘collective conservatism’. Three measures that could change PLN's approach to decarbonisation are: redirecting government financial support, introducing more stringent carbon pricing regulations and leveraging growing private business interest in renewable energy to change the framework within which PLN operates.

本文阐述了世界第四人口大国巨型垄断电力供应商改革与否的对立理由。印尼国有电力公司 Perusahaan Listrik Negara (PLN) 为全国 98% 的家庭供电。该公司只有 13% 的发电量来自可再生能源，60% 的发电量来自燃煤发电厂。PLN 有时被认为是印尼能源转型的主要障碍，因为印尼的电力行业比中国和印度都更加碳密集。因此，PLN 如何发展对全球气候减缓非常重要。基于文件分析和与 PLN 高层决策者的罕见访谈，我们发现，保持低廉的消费价格和维护供应安全是该公司的主要关注点。间接成本、负面环境外部因素和可再生能源的替代商机很少被考虑在内。这是由于根深蒂固的精英利益和理论文献中所说的 "集体保守主义 "造成的。可以改变 PLN 去碳化方法的三项措施是：调整政府财政支持的方向、引入更严格的碳定价法规以及利用私营企业对可再生能源日益增长的兴趣来改变 PLN 的运营框架。

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引用次数: 0

From roads to roofs: How urban and rural mobility influence building energy consumption 从道路到屋顶：城市和农村的流动性如何影响建筑能耗

IF 6.9 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2024-10-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103800

Meiyu (Melrose) Pan, Wan Li, Chieh (Ross) Wang

Understanding the relationship between travel behavior and building energy use at an urban scale is crucial for developing effective energy management strategies. Mobility patterns significantly impact building occupancy, which in turn affects energy consumption. However, existing methods often focus on individual buildings, whereas geographical influences on energy usage are not adequately examined. This study addresses this gap by using transportation origin-destination (OD) data to estimate building occupancy and energy. The proposed method assigns OD trips from census block groups to the building level, incorporating building, travel survey, and census data to derive building occupancy profiles. This method was applied to urban and rural areas with 4062 buildings in 70 census block groups. We found that the OD-informed occupancy profile exhibits smoother energy consumption patterns compared with that of Department of Energy reference occupancy profiles. Our analysis reveals distinct building energy consumption patterns among groups with long and short commutes, emphasizing the effect of commute times and work schedules on residential energy usage. This framework is useful for practitioners in transportation agencies and utility companies, enabling the estimation of building energy based on mobility patterns. Overall, this study shows the potential of integrating transportation and building energy data to inform cross-sector energy management strategies.

在城市范围内，了解出行行为与建筑能耗之间的关系对于制定有效的能源管理战略至关重要。交通模式对建筑占用率有重大影响，而建筑占用率又反过来影响能源消耗。然而，现有方法通常只关注单个建筑，而对能源使用的地理影响却没有进行充分研究。本研究利用交通起点-终点（OD）数据来估算建筑物的占用率和能耗，从而弥补了这一不足。所提出的方法将人口普查区组的 OD 行程分配到建筑物层面，结合建筑物、旅行调查和人口普查数据，得出建筑物的占用情况。该方法适用于城市和农村地区的 70 个普查区组的 4062 栋建筑物。我们发现，与能源部参考的占用情况相比，以 OD 为依据的占用情况显示出更平滑的能源消耗模式。我们的分析揭示了通勤时间长和通勤时间短的群体之间截然不同的建筑能耗模式，强调了通勤时间和工作安排对住宅能耗的影响。这一框架对交通机构和公用事业公司的从业人员非常有用，可以根据流动模式估算建筑能耗。总之，这项研究显示了整合交通和建筑能源数据为跨部门能源管理战略提供信息的潜力。

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引用次数: 0

Plugging in with neighbours: Defining the social dimension of electric vehicle charging in the Netherlands 与邻居一起插电：界定荷兰电动汽车充电的社会层面

IF 6.9 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2024-10-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103791

Milan Tamis , Gerdien de Vries , Reint Jan Renes , Floor Alkemade

Residential public charging points are shared by multiple electric vehicle drivers, often neighbours. Therefore, charging behaviour is embedded in a social context. Behaviours that affect, or are influenced by, other public charging point users have been sparsely studied and lack an overarching and comprehensive definition. Consequently, very few measures are applied in practice to influence charging behaviour. We aim to classify and define the social dimension of charging behaviour from a social-psychological perspective and, using a behaviour change framework, identify and analyse the measures to influence this behaviour. We interviewed 15 experts on residential public charging infrastructure in the Netherlands. We identified 17 charging behaviours rooted in interpersonal interactions between individuals and interactions between individuals and technology. These behaviours can be categorised into prosocial and antisocial charging behaviours. Prosocial charging behaviour provides or enhances the opportunity for other users to charge their vehicle at the public charging point, for instance by charging only when necessary. Antisocial charging behaviour prevents or diminishes this opportunity, for instance by occupying the charging point after charging, intentionally or unintentionally. We then identified 23 measures to influence antisocial and prosocial charging behaviours. These measures can influence behaviour through human–technology interaction, such as providing charging etiquettes to new electric vehicle drivers or charging idle fees, and interpersonal interaction, such as social pressure from other charging point users or facilitating social interactions to exchange requests. Our approach advocates for more attention to the social dimension of charging behaviour.

住宅公共充电点由多名电动汽车驾驶员（通常是邻居）共用。因此，充电行为与社会环境息息相关。对影响其他公共充电点用户的行为或受其影响的行为的研究很少，也缺乏总体和全面的定义。因此，在实践中应用于影响充电行为的措施寥寥无几。我们旨在从社会心理学角度对充电行为的社会维度进行分类和定义，并利用行为改变框架，确定和分析影响这种行为的措施。我们采访了 15 位荷兰住宅公共充电基础设施方面的专家。我们发现了 17 种根植于人与人之间的互动以及人与技术之间的互动的充电行为。这些行为可分为亲社会充电行为和反社会充电行为。亲社会充电行为为其他用户提供或增加了在公共充电点为车辆充电的机会，例如只在必要时充电。反社会充电行为则阻止或减少了这种机会，例如有意或无意地在充电后占用充电点。随后，我们确定了 23 项措施来影响反社会和亲社会充电行为。这些措施可以通过人与技术的互动影响行为，如为电动汽车新手提供充电礼仪或收取充电闲置费；也可以通过人与人之间的互动影响行为，如来自其他充电点用户的社会压力或促进社会互动以交换请求。我们的方法主张更多地关注充电行为的社会维度。

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引用次数: 0

How can energy prosumerism align with sufficiency and justice principles? A typology for policymakers, researchers and practitioners 能源消费主义如何与充足和公正原则保持一致？供政策制定者、研究人员和从业人员参考的类型学

IF 6.9 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2024-10-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103789

Marius Korsnes , Nicola Labanca , Inês Campos , Paolo Bertoldi

Energy prosumerism as a concept has gained attention in recent years. It has been embraced by policymakers, employed to study community energy movements globally and to denote novel directions in the energy system transition for more sustainable, decentralised, and potentially democratic production and consumption. Nevertheless, the concept has also been critiqued as individualistic with a strong techno-economic orientation. Initially coined by Toffler (1980), the concept combines the words ‘producer’ and ‘consumer’, assuming a return to production for own use. Through typologising prosumerism along three core dimensions—degree of technological engagement, ownership, and participation—we propose a framework for assessing the extent to which energy prosumerism is compatible with social organisation towards increased energy sufficiency and energy justice. Through a practical and holistic framework, the three dimensions identified will help policymakers and other stakeholders assess the extent to which new energy prosumer projects can simultaneously advance energy sufficiency and energy justice.

能源消费主义作为一个概念近年来备受关注。它已被政策制定者所接受，被用于研究全球社区能源运动，并为能源系统转型指明新方向，以实现更可持续、更分散、更民主的生产和消费。然而，这一概念也受到批评，认为它带有强烈的技术经济导向的个人主义色彩。这一概念最初由托夫勒（1980 年）提出，结合了 "生产者 "和 "消费者 "这两个词，假定生产回归自用。通过按照三个核心维度--技术参与度、所有权和参与度--对准消费者主义进行分类，我们提出了一个框架，用于评估能源准消费者主义在多大程度上与社会组织相容，以提高能源充足率和实现能源公正。通过一个实用而全面的框架，所确定的三个维度将帮助政策制定者和其他利益相关者评估新的能源消费项目在多大程度上能够同时促进能源充足和能源公正。

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引用次数: 0

Grid expectations: How service design and business model innovation can support mini-grid development in Kenya 电网期望：服务设计和商业模式创新如何支持肯尼亚微型电网发展

IF 6.9 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2024-10-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103788

Fiona Lambe, Carol Mungo, Mbeo Ogeya

Achieving universal access to electricity is central to the Agenda for Sustainable Development. However, over half a billion people in Sub-Saharan Africa are currently at risk of being left without electricity access by 2030. A rapid scale up of off-grid renewable electrification is needed to close the energy access gap, requiring innovation and new collaborations between private actors, the public sector, and service users. Several critical challenges to scaling access to mini-grids remain, most notably a lack of investment, and the uncertain regulatory environment in many sub-Saharan African countries. This study aimed to provide evidence about how external risks affect mini-grid business models and the strategies that developers apply to manage challenges. We compared two case studies of private sector-led mini-grids in Kenya interviewing a range of key stakeholders for each case. The data were analysed using a framework informed by business model innovation, frugal innovation, and the service design concept of value co-creation. We found that value co-creation is influenced by factors including political interference, regulatory uncertainty and customers' previous experiences with other energy services and their expectations of the new service. The strategies that developers use to address these challenges can have both positive and negative consequences for value co-creation. The ability to maintain focus on delivering a service that incorporates the core frugal aspects of reliability, affordability, simplicity and adaptability appears to be a key factor determining how well a firm navigates external pressures, influencing the overall viability of the business model.

实现电力普及是可持续发展议程的核心。然而，目前撒哈拉以南非洲地区有超过 5 亿人面临到 2030 年无法用上电的风险。需要迅速扩大离网可再生能源电气化的规模，以缩小能源获取方面的差距，这需要创新以及私营企业、公共部门和服务用户之间的新合作。要扩大微型电网的使用范围，仍面临一些关键挑战，其中最突出的是投资不足，以及许多撒哈拉以南非洲国家的监管环境不确定。本研究旨在提供证据，说明外部风险如何影响微型电网的商业模式，以及开发商应对挑战的策略。我们对肯尼亚私营部门主导的两个微型电网案例进行了比较研究，并就每个案例采访了一系列主要利益相关者。我们利用商业模式创新、节俭创新和价值共创的服务设计概念所提供的框架对数据进行了分析。我们发现，价值共创受到各种因素的影响，包括政治干预、监管的不确定性、客户以前使用其他能源服务的经验以及他们对新服务的期望。开发商应对这些挑战的策略会对价值共创产生积极和消极的影响。能否继续专注于提供包含可靠性、可负担性、简单性和适应性等核心节俭要素的服务，似乎是决定企业能否很好地应对外部压力、影响商业模式整体可行性的关键因素。

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引用次数: 0

Whose low-carbon future? Community perceptions and expectations on the renewable energy transition in a post-industrial city 谁的低碳未来？一个后工业化城市的社区对可再生能源转型的看法和期望

IF 6.9 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2024-10-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103781

Alison Bates , Ogechi Vivian Nwadiaru , Anna Goldstein , Julia Cantor , Makaylah Cowan , Marina Pineda Shokooh , Krista Harper

The transition of the energy system to renewables can lead to inequities. Under-resourced and marginalized community members are vulnerable to disproportionate burdens of the energy system, particularly in post-industrial cities also grappling with social pressures associated with disinvestment and deindustrialization, climate change threats, and pressures of urban renewal. In this study, we use expert elicitation, ethnographic participant observation, and community focus groups to examine issues and conceptualizations of energy justice in a minority-majority post-industrial city undergoing rapid energy transformation alongside gentrification and other changing community dynamics. Building on community partnerships with NGOs, our team has worked closely with a previously defined “environmental justice” community to elicit the ways in which the energy transition is perceived to result in energy justice and injustice by energy system specialists and by community members. We find that community members in particular fear getting “priced out” of their community as energy system upgrades are implemented, and also feel that systemic injustices such as racialized governance structures would be exacerbated. We also identify the ways that energy justice is conceptualized whereby community members identify co-benefits such as improved housing, lower pollution, and an opportunity for energy democracy as possible outcomes of the energy transition. We offer concrete takeaways about the value of ethnographic energy justice research in partnership with communities and the application of energy justice frameworks that can be heeded by researchers and policymakers alike.

能源系统向可再生能源过渡可能导致不平等。资源不足和边缘化的社区成员很容易受到能源系统过重负担的影响，尤其是在后工业化城市，他们还在努力应对与撤资和去工业化、气候变化威胁以及城市重建压力相关的社会压力。在这项研究中，我们采用专家征询、人种学参与观察和社区焦点小组等方法，在一个少数族裔占多数的后工业化城市中考察能源公正的问题和概念，该城市正在经历快速的能源转型，同时也在经历贵族化和其他不断变化的社区动态。在与非政府组织建立社区伙伴关系的基础上，我们的团队与之前定义的 "环境正义 "社区密切合作，以了解能源系统专家和社区成员如何看待能源转型导致的能源正义和不公正。我们发现，随着能源系统升级的实施，社区成员尤其担心他们的社区会被 "挤出"，他们还认为种族化治理结构等系统性不公正现象会加剧。我们还确定了能源公正的概念化方式，即社区成员认为能源转型可能带来的共同利益，如改善住房、降低污染和能源民主的机会。我们就与社区合作开展人种学能源公正研究的价值以及能源公正框架的应用提供了具体的启示，可供研究人员和政策制定者参考。

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引用次数: 0

Overlooked, misunderstood, or sidelined? 被忽视、被误解还是被排挤？

IF 6.9 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2024-10-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103785

Kees van der Wel, Sanne Akerboom

Energy systems need to evolve to manage the rapid increase in distributed and intermittent renewable energy sources and growing peak loads. Smart local energy systems (SLESs) offer a promising approach by decentralizing and digitalizing energy management. However, SLESs risk exacerbating pre-existing disparities, because socioeconomically disadvantaged groups cannot participate in SLESs and therefore miss out on the benefits. One approach to addressing this issue is for those involved in SLES projects to safeguard the value of energy justice. While current research clearly indicates that energy justice is not safeguarded in SLES projects, it is unclear why. In this study, we draw on public values theory to investigate whether involved actors (i) altogether overlook justice, (ii) misunderstand justice as something other than energy justice, or (iii) sideline energy justice. Our investigation into four Dutch SLES projects, by means of fifteen semi-structured interviews and document analysis, reveals that justice is not overlooked. Rather, due to the narrow scope of SLES projects, involved actors rarely conceive justice in ways that resemble energy justice. When energy justice is considered, then this public value is often perceived as out of scope and a concern for later. These findings contribute to energy justice literature by providing actionable insights into why energy justice might not be safeguarded in decision-making. Most notably, our study highlights the need for clearly defined energy justice goals in SLES projects to ensure that energy justice is safeguarded.

能源系统需要不断发展，以管理分布式和间歇性可再生能源的快速增长以及不断增长的峰值负荷。智能地方能源系统（SLES）通过分散化和数字化能源管理，提供了一种前景广阔的方法。然而，由于社会经济弱势群体无法参与智能地方能源系统，因而无法从中获益，因此智能地方能源系统有可能加剧先前存在的差距。解决这一问题的方法之一是，参与 SLES 项目的人员应维护能源公正的价值。尽管目前的研究清楚地表明，在可持续能源服务项目中，能源公正并未得到保障，但原因尚不清楚。在本研究中，我们借鉴公共价值理论，调查参与项目的人员是否（i）完全忽视了公正，（ii）将公正误解为能源公正以外的东西，或者（iii）将能源公正置于次要地位。我们通过 15 个半结构式访谈和文件分析，对荷兰的四个 SLES 项目进行了调查，结果显示，正义并未被忽视。相反，由于 SLES 项目的范围狭窄，参与项目的人员很少以类似能源公正的方式看待公正问题。当考虑到能源公正时，这一公共价值往往被认为超出了范围，是以后才会关注的问题。这些研究结果为能源公正方面的文献做出了贡献，为能源公正在决策中得不到保障的原因提供了可操作的见解。最值得注意的是，我们的研究强调了在 SLES 项目中明确界定能源公正目标的必要性，以确保能源公正得到保障。

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引用次数: 0

Co-creating a community visioning methodology for energy transitions: Principles, practices, and reflections 共同创建能源转型社区愿景方法：原则、实践和思考

IF 6.9 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2024-10-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103783

Emily K. Gray , Frances Fahy , Rachel McArdle , Melanie Rohse

Visions of energy futures produced via co-created methodologies can provide robust alternatives to the prevailing imaginaries held by international and state actors – crucial for sustaining progress towards energy transitions that meet community needs and realities. This paper explores the co-creative design of a methodology for community visions for energy transitions. Insights are drawn from the development and outputs of a collaborative workshop aimed at adapting community visioning to different local contexts with four partners from across Europe. We analyse empirical evidence, including transcripts of conversations with participating local authorities and NGO representatives and resources prepared for the workshop, to detail how collaboration proceeded. The results highlight that practices fostering inclusion, mutual learning, and relationship building can give partners ownership over visioning to better ensure that its design reflects local, situated knowledges and is well suited to communities. However, the messy, human nature of co-creation requires commitment to flexibility and ongoing dialogue. Overall, the experiences highlighted in this paper serve as a valuable resource for future researchers and practitioners interested in exploring how to further energy system transformation and support community-driven local energy transitions.

通过共同创造的方法产生的能源未来愿景可以为国际和国家行为者所持有的主流想象提供强有力的替代方案--这对于持续推进满足社区需求和现实的能源转型至关重要。本文探讨了社区能源转型愿景方法的共同创造性设计。我们从一个合作研讨会的发展和成果中汲取灵感，该研讨会旨在与来自欧洲各地的四个合作伙伴一起，使社区愿景适应不同的当地环境。我们分析了经验证据，包括与参与的地方当局和非政府组织代表的对话记录，以及为研讨会准备的资源，详细说明了合作是如何进行的。研究结果突出表明，促进包容、相互学习和建立关系的做法可以让合作伙伴对愿景规划拥有自主权，从而更好地确保愿景规划的设计能够反映当地的实际情况，并且非常适合社区。然而，共同创造的杂乱性和人性要求我们保持灵活性和持续对话。总之，本文所强调的经验为未来有兴趣探索如何推进能源系统转型和支持社区驱动的地方能源转型的研究人员和实践者提供了宝贵的资源。

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引用次数: 0

Energy taxes recycling as an instrument for the mitigation of the expenditure on energy products of vulnerable households in the European Union 将能源税循环利用作为减轻欧盟弱势家庭能源产品支出的一种手段

IF 6.9 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2024-10-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103787

David Borge-Diez , Susana Silva , Pedro Cabrera , Paula Sarmento , Enrique Rosales-Asensio

Environmental problems, particularly climate change, have raised awareness of the need to decarbonize the energy sector. Several policies have been followed worldwide, including high energy taxes in European countries. However, simultaneously, many countries still suffer from energy poverty, and energy taxation only aggravates this problem. Considering this situation, this research proposes implementing green tax reform in European countries where energy tax revenues would be used to alleviate energy poverty. This article analyzes the situation of European Union Member States regarding some relevant variables such as energy tax revenues and energy poverty indicators (inability to keep the home adequately safe, low final energy consumption in households, arrears on utility bills, and electricity prices). The results show a significant variation in the total share required for energy bills, ranging from 5 % to 40 %. Countries with high energy tax revenues suffering from energy poverty are identified as potential candidates for the proposed reform. It was found that Bulgaria, Cyprus, Greece, Italy, Portugal, Romania, and Slovakia are good candidates for reform. This situation is combined with an inefficient tax policy, resulting in a large amount of money being transferred for direct and indirect fossil fuels and environmentally harmful subsidies. An energy tax recycling scheme focused on reducing energy consumption using energy efficiency measures, for example, under a scheme of Public Energy Services, can be optimally combined to redistribute the energy tax income to reduce energy poverty and contribute to decarbonization if combined with a new scheme that removes harmful fossil fuel subsidies.

环境问题，特别是气候变化，使人们认识到能源行业需要去碳化。世界范围内已经采取了一些政策，包括欧洲国家的高能源税。然而，与此同时，许多国家仍然存在能源贫困问题，而能源税只会加剧这一问题。考虑到这种情况，本研究建议在欧洲国家实施绿色税收改革，将能源税收用于缓解能源贫困。本文分析了欧盟成员国在一些相关变量方面的情况，如能源税收收入和能源贫困指标（无法充分保障家庭安全、家庭最终能源消耗低、拖欠水电费和电价）。结果显示，能源账单所需的总份额差异很大，从 5 % 到 40 % 不等。能源税收高且存在能源贫困的国家被确定为拟议改革的潜在候选国。研究发现，保加利亚、塞浦路斯、希腊、意大利、葡萄牙、罗马尼亚和斯洛伐克是改革的良好候选国。这种情况与低效的税收政策相结合，导致大量资金被转移到直接和间接的化石燃料以及对环境有害的补贴上。能源税回收计划的重点是利用能效措施减少能源消耗，例如，在公共能源服务计划下，如果与取消有害化石燃料补贴的新计划相结合，就可以优化组合，重新分配能源税收入，减少能源贫困，促进去碳化。

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引用次数: 0

A financial disaster in the making: Temperature shocks, climate change and savings 一场正在酝酿中的金融灾难温度冲击、气候变化和储蓄

IF 6.9 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2024-10-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103782

Trong-Anh Trinh , Russell Smyth , Sefa Awaworyi Churchill , Siew Ling Yew

Research on climate change and its effects has seen a surge in interest as global temperatures continue to rise. A related body of literature focuses on the impact of weather on financial decisions. However, there is very little evidence on the channels through which temperature shocks affect savings. This is a significant shortcoming in the existing literature given the growing tendency among policymakers to use savings as an indicator of financial wellbeing. We present the first study on the impact of weather shocks and climate change on household savings behaviour. We use data from the Household, Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia (HILDA) survey, which we merge with satellite data measuring temperature shocks at the neighbourhood level. We find that the number of days when daily average temperatures are below 10 °C or above 30 °C has a negative effect on net worth and savings, relative to the number of days in the 20-25 °C range. We find that income, risk preferences and time preferences mediate the relationship between temperature shocks and savings. To examine the impact of climate change, we use temperature projections to simulate how global warming can be expected to affect savings and net worth in the short, medium and long-term. We find that over the course of the rest of the century, if no counter measures are taken to address climate change, net worth would decrease by 0.358 standard deviations and savings by 0.034 standard deviations compared with the ‘best case’ scenario for climate change which saw the widespread adoption of renewable energy sources.

随着全球气温不断升高，人们对气候变化及其影响的研究兴趣大增。与此相关的文献主要关注天气对金融决策的影响。然而，有关气温冲击影响储蓄的渠道的证据却很少。鉴于政策制定者越来越倾向于将储蓄作为衡量财务状况的指标，这是现有文献中的一个重大缺陷。我们首次研究了天气冲击和气候变化对家庭储蓄行为的影响。我们使用了澳大利亚家庭、收入和劳动力动态调查（HILDA）的数据，并将其与测量邻里温度冲击的卫星数据合并。我们发现，日平均气温低于 10 ℃ 或高于 30 ℃ 的天数，相对于 20-25 ℃ 的天数，对净资产和储蓄有负面影响。我们发现，收入、风险偏好和时间偏好是气温冲击与储蓄之间关系的中介。为了研究气候变化的影响，我们利用气温预测来模拟全球变暖对短期、中期和长期储蓄和净资产的影响。我们发现，在本世纪余下的时间里，如果不采取应对气候变化的措施，与广泛采用可再生能源的 "最佳 "气候变化情景相比，净资产将减少 0.358 个标准差，储蓄将减少 0.034 个标准差。

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引用次数: 0