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Unveiling the effects of energy poverty on mental health of children in energy-poor countries 揭示能源贫困对能源匮乏国家儿童心理健康的影响
IF 6.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103729

While existing literature extensively investigates the adverse effects of energy poverty on physical health, exploring its impacts on the mental well-being of school-aged children (5–14 years old) remain underexplored, particularly in the energy-deprived regions of South Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa. This research aims to bridge this gap by delving into the indirect pathways through which energy poverty influences the mental health of these children, explicitly examining anxiety and depression, with a particular focus on child abuse as a potential mediating factor. This study employs comprehensive data at both the country level, covering 52 energy-poor nations from 2000 to 2019, and the household level, covering 18 energy-poor nations. This study utilizes a two-step system generalized method of moment approach to unveil the significant relationships between energy poverty and heightened levels of anxiety and depression. Furthermore, the study employs advanced statistical methods to analyze household-level data, including multilevel logistic regression, Probit instrumental regression models, and mediation analysis. These analyses confirm a robust association between energy poverty and an increased likelihood of anxiety and depression among school-aged children. The study also uncovers a concerning link between energy poverty and child abuse, emphasizing its role as a contributing factor to adverse mental health outcomes in children. The findings of this study offer critical insights for policymakers, highlighting the urgent need for targeted interventions and policies aimed at alleviating the adverse mental health effects of energy poverty on children. By addressing this issue, policymakers can contribute to fostering children's overall well-being and development in energy-poor regions.

虽然现有文献广泛研究了能源贫困对身体健康的不利影响,但对能源贫困对学龄儿童(5-14 岁)心理健康的影响的探索仍然不足,尤其是在南亚和撒哈拉以南非洲的能源匮乏地区。本研究旨在通过深入研究能源贫困对这些儿童心理健康的间接影响途径来弥补这一空白,明确研究焦虑和抑郁,并特别关注虐待儿童这一潜在的中介因素。本研究采用了国家层面和家庭层面的综合数据,前者涵盖了 2000 年至 2019 年的 52 个能源贫困国家,后者涵盖了 18 个能源贫困国家。本研究采用两步系统广义矩方法揭示了能源贫困与焦虑和抑郁水平升高之间的显著关系。此外,研究还采用了先进的统计方法来分析家庭层面的数据,包括多层次逻辑回归、Probit 工具回归模型和中介分析。这些分析证实了能源贫困与学龄儿童患焦虑症和抑郁症的可能性增加之间的密切联系。研究还发现了能源贫困与虐待儿童之间的联系,强调了能源贫困是导致儿童心理健康不良后果的一个因素。这项研究的结果为政策制定者提供了重要的启示,强调迫切需要有针对性的干预措施和政策,以减轻能源贫困对儿童心理健康的不利影响。通过解决这一问题,政策制定者可以为促进能源贫困地区儿童的整体福祉和发展做出贡献。
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引用次数: 0
“Disempowered by the transition”: Manipulated and coerced agency in displacements induced by accelerated extraction of energy transition minerals in Zimbabwe "因转型而丧失权能":津巴布韦能源转型期矿产加速开采引发的流离失所中的操纵和胁迫机构
IF 6.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103727

The haste to reach the net zero emissions target induces a high demand for energy transition minerals (ETMs) required to produce renewable energy technologies. This demand also translates to “accelerated” extraction of the ETMs exposing communities to displacement risks and associated human rights abuses. In order to acquire access to ETMs deposits, governments and extractive companies are collaboratively displacing communities residing on or close to these deposits through manipulation and coercion. The theme of manipulated and coerced agency is the foci of this manuscript. I show how the “urgency” to decarbonize and fast- tracked ETMs mining interact to induce displacements in absence of due diligence. Urgency by mining companies to extract minerals interacts with weak governance and corruption to induce forced resettlement characterized by manipulation of consent in regions where ETMs are concentrated. This article focuses on the case of Buhera district (south-eastern Zimbabwe) where communities were displaced due to lithium mining activities at the Sabi Star mine (run by a Chinese mining company known as Max Mind) to elucidate how manipulation and coercion were utilized to get people to agree to “unfair” resettlement terms. The resettlement programme was deliberately jumbled to confuse peasants so that they consent to a flawed displacement scheme. In the aftermath, people agreed to hasty removals coupled with unfair compensation resulting in their impoverishment. The Buhera case is an epitome of the political ecologies of energy transitions and displacements prevailing across the global south, that needs to be urgently addressed if we are to achieve a fairer and just energy transition. The article leans on the political ecology arguments to argue its case. Information regarding this case was gathered through listening to publicly available documentaries, extensive literature review, media reports and qualitative interviews. In the discussion and conclusions, important steps to enhance the resettled people's agency and participation in ETMs resettlements are recommended. These steps potentially promote successful resettlements that translate into just and sustainable transitions.

由于急于实现净零排放目标,对生产可再生能源技术所需的能源转型矿物(ETMs)的需求量很大。这种需求也意味着 "加速 "开采 ETMs,使社区面临流离失所的风险和相关的人权侵犯。为了获得 ETMs 矿藏,政府和采掘公司通过操纵和胁迫,共同迫使居住在这些矿藏上或附近的社区搬迁。操纵和胁迫代理这一主题是本手稿的重点。我展示了去碳化的 "紧迫性 "与快速跟踪的 ETMs 采矿如何相互作用,在缺乏尽职调查的情况下诱发流离失所。矿业公司开采矿产的紧迫性与治理薄弱和腐败相互作用,在 ETMs 集中的地区诱发了以操纵同意为特征的强迫重新安置。本文以布赫拉地区(津巴布韦东南部)为例,该地区的社区因萨比之星矿山(由一家名为 Max Mind 的中国矿业公司经营)的锂矿开采活动而流离失所,以阐明如何利用操纵和胁迫手段使人们同意 "不公平 "的重新安置条款。重新安置计划被故意混淆,以混淆农民的视听,使他们同意有缺陷的迁移计划。事后,人们同意了仓促的搬迁,加上不公平的补偿,导致他们陷入贫困。布赫拉案例是全球南部普遍存在的能源转型和搬迁政治生态的缩影,如果我们要实现更公平公正的能源转型,就必须立即解决这一问题。本文以政治生态学为论据进行论证。通过聆听公开的纪录片、广泛的文献综述、媒体报道和定性访谈,收集了有关该案例的信息。在讨论和结论中,建议了一些重要步骤,以加强被重新安置者在 ETMs 重新安置中的能动性和参与性。这些步骤有可能促进重新安置工作取得成功,从而实现公正和可持续的过渡。
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引用次数: 0
Compounding disaster: Perceptions of coastal risk, extreme events, and oil and gas energy production in the Gulf of Mexico 灾难加剧:对墨西哥湾沿海风险、极端事件以及油气能源生产的看法
IF 6.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103735

With more than five million people living in proximity to oil and gas (OGA) infrastructure, the state of Texas has the largest population at risk for developing health problems attributable to the industry in the U.S. The interaction between environmental and technological events, one kind of compound disaster events, has the potential to increase future health risks and aggravate existing social and environmental impacts. To identify current knowledge and awareness of the risks of compound disasters among residents, this article presents findings from interviews conducted in 2017 and 2019 with key stakeholders from Corpus Christi, Texas. The city is a hub of OGA production and transport and has recently suffered from the devastating effects of Hurricane Harvey. The primary set of interviews (n: 23) is also complemented by the analysis of 2 other collections (n: 20) from residents who were affected by Hurricane Harvey and which are stored at Texas A&M University-Corpus Christi's library. Findings underscore the lack of awareness of OGA activities in general and of problems related to environmental racism. We also found a normalization of the impacts of small oil incidents among respondents and biased perceptions of development. Knowledge of the risk of compound events is rare, an issue that poses significant concerns for the future of these communities and their ability to prepare and mitigate.

得克萨斯州有 500 多万人居住在石油和天然气(OGA)基础设施附近,是美国因该行业而面临健康问题风险的人口最多的州。环境事件与技术事件之间的相互作用(复合灾害事件的一种)有可能增加未来的健康风险,并加剧现有的社会和环境影响。为了确定居民目前对复合灾害风险的了解和认识,本文介绍了 2017 年和 2019 年对得克萨斯州科珀斯克里斯蒂市主要利益相关者的访谈结果。该市是 OGA 生产和运输中心,最近遭受了飓风哈维的破坏性影响。除了主要访谈(23 人)之外,我们还分析了另外两份资料集(20 人),这些资料来自受哈维飓风影响的居民,存放在德克萨斯 A&M 大学科珀斯克里斯蒂分校图书馆。研究结果表明,人们普遍缺乏对 OGA 活动以及环境种族主义相关问题的认识。我们还发现,受访者对小型石油事件的影响习以为常,对发展的认识存在偏差。对复合事件风险的了解很少,这个问题对这些社区的未来及其准备和减轻影响的能力构成了重大担忧。
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引用次数: 0
A conceptual typology of energy citizenship 能源公民概念类型学
IF 6.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103720

Energy citizenship is viewed as playing an essential role in the transition towards sustainable energy systems on a national and global scale. However, as a social science concept it is rather fuzzy and insufficiently elaborated. This paper proposes a conceptual typology of energy citizenship that aims for a balance between various competing understandings, in full awareness of ontological and disciplinary differences. The identification of conceptual dimensions and categories for the typology is based on a thorough literature research in the fields of energy social sciences and political sciences, resulting in the formulation of ten ideal types. In a next step, the conceptual typology was empirically tested and substantiated by mapping 596 cases of energy citizenship across Europe. This article presents the conceptual background of the typology and describes the ten ideal-types, highlighting conceptual characteristics, and illustrating them with salient examples. The conceptual typology captures the breadth of energy citizenship, encompassing both existing and possible types. It can be used by practitioners in the design of initiatives and/or policies acknowledging the various possible contributions of energy citizenship to a more sustainable, just and democratic energy system, and in social science studies on transformative social innovations, (dis)empowerment and “knowings of governance”.

能源公民权被认为在国家和全球范围内向可持续能源系统过渡的过程中发挥着至关重要的作用。然而,作为一个社会科学概念,它还相当模糊,阐述也不够充分。本文提出了能源公民权的概念类型学,旨在平衡各种相互竞争的理解,同时充分认识到本体论和学科差异。在对能源社会科学和政治科学领域的文献进行深入研究的基础上,确定了类型学的概念维度和类别,最终提出了十种理想类型。下一步,通过绘制欧洲 596 个能源公民案例图,对概念类型学进行了实证检验和证实。本文介绍了该类型学的概念背景,描述了十种理想类型,突出了概念特征,并用突出的实例加以说明。概念类型学捕捉到了能源公民意识的广度,既包括现有类型,也包括可能的类型。实践者可将其用于设计倡议和/或政策,承认能源公民意识对更可持续、公正和民主的能源系统可能做出的各种贡献,也可将其用于关于变革性社会创新、(失)权能和 "治理认知 "的社会科学研究。
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引用次数: 0
Temporal injustice in Germany's coal compromise: Industrial legacy, social exclusion, and political delay 德国煤炭妥协中的时间不公正:工业遗产、社会排斥和政治拖延
IF 6.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103683

Researchers, policy-makers, and activists often highlight the temporal dimension of the just energy transition. In this study, we explore the theoretical and empirical connections between justice and the temporality of decarbonization processes, integrating insights from social research on energy transitions and our own interview study. To illustrate how the temporal component becomes an inherent part of deliberative negotiations, we examine the case of the Coal Commission, an advisory body with diverse stakeholders that consulted the Federal Government of Germany in drafting a plan to phase out coal extraction and combustion in 2018/19. Using a conceptual framework that differentiates between implicit and explicit aspects of time in stakeholder negotiations, we identify several temporal injustices in the resulting “coal compromise.” Specifically, we reveal four temporal closures that underpin the compromise and outline the temporal exclusions that shaped it. We conclude that the energy transition is built on an uneven playing field, characterized not only by disparities in power and influence but also by temporal justice.

研究人员、政策制定者和活动家经常强调公正能源转型的时间维度。在本研究中,我们结合能源转型社会研究和我们自己的访谈研究,探讨了公正与去碳化进程的时间性之间的理论和经验联系。为了说明时间性如何成为商议谈判的固有组成部分,我们研究了煤炭委员会的案例,该委员会是一个由不同利益相关者组成的咨询机构,在起草 2018/19 年逐步淘汰煤炭开采和燃烧的计划时与德国联邦政府进行了磋商。我们使用一个概念框架来区分利益相关者谈判中时间的隐性和显性方面,在由此产生的 "煤炭妥协 "中发现了几种时间上的不公正。具体而言,我们揭示了支撑这一妥协的四种时间封闭,并概述了形成这一妥协的时间排斥。我们的结论是,能源转型是建立在一个不公平的竞争环境之上的,其特点不仅是权力和影响力的差异,还有时间上的不公正。
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引用次数: 0
How to build a powerline: Fast policies for decarbonization, the slow work of public participation, and the profitability of energy capital 如何建设电力线:快速的脱碳政策、缓慢的公众参与工作以及能源资本的盈利能力
IF 6.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103730

Community opposition to new low-carbon energy infrastructure – and resulting project delays and cancellations – is increasingly taken by some climate activists, policymakers, and scholars as evidence of the incompatibility between urgent decarbonization and expanded public participation. This paper argues that too narrow a focus on this duality risks overlooking an additional mandate: the profitability of energy capital. This paper intervenes in the ‘rapid vs. just transitions’ debate by arguing that building low-carbon energy infrastructure requires a balancing of trade-offs between speed, local support, and profit for private developers. Using a case study of a controversial transmission project in the northeastern United States, I argue that project delays are attributable not (just) to uncooperative publics, but to energy capital's drive for profit, which discourages compromises with host communities that would increase project costs but cultivate local support. By treating the social legitimacy of low-carbon energy infrastructure as contingent on its ability to meet criteria for public acceptability, this paper argues that the slow work of public participation can in fact be the route to ‘fast policies’ for decarbonization when it fosters developer norms in line with community expectations for projects.

一些气候活动家、政策制定者和学者越来越多地将社区对新的低碳能源基础设施的反对--以及由此导致的项目延迟和取消--视为紧急去碳化和扩大公众参与之间不相容的证据。本文认为,过于狭隘地关注这种二元性可能会忽略另一项任务:能源资本的盈利能力。本文介入了 "快速过渡与公正过渡 "的争论,认为建设低碳能源基础设施需要在速度、地方支持和私人开发商利润之间进行权衡。通过对美国东北部一个备受争议的输电项目的案例研究,我认为项目延误的原因不(仅仅)在于公众的不合作,而是能源资本对利润的追求,这种追求阻碍了与所在社区的妥协,而这种妥协会增加项目成本,但却能培养当地的支持。本文认为,低碳能源基础设施的社会合法性取决于其满足公众可接受性标准的能力,因此,当公众参与的慢工出细活促进开发商规范与社区对项目的期望相一致时,公众参与实际上可以成为实现去碳化 "快速政策 "的途径。
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引用次数: 0
Stop procrastinating, start renovating! Exploring the decision-making process for household energy efficiency renovations 停止拖延,开始翻新!探索家庭节能改造的决策过程
IF 6.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103734

A tricky contributor to the “energy efficiency gap” is homeowners who fail to finalize a planned Energy Efficiency Renovation (EER) project, even after having received an offer from a contractor. However, there is a lack of evidence on drivers and barriers of homeowners' EER in the final stage of the decision process, including the role of the energy consultation and homeowners' perceptions of barriers and impediments that can potentially lead to procrastination, that is, to the postponement of tasks. This study contributes to filling this gap based on a survey of 609 Danish homeowners in the final stage of an EER decision-making processes. Through a comparative analysis of adopters and non-adopters, we find that procrastination is a common reason for non-adoption. First, we identify potential predictors that differ between adopters and non-adopters. Next, these variables are included in a structural equation path model (SEM) to estimate their direct and indirect effects on EER adoption. We find that homeowners' final implementation of EER decisions is complex and far from a simple weighing of monetary costs and benefits. Psychological factors such as expected hassle and interpersonal aspects of the consultation, as well as perceived difficulties and impediments, specifically related to how easy an EER offer is to understand and ultimately accept, are identified as core antecedents of EER adoption or procrastination. Implications for interventions to reduce procrastination in EER decisions are discussed, including financial support measures and interventions designed to make it easier for homeowners to implement their EER decisions.

造成 "能效差距 "的一个棘手因素是,业主在收到承包商的报价后,仍未能最终确定计划中的能效改造(EER)项目。然而,目前还缺乏有关房主在决策过程的最后阶段进行节能改造的动力和障碍的证据,包括能源咨询的作用以及房主对可能导致拖延(即推迟任务)的障碍和阻碍的看法。本研究通过对处于 EER 决策过程最后阶段的 609 位丹麦房主进行调查,填补了这一空白。通过对采用者和未采用者的对比分析,我们发现拖延是未采用的一个常见原因。首先,我们确定了采用者和未采用者之间存在差异的潜在预测因素。然后,将这些变量纳入结构方程路径模型(SEM),估算它们对采用 EER 的直接和间接影响。我们发现,房主最终实施 EER 的决定是复杂的,远非货币成本和收益的简单权衡。心理因素,如预期的麻烦和咨询的人际关系方面,以及感知到的困难和障碍,特别是与 EER 提议是否容易理解和最终接受有关的因素,被认为是采用或拖延 EER 的核心前因。研究还讨论了为减少在做出能源效率评估决定时的拖延而采取干预措施的意义,包括旨在使业主更容易做出能源效率评估决定的财政支持措施和干预措施。
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引用次数: 0
Designing bio-based value chains for social justice: The potential of Capability Sensitive Design 设计生物价值链,促进社会公正:能力敏感设计的潜力
IF 6.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103724

Bio-based value chains (BBVCs) have often been criticized for their detrimental social and environmental effects. Existing methods such as social impact assessment do not sufficiently address these negative effects because of their limited focus and lack of attention to social justice. This paper explores the contribution of Capability Sensitive Design (CSD) to designing BBVCs for social justice. CSD is a combination of Value Sensitive Design (VSD), an approach to account for human values in a design process, and the Capability Approach (CA), a normative framework that incorporates multiple dimensions of human well-being.

Three case studies demonstrate how CSD can be used to make design choices in the early stages of developing new BBVCs from waste biomass. The cases explore olive oil residues in Spain, coffee and cocoa residues in Colombia, and encroacher bush in Namibia. CSD is a relatively new approach and its contribution to social justice in BBVCs remained unexplored. We show that CSD can contribute to distributive, recognition, and procedural justice by allowing the identification of local vulnerable stakeholders and providing tools to connect their needs, knowledge, and capabilities to concrete design choices.

以生物为基础的价值链(BBVCs)经常因其对社会和环境的有害影响而受到批评。现有的方法,如社会影响评估,由于其关注点有限且缺乏对社会公正的关注,并不能充分解决这些负面影响。本文探讨了能力敏感设计(CSD)对设计促进社会公正的生物多样性和生态系统服务(BBVCs)的贡献。能力敏感设计是价值敏感设计(VSD)和能力方法(CA)的结合,前者是一种在设计过程中考虑人类价值的方法,后者是一种包含人类福祉多个维度的规范性框架。三项案例研究展示了在利用废弃生物质开发新的生物质能循环利用(BBVC)的早期阶段,如何利用能力敏感设计做出设计选择。这些案例探讨了西班牙的橄榄油残渣、哥伦比亚的咖啡和可可残渣以及纳米比亚的侵占灌木丛。CSD 是一种相对较新的方法,其对 BBVCs 社会公正的贡献仍有待探索。我们的研究表明,通过识别当地的弱势利益相关者,并提供工具将他们的需求、知识和能力与具体的设计选择联系起来,可持续发展委员会可以促进分配、认可和程序正义。
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引用次数: 0
“We can't be too saintly”: Why members of parliament in the United Kingdom are reluctant to lead by example with low-carbon behaviour "我们不能太圣洁":英国国会议员为何不愿在低碳行为方面以身作则
IF 6.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103717

Low-carbon behaviour change from individuals is both essential for meeting climate change targets and highly politically contentious. Shifting away from activities such as flying, driving and meat eating can greatly reduce greenhouse gas emissions, yet political leaders have avoided introducing policies to stimulate this for fear of alienating voters and confronting political orthodoxies. This article examines low-carbon behaviour change through the novel lens of individual leadership and leading by example. Applying threories of credibility enhancing displays (CREDs) and embodied leadership, we present evidence from 19 interviews with UK members of parliament (MPs), exploring how they think leading by example may affect their credibility as democratic representatives. We find that MPs believe leading by example is important as a general principle but is problematic when it comes to low-carbon behaviour. While some MPs do deliberately model sustainable behaviours to maintain credibility as climate advocates, they tend to do this quietly for fear of negative reactions from the media, political rivals, and constituents. MPs say modelling low-carbon behaviour may be perceived as a threat to individual freedoms, such as flying for holidays, and risks disapproval from local business interests related to high-carbon activities, such as car manufactures or the airline industry. Even pro-climate MPs tend to frame low-carbon behaviour as “extreme”, and position themselves in contrast to this extreme, thus perpetuating social and moral norms of high-carbon behaviour. We discuss how individual politicians form part of a systemic resistance to low-carbon behaviour change.

个人的低碳行为改变对于实现气候变化目标既至关重要,又极具政治争议。放弃乘坐飞机、开车和吃肉等活动可以大大减少温室气体排放,但政治领导人却一直避免出台相关政策来刺激这种行为,因为他们害怕疏远选民和与政治正统观念发生冲突。本文从个人领导力和以身作则的新角度来探讨低碳行为的改变。我们运用公信力提升展示(CREDs)和体现型领导力理论,通过对英国国会议员(MPs)的 19 次访谈,探讨了他们认为以身作则会如何影响其作为民主代表的公信力。我们发现,议员们认为以身作则是一项重要的普遍原则,但在低碳行为方面却存在问题。虽然一些国会议员会刻意以可持续行为为榜样,以保持作为气候倡导者的公信力,但他们往往会悄悄地这样做,因为他们害怕媒体、政治对手和选民的负面反应。国会议员们说,示范低碳行为可能会被视为对个人自由的威胁,例如乘坐飞机去度假,并且有可能遭到与高碳活动相关的当地商业利益的反对,例如汽车制造商或航空业。即使是支持气候的国会议员也倾向于将低碳行为定性为 "极端 "行为,并将自己与这种极端行为相对立,从而使高碳行为的社会和道德规范永久化。我们将讨论个别政治家是如何形成对低碳行为改变的系统性阻力的。
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引用次数: 0
Lessons for scaling direct air capture from the history of ammonia synthesis 从氨合成的历史中汲取直接空气捕集规模化的经验教训
IF 6.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103696

High-temperature direct air capture (DAC)—a technology which uses liquid solvents to capture carbon dioxide from the atmosphere—has made rapid technological progress and is on the verge of full commercialization. The feasibility of upscaling liquid DAC quickly enough pace to reach gigaton-scale by mid-century, however, and depends on complex social and economic factors in addition to purely technical ones. We assess the feasibility of rapid liquid DAC growth using ammonia synthesis as an historical analogue. Ammonia synthesis is a chemical technology with many similarities to liquid DAC. Ammonia synthesis plants were deployed rapidly during the twentieth century. We answer three questions. Firstly: what is the fastest historically-precedented rate of deployment for this kind of technology? Secondly: what factors might influence whether liquid DAC can reach these rates of deployment, given the technical, social, and economic differences between it and ammonia synthesis? Third: what can be done to accelerate the deployment of liquid DAC? The precedent of ammonia synthesis shows that very rapid deployment rates are possible for liquid DAC, enabling a total global capacity of around 1 GT of CO2 per year by mid-century are possible. However, ammonia synthesis only reached these compound annual growth rates due to aggressive state and industrial support, which was in turn only available due to the critical value of nitrogen as an economic and strategic resource. For liquid DAC to reach comparable rates of deployment, political and economic incentive structures will have to change significantly.

高温直接空气捕集(DAC)--一种利用液态溶剂捕集大气中二氧化碳的技术--已经取得了快速的技术进步,并即将全面商业化。然而,要在本世纪中叶达到千兆吨级的规模,液态 DAC 快速升级的可行性除了纯粹的技术因素外,还取决于复杂的社会和经济因素。我们以氨合成为历史类比,评估液态 DAC 快速增长的可行性。氨合成是一种化学技术,与液态 DAC 有许多相似之处。氨合成工厂在二十世纪得到了迅速发展。我们将回答三个问题。第一:这种技术历史上前所未有的最快部署速度是多少?第二:鉴于液态 DAC 与氨合成在技术、社会和经济方面的差异,哪些因素可能会影响液态 DAC 能否达到这些部署速度?第三:如何加快液体 DAC 的应用?氨合成的先例表明,液态 DAC 的部署速度可能非常快,到本世纪中叶,全球的总产能可能达到每年约 1 GT CO2。然而,氨合成之所以能达到这样的复合年增长率,是因为得到了国家和行业的大力支持,而这种支持又是基于氮作为经济和战略资源的重要价值。要使液态 DAC 的使用率与之相当,政治和经济激励结构必须发生重大变化。
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引用次数: 0
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Energy Research & Social Science
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