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People, priorities, and path dependencies: Governance lessons for demand-side flexibility in Great Britain's decarbonising electricity system 人、优先事项和路径依赖:英国脱碳电力系统中需求侧灵活性的治理经验
IF 7.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-12-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2025.104520
Richard Hoggett, Jess Britton
As electricity systems accelerate towards net zero, demand-side flexibility (DSF) is increasingly critical for ensuring operability, affordability, and equity. This paper analyses how DSF from smaller-scale consumers can be unlocked amid rapid system change, drawing insights from Great Britain (GB), a leader in flexibility market development now undertaking a mission-led transition to a clean power system by 2030.
This perspective goes beyond existing studies to integrate governance analysis with technical, institutional, and social barriers to consumer DSF. GB's strategy for decarbonising power and enabling flexibility is ambitious, but the dispersed nature of DSF across policies, institutions and actors means fundamental challenges remain. Our analysis reveals how strategic planning, large-scale infrastructure prioritisation, and evolving governance arrangements risk marginalising smaller-scale, consumer-led flexibility at a critical juncture. We identify four emerging governance challenges: 1) ensuring DSF receives equal policy priority alongside large-scale infrastructure investments; 2) managing emerging path dependencies associated with technologies, networks, and strategic energy planning; 3) building a fair system around the needs of people; and, 4) improving coordination across a fragmented governance landscape.
These governance insights offer learning for other parts of the world seeking to accelerate consumer flexibility. Recent GB policy is seeking to address numerous challenges, but governance needs to move beyond incrementalism to adopt coordinated policy approaches that address centralised energy system thinking, ensure equity, and embed DSF into integrated whole-system planning. Failure to address these challenges risks marginalising DSF, and consumers participation, out of the energy system.
随着电力系统加速实现净零排放,需求侧灵活性(DSF)对于确保可操作性、可负担性和公平性越来越重要。本文分析了如何在快速的系统变化中释放来自小规模消费者的DSF,并借鉴了英国(GB)的见解,英国是灵活性市场发展的领导者,目前正在以使命为主导,到2030年向清洁电力系统过渡。这一观点超越了现有的研究,将治理分析与消费者DSF的技术、制度和社会障碍结合起来。英国的脱碳电力和实现灵活性战略雄心勃勃,但DSF在政策、机构和行动者之间的分散性意味着根本挑战仍然存在。我们的分析揭示了战略规划、大规模基础设施优先级和不断发展的治理安排如何在关键时刻使小规模、消费者主导的灵活性被边缘化。我们确定了四个新出现的治理挑战:1)确保DSF与大规模基础设施投资同等优先;2)管理与技术、网络和战略能源规划相关的新兴路径依赖关系;3)围绕人的需求构建公平的制度;4)在碎片化的治理环境中改善协调。这些治理见解为世界上寻求加速消费者灵活性的其他地区提供了学习。最近的GB政策正在寻求解决众多挑战,但治理需要超越渐进主义,采取协调一致的政策方法,解决集中能源系统思维,确保公平,并将DSF纳入综合整体系统规划。如果不能解决这些挑战,就有可能使DSF和消费者参与边缘化,被排除在能源系统之外。
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引用次数: 0
Making occupation and energy apartheid bankable: How European Union green hydrogen standards reproduce sovereignty theft in Palestine 让占领和能源隔离变得有利可图:欧盟绿色氢标准如何在巴勒斯坦重现主权盗窃
IF 7.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-12-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2025.104522
Hazem Almassry
European Union green hydrogen standards promise climate leadership through technical rigor. But what happens when these standards operate in occupied territories where one party controls another's access to water, land, and economic development? This paper examines how European Union renewable fuel regulations function in occupied Palestine. We analyze two proposed Palestinian hydrogen projects—one abandoned, one financed—alongside nine projects in Morocco, Jordan, and Egypt. We show that projects become financially viable in Palestine by designing around occupation rather than confronting it. Success requires treating Israeli military control over Palestinian water, movement, and infrastructure as permanent technical constraints rather than violations demanding remedy.
The mechanisms enabling this success are European verifiers measuring Palestinian resource use, offshore arbitration bypassing Palestinian courts, and international trustees controlling payment flows. These arrangements work because Palestinian institutions cannot provide enforcement—not due to institutional weakness, but because Israeli military occupation prevents Palestinian authorities from functioning. The same mechanisms that enable legitimate development financing in Morocco and Jordan serve a different function in Palestine: converting political domination into bankable risk.
Our findings reveal that European Union climate policy provides the technical architecture through which projects proceed within occupation as if it were ordinary business environment rather than ongoing crime under international law. Technical standards that appear neutral carry political content by determining whose institutions are legitimate and whose sovereignty matters. When climate mitigation requires arrangements that deny people control over their own resources, decarbonization reproduces rather than transcends extraction and domination. This matters beyond Palestine: it demonstrates how market-based climate policy can entrench rather than challenge the political conditions producing global inequality.
欧盟绿色氢标准承诺通过严格的技术来引领气候变化。但是,当这些标准在一方控制另一方获得水、土地和经济发展的占领区实施时会发生什么?本文探讨了欧盟可再生燃料法规如何在被占领的巴勒斯坦发挥作用。我们分析了两个拟议中的巴勒斯坦氢项目(一个被放弃,一个获得融资)以及摩洛哥、约旦和埃及的9个项目。我们表明,在巴勒斯坦,通过围绕占领而不是面对占领进行设计,项目在财务上是可行的。要想成功,就必须把以色列对巴勒斯坦水、交通和基础设施的军事控制视为永久的技术限制,而不是需要补救的违规行为。促成这一成功的机制是衡量巴勒斯坦资源使用情况的欧洲核查者、绕过巴勒斯坦法院的离岸仲裁以及控制支付流的国际受托人。这些安排之所以有效,是因为巴勒斯坦机构无法提供执行力——不是因为机构的弱点,而是因为以色列的军事占领阻碍了巴勒斯坦当局的运作。使摩洛哥和约旦获得合法发展融资的相同机制在巴勒斯坦发挥着不同的作用:将政治支配转化为可融资的风险。我们的研究结果表明,欧盟气候政策提供了技术架构,通过该架构,项目在占领范围内进行,就好像它是普通的商业环境,而不是国际法下的持续犯罪。看起来中立的技术标准通过决定谁的机构是合法的以及谁的主权重要而带有政治内容。当减缓气候变化所需要的安排使人们无法控制自己的资源时,脱碳就会再现,而不是超越开采和支配。这不仅关系到巴勒斯坦:它表明,基于市场的气候政策是如何巩固而不是挑战产生全球不平等的政治条件的。
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引用次数: 0
The contradiction of green extractivism: Analyzing the metals demands for a just energy transition in Europe 绿色开采主义的矛盾:分析欧洲能源转型的金属需求
IF 7.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-12-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2025.104518
Valenttina Cardozo Useche , Francesca Poggi
The full decarbonization of Europe's energy matrix presents a contradiction: achieving it demands vast metal extraction, raising serious environmental and geopolitical concerns. This study critically evaluates the feasibility of a Just Energy Transition (JET) by analyzing the quantities and geographic locations of 19 key metals required for Europe's decarbonization across a set of defined scenarios. The methods applied were the generation of a database on the material intensity of renewable energy technologies, the cross-referencing of this database with the existing global mining capacities database of S&P Global, and their subsequent analysis through pluriversality design and redesign principles. The latter is used in this work as an epistemological framework that allows reading the results beyond the technocratic approach. The results reveal four major obstacles that hinder a JET: the preponderance of onshore wind and solar technologies, limited reserves for 10 of the 19 analyzed metals, persistent Global North-South asymmetries, and the concentration of critical deposits in specific vulnerable regions, as well as in commercial terms. These factors risk reinforcing neocolonial extractive patterns. The study concludes that it is necessary to consider the geopolitical and social, cultural and environmental implications of mining required by energy transition technologies to define scenarios aligned with a Just Energy Transition.
欧洲能源体系的全面脱碳带来了一个矛盾:实现这一目标需要大量的金属开采,引发了严重的环境和地缘政治担忧。本研究通过分析欧洲脱碳所需的19种关键金属的数量和地理位置,对公正能源转型(JET)的可行性进行了批判性评估。所采用的方法是建立一个关于可再生能源技术的材料强度的数据库,将这个数据库与S&;P global现有的全球采矿能力数据库相互参照,然后通过多元设计和重新设计原则进行分析。后者在这项工作中被用作认识论框架,允许阅读超越技术官僚方法的结果。结果揭示了阻碍JET的四个主要障碍:陆上风能和太阳能技术的优势,19种分析金属中的10种储量有限,全球南北持续不对称,关键矿床集中在特定的脆弱地区,以及商业条件。这些因素有可能强化新殖民主义的榨取模式。该研究的结论是,有必要考虑能源转型技术所需的采矿的地缘政治和社会、文化和环境影响,以确定与公正的能源转型相一致的情景。
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引用次数: 0
Repurposing mines for renewable energy: Socio-environmental implications for local communities in Australia and Germany 为可再生能源重新利用矿山:对澳大利亚和德国当地社区的社会环境影响
IF 7.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-12-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2025.104508
Joshua Matanzima , Katharina Schramm , Hannah Uhrmann , Florian Heberle , Asta Vonderau , Timothy Weber , Christoph Helbig , Tim Werner
The demand for low-carbon energy to tackle the climate crisis requires large swathes of land to develop renewable energy infrastructure, such as wind, solar, geothermal, hydrogen, or pumped hydro. Claiming to avoid encroaching on already occupied landscapes where different forms of tenure exist, the energy industry is increasingly targeting closed and abandoned mine areas. This transformation not only promises to mitigate or address the ecological impact of mining but is also promoted as a means of local socio-economic development through employment creation, redressing energy poverty, and community benefit sharing within the renewable energy sector. However, these developments can have grave social and environmental impacts and thus may exacerbate transitional and intersectional inequalities and injustices. Hence, careful planning and stakeholder engagement are vital to ensuring that repurposing projects reflect the needs and values of impacted communities and the historical and political contexts of mining areas. Shedding light on the situation in Australia and Germany, two countries at the forefront of these new energy initiatives, this article presents perspectives from engineering and anthropology to discuss some of the social and environmental risks involved in the repurposing of mines. From these interdisciplinary conversations, we develop policy recommendations for a just energy transition and sketch some directions for future research.
应对气候危机对低碳能源的需求需要大片土地来发展可再生能源基础设施,如风能、太阳能、地热能、氢能或抽水蓄能。能源行业声称,为了避免侵占已经存在的不同形式权属的土地,他们越来越多地瞄准关闭和废弃的矿区。这种转变不仅有望减轻或解决采矿对生态的影响,而且还通过创造就业、解决能源贫困和在可再生能源部门分享社区利益,作为当地社会经济发展的一种手段加以促进。然而,这些发展可能产生严重的社会和环境影响,从而可能加剧过渡和交叉的不平等和不公正。因此,谨慎的规划和利益相关者的参与对于确保项目的重新利用反映受影响社区的需求和价值观以及矿区的历史和政治背景至关重要。本文以澳大利亚和德国这两个处于新能源倡议前沿的国家为例,从工程学和人类学的角度探讨了矿山再利用所涉及的一些社会和环境风险。从这些跨学科的对话中,我们提出了公正能源转型的政策建议,并概述了未来研究的一些方向。
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引用次数: 0
Fairing the energy transition: A policy framework for integrating stakeholder concerns in solar energy development 公平的能源转型:在太阳能发展中整合利益相关者关注的政策框架
IF 7.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-12-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2025.104511
L.E. Rielli , J.J.X. Wang
Ensuring that the energy transition actively accounts for stakeholders' concerns is critical to both addressing and redressing (in)justices. From an energy justice perspective, key aspects – including distributive, procedural, recognitional, and restorative justice – must be duly inscribed across the lifecycles of new renewable energy infrastructures. This article aims to identify the salient stakeholder concerns and propose corresponding policy actions that embed justice principles in the energy transition. It particularly emphasizes on the implications for affected stakeholders groups, namely workers, suppliers, communities, and consumers. Drawing on evidence from ethnographic field observations and semi-structured interviews (n = 47) in solar photovoltaic energy projects in Brazil and Portugal, this Perspective article proposes a framework of structural and practical policy actions that centre the affected stakeholders' concerns, which can be adapted across global geographies. This work contributes to the just energy transitions global agenda by providing practical recommendations for integrating justice into energy policies.
确保能源转型积极考虑利益相关者的关切,对于解决和纠正公正至关重要。从能源正义的角度来看,关键方面——包括分配、程序、认可和恢复性正义——必须在新的可再生能源基础设施的整个生命周期中适当地体现出来。本文旨在确定利益相关者关注的突出问题,并提出相应的政策行动,将正义原则纳入能源转型。它特别强调对受影响的利益相关者群体的影响,即工人、供应商、社区和消费者。根据巴西和葡萄牙太阳能光伏项目的人种学实地观察和半结构化访谈(n = 47)的证据,本文提出了一个结构性和实用的政策行动框架,该框架以受影响的利益相关者的关注点为中心,可以在全球各地进行调整。这项工作为将公正纳入能源政策提供了切实可行的建议,有助于推动能源公正转型全球议程。
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引用次数: 0
The contested political economy of Norway's oil and gas industry 挪威石油和天然气行业的政治经济争议
IF 7.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-12-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2025.104510
Arief Rahman , David Wadley , Paul Dargusch
Norway, Western Europe's largest petroleum exporter, faces a profound paradox: its economic prosperity relies heavily on hydrocarbon production, yet it champions some of the world's most ambitious climate policies. Petroleum exports account for 18 % of GDP and 42 % of total export value, while domestic CO₂ emissions reach 50 million tonnes annually, excluding emissions from exported fuels, which would multiply its climate footprint tenfold. This paper examines Norway's dual role as a strategic energy supplier and a climate leader during a period of European energy insecurity. We analyze the implications of expanding oil and gas exploration on the Norwegian Continental Shelf, assess production- and consumption-based emission accounting frameworks, and propose a more comprehensive climate accountability approach. A new discussion section synthesizes political economy perspectives on the feasibility of reducing production, identifies key actors shaping policy, and evaluates arguments for continued extraction amid global energy transition. Our findings highlight the tension between short-term energy imperatives and long-term climate commitments, offering pathways for reconciling these competing priorities. The study contributes novel insights by integrating emission accounting reform with strategic policy options, advancing the debate on how resource-rich nations can align fossil fuel dependence with climate responsibility.
作为西欧最大的石油出口国,挪威面临着一个深刻的悖论:它的经济繁荣严重依赖于碳氢化合物生产,但它却拥护世界上一些最雄心勃勃的气候政策。石油出口占国内生产总值的18%,占出口总额的42%,而国内二氧化碳排放量每年达到5000万吨,不包括出口燃料的排放量,这将使其气候足迹增加10倍。本文考察了挪威在欧洲能源不安全时期作为战略能源供应国和气候领导者的双重角色。我们分析了在挪威大陆架扩大石油和天然气勘探的影响,评估了基于生产和消费的排放核算框架,并提出了一种更全面的气候问责方法。一个新的讨论部分综合了关于减产可行性的政治经济学观点,确定了影响政策的关键因素,并评估了在全球能源转型中继续开采的论点。我们的研究结果强调了短期能源需求与长期气候承诺之间的紧张关系,为协调这些相互竞争的优先事项提供了途径。该研究通过将排放核算改革与战略政策选择相结合,推动了关于资源丰富国家如何将化石燃料依赖与气候责任结合起来的辩论,从而提供了新颖的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Reimagining benefits from climate infrastructure and investments 重新设想气候基础设施和投资的好处
IF 7.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-12-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2025.104501
Holly Jean Buck , Vanessa Suarez , Travis Young
Policy discussions have focused on how clean energy and climate technologies can provide local or community benefits, but these discussions are often disconnected from research on what communities perceive to be benefits. This paper uses interviews (n = 113) in five regions of the United States to explore what local experts and community leaders perceive as the benefits of net zero technology development. It finds that people identify a wide range of benefits of interest beyond the types of benefits often packaged in transactional community benefit agreements. Respondents discussed economic, ecological, restorative, and resilience benefits, emotional and aesthetic benefits, sovereignty benefits, and more. The paper offers a typology of eight kinds of benefits to consider and discusses two potential frameworks for assessing benefits based on value analysis and standpoint analysis. In a shifting political landscape where net zero technologies can face local opposition and carbon reductions are no longer enough to motivate investment, reconceptualizing benefits and shaping policy for benefit delivery may be a way forward.
政策讨论的重点是清洁能源和气候技术如何能给地方或社区带来好处,但这些讨论往往与社区认为是什么好处的研究脱节。本文在美国五个地区使用访谈(n = 113)来探讨当地专家和社区领导人对净零技术发展的好处的看法。研究发现,除了通常包装在事务性社区利益协议中的利益类型之外,人们还发现了广泛的利益利益。受访者讨论了经济、生态、恢复性和弹性效益、情感和美学效益、主权效益等等。本文提出了八种需要考虑的效益类型,并讨论了基于价值分析和立场分析的两种潜在的效益评估框架。在一个不断变化的政治环境中,净零技术可能面临当地的反对,碳减排不再足以激励投资,重新定义效益和制定政策以实现效益可能是一个前进的方向。
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引用次数: 0
Satisficing devices: Co-benefits in practice to decarbonize New York City's residential buildings 令人满意的设备:在实践中共同受益,以脱碳纽约市的住宅建筑
IF 7.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-12-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2025.104512
Ankit Bhardwaj , Josh Whitford , Brady Kennedy , Gianpaolo Baiocchi , H. Jacob Carlson , Bianca Howard
There is ample evidence that the pursuit of decarbonization — the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions — necessary to avoid dangerous scenarios of climate change is associated with a variety of social, economic and environmental co-benefits that are not, however, integrated into decision-making processes that remain institutionally bound to techno-economic objectives. Drawing on 58 interviews and field observations of people working on New York City's residential buildings, a sector that has since 2019 been subject to an ambitious set of financial incentives and regulations for decarbonization, we ask when and why professionals reference co-benefits to influence their clients' decision-making. We develop a cultural framework to analyze co-benefits as a category of practice, showing that they serve as a satisficing device professionals deploy as they strive to meet multiple client needs, stack various sources of finance, and comply with a bevy of regulations.
有充分的证据表明,为避免危险的气候变化情景所必需的去碳化- -减少温室气体排放- -与各种社会、经济和环境的共同利益有关,然而,这些利益并没有纳入决策过程,而决策过程在体制上仍然受到技术经济目标的约束。通过对纽约市住宅楼工作人员的58次采访和实地观察,我们询问专业人士何时以及为什么会参考共同利益来影响客户的决策。自2019年以来,纽约市住宅楼一直受到一系列雄心勃勃的财政激励和脱碳法规的约束。我们开发了一个文化框架来分析作为实践类别的共同利益,表明它们是专业人士在努力满足多种客户需求,堆叠各种资金来源并遵守大量法规时部署的令人满意的设备。
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引用次数: 0
Conceptualizing the relationship between industrial transformation and accelerating sustainability transitions: A multi-sectoral perspective 概念化产业转型与加速可持续转型之间的关系:多部门视角
IF 7.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-12-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2025.104509
Allan Dahl Andersen , Tuukka Mäkitie , Markus Steen , Iris Wanzenböck
The acceleration of sustainability transitions increasingly hinges on industrial transformation, i.e., structural changes in the sectors that produce, use, and support low-carbon technologies. Such changes shape the pace and direction of transitions by affecting the availability of critical inputs—from manufacturing capacity to materials for batteries, transformers, or solar PV—and by creating new opportunities for industrial value creation. Yet current transition studies frameworks offer only partial views of these dynamics. The MLP whole-systems perspective highlights knock-on effects arising from widespread technology diffusion, while the technological innovation system (TIS) approach examines the upscaling of technology value chains. Because these perspectives are typically discussed separately, they provide limited insight into how industrial transformation and system transitions co-evolve. Drawing on evolutionary economics, we integrate these views into a multi-sectoral perspective that distinguishes between service value chains and technology value chains and conceptualizes how they interact in transitions. We assess and refine this framework through a systematic review of 80 empirical studies. The review confirms the usefulness of the perspective and identifies nine key processes that shape multi-sectoral dynamics. We distill five broader insights for transition studies, including the importance of sectoral overlaps, meta-regime shifts, distributed incumbency, spatially uneven industrial opportunities, and the evolving sectoral scope of transitions. These insights enable more granular analysis of how transitions unfold across interconnected sectors and underscore the need for integrated analytical tools and policy approaches that can more accurately interpret and respond to inter-sectoral dynamics in accelerating transitions.
可持续转型的加速越来越依赖于产业转型,即生产、使用和支持低碳技术的部门的结构变化。这些变化通过影响关键投入(从制造能力到电池、变压器或太阳能光伏材料)的可用性,并通过为工业价值创造创造新的机会,塑造了转型的速度和方向。然而,目前的转型研究框架只提供了这些动态的部分观点。MLP的全系统视角强调了广泛的技术扩散所产生的连锁效应,而技术创新系统(TIS)方法则考察了技术价值链的升级。由于这些观点通常是单独讨论的,因此它们对工业转型和系统转型如何共同发展提供了有限的见解。借助进化经济学,我们将这些观点整合到一个多部门的视角中,该视角区分了服务价值链和技术价值链,并概念化了它们在转型过程中的相互作用。我们通过对80项实证研究的系统回顾来评估和完善这一框架。审查确认了这一观点的有用性,并确定了形成多部门动态的九个关键进程。我们为转型研究提炼了五个更广泛的见解,包括部门重叠的重要性、元制度的转变、分布式在位性、空间不平衡的产业机会以及不断发展的转型部门范围。这些见解使我们能够更细致地分析转型如何在相互关联的部门之间展开,并强调需要综合分析工具和政策方法,以便更准确地解释和应对加速转型过程中的部门间动态。
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引用次数: 0
Kilometre-scale Earth system models to support the renewable energy transition: a combination of storyline methodologies 支持可再生能源转型的公里尺度地球系统模型:故事线方法的组合
IF 7.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-12-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2025.104513
Eulàlia Baulenas , Menno Veerman , Edgar Dolores-Tesillos , Aleksander Lacima-Nadolnik , Carlos Delgado-Torres , Kerstin Haslehner , Arjun Kumar , Albert Soret , Dragana Bojovic
Kilometre-scale Earth system models (km-ESMs) represent a significant advancement in climate modelling, offering unprecedented spatial detail. To ensure their societal relevance, this study explores how combining storyline methodologies can bridge science and decision-making in the context of the renewable energy transition. The study conducted a discourse-based stakeholder mapping and through participatory workshops, three scenario storylines were co-produced reflecting divergent energy futures. These scenarios were implemented through masking km-scale climate simulations. This process facilitated the communication of complex model outputs to non-technical participants, and also fostered reflection on how such information could inform their own and interdependent decision-making within the energy transition. The joint discussions highlighted the trade-offs and synergies between renewable energy production, biodiversity protection, and community empowerment. Stakeholders identified key climate information needs from different perspectives of the renewable energy sector, stressing the value of km-scale resolution data in regional planning and infrastructure resilience. By treating storylines as boundary objects, we demonstrate how local narratives can inform model development and how models can, in turn, support societal processes of relevance. Our results underscore the potential of co-produced, discourse-driven scenario storylines to enhance the usability and impact of emerging climate modelling tools.
千米尺度地球系统模式(km-ESMs)代表了气候模拟的重大进步,提供了前所未有的空间细节。为了确保它们的社会相关性,本研究探讨了在可再生能源转型的背景下,如何结合故事情节方法来架起科学与决策的桥梁。该研究进行了基于话语的利益相关者映射,并通过参与式研讨会,共同产生了三个情景故事情节,反映了不同的能源未来。这些情景是通过遮蔽千米尺度的气候模拟来实现的。这一过程促进了将复杂模型的产出传达给非技术参与者,也促进了对这些信息如何在能源转型中为他们自己和相互依赖的决策提供信息的思考。联合讨论强调了可再生能源生产、生物多样性保护和社区赋权之间的权衡和协同作用。利益相关者从可再生能源部门的不同角度确定了关键的气候信息需求,强调了千米尺度分辨率数据在区域规划和基础设施恢复能力方面的价值。通过将故事情节视为边界对象,我们展示了当地叙事如何为模型开发提供信息,以及模型如何反过来支持相关的社会过程。我们的研究结果强调了共同制作的、话语驱动的情景故事情节在增强新兴气候建模工具的可用性和影响方面的潜力。
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