Energy Research & Social Science最新文献_第3页

Understanding regional heterogeneity in energy systems and energy affordability: A polar paradox in Arctic Alaska 理解能源系统的区域异质性和能源可负担性：阿拉斯加北极地区的极地悖论

IF 7.4 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2026.104572

Taryn Waite , Ying Zhang , Stephanie T. Morris , Amy Lauren Lovecraft , Nicholas Parlato , Mengqi Zhao , Meredydd Evans , Jae Edmonds , Magnus de Witt , Jeremy Kasper , Nazar Kholod

Fossil fuel extraction plays a major role in Alaska's economy, with taxes and royalties paid by oil producers contributing significantly to revenue at the state and local levels. This dependence on the fossil fuel industry leaves the state and its communities vulnerable to global and regional changes in energy prices. Meanwhile, remote communities in Arctic Alaska face persistent residential energy insecurity due to high fuel prices despite the state's fossil fuel wealth, exemplifying a “polar paradox”. Here, we use a multi-scale framework, which leverages a global, integrated, multi-sector model with U.S. state-level details to analyze how global drivers cascade down to affect local residential energy security under future scenarios. Using the North Slope and Northwest Arctic Boroughs as case studies, we show regional heterogeneity in the two boroughs and how it affects community-level residential energy security outcomes under global drivers. Our analysis takes into account the effects of temperature changes on heating needs and the dynamic response of future residential heating demand given affordability. We find that a global energy transition could have major implications for future Alaska petroleum revenue and local energy affordability. Additionally, the cascading impacts on Arctic Alaska communities could be heterogeneous given differences in existing energy portfolio and subsidies. The multi-scale framework we apply offers a transferable approach for understanding how global energy transitions and environmental change generate differentiated impacts at the local level, with broad relevance for fossil-dependent regions navigating uncertain futures.

化石燃料开采在阿拉斯加的经济中扮演着重要的角色，石油生产商支付的税收和特许权使用费对州和地方的收入贡献很大。对化石燃料行业的依赖使该州及其社区容易受到全球和地区能源价格变化的影响。与此同时，尽管阿拉斯加拥有丰富的化石燃料，但由于燃料价格高企，北极地区的偏远社区面临着持续的住宅能源不安全问题，这是“极地悖论”的一个例证。在这里，我们使用了一个多尺度框架，它利用了一个全球性的、综合的、多部门的模型，并结合了美国各州的细节，来分析在未来情景下，全球驱动因素是如何串联起来影响当地住宅能源安全的。以北坡区和西北北极区为例，分析了两个区在全球驱动下的区域异质性及其对社区居民能源安全结果的影响。我们的分析考虑了温度变化对供暖需求的影响，以及未来住宅供暖需求的动态响应。我们发现，全球能源转型可能对阿拉斯加未来的石油收入和当地的能源负担能力产生重大影响。此外，考虑到现有能源组合和补贴的差异，对北极阿拉斯加社区的级联影响可能是异质的。我们采用的多尺度框架为理解全球能源转型和环境变化如何在地方层面产生差异化影响提供了一种可转移的方法，对依赖化石的地区导航不确定的未来具有广泛的相关性。

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引用次数: 0

The power of plurality: A new taxonomy of actors in the European energy system 多元化的力量：欧洲能源体系中行动者的新分类

IF 7.4 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2026.104566

Till Fladung , Julia Hoffmann , Mathias Mier , Mustafa Ispa

The European energy market comprises a diverse range of actors, each with distinct roles and objectives. This paper proposes a taxonomy that categorizes these actors into five groups: governance, grid and transport, supply, demand, and investors. Utilizing a systematic literature review, we identify salient characteristics and distinctions within these groups through analyzing their interconnections and interactions. By systematically mapping energy flows and investment patterns, we present a structured overview of the market’s evolving landscape and its implications for the energy transition. A special focus is the ongoing debate about the necessity of capacity mechanisms.

欧洲能源市场由各种各样的参与者组成，每个参与者都有不同的角色和目标。本文提出了一种分类法，将这些参与者分为五类：治理、电网和运输、供应、需求和投资者。利用系统的文献回顾，我们通过分析这些群体的相互联系和相互作用，确定了这些群体的显著特征和区别。通过系统地绘制能源流动和投资模式，我们对市场的演变格局及其对能源转型的影响进行了结构化的概述。一个特别的焦点是正在进行的关于能力机制必要性的辩论。

引用次数: 0

The power of assumptions: A literature review on how algorithmic design influences energy justice in electrical distribution grids 假设的力量：关于算法设计如何影响配电网能源公平的文献综述

IF 7.4 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2026.104605

Eva de Winkel , Zofia Lukszo , Mark Neerincx , Roel Dobbe

Recent energy justice scholarship has argued for the need to reflect more explicitly on the normative assumptions that underpin claims to justice in energy systems. While such reflections increasingly inform energy policy, less attention has been paid to how these assumptions shape the design of algorithmic systems central to energy system planning and operations. This paper explores how normative assumptions in the design of algorithmic systems used to request flexibility from electricity consumers and producers to manage grid congestion may influence distributive justice outcomes. By systematically reviewing the scientific literature presenting such systems, we define two categories of assumptions: (1) scope assumptions, which set the boundaries of the justice analysis by determining which burdens and benefits, scale, subjects, and timeframe are considered relevant; and (2) design assumptions, which specify how these considerations are translated into the structure of algorithmic systems, such as allocation principles, technical problem framing, data availability and evaluation metrics. We find that the particular assumptions adopted within each category determine the distributive outcomes of these algorithmic systems. Recognizing their normative character, we propose that scope assumptions should be informed by context-specific risks of injustice identified by policymakers, while engineers should reflect on and validate their design assumptions in relation to these risks.

最近的能源正义研究认为，有必要更明确地反思支撑能源系统正义主张的规范性假设。虽然这些反思越来越多地为能源政策提供信息，但很少有人注意到这些假设如何影响能源系统规划和操作的核心算法系统的设计。本文探讨了用于要求电力消费者和生产者灵活管理电网拥堵的算法系统设计中的规范假设如何影响分配正义的结果。通过系统地回顾呈现此类系统的科学文献，我们定义了两类假设：(1)范围假设，通过确定哪些负担和利益、规模、主题和时间框架被认为是相关的，来设定司法分析的边界；(2)设计假设，具体说明如何将这些考虑转化为算法系统的结构，如分配原则、技术问题框架、数据可用性和评估指标。我们发现，在每个类别中采用的特定假设决定了这些算法系统的分配结果。认识到它们的规范性，我们建议，范围假设应该根据政策制定者确定的特定于具体情况的不公正风险，而工程师应该反思并验证与这些风险相关的设计假设。

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引用次数: 0

Fields for food or electricity: revisiting spatial analysis to evaluate land-use priorities for solar siting in Swedish agricultural landscapes 粮食或电力领域：重新审视空间分析，以评估瑞典农业景观中太阳能选址的土地利用优先级

IF 7.4 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2026.104611

Oskar Belzons Berthelemot , Jimmy Ehnberg , Göran Berndes

Ground-mounted photovoltaics (GMPV) expansion on agricultural land in Sweden is frequently contested, with several cases settled in court. Analysis of recent rulings and permit applications shows that authorities are determining how to prioritize vital societal interests in food production and renewable-energy deployment while a coherent legal framework remains under development. Developers, meanwhile, concentrate proposals on agricultural land near grid infrastructure, neglecting concerns about food security as well as values and identities embedded in existing landscapes. The landscape-governance lens reveals how landscapes emerge from socio-cultural processes and how conflicts around GMPV are signs of misalignments between socio-technical development and locally anchored land-use preferences. To explore alternatives aligning with social priorities in southern Sweden, we assess the potential for agrivoltaics and GMPV on rewetted agricultural peatlands through a scenario-based GIS approach. By translating the divergent reference frames of developers and regional authorities into parallel land-constraint scenarios, we show that these frames result in sharply different solar capacities (0–172 GW) and consequences for land use. Further, evaluating distance to grid against socio-economic factors shows its unsuitability as a siting criterion. Combining our spatial assessment approach with participatory iterative engagement could empirically capture land-use expectations and landscape values.

在瑞典，农业用地上的地面光伏（GMPV）扩张经常受到争议，有几起案件在法庭上得到解决。对最近的裁决和许可申请的分析表明，当局正在决定如何优先考虑粮食生产和可再生能源部署方面的重要社会利益，而连贯的法律框架仍在制定中。与此同时，开发商将提案集中在电网基础设施附近的农业用地上，忽视了对粮食安全的担忧，以及现有景观中蕴含的价值和身份。景观治理视角揭示了景观是如何从社会文化过程中产生的，以及围绕GMPV的冲突是社会技术发展与当地固定的土地使用偏好之间不协调的迹象。为了探索与瑞典南部社会优先事项相一致的替代方案，我们通过基于场景的GIS方法评估了在重新湿润的农业泥炭地进行农业发电和GMPV的潜力。通过将开发商和地区当局的不同参考框架转化为平行的土地约束情景，我们发现这些框架导致了截然不同的太阳能容量（0-172吉瓦）和土地使用后果。此外，根据社会经济因素评估电网距离表明其不适合作为选址标准。将我们的空间评估方法与参与式迭代参与相结合，可以从经验上捕捉到土地利用预期和景观价值。

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引用次数: 0

Who uses power, who gets microgrids? Uncovering regional trends in energy consumption and microgrid deployment in California 谁使用电力，谁得到微电网？揭示加州能源消耗和微电网部署的区域趋势

IF 7.4 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2026.104617

Anton Rozhkov , Yanchi Jin , Fan Fan

This study develops a spatial-statistical framework to examine how the geography of operational microgrid infrastructure co-occurs with residential electricity demand and community context across California. We combine quarterly ZIP-code residential electricity consumption data from major utilities (SCE, PG&E, and SDG&E) with physical, built-environment, and sociodemographic indicators harmonized to a common spatial support through a Geographic Information System (GIS) workflow. Microgrid locations are geocoded to facility-level points from the U.S. Department of Energy registry, enabling kernel density estimation of deployment concentration. Time-series clustering to characterize distinct demand regimes, local hotspot statistics to detect spatial concentrations of energy-use intensity, and multivariate clustering and spatial regression (including geographically weighted regression) were applied to summarize associations between demand, contextual variables, and microgrid presence. Importantly, the analysis is designed to identify spatial “opportunity structures” where existing microgrid assets overlap with elevated residential demand and equity-relevant community characteristics under a socio-technical transition lens and can become a strong lever for building community microgrids for communities in need. Results indicate strong, statewide seasonality in demand with stable cluster ordering over time, and show that associations with homeownership, population density, and racial/ethnic composition are more pronounced than those of temperature or air quality in explaining demand patterns. Microgrids remain concentrated in urban areas and are largely driven by anchor institutions (hospitals, universities, military sites), limiting systematic overlap with community indicators. The proposed framework supports transparent, extensible opportunity mapping for community-oriented microgrid pathways and can be replicated in other states as data availability improves.

本研究开发了一个空间统计框架，以研究运行微电网基础设施的地理位置如何与加州的住宅电力需求和社区环境共同发生。我们将来自主要公用事业公司（SCE、pg&&e和sdg&&e）的季度邮政编码住宅用电量数据与物理、建筑环境和社会人口指标结合起来，通过地理信息系统（GIS）工作流协调成一个共同的空间支持。微电网的位置根据美国能源部的注册表进行地理编码，从而实现部署集中度的核密度估计。利用时间序列聚类来表征不同的需求机制，利用局部热点统计来检测能源使用强度的空间集中，利用多元聚类和空间回归（包括地理加权回归）来总结需求、上下文变量和微电网存在之间的关联。重要的是，该分析旨在确定空间“机会结构”，在社会技术转型的视角下，现有微电网资产与住宅需求增加和股权相关的社区特征重叠，可以成为为有需要的社区建设社区微电网的有力杠杆。结果表明，在全州范围内，需求具有强烈的季节性，随着时间的推移具有稳定的集群顺序，并且表明，在解释需求模式时，与房屋所有权、人口密度和种族/民族组成的关联比温度或空气质量的关联更为明显。微电网仍然集中在城市地区，主要由锚定机构（医院、大学、军事基地）驱动，限制了与社区指标的系统重叠。提议的框架支持面向社区的微电网路径的透明、可扩展的机会映射，并且随着数据可用性的提高，可以在其他州复制。

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引用次数: 0

Reacting with recognition? Identifying vulnerability, governance and justice in local heat adaptation planning among 83 C40 cities 做出认可的反应？83个C40城市局部热适应规划脆弱性、治理与公平性研究

IF 7.4 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2026.104577

Melissa A. Martin

As the realities of climate change continue to impact local weather through higher temperatures for longer periods of time, local governments are increasingly tasked with balancing short- and long-term public health and planning efforts which are affected by these increasing temperatures. The burden of extreme heat is not borne equally throughout cities and vulnerable groups are likely to be disproportionately affected, presenting a pervasive problem of distributive injustice. To overcome this, city-level actions should practice recognitional justice, adequately integrating vulnerability into the adaptation context and planning.

To assess the current state of such recognitional justice, this study presents a content analysis to understand if and how vulnerability is defined and considered among cities involved in the C40 Cities Climate Leadership Group (n = 83), a collaborative program which brings together mayors across the world to work together on a variety of climate policy matters. 74 of the 83 cities include a definition of vulnerability, representing cities across all climates, income brackets and types of heat planning. The results show significant heterogeneity in how recognitional justice is practiced – explicitly naming one or more of fourteen specific vulnerable groups - reflecting the localized approach taken by city governments and the unique needs of individual communities. While 96% of planning documents include definitions of vulnerability and concrete objectives, only 53% explicitly integrate vulnerability into these objectives, suggesting there is still a significant gap between recognitional justice and practice.

随着气候变化的现实继续通过更长时间的高温影响当地天气，地方政府越来越多地承担起平衡受气温上升影响的短期和长期公共卫生和规划工作的任务。各个城市承受极端高温的负担并不均衡，弱势群体可能受到不成比例的影响，呈现出普遍存在的分配不公正问题。为了克服这一点，城市层面的行动应实践公认的正义，将脆弱性充分纳入适应背景和规划。为了评估这种承认正义的现状，本研究提出了一项内容分析，以了解C40城市气候领导小组（n = 83）所涉及的城市是否以及如何定义和考虑脆弱性，C40城市气候领导小组是一个合作项目，汇集了世界各地的市长就各种气候政策问题共同努力。在83个城市中，有74个城市包含了脆弱性的定义，代表了不同气候、收入阶层和热规划类型的城市。结果显示，在如何实施承认正义方面存在显著的异质性——明确指出14个特定弱势群体中的一个或多个——反映了城市政府采取的本地化方法和个别社区的独特需求。虽然96%的规划文件包括脆弱性的定义和具体目标，但只有53%明确地将脆弱性纳入这些目标，这表明在认识正义与实践之间仍然存在重大差距。

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引用次数: 0

Uncertainties and anticipated disturbances as drivers of tenant relocation in Swedish housing renovation 不确定性和预期的干扰作为瑞典住房改造租户搬迁的驱动因素

IF 7.4 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2026.104556

Paula Femenias , Kaj Granath , Martine Buser , Jens Widmark

To meet the 2050 climate targets, the renovation rate of existing housing is expected to increase significantly. However, such large-scale renovation efforts have raised concerns about their social implications, particularly relating to disruption and the potential displacement of tenants. This paper aims to deepen the understanding of the social consequences of renovation by exploring whether and for what reasons renovation processes influence households' decision to relocate.

The study draws on 450 interviews with households in municipally owned housing who chose to relocate from 42 Swedish renovation projects affecting 6993 apartments, and was analysed using both qualitative and statistical methods.

The study contributes two main results. First, the qualitative analysis identifies disturbances and uncertainties as primary drivers of tenants' relocation. Second, the statistical analysis established relationships between tenants' relocation decisions and factors such as age, the rent per sqm before the renovation, and the extent of the renovation. The research revealed that tenant relocations frequently precede the start of renovation work rather than occurring during construction. The findings emphasise that mitigating renovation-related disruptions is crucial across both minor and comprehensive overhauls to prevent displacement and housing instability. Since most renovation-motivated relocations occur before work begins due to perceived insecurities, the timing and design of communication require particular care.

为了实现2050年的气候目标，现有住房的翻新率预计将大幅提高。然而，这种大规模的改造工作引起了人们对其社会影响的担忧，特别是与破坏和潜在的租户流离失所有关。本文旨在通过探索改造过程是否以及出于何种原因影响家庭搬迁决策，加深对改造社会后果的理解。该研究对450个来自42个瑞典改造项目（涉及6993套公寓）的市政住房家庭进行了访谈，并使用定性和统计方法进行了分析。这项研究得出了两个主要结果。首先，定性分析确定了干扰和不确定性是租户搬迁的主要驱动因素。其次，通过统计分析，建立了租户的搬迁决策与年龄、装修前每平方米租金、装修程度等因素之间的关系。研究表明，租户搬迁经常发生在装修工作开始之前，而不是在施工期间。调查结果强调，减轻与翻新相关的破坏对于防止流离失所和住房不稳定至关重要，无论是在小规模还是全面的大修中。由于大多数翻新动机的搬迁发生在工作开始之前，由于感知到的不安全感，沟通的时机和设计需要特别注意。

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引用次数: 0

Fission and friction: A systematic review of individual-level determinants of attitudes toward nuclear energy in advanced economies 裂变与摩擦：对发达经济体中对核能态度的个人层面决定因素的系统回顾

IF 7.4 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2026.104587

Carmen Aina , Samuele Poy

Nuclear energy is re-emerging in national decarbonization and energy-security debates, with energy strategy decisions increasingly influenced by public perceptions and societal feedback. This article presents an updated systematic review of research on factors shaping individual attitudes toward nuclear energy in advanced economies (G7 countries, Russia, and China) from 2010 to 2025. Drawing on established theories of nuclear risk perception, it synthesizes evidence on how risk perception, institutional trust, knowledge, values, and socio-demographic factors influence nuclear acceptance. Two determinants emerge as consistently robust: institutional trust and risk perception. Higher trust in regulatory authorities, governments, and industry operators is associated with greater acceptance, while heightened perceptions of safety, health, or waste risks remain the main barriers. Knowledge and demographic factors generally have modest, context-dependent effects, often mediated by values and trust. Major external shocks, such as nuclear accidents, amplify risk salience. By synthesizing this research, the article provides a nuanced understanding of the drivers of individual attitudes toward nuclear energy and discusses their political implications for governance and communication.

核能正在重新出现在国家脱碳和能源安全辩论中，能源战略决策越来越多地受到公众看法和社会反馈的影响。本文对2010年至2025年发达经济体（G7国家、俄罗斯和中国）中影响个人对核能态度的因素的研究进行了最新的系统回顾。利用核风险感知的既定理论，它综合了风险感知、机构信任、知识、价值观和社会人口因素如何影响核接受的证据。有两个决定因素始终表现强劲：机构信任和风险感知。对监管机构、政府和行业运营商的信任度越高，接受度越高，而对安全、健康或废物风险的高度认识仍然是主要障碍。知识和人口因素通常具有适度的、情境依赖的影响，通常由价值观和信任作为中介。核事故等重大外部冲击放大了风险的显著性。通过综合这项研究，本文对个人对核能态度的驱动因素提供了细致入微的理解，并讨论了它们对治理和沟通的政治影响。

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引用次数: 0

Rethinking the gender-energy nexus beyond the productive–reproductive binary: A mixed-methods study from rural Madagascar 重新思考超越生产-生殖二元关系的性别能量关系：一项来自马达加斯加农村的混合方法研究

IF 7.4 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2026.104609

Katharina Oemmelen , Ben Page , Tinasoa Rasoarimalala , Priti Parikh

It is well established that there is a gendered dimension to accessing, using and understanding renewable energies. Yet, few studies move beyond a ‘women-only’ focus to examine how rural electrification intersects with intra-household dynamics and socio-cultural norms in Sub-Saharan Africa. This paper applies an analytical gender lens (Peterson, 2005) to two rural Malagasy communities, drawing on 487 household surveys and six months of qualitative fieldwork. We investigate how access to electric light, appliances, and clean cooking technologies affects men's and women's time use, well-being, and household dynamics. Using a feminist approach that centres the voices of ordinary community members, we critically interrogate conventional gender-energy narratives that frame electrification as a straightforward pathway to reducing women's domestic burden. We argue that the productive-reproductive binary underpinning this rationale fails to capture the interwoven ways in which electricity is used in rural Malagasy households. Our findings show that higher-tier electricity access was associated with increased time spent on both paid and unpaid work – often undertaken in parallel and extending into the night - yet female respondents valued these changes for the greater practicality, autonomy, and agency they afforded. By moving beyond binary framings, this study advances novel insights into the gender-energy nexus and deepens our understanding of the interlinkages between SDG 5 and SDG 7.

众所周知，在获取、使用和理解可再生能源方面存在着性别层面。然而，很少有研究超越了“仅限女性”的重点，考察了撒哈拉以南非洲农村电气化如何与家庭内部动态和社会文化规范交叉。本文将分析性性别视角（Peterson, 2005）应用于马达加斯加的两个农村社区，利用487个家庭调查和六个月的定性实地调查。我们调查了电灯、电器和清洁烹饪技术的使用如何影响男性和女性的时间使用、幸福感和家庭动态。我们采用女权主义的方法，以普通社区成员的声音为中心，批判性地质疑传统的性别能量叙事，这些叙事将电气化视为减轻女性家庭负担的直接途径。我们认为，支撑这一理论的生产性和再生性二元概念未能捕捉到马达加斯加农村家庭用电的相互交织的方式。我们的研究结果表明，更高层次的电力供应与有偿和无偿工作花费的时间增加有关——通常是并行进行的，并延伸到晚上——然而女性受访者看重这些变化，因为它们提供了更大的实用性、自主性和能动性。通过超越二元框架，本研究对性别能量关系提出了新的见解，并加深了我们对可持续发展目标5和可持续发展目标7之间相互联系的理解。

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引用次数: 0

Glocalisation of hydrogen sociotechnical imaginaries in Poland - local technocratic scenarios to align with global transitions 波兰氢社会技术想象的全球化-与全球转型保持一致的当地技术官僚方案

IF 7.4 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2026.104607

Joanna Grudowska , Katarzyna Iwińska

Although Poland is the third-largest hydrogen producer in the European Union, it struggles to limit the carbon emissions in the process of its production and transform into low-carbon (green) hydrogen. Our investigation examines the dominant sociotechnical imaginaries of hydrogen technologies implementation in Poland and integrates them with the framework of glocalisation to reveal how hydrogen STIs operate outside core green hydrogen hubs. Through semi-structured expert interviews and the Delphi method, this study analyses how coexisting sociotechnical imaginaries shape Poland's emerging hydrogen green economy. The Delphi method is utilised to frame experts' perspectives on opportunities, risks, and implementation requirements as well as expected probabilities of the future developments. The research reveals three primary coexisting imaginaries that guide Poland's hydrogen development trajectory. Firstly, the technonationalist scenario prioritizes the development of domestic hydrogen technologies. Secondly, the State/Industry-Led scenario positions hydrogen as a transformative force for comprehensive economic modernisation while simultaneously strengthening Poland's technological competencies and thirdly, a mixed Bottom-Up and Top-Down perspective encompasses two governance approaches, balancing large-scale national initiatives with localised “hydrogen valleys” projects. The three scenarios explain the divergence and incoherence in implementing new technologies and might help diagnose conflicting priorities at the policy and governance levels. Poland's hydrogen sociotechnical imaginaries are fundamentally technocratic and technonationalist, framing hydrogen as a direct fuel substitute within existing centralised infrastructures and privileging institutional success metrics over social justice or grassroots participation. The global-local hydrogen energy transition is discussed in a peripheral context of Poland in the world and the technocratic–reformist hopes for technological-sovereignty in Europe.

虽然波兰是欧盟第三大氢气生产国，但它在生产过程中努力限制碳排放，向低碳（绿色）氢气转型。我们的调查考察了波兰氢技术实施的主要社会技术想象，并将其与全球化框架相结合，以揭示氢sti如何在核心绿色氢中心之外运作。通过半结构化的专家访谈和德尔菲法，本研究分析了共存的社会技术想象如何塑造波兰新兴的氢绿色经济。德尔菲法用于构建专家对机会、风险、实施要求以及未来发展的预期概率的观点。该研究揭示了指导波兰氢发展轨迹的三个主要共存的想象。首先，技术民族主义情景优先考虑国内氢技术的发展。其次，国家/行业主导的方案将氢定位为全面经济现代化的变革力量，同时加强波兰的技术能力。第三，自下而上和自上而下的混合视角包括两种治理方法，平衡大规模的国家倡议和本地化的“氢谷”项目。这三种情景解释了在实施新技术方面的分歧和不一致，并可能有助于诊断政策和治理级别上相互冲突的优先事项。波兰的氢社会技术想象从根本上来说是技术官僚和技术民族主义者，将氢作为现有集中式基础设施的直接燃料替代品，并将制度成功指标置于社会正义或基层参与之上。全球-地方氢能转型是在波兰的外围背景下讨论的，也是技术官僚-改革主义者对欧洲技术主权的希望。

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引用次数: 0