Energy Research & Social Science最新文献_第3页

Understanding regional heterogeneity in energy systems and energy affordability: A polar paradox in Arctic Alaska 理解能源系统的区域异质性和能源可负担性：阿拉斯加北极地区的极地悖论

IF 7.4 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2026-02-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2026.104572

Taryn Waite , Ying Zhang , Stephanie T. Morris , Amy Lauren Lovecraft , Nicholas Parlato , Mengqi Zhao , Meredydd Evans , Jae Edmonds , Magnus de Witt , Jeremy Kasper , Nazar Kholod

Fossil fuel extraction plays a major role in Alaska's economy, with taxes and royalties paid by oil producers contributing significantly to revenue at the state and local levels. This dependence on the fossil fuel industry leaves the state and its communities vulnerable to global and regional changes in energy prices. Meanwhile, remote communities in Arctic Alaska face persistent residential energy insecurity due to high fuel prices despite the state's fossil fuel wealth, exemplifying a “polar paradox”. Here, we use a multi-scale framework, which leverages a global, integrated, multi-sector model with U.S. state-level details to analyze how global drivers cascade down to affect local residential energy security under future scenarios. Using the North Slope and Northwest Arctic Boroughs as case studies, we show regional heterogeneity in the two boroughs and how it affects community-level residential energy security outcomes under global drivers. Our analysis takes into account the effects of temperature changes on heating needs and the dynamic response of future residential heating demand given affordability. We find that a global energy transition could have major implications for future Alaska petroleum revenue and local energy affordability. Additionally, the cascading impacts on Arctic Alaska communities could be heterogeneous given differences in existing energy portfolio and subsidies. The multi-scale framework we apply offers a transferable approach for understanding how global energy transitions and environmental change generate differentiated impacts at the local level, with broad relevance for fossil-dependent regions navigating uncertain futures.

化石燃料开采在阿拉斯加的经济中扮演着重要的角色，石油生产商支付的税收和特许权使用费对州和地方的收入贡献很大。对化石燃料行业的依赖使该州及其社区容易受到全球和地区能源价格变化的影响。与此同时，尽管阿拉斯加拥有丰富的化石燃料，但由于燃料价格高企，北极地区的偏远社区面临着持续的住宅能源不安全问题，这是“极地悖论”的一个例证。在这里，我们使用了一个多尺度框架，它利用了一个全球性的、综合的、多部门的模型，并结合了美国各州的细节，来分析在未来情景下，全球驱动因素是如何串联起来影响当地住宅能源安全的。以北坡区和西北北极区为例，分析了两个区在全球驱动下的区域异质性及其对社区居民能源安全结果的影响。我们的分析考虑了温度变化对供暖需求的影响，以及未来住宅供暖需求的动态响应。我们发现，全球能源转型可能对阿拉斯加未来的石油收入和当地的能源负担能力产生重大影响。此外，考虑到现有能源组合和补贴的差异，对北极阿拉斯加社区的级联影响可能是异质的。我们采用的多尺度框架为理解全球能源转型和环境变化如何在地方层面产生差异化影响提供了一种可转移的方法，对依赖化石的地区导航不确定的未来具有广泛的相关性。

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引用次数: 0

Reacting with recognition? Identifying vulnerability, governance and justice in local heat adaptation planning among 83 C40 cities 做出认可的反应？83个C40城市局部热适应规划脆弱性、治理与公平性研究

IF 7.4 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2026-02-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2026.104577

Melissa A. Martin

As the realities of climate change continue to impact local weather through higher temperatures for longer periods of time, local governments are increasingly tasked with balancing short- and long-term public health and planning efforts which are affected by these increasing temperatures. The burden of extreme heat is not borne equally throughout cities and vulnerable groups are likely to be disproportionately affected, presenting a pervasive problem of distributive injustice. To overcome this, city-level actions should practice recognitional justice, adequately integrating vulnerability into the adaptation context and planning.

To assess the current state of such recognitional justice, this study presents a content analysis to understand if and how vulnerability is defined and considered among cities involved in the C40 Cities Climate Leadership Group (n = 83), a collaborative program which brings together mayors across the world to work together on a variety of climate policy matters. 74 of the 83 cities include a definition of vulnerability, representing cities across all climates, income brackets and types of heat planning. The results show significant heterogeneity in how recognitional justice is practiced – explicitly naming one or more of fourteen specific vulnerable groups - reflecting the localized approach taken by city governments and the unique needs of individual communities. While 96% of planning documents include definitions of vulnerability and concrete objectives, only 53% explicitly integrate vulnerability into these objectives, suggesting there is still a significant gap between recognitional justice and practice.

随着气候变化的现实继续通过更长时间的高温影响当地天气，地方政府越来越多地承担起平衡受气温上升影响的短期和长期公共卫生和规划工作的任务。各个城市承受极端高温的负担并不均衡，弱势群体可能受到不成比例的影响，呈现出普遍存在的分配不公正问题。为了克服这一点，城市层面的行动应实践公认的正义，将脆弱性充分纳入适应背景和规划。为了评估这种承认正义的现状，本研究提出了一项内容分析，以了解C40城市气候领导小组（n = 83）所涉及的城市是否以及如何定义和考虑脆弱性，C40城市气候领导小组是一个合作项目，汇集了世界各地的市长就各种气候政策问题共同努力。在83个城市中，有74个城市包含了脆弱性的定义，代表了不同气候、收入阶层和热规划类型的城市。结果显示，在如何实施承认正义方面存在显著的异质性——明确指出14个特定弱势群体中的一个或多个——反映了城市政府采取的本地化方法和个别社区的独特需求。虽然96%的规划文件包括脆弱性的定义和具体目标，但只有53%明确地将脆弱性纳入这些目标，这表明在认识正义与实践之间仍然存在重大差距。

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引用次数: 0

Beyond ownership structures: Oil company climate discourses in authoritarian Russia and Kazakhstan 超越所有权结构：专制的俄罗斯和哈萨克斯坦的石油公司气候话语

IF 7.4 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2026-02-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2026.104582

Ellie Martus , Marianna Poberezhskaya , Marat Karatayev , Elena Novikova

Oil companies play a central role in global climate politics, yet existing research provides a limited understanding of how corporate climate strategies vary across ownership structures and political systems. This article addresses this gap though a comparative study of private and state-owned oil companies in Russia and Kazakhstan. Both are authoritarian states, major global oil producers, significant greenhouse gas emitters, and are highly dependent on fossil fuel exports. Using a most-similar system design, the analysis draws on an extensive range of publicly available corporate documents in English, Russian and Kazakh, to examine how oil companies (private and state-owned) have responded to climate change, and how these discourses interact with national climate agendas. Comparing discursive framings on climate change across countries and ownership types, the findings show that authoritarian state priorities strongly shape climate discourses, overshadowing differences generated by both private and state-owned companies. Unlike their Western counterparts that are driven primarily by financial and reputational interests, in Russia and Kazakhstan, both private and state-owned companies largely align their climate narratives with national political goals, limiting the scope for independent or market-driven climate positioning. Broadly, this article advances understanding of how political context shapes corporate climate behaviour. It demonstrates that in authoritarian fossil fuel states, national politics takes centre stage in structuring corporate engagement with climate change, with important implications for global climate governance.

石油公司在全球气候政治中发挥着核心作用，然而现有的研究对企业气候战略在不同所有权结构和政治制度下的变化提供了有限的理解。本文通过对俄罗斯和哈萨克斯坦的私营和国有石油公司的比较研究来解决这一差距。两国都是专制国家，全球主要石油生产国，温室气体排放大国，高度依赖化石燃料出口。使用最相似的系统设计，该分析利用了广泛的公开公司文件，包括英语、俄语和哈萨克语，以研究石油公司（私营和国有）如何应对气候变化，以及这些话语如何与国家气候议程相互作用。通过比较不同国家和所有制类型的气候变化话语框架，研究结果表明，威权国家的优先事项强烈地影响了气候话语，掩盖了私营和国有企业产生的差异。与主要受金融和声誉利益驱动的西方同行不同，俄罗斯和哈萨克斯坦的私营和国有企业在很大程度上都将其气候叙事与国家政治目标相一致，限制了独立或市场驱动的气候定位的范围。从广义上讲，本文促进了对政治背景如何影响企业气候行为的理解。它表明，在专制的化石燃料国家，国家政治在组织企业参与气候变化方面处于中心地位，这对全球气候治理具有重要意义。

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引用次数: 0

Retrofitting Scotland's private rented sector: Challenges and landlord attitudes 改造苏格兰私人租赁行业：挑战和房东态度

IF 7.4 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2026-02-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2026.104578

Azlizawati Ibrahim , Kate Carter , John Brennan , Julio Bros-Williamson

Retrofitting Scotland's private rented sector to achieve energy efficiency standards presents significant challenges, not only because of the high proportion of flats (67%) and older properties (42%), but also due to wider technical, socio-economic, and regulatory constraints that demand further research. This study aims to deepen understanding of these challenges and to provide insights into private landlords' attitudes towards retrofitting. Using a mixed-methods online survey, ten interconnected challenges are identified, explaining their root causes and how they influence landlords' decisions and retrofit strategies. The integration of energy compliance data and cost-based retrofit scenarios into the methodology expands current perspectives on the retrofit challenges faced by private landlords. The findings provide valuable evidence to support targeted improvements in the private rented dwellings sector by addressing the key retrofit challenges, including difficulties associated with hard-to-treat dwellings, high retrofit costs, flaws in the compliance energy assessment, and complications with mixed tenure retrofit. These challenges shape private landlords' attitudes towards retrofit approaches, reflected in two main patterns: 1) hesitation to undertake retrofits due to policy uncertainty and perceived post-retrofit property risks; and 2) a low preference to adopt key energy efficiency and carbon-reduction measures such as fabric upgrades and heat pumps. This study highlights the need for robust policy design, financial incentives, and tailored support to enable effective retrofitting across the sector.

改造苏格兰的私人租赁部门以达到能效标准面临着巨大的挑战，不仅因为公寓（67%）和旧房产（42%）的比例很高，而且由于更广泛的技术，社会经济和监管限制，需要进一步研究。本研究旨在加深对这些挑战的理解，并深入了解私人房东对改造的态度。使用混合方法的在线调查，确定了十个相互关联的挑战，解释了它们的根本原因以及它们如何影响房东的决策和改造策略。将能源合规数据和基于成本的改造方案整合到方法中，扩展了当前对私人房东面临的改造挑战的看法。研究结果提供了有价值的证据，通过解决关键的改造挑战，包括与难以处理的住宅相关的困难、高改造成本、合规性能源评估的缺陷以及混合租赁改造的并发症，支持对私人租赁住宅部门进行有针对性的改进。这些挑战塑造了私人房东对改造方法的态度，主要表现为两种模式：1)由于政策不确定性和改造后的物业风险，他们对进行改造犹豫不决；2)不太愿意采取关键的能效和碳减排措施，如织物升级和热泵。本研究强调需要强有力的政策设计、财政激励和量身定制的支持，以实现整个行业的有效改造。

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引用次数: 0

Corrigendum to “Green façades, colonial shades? A critical inquiry into the global justice implications of the European Union's hydrogen and carbon management strategies”, [Energy Res. Soc. Sci. 129 (2025) 104378] “绿色的街巷，殖民地的阴影？”对欧盟氢和碳管理战略的全球正义影响的关键调查”，[能源社]。科学通报。129 (2025)104378]

IF 7.4 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2026-02-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2026.104570

Alberto Boretti

引用次数: 0

The widening gap between copper supply and demand will have an impact on economic development and energy futures 铜供需差距的扩大将对经济发展和能源期货产生影响

IF 7.4 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2026-02-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2026.104581

Adam C. Simon , Lawrence M. Cathles , Dan Wood , Morgan Bazilian

Copper is essential for modern economies including: energy systems, data centers, defense applications, space cooling and heating, heavy industry, smart agriculture, transportation, and consumer goods. The presumption persists that the copper needed for all these purposes will be readily available. However, we show that copper is unlikely to be mined fast enough to meet all these needs in the short to medium term. Despite the recent and rapid copper price rise, we suggest that it will have to continue to rise significantly and provide robust price signals for a significant number of known copper deposits to be developed into mines. This price signal will need to be associated with permitting reforms to be successful in several cases. The widening gap should be a matter of political prioritization both in the USA and globally.

铜对现代经济至关重要，包括：能源系统、数据中心、国防应用、空间制冷和供暖、重工业、智能农业、交通运输和消费品。这种假设坚持认为，所有这些用途所需的铜都很容易获得。然而，我们表明，铜的开采速度不太可能快到足以在中短期内满足所有这些需求。尽管最近铜价快速上涨，但我们认为，铜价必须继续大幅上涨，并为大量已知铜矿开发成矿山提供强有力的价格信号。在一些情况下，这种价格信号需要与允许改革取得成功联系起来。不断扩大的差距应该成为美国和全球政治优先考虑的问题。

引用次数: 0

Lights, camera, behaviour change: Mass media as a tool for mainstreaming sustainability 灯光、相机、行为改变：大众媒体作为可持续性主流化的工具

IF 7.4 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2026.104551

D. Nilsson , L. Romanach , E. Frederiks , Chi-Hsiang Wang , J. Gardner

There is an urgent need for scalable interventions that can shift societal norms and human behaviour to address the global sustainability crisis. With its extensive reach and cultural influence, mass media is a critical yet underutilised tool in this effort. This paper presents a novel, real-world study to explore the effectiveness of promoting residential energy efficiency through a reality-style television show. Behavioural science principles were embedded throughout the 8-part television series, with a longitudinal mixed-method design used to evaluate the potential impact on viewers over time. Statistical analysis of the results suggested that watching the show was positively associated with an increase in viewers' self-reported desire for homes with an energy star rating above the minimum standard, with this effect strengthening based on the amount of content viewed. Qualitative insights from semi-structured focus group discussions also supported this potential positive influence of the TV series. Overall, this study demonstrates a practical, real-world example of how combining behavioural science with entertainment and mass media can support behaviour change, while also providing a framework to inform the design of future interventions to promote sustainable behaviours at scale.

迫切需要采取可扩展的干预措施，改变社会规范和人类行为，以应对全球可持续性危机。由于其广泛的影响和文化影响，大众传媒是这一努力中一个关键但未得到充分利用的工具。本文提出了一项新颖的、现实世界的研究，通过真人秀式的电视节目来探索促进住宅能源效率的有效性。行为科学原理贯穿于这部8集的电视剧中，并采用纵向混合方法设计来评估随着时间的推移对观众的潜在影响。对结果的统计分析表明，观看该节目与观众自我报告的对能源之星评级高于最低标准的房屋的渴望的增加呈正相关，这种影响随着观看内容的数量而增强。从半结构化焦点小组讨论中获得的定性见解也支持了这部电视剧潜在的积极影响。总的来说，这项研究展示了一个实际的，现实世界的例子，如何将行为科学与娱乐和大众媒体结合起来，支持行为改变，同时也提供了一个框架，为未来干预措施的设计提供信息，以促进大规模的可持续行为。

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引用次数: 0

No empty land: Comparing distributional outcomes of solar parks across land tenure regimes in India 没有空地：比较印度不同土地权属制度下太阳能公园的分配结果

IF 7.4 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2026.104544

Sukanya Khar , Kaveri Iychettira

Large-scale solar park development has accelerated in India over the last decade, with multiple 500 MW+ parks being built as part of the country's effort to decarbonise its electricity system. These projects require thousands of acres of contiguous land. However, land is a socially embedded resource with no ‘empty’ land available that does not already serve some purpose. Drawing on field research and qualitative interviews across three sites—Bhadla and Fatehgarh in Rajasthan, and Pavagada in Karnataka—we analyse the distributional injustices that accompany large-scale solar park development. We compare two land tenure arrangements: private agricultural land and government-owned land that local communities use for farming and grazing. Using the social-ecological systems framework, we conceptualise these tenure arrangements in terms of inequalities in land ownership, the importance of the resource to different socio-economic groups, and the property regimes under which solar parks are developed. We find, first, that ownership of private agricultural land in Karnataka enables farmers to claim monetary compensation. This is in contrast with solar parks in Rajasthan, where the absence of land-use records and formal titles prevents some farmers and agropastoral groups from accessing any monetary benefits. Second, agropastoral groups and landless households—often from marginalised caste groups—are disadvantaged across all cases, as they lose access to common property resources for livestock rearing as well as to private farmland for wage labour. These findings highlight how diverse land tenure systems shape, and often deepen, unequal distributional outcomes from India's solar transition.

在过去十年中，印度的大型太阳能园区开发速度加快，作为该国电力系统脱碳努力的一部分，印度正在建设多个500兆瓦以上的园区。这些工程需要数千英亩的连片土地。然而，土地是一种社会资源，没有“空”的土地可用，没有一些目的。通过实地调研和三个地点的定性访谈——拉贾斯坦邦的巴德拉和法特加尔，卡纳塔克邦的帕瓦加达——我们分析了伴随着大规模太阳能园区发展的分配不公正。我们比较了两种土地使用权安排：私人农业用地和当地社区用于耕作和放牧的政府所有土地。利用社会生态系统框架，我们从土地所有权的不平等、资源对不同社会经济群体的重要性以及太阳能公园开发的财产制度等方面对这些权属安排进行了概念化。我们发现，首先，卡纳塔克邦私有农业用地的所有权使农民能够要求货币补偿。这与拉贾斯坦邦的太阳能公园形成鲜明对比，在拉贾斯坦邦，由于缺乏土地使用记录和正式所有权，一些农民和农牧团体无法获得任何经济利益。其次，农牧群体和无地家庭——通常来自被边缘化的种姓群体——在所有情况下都处于不利地位，因为他们无法获得饲养牲畜的公共财产资源，也无法获得从事雇佣劳动的私人农田。这些发现强调了不同的土地权属制度如何塑造并经常加深了印度太阳能转型带来的不平等分配结果。

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引用次数: 0

Community power in practice: Socioeconomic factors associated with adoption and outcomes of Community Choice Aggregations in California's San Francisco Bay Area 实践中的社区权力：与加州旧金山湾区社区选择聚合的采用和结果相关的社会经济因素

IF 7.4 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2026.104555

Sara Lopez

This study examines patterns of adoption and outcomes associated with Community Choice Aggregations (CCAs) in the San Francisco Bay Area and focuses on how customer participation and electricity rates are correlated to race and income. CCAs are often promoted as tools for advancing clean energy access, yet limited research has examined whether participation and rate outcomes vary across socioeconomic contexts. Using a mixed-methods approach, the study combines bivariate correlation and regression analysis with qualitative insights from interviews with six industry professionals representing CCAs, the local investor-owned utility (PG&E), and a regional trade association (CalCCA). The results suggest that CCAs generally provided higher renewable energy content at lower electricity rates than the investor-owned utility, particularly at the baseline 50% renewable energy tier. At the 100% renewable energy tier, total electricity rates were typically modestly higher. Customer participation rates were positively associated with both racial diversity and median household income, although interview participants emphasized that variation in customer awareness, trust, and understanding of CCAs also shapes decisions to opt-out from CCA enrollment. Overall, the findings show no evidence to suggest that automatic CCA enrollment at the 50% renewable energy tier systematically disadvantaged historically marginalized groups based on race or income. Instead, the results suggest broadly equitable access to more renewable electricity across the region and highlight the importance of public education, community engagement, and institutional trust in sustaining participation and supporting an inclusive clean energy transition.

本研究考察了旧金山湾区社区选择聚合（CCAs）的采用模式和结果，并重点研究了客户参与和电价与种族和收入之间的关系。cca经常被宣传为促进清洁能源获取的工具，然而，关于参与和费率结果是否因社会经济背景而不同的研究有限。该研究采用混合方法，将双变量相关和回归分析与来自六位行业专业人士的访谈相结合，这些专业人士分别代表cca、当地投资者拥有的公用事业公司（PG&；E）和区域贸易协会（CalCCA）。结果表明，cca通常比投资者拥有的公用事业公司以更低的电价提供更高的可再生能源含量，特别是在基线50%的可再生能源层。在100%可再生能源层，总电价通常略高。客户参与率与种族多样性和家庭收入中位数呈正相关，尽管访谈参与者强调，客户对CCA的认识、信任和理解的变化也影响了他们选择退出CCA的决定。总体而言，研究结果表明，没有证据表明50%可再生能源层的自动CCA注册系统地使历史上基于种族或收入的边缘化群体处于不利地位。相反，研究结果表明，整个地区可以广泛公平地获得更多的可再生电力，并强调了公共教育、社区参与和机构信任对维持参与和支持包容性清洁能源转型的重要性。

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引用次数: 0

Comparing two court rulings on Shell's carbon emissions with climate-policy science 比较两个法院对壳牌公司碳排放的裁决与气候政策科学

IF 7.4 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy Research & Social Science

Pub Date : 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2026.104568

Jeroen van den Bergh , Jan Paul van Soest

In November 2024, a ruling by a Dutch Court of Appeal overturned a 2021 District Court verdict concerning the obligations of the oil and gas company Shell to reduce its carbon emissions. This perspective article examines the scientific basis of the differing arguments in the two court rulings, with a particular focus on the effectiveness of emissions-reduction strategies. To this end, we first summarize the reasoning in both rulings and identify their key points of divergence. Subsequently, we assess which ruling aligns more closely with the scientific literature on climate policy. Our analysis zooms in on four issues: the public-good nature of climate mitigation and the problem of free-riding; the aim and impact of the European Union's Emissions Trading System; the treatment of Scope 3 emissions generated by end users of Shell's products; and the roles of companies versus the state in achieving emissions reductions. We conclude that the Court of Appeal's ruling is more consistent with current scientific insights about effective climate policy than the earlier District Court decision. This is not to deny that companies like Shell will have to fundamentally transform – or otherwise eventually disappear – on the path to a zero‑carbon economy. But such change is most likely to occur as the outcome of a systemic policy approach that delivers steady and substantial emissions reductions across all sectors and jurisdictions. We therefore argue that a more effective legal strategy is to pursue legal action against governments that fail to implement policies in line with internationally agreed climate targets.

2024年11月，荷兰上诉法院的一项裁决推翻了2021年地区法院关于壳牌石油天然气公司减少碳排放义务的判决。这篇观点文章考察了两项法院裁决中不同论点的科学依据，特别关注减排战略的有效性。为此，我们首先总结了两项裁决的理由，并确定了它们的主要分歧点。随后，我们评估哪项裁决更符合气候政策的科学文献。我们的分析集中在四个问题上：减缓气候变化的公益性质和搭便车的问题；欧盟排放交易体系的目标和影响；处理壳牌产品最终用户产生的第3类排放；以及企业与国家在实现减排方面的作用。我们的结论是，上诉法院的裁决比地区法院早先的裁决更符合当前关于有效气候政策的科学见解。这并不是否认像壳牌这样的公司将不得不从根本上转型——或者最终消失——在通往零碳经济的道路上。但是，这种变化最有可能是系统性政策方法的结果，这种政策方法可以在所有部门和司法管辖区实现稳定和实质性的减排。因此，我们认为，更有效的法律策略是对那些未能按照国际商定的气候目标执行政策的政府采取法律行动。

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引用次数: 0