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Pro-social preferences and the paradox of voting 亲社会偏好和投票的悖论
IF 3.4 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-10-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2025.105479
Christine T. Bangum , Benny Geys , Rune J. Sørensen
Why do people vote in large elections? Theoretical arguments to resolve this paradox of voting often emphasize individuals’ pro-social motivations, which make turnout decisions less sensitive to the pivot probability. Using Norwegian population-wide register data, we test this argument by leveraging population-size shocks from inter-municipal mobility and proxying pro-social motivations via individuals’ charitable donations. We find that increasing electorate size widens the turnout gap between more/less pro-social individuals, and that turnout of pro-social individuals responds less to population-size shocks. Simulated municipality-level pivot probabilities suggest the (expected) probability of influencing election outcomes as a driving force behind these findings.
为什么人们要在大型选举中投票?解决这一投票悖论的理论论点往往强调个人的亲社会动机,这使得投票率决策对支点概率不那么敏感。利用挪威全国人口登记数据,我们通过利用城市间流动的人口规模冲击和通过个人慈善捐赠代理亲社会动机来检验这一论点。我们发现,选民规模的增加扩大了亲社会个体与不亲社会个体之间的投票率差距,亲社会个体的投票率对人口规模冲击的反应较小。模拟的市政一级枢纽概率表明(预期的)影响选举结果的概率是这些发现背后的驱动力。
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引用次数: 0
Short-term mortality and healthcare utilization consequences of pension income receipt: Evidence from South Korea 养老金收入的短期死亡率和医疗保健利用后果:来自韩国的证据
IF 3.4 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-10-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2025.105490
Mimi Jeon , Seonghoon Kim , Kanghyock Koh
We examine short-term consequences of pension income receipt on mortality and healthcare utilization within the monthly payment cycle. Using the national death registry data of South Korea, we document that the mortality rate decreases by 1.2–1.4 percent in the week of the disbursement date. The mortality-reducing effects are larger for causes of death that could have been avoided through timely and effective healthcare interventions. Using healthcare claims data, we document that the number of hospital admissions increases during the disbursement week. We provide suggestive evidence of greater mortality-reducing effects from a smaller but more frequent disbursement than from a monthly disbursement.
我们研究了每月支付周期内养老金收入对死亡率和医疗保健利用的短期影响。使用韩国的国家死亡登记数据,我们证明死亡率在支付日期的一周内下降了1.2 - 1.4%。对于那些本可以通过及时和有效的保健干预措施避免的死亡原因,降低死亡率的效果更大。使用医疗保健索赔数据,我们记录住院人数在支付周期间增加。我们提供了暗示性的证据,证明小额但更频繁的支付比每月支付更能降低死亡率。
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引用次数: 0
Revealing 21% of GDP in hidden assets: Evidence from Argentina 隐藏资产占GDP的21%:来自阿根廷的证据
IF 3.4 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-10-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2025.105471
Juliana Londoño-Vélez , Dario Tortarolo
Argentina’s 2016 tax amnesty led to the disclosure of hidden assets totaling 21 % of GDP—an exceptionally large amount, concentrated offshore and among the wealthiest 0.1 %. We examine how this enforcement initiative affected taxpayer behavior, tax progressivity, and revenue. Compliance improved—especially among high-wealth individuals—expanding the bases of both the wealth and capital income taxes. A subsequent tax hike on foreign assets further enhanced progressivity and raised effective tax rates on the top 0.1 %, generating nearly 0.8 % of GDP in wealth tax revenue—one of the highest yields globally. We discuss why, despite prior failed amnesties, Argentina’s 2016 policy package proved unusually effective.
阿根廷2016年的税收特赦导致总计占gdp 21%的隐藏资产被披露,这是一个异常庞大的数额,集中在海外,集中在最富有的0.1%人群中。我们研究了这一执法举措如何影响纳税人的行为、税收累进性和收入。合规情况有所改善——尤其是在高财富人群中——扩大了财富和资本所得税的基数。随后对外国资产的增税进一步提高了累进性,提高了最富有的0.1%人群的有效税率,创造了占GDP近0.8%的财富税收入——这是全球最高的收益之一。我们讨论了为什么尽管先前的大赦失败了,阿根廷2016年的一揽子政策却异常有效。
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引用次数: 0
Political backlash to refugee settlement: Cultural and economic drivers 对难民安置的政治反弹:文化和经济驱动因素
IF 3.4 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-10-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2025.105467
Francesco Campo , Sara Giunti , Mariapia Mendola , Giulia Tura
The 2015 refugee crisis in Europe has fueled anti-immigrant sentiment in host regions, with potential unintended consequences for refugee integration. We examine the heterogeneity of political backlash across Italian municipalities post-crisis and assess the concomitant role of economic vs socio-cultural factors in “welcoming" refugees (i.e., the supply side of integration). By leveraging the quasi-random dispersal policy and using causal forests, we find that refugee exposure has a significantly higher impact on anti-immigration backlash in more affluent areas and those with more bonding social capital. Conversely, areas with more bridging social capital, as measured by meaningful intergroup contact with former immigrants (e.g., mixed marriages), show less political backlash. We exploit this pattern of heterogeneity to evaluate counterfactual resettlement policies that minimize backlash. Results show that economic factors alone are insufficient to stem local discontent, while the socio-cultural dimension of host communities is crucial for the design of effective refugee resettlement programs.
2015年欧洲的难民危机加剧了收容地区的反移民情绪,可能会给难民融入带来意想不到的后果。我们研究了危机后意大利各城市政治反弹的异质性,并评估了经济因素与社会文化因素在“欢迎”难民(即融合的供应方)中的伴随作用。通过利用准随机分散政策和因果森林,我们发现难民暴露对反移民反弹的影响在更富裕的地区和具有更多联系社会资本的地区显著更高。相反,通过与前移民的有意义的群体间接触(如异族通婚)来衡量,具有更多桥接性社会资本的地区表现出较少的政治反弹。我们利用这种异质性模式来评估反事实的安置政策,以最大限度地减少反弹。结果表明,仅靠经济因素不足以遏制当地的不满情绪,而收容社区的社会文化层面对于设计有效的难民安置计划至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Pricing for opportunity: The impact of spatially varying rent subsidies on housing voucher neighborhoods and take-up 机会定价:空间差异的租金补贴对住房券社区和占用的影响
IF 3.4 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-10-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2025.105465
Ingrid Gould Ellen , Katherine O’Regan , Sarah Strochak
The Housing Choice Voucher program serves over 2.3 million households per year. While the program provides significant benefits, most voucher holders live in high-poverty neighborhoods, and many recipients fail to use their vouchers at all. This paper evaluates a new programmatic approach for expanding and improving neighborhood outcomes, which pegs voucher subsidy amounts to ZIP Code-level rents, rather than being uniform across an entire metro area. We find that this pricing change increases moves to higher rent, lower poverty ZIP Codes without increasing overall financial costs or affecting the ability of new voucher recipients to use their vouchers to lease homes. This even holds true for the recipients most at risk of experiencing a decline in their ability to use vouchers because the stock of voucher-eligible units near them likely decreases. We show that subgroups of households and landlords make adjustments on other margins, however. Specifically, those leasing in low-rent neighborhoods rent smaller homes and spend more of their income on rent, while landlords in these neighborhoods charge lower rents to match rent subsidies.
住房选择券计划每年为230多万户家庭提供服务。虽然该计划提供了显著的好处,但大多数代金券持有者生活在高度贫困的社区,许多接受者根本没有使用他们的代金券。本文评估了一种扩大和改善社区成果的新方案,该方案将代金券补贴金额与邮政编码级别的租金挂钩,而不是在整个都会区统一。我们发现,这种价格变化增加了向更高租金、更低贫困邮政编码的转移,而不会增加总体财务成本,也不会影响新代金券接受者使用代金券租赁房屋的能力。这甚至适用于那些最有可能经历使用代金券能力下降的人,因为他们附近符合代金券条件的单位的库存可能会减少。然而,我们表明,家庭和房东的子群体在其他边际上进行了调整。具体来说,那些在低租金社区租房的人租的房子更小,把更多的收入花在房租上,而这些社区的房东收取更低的租金,以匹配租金补贴。
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引用次数: 0
Support for renewable energy: The case of wind power 支持可再生能源:以风力发电为例
IF 3.4 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-10-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2025.105468
Robert Germeshausen , Sven Heim , Ulrich J. Wagner
The rise of societal goals like climate change mitigation and energy security calls for rapid capacity growth in renewable electricity sources, yet citizens’ support is put to a test when such technologies emit negative local externalities. We estimate the impact of wind turbine deployment on granular measures of revealed preferences for renewable electricity in product and political markets. We address potentially endogenous siting of turbines with an IV design that exploits quasi-experimental variation in profitability induced by subsidies. We find that wind turbines significantly reduce citizens’ support locally, but this effect quickly fades with distance from the site. We assess policy instruments for enhancing citizens’ support for renewable energy in light of our results.
缓解气候变化和能源安全等社会目标的增加,要求可再生能源的产能迅速增长,然而,当这些技术产生负面的地方外部性时,公民的支持就受到了考验。我们估计了风力涡轮机部署对产品和政治市场中可再生电力的显示偏好的颗粒度量的影响。我们通过利用补贴诱导的准实验性盈利能力变化的IV设计来解决潜在的内生涡轮机选址问题。我们发现风力涡轮机大大减少了当地居民的支持,但这种影响随着距离场地的远近而迅速消失。根据我们的成果,我们评估了加强公民对可再生能源支持的政策工具。
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引用次数: 0
Wealth tax enforcement in Sweden: Filing requirements and pre-populated returns 瑞典的财富税执行:申报要求和预填申报表
IF 3.4 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2025.105440
Emmanuel Saez , David Seim
This paper shows that two features of wealth tax administration in Sweden – (1) filing requirements and (2) pre-populated returns–have a large impact on compliance even in an environment with highly-developed third-party reporting through information returns. Up to 1993, all taxpayers had to fill in wealth information when filing the (joint) income and wealth tax return. In 1994–1996, only those with net wealth above the exemption threshold (approximately the top 10 %) needed to fill in wealth information. This leads to a very large reduction of about half of the number of taxpayers slightly above the wealth tax exemption threshold, and a reduction of about 20 % in the total number of wealth taxpayers above the threshold. Starting in 1997, Sweden began pre-populating wealth information on tax returns for taxpayers with third-party-reported net wealth above the exemption threshold. Symmetrically, this immediately doubles the number of taxpayers slightly above the threshold and increases the number of all wealth taxpayers by almost 20 %. The introduction of information returns for financial wealth in 1986 had a comparatively small impact on wealth reporting.
本文表明,瑞典财富税管理的两个特点——(1)申报要求和(2)预先填写的申报——即使在通过信息申报进行第三方报告的高度发达的环境中,也对合规性产生了很大影响。截至1993年,所有纳税人在提交(联合)所得税和财富税申报表时都必须填写财富信息。1994-1996年,只有净资产超过免税门槛的人才需要填写财富信息(大约前10名 %)。这导致略高于财富税豁免门槛的纳税人数量大幅减少约一半,超过门槛的财富纳税人总数减少约20% %。从1997年开始,瑞典开始在纳税人的纳税申报单上预先填写财富信息,这些纳税人的净财富由第三方报告,高于免税门槛。对称地,这立即使略高于阈值的纳税人数量翻了一番,并使所有财富纳税人的数量增加了近20% %。1986年引入的金融财富信息回报对财富报告的影响相对较小。
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引用次数: 0
The pond dilemma with heterogeneous relative concerns 具有异质相对关系的池塘困境
IF 3.4 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2025.105475
Paweł Gola
This paper explores team formation when workers differ in skills and their desire to out-earn co-workers. I cast this question as a two-dimensional assignment problem, characterise the equilibrium sorting and payoffs for three large classes of specifications, and find that heterogeneity in status preferences drastically changes the distributional and organisational consequences of skill-biased technological change (SBTC). Strikingly, the benefits of SBTC trickle down to low-skill workers with weak relative concerns even when there are no complementarities in production. Moreover, SBTC incentivises domestic outsourcing, as firms seek to avoid detrimental social comparisons between high- and low-skill workers, which provides a compelling explanation for the observed long-term increase in domestic outsourcing.
本文探讨了当员工技能不同时的团队形成以及他们比同事挣得多的愿望。我把这个问题作为一个二维分配问题,描述了三大类规格的均衡排序和收益,并发现状态偏好的异质性极大地改变了技能偏向的技术变革(SBTC)的分配和组织后果。引人注目的是,即使在生产中没有互补性的情况下,SBTC的好处也会渗透到相对关注程度较低的低技能工人身上。此外,SBTC鼓励国内外包,因为公司寻求避免高技能和低技能工人之间有害的社会比较,这为观察到的国内外包的长期增长提供了令人信服的解释。
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引用次数: 0
Corruption stereotype and the unintended consequences of an anti-corruption campaign: evidence from the real estate sector in China 腐败刻板印象和反腐运动的意外后果:来自中国房地产行业的证据
IF 3.4 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2025.105474
Hanming Fang , Rongjie Zhang
In an anti-corruption campaign, government officials have strong incentives to avoid taking actions that may trigger disciplinary investigations. In China’s land sales market, we find that the fraction of residential land parcels purchased by State-Owned-Enterprises (SOE) developers significantly increased after the anti-corruption campaign compared to those purchased by private developers. This result is partly driven by the following mechanism: Because selling land to private developers carries a higher corruption stereotype, local officials, particularly the relatively “clean” ones, become more reluctant to sell land to private developers for the purpose of self-preservation. Thus China’s anti-corruption campaign may have unintentionally contributed to the resurgence of the SOEs. Local officials’ corruption stereotype avoidance in an anti-corruption campaign has broad implications.
在反腐运动中,政府官员有强烈的动机避免采取可能引发纪律调查的行动。在中国的土地销售市场中,我们发现,与私人开发商购买的住宅地块相比,国有企业(SOE)开发商购买的住宅地块的比例在反腐运动后显着增加。这一结果部分是由以下机制驱动的:由于将土地出售给私人开发商带有更高的腐败印象,地方官员,特别是相对“干净”的官员,出于自我保护的目的,更不愿意将土地出售给私人开发商。因此,中国的反腐运动可能无意中助长了国有企业的复苏。地方官员在反腐运动中避免腐败刻板印象具有广泛的意义。
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引用次数: 0
Does SNAP participation increase bulk purchases? SNAP参与会增加大宗采购吗?
IF 3.4 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2025.105442
Hannah Wich , Katherine Harris-Lagoudakis
The Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) issues monthly lump-sum payments. One potential benefit of SNAP payments is that they could ease liquidity constraints for participating households. Using novel retailer panel data, this is the first study to investigate the effect of SNAP on bulk purchasing behavior using within-household variation. To estimate a causal relationship between SNAP and bulk purchases, we use the timing of program re-certification as a source of exogenous variation in the decision to participate in SNAP. We find that participating in SNAP increases the expenditure share of bulk purchases for all groceries by six percentage points. Analyses aiming to disentangle whether increased bulk spending among SNAP households reflects an “income effect” or a “liquidity effect” point to the former, with spending patterns indicating “splurge behavior” rather than efforts to minimize prices.
补充营养援助计划(SNAP)每月发放一次性付款。SNAP支付的一个潜在好处是,它们可以缓解参与家庭的流动性限制。使用新颖的零售商面板数据,这是第一次研究SNAP对家庭内部差异的大宗购买行为的影响。为了估计SNAP与大宗采购之间的因果关系,我们使用计划重新认证的时间作为参与SNAP决策的外生变化的来源。我们发现,参与SNAP使所有杂货的大宗采购支出份额增加了6个百分点。旨在弄清SNAP家庭大宗支出增加反映的是“收入效应”还是“流动性效应”的分析指向前者,支出模式表明的是“挥霍行为”,而不是努力将价格降至最低。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Public Economics
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