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When going green backfires: The influence of environmental commitments on crowdfunding success 当环保适得其反:环保承诺对众筹成功的影响
IF 13.3 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2025-11-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124447
Yuanyuan Liu , Xiaoyun Yang , Yuanyuan Jamie Li , Bingrui Huangfu
Kickstarter, a leading reward-based crowdfunding platform, has added a section to campaign pages for creators to disclose their environmental commitments. This raises an important research question: What is the impact of such pro-environmental signals on funding performance? Drawing on signaling theory, which suggests that the signal should align with the signaler's quality to be effective, we propose that adding costly pro-environmental attributes to products may backfire because it may not fit the characteristics of crowdfunding creators who are often startups with limited financial resources. Our analysis of 5022 Kickstarter projects shows that disclosing environmental commitments negatively influences crowdfunding success. Specifically, these projects tend to achieve lower fundraising reach rates, attract fewer backers, raise less money in total, and are less likely to meet their funding goals. However, the negative impact of pro-environmental signaling is attenuated: (1) when the communication between creators and backers is frequent, and (2) when creators have more crowdfunding experience. This study contributes to the signaling and crowdfunding literature by revealing the potential negative impact of pro-environmental signals and the importance of sending fitting signals. It also enriches the sustainability literature by showing crowdfunding as a novel context where sustainability does not necessarily yield benefits.
Kickstarter是一个领先的奖励型众筹平台,它在活动页面上增加了一个部分,让创作者披露他们对环境的承诺。这就提出了一个重要的研究问题:这种支持环境的信号对资助绩效的影响是什么?根据信号理论,信号应该与信号发布者的质量保持一致才能有效,我们提出,在产品中添加昂贵的亲环境属性可能会适得其反,因为它可能不符合众筹创建者的特点,而众筹创建者通常是资金有限的初创企业。我们对5022个Kickstarter项目的分析表明,披露环境承诺会对众筹的成功产生负面影响。具体来说,这些项目往往实现较低的融资率,吸引较少的支持者,筹集的资金较少,并且不太可能实现其融资目标。然而,亲环境信号的负面影响在以下情况下会减弱:(1)创作者与资助者之间的沟通频繁,(2)创作者拥有更多的众筹经验。本研究通过揭示亲环境信号的潜在负面影响以及发送合适信号的重要性,为信号和众筹文献做出了贡献。它还通过展示众筹作为一种新的背景,丰富了可持续发展的文献,在这种背景下,可持续发展不一定会带来好处。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring the impact of responsible AI governance on corporate performance: A quasi-natural experiment 探索负责任的人工智能治理对企业绩效的影响:一个准自然的实验
IF 13.3 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2025-11-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124425
Huosong Xia , Hao Chen , Justin Zuopeng ZHANG , Muhammad Mustafa KAMAL
The rapid advancement of artificial intelligence (AI) presents significant ethical, legal, and operational challenges, elevating the importance of responsible AI governance. This paper examines the impact of responsible AI information governance mechanisms on corporate performance using a sample of 342 securities firms. Companies are categorized into control and experimental groups based on their responsible AI application scores. Treating the adoption of responsible AI governance practices as a “quasi-natural” experiment, the study applies a multi-period difference-in-differences (DID) regression model to uncover insights into causal relationships. The study also investigates the relative importance of various responsible AI governance dimensions in driving performance improvements. The results demonstrate that firms adopting responsible AI governance practices see significant performance improvements. This study adds to the academic discourse by deepening understanding of how responsible AI governance influences business outcomes and by offering a theoretical foundation for future research. From a practical perspective, it provides actionable guidance for organizations, demonstrating how ethical AI governance can drive sustainable business growth and enhance overall corporate performance.
人工智能(AI)的快速发展带来了重大的道德、法律和运营挑战,提高了负责任的人工智能治理的重要性。本文以342家证券公司为样本,研究了负责任的人工智能信息治理机制对公司绩效的影响。根据负责任的人工智能应用分数,将企业分为对照组和实验组。该研究将负责任的人工智能治理实践的采用视为一种“准自然”实验,采用了多期差分回归模型来揭示因果关系。该研究还调查了各种负责任的人工智能治理维度在推动绩效改进方面的相对重要性。结果表明,采用负责任的人工智能治理实践的公司可以显著提高绩效。这项研究加深了对负责任的人工智能治理如何影响业务成果的理解,并为未来的研究提供了理论基础,从而增加了学术论述。从实践的角度来看,它为组织提供了可操作的指导,展示了道德人工智能治理如何推动可持续业务增长并提高整体企业绩效。
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引用次数: 0
Corrigendum to “Environmental and economical sustainability and stakeholder satisfaction in SMEs. Critical technological success factors of big data analytics” [Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 204 (2024) 123397] “中小企业的环境和经济可持续发展及持份者满意度”的勘误表。大数据分析的关键技术成功因素[j]。预测。Soc。变更204 (2024)123397]
IF 13.3 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2025-11-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124422
Aqueeb Sohail Shaik , Asif Nazrul , Safiya Mukhtar Alshibani , Vaishali Agarwal , Armando Papa
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引用次数: 0
‘Lumpy’ technological innovation systems and net-zero transitions: The impact of technology characteristics on the carbon capture innovation system in Norway “块状”技术创新系统和净零转型:技术特征对挪威碳捕获创新系统的影响
IF 13.3 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2025-11-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124436
Amber Nordholm , Jørgen Finstad , Allan Dahl Andersen
While past research indicates that technology characteristics matter for deployment and policymaking, especially for lumpy technologies, these insights have not yet been integrated with more comprehensive understandings of socio-technical diffusion. This is problematic because some net-zero decarbonization challenges require lumpy technologies (e.g., cement). To address this knowledge gap, we articulate a ‘lumpy’ technological innovation systems (TIS) approach by merging literatures on technology characteristics and TIS, deriving three important technology characteristics dimensions for analyzing lumpy technology diffusion: size, complexity, and level of customization. We then test the usefulness of this framework by analyzing the case of carbon capture (CC) innovation for decarbonization of process industrial plants in Norway. These types of CC units, with their large size, high complexity, and high customization requirements, have been notoriously difficult to deploy despite technological maturity. From our analysis, we demonstrate the usefulness of our framework through an empirical case of lumpy technology characteristics directly impacting TIS structures and functions. Theoretically, our findings demonstrate the usefulness of treating the material dimensions of technology as a TIS structure and draw attention to the seldom used materialization function's importance for diffusion of lumpy technologies. Our findings reveal an iterative process by technology developers to alter the characteristics of CC technology, challenging past notions of technology-inherent characteristics. Moreover, our findings confirm the importance of considering technology characteristics in policymaking for net-zero transitions and we contribute a novel approach for policymakers to assess the characteristics of focal technology and why they matter for diffusion.
虽然过去的研究表明,技术特征对部署和政策制定很重要,特别是对于块状技术,但这些见解尚未与对社会技术扩散的更全面理解相结合。这是一个问题,因为一些净零脱碳挑战需要块状技术(例如水泥)。为了解决这一知识差距,我们通过合并技术特征和技术创新系统的文献,阐述了一个“块状”技术创新系统(TIS)方法,得出了用于分析块状技术扩散的三个重要技术特征维度:规模、复杂性和定制水平。然后,我们通过分析挪威过程工业工厂脱碳的碳捕获(CC)创新案例来测试该框架的实用性。这些类型的CC单元,由于它们的大尺寸、高复杂性和高定制需求,尽管技术成熟,但众所周知难以部署。从我们的分析中,我们通过一个直接影响TIS结构和功能的块状技术特征的实证案例来证明我们的框架的有效性。从理论上讲,我们的研究结果证明了将技术的物质维度视为一个TIS结构的有用性,并引起了人们对很少使用的物化函数对块状技术扩散的重要性的关注。我们的研究结果揭示了技术开发人员改变CC技术特征的迭代过程,挑战了过去技术固有特征的概念。此外,我们的研究结果证实了在净零转型的政策制定中考虑技术特征的重要性,我们为政策制定者提供了一种新的方法来评估焦点技术的特征及其对扩散的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Toward a meta-framework for digital ecosystem concepts: A comparative review on the state of research, concept relationships, and future directions 迈向数字生态系统概念的元框架:研究现状、概念关系和未来方向的比较回顾
IF 13.3 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2025-11-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124413
Iman Hamadi
Digital ecosystems have gained increased importance and scholarly recognition in recent years. Various (digital ecosystem) concepts emerged to enhance the understanding of their actors, elements, and dynamics. However, digital concepts have been neglected in the consolidation and differentiation efforts of the scholarly ecosystem debate. Therefore, our comparative literature review steps in to contribute to more clarity on the four most commonly used digital ecosystem concepts: Digital Ecosystem, Digital Business Ecosystem, Digital Entrepreneurial Ecosystem, and Digital Platform Ecosystem. To provide insight into these concepts and their relationships, the review compares the relevant literature regarding years of publication, proposed concept definitions, underlying theories, addressed research themes, geographic origins of investigated data, and methodologies applied. Our findings provide a visual knowledge map of the current state of digital ecosystem research, highlighting both concept-specific and cross-concept insights. Discussing these findings, we derive 11 concept-specific and four cross-concept future research questions. In addition, we develop a meta-framework of digital ecosystem concept relationships that identifies the theoretical origin of eight knots in the digital ecosystem knowledge conglomerate. These theoretical contributions serve as starting points toward a meta-framework like the initial loose threads of a crumpled knitting wool ball. We propose three key areas for future research: (1) further theoretical refinement of digital ecosystem concepts, (2) investigations into the relationship between digital concepts and their traditional (non-digital) counterparts, and (3) more empirical research on developing and emerging countries.
近年来,数字生态系统得到了越来越多的重视和学术认可。各种(数字生态系统)概念的出现增强了对其参与者、要素和动态的理解。然而,数字概念在学术生态系统辩论的整合和分化努力中被忽视了。因此,我们的比较文献综述有助于更清楚地了解四个最常用的数字生态系统概念:数字生态系统、数字商业生态系统、数字创业生态系统和数字平台生态系统。为了深入了解这些概念及其关系,本综述比较了相关文献的出版年份、提出的概念定义、基础理论、研究主题、调查数据的地理来源和应用的方法。我们的研究结果提供了数字生态系统研究现状的可视化知识地图,突出了特定概念和跨概念的见解。讨论这些发现,我们得出了11个特定概念和4个跨概念的未来研究问题。此外,我们开发了一个数字生态系统概念关系的元框架,该框架确定了数字生态系统知识集团中八个结点的理论起源。这些理论贡献可以作为一个元框架的起点,就像一个揉皱的针织毛线球最初松散的线一样。我们提出了未来研究的三个关键领域:(1)进一步从理论上完善数字生态系统概念;(2)调查数字概念与传统(非数字)概念之间的关系;(3)对发展中国家和新兴国家进行更多的实证研究。
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引用次数: 0
Unveiling big data-driven price discrimination in China: Evidence from public opinion on Chinese Tiktok 揭露中国大数据驱动的价格歧视:来自中国Tiktok公众舆论的证据
IF 13.3 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2025-11-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124445
Yunfei Xing , Yuming He , Luona Zeng
The application of advanced artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms in China's big data-driven price discrimination (BDPD) has garnered considerable attention due to its significant impact on consumer welfare and market efficiency. These algorithms enable dynamic pricing adjustments, yet their lack of transparency often leads to public perceptions of inequity and exploitation. This paper presents a case study of Douyin, a prominent Chinese social media platform, to examine public opinion regarding BDPD. Leveraging established AI ethics frameworks, we conduct an inductive qualitative content analysis to identify the ethical principles pertinent to various facets of BDPD. A taxonomy is developed based on four primary AI biases expressed by the Chinese public regarding BDPD: (1) Price increases following search experiences; (2) Price variations across different devices; (3) Discriminatory pricing based on customers' consumption levels; and (4) Customer tagging for discriminatory information delivery. Furthermore, we construct a theoretical framework that informs future research and provide actionable insights for scholars. The results support policy development aimed at addressing public apprehensions about the ethical ramifications of emerging technologies and algorithmic systems, thereby promoting mutually beneficial outcomes.
先进的人工智能(AI)算法在中国大数据驱动的价格歧视(BDPD)中的应用,由于其对消费者福利和市场效率的重大影响,引起了相当大的关注。这些算法可以实现动态定价调整,但它们缺乏透明度,往往导致公众认为不公平和剥削。本文以中国知名社交媒体平台抖音为例,研究公众对BDPD的看法。利用已建立的人工智能伦理框架,我们进行归纳定性内容分析,以确定与BDPD各个方面相关的伦理原则。基于中国公众对BDPD表达的四种主要人工智能偏见,建立了一种分类法:(1)搜索体验后价格上涨;(2)不同设备之间的价格差异;(3)基于消费者消费水平的歧视性定价;(4)客户标签,提供歧视性信息。此外,我们构建了一个理论框架,为未来的研究提供信息,并为学者提供可操作的见解。研究结果支持政策制定,旨在解决公众对新兴技术和算法系统的伦理后果的担忧,从而促进互利的结果。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing supplier innovation capabilities through digital technology integration: A relational perspective 通过数字技术集成提升供应商创新能力:关系视角
IF 13.3 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2025-11-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124426
Umair Tanveer , Thinh Gia Hoang , Shamaila Ishaq , Muhammad Mustafa Kamal , Rekha Attri
The integration of digital technologies is reshaping global supply chains, yet how these advancements foster supplier innovation remains underexplored. This study examines how multinational corporations' (MNCs) adoption of digital technologies facilitates supplier innovation capabilities through inter-organisational collaboration. Drawing on the Relational View of Competitive Advantage (RVCA), this research adopts a multiple-case study approach, analysing 12 cases through 41 interviews and archival data. The findings highlight how structured knowledge integration, resource complementarity, and digital adaptability drive innovation, while disparities in knowledge accessibility and power asymmetries hinder equitable outcomes. This study offers key contributions. Theoretically, it introduces a layered framework linking digital integration to supplier innovation, extending the RVCA by uncovering how knowledge transfer, resource complementarity, and adaptability drive innovation. Practically, it provides insights for practitioners to foster inclusive digital ecosystems through equitable knowledge-sharing and adaptable infrastructures.
数字技术的整合正在重塑全球供应链,但这些进步如何促进供应商创新仍未得到充分探讨。本研究考察了跨国公司(MNCs)采用数字技术如何通过组织间合作促进供应商创新能力。本研究借鉴竞争优势的关系观(RVCA),采用多案例研究方法,通过41个访谈和档案资料分析了12个案例。研究结果强调了结构化知识整合、资源互补性和数字适应性如何推动创新,而知识可及性差异和权力不对称阻碍了公平的结果。这项研究提供了关键的贡献。从理论上讲,它引入了一个将数字集成与供应商创新联系起来的分层框架,通过揭示知识转移、资源互补和适应性如何驱动创新来扩展RVCA。实际上,它为从业者提供了通过公平的知识共享和适应性基础设施促进包容性数字生态系统的见解。
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引用次数: 0
A game-theoretic real options approach to CCUS investment decisions: Comparative analysis of business models under market and policy uncertainties CCUS投资决策的博弈论实物期权方法:市场与政策不确定性下商业模式的比较分析
IF 13.3 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2025-11-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124417
Xiaoyu Xie , Rujia Lan , Xiangqian Li , Jizhe Li
Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Storage (CCUS) is crucial for net-zero emissions but faces challenges like high costs and an immature carbon market. To address these challenges, it is imperative to scientifically assess these risks and determine the optimal investment timing within the carbon market. Focusing on China's power sector, this study proposes a CCUS standard (SROG) and an evolutionary real options-game (EROG) model to evaluate the impact of various incentives on CCUS projects and analyze investment probabilities under two key business models. The findings reveal that tax credits are the most influential factor, reducing the optimal investment thresholds by over 76.4 %, while technical learning has a minimal impact, with a maximum threshold reduction of only 1.55 % even under maximum subsidies. Using the SROG framework, this study projects that the optimal investment threshold of 295 CNY/tCO₂ will be achieved by 2033—significantly earlier than estimates from NPV (2039) and RO models (2043). This underscores the advantage of incorporating game-theoretic interactions, which incentivize earlier investment. Furthermore, by explicitly modeling market dynamics, the EROG model shows that stable carbon-price growth can cut the shift from a vertically integrated to an operator-type model to just 3–5 years, underscoring the value of steady market expansion.
碳捕集、利用和封存(CCUS)对实现净零排放至关重要,但面临成本高和碳市场不成熟等挑战。为了应对这些挑战,必须科学地评估这些风险,并确定碳市场的最佳投资时机。本研究以中国电力行业为研究对象,提出了CCUS标准(SROG)和进化实物期权博弈(EROG)模型,以评估各种激励措施对CCUS项目的影响,并分析了两种主要商业模式下的投资概率。研究结果表明,税收抵免是影响最大的因素,使最优投资门槛降低了76.4%以上,而技术学习的影响最小,即使在最高补贴下,最大门槛也仅降低了1.55%。利用SROG框架,本研究预测到2033年将达到295元/tCO₂的最佳投资门槛,这比NPV(2039)和RO模型(2043)的估计要早得多。这强调了纳入博弈论互动的优势,它可以激励早期投资。此外,通过明确建模市场动态,EROG模型表明,稳定的碳价格增长可以将从垂直整合模式转变为运营商模式的时间缩短至3-5年,强调了稳定的市场扩张的价值。
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引用次数: 0
Stimulating spin-outs and stalled subsequent technological development: Laser diodes in the United States and Japan under the SBIR program 刺激衍生产品并阻碍后续技术发展:美国和日本在SBIR计划下的激光二极管
IF 13.3 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2025-11-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124420
Hiroshi Shimizu , Naohiko Wakutsu
How does the existence or absence of employee startups influence the patterns of subsequent technological development? By studying the development of laser diode technology in the U.S. and Japan at both the inventor and organizational levels using the difference-in-differences approach, this study empirically examines the impact of opportunities for startups promoted by SBIR in the U.S. on the technological trajectory of existing technology. According to the estimation results, an increase in employee startups promoted by SBIR could impede the subsequent development of the current technology earlier and cause it to stagnate at a lower level than what could have been achieved with no employee startups (as seen in Japan). This implies that the cumulative effects of technological development could vanish if R&D personnel strategically exit their parent firms to target different submarkets.
员工创业的存在与否如何影响后续技术发展的模式?本研究采用差异中的差异方法,从发明者和组织层面研究了美国和日本激光二极管技术的发展,实证检验了美国SBIR促进创业机会对现有技术发展轨迹的影响。根据估计结果,SBIR促进的员工创业的增加可能会更早地阻碍当前技术的后续发展,使其停滞在比没有员工创业所能达到的水平更低的水平上(如日本)。这意味着,如果研发人员战略性地退出其母公司以瞄准不同的子市场,技术发展的累积效应可能会消失。
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引用次数: 0
The role of social capital in SMEs for polycrisis management 社会资本在中小企业多重危机管理中的作用
IF 13.3 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2025-11-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124419
Gordon Fletcher , Alex Fenton , Jonathan Lord , Marie Griffiths
Since 2020 several crises have brought unexpected and complex economic, political and social challenges to small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). SMEs have had to innovate to survive but urgent responses often preclude strategic consideration for long-term repercussions. This paper explores the role of social capital in organisations and considers how it can assist in navigating external crises and buffering against future change. Using a hybrid social capital perspective we examine the prospects for SMEs to survive crises using two rounds of purposive and convenience sampling driven semi-structured interviews undertaken twelve months apart with the same respondents drawn from a diverse range of industries such as catering, digital agencies, education, and sport organisations. The interviews explored social capital through the attributes of stakeholder trust, reciprocity and shared values also discerning how integration with, and provocation from, wider networks impacts SMEs. The paper critically evaluates the role of social capital in SMEs during current times of seemingly ever-present crisis. Having clear awareness of the influence and role of social capital, its attributes and its role in shaping the continuity of an organisation through crises is a key application of this work that can be directly used within other organisations of this type.
自2020年以来,几次危机给中小企业带来了意想不到的复杂经济、政治和社会挑战。中小企业必须创新才能生存,但紧急反应往往排除了对长期影响的战略考虑。本文探讨了社会资本在组织中的作用,并考虑了它如何帮助应对外部危机和缓冲未来的变化。利用混合社会资本的视角,我们通过两轮目的性和便利性抽样驱动的半结构化访谈来研究中小企业在危机中生存的前景,这些访谈间隔12个月,来自餐饮、数字代理、教育和体育组织等不同行业的相同受访者。访谈通过利益相关者信任、互惠和共同价值观的属性来探索社会资本,并辨别与更广泛的网络的整合和挑衅如何影响中小企业。本文批判性地评估了社会资本在当前看似无处不在的危机时期在中小企业中的作用。对社会资本的影响和作用,其属性及其在通过危机塑造组织连续性方面的作用有清晰的认识,是这项工作的关键应用,可以直接在其他此类组织中使用。
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引用次数: 0
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Technological Forecasting and Social Change
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