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Faith-Based Discrimination and Violent Religious Hostilities: A Global Analysis 基于信仰的歧视和暴力宗教敌对:全球分析
IF 3.1 1区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-07-18 DOI: 10.1177/00220027231188901
Nilay Saiya, Stuti Manchanda, Rahmat Wadidi
Several studies have found restrictions on minority faith-based communities to be related to the onset of violent religious hostilities. Absent from this work, though, is a consideration of the fact that minority religious discrimination can take different forms, and, consequently, may encourage violence in different ways. This paper seeks to fill this void by examining different forms of minority religious restrictions and their relationship to religious violence. Specifically, we analyze the comparative strength of three basic types of religious discrimination—restrictions on minority religious practices, restrictions on minority religious institutions, and restrictions on conversion and proselytizing—on violence carried out by both religious majority groups and religious minority groups. Interestingly, our analysis shows all three forms of restrictions encourage violence from religious majorities, but not from minorities. We supplement the statistical analysis with a case study of faith-based discrimination and violent religious hostilities in India.
几项研究发现,对少数民族信仰社区的限制与宗教暴力敌对行动的爆发有关。然而,这项工作没有考虑到这样一个事实,即少数群体的宗教歧视可以采取不同的形式,因此可能以不同的方式鼓励暴力。本文试图通过研究不同形式的少数民族宗教限制及其与宗教暴力的关系来填补这一空白。具体而言,我们分析了三种基本类型的宗教歧视——对少数民族宗教实践的限制、对少数民族信仰机构的限制以及对皈依和传教的限制——对宗教多数群体和宗教少数群体实施的暴力行为的相对强度。有趣的是,我们的分析表明,所有三种形式的限制都鼓励宗教多数派的暴力,但不鼓励少数派的暴力。我们在统计分析的基础上,对印度基于信仰的歧视和宗教暴力敌对行为进行了个案研究。
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引用次数: 0
The Long Arm and the Iron Fist: Authoritarian Crackdowns and Transnational Repression 《长臂与铁拳:专制镇压与跨国镇压》
IF 3.1 1区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-07-13 DOI: 10.1177/00220027231188896
Alexander Dukalskis, Saipira Furstenberg, S. Hellmeier, Redmond Scales
The emerging literature dealing with transnational repression has identified several strategies used by authoritarian states to control and coerce their populations abroad. This article builds on existing research by investigating the domestic determinants of transnational repression. It argues that an increase in domestic repression is likely to lead to a subsequent increase in transnational repression because crackdowns at home drive dissent abroad and incentivize the state to extend its repressive gaze beyond its borders. To evaluate its arguments, the article draws on a database of approximately 1200 cases in which authoritarian states around the world threatened, attacked, extradited, abducted, or assassinated their own citizens abroad between 1991 and 2019. Offering a first quantitative test of domestic drivers of transnational repression, using multivariate regression analysis, the paper finds that as repression intensifies domestically, the likelihood of that state subsequently escalating its transnational repression also increases substantively.
新兴的关于跨国镇压的文献已经确定了威权国家用来控制和胁迫其海外人口的几种策略。本文在现有研究的基础上,通过调查跨国镇压的国内决定因素。它认为,国内镇压的增加可能会导致随后跨国镇压的增加,因为国内镇压将异见人士驱逐到国外,并激励国家将镇压目光延伸到境外。为了评估其论点,这篇文章引用了一个包含约1200起案件的数据库,其中世界各地的威权国家在1991年至2019年间在国外威胁、袭击、引渡、绑架或暗杀本国公民。该论文首次使用多元回归分析对跨国镇压的国内驱动因素进行了定量测试,发现随着国内镇压的加剧,该国随后升级跨国镇压的可能性也大幅增加。
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引用次数: 1
Secret Police Organizations and State Repression 秘密警察组织与国家镇压
IF 3.1 1区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-07-10 DOI: 10.1177/00220027231188895
Marius Mehrl, Ioannis Choulis
Secret police are generally viewed as key institutions in autocrats’ repression apparatus. However, we lack clear empirical evidence on the link between secret police and repression. Instead, recent studies indicate that the surveillance provided by secret police reduces physical human rights abuses. This paper re-examines the relationship between secret police and physical state repression. We identify four mechanisms linking these variables, deterrence, targeting, organizational practices, and institutional self-preservation. These mechanisms provide contrasting expectations for the overall relationship but also contextual expectations on when secret police may (not) increase repression. To test these expectations, we collect data on the global existence of secret police. Results indicate that secret police are associated with increased physical repression, particularly when they must develop a reputation to deter dissidents or when multiple rival security organizations exist. In contrast, older, more established secret police or ones without institutional rivals are not associated with physical repression.
秘密警察通常被视为独裁者镇压机器中的关键机构。然而,关于秘密警察与镇压之间的联系,我们缺乏明确的经验证据。相反,最近的研究表明,秘密警察提供的监视减少了人身侵犯人权。本文重新审视了秘密警察与物理状态镇压之间的关系。我们确定了连接这些变量的四种机制,威慑、目标、组织实践和机构自我保护。这些机制提供了对整体关系的不同期望,但也提供了对秘密警察何时可能(不)增加镇压的背景期望。为了验证这些预期,我们收集了关于全球秘密警察存在的数据。结果表明,秘密警察与越来越多的身体镇压有关,特别是当他们必须建立声誉以阻止持不同政见者或存在多个敌对安全组织时。相比之下,年龄更大、更成熟的秘密警察或没有体制竞争对手的秘密警察与身体镇压无关。
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引用次数: 1
Does Police Militarization Increase Repression? 警察军事化会增加镇压吗?
IF 3.1 1区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-07-09 DOI: 10.1177/00220027231187301
Martin Stavro, Ryan M. Welch
Does police militarization influence government use of repression? While comparative work examines police militarization, violence, human rights abuses, and torture, it does not integrate militarized police within existing theories of repression. Connecting police militarization and repression, this article argues that police militarization increases the police’s perception of threat as well as their coercive capacity, thereby increasing their willingness to repress. As such, we hypothesize police militarization increases repression. To evaluate the theory, we conduct an international analysis using existing datasets covering 102 countries from 1994 to 2010. Employing several statistical models, the data supports the conclusion that police militarization increases the likelihood of government repression, specifically through extrajudicial killing and torture. Aside from highlighting a consequence of police militarization policy, the findings point to police militarization as an important omitted variable in cross-national models of repression and human rights.
警察军事化会影响政府使用镇压手段吗?虽然比较工作考察了警察的军事化、暴力、侵犯人权和酷刑,但它没有将军事化警察纳入现有的镇压理论。本文将警察军事化与镇压联系起来,认为警察军事化增加了警察对威胁的感知以及他们的胁迫能力,从而增加了他们的镇压意愿。因此,我们假设警察军事化会增加镇压。为了评估这一理论,我们使用1994年至2010年覆盖102个国家的现有数据集进行了国际分析。使用几个统计模型,数据支持这样一个结论,即警察军事化增加了政府镇压的可能性,特别是通过法外处决和酷刑。除了强调警察军事化政策的后果外,调查结果还指出,在跨国镇压和人权模式中,警察军事化是一个重要的遗漏变量。
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引用次数: 1
Expression of Concern 表达关注
IF 3.1 1区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.1177/00220027231157263
The Editor hereby issues an Expression of Concern on the following article: Haas, M. (1978). A Response. Journal of Conflict Resolution, 22(1), 163–164. (https://doi.org/10.1177/002200277802200111) Michael Haas contacted SAGE and The Journal of Conflict Resolution to note that he did not author the essay cited above. Despite our efforts, due to the length of time passed since its publication, SAGE have been unable to verify the claims around authorship of this essay. The handling Editor at the time has not retained any records that could be used to resolve the concerns raised. Michael Haas has provided a brief response to alert readers on the matters included in the essay cited above.
编辑特此对以下文章发表关注:Haas, M.(1978)。一个响应。心理学报,22(1),63 - 64。(https://doi.org/10.1177/002200277802200111) Michael Haas联系了SAGE和The Journal of Conflict Resolution,指出他并不是上述文章的作者。尽管我们做出了努力,但由于文章发表已经过了很长时间,SAGE无法核实这篇文章的作者身份。当时的处理编辑器没有保留任何可用于解决所提出的问题的记录。迈克尔·哈斯就上述文章中提到的问题向警惕的读者提供了一个简短的回应。
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引用次数: 0
Achieving Minimum Deterrence: A New Dyadic Dataset on Strategic Nuclear Weapons Delivery Capabilities 实现最小威慑:战略核武器运载能力的新Dyadic数据集
IF 3.1 1区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI: 10.1177/00220027231187310
Kyung-Hong Suh
This paper argues that existing quantitative studies mistakenly assume that all nuclear states can impose nuclear destruction on opponents by simply distinguishing nuclear states from non-nuclear states. This practice, however, does not capture variation in 1) nuclear states’ possession of delivery capabilities, 2) the range of deployed nuclear delivery systems, and 3) the geographic distance between nuclear states and their dyadic counterparts. Instead of this monadic nuclear statehood approach, I propose the dyadic nuclear reach approach, which uses a new dyad-specific measure of states’ strategic nuclear delivery capabilities. It codes whether a nuclear state can launch a nuclear strike against a given opponent by using the information about the estimated range of each nuclear state’s strategic nuclear delivery platforms, nuclear operation bases, and states’ capital cities. An empirical application shows that using an appropriate measure of nuclear capabilities does significantly alter existing empirical knowledge of nuclear weapons and international conflict.
本文认为,现有的定量研究错误地认为,所有有核国家都可以通过简单地区分有核国家和无核国家来对反对者实施核毁灭。然而,这种做法并没有捕捉到以下方面的变化:1)核国家拥有运载能力,2)部署的核运载系统的范围,以及3)核国家与其二元对立国家之间的地理距离。我提出了二元核覆盖方法,而不是这种单一的核国家方法,它使用了一种新的二元特定的国家战略核运载能力衡量方法。它通过使用每个核国家战略核运载平台、核作战基地和国家首都的估计射程信息,对核国家是否可以对特定对手发动核打击进行编码。实证应用表明,使用适当的核能力衡量标准确实会极大地改变现有的核武器和国际冲突的实证知识。
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引用次数: 1
Rebel, Remain, or Resign? Military Elites’ Decision-Making at the Onset of the American Civil War 反抗,留下,还是辞职?美国内战初期军事精英的决策
IF 3.1 1区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-06-23 DOI: 10.1177/00220027231185575
Peter B. White
A critical element in civil wars is military fragmentation. Yet, we have a limited understanding of why military elites fight in civil wars and on what side. In this article I develop a theory of the economic and professional motivations of military elites. I test this theory using the case of West Point graduates in the American Civil War. I argue that in addition to home state, economic and professional interests were a major influence on West Pointers. Graduates with connections to Southern cash crops were less likely to fight for the Union and more likely to fight for the Confederacy. Higher ranking graduates were more likely to fight for both sides, as they were better positioned to compete for promotion. I test this argument using a new dataset of more than 1000 West Point graduates’ wartime allegiances and antebellum careers and find strong evidence in support of my expectations.
内战的一个关键因素是军事分裂。然而,我们对军事精英为何在内战中作战以及在哪一方作战的理解有限。在这篇文章中,我发展了一个军事精英的经济和职业动机的理论。我用西点军校毕业生在美国内战中的案例来检验这一理论。我认为除了家乡之外,经济和职业兴趣也是西点军校的主要影响因素。与南方经济作物有联系的毕业生不太可能为联邦而战,而更有可能为邦联而战。排名较高的毕业生更有可能为这两方面而战,因为他们在争取晋升方面处于更有利的地位。我用1000多名西点军校毕业生的战时忠诚和战前职业的新数据集来检验这一观点,并找到了有力的证据来支持我的预期。
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引用次数: 0
Deliberate Nuclear First Use in an Era of Asymmetry: A Game Theoretical Approach 不对称时代的蓄意核首次使用:一种博弈论方法
IF 3.1 1区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-06-22 DOI: 10.1177/00220027231185154
E. Larsen
Most nuclear dyads are characterized by some degree of nuclear and conventional asymmetry. This paper argues that these asymmetries create an environment in which deliberate nuclear first use (DNFU) can be rational. This possibility has been discarded in the formal literature on nuclear escalation because of the common reliance on the assumption of mutually assured destruction (MAD). This paper develops a formal model that traces how and under what circumstances two types of DNFU are rational. First, nuclear imbalances and advancements in counterforce technologies create a damage limitation incentive for a strong actor. Second, conventional asymmetry creates an incentive for the coercive use of nuclear weapons by the weaker player. Moreover, this paper illustrates that these asymmetric conditions are a relevant characteristic in important and very different nuclear dyads: DPRK–US, Pakistan–India, and Russia–US. Thus, the model demonstrates the potential core drivers of DNFU in today’s nuclear landscape.
大多数核二分体的特征是某种程度的核和常规不对称。本文认为,这些不对称创造了一种环境,在这种环境中,蓄意首先使用核武器(DNFU)可以是理性的。这种可能性在关于核升级的正式文献中被抛弃了,因为它们普遍依赖于相互保证毁灭的假设。本文开发了一个形式化模型,跟踪两种类型的DNFU如何以及在什么情况下是理性的。首先,核失衡和反作用力技术的进步为一个强大的参与者创造了损害限制的激励。其次,传统的不对称为实力较弱的一方强制使用核武器创造了动力。此外,本文还说明,这些不对称条件是重要且非常不同的核组合(朝鲜-美国、巴基斯坦-印度和俄罗斯-美国)的相关特征。因此,该模型展示了DNFU在当今核景观中的潜在核心驱动因素。
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引用次数: 0
Broadcasting Out-Group Repression to the In-Group: Evidence From China 向集团内部传播集团外压制:来自中国的证据
IF 3.1 1区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-06-22 DOI: 10.1177/00220027231185148
Erin Baggott Carter, B. Carter
Many autocrats govern with an in-group, whose support must be secured, and an out-group, which is subject to repression. How do autocrats exploit in-group/out-group dynamics to secure their survival? One strategy, we argue, is to broadcast out-group repression to the in-group as a signal of the regime’s capacity for violence. Empirically, we focus on China, where the government represses ethnic Uyghurs in Xinjiang. Drawing on 1 million articles from six propaganda newspapers, we show that the regime broadcasts out-group repression to urban elites on each anniversary of the 1989 Tiananmen Square massacre, when 10% of Beijing residents joined anti-regime protests. To understand its effects, we conducted a survey experiment balanced on the national census during the June 2020 Tiananmen anniversary. Using a list experiment to mitigate preference falsification, we show that CCP propaganda about Uyghurs during the Tiananmen anniversary discourages protests among politically engaged urban elites because they fear repression.
许多独裁者都有一个必须得到其支持的内集团和一个受到压制的外集团。独裁者如何利用群体内/群体外的动态来确保他们的生存?我们认为,一种策略是向内部群体传播外部群体的镇压,作为该政权暴力能力的信号。从经验上看,我们关注的是中国,那里的政府镇压新疆的维吾尔族人。为了了解其影响,我们在2020年6月天安门纪念日期间进行了一次全国人口普查调查实验。使用列表实验来减轻偏好伪造,我们表明中共在天安门周年纪念期间对维吾尔人的宣传阻碍了政治参与的城市精英的抗议活动,因为他们害怕镇压。
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引用次数: 0
Violence and Children’s Education: Evidence From Administrative Data 暴力与儿童教育:来自行政数据的证据
1区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-06-21 DOI: 10.1177/00220027231180114
Valentina Duque
This paper exploits the sharp escalation of violence in Colombia in the 1980s associated with the emergence of drug cartels to provide novel evidence on the long-run effects of violence exposure throughout the life-course, on children’s educational attainment and academic achievement using administrative data. I find that, a higher homicide rate in early-childhood is associated with a higher probability of school dropout and conditional on completing high school, lower scores on a national end-of-high school exam. Results are robust to several falsification tests, and analyses of potential sources of selection bias. I provide supportive evidence that changes in fetal, child, and adolescent health outcomes are important potential mechanisms.
本文利用哥伦比亚在20世纪80年代与贩毒集团的出现相关的暴力急剧升级,为暴力暴露在整个生命过程中的长期影响提供了新的证据,对儿童的教育成就和学术成就使用行政数据。我发现,儿童早期较高的谋杀率与较高的辍学概率有关,并且以完成高中学业为条件,在全国高中毕业考试中得分较低。结果是稳健的几个证伪检验和分析的潜在来源的选择偏差。我提供支持性证据表明,胎儿、儿童和青少年健康结果的变化是重要的潜在机制。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Journal of Conflict Resolution
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