Rory Greig, Chris Major, Michalina Pacholska, S. Bending, Jordi Arranz
{"title":"Learning Interpretable Logic for Agent-Based Models from Domain Independent Primitives","authors":"Rory Greig, Chris Major, Michalina Pacholska, S. Bending, Jordi Arranz","doi":"10.18564/jasss.5087","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18564/jasss.5087","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51498,"journal":{"name":"Jasss-The Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"67492851","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-01-01DOI: 10.18254/s207751800025572-8
A. Gaisina
The structure of the needs of enterprises for workers is undergoing changes, and the system professional education must adapt as quickly as possible to the new realities of the labor market. For a prompt response to current personnel requests, imitation model of the behavior of graduates in the labor market is proposed, taking into account the direction of training (DT) of system professional education, the need for workers by the type of economic activity (TEA), presented in the form of a matrix of professional and qualification compliance with TEA-DT and a sociological survey graduates. The imitation model is based on an agent - oriented approach, where agents are graduates of colleges, enterprises, enlarged by the type of economic activity and authorities, given exogenously. The software implementation makes it possible to imitate the real processes of employment of college graduates, taking into account vacancies in the type of economic activity and direction of training. The use of the simulation model will allow to regulate the emerging imbalance between the offers of the secondary schools and the needs of enterprises.
{"title":"Imitation model of the labour market behaviour of graduates of secondary vocational education institutions","authors":"A. Gaisina","doi":"10.18254/s207751800025572-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18254/s207751800025572-8","url":null,"abstract":"The structure of the needs of enterprises for workers is undergoing changes, and the system professional education must adapt as quickly as possible to the new realities of the labor market. For a prompt response to current personnel requests, imitation model of the behavior of graduates in the labor market is proposed, taking into account the direction of training (DT) of system professional education, the need for workers by the type of economic activity (TEA), presented in the form of a matrix of professional and qualification compliance with TEA-DT and a sociological survey graduates. The imitation model is based on an agent - oriented approach, where agents are graduates of colleges, enterprises, enlarged by the type of economic activity and authorities, given exogenously. The software implementation makes it possible to imitate the real processes of employment of college graduates, taking into account vacancies in the type of economic activity and direction of training. The use of the simulation model will allow to regulate the emerging imbalance between the offers of the secondary schools and the needs of enterprises.","PeriodicalId":51498,"journal":{"name":"Jasss-The Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"85616637","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-01-01DOI: 10.18254/s207751800022481-8
I. Tarkhanov
Public transportation is the primary source of COVID-19 spread in metropolitan areas. This paper discusses the conceptual model of a COVID-19 social contact tracing system in the subway, based on an exclusive blockchain (DLT). The architecture of the main components of the system is considered in detail: an algorithm of contact recording, infection notifications and risk analysis, the process of publishing information about an infected person in the network. To check the adequacy of the model, we propose to use the previously proposed method to simulate the peak load. Proof-of-stake is based on real-life peak load data in the Moscow and New York subways. This calculation shows the applicability of this method for the largest metropolitan areas of the world, substantiates the technical characteristics of blockchain network nodes.
{"title":"Model of a Blockchain-based Social Contact Tracking system in Metropolitan Subway systems: an evaluation","authors":"I. Tarkhanov","doi":"10.18254/s207751800022481-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18254/s207751800022481-8","url":null,"abstract":"Public transportation is the primary source of COVID-19 spread in metropolitan areas. This paper discusses the conceptual model of a COVID-19 social contact tracing system in the subway, based on an exclusive blockchain (DLT). The architecture of the main components of the system is considered in detail: an algorithm of contact recording, infection notifications and risk analysis, the process of publishing information about an infected person in the network. To check the adequacy of the model, we propose to use the previously proposed method to simulate the peak load. Proof-of-stake is based on real-life peak load data in the Moscow and New York subways. This calculation shows the applicability of this method for the largest metropolitan areas of the world, substantiates the technical characteristics of blockchain network nodes.","PeriodicalId":51498,"journal":{"name":"Jasss-The Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"75219774","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-01-01DOI: 10.18254/s207751800019817-7
N. Ravochkin
The article discusses the features of the transformation of rationality in the realities of the digital age. The nature of three variants of rationality is presented - classical, non-classical and post-non-classical. The understanding is substantiated, the essential features are shown, and the author's definition of the rationality of the digital era is proposed. The complex impact of megatrends on the understanding of the world by actors and its subsequent transformations is highlighted. The contextual and situational elements are identified as the leading characteristics of the new rationality. Emphasis is placed on the impossibility of replicating "once" effective mental constructs, which inevitably implies the adaptation of the ideas of social transformations to new realities and current parameters. The authors demonstrated the transition of rationality of the digital age from the field of theory to applied purpose. The expediency of using the principles of the network approach by various actors is emphasized. A high degree of influence of media and other advanced technologies is noted. Based on practical examples from the political sphere of public life, the vectors of transformation of rationality in the realities of the digital world are determined: «visuality», «hedonism», «pragmatism». In conclusion, generalizations are given that constitute the theoretical and methodological basis.
{"title":"Rationality transforming in the digital age","authors":"N. Ravochkin","doi":"10.18254/s207751800019817-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18254/s207751800019817-7","url":null,"abstract":"The article discusses the features of the transformation of rationality in the realities of the digital age. The nature of three variants of rationality is presented - classical, non-classical and post-non-classical. The understanding is substantiated, the essential features are shown, and the author's definition of the rationality of the digital era is proposed. The complex impact of megatrends on the understanding of the world by actors and its subsequent transformations is highlighted. The contextual and situational elements are identified as the leading characteristics of the new rationality. Emphasis is placed on the impossibility of replicating \"once\" effective mental constructs, which inevitably implies the adaptation of the ideas of social transformations to new realities and current parameters. The authors demonstrated the transition of rationality of the digital age from the field of theory to applied purpose. The expediency of using the principles of the network approach by various actors is emphasized. A high degree of influence of media and other advanced technologies is noted. Based on practical examples from the political sphere of public life, the vectors of transformation of rationality in the realities of the digital world are determined: «visuality», «hedonism», «pragmatism». In conclusion, generalizations are given that constitute the theoretical and methodological basis.","PeriodicalId":51498,"journal":{"name":"Jasss-The Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"85658097","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-01-01DOI: 10.18254/s207751800019818-8
T. Bobko
The article is devoted to the study of the influence of regional macroeconomic indicators on the number of applicants for training in higher education programs in the universities of Kuzbass. The previous studies carried out by the authors served as the basis for the development of a model that allows obtaining an advanced estimate of the number of applicants for admission to regional universities [4]. The results obtained in [3] made it possible to quantitatively determine the relationship between the number of students in higher education programs and the gross regional product (GRP) of the Kemerovo region, as well as to draw a conclusion about the influence of regional macroeconomic indicators on the choice of education level by graduates. On the basis of the constructed model, the forecast of the number of students in HE programs in the universities of the Kemerovo region for one period ahead was carried out with a relative forecasting error of 2.45%.
{"title":"Formation of a mathematical model for predicting the number of applicants entering universities in the Kemerovo region","authors":"T. Bobko","doi":"10.18254/s207751800019818-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18254/s207751800019818-8","url":null,"abstract":"The article is devoted to the study of the influence of regional macroeconomic indicators on the number of applicants for training in higher education programs in the universities of Kuzbass. The previous studies carried out by the authors served as the basis for the development of a model that allows obtaining an advanced estimate of the number of applicants for admission to regional universities [4]. The results obtained in [3] made it possible to quantitatively determine the relationship between the number of students in higher education programs and the gross regional product (GRP) of the Kemerovo region, as well as to draw a conclusion about the influence of regional macroeconomic indicators on the choice of education level by graduates. On the basis of the constructed model, the forecast of the number of students in HE programs in the universities of the Kemerovo region for one period ahead was carried out with a relative forecasting error of 2.45%.","PeriodicalId":51498,"journal":{"name":"Jasss-The Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"75358182","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-01-01DOI: 10.18254/s207751800023028-9
T. Konkova
On September 27, 2022, IV International Conference "Artificial Societies and Information Technologies" was held on the basis of the Central Economics and Mathematics Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences. And on September 28 a round-table discussion "Supercomputer Technologies and Artificial Societies" was held
{"title":"IV International Conference \"Artificial Societies and Information Technologies\"","authors":"T. Konkova","doi":"10.18254/s207751800023028-9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18254/s207751800023028-9","url":null,"abstract":"On September 27, 2022, IV International Conference \"Artificial Societies and Information Technologies\" was held on the basis of the Central Economics and Mathematics Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences. And on September 28 a round-table discussion \"Supercomputer Technologies and Artificial Societies\" was held","PeriodicalId":51498,"journal":{"name":"Jasss-The Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"73071245","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-01-01DOI: 10.18254/s207751800020634-6
Allen Gao
In the era of the digital economy, from the point of view of national economic development, artificial intelligence (AI) technologies in the next decade will be the main driver for the development of the national economy and will create unique advantages for countries in the global division of labor. Countries, including the US, China, Russia and others, are actively developing AI and applying it to e-government, corporate decision-making, industrial production and other areas. The development of AI significantly contributes to the process of digital transformation of governments and enterprises. Major countries in the world are publishing national AI development strategies to promote the digital transformation of society. This article compares AI development strategies in the US, EU, Russia, UK and China, and provides suggestions for optimizing national AI development strategies for developing countries in order to strengthen national cybersecurity and improve people's living standards.
{"title":"National Strategy for the development of Artificial Intelligence In the context of the global digital economy","authors":"Allen Gao","doi":"10.18254/s207751800020634-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18254/s207751800020634-6","url":null,"abstract":"In the era of the digital economy, from the point of view of national economic development, artificial intelligence (AI) technologies in the next decade will be the main driver for the development of the national economy and will create unique advantages for countries in the global division of labor. Countries, including the US, China, Russia and others, are actively developing AI and applying it to e-government, corporate decision-making, industrial production and other areas. The development of AI significantly contributes to the process of digital transformation of governments and enterprises. Major countries in the world are publishing national AI development strategies to promote the digital transformation of society. This article compares AI development strategies in the US, EU, Russia, UK and China, and provides suggestions for optimizing national AI development strategies for developing countries in order to strengthen national cybersecurity and improve people's living standards.","PeriodicalId":51498,"journal":{"name":"Jasss-The Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"80976456","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-01-01DOI: 10.18254/s207751800022861-6
Zhongyao Liu
With the advent of the era of the digital economy, the role of digital infrastructure is becoming increasingly prominent. Digital infrastructure will accelerate the digital transformation of traditional industries, will contribute to the development and prosperity of many new industries, new formats and new models of the digital economy. The world's major economies have invested heavily in new areas of infrastructure to reap huge economic returns. Under the "Digital China" development strategy, the scale of China's digital infrastructure is expanding rapidly and in many areas occupies a significant share of the world. The article discusses the concept and classification of digital infrastructure. Compared with other countries in the world, the development status and existing problems of China's digital infrastructure are analyzed, and relevant proposals are put forward for the development of China's digital infrastructure.
{"title":"International comparisons of China's digital infrastructure development","authors":"Zhongyao Liu","doi":"10.18254/s207751800022861-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18254/s207751800022861-6","url":null,"abstract":"With the advent of the era of the digital economy, the role of digital infrastructure is becoming increasingly prominent. Digital infrastructure will accelerate the digital transformation of traditional industries, will contribute to the development and prosperity of many new industries, new formats and new models of the digital economy. The world's major economies have invested heavily in new areas of infrastructure to reap huge economic returns. Under the \"Digital China\" development strategy, the scale of China's digital infrastructure is expanding rapidly and in many areas occupies a significant share of the world. The article discusses the concept and classification of digital infrastructure. Compared with other countries in the world, the development status and existing problems of China's digital infrastructure are analyzed, and relevant proposals are put forward for the development of China's digital infrastructure.","PeriodicalId":51498,"journal":{"name":"Jasss-The Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"77350051","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-01-01DOI: 10.18254/s207751800019525-6
Ivan Kucherov
This article is concerned with creating a model for stock price using the Brownian motion. At first, we consider the notion of a discrete time stochastic process, simple random walk, and then move on to its continuous analogue, the Brownian motion. Next we identify the problem with using regular Calculus for stochastic differential equations and derive Ito’s Lemma. After that we derive a model for stock prices and use lognormal distribution to determine its expected value and variance. Finally, we use sample volatility to make predictions for Apple and Gazprom stock prices.
{"title":"Modeling Stock Price of Transnational companies using Brownian motion","authors":"Ivan Kucherov","doi":"10.18254/s207751800019525-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18254/s207751800019525-6","url":null,"abstract":"This article is concerned with creating a model for stock price using the Brownian motion. At first, we consider the notion of a discrete time stochastic process, simple random walk, and then move on to its continuous analogue, the Brownian motion. Next we identify the problem with using regular Calculus for stochastic differential equations and derive Ito’s Lemma. After that we derive a model for stock prices and use lognormal distribution to determine its expected value and variance. Finally, we use sample volatility to make predictions for Apple and Gazprom stock prices.","PeriodicalId":51498,"journal":{"name":"Jasss-The Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"84074402","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-01-01DOI: 10.18254/s207751800023501-0
A. Bragin
The article describes the current state of the industry of software tools for creating agent-based models, conducting agent-based simulation and processing the results of such modeling. Despite the large number of articles on various problems in the field of agent-based modeling and reviews of some software tools, only one comprehensive English-language work on this issue was published in 2017. Publications in recent years do not fully reflect the state of the industry, there are practically no reviews in Russian. This work is devoted to a review of agent-based and simulation modeling tools with a brief description of them.
{"title":"Modern Software tools for Agent-based modeling","authors":"A. Bragin","doi":"10.18254/s207751800023501-0","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18254/s207751800023501-0","url":null,"abstract":"The article describes the current state of the industry of software tools for creating agent-based models, conducting agent-based simulation and processing the results of such modeling. Despite the large number of articles on various problems in the field of agent-based modeling and reviews of some software tools, only one comprehensive English-language work on this issue was published in 2017. Publications in recent years do not fully reflect the state of the industry, there are practically no reviews in Russian. This work is devoted to a review of agent-based and simulation modeling tools with a brief description of them.","PeriodicalId":51498,"journal":{"name":"Jasss-The Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"84405233","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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