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Road traffic anomaly monitoring and warning based on DeepWalk algorithm 基于DeepWalk算法的道路交通异常监测与预警
IF 2.2 4区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-12-21 DOI: 10.1093/tse/tdac049
Zihe Wang, Junqing Ye, Jinjun Tang
In the complex urban road traffic network, a sudden accident leads to rapid congestion in the nearby traffic region, which even makes the local traffic network capacity quickly reduced. Therefore, an efficient monitoring system for abnormal conditions of urban road network plays a crucial role in the tolerance of urban road network. The traditional traffic monitoring system not only costs a lot in construction and maintenance, but also may not cover the road network comprehensively, which could not meet the basic needs of traffic management. Only a more comprehensive and intelligent monitoring method is able to identify traffic anomalies more effectively and quickly so that it provide more effective support for traffic management decisions. The extensive use of positioning equipment makes us to obtain accurate trajectory data. This paper presents a traffic anomaly monitoring and prediction method based on vehicle trajectory data. This model uses deep learning to detect abnormal trajectory on the traffic road network. The method effectively analyzes the abnormal source and potential anomaly to judge the abnormal region, which provides an important reference for the traffic department to take effective traffic control measures. Finally, the paper uses Internet vehicle trajectory data of Chengdu to test and gets an accurate result.
在复杂的城市道路交通网络中,突发事故导致附近交通区域快速拥堵,甚至使当地交通网络容量迅速降低。因此,一个高效的城市路网异常监测系统对城市路网的容错性起着至关重要的作用。传统的交通监控系统不仅建设和维护成本高,而且可能无法全面覆盖路网,无法满足交通管理的基本需求。只有更全面、更智能的监测方法才能更有效、更快地识别交通异常,从而为交通管理决策提供更有效的支持。定位设备的广泛使用使我们能够获得准确的轨迹数据。本文提出了一种基于车辆轨迹数据的交通异常监测与预测方法。该模型使用深度学习来检测交通道路网络上的异常轨迹。该方法有效分析异常源和潜在异常,判断异常区域,为交通部门采取有效的交通管制措施提供了重要参考。最后,本文利用成都市的互联网车辆轨迹数据进行了测试,得到了准确的结果。
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引用次数: 0
Hazard-based Duration Modeling of Merging Time Interval on Freeway On-Ramps 基于危险性的高速公路匝道合并时间间隔持续时间建模
IF 2.2 4区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-12-21 DOI: 10.1093/tse/tdac040
Ye Li, Jichen Zhu, M. Haque, Jaeyoung Lee
Freeway on-ramps suffer high crash risks due to frequent merging behaviors. This study developed hazard-based duration models to investigate the merging time interval on freeway on-ramps based on microscopic trajectory data. Fixed effect, random effect, and random parameters Weibull distributed accelerated failure time models were developed to capture merging time as a function of various dynamic variables. The random parameters model was found to outperform the two counterparts since the unobserved heterogeneity of individual drivers were captured. Modeling estimation results indicate that drivers along the merging section with an auxiliary lane perform a smooth merging process and are easily affected by speed variables. Dynamics of leading and following vehicles on the merging and target lanes are found to influence the merging time interval for merging without an auxiliary lane, whereas the influence of surrounding vehicles is marginal for those with an auxiliary lane. The findings of this study identify potential countermeasures for improving safety during the merging process.
由于频繁的并线行为,高速公路入口匝道面临着较高的碰撞风险。本研究开发了基于危害的持续时间模型,以基于微观轨迹数据研究高速公路匝道上的合流时间间隔。建立了固定效应、随机效应和随机参数威布尔分布加速失效时间模型,以捕捉合并时间作为各种动态变量的函数。随机参数模型被发现优于两个对应模型,因为捕捉到了未观察到的个体驾驶员的异质性。模型估计结果表明,具有辅助车道的并线路段的驾驶员执行平稳的并线过程,并且容易受到速度变量的影响。研究发现,在没有辅助车道的情况下,并线和目标车道上的前车和后车的动力学会影响并线的时间间隔,而对于有辅助车道的车辆,周围车辆的影响是微不足道的。这项研究的结果确定了在合并过程中提高安全性的潜在对策。
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引用次数: 0
Forecasting wind speed using a reinforcement learning hybrid ensemble model: a high-speed railways strong wind signal prediction study in Xinjiang, China 基于强化学习混合集成模型的风速预测:新疆高速铁路强风信号预测研究
IF 2.2 4区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-12-21 DOI: 10.1093/tse/tdac064
B. Liu, Xinmin Pan, Rui Yang, Zhu Duan, Ye Li, Shi Yin, N. Nikitas, Hui Liu
Considering the application of wind forecasting technology along the railway, it becomes an effective means to reduce the risk of train derailment and overturning. Accurate prediction of crosswinds can provide scientific guidance for safe train operation. To obtain more reliable wind speed prediction results, this study proposes an intelligent ensemble forecasting method for strong winds along the high-speed railway. The method consists of three parts, including data preprocessing module, hybrid prediction module, and reinforcement learning ensemble module. First, fast ensemble empirical model decomposition (FEEMD) is used to process the original wind speed data. Then, broyden-fletcher-goldfarb-shanno (BFGS), non-linear autoregressive network with exogenous inputs (NARX), and deep belief network (DBN), three benchmark predictors with different characteristics, are employed to build prediction models for all the sublayers of decomposition. Finally, Q-learning is utilized to iteratively calculate the combined weights of the three models, and the prediction results of each sublayer are superimposed to obtain the model output. The real wind speed data of two Railway stations in Xinjiang are used for experimental comparison. Experiments show that compared with the single benchmark model, the hybrid ensemble model has better accuracy and robustness for wind speed prediction along the railway. The 1-step forecasting results mean absolute error (MAE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), and root mean square error (RMSE) of Q-learning-FEEMD-BFGS-NARX-DBN in site #1 and site #2 are 0.0894 m/s, 0.6509%, 0.1146 m/s, and 0.0458 m/s, 0.2709%, 0.0616 m/s. The proposed ensemble model is a promising method for railway wind speed prediction.
考虑到风预报技术在铁路沿线的应用,它成为降低列车脱轨和倾覆风险的有效手段。准确预测侧风,可为列车安全运行提供科学指导。为了获得更可靠的风速预测结果,本研究提出了一种高速铁路沿线强风的智能综合预测方法。该方法由三部分组成,包括数据预处理模块、混合预测模块和强化学习集成模块。首先,使用快速集合经验模型分解(FEEMD)对原始风速数据进行处理。然后,采用broyden-fletcher-goldfarb-shanno(BFGS)、具有外生输入的非线性自回归网络(NARX)和深度信念网络(DBN)这三个具有不同特征的基准预测因子,为分解的所有子层建立预测模型。最后,利用Q学习迭代计算三个模型的组合权重,并将每个子层的预测结果叠加以获得模型输出。利用新疆两个火车站的实际风速数据进行了实验比较。实验表明,与单一基准模型相比,混合集成模型对铁路沿线风速预测具有更好的准确性和鲁棒性。Q-learning-FEEMD-BFGS-NARX-DBN在#1和#2站点的一步预测结果的平均绝对误差(MAE)、平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)和均方根误差(RMSE)分别为0.0894m/s、0.6509%、0.1146m/s和0.0458m/s、0.2709%、0.0616m/s。所提出的集合模型是一种很有前途的铁路风速预测方法。
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引用次数: 0
Parameterization of the Propeller Thrust for Modelling Ship Braking within Ice Channel behind Icebreaker 破冰船后冰道内船舶制动模型的螺旋桨推力参数化
IF 2.2 4区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-12-21 DOI: 10.1093/tse/tdac042
V. Goncharov, N. Klementieva
Cargo ship sailing within the ice channel that assisting icebreaker tracks in the compact ice cover is the usual practice of the navigation for the difficult ice conditions in the freezing seas and in the Arctic water areas. When the icebreaker or an ahead vessel stops before the insuperable ice obstacle or because the engine trouble, the danger of an emergency appears, namely, the collision with the icebreaker or the ahead ship, if the interval between them is not sufficient for the effective braking and stop. The paper presents the equation that describes the ship braking process within an ice channel and includes the thrust of the propeller that works under the reverse regime. The specific of this regime is following: the ship continues the motion “forward» and the propeller rotates “backward”. Analytical method for description of the ship propeller work on the reverse regime is absent because the detached flow on its blades. The paper describes the developed empirical method of this regime parameterization on the base of the serial models of propellers testing. The outcomes of this investigation will be applied for the ship braking process simulation and the safe interval between the ship and the icebreaker evaluation in what follows.
货船在冰槽内航行,协助破冰船在密实的冰盖上行驶,这是在冰冻海域和北极水域艰难的冰况下航行的通常做法。当破冰船或前方船舶在不可逾越的冰障前停车或由于发动机故障,如果破冰船或前方船舶与破冰船或前方船舶之间的距离不足以有效制动和停车,则出现与破冰船或前方船舶碰撞的紧急危险。本文提出了描述船舶在冰槽内制动过程的方程,其中包括在反向状态下工作的螺旋桨推力。这种状态的具体情况如下:船舶继续“前进”运动,螺旋桨“向后”旋转。由于桨叶上存在分离流,目前尚无描述船舶螺旋桨反向工况的解析方法。本文介绍了在螺旋桨试验系列模型的基础上发展起来的状态参数化的经验方法。该研究结果将应用于船舶制动过程模拟和船舶与破冰船之间的安全间隔评估。
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引用次数: 0
Performance of Vehicle-mounted Anemometer under Crosswind—Simulation and Experiment 侧风作用下车载风速计的性能——仿真与实验
IF 2.2 4区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-12-21 DOI: 10.1093/tse/tdac053
Bo Sun, Guang Chen, Jun Chen, Xiao-bai Li, Ming-zan Tang, Mu Zhong
Environmental wind measurements are essential for ensuring the operational safety of rail vehicles. In our previous work, an anemometer that can be mounted on the top of a train to achieve real-time measurements of wind speed and direction was proposed based on the pressure distributions around the cylindrical anemometer. However, the flow field on the top of the train is significantly influenced by the train; thus, the measured data might differ from the actual environmental wind parameters, particularly when trains are subjected to windbreak walls. In this study, simulations considering flow fields around trains installed with the proposed anemometer were conducted, and an improved delayed detached eddy simulation approach was adopted. Through simulations, the flow field at the top of the train was analysed, and the aerodynamic characteristics of the anemometer were investigated. Accordingly, relationships between the measured wind characteristics and environmental wind characteristics are presented under various situations herein. Field experiments were performed for the proposed anemometer installed on a certain type of high-speed train along the Nanjiang Railway in China. The results obtained from both the numerical and experimental studies show that the proposed method has high accuracy for measuring environmental wind speed and direction when mounted on the top of a train.
环境风测量是保证轨道车辆运行安全的重要手段。在我们之前的工作中,我们提出了一种可以安装在火车顶部的风速仪,基于圆柱形风速仪周围的压力分布,实现风速和风向的实时测量。而列车顶部的流场受列车的影响较大;因此,测量数据可能与实际环境风参数不同,特别是当列车受到防风墙时。本文采用改进的延迟分离涡流模拟方法,对安装了风速仪的列车进行了流场模拟。通过仿真分析了列车顶部的流场,研究了风速仪的气动特性。因此,本文给出了各种情况下实测风特征与环境风特征之间的关系。将该风速计安装在南江铁路某型高速列车上进行了现场试验。数值和实验结果表明,该方法对安装在列车顶部的环境风速和风向具有较高的测量精度。
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引用次数: 1
Research on the evolutionary game of the supervision of civil aviation dangerous goods transportation training 民航危险品运输培训监管的演化博弈研究
IF 2.2 4区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-12-21 DOI: 10.1093/tse/tdac074
Shen Hai-bin, Zhao Sheng-nan
This study is carried out to promote the precise supervision of dangerous goods transportation training, improve the efficiency of civil aviation supervision, and further ensure the safety of air transportation. First, from the perspective of behavior interaction and interest demands, evolutionary game theory is used to construct a tripartite evolutionary game model of dangerous goods transportation training institutions, the Civil Aviation Administration of China (CAAC), and the public. Then, the evolutionary game equilibrium of the system is further analyzed under the joint action of the three parties. Finally, the influences of important parameters of the model on the behavioral strategy selection of the three parties are investigated via MATLAB numerical simulation. The conclusions reveal that the system has three evolutionarily stable strategies under different parameters, namely (non-compliant training, supervision, non-participation in supervision), (non- compliant training, supervision, participation in supervision), and (compliant training, supervision, non-participation in supervision). Moreover, the CAAC supervision cost, the fine amount, the supervision cost of public participation, the supervision success rate, and the reporting reward amount are the main parameters that affect the behavioral strategy selection of the tripartite game players. The conclusions and suggestions of this study provide a decision-making basis and guidance for the supervision and management of civil aviation dangerous goods transportation training.
本研究旨在促进危险品运输培训的精准监管,提高民航监管效率,进一步保障航空运输安全。首先,从行为互动和利益诉求的角度,运用进化博弈论构建了危险品运输培训机构、民航局和公众三方的进化博弈模型。然后,进一步分析了系统在三方共同作用下的进化博弈均衡。最后,通过MATLAB数值模拟研究了模型的重要参数对三方行为策略选择的影响。研究结果表明,在不同参数下,该系统具有三种进化稳定的策略,即(不合规培训、监督、不参与监督)、(不合规训练、监督、参与监督)和(合规培训、监管、不参与监管)。此外,CAAC监管成本、罚款金额、公众参与的监管成本、监管成功率和举报奖励金额是影响三方游戏玩家行为策略选择的主要参数。本研究的结论和建议为民航危险品运输培训的监督管理提供了决策依据和指导。
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引用次数: 0
Study on Risk Assessment and Factors Ranking of LTE-M Communication System LTE-M通信系统风险评估及因素排序研究
IF 2.2 4区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-12-21 DOI: 10.1093/tse/tdac067
Xiaochun Wu, Yu Gao, Weichao Zheng
To assess the operational safety risk of long-term evolution for metro (LTE-M) communication system more accurately, guide maintenance strategy, the improved evidence theory and multi-attribute ideal reality comparative analysis (MAIRCA) approaches are proposed respectively. According to the features of the LTE-M system, the risk evaluation system is established. The enhanced structural entropy weight method is used to count the weight. Furthermore, combined with nine-element fuzzy mathematics to transform the degree of membership. Modifying the conflict and fusion rules to solve the confidence degree clashed problem of evidence theory. Then get the system risk grade assessment result. For the purpose of forming the ranking of indicator importance, the MAIRCA is introduced and the sort is based on three-dimensional. The operational state of the metro line is used as the data source in various ways based on the test and calculation. The results show that the method is effective, compared with the others, the confidence degree in the obtained risk grade increased by 7.12%. It is verified that MAIRCA can be applied to the field of urban rail transit because excellent stability and the ranking result of risk factors is reasonable. The influencing indicator with the highest importance is’ the equipment failure rate’.
为了更准确地评估城域(LTE-M)通信系统长期演进的运行安全风险,指导维护策略,分别提出了改进的证据理论和多属性理想现实比较分析(MAIRCA)方法。根据LTE-M系统的特点,建立了风险评估体系。采用增强型结构熵权法计算权重。并结合九元模糊数学对隶属度进行变换。修改冲突与融合规则,解决证据理论中的置信度冲突问题。然后得到系统风险等级评价结果。为了形成指标重要性排序,引入MAIRCA,并基于三维排序。在试验计算的基础上,采用多种方式将地铁线路运行状态作为数据源。结果表明,该方法是有效的,所得风险等级的置信度比其他方法提高了7.12%。验证了MAIRCA算法稳定性好,风险因素排序结果合理,可以应用于城市轨道交通领域。最重要的影响指标是“设备故障率”。
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引用次数: 0
Correlation study between the square cone energy-absorbing structure and the frontal collision behavior of leading vehicles 方锥吸能结构与前方车辆碰撞行为的相关性研究
IF 2.2 4区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-12-21 DOI: 10.1093/tse/tdac054
Ping Xu, Ying Gao, Chong Huang, Chengxing Yang, Shuguang Yao, Quanwei Che
In order to study the influence of square-cone energy-absorbing structures on the mechanical behavior of the collision performance of the leading vehicle, a parameterization method for rapidly changing the performance of energy-absorbing structures was proposed. Firstly, a finite element simulation model of the collision of the leading vehicle with a square-cone energy-absorbing structure was constructed. Then, the platform force, the slope of the platform force and the initial peak force of the force-displacement curve derived from the energy-absorbing structure were studied for the collision performance of the leading vehicle. Finally, the correlation model of the square cone energy-absorbing structure and the mechanical behavior of the collision performance of the leading vehicle was established by the response surface method. The results showed that the increase of the platform force of the energy-absorbing structure can effectively buffer the longitudinal impact of the train and reduce the nodding attitude of the train. The increase of the platform force slope can not only effectively buffer the longitudinal impact and vertical nodding of the train, but also reduce the lateral swing of the train. An increase in the initial peak force to a certain extent may lead to a change in the deformation mode, thereby reducing the energy absorption efficiency. The correlation model can guide the design of the square-cone energy-absorbing structure and predict the deformation attitude of the leading vehicle.
为了研究方锥吸能结构对前车碰撞性能力学行为的影响,提出了一种快速改变吸能结构性能的参数化方法。首先,建立了方锥吸能结构引导车碰撞的有限元仿真模型。然后,研究了由吸能结构导出的平台力、平台力的斜率和力-位移曲线的初始峰值力对先导车辆碰撞性能的影响。最后,采用响应面法建立了方锥吸能结构与前车碰撞性能力学行为的关联模型。结果表明,增加吸能结构的站台力可以有效地缓冲列车的纵向冲击,降低列车的点头姿态。站台受力坡度的增加,既能有效缓冲列车的纵向冲击和垂向点头,又能减少列车的横向摆动。初始峰值力增加到一定程度可能导致变形模式的改变,从而降低能量吸收效率。该关联模型可以指导方锥吸能结构的设计,并预测前导车的变形姿态。
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引用次数: 0
Fault diagnosis of railway point machines based on wavelet transform and artificial immune algorithm 基于小波变换和人工免疫算法的铁路转辙机故障诊断
IF 2.2 4区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-12-21 DOI: 10.1093/tse/tdac072
Xiaochun Wu, Weikang Yang, Jianrong Cao
Aiming at the current problems of high failure rate and low diagnostic efficiency of Railway Point Machines (RPMs) in railway industry, a short-time method of fault diagnosis is proposed. Considering the effect of noise on power signals in the data acquisition process of railway Centralized Signaling Monitoring (CSM) System, this study utilizes wavelet threshold denoising to eliminate the interference of it. The consequences show that the accuracy of fault diagnosis can be improved by 4.4% after denoising the power signals. Then in order to attain lightweight and shorten running time of diagnosis model, Mallat wavelet decomposition and artificial immune algorithm are applied to RPMs fault diagnosis. Finally, voluminous experiments using veritable power signals collected from CSM are introduced, which manifest that combining these methods can procure higher precision of RPMs and curtail fault diagnosis time. It substantiates the validity and feasibility of the presented approach.
针对目前铁路工业中铁路转辙机故障率高、诊断效率低的问题,提出了一种短时故障诊断方法。考虑到铁路信号集中监测系统数据采集过程中噪声对电力信号的影响,本研究采用小波阈值去噪的方法消除了噪声对信号的干扰,结果表明,对电力信号进行去噪后,故障诊断的准确率可提高4.4%。然后,为了实现诊断模型的轻量化和缩短诊断模型的运行时间,将Mallat小波分解和人工免疫算法应用于RPM故障诊断。最后,介绍了使用从CSM收集的真实功率信号进行的大量实验,表明将这些方法相结合可以获得更高的RPM精度并缩短故障诊断时间。验证了该方法的有效性和可行性。
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引用次数: 0
Research on Text Fault Recognition for On-board Equipment of C3 Train Control System Based on Integrated XGBoost Algorithm 基于集成XGBoost算法的C3列控系统车载设备文本故障识别研究
IF 2.2 4区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-12-21 DOI: 10.1093/tse/tdac066
Li Yue, Luyue Liu, Maoqing Li, Baodi Xiao, Xiaochun Wu
The robust guarantee of train control on-board equipment is inextricably linked to the safe functioning of a high-speed train. A fault diagnostic model of on-board equipment is built utilizing the integrated learning XGBoost (eXtreme Gradient Boosting) algorithm to help technicians assess the malfunction category of high-speed train control on-board equipment accurately and rapidly. XGBoost algorithm iterates multiple decision tree models to improve the accuracy of fault diagnosis by lifting the predicted residual and adding regular terms. To begin, the text features were extracted using the improved TF-IDF (Term Frequency–Inverse Document Frequency) approach, and 24 fault feature words were chosen and converted into weight word vectors. Secondly, considering the imbalanced fault categories in the data set, ADASYN (Adaptive Synthetic sampling) adaptive synthetically oversampling technique was used to synthesize a few category fault samples. Finally, the data samples were split into training and test sets based on the fault text data of CTCS-3 train control on-board equipment recorded by Guangzhou Railway Group maintenance personnel. The XGBoost model was utilized to realize the automatic fault location of the test set after optimized parameter tuning through grid search. Compared with other methods, the evaluation index of the XGBoost model was significantly improved. The diagnostic accuracy reached 95.43%, which verifies the effectiveness of the method in text fault diagnosis.
列车控制车载设备的可靠保证与高速列车的安全运行密不可分。利用集成学习XGBoost(eXtreme Gradient Boosting)算法建立车载设备故障诊断模型,帮助技术人员准确、快速地评估高速列控车载设备的故障类别。XGBoost算法迭代多个决策树模型,通过提升预测残差和添加正则项来提高故障诊断的准确性。首先,使用改进的TF-IDF(术语频率-逆文档频率)方法提取文本特征,并选择24个故障特征词并将其转换为权重词向量。其次,考虑到数据集中不平衡的故障类别,采用ADASYN(Adaptive Synthetic sampling)自适应综合过采样技术对少数类别的故障样本进行了综合。最后,根据广铁集团维修人员记录的CTCS-3列控车载设备故障文本数据,将数据样本分解为训练集和测试集。利用XGBoost模型,通过网格搜索优化参数后,实现了测试集故障的自动定位。与其他方法相比,XGBoost模型的评价指标有了显著提高。诊断准确率达到95.43%,验证了该方法在文本故障诊断中的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
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Transportation Safety and Environment
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