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Unfolding ‘big’ problems of small water system performance: a qualitative study in British Columbia 揭示小型供水系统性能的“大”问题:不列颠哥伦比亚省的一项定性研究
IF 1.7 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2020-08-14 DOI: 10.1080/07011784.2020.1800517
S. R. Pokhrel, Gyan Chhipi-Shrestha, Manuel J. Rodríguez, K. Hewage, R. Sadiq
Abstract In this study, small water systems (SWSs) serve a population of less than 5,000. This paper includes responses to a qualitative questionnaire from 66 SWSs (33% out of 200 SWSs) that identify the major problems within these systems across British Columbia (BC). Focusing on four interrelated components of SWSs (water quality issues, treatment and disinfection, water quality monitoring and water governance challenges), the identified major problems include: insufficient water monitoring programs; inadequate treatment prior to disinfection; insufficient funds to build water infrastructure; high turbidity; iron and manganese in source water; microbial contamination, especially in distribution networks; and high disinfection by-product formation. Based on the findings, the authors recommend implementing efficient water policies suitable for SWSs and strengthening funding support from governments. Developing long-term plans for effective management of water resources, while building strong communication among relevant stakeholders (ie municipal managers, operators and consumers), can also play a significant role in ensuring safe drinking water supplies. The findings can help BC policymakers understand the major problems of SWSs and their root causes.
在这项研究中,小型水系统(SWSs)服务于不到5000人。本文包括对来自66个SWSs(200个SWSs中的33%)的定性问卷的回答,这些问卷确定了不列颠哥伦比亚省(BC)这些系统中的主要问题。重点关注SWSs的四个相互关联的组成部分(水质问题,处理和消毒,水质监测和水治理挑战),确定的主要问题包括:水监测计划不足;消毒前处理不当;水利基础设施建设资金不足;高浊度;水源水中铁、锰含量;微生物污染,特别是在配电网中;高消毒副产物生成。基于这些发现,作者建议实施适合SWSs的有效水资源政策,并加强政府的资金支持。制定有效管理水资源的长期计划,同时在相关利益攸关方(即市政管理者、经营者和消费者)之间建立强有力的沟通,也可以在确保安全饮用水供应方面发挥重要作用。这些发现可以帮助卑诗省决策者了解SWSs的主要问题及其根源。
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引用次数: 4
Using artificial neural networks to estimate snow water equivalent from snow depth 利用人工神经网络从雪深估算雪水当量
IF 1.7 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2020-07-02 DOI: 10.1080/07011784.2020.1796817
Jean Odry, Marie-Amélie Boucher, Philippe Cantet, S. Lachance‐Cloutier, R. Turcotte, P. St-Louis
Abstract Snow water equivalent (SWE) is among the most important variables in the hydrological modelling of high latitude and mountainous areas. While manual snow surveys can directly provide SWE measurements, they are time consuming and costly, especially compared to automated snow depth measurements. Moreover, SWE is strongly correlated to snow depth. For this reason, several empirical equations relating snow depth to SWE have been proposed. The present study investigates the potential of artificial neural networks for estimating SWE from snow depth and commonly available data, and the proposed method is compared to existing, regression-based methods. An ensemble of multilayer perceptrons is constructed and trained using gridded meteorological variables and a data set of almost 40,000 SWE and depth measurements from the province of Quebec (eastern Canada). Overall, the proposed artificial neural network-based method reached a RMSE of 28 mm and outperforms by 17% a series of empirical equations for estimating the SWE of an independent set of measurement sites. Nevertheless, all the tested methods demonstrated limits to estimate lowest values of snow bulk density.
摘要雪水当量是高纬度山区水文模拟中最重要的变量之一。虽然手动雪测量可以直接提供SWE测量,但它们耗时且成本高昂,尤其是与自动雪深测量相比。此外,SWE与雪深有很强的相关性。因此,已经提出了几个将雪深与SWE相关的经验方程。本研究调查了人工神经网络根据雪深和常用数据估计SWE的潜力,并将所提出的方法与现有的基于回归的方法进行了比较。使用网格气象变量和魁北克省(加拿大东部)近40000个SWE和深度测量的数据集,构建和训练了一个多层感知器集合。总体而言,所提出的基于人工神经网络的方法达到了28的RMSE mm,并且优于一系列用于估计一组独立测量位点的SWE的经验方程17%。尽管如此,所有测试方法都证明了估计雪体积密度最低值的局限性。
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引用次数: 9
Subwatershed-based lake and river routing products for hydrologic and land surface models applied over Canada 用于加拿大水文和地表模型的基于子流域的湖泊和河流路线产品
IF 1.7 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2020-06-12 DOI: 10.1080/07011784.2020.1772116
Ming Han, J. Mai, B. Tolson, J. Craig, É. Gaborit, Hongli Liu, Konhee Lee
Abstract Lakes and reservoirs have critical impacts on hydrological, biogeochemical, and ecological processes, and they should be an essential component of regional-scale hydrological and eco-hydrological models. This is particularly important in Canada with its tens of thousands of lakes. Past large-scale hydrologic modelling efforts tend to either ignore the impacts of all lakes or explicitly simulate the behaviour of only the largest lakes in a watershed. This research derives a suite of Pan-Canadian subwatershed-based lake and river routing GIS products at multiple spatial resolutions (average catchment size ranges from 60 to 306 km2 while the number of lakes explicitly represented ranges from 11,000 to 87,000). These publicly available data products supply all the necessary hydrologic routing model inputs, including network topology, subwatershed geometry, channel characteristics (slope, length, roughness, and geometry), and lake characteristics (area, volume, and outlet description), and were derived primarily from the HydroLAKES, HydroBASINS and HydroSHEDS databases. All Water Survey of Canada streamflow gauging stations are used to define subwatershed outlets in the products. The routing product is used to inform a hydrologic routing model in the Raven hydrologic modelling framework. This is the first demonstration of Raven in routing-only mode. As a case study, the Hudson Bay drainage basin (∼40% of Canada) is simulated using GEM-Surf land surface model gridded runoff and recharge as inputs and includes more than 20,000 river reaches and more than 10,000 lakes explicitly represented at an hourly timestep. Uncalibrated streamflows compare reasonably well to measured streamflows at select locations. The sensitivity of the routing model prediction quality to the discretization level for represented lakes is evaluated and shows, for example, that ignoring multiple smaller lakes can have a significant impact on predictions.
摘要湖泊和水库对水文、生物地球化学和生态过程具有重要影响,它们应该是区域尺度水文和生态水文模型的重要组成部分。这在拥有数以万计湖泊的加拿大尤为重要。过去的大规模水文建模工作往往忽略所有湖泊的影响,或者只明确模拟流域中最大湖泊的行为。这项研究得出了一套基于泛加拿大亚流域的湖泊和河流路线GIS产品,具有多个空间分辨率(平均集水区大小从60到306 km2,而明确表示的湖泊数量在11000至87000之间)。这些公开可用的数据产品提供了所有必要的水文路线模型输入,包括网络拓扑、子流域几何形状、河道特征(坡度、长度、粗糙度和几何形状)和湖泊特征(面积、体积和出水口描述),主要来源于HydroLAKES、HydroBASINS和HydroSHEDS数据库。加拿大水资源调查局的所有流量测量站都用于定义产品中的子流域出水口。路由产品用于为Raven水文建模框架中的水文路由模型提供信息。这是Raven在仅路由模式下的首次演示。作为一项案例研究,哈德逊湾流域(加拿大的40%)使用GEM Surf陆地表面模型网格径流和补给作为输入进行模拟,包括20000多个河段和10000多个湖泊,以每小时一个时间步长明确表示。未校准的流量与选定位置的测量流量相比相当好。评估了路由模型预测质量对所代表湖泊的离散化水平的敏感性,并表明,例如,忽略多个较小的湖泊可能会对预测产生重大影响。
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引用次数: 6
Sensitivity of boundary data in a shallow prairie lake model 浅层草原湖泊模型中边界数据的敏感性
IF 1.7 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2020-05-20 DOI: 10.1080/07011784.2020.1758215
J. Terry, K. Lindenschmidt
Abstract A good water quality model needs sufficient data to characterise the waterbody, yet monitoring resources are often limited. Inadequate boundary data often contribute to model uncertainty and error. In these situations, the same water quality model can also be used to determine where sampling efforts are best concentrated for improving model reliability. A sensitivity analysis using a one-at-a-time approach on a shallow, eutrophic, Prairie reservoir model investigates which boundary conditions are contributing most to variability in the model. The model results show the lake model has greater sensitivity to its catchment processes than to its in-lake processes. Flows are shown to have the greatest influence on model predictions for all water quality variables tested, followed by air temperature. The lake is facing pressure from climate change, and water management decisions. Results indicate defining the water balance accurately will be a crucial factor in future monitoring programs and modelling efforts.
摘要一个好的水质模型需要足够的数据来表征水体,但监测资源往往是有限的。边界数据不足往往会导致模型的不确定性和误差。在这些情况下,同样的水质模型也可以用于确定采样工作最集中的地方,以提高模型的可靠性。对浅层富营养化草原水库模型使用一次一次的方法进行敏感性分析,研究了哪些边界条件对模型可变性的贡献最大。模型结果表明,湖泊模型对其汇水过程的敏感性大于对湖内过程的敏感性。对于所有测试的水质变量,流量对模型预测的影响最大,其次是空气温度。该湖正面临着来自气候变化和水资源管理决策的压力。结果表明,准确定义水平衡将是未来监测计划和建模工作的关键因素。
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引用次数: 1
Current practices in private water well management in Rural Central Alberta 阿尔伯塔省中部农村私人水井管理的现行做法
IF 1.7 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2020-05-13 DOI: 10.1080/07011784.2020.1754294
N. Caffrey, D. Hall, J. Invik, E. Cey, S. Gow, S. Cork, K. Pintar, Jessica Popadynetz, C. Valeo, J. Nakaska, N. Neumann, S. Checkley
Abstract Approximately 238,000 to 450,000 Albertans rely on private water wells for their water needs. In Canada, private well owners are responsible for monitoring and maintaining the quality of their water well, yet studies in Alberta indicate that owners do not undertake regular well maintenance or testing. This survey obtained information regarding farming and water well management practices, and drinking water preferences among private well owners in central Alberta. Questionnaires, water samples and drilling report information collected from 97 respondents between March 2015 and June 2017 were evaluated. Total coliforms were present (TC+) in 20/97 samples. There were no significant associations between well design and construction characteristics and the presence of TC+. Twenty-four and 20 respondents reported undertaking annual bacterial and chemical testing, respectively. Twenty-five respondents indicated their well had been shock chlorinated within the past three years. Concern about contamination (n = 28) was not significantly associated with increased frequency of water quality testing, well maintenance with shock chlorination, or purchasing of bottled water as an alternative drinking water. There has been little change since 2010 in the uptake of free water testing provided by Alberta Health Services. The organoleptic properties of water reported by respondents indicated shock chlorination might benefit a number of premises. Poultry producers are more likely to test their well water for bacterial and chemical contamination on an annual basis due to mandatory requirements stipulated by the poultry industry. There may be potential for a similar mandatory water testing guideline to be implemented for beef producers in Alberta. There is a need for education programs targeting rural well owners. The Working Well program information packages provided by the Government of Alberta provide an excellent source of information for water well owners. This survey indicates that new ways to disseminate this information to a broader audience are required.
大约238,000至450,000艾伯塔省人依靠私人水井满足他们的用水需求。在加拿大,私人井主负责监测和维护其水井的质量,但阿尔伯塔省的研究表明,业主不进行定期的水井维护或测试。这项调查获得了有关农业和水井管理实践的信息,以及阿尔伯塔中部私人水井所有者对饮用水的偏好。对2015年3月至2017年6月期间收集的97名受访者的问卷、水样和钻井报告信息进行了评估。97份样品中有20份存在总大肠菌(TC+)。井的设计和施工特征与TC+的存在之间没有显著的关联。24个和20个受访者分别报告每年进行细菌和化学测试。25名受访者表示,他们的井在过去三年内被电击氯化。对污染的担忧(n = 28)与水质检测频率的增加、用冲击氯化法维护水井或购买瓶装水作为替代饮用水没有显著关联。自2010年以来,艾伯塔省卫生服务局提供的免费水检测的采用情况几乎没有变化。答复者所报告的水的感官特性表明,冲击氯化可能使许多处所受益。由于家禽业规定的强制性要求,家禽生产者更有可能每年对井水进行细菌和化学污染检测。阿尔伯塔省的牛肉生产商可能会实施类似的强制性水检测指南。有必要针对农村井主开展教育项目。艾伯塔省政府提供的工作井方案信息包为水井所有者提供了极好的信息来源。这项调查表明,需要有新的方法向更广泛的受众传播这一信息。
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引用次数: 1
Mid-21st century anthropogenic changes in extreme precipitation and snowpack projections over Newfoundland 21世纪中期纽芬兰极端降水和积雪预估的人为变化
IF 1.7 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2020-05-04 DOI: 10.1080/07011784.2020.1760140
K. Abbasnezhadi, A. Rousseau, S. Bohrn
Abstract Extreme precipitation events, including probable maximum precipitation (PMP) and probable maximum snow accumulation (PMSA) and 1/100 annual exceedance probability (AEP) values for precipitation (P100) and snow accumulation (expressed in snow water equivalent; SWE100) were analyzed over Newfoundland to compute the projected changes from 1971–2000 to 2041–2070. PMP and PMSA of various storm durations were simulated based on the moisture maximization of high efficiency storms. Also, P100 and SWE100 data were calculated based on the frequency analysis of liquid precipitation and snowpack data during each 30-year period. The required meteorological variables, including liquid and solid precipitation, precipitable water content, and snow accumulation, defined over a 50 × 50 km grid, were extracted from an ensemble of six regional climate model simulations provided by the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP). Projections indicated that while PMP and P100 are intensifying in the future period, PMSA and SWE100 are declining. This is the first study which quantifies the impact of climate change on extreme-value characteristics of precipitation in Newfoundland. The results of the study can help stakeholders throughout the province to gain a better understanding of the impact of global warming on extreme meteorological events. Such an understanding is prerequisite to build resiliency and understand the uncertainty related to standard probable maximum flood analysis in the region.
极端降水事件,包括可能最大降水(PMP)和可能最大积雪(PMSA),以及降水(P100)和积雪(以雪水当量表示)的1/100年超额概率(AEP)值;对纽芬兰的SWE100进行了分析,以计算1971-2000年至2041-2070年的预估变化。基于高效风暴的水汽最大化,模拟了不同风暴持续时间的PMP和PMSA。基于每30 a的降水和积雪数据的频率分析,计算了P100和SWE100数据。从北美区域气候变化评估计划(NARCCAP)提供的6个区域气候模式模拟集合中提取所需的气象变量,包括液体和固体降水、可降水量和积雪量,定义在50 × 50 km网格上。预测表明,在未来一段时间内,PMP和P100将增强,PMSA和SWE100将下降。这是第一个量化气候变化对纽芬兰降水极端值特征影响的研究。研究结果可以帮助全省的利益相关者更好地了解全球变暖对极端气象事件的影响。这样的理解是建立弹性和理解该地区标准可能最大洪水分析相关的不确定性的先决条件。
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引用次数: 3
Participatory water management modelling in the Athabasca River Basin 阿萨巴斯卡河流域参与式水管理模型
IF 1.7 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2020-04-02 DOI: 10.1080/07011784.2019.1702103
D. Marcotte, R. MacDonald, M. Nemeth
Abstract Water is often used for a variety of conflicting purposes. Furthermore, as water is a dynamic resource, its equitable allocation across boundaries often poses problems for involved stakeholders. Integrated water resource management (IWRM) aims to promote the coordinated management of water across all boundaries. In theory IWRM is an effective solution to address multiple conflicting uses: however, in practice it is difficult to implement. This paper presents a case-study of an IWRM initiative in which the key component of participatory modelling is played out. Other important processes are integrated as well, such as problem structuring, social learning, and stakeholder engagement. In 2016-2017, approximately 30 stakeholders representing industry, municipalities, environmental NGOs, and federal/provincial government collaborated in order to explore opportunities to achieve sustainable watershed management in the Athabasca River Basin, Alberta Canada. Stress scenarios (including potential changes in climate, land use, and water use) were developed and used to test a series of water management strategies throughout the basin. These strategies were simulated within an integrated modelling tool in a live setting. Through this interactive process, promising strategies for sustainable water management were explored, and a series of recommendations for policy makers were identified. Recommendations include, but are not limited to, identifying areas for land conservation and reclamation priority, establishing in-stream flow need targets, and reducing water navigation limitations in the lower basin. Outlined through this paper, this case-study shows that examples of real-world participatory modelling efforts are in fact possible.
水经常被用于各种相互冲突的目的。此外,由于水是一种动态资源,它的跨界公平分配往往给相关利益相关者带来问题。水资源综合管理(IWRM)旨在促进水资源的跨界协调管理。从理论上讲,综合水资源管理是解决多种相互冲突用途的有效办法,但在实践中难以实施。本文提出了一个综合水资源管理倡议的案例研究,其中参与式建模的关键组成部分发挥了作用。其他重要的过程也被集成,例如问题结构、社会学习和涉众参与。2016-2017年,代表行业、市政当局、环保非政府组织和联邦/省政府的约30个利益相关者合作,探索在加拿大阿尔伯塔省阿萨巴斯卡河流域实现可持续流域管理的机会。开发了压力情景(包括气候、土地利用和水资源利用的潜在变化),并用于测试整个流域的一系列水资源管理策略。这些策略在一个集成的建模工具中进行了模拟。通过这一互动过程,探讨了有希望的可持续水管理战略,并为决策者确定了一系列建议。建议包括,但不限于,确定土地保护和复垦的优先区域,建立流内流量需求目标,减少下游流域的通水限制。通过本文概述,这个案例研究表明,现实世界参与式建模工作的例子实际上是可能的。
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引用次数: 2
New modeling paradigms for assessing future irrigation storage requirements: a case study of the Western irrigation district in Alberta 评估未来灌溉储水需求的新模型范例:艾伯塔省西部灌区的案例研究
IF 1.7 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2020-03-12 DOI: 10.1080/07011784.2020.1737237
Nesa Ilich, E. Davies, Amr Gharib
Abstract River basin planning in Alberta has relied on the use of computer modeling since the early 1980s. Typical modeling studies rely on a single time step operational framework, where water allocation decisions are made for individual model time steps, without taking into account seasonal forecasts or the corresponding demand hedging rules that are often implemented by farming communities. This kind of modeling often leads to premature depletion of reservoir storage during dry years, producing model results that represent worse decisions than those that irrigators would make by using the rule-of-thumb. This paper critically reviews the current modeling practice, and provides insight into possible improvements in modeling through the use of multiple time step optimization in combination with optimal demand hedging, which is found as part of the model solution. A case study focuses on potential storage expansions in the Western Irrigation District of Southern Alberta. Improvements with the multiple time step optimization approach also shed new light on important water management decisions made in the past and the value of a revised definition of irrigation failure criteria. Finally, the selected modeling approach reveals significant potential for capital cost savings related to future infrastructure development, and suggests that investing in digital infrastructure – better forecasting and reservoir management tools – may be more productive than investment in additional physical infrastructure.
摘要自20世纪80年代初以来,阿尔伯塔省的流域规划一直依赖于计算机建模。典型的建模研究依赖于单时间步长操作框架,在该框架中,水分配决策是针对单个模型时间步长做出的,而没有考虑季节性预测或农业社区通常实施的相应需求对冲规则。这种建模通常会导致干旱年份水库蓄水量过早耗尽,产生的模型结果比灌溉者使用经验法则做出的决策更糟糕。本文批判性地回顾了当前的建模实践,并通过使用多时间步长优化与最优需求对冲相结合,深入了解了建模中可能的改进,这是模型解决方案的一部分。案例研究的重点是阿尔伯塔省南部西部灌溉区潜在的蓄水量扩展。多时间步长优化方法的改进也为过去做出的重要水管理决策以及灌溉失效标准修订定义的价值提供了新的线索。最后,选定的建模方法揭示了与未来基础设施发展相关的资本成本节约的巨大潜力,并表明投资于数字基础设施——更好的预测和水库管理工具——可能比投资于额外的物理基础设施更具生产力。
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引用次数: 3
Impact of the spatial density of weather stations on the performance of distributed and lumped hydrological models 气象站的空间密度对分布式和集中水文模型性能的影响
IF 1.7 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2020-02-22 DOI: 10.1080/07011784.2020.1729241
J. Martel, F. Brissette, Annie Poulin
Abstract This study aimed to quantify the ability of distributed and lumped hydrological models to use high-resolution precipitation and temperature data to improve streamflow simulation at watershed outlets. To that end, a 40-year, high-resolution, spatially distributed, meteorological dataset was extracted from a 15-km resolution regional climate model simulation (from the Canadian Regional Climate Model – CRCM v.4.2.4 driven by ERA40 reanalysis). This dataset was used to feed one distributed and four lumped hydrological models. The five models were calibrated on 192 watersheds located in the province of Quebec (Canada) using five different meteorological network densities of pseudo-stations. These densities ranged from one single station (located at the centre of gravity of the watershed) up to the maximum grid density of 1 station per 225 km2 (15 km × 15 km which corresponds to the CRCM spatial resolution). No significant decrease in validation performance for both types of hydrological models was observed when using any of the tested station densities. Similar results were also obtained when investigating the subsets of 54 smaller (≤2,500 km2) and 84 medium-sized (2,500 < area <10,000 km2) watersheds. However, for the 54 larger watersheds (≥10,000 km2), the decrease in performance was statistically significant for the distributed model when using one single station. While all lumped models showed a noticeable drop in performance only when using a single station, the distributed model was the only model to show a gradual decrease in performance as the network density decreased. These results indicate that when dealing with large watersheds, distributed models could benefit up to some extent from a larger meteorological network density. These conclusions are likely to be relevant to Canadian watersheds with similar physiographic characteristics and hydroclimatic conditions as the ones included in the Quebec database that was studied.
摘要本研究旨在量化分布式和集总水文模型利用高分辨率降水和温度数据来改进流域出口流模拟的能力。为此,从一个15公里分辨率的区域气候模式模拟(来自加拿大区域气候模式- CRCM v.4.2.4,由ERA40再分析驱动)中提取了一个40年的空间分布的高分辨率气象数据集。该数据集用于提供一个分布式和四个集总水文模型。在加拿大魁北克省的192个流域上,利用5种不同气象网密度的拟站点对5个模型进行了校正。这些密度范围从单个站点(位于流域重心)到最大网格密度每225平方公里1个站点(15公里× 15公里,对应于CRCM空间分辨率)。当使用任何测试的站点密度时,两种类型的水文模型的验证性能都没有显著下降。在调查54个较小(≤2,500 km2)和84个中型(2,500 <面积<10,000 km2)流域的子集时,也得到了类似的结果。然而,对于54个较大的流域(≥10,000 km2),当使用单个站点时,分布式模型的性能下降具有统计学意义。虽然所有集总模型仅在使用单个站点时表现出明显的性能下降,但分布式模型是唯一一个随着网络密度下降而表现出性能逐渐下降的模型。这些结果表明,当处理大流域时,分布式模式可以在一定程度上受益于较大的气象网络密度。这些结论可能与加拿大流域有关,这些流域的地理特征和水文气候条件与所研究的魁北克数据库中所包括的流域相似。
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引用次数: 5
Climate change impacts on snow and streamflow drought regimes in four ecoregions of British Columbia 气候变化对不列颠哥伦比亚省四个生态区的雪和流干旱状况的影响
IF 1.7 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2020-02-21 DOI: 10.1080/07011784.2021.1960894
Jennifer R. Dierauer, D. Allen, P. Whitfield
Abstract In many regions with seasonal snow cover, summer streamflow is primarily sustained by groundwater that is recharged during the snowmelt period. Therefore, below-normal snowpack (snow drought) may lead to below-normal summer streamflow (streamflow drought). Summer streamflow is important for supplying human needs and sustaining ecosystems. Climate change impacts on snow have been widely studied, but the relationship between snow drought and streamflow drought is not well understood. In this study, a combined investigation of climate change impacts on snow drought and streamflow drought was completed using generic groundwater – surface water models for four headwater catchments in different ecoregions of British Columbia. Results show that, in response to increased precipitation and temperature, the snow drought regime changes substantially for all four catchments. Warm snow droughts, which are caused by above-normal winter temperatures, increase in frequency, and dry snow droughts, which are caused by below-normal winter precipitation, decrease in frequency. The shift toward more frequent and severe temperature-related snow droughts leads to decreased summer streamflow, decreased summer groundwater storage, and longer, more severe summer low flow periods. Moreover, snow droughts propagate into summer streamflow droughts more frequently in the future time periods (2050s, 2080s) as compared to the baseline 1980s period. Thus, warm snow droughts not only become more frequent and severe in the future but also more likely to result in summer streamflow drought conditions.
在许多有季节性积雪的地区,夏季径流主要由地下水维持,在融雪期补给地下水。因此,低于正常的积雪量(雪旱)可能导致低于正常的夏季流量(流旱)。夏季水流对于满足人类需求和维持生态系统至关重要。气候变化对雪的影响已被广泛研究,但雪旱与河流干旱之间的关系尚不清楚。本文采用通用地下水-地表水模型,对不列颠哥伦比亚省不同生态区的4个水源集水区进行了气候变化对雪旱和径流干旱的影响研究。结果表明,随着降水和温度的增加,四个流域的雪旱状况发生了显著变化。暖雪干旱是由于冬季气温高于正常值导致的,频率增加;干雪干旱是由于冬季降水低于正常值导致的,频率减少。向更频繁和严重的与温度有关的雪干旱的转变导致夏季流量减少,夏季地下水储存量减少,夏季低流量期更长,更严重。此外,与20世纪80年代的基准期相比,雪旱在未来时间段(2050年代、2080年代)更频繁地演变为夏季径流干旱。因此,暖雪干旱不仅在未来变得更加频繁和严重,而且更有可能导致夏季河流干旱。
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引用次数: 9
期刊
Canadian Water Resources Journal
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