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A hybrid cyber–physical risk identification method for grid-connected photovoltaic systems 并网光伏系统的混合网络物理风险识别方法
IF 4.8 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-07-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.segan.2024.101490
Maria Fernanda Oliveira Santos , Wilson de Souza Melo Jr. , Alan Oliveira de Sá , Marco Pasetti , Paolo Ferrari

Identifying risks in modern electric power systems is essential, and one of the main difficulties concerns covering the wide range of technologies that permeate its cyber and physical domains. Different risk identification methods have been proposed, but applying them individually does not guarantee coverage of both domains. On the other hand, the simple non-articulated application of a set of existing risk identification methods can lead to an exhaustive and inefficient process. This paper proposes a new Cyber–Physical Risks Identification Method (CPRIM) to comprehensively and efficiently identify risks in electrical power systems. To systematically cover risks ranging from the cyber domain to the physical domain, CPRIM combines in a complimentary and articulated way the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) Cybersecurity Framework, a Risk Factor model, and the HAZOP, establishing a novel hybrid risk identification approach. This work also proposes a method based on Jaccard and overlap indexes to quantitatively assess the complementarity and superposition that may exist when applying different risk identification methods to electrical power systems. The results obtained in a real computer-managed photovoltaic plant indicate that CPRIM can efficiently identify cyber–physical risks, showing a reasonable trade-off between system coverage and redundancy in identified risks.

识别现代电力系统中的风险至关重要,主要困难之一是要涵盖渗透到网络和物理领域的各种技术。目前已经提出了不同的风险识别方法,但单独应用这些方法并不能保证同时覆盖两个领域。另一方面,简单而不明确地应用一套现有的风险识别方法,可能会导致过程枯燥而低效。本文提出了一种新的网络物理风险识别方法(CPRIM),以全面、高效地识别电力系统中的风险。为了系统地涵盖从网络领域到物理领域的风险,CPRIM 以一种互补和衔接的方式结合了美国国家标准与技术研究院 (NIST) 的网络安全框架、风险因素模型和 HAZOP,建立了一种新型的混合风险识别方法。这项工作还提出了一种基于 Jaccard 和重叠指数的方法,用于定量评估将不同风险识别方法应用于电力系统时可能存在的互补性和叠加性。在实际计算机管理的光伏电站中获得的结果表明,CPRIM 可有效识别网络物理风险,在系统覆盖率和已识别风险的冗余度之间显示出合理的权衡。
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引用次数: 0
Optimizing virtual energy sharing in renewable energy communities of residential users for incentives maximization 优化居民用户可再生能源社区中的虚拟能源共享,实现激励最大化
IF 4.8 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-07-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.segan.2024.101492
Marialaura Di Somma , Mohammad Dolatabadi , Alessandro Burgio , Pierluigi Siano , Domenico Cimmino , Nicola Bianco

Renewable energy communities (RECs) are considered a promising tool for putting the citizens at the center of the energy transition, while also promoting self-sufficiency coming from local resources and decarbonization through high penetration of renewables. A key challenge when operating RECs is represented by the number of decision variables to consider depending on the number and type of community participants and distributed technologies, while also considering the associated uncertainties. Moreover, the monetarization of energy shared in the community for benefitting residential users is crucial. The contribution of this paper is to present an innovative stochastic linear programming model for optimizing the energy sharing in RECs to maximize revenues associated with the incentives for the energy shared as established by the Italian regulation. The REC under study consists of a condominium with a PV plant installed on the rooftop, and air conditioning and battery storage systems installed in each apartment. The problem is to find the optimal control strategies for air conditioning systems and batteries with a 15-minute time-step, which maximize the expected revenue from energy sharing while meeting the users’ comfort requirements and preventing users’ bills from increasing. Numerical results demonstrate the effectiveness of the optimization model to maximize the energy shared and the related revenues through the optimal control of installed assets. The combined optimized strategies of both air conditioning and batteries allow for finding the best performance of the REC in terms of maximization of the energy shared. In this latter case, the expected total revenue for users for the energy sharing increases by 59.7 %, 38.7 % and 12.6 % as compared to the baseline case with no optimal control, the case with control of air conditioning only, and the case with control of batteries only, respectively.

可再生能源社区(RECs)被认为是一种很有前途的工具,它可以将公民置于能源转型的中心,同时还可以通过可再生能源的高渗透率促进当地资源的自给自足和去碳化。运营可再生能源中心的一个主要挑战是,根据社区参与者和分布式技术的数量和类型,需要考虑大量决策变量,同时还要考虑相关的不确定性。此外,将社区共享的能源货币化,使居民用户受益也至关重要。本文的贡献在于提出了一个创新的随机线性编程模型,用于优化 REC 中的能源共享,以实现与意大利法规规定的能源共享激励措施相关的收益最大化。所研究的 REC 包括一个公寓,屋顶安装了光伏发电站,每个公寓都安装了空调和电池存储系统。问题是为时间步长为 15 分钟的空调系统和电池找到最佳控制策略,从而在满足用户舒适度要求和防止用户账单增加的同时,最大化能源共享的预期收益。数值结果证明了优化模型的有效性,即通过对已安装资产的优化控制,实现能源共享和相关收益的最大化。空调和电池的组合优化策略使 REC 在能源共享最大化方面达到最佳性能。在后一种情况下,与没有优化控制的基线情况、仅控制空调的情况和仅控制电池的情况相比,用户在能源共享方面的预期总收入分别增加了 59.7%、38.7% 和 12.6%。
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引用次数: 0
Highly-efficient single-level robust transmission expansion planning approach applicable to large-scale renewable energy integration 适用于大规模可再生能源整合的高效单级鲁棒输电扩展规划方法
IF 4.8 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-07-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.segan.2024.101486
X. Zeng , J. Chen , X. Yin , H. Chen , Z. Liang , S. Zhang , B. Tan

Robust transmission expansion planning (RTEP) approaches are crucial for addressing the uncertainty associated with renewable energy sources (RESs). However, existing methods often yield overly conservative solutions and exhibit low computational efficiency, especially when dealing with a large number of RES units. To overcome these limitations, we propose a simplified single-level RTEP framework based on scenarios captured in advance from historical data by searching the vertices of a convex hull. These scenarios, referred to as robust scenarios, are guaranteed to produce robust solutions that are consistent with the traditional two-stage adaptive robust TEP (ARTEP) approach in terms of robustness and optimality. Finally, the speed for solving the single-level model is increased by applying a probability-based method to determine the odds of the robust scenarios being the worst-case scenario. Numerical results obtained for the Garver 6-bus system, the IEEE 118-bus system, and the Polish 2383-bus system demonstrate that the proposed approach saves 91.71 %, 93.39 %, and 98.84 % of the required computational time, respectively, compared to the ARTEP approach.

稳健的输电扩展规划(RTEP)方法对于解决与可再生能源(RES)相关的不确定性至关重要。然而,现有的方法往往会产生过于保守的解决方案,而且计算效率较低,尤其是在处理大量可再生能源设备时。为了克服这些局限性,我们提出了一种简化的单级 RTEP 框架,该框架基于通过搜索凸壳顶点提前从历史数据中捕捉到的情景。这些情景被称为鲁棒情景,可保证产生与传统两阶段自适应鲁棒 RTEP(ARTEP)方法在鲁棒性和最优性方面一致的鲁棒解决方案。最后,通过采用基于概率的方法来确定稳健方案成为最坏情况的概率,从而提高了单层模型的求解速度。针对 Garver 6 总线系统、IEEE 118 总线系统和波兰 2383 总线系统得出的数值结果表明,与 ARTEP 方法相比,建议的方法分别节省了 91.71%、93.39% 和 98.84% 的所需计算时间。
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引用次数: 0
Distributed control for DC microgrids with cyber attacks and constraints: A fault-tolerant model predictive controller 具有网络攻击和约束条件的直流微电网分布式控制:容错模型预测控制器
IF 4.8 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-07-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.segan.2024.101487
Zongkui Xie , Lihua Li , Peng Wen , Liai Gao , Yao Yu , Zhongqiang Wu

Communication security issues pose severe challenges to stability of microgrid system. This paper designs a cooperative control method based on fault-tolerant distributed model predictive control (DMPC) for DC microgrid against possible false information injection (FDI) attacks and communication constraints problems. First, a state variable is defined based on the voltage and current information, thereby deriving a system model of the microgrid under the cyber-physical framework. Then, since a combined uncertainty term consisting of attacks and disturbances exists in the constructed system model, an expanded state observer (ESO) is proposed to observe the uncertainty term. Further, based on the constructed system model and the designed ESO, a fault-tolerant distributed model predictive controller is designed. In the controller, DMPC is utilized to constrain the communication information and ensure the boundedness of the communication state and physical state. Simulation results indicate that the proposed DMPC-based distributed control method can achieve stable voltage regulation and accurate current sharing, and maintain smooth operation even under FDI attack, which verifies the feasibility for the proposed method.

通信安全问题给微电网系统的稳定性带来了严峻挑战。本文设计了一种基于容错分布式模型预测控制(DMPC)的直流微电网协同控制方法,以应对可能出现的虚假信息注入(FDI)攻击和通信限制问题。首先,根据电压和电流信息定义状态变量,从而得出网络物理框架下的微电网系统模型。然后,由于所构建的系统模型中存在由攻击和干扰组成的综合不确定性项,因此提出了一种扩展状态观测器(ESO)来观测不确定性项。然后,基于构建的系统模型和设计的 ESO,设计了一种容错分布式模型预测控制器。在控制器中,利用 DMPC 对通信信息进行约束,确保通信状态和物理状态的约束性。仿真结果表明,所提出的基于 DMPC 的分布式控制方法可以实现稳定的电压调节和精确的电流分担,即使在 FDI 攻击下也能保持平稳运行,这验证了所提出方法的可行性。
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引用次数: 0
Design optimization of mobile vehicle-borne microgrids 移动车载微电网的设计优化
IF 4.8 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-07-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.segan.2024.101480
Saroj Paudel , Quentin De Boever , Jiangfeng Zhang , Beshah Ayalew , Pierluigi Pisu , Matthew Castanier

Interest in isolated microgrids continues to increase as more applications are being explored, such as military bases located in isolated areas, supplying critical infrastructures during emergencies, etc. This paper considers the integration of packaging into the optimal design of a vehicle-borne microgrid suitable for such an application with space limitations. The advantages of this type of microgrid are mobility and the ability to operate while mobile or stationary. Various types of micro-sources are considered to meet multiple loads. To this end, a mixed-integer nonlinear problem is formulated to integrate multiple micro-source sizing and packaging options. The relationship between loads and capital investment is investigated through four different case studies. The case study results show that the proposed optimization framework is highly flexible and effective in finding a design solution for varying operational scenarios. Unlike existing approaches, the proposed method considers packaging constraints in the selection of micro sources ensuring microgrid mobility and rapid deployment, and also identifies a packaging solution for the selected micro sources. A comparative case study showed that the existing approach results in a 20 kW PV favoring renewable sources while the proposed method results in a 10 kW PV prioritizing the packaging and mobility.

随着对更多应用的探索,人们对孤立微电网的兴趣不断增加,例如位于孤立地区的军事基地、在紧急情况下为关键基础设施供电等。本文探讨了如何将封装集成到车载微电网的优化设计中,使其适用于空间有限的此类应用。这种微电网的优点是移动性强,能够在移动或静止状态下运行。我们考虑了各种类型的微源,以满足多种负载。为此,提出了一个混合整数非线性问题,以整合多个微源的大小和封装选项。通过四个不同的案例研究,探讨了负载与资本投资之间的关系。案例研究结果表明,所提出的优化框架非常灵活有效,能够为不同的运行场景找到设计方案。与现有方法不同的是,建议的方法在选择微源时考虑了封装限制,确保了微电网的流动性和快速部署,同时还为选定的微源确定了封装解决方案。一项比较案例研究表明,现有方法的结果是 20 千瓦光伏发电站偏向于可再生能源,而拟议方法的结果是 10 千瓦光伏发电站优先考虑封装和移动性。
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引用次数: 0
Power systems stabilizers online tuning based upon parameters dynamic estimation 基于参数动态估计的电力系统稳定器在线调整
IF 4.8 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-07-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.segan.2024.101481
D. Lauria , F. Mottola , G. Giannuzzi , C. Pisani , S. Tessitore

This paper deals with the tuning of power system stabilizers based upon an estimation procedure properly tailored for online applications. The growth of renewables in modern power systems imposes constant verification of the current operating condition and the effective tuning of power system stabilizer parameters to comply with a satisfactory damping factor of general system behavior. More specifically, an online procedure is proposed for the estimation of the current operating point and the consequent tuning of the parameters of the power system stabilizers. The estimation procedure combines the system’s dynamic response to a probing signal with the available measurements of power and voltage at the generator terminal side. The parameters of the current operating point are then derived through the least squares minimization between the measurement and power deviations. At the aim of the parameter tuning procedure, with respect to the estimated operating point, proper modeling that considers the presence of damper windings within the design methodology is proposed for better describing the dynamic performances. The proposed design procedure can combine both the specifications in the frequency domain of the phase compensation and those relating to the appropriate location of the eigenvalues of the dynamic matrix of the system. In the numerical application, the proposed approach is shown to be very effective in terms of current operating point estimation and consequent tuning of the power system stabilizer parameters in the range of interarea oscillations and local oscillations, thus counteracting the renewed requirements for stability issues in modern power systems.

本文论述了如何根据为在线应用量身定制的估算程序调整电力系统稳定器。现代电力系统中可再生能源的增长要求对当前运行状况进行持续验证,并对电力系统稳定器参数进行有效调整,以符合一般系统行为的令人满意的阻尼系数。更具体地说,我们提出了一种在线程序,用于估算当前运行点,并据此调整电力系统稳定器的参数。该估算程序将系统对探测信号的动态响应与发电机终端侧可用的功率和电压测量值相结合。然后,通过最小二乘法最小化测量值和功率偏差,得出当前运行点的参数。在参数调整过程中,为了更好地描述动态性能,针对估算出的运行点,提出了在设计方法中考虑阻尼绕组存在的适当建模。所提出的设计程序可以将相位补偿频域中的规格和与系统动态矩阵特征值的适当位置有关的规格结合起来。在数值应用中,所提出的方法在当前工作点估算以及随后在区域间振荡和局部振荡范围内调整电力系统稳定器参数方面非常有效,从而应对了现代电力系统对稳定性问题的新要求。
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引用次数: 0
Coordination of medium-voltage distribution networks and microgrids based on an aggregate flexibility region approach 基于总体灵活性区域方法的中压配电网和微电网协调
IF 4.8 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-07-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.segan.2024.101485
Maoyi Zhou , Sheng Chen , Kun Huang , Jiaben Liang , Ming Fu , Guoqiang Sun

The large-scale integration of distributed energy resources (DERs) presents operational challenges for medium-voltage distribution networks (MVDNs) and microgrids (MGs) because the conventional centralized scheduling framework lacks of an effective information exchange mechanism for coordinating the scheduling between MVDNs and MGs while supporting privacy concerns. The present work addresses these issues by leveraging a convex hull-based aggregate flexibility region (AFR) associated with the scheduling capability of massive DERs to coordinate the scheduling between an MVDN and MGs efficiently with very limited information exchange. Specifically, the AFR associated with the DERs in an MG is constructed based on the convex hull fitting method, and coordinated scheduling is facilitated by introducing safety operation constraints for the MVDN based on the AFRs of the MGs. Moreover, the coordination model is transformed into a readily solvable quadratically constrained quadratic programming problem by applying second-order cone transformations. The results of numerical computations applied to an IEEE 33-bus test system demonstrate that the obtained AFRs effectively characterize the flexible scheduling capability of DERs, and the proposed coordinated scheduling mechanism between the MVDN and MGs reduces the network losses and voltage deviations of the MVDN, while preserving information privacy.

分布式能源资源(DERs)的大规模集成给中压配电网(MVDNs)和微电网(MGs)的运行带来了挑战,因为传统的集中式调度框架缺乏有效的信息交换机制,无法协调中压配电网和微电网之间的调度,同时也无法保护隐私。为了解决这些问题,本研究利用与大规模 DER 调度能力相关的基于凸壳的总体灵活性区域 (AFR),在信息交换非常有限的情况下有效协调 MVDN 和 MG 之间的调度。具体来说,基于凸壳拟合方法构建与 MG 中 DER 相关联的 AFR,并根据 MG 的 AFR 为 MVDN 引入安全运行约束,从而促进协调调度。此外,通过应用二阶锥变换,将协调模型转化为易于求解的二次约束二次编程问题。应用于 IEEE 33 总线测试系统的数值计算结果表明,所获得的 AFR 有效地表征了 DERs 的灵活调度能力,所提出的 MVDN 与 MG 之间的协调调度机制可降低 MVDN 的网络损耗和电压偏差,同时保护信息隐私。
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引用次数: 0
A resilience-oriented pre-positioning approach for electric vehicle routing and scheduling in coupled energy and transport sectors 在能源和交通耦合领域采用以弹性为导向的电动汽车路由和调度预定位方法
IF 4.8 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-07-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.segan.2024.101484
Xun Zou, Yi Wang, Goran Strbac

High-impact low-probability (HILP) events have occurred more frequently than before and caused severe damage to conventional power systems. Energy hubs (EHs) consist of various distributed energy resources (DERs) for energy generation, conversion and storage across different sectors. The high energy integration of EH systems makes them more robust under extreme events than traditional power systems. In addition, the large penetration of electric vehicles (EVs) has been witnessed in modern energy systems due to their significant benefits in accelerating transport electrification and reducing carbon emissions. Due to the characteristics of mobility and flexibility, EVs can be utilised as mobile energy resources in coupled energy and transport sectors and shift energy between different regions via effective routing and scheduling behaviours. In this context, this paper proposes a resilient-oriented pre-positioning approach for the routing and scheduling of multiple EVs in a coupled energy-transport system, where the energy system includes multiple EHs across both electricity and heat sectors. To simulate real-world scenarios, uncertainties associated with renewable generation, load profiles, and EV commuting time as well as contingencies related to component failures are incorporated into the proposed pre-positioning approach via stochastic programming. Extensive case studies are carried out based on an EH system including three EHs and five EVs, which illustrate that EVs can coordinate with static DERs in the system and perform energy shifting between different EHs via appropriate routing and scheduling behaviours. Additionally, results demonstrate that the proposed pre-positioning approach can achieve higher resilience level and ensure the supply continuity of critical loads.

高影响低概率(HILP)事件比以往发生得更为频繁,对传统电力系统造成了严重破坏。能源中枢(EH)由各种分布式能源资源(DER)组成,用于不同领域的能源生产、转换和存储。与传统电力系统相比,EH 系统的高能量集成使其在极端事件中更加稳健。此外,由于电动汽车(EV)在加速交通电气化和减少碳排放方面具有显著优势,因此在现代能源系统中的普及率很高。由于电动汽车具有移动性和灵活性的特点,因此可作为移动能源资源用于能源和交通耦合领域,并通过有效的路由和调度行为在不同区域之间转移能源。在此背景下,本文提出了一种以弹性为导向的预定位方法,用于在能源-交通耦合系统中对多辆电动汽车进行路由和调度,其中能源系统包括电力和热力部门的多辆电动汽车。为了模拟真实世界的场景,通过随机编程将与可再生能源发电、负荷曲线和电动汽车通勤时间相关的不确定性以及与组件故障相关的突发事件纳入到所提出的预定位方法中。基于一个包括三个 EH 和五个电动汽车的 EH 系统进行了广泛的案例研究,结果表明电动汽车可以与系统中的静态 DER 相协调,并通过适当的路由和调度行为在不同的 EH 之间进行能量转换。此外,研究结果表明,建议的预定位方法可以实现更高的弹性水平,并确保关键负载的供电连续性。
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引用次数: 0
Detailed modeling of droop-controlled multi-energy systems under unbalanced operation 不平衡运行条件下垂变控制多能源系统的详细建模
IF 4.8 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-07-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.segan.2024.101479
Styliani A. Vomva , Georgios C. Kryonidis , Angelos I. Nousdilis , Georgios C. Christoforidis , Grigoris K. Papagiannis

Considering the residential sector, greenhouse gas emissions can be effectively reduced by the widespread deployment of distributed renewable energy sources (DRESs) in low-voltage (LV) electrical networks (ENs). Through the electrification and the integration of different energy systems, the exploitation of the locally generated renewable energy can be further increased, acting also as an efficient countermeasure to the technical challenges in ENs posed by the intermittent nature of DRESs. This work deals with the modeling of multi-energy systems (MESs) consisting of unbalanced ENs and district heating networks (DHNs), formulated based on existing EN and DHN models. The developed model is enhanced by the incorporation of a thermal droop control scheme into the controllable sources of DHN, i.e., heat pumps (HPs). The validity of the proposed model is assessed via time-series simulations on a MES composed of a benchmark unbalanced LV EN and a real DHN. It is shown that the integrated droop control scheme can act as a means towards overvoltage mitigation, temperature control and reduced MES losses, improving the operational reliability and exploitation of the DRES potential. Therefore, the proposed model could be useful for system operators and decision makers for the efficient planning and operation of MESs.

考虑到住宅部门,在低压电网(ENs)中广泛部署分布式可再生能源(DRESs)可有效减少温室气体排放。通过电气化和不同能源系统的整合,可以进一步提高本地产生的可再生能源的利用率,同时也是应对低压电网中分布式可再生能源的间歇性所带来的技术挑战的有效措施。这项工作涉及多能源系统(MES)的建模,该系统由不平衡的能源网(EN)和区域供热网(DHN)组成,以现有的能源网(EN)和区域供热网(DHN)模型为基础。通过在 DHN 的可控源(即热泵 (HP))中加入热垂控制方案,对所开发的模型进行了改进。通过对由基准不平衡低压 EN 和真实 DHN 组成的 MES 进行时间序列模拟,评估了所建模型的有效性。结果表明,集成的降压控制方案可作为过电压缓解、温度控制和降低 MES 损耗的一种手段,从而提高运行可靠性并挖掘 DRES 的潜力。因此,所提出的模型可为系统运营商和决策者有效规划和运行 MES 提供帮助。
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引用次数: 0
An open data-based model for generating a synthetic low-voltage grid to estimate hosting capacity 用于生成合成低压电网以估算托管能力的开放式数据模型
IF 4.8 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-07-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.segan.2024.101483
Therese Lundblad, Maria Taljegard, Niclas Mattsson, Elias Hartvigsson, Filip Johnsson

This study develops and applies an open data-based reference electricity grid analysis (REGAL) model designed to create a synthetic representation of a low-voltage (LV) grid for a country-size geographic area. The model enables large-scale grid simulation in which new loads, such as electric vehicle charging, can be added to estimate their impacts on the current LV grid. The modeling is carried out in three steps: (1) generation of a synthetic LV grid; (2) addition of residential loads, including electric vehicle charging; and (3) evaluating if the grid capacity is exceeded. The grid is generated by selecting transformers and cables so that the system can fulfill the current demand while meeting national regulations and standards for distribution grids, all at the lowest total cost. This paper presents the results of calibration and validation against real-world data for the predicted electricity demands and synthetic grid generated by the model. Different calibration values were explored, and the accuracy of the estimations of grid capacities was calibrated using proprietary real-world data from grid operators. For a region with multiple grid cells, an average deviation from real-world data of ±10 % was achieved. For an average area of 1 km2, the error was 44.5 %, which means that the model is not suitable for analysis on this geographic level. However, the level of accuracy is deemed sufficient for initial estimations of hosting capacity for larger geographic areas, such as a region or a country, thereby enabling estimations of hosting capacity in new areas that lack publicly accessible grid capacities.

本研究开发并应用了基于开放数据的参考电网分析(REGAL)模型,旨在为一个国家规模的地理区域创建低压电网的合成表示。该模型可进行大规模电网模拟,在模拟过程中可添加电动汽车充电等新负载,以估算其对当前低压电网的影响。建模分三步进行:(1) 生成合成低压电网;(2) 增加住宅负荷,包括电动汽车充电;(3) 评估电网容量是否超限。通过选择变压器和电缆来生成电网,使系统既能满足当前需求,又能符合国家配电网法规和标准,而且总成本最低。本文介绍了根据实际数据对预测的电力需求和模型生成的合成电网进行校准和验证的结果。本文探讨了不同的校准值,并使用电网运营商提供的专有真实数据校准了电网容量估算的准确性。对于具有多个电网单元的区域,与真实世界数据的平均偏差为 ±10%。对于平均 1 平方公里的区域,误差为 44.5%,这意味着该模型不适合在此地理范围内进行分析。不过,该精度水平被认为足以初步估算较大地理区域(如一个地区或一个国家)的托管能力,从而能够估算缺乏可公开获取的网格能力的新地区的托管能力。
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引用次数: 0
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Sustainable Energy Grids & Networks
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