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Agrifood value chain employment and compensation shift with structural transformation 农产品价值链就业与补偿随结构转型而转移
IF 21.9 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-09-10 DOI: 10.1038/s43016-025-01225-9
Jing Yi, Shiyun Jiang, Dianna Tran, Miguel I. Gόmez, Patrick Canning, Jeffrey R. Bloem, Christopher B. Barrett
The traditional structural transformation narrative emphasizes intersectoral labour reallocation out of agriculture, ignoring whether workers exit agrifood value chains or merely migrate within them. Here we decompose multiregional input–output table data into industry- and country-specific annual labour value-added estimates by final consumer market segment, matching them with industry-specific employment data to estimate average worker compensation. Using data covering most of the global economy over 1993–2021, we report ten stylized facts about labour reallocation amid structural transformation. As incomes grow, labour exits primary production while downstream agrifood value chain segments maintain a steady economy-wide employment share—offering jobs that pay better than farm work. Women disproportionately move from primary production to downstream, consumer-facing retail and food service, whereas men migrate to better-paying midstream jobs, increasing gender pay inequality within the value chain. Employment shifts are strongly associated with changes in national per capita income, but not with agricultural total factor productivity growth. The traditional structural transformation narrative emphasizes intersectoral labour reallocation out of agriculture. This study presents ten stylized facts about how employment and compensation evolve within agrifood value chains amid structural transformation, offering insights into post-farmgate dynamics and gender pay inequality.
传统的结构转型叙事强调农业部门间的劳动力再分配,忽视工人是否退出农业食品价值链或仅仅在其中迁移。在这里,我们将多地区投入产出表数据分解为按最终消费者市场细分的行业和国家特定年度劳动力增加值估计值,并将其与行业特定就业数据相匹配,以估计平均工人薪酬。利用涵盖1993-2021年全球大部分经济体的数据,我们报告了结构性转型中劳动力再分配的十个规范化事实。随着收入的增长,劳动力退出初级生产,而下游农业食品价值链环节在整个经济范围内保持稳定的就业份额——提供比农业工作收入更高的工作。女性不成比例地从初级生产转向下游面向消费者的零售和食品服务,而男性则转向收入更高的中游工作,加剧了价值链内的性别薪酬不平等。就业转移与国家人均收入的变化密切相关,但与农业全要素生产率的增长无关。
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引用次数: 0
Upcycling of food waste and food processing by-products into animal feed is not a panacea 将食物垃圾和食品加工副产品升级为动物饲料并不是万灵药
IF 21.9 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-09-10 DOI: 10.1038/s43016-025-01235-7
Upcycling of food waste and food processing by-products into animal feed presents a circular strategy to recycle nutrients for livestock production that would otherwise be lost. Scenario analyses based on an integrated environmental–economic modelling approach demonstrate that this upcycling has asymmetric effects on food security and environmental sustainability.
将食物垃圾和食品加工副产品升级为动物饲料是一种循环战略,可以为牲畜生产回收营养物质,否则这些营养物质将会损失。基于综合环境经济模型方法的情景分析表明,这种升级循环对粮食安全和环境可持续性具有不对称效应。
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引用次数: 0
Ten facts about agri-food value chains reshape our understanding of the food economy 关于农业食品价值链的十个事实重塑了我们对食品经济的理解
IF 21.9 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-09-10 DOI: 10.1038/s43016-025-01220-0
Andrea Cattaneo
As economies develop, farm labour finds better-paid positions across expanding agri-food value chains — reshaping wages and gender roles.
随着经济的发展,农业劳动力在不断扩大的农业食品价值链中找到了收入更高的职位,从而重塑了工资和性别角色。
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引用次数: 0
How our diets drive biodiversity loss 我们的饮食如何导致生物多样性的丧失
IF 21.9 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-09-09 DOI: 10.1038/s43016-025-01221-z
Laura de Baan
Reducing the overconsumption of animal products can strongly reduce biodiversity impacts of diets.
减少动物产品的过度消费可以大大减少饮食对生物多样性的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Financing food systems in times of global disorder 在全球混乱时期为粮食系统融资
IF 21.9 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-09-09 DOI: 10.1038/s43016-025-01232-w
Johan Swinnen
Global development financing is transforming alongside trade and political disruptions. We should focus on creating a more diverse and efficient food finance system, including repurposing public support and leveraging private investments, says Johan Swinnen.
随着贸易和政治动荡,全球发展融资正在发生变化。我们应该把重点放在建立一个更加多样化和高效的粮食融资体系上,包括重新利用公共支持和利用私人投资,Johan Swinnen说。
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引用次数: 0
Food impacts on species extinction risks can vary by three orders of magnitude 粮食对物种灭绝风险的影响可能相差三个数量级
IF 21.9 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-09-09 DOI: 10.1038/s43016-025-01224-w
Thomas S. Ball, Michael Dales, Alison Eyres, Jonathan M. H. Green, Anil Madhavapeddy, David R. Williams, Andrew Balmford
Agriculturally driven habitat degradation and destruction is the biggest threat to global biodiversity. Yet the impact of different foods and where they are produced on species extinction risks, and the mitigation potential of different interventions, remain poorly quantified. Here we link the LIFE biodiversity metric—a high-resolution global layer describing the marginal impact of land use on extinctions of ~30,000 vertebrate species—with food consumption and production data and provenance modelling. Using an opportunity cost framing, we estimate that the impact of producing 1 kg of different food commodities on species extinction risks varies widely both across and within foods, in many cases by more than an order of magnitude. Despite marked differences in per capita impacts across countries, there are consistent patterns that could be leveraged for mitigating harm to biodiversity. In particular, animal products and commodities grown in the tropics are generally much more impactful than staple crops and vegetables. What we eat, as well as where and how it is grown, impacts species extinction risks through agricultural land use. Using a new global biodiversity impact data product, this study estimates how many species extinctions may potentially be caused by the production and consumption of different food types on a country-by-country basis.
农业驱动的栖息地退化和破坏是对全球生物多样性的最大威胁。然而,不同食物及其产地对物种灭绝风险的影响,以及不同干预措施的缓解潜力,仍然缺乏量化。在这里,我们将LIFE生物多样性指标(描述土地利用对约30,000种脊椎动物灭绝的边际影响的高分辨率全球层)与食物消费和生产数据以及来源建模联系起来。利用机会成本框架,我们估计生产1公斤不同粮食商品对物种灭绝风险的影响在不同食品和同一食品之间差异很大,在许多情况下超过一个数量级。尽管各国的人均影响存在显著差异,但可以利用一致的模式来减轻对生物多样性的损害。特别是,在热带地区种植的动物产品和商品通常比主要作物和蔬菜的影响大得多。
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引用次数: 0
Origin and crop type affect the biodiversity pressures of fruits and vegetables 来源和作物类型影响水果和蔬菜的生物多样性压力
IF 21.9 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-08-29 DOI: 10.1038/s43016-025-01230-y
Estimates of the biodiversity pressures associated with fruits and vegetables produced in or imported by the UK, India and South Africa show that there is no ‘best’ fruit or vegetable crop for both biodiversity and human health. Instead, the crop type along with its origin have the greatest effects on biodiversity pressure.
对与英国、印度和南非生产或进口的水果和蔬菜有关的生物多样性压力的估计表明,对生物多样性和人类健康都没有“最好”的水果或蔬菜作物。相反,作物类型及其来源对生物多样性压力的影响最大。
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引用次数: 0
Rebound effects may undermine the benefits of upcycling food waste and food processing by-products as animal feed in China 反弹效应可能会削弱中国将食物垃圾和食品加工副产品作为动物饲料进行升级回收的好处
IF 21.9 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-08-26 DOI: 10.1038/s43016-025-01219-7
Weitong Long, Xueqin Zhu, Hans-Peter Weikard, Oene Oenema, Yong Hou
Upcycling food waste and food processing by-products as animal feed could reduce livestock-related emissions, but rebound effects, where lower feed costs lead to livestock expansion, may diminish these benefits. Here, using an integrated environmental–economic model, we assess the impacts of this upcycling in China’s monogastric livestock production. We find that upcycling increases monogastric livestock production by 23–36% and raises total acidification emissions in China by 2.5–4.0%, while domestically total greenhouse gas emissions decrease by 0.5–1.4% through less waste sent to landfill and incinerators and a contraction in non-food production. This upcycling enhances food security and has substantial knock-on effects beyond the agricultural sectors, through influencing sectoral employment, gross domestic product and household welfare. Although emission taxes could absorb the rebound effects on emissions, they may also negatively impact food security and shift emissions abroad, depending on tax levels. A scenario analysis and integrated environmental–economic model demonstrate that repurposing food waste and food processing by-products for animal feed has asymmetric effects on food security and environment sustainability.
将食物垃圾和食品加工副产品升级为动物饲料可以减少与牲畜有关的排放,但反弹效应,即饲料成本降低导致牲畜扩张,可能会削弱这些效益。本文采用综合环境经济模型,评估了这种升级循环对中国单畜牧生产的影响。研究发现,升级回收使中国单胃牲畜产量提高了23-36%,酸化总排放量提高了2.5-4.0%,而通过减少填埋和焚化的废物以及减少非食品生产,国内温室气体总排放量减少了0.5-1.4%。这种升级利用增强了粮食安全,并通过影响部门就业、国内生产总值和家庭福利,在农业部门之外产生了巨大的连锁效应。虽然排放税可以吸收对排放的反弹效应,但也可能对粮食安全产生负面影响,并将排放转移到国外,具体取决于税收水平。
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引用次数: 0
Biodiversity pressure from fruit and vegetable consumption in the United Kingdom, India and South Africa varies by product and growing location 在英国、印度和南非,水果和蔬菜消费带来的生物多样性压力因产品和种植地点而异
IF 21.9 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-08-25 DOI: 10.1038/s43016-025-01222-y
Abbie S. A. Chapman, Rosemary Green, Genevieve Hadida, Harry Kennard, Tafadzwanashe Mabhaudhi, Pauline Scheelbeek, Carole Dalin
In many countries around the world, fruit and vegetable consumption must increase to improve human health, potentially pressuring local and global biodiversity. Here we use biodiversity-pressure metrics to compare the biodiversity pressures associated with fruits and vegetables consumed in the United Kingdom, India and South Africa. We found that biodiversity pressure for individual crops varies greatly with origin. In all three countries, imported fruits are typically associated with greater pressure than domestically grown fruits. Contrastingly, in India and South Africa, imported vegetables generally have a lower biodiversity pressure than domestically grown vegetables. Oranges, popular in the United Kingdom and South Africa, exert almost three times more biodiversity pressure than bananas—one of the most-consumed fruits in the United Kingdom and India. Our analysis illustrates the quantification of crop-specific biodiversity pressures and provides evidence for the development of more sustainable food systems. Increasing the consumption of specific food groups will be key for human health but might also lead to environmental impact. This study compares the biodiversity pressures associated with fruits and vegetables consumed in the United Kingdom, India and South Africa.
在世界上许多国家,为了改善人类健康,必须增加水果和蔬菜消费,这可能给当地和全球生物多样性带来压力。在这里,我们使用生物多样性压力指标来比较与英国、印度和南非消费的水果和蔬菜相关的生物多样性压力。我们发现单个作物的生物多样性压力因产地而异。在这三个国家,进口水果通常比国产水果面临更大的压力。相比之下,在印度和南非,进口蔬菜的生物多样性压力通常低于国内种植的蔬菜。在英国和南非流行的橙子对生物多样性造成的压力几乎是香蕉的三倍——香蕉是英国和印度消费最多的水果之一。我们的分析说明了作物特定生物多样性压力的量化,并为发展更可持续的粮食系统提供了证据。
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引用次数: 0
Biodiverse diets present co-benefits for greenhouse gas emissions, land use, mortality rates and nutritional adequacy in Europe 在欧洲,生物多样性饮食在温室气体排放、土地使用、死亡率和营养充足性方面具有协同效益。
IF 21.9 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-08-20 DOI: 10.1038/s43016-025-01214-y
Jeroen Berden, Bernadette Chimera, Giles T. Hanley-Cook, Emine Koc Cakmak, Paolo Vineis, Genevieve Nicolas, Guri Skeie, Bernard Srour, Emmanuelle Kesse-Guyot, Mathilde Touvier, Julia Baudry, Mélanie Deschasaux-Tanguy, Justine Berlivet, Yvonne van der Schouw, Kris Murray, Franziska Jannasch, Anne Tjønneland, Cecilie Kyrø, Christina C. Dahm, Daniel Borch Ibsen, Charlotte Le Cornet, Matthias B. Schulze, Lorenzo Mangone, Chloé Marques, Elisabete Weiderpass, Alicia Heath, Gianluca Severi, Claire Cadeau, Ana Jiménez-Zabala, Barbara Sodano, Carlota Castro-Espin, Jesús Castilla, Kostas Tsilidis, María-Dolores Chirlaque, Maria-Jose Sánchez, Paolo Contiero, Salvatore Panico, Verena Katzke, Marc Gunter, Pietro Ferrari, Carl Lachat, Inge Huybrechts
Dietary diversity is vital for public health nutrition, yet the co-benefits of increasing dietary species richness (DSR) on human and environmental health remain unassessed. Here we explore associations between DSR and greenhouse gas emissions, land use, nutrient adequacy and mortality rates among European Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC) study participants. Total DSR was positively associated with probability of adequate nutrient intake diet scores and inversely related to mortality rates; similar results were observed for plant DSR. Animal DSR was inversely associated with probability of adequate nutrient intake diet scores and neutrally associated with mortality rates. Neutral associations for total DSR and positive associations for animal DSR were found with greenhouse gas emissions and land use. Conversely, plant DSR was inversely associated with greenhouse gas emissions and land use. These findings from Europe suggest modest benefits of dietary plant biodiversity for nutrient adequacy and environmental health, with stronger inverse associations with mortality rates, while highlighting the potential adverse environmental impacts of diets rich in animal-sourced foods. An analysis of the EPIC study demonstrates that dietary plant biodiversity presents benefits for human and planetary health, but adverse environmental impacts are associated with dietary animal species richness.
膳食多样性对公共卫生营养至关重要,但增加膳食物种丰富度(DSR)对人类和环境健康的共同效益仍未得到评估。本研究探讨了欧洲癌症与营养调查(EPIC)研究参与者中DSR与温室气体排放、土地利用、营养充足性和死亡率之间的关系。总DSR与营养摄入充足的概率呈正相关,与死亡率呈负相关;在植物DSR中也观察到类似的结果。动物DSR与营养摄入充足的概率呈负相关,与死亡率呈中性相关。总DSR与温室气体排放和土地利用呈正相关,而动物DSR与温室气体排放和土地利用呈正相关。相反,植物DSR与温室气体排放和土地利用呈负相关。来自欧洲的这些研究结果表明,膳食植物生物多样性对营养充足性和环境健康有一定的好处,与死亡率有更强的负相关关系,同时强调了富含动物源性食物的饮食对环境的潜在不利影响。
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