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Holistic food system innovation strategies can close up to 80% of China’s domestic protein gaps while reducing global environmental impacts 整体粮食系统创新战略可弥补中国国内高达 80% 的蛋白质缺口,同时减少对全球环境的影响
IF 23.6 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-09 DOI: 10.1038/s43016-024-01011-z
Hao Zhao, Xiangwen Fan, Zhaohai Bai, Lin Ma, Chao Wang, Petr Havlík, Zhenling Cui, Juraj Balkovic, Mario Herrero, Zhou Shi, Jinfeng Chang
China’s imports of livestock feed, particularly protein-rich feeds, pose challenges to global environmental sustainability. Achieving protein self-sufficiency for food and feed in China without exceeding environmental boundaries requires integrated measures and optimization of China’s food system. Here we propose holistic food system innovation strategies consisting of three components—technological innovation, integrated spatial planning and demand-side options—to reduce protein import dependency and promote global environmental sustainability. We find that food system innovations can close almost 80% of China’s future protein gaps while reducing 57–85% of agricultural import-embodied environmental impacts. Deploying these innovations would also reduce greenhouse gas emissions (22–27%) and people’s harmful exposure to ammonia (73–81%) compared with the baseline scenario in 2050. Technological innovations play a key role in closing protein gaps, while integrated crop–livestock spatial planning is imperative for achieving environmental and health targets. China’s feed imports have a considerable environmental impact globally. This modelling study quantifies China’s potential protein self-sufficiency by simulating farming spatial relocation according to irrigation water and nitrogen surplus, as well as technological innovations and demand-side measures.
中国进口的牲畜饲料,尤其是富含蛋白质的饲料,对全球环境可持续性构成了挑战。要实现中国粮食和饲料中蛋白质的自给自足,同时不超越环境极限,需要采取综合措施并优化中国的粮食系统。在此,我们提出了由技术创新、综合空间规划和需求方选择三部分组成的整体粮食系统创新战略,以减少蛋白质进口依赖,促进全球环境可持续性。我们发现,粮食系统创新可以弥补中国未来近 80% 的蛋白质缺口,同时减少 57-85% 的农业进口所体现的环境影响。与 2050 年的基准情景相比,采用这些创新措施还将减少温室气体排放(22-27%)和人们对氨的有害接触(73-81%)。技术创新在缩小蛋白质差距方面发挥着关键作用,而作物-牲畜综合空间规划则是实现环境和健康目标的当务之急。
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引用次数: 0
Mitigation potential of methane emissions in China’s livestock sector can reach one-third by 2030 at low cost 到 2030 年,中国畜牧业甲烷减排潜力可达到三分之一,且成本低廉
IF 23.6 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-09 DOI: 10.1038/s43016-024-01010-0
Yue Wang, Zhiping Zhu, Hongmin Dong, Xiuming Zhang, Sitong Wang, Baojing Gu
The mitigation of methane (CH4) emissions from livestock production is crucial to China’s carbon neutrality. Here we established a high-spatiotemporal-resolution dataset of the country’s livestock CH4 emissions from 1990 to 2020 using four large-scale national livestock greenhouse gas inventory surveys. We estimate CH4 emissions to be 14.1 ± 2.0 Mt in 2020 and to increase by 13% until 2030 despite CH4 intensity per kg animal protein having decreased by 55% in the past 30 years. Approximately half of the emissions come from 13% of all Chinese counties. The technical CH4 mitigation potential is projected to be 36 ± 8% (4.4–6.9 Mt CH4) in 2030, and reducing food loss and waste could mitigate an additional 1.6 Mt of CH4. Overall, most CH4 mitigation could be achieved by increasing animal productivity and coverage of lagoon storage at carbon prices below US$100 tCO2e−1, being more cost-effective than livestock nitrous oxide mitigation in China. Reducing China’s methane emissions is key to achieving carbon neutrality. Using four national-scale field surveys, a high-resolution dataset of Chinese methane emissions over the period 1990−2020 is compiled and used to estimate past and future emission trajectories while highlighting cost-effective mitigation measures.
减少畜牧业甲烷(CH4)排放对中国实现碳中和至关重要。在此,我们利用四次大规模的全国畜牧业温室气体清单调查,建立了1990年至2020年中国畜牧业甲烷(CH4)排放量的高时空分辨率数据集。我们估计 2020 年的甲烷排放量为 14.1 ± 2.0 兆吨,尽管过去 30 年中每公斤动物蛋白的甲烷浓度下降了 55%,但到 2030 年甲烷排放量仍将增加 13%。约一半的排放量来自中国 13% 的县。预计到 2030 年,CH4 技术减排潜力为 36 ± 8%(440-690 万吨 CH4),而减少食物损失和浪费可额外减排 160 万吨 CH4。总体而言,在碳价格低于 100 吨 CO2e-1 美元的情况下,大部分甲烷减排可通过提高畜牧业生产率和潟湖封存覆盖率来实现,在中国,这比畜牧业氧化亚氮减排更具成本效益。
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引用次数: 0
An ecological reorientation of the Codex Alimentarius Commission could help transform food systems 调整食品法典委员会的生态方向有助于粮食系统的转型
IF 23.6 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-08 DOI: 10.1038/s43016-024-01009-7
Mark Lawrence, Christine Parker, Hope Johnson, Fiona Haines, Monique Boatwright, Tanita Northcott, Phillip Baker
The Codex Alimentarius Commission (Codex) has a substantial influence over the structure and operation of food systems by setting international standards that affect the composition, structure and labelling of food. Despite the dual mandates of Codex to protect public health and ensure fair practices in food trade, food systems are increasingly unhealthy and unsustainable. An ecological reorientation of the decision-making elements that influence how Codex sets food standards—particularly mandates, governance and risk assessment—could help transform food systems towards the UN Sustainable Development Goals. Ahead of the Codex Alimentarius Commission Strategic Plan for 2026–2031, this Perspective proposes changes to three decision-making elements influencing how Codex sets food standards—namely, mandates, governance and risk assessment—so that new standards enable healthy and sustainable food systems.
食品法典委员会(Codex Alimentarius Commission)通过制定影响食品成分、结构和标签的国际标准,对食品系统的结构和运作产生了重大影响。尽管食品法典委员会肩负着保护公众健康和确保食品贸易公平的双重使命,但食品系统却越来越不健康和不可持续。对影响食典委如何制定食品标准的决策要素进行生态调整,特别是任务、管理和风险评估,将有助于改变食品系统,实现联合国可持续发展目标。
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引用次数: 0
Momentum for agroecology in the USA 美国的生态农业发展势头。
IF 23.6 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.1038/s43016-024-01006-w
Theresa W. Ong, Antonio Roman-Alcalá, Estelí Jiménez-Soto, Erin Jackson, Ivette Perfecto, Hannah Duff
Despite decades of resistance in the USA, agroecology is gaining momentum as a catalyst for food systems transformation, calling for coordinated action between science, practice and movement to dismantle the dominant industrial paradigm.
尽管生态农业在美国受到数十年的抵制,但作为粮食系统转型的催化剂,生态农业的发展势头正日益强劲,它呼吁科学、实践和运动之间采取协调行动,以瓦解占主导地位的工业模式。
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引用次数: 0
Healthy dietary patterns are associated with exposure to environmental chemicals in a pregnancy cohort 健康饮食模式与妊娠队列中接触环境化学物质的情况有关。
IF 23.6 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1038/s43016-024-01013-x
Guoqi Yu, Ruijin Lu, Jiaxi Yang, Mohammad L. Rahman, Ling-Jun Li, Dong D. Wang, Qi Sun, Wei Wei Pang, Claire Guivarch, Anna Birukov, Jagteshwar Grewal, Zhen Chen, Cuilin Zhang
Healthy dietary patterns, such as the alternate Mediterranean diet and alternate Healthy Eating Index, benefit cardiometabolic health. However, several food components of these dietary patterns are primary sources of environmental chemicals. Here, using data from a racially and ethnically diverse US cohort, we show that healthy dietary pattern scores were positively associated with plasma chemical exposure in pregnancy, particularly for the alternate Mediterranean diet and alternate Healthy Eating Index with polychlorinated biphenyls and per- and poly-fluoroalkyl substances. The associations appeared stronger among Asian and Pacific Islanders. These findings suggest that optimizing the benefits of a healthy diet requires concerted regulatory efforts aimed at lowering environmental chemical exposure. Data on chemical concentrations in commonly recommended diets are sparse. This study estimates the association between adherence to three dietary patterns considered healthy and exposure to environmental chemicals in a multi-racial pregnancy cohort, underscoring the need for increased regulation and monitoring of environmental contaminants.
健康的饮食模式,如交替地中海饮食和交替健康饮食指数,有益于心脏代谢健康。然而,这些饮食模式中的一些食物成分是环境化学物质的主要来源。在此,我们利用美国种族和民族多样性队列的数据表明,健康饮食模式得分与妊娠期血浆化学物质暴露量呈正相关,尤其是交替地中海饮食和交替健康饮食指数中的多氯联苯和过氟及多氟烷基物质。亚裔和太平洋岛民的相关性似乎更强。这些研究结果表明,要优化健康饮食的益处,需要采取协调一致的监管措施,以降低环境中的化学物质暴露。
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引用次数: 0
Climate adaptation through crop migration requires a nexus perspective for environmental sustainability in the North China Plain 华北平原通过作物迁移进行气候适应,需要从关系角度看待环境可持续性问题
IF 23.6 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-06-28 DOI: 10.1038/s43016-024-01008-8
Weiyi Gu, Guosong Ma, Rui Wang, Laura Scherer, Pan He, Longlong Xia, Yuyao Zhu, Jun Bi, Beibei Liu
Crop migration can moderate the impacts of global warming on crop production, but its feedback on the climate and environment remains unknown. Here we develop an integrated framework to capture the climate impacts and the feedback of adaptation behaviours with the land–water–energy–carbon nexus perspective and identify opportunities to achieve the synergies between climate adaptation and environmental sustainability. We apply the framework to assess wheat and maize migration in the North China Plain and show that adaptation through wheat migration could increase crop production by ~18.5% in the 2050s, but at the cost of disproportional increment in land use (~19.2%), water use (~20.2%), energy use (~19.5%) and carbon emissions (~19.9%). Irrigation and fertilization management are critical mitigation opportunities in the framework, through which wheat migration can be optimized to reduce the climatic and environmental impacts and avoid potential carbon leakage. Our work highlights the sustainable climate adaptation to mitigate negative environmental externalities. This study reveals that wheat migration as a strategy for climate adaptation lacks sustainability in the North China Plain. Irrigation and fertilization management provide mitigation opportunities to reduce negative environmental impacts and avoid carbon leakage.
作物迁移可以减缓全球变暖对作物生产的影响,但其对气候和环境的反馈作用仍是未知数。在此,我们建立了一个综合框架,从土地-水-能源-碳关系的角度来捕捉气候影响和适应行为的反馈,并找出实现气候适应和环境可持续性之间协同作用的机会。我们将该框架应用于评估华北平原的小麦和玉米迁移,结果表明,通过小麦迁移进行适应,可在 2050 年代将作物产量提高约 18.5%,但代价是土地使用(约 19.2%)、用水(约 20.2%)、能源使用(约 19.5%)和碳排放(约 19.9%)的不成比例增长。灌溉和施肥管理是该框架中至关重要的减缓机会,通过这些机会可以优化小麦迁移,从而减少对气候和环境的影响,并避免潜在的碳泄漏。我们的工作强调了可持续的气候适应,以减轻负面的环境外部效应。
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引用次数: 0
Offshore aquaculture greenhouse gas emissions based on ocean net primary productivity 基于海洋净初级生产力的近海水产养殖温室气体排放量
IF 23.6 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-06-21 DOI: 10.1038/s43016-024-01005-x
Damian Leonardo Arévalo-Martínez
Mariculture, or aquaculture in marine coastal environments, can contribute towards projected food demand increases. Greenhouse gas emissions from mariculture, including methane and nitrous oxide, could be 40% lower than emissions from land-based aquaculture.
海水养殖,即在海洋沿岸环境中进行水产养殖,可以为预计的粮食需求增长做出贡献。海水养殖的温室气体排放量(包括甲烷和氧化亚氮)可能比陆地水产养殖的排放量低 40%。
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引用次数: 0
Marine aquaculture can deliver 40% lower carbon footprints than freshwater aquaculture based on feed, energy and biogeochemical cycles 基于饲料、能源和生物地球化学循环,海水养殖的碳足迹可比淡水养殖低 40
IF 23.6 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-06-21 DOI: 10.1038/s43016-024-01004-y
Lu Shen, Lidong Wu, Wei Wei, Yi Yang, Michael J. MacLeod, Jintai Lin, Guodong Song, Junji Yuan, Ping Yang, Lin Wu, Mingwei Li, Minghao Zhuang
Freshwater aquaculture is an increasingly important source of blue foods but produces substantial methane and nitrous oxide emissions. Marine aquaculture, also known as mariculture, is a smaller sector with a large growth potential, but its climate impacts are challenging to accurately quantify. Here we assess the greenhouse gas emissions from mariculture’s aquatic environment in global potentially suitable areas at 10 km resolution on the basis of marine biogeochemical cycles, greenhouse gas measurements from research cruises and satellite-observed net primary productivity. Mariculture’s aquatic emissions intensities are estimated to be 1–6 g CH4 kg−1 carcass weight and 0.05–0.2 g N2O kg−1 carcass weight, >98% and >80% lower than freshwater systems. Using a life-cycle assessment approach, we show that mariculture’s carbon footprints are ~40% lower than those of freshwater aquaculture based on feed, energy use and the aquatic environment emissions. Adoption of mariculture alongside freshwater aquaculture production could offer considerable climate benefits to meet future dietary protein and nutritional needs. Combining observations and biogeochemical theories, mariculture greenhouse gas emissions are estimated in comparison with freshwater aquaculture. Climate-friendly farm designs, species selection and low-density operational practices can mitigate damage to marine ecosystems and avoid carbon loss.
淡水养殖是日益重要的蓝色食品来源,但会产生大量甲烷和氧化亚氮排放。海水养殖(又称海产养殖)是一个规模较小、增长潜力巨大的行业,但其对气候的影响却难以准确量化。在此,我们根据海洋生物地球化学循环、研究考察船的温室气体测量结果以及卫星观测到的净初级生产力,以 10 千米的分辨率评估了全球潜在适宜区域海水养殖水生环境的温室气体排放量。据估计,海水养殖的水生排放强度为 1-6 g CH4 kg-1 体重和 0.05-0.2 g N2O kg-1 体重,分别比淡水系统低 98% 和 80%。我们使用生命周期评估方法表明,根据饲料、能源使用和水生环境排放,海水养殖的碳足迹比淡水养殖低约 40%。在淡水水产养殖生产的同时采用海水养殖可提供可观的气候效益,以满足未来的膳食蛋白质和营养需求。
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引用次数: 0
Food fortification programmes and zinc deficiency 食品营养强化计划与锌缺乏症
IF 23.6 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-06-19 DOI: 10.1038/s43016-024-01003-z
Nicola M. Lowe, Swarnim Gupta
The complex realities of most countries grappling with zinc deficiency pose challenges to the implementation of highly compliant, mandatory, large-scale food fortification programmes.
大多数国家都面临着缺锌的复杂现实,这给实施高度合规的强制性大规模食品营养强化计划带来了挑战。
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引用次数: 0
Mandatory large-scale food fortification programmes can reduce the estimated prevalence of inadequate zinc intake by up to 50% globally 强制性的大规模食品营养强化计划可将全球锌摄入不足的估计发生率降低多达 50
IF 23.6 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-06-19 DOI: 10.1038/s43016-024-00997-w
K. Ryan Wessells, Mari S. Manger, Becky L. Tsang, Kenneth H. Brown, Christine M. McDonald
Large-scale food fortification (LSFF) can increase dietary micronutrient intake and improve micronutrient status. Here we used food balance sheet data from the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations to estimate current country-specific prevalences of inadequate zinc intake. We assessed the potential effects of improving existing LSFF programmes for cereal grains or implementing new programmes in 40 countries where zinc deficiency is a potential public health problem. Accounting for LSFF programmes as currently implemented, 15% of the global population (1.13 billion individuals) is estimated to have inadequate zinc intake. In countries where zinc deficiency is a potential public health problem, the implementation of high-quality mandatory LSFF programmes that include zinc as a fortificant would substantially increase the availability of zinc in the national food supply, reducing the estimated prevalence of inadequate zinc intake by up to 50% globally. Investments in strong LSFF programmes could have a substantial impact on population zinc status. Using food balance sheet data from the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, this study shows that mandatory large-scale food fortification programmes in the 40 countries where zinc deficiency is considered a public health problem could considerably reduce the prevalence of inadequate dietary zinc intake globally.
大规模食品营养强化(LSFF)可以增加膳食中微量营养素的摄入量,改善微量营养素的状况。在此,我们利用联合国粮食及农业组织的食物平衡表数据,估算了目前锌摄入不足的国家流行率。我们评估了在缺锌是潜在公共卫生问题的 40 个国家中,改进现有谷物全食物链计划或实施新计划的潜在影响。根据目前实施的 LSFF 计划,估计全球有 15% 的人口(11.3 亿人)锌摄入量不足。在缺锌有可能成为公共卫生问题的国家,实施将锌作为营养强化剂的高质量强制性LSFF计划,将大大增加国家食品供应中的锌供应量,使全球锌摄入量不足的估计发生率减少多达50%。投资实施强有力的锌强化剂计划可对人口的锌状况产生重大影响。
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引用次数: 0
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Nature food
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