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Nonprofessional Investors Use of Biased Disclosures in Decision Making 非专业投资者在决策中使用有偏见的信息披露
Pub Date : 2018-06-18 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3198868
Hamilton Elkins, G. Entwistle, Regan N. Schmidt
We report the results of an experiment where management discloses in the audited financial statements a firm-specific capital structure that is susceptible to manipulation (i.e., subjective). This disclosure is allowed under current IAS 1 rules. In our study, if used by nonprofessional investor participants, the firm-specific capital structure disclosure will lead to higher firm values than would capital structures commonly determined from the firm’s balance sheet. Our results show that when participants received the disclosure it was used to determine firm value; this was despite the participants recognizing the bias in the disclosure. We also found that when the participants who received the disclosure were cautioned of management’s ability to manipulate the disclosure, the warning had no effect. This finding differs from prior research. Explanatory analysis reveals that the disclosure itself activated participant skepticism removing a mechanism by which cautionary guidance can help protect nonprofessional investors from misleading management disclosures. A mediation analysis reveals that a misleading disclosure impacts investor stock purchasing decisions through investment attractiveness. Our study adds to the disclosure literature and has important implications for investors, standard setters, and auditors.
我们报告了一项实验的结果,在该实验中,管理层在经审计的财务报表中披露了易受操纵(即主观)的公司特定资本结构。根据现行国际会计准则第1号规定,此项披露是允许的。在我们的研究中,如果由非专业投资者参与者使用,公司特定资本结构披露将导致更高的公司价值,而不是通常由公司资产负债表确定的资本结构。我们的研究结果表明,当参与者收到信息披露时,它被用来确定公司价值;尽管参与者意识到了披露中的偏见。我们还发现,当收到信息的参与者被警告管理层有能力操纵信息披露时,警告没有作用。这一发现与之前的研究不同。解释性分析表明,披露本身激活了参与者的怀疑态度,从而消除了一种机制,通过这种机制,警示性指导可以帮助保护非专业投资者免受误导性管理层披露的影响。中介分析表明,误导性信息披露通过投资吸引力影响投资者的股票购买决策。我们的研究增加了披露文献,对投资者、准则制定者和审计师具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Why Do Individuals Not Participate in the Stock Market? 个人为什么不参与股票市场?
Pub Date : 2018-06-14 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2822094
Stephen J. Brown, C. Veld, Y. Veld-Merkoulova
We use a representative survey to study economic and non-economic factors that affect stock market participation. We find that the Perceived Equity Risk Premium (PERP), defined as the difference between the individual’s expected stock market return and her personal opportunity cost of capital, is positively related to stock market participation. A high percentage of non-investors (66%) assert that they will never invest in stocks. This attitude is more likely for individuals who have a lower PERP, are less financially literate, and suffer more from inertia.
本文采用一项具有代表性的调查来研究影响股票市场参与的经济和非经济因素。我们发现,感知股票风险溢价(Perceived Equity Risk Premium, PERP)与股票市场参与度正相关,PERP被定义为个人预期股票市场收益与个人资本机会成本之间的差异。高比例的非投资者(66%)断言他们永远不会投资股票。这种态度更可能出现在那些PERP较低、财务知识较差、更容易受到惰性影响的人身上。
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引用次数: 4
Paradoxes of Happiness: Why People Feel More Comfortable With High Inequalities and High Murder Rates? 幸福的悖论:为什么人们对高不平等和高谋杀率感到更舒服?
Pub Date : 2018-06-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3189030
V. Popov
There is evidence that income and wealth inequalities are positively associated with happiness, as measured by the happiness index, and negatively associated with the suicide rate (that is considered an objective indicator of unhappiness). Moreover, there is some evidence that happiness is also positively linked the murder rate, especially when it goes hand in hand with inequalities. The possible explanation – competitive nature of human beings (a modification of a “big fish in the small pond” story) and perceptions of social justice: not only people enjoy the better than average position more than an even higher, but below the average position, but they also cherish the dream of becoming better than average. Greater equality that undermines the dream of becoming higher than average turns out to be disappointing for many. If murders occur without high income inequalities (i.e. murders are “unjustified”) and/or inequalities exist without high murders (inequalities are not perceived as unfair and do not cause social tension), then happiness is not affected.
有证据表明,收入和财富不平等与幸福指数呈正相关,与自杀率呈负相关(自杀率被认为是不幸福的客观指标)。此外,有证据表明,幸福也与谋杀率呈正相关,尤其是当它与不平等密切相关时。可能的解释是——人类的竞争天性(对“小池塘里的大鱼”故事的修改)和对社会正义的看法:人们不仅享受比平均水平更好的地位,甚至比平均水平更高,但低于平均水平,但他们也珍惜成为比平均水平更好的梦想。更大的平等破坏了成为高于平均水平的梦想,结果令许多人失望。如果谋杀的发生没有高收入不平等(即谋杀是“不合理的”)和/或不平等的存在没有高谋杀(不平等不被认为是不公平的,不会引起社会紧张),那么幸福就不会受到影响。
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引用次数: 0
A Study on the Work-Life Balance Issues Faced by Micro and Small Village Entrepreneurs (MSVEs) in India 印度小微村企业家工作与生活平衡问题研究
Pub Date : 2018-05-23 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3183655
A. Aggarwal
This paper aims at appreciating the need for and relevance of understanding conceptual paradigm of Work-Life Balance, and Rural Entrepreneurs who are conceptualized as Micro and Small Village Entrepreneurs (MSVEs). Enterprises in rural environments are operating in an arena of extreme and rapid change. In India, entrepreneurship has traditionally been considered a prerogative of affluent urban people. However, in tandem with a changing socio-cultural environment and an increase in educational opportunities, people from rural context have started recognizing their inherent talents and business skills. With the help of various governmental and non-governmental agencies, growing numbers of people from small villages and towns in the country are joining the ranks of entrepreneurs. However, in the existing familial and societal setup, such Micro and Small Village Entrepreneurs (MSVEs) are overburdened and find it increasingly difficult to balance their work and life roles. Therefore, the major objective of the present study was to understand and illustrate the work-life balance (WLB) issues faced by such Micro and Small Village Entrepreneurs (MSVEs) of the states of Haryana and Rajasthan in India. In this context, data has been collected by area sampling (cluster-random) paired with semi-structured interviews and a questionnaire. This study revealed that role overload, dependent care issues, quality of health, problems in time management and lack of proper social support are the major factors influencing the WLB of MSVEs entrepreneurs in India. Furthermore, even though the vast majority of the entrepreneurs examined in this study suffer from WLB issues, there are significant differences in the level of WLB issues faced by the various categories of MSVEs entrepreneurs.
本文旨在了解理解工作与生活平衡概念范式的必要性和相关性,以及被概念化为微型和小村庄企业家(MSVEs)的农村企业家。农村环境下的企业是在一个急剧变化的舞台上经营的。在印度,创业传统上被认为是富裕城市人的特权。然而,随着社会文化环境的变化和教育机会的增加,来自农村的人们开始认识到他们固有的才能和商业技能。在各种政府和非政府机构的帮助下,越来越多来自该国小村庄和城镇的人加入了企业家的行列。然而,在现有的家庭和社会结构中,这些小微村企业家负担过重,越来越难以平衡他们的工作和生活角色。因此,本研究的主要目的是了解和说明印度哈里亚纳邦和拉贾斯坦邦的微型和小村庄企业家(MSVEs)所面临的工作与生活平衡(WLB)问题。在这种情况下,数据是通过区域抽样(整群随机)与半结构化访谈和问卷调查相结合收集的。本研究发现,角色超载、受抚养照顾问题、健康质量、时间管理问题和缺乏适当的社会支持是影响印度MSVEs企业家工作生活的主要因素。此外,尽管本研究调查的绝大多数企业家都存在WLB问题,但不同类别的中小微企业企业家所面临的WLB问题水平存在显著差异。
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引用次数: 0
Doing Good vs. Avoiding Bad in Prosocial Choice: A Refined Test and Extension of the Morality Preference Hypothesis 亲社会选择中的行善与避恶:道德偏好假说的精细检验与延伸
Pub Date : 2018-05-08 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3175207
Ben M. Tappin, V. Capraro
Prosociality is fundamental to human social life, and, accordingly, much research has attempted to explain human prosocial behavior. Capraro and Rand (Judgment and Decision Making, 13, 99-111, 2018) recently provided experimental evidence that prosociality in anonymous, one-shot interactions (such as Prisoner’s Dilemma and Dictator Game experiments) is not driven by outcome-based social preferences – as classically assumed – but by a generalized morality preference for “doing the right thing”. Here we argue that the key experiments reported in Capraro and Rand (2018) comprise prominent methodological confounds and open questions that bear on influential psychological theory. Specifically, their design confounds: (i) preferences for efficiency with self-interest; and (ii) preferences for action with preferences for morality. Furthermore, their design fails to dissociate the preference to do “good” from the preference to avoid doing “bad”. We thus designed and conducted a preregistered, refined and extended test of the morality preference hypothesis (N=801). Consistent with this hypothesis, our findings indicate that prosociality in the anonymous, one-shot Dictator Game is driven by preferences for doing the morally right thing. Inconsistent with influential psychological theory, however, our results suggest the preference to do “good” was as potent as the preference to avoid doing “bad” in this case.
亲社会性是人类社会生活的基础,因此,许多研究试图解释人类的亲社会行为。Capraro和Rand (Judgment and Decision Making, 13,99 -111, 2018)最近提供的实验证据表明,匿名、一次性互动(如囚徒困境和独裁者游戏实验)中的亲社会性不是由基于结果的社会偏好驱动的——正如经典假设的那样——而是由“做正确的事”的普遍道德偏好驱动的。在这里,我们认为,在卡普拉罗和兰德(2018)报告的关键实验包括突出的方法混淆和开放性问题,这些问题与有影响力的心理学理论有关。具体来说,它们的设计混淆了:(1)效率偏好与自身利益;(2)行为偏好与道德偏好。此外,他们的设计未能将做“好事”的偏好与避免做“坏事”的偏好分离开来。因此,我们设计并进行了一个预先登记的、完善的和扩展的道德偏好假设的测试(N=801)。与这一假设一致,我们的研究结果表明,匿名、一次性独裁者游戏中的亲社会行为是由做道德上正确的事情的偏好所驱动的。然而,与有影响力的心理学理论不一致的是,我们的结果表明,在这种情况下,做“好事”的偏好与避免做“坏事”的偏好同样有效。
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引用次数: 66
Prospect Dynamic and Loss Dominance 前景动态与损失优势
Pub Date : 2018-05-03 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2804852
Ryoji Sawa, Jiabin Wu
This paper investigates the role of loss-aversion in affecting the long-run equilibria of stochastic evolutionary dynamics. We consider a finite population of loss-averse agents who are repeatedly and randomly matched to play a symmetric two-player normal form game. When an agent revises her strategy, she compares the payoff from each strategy to a reference point. Based on the comparison, she makes a (possibly stochastic) choice. Under the resulting dynamics, called prospect dynamics, risk-dominance is no longer sufficient to guarantee stochastic stability in 2 by 2 coordination games. We propose a stronger concept, loss-dominance: a strategy is loss-dominant if it is both a risk-dominant strategy and a maximin strategy. This concept captures people's psychological needs to avoid not only risks but also losses. In a 2 by 2 coordination game, the state in which all agents play the loss-dominant strategy (if exists) is uniquely stochastically stable under prospect dynamics for any degree of loss-aversion and all types of reference points. We generalize the concept for symmetric two-player normal form games and show that generalized loss-dominance gives a sufficient condition for stochastic stability with loss-averse agents.
本文研究了损失厌恶在影响随机进化动力学的长期均衡中的作用。我们考虑一个有限种群的损失厌恶者,他们被反复和随机匹配来玩一个对称的二人正常博弈。当agent修改策略时,她将每个策略的收益与一个参考点进行比较。基于比较,她做出了一个(可能是随机的)选择。在结果动态下,即前景动态下,风险优势不再足以保证2 × 2协调博弈的随机稳定性。我们提出了一个更强的概念,损失优势:一个战略是损失优势,如果它是风险优势战略和最大化战略。这个概念抓住了人们的心理需求,既要避免风险,也要避免损失。在2 × 2协调博弈中,对于任何程度的损失厌恶和所有类型的参考点,在前景动态下,所有代理都采取损失优势策略(如果存在)的状态是唯一的随机稳定状态。我们推广了对称二人正态对策的概念,并证明了广义损失优势给出了具有损失规避代理的随机稳定性的充分条件。
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引用次数: 4
The Different Roads Not Taken: Considering Dissimilar Alternatives Motivates Goal Persistence 不同的未走的路:考虑不同的选择激励目标坚持
Pub Date : 2018-05-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3448170
Hye-young Kim, Oleg Urminsky
The previously unchosen options that people consider shapes how they interpret what they didchoose. Beyond previous research showing that foregone alternatives influences consumers’experiences of a chosen option, the current research suggests that how consumers mentallyconstrue goal-inconsistent alternatives they could have chosen impacts how they evaluate theirgoal-consistent choice, which will in turn impact their motivation to continue goal-directedbehaviors subsequently. Specifically, we find that when consumers consider having foregonedissimilar (vs. similar) goal-inconsistent alternatives that they could have chosen instead of thegoal-consistent actions they did take, they believe that they have made higher impact on theiractive goals. As a result, they are then more likely to subsequently make goal-consistent choices.However, considering dissimilar (vs. similar) unchosen options only impacts goal perceptionswhen the focal goal is subjectively important. Our findings hold across different types of goals(saving vs. spending: study 1, donating vs. spending: study 2, healthy vs. tasty food: studies 3 to5), and extend to real choices (study 5).
人们考虑的先前未选择的选项决定了他们如何解释自己的选择。除了先前的研究表明,放弃的选择会影响消费者对所选择的选择的体验之外,当前的研究表明,消费者如何在心理上解释他们可能选择的目标不一致的选择会影响他们如何评估他们的目标一致的选择,这反过来又会影响他们随后继续目标导向行为的动机。具体来说,我们发现,当消费者考虑放弃他们本可以选择的不同(vs.相似)目标不一致的替代方案,而不是他们已经采取的目标一致的行动时,他们相信他们对自己的积极目标产生了更大的影响。因此,他们随后更有可能做出目标一致的选择。然而,当焦点目标主观上很重要时,考虑不同(与相似)未选择的选项只会影响目标感知。我们的发现适用于不同类型的目标(储蓄与消费:研究1,捐赠与消费:研究2,健康与美味:研究3至5),并扩展到实际选择(研究5)。
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引用次数: 0
The Influences of Intellectual Stimulation and Inspirational Motivation on the Profitability of Romanian Employees 智力激励与灵感激励对罗马尼亚员工盈利能力的影响
Pub Date : 2018-04-04 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3179040
Cristian–Liviu Vele
The main objective of this article was to identify any valid statistical correlations between two dimensions of transformational leadership, namely inspirational motivation and intellectual stimulation on employee’s profitability. In order to achieve this, a research was conducted on Romanian employees from companies located in the Maramureș County and a number of 98 valid questionnaires were gathered, which were analyzed using the IBM SPSS software. Two research hypotheses were formulated: H1: Intellectual stimulation positively influences employees’ profitability and H2: Inspirational motivation positively influences employees’ profitability. The findings of then research revealed that the participants obtained above average scores in terms of inspirational motivation and intellectual stimulation. Also, a valid statistical correlation was found between intellectual motivation and employees’ profitability, but when referred to the implication of inspirational motivation of profitability, we found out that the correlation between these two variables was not statistically valid. The findings allowed us to conclude that employee’s and consequently organizational profitability can be increased by encouraging people to think in an innovative, creative manner and by supporting them to become an active part in the decision making process.
本文的主要目的是确定变革型领导的两个维度之间的任何有效的统计相关性,即激励动机和对员工盈利能力的智力刺激。为了实现这一目标,研究人员对位于马拉穆雷乌斯县的公司的罗马尼亚员工进行了调查,收集了98份有效问卷,并使用IBM SPSS软件进行了分析。提出两个研究假设:H1:智力激励正向影响员工盈利能力,H2:鼓舞性激励正向影响员工盈利能力。研究结果显示,参与者在激励动机和智力刺激方面的得分高于平均水平。此外,我们发现智力动机与员工盈利能力之间存在有效的统计相关性,但当涉及到盈利能力的激励动机的含义时,我们发现这两个变量之间的相关性不具有统计有效性。研究结果使我们得出结论,通过鼓励人们以创新、创造性的方式思考,并支持他们积极参与决策过程,可以提高员工和组织的盈利能力。
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引用次数: 1
Rising Automation in Sub-Saharan Africa: Harnessing Its Opportunities through Public Policy 撒哈拉以南非洲自动化程度的提高:通过公共政策把握机遇
Pub Date : 2018-04-02 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3154359
Victor Famubode
Sub-Saharan Africa has witnessed technological growth for more than a decade now. Although, it is perceived that, the exponential growth in technology still does not comprehensively address the structural challenges the continent faces. However, there is growing concern in the global scene about rising automation. The advent of such technological innovations pose threats and avail new opportunities. In this paper, technological innovations such as; artificial intelligence, robotics, additive manufacturing, industrial internet, etc. can be deployed to address certain structural imbalances, improve economic performances and solve existing and emerging security issues Africa encounters. In doing so, public policy serves as an instrument to close the existing gaps such technological innovations poses. Also, public policy through formidable public and social institutions can adapt to automation in order to encourage innovation. Moreover, there can be stringencies in making regulatory policies to discourage emerging innovations, this paper gives a road map for “permissionless innovation�? to be at the heart of policymaking, to ensure these technologies serve the right purpose and can spur economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa.
十多年来,撒哈拉以南非洲见证了技术的发展。尽管人们认为,技术的指数级增长仍然不能全面解决非洲大陆面临的结构性挑战。然而,在全球范围内,越来越多的人担心自动化程度的提高。这种技术革新的出现带来了威胁,也带来了新的机会。本文的技术创新如;利用人工智能、机器人技术、增材制造、工业互联网等,解决非洲结构性失衡问题,提高经济效益,解决非洲面临的既有安全问题和新出现的安全问题。在这样做的过程中,公共政策是缩小这种技术创新造成的现有差距的工具。此外,通过强大的公共和社会机构,公共政策可以适应自动化,以鼓励创新。此外,在制定监管政策以阻碍新兴创新方面可能存在严格规定。本文给出了“无许可创新”的路线图。成为决策的核心,确保这些技术服务于正确的目的,并能够刺激撒哈拉以南非洲的经济增长。
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引用次数: 0
On Bayesian Persuasion with Multiple Senders 多发送者贝叶斯说服研究
Pub Date : 2018-04-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2505277
Fei Li, P. Norman
In a multi-sender Bayesian persuasion game, Gentzkow and Kamenica (2012) show that increasing the number of senders cannot decrease the amount of information revealed. They assume: (i) senders reveal information simultaneously, (ii) senders’ information can be arbitrarily correlated, and (iii) senders play pure strategies. This paper shows that these three conditions are also necessary to the result. In sequential persuasion games, the order of moves matters, and we show that adding a sender as a first mover and keeping the order of moves fixed for the other senders cannot result in a loss of information.
在多发送者贝叶斯说服博弈中,Gentzkow和Kamenica(2012)表明,发送者数量的增加并不能减少信息泄露量。他们假设:(i)发送方同时披露信息,(ii)发送方的信息可以任意关联,(iii)发送方纯策略。本文表明,这三个条件也是得到结果的必要条件。在顺序说服博弈中,移动顺序很重要,我们表明,增加一个发送者作为先发者,并保持其他发送者的移动顺序不变,不会导致信息丢失。
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引用次数: 59
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Cognitive Social Science eJournal
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