According to a review of "Central Banks: Monthly Balance Sheets", prepared by the consulting company Yardeni Research, Inc., the assets of the four leading central banks in the world - the US Federal Reserve (FED), the European Central Bank (ECB), the Bank of Japan and the People's Bank of China (PBOC), increased by 4.8 times over the specified period. Consequently, the liabilities of the big four central banks increased by 4.8 times. As it is known, the bulk of the Central Bank's liabilities is money issued by central banks (in the form of cash and deposits, on which commercial banks place their funds). Therefore, the money supply issued by four banks in a quarter of a century has also increased by 4.8 times. The FED was especially distinguished by the fact that it began to sharply increase the issue of money in the midst of the financial crisis of 2008-2009. This was done under the flag of "quantitative easing" (QE). There were three "quantitative easing" programs, the last one ended in 2014. However, when the US declared a "pandemic" and began to impose quarantine restrictions, the Fed's printing press was again launched at full capacity. Now the Fed buys $ 120 billion a month in the securities market ($ 80 billion in US Treasury securities and another $ 40 billion in mortgage securities). Accordingly, the dollar supply is increasing by the same amount every month. The Bank of Japan is on the second place in terms of the growth rate of assets (and money supply). It began to build up assets and money supply earlier than other leading central banks, from the end of the 20th century to the beginning of the 21st century. At the end of February 2021, the picture has changed radically. We see a rapid rise in the value of the indicator at the Bank of Japan, at the turn of 2018-2019. It crossed the 100% bar. Now its assets are equal to 127.4% of GDP. The indicators of the relative level of assets of the Fed and the ECB have grown very much. But the Central Bank of China has reduced the relative value of its assets by about a third. This is both the result of curbing the activity of the Chinese Central Bank and the fact that China has experienced high rates of GDP growth. As for the other three leading central banks, their policy of increasing money supply will continue. The head of the US Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, makes it clear that the US Central Bank, at least until the end of the year, will continue to buy securities in the same volumes (that is, $ 120 billion a month). ECB President Christine Lagarde said in March that the bank would accelerate asset purchases in the coming months under the Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program (PEPP). The volume of this program is 1.85 trillion EUR. In addition, the main ECB repurchase program continues to operate. Other central banks that are not included in the survey by Yardeni Research, Inc. are also pursuing an asset buildup course. Among them are the Bank of England and the Swiss National Bank. Leading
根据咨询公司Yardeni Research, Inc.编制的《央行:月度资产负债表》的回顾,世界四大央行——美联储(FED)、欧洲央行(ECB)、日本银行和中国人民银行(PBOC)的资产在指定时期增加了4.8倍。结果,四大央行的负债增加了4.8倍。众所周知,中央银行的大部分负债是中央银行发行的货币(以现金和存款的形式,商业银行将资金存放在存款上)。因此,四家银行在四分之一世纪里发行的货币供应量也增加了4.8倍。在2008-2009年金融危机期间,美联储开始大幅增加货币发行量,这一点尤为突出。这是在“量化宽松”(QE)的旗帜下完成的。有三次“量化宽松”计划,最后一次于2014年结束。然而,当美国宣布“大流行”并开始实施隔离限制时,美联储的印钞机再次开足了马力。现在,美联储每月在证券市场购买1200亿美元(其中800亿美元是美国国债,另外400亿美元是抵押贷款证券)。因此,美元供应量每月都在以同样的幅度增加。就资产(和货币供应)增长率而言,日本央行(Bank of Japan)排名第二。从20世纪末到21世纪初,它开始比其他主要央行更早地积累资产和货币供应。到2021年2月底,情况发生了根本性的变化。我们看到,在2018-2019年交替之际,日本央行的这一指标的价值迅速上升。它越过了100%的横条。现在它的资产相当于GDP的127.4%。美联储和欧洲央行相对资产水平的指标大幅增长。但中国央行已将其资产的相对价值降低了约三分之一。这既是抑制中国央行活动的结果,也是中国经历了高GDP增长率的事实。至于其他三个主要央行,它们增加货币供应的政策将继续下去。美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔明确表示,至少在今年年底之前,美国央行将继续以同样的规模购买证券(即每月1200亿美元)。欧洲央行行长克里斯蒂娜•拉加德(Christine Lagarde)今年3月表示,欧洲央行将在未来几个月根据流行病紧急购买计划(PEPP)加速资产购买。该计划的规模为1.85万亿欧元。此外,欧洲央行的主要回购计划继续运作。Yardeni Research, Inc.调查中未包括的其他央行也在进行资产积累过程。其中包括英格兰银行和瑞士国家银行。世界主要央行在为失控的货币排放辩护时,将其称为“大流行”。创造的货币供应量越多,这种货币相对于竞争对手货币的汇率就越低。而低估本国货币汇率是增强本国企业国际竞争力的一种手段。然而,这种竞争可能导致竞争对手央行的货币崩溃
{"title":"ANTI-CRISIS POLICY OF THE LEADING CENTRAL BANKS AT THE PRESENT STAGE","authors":"Malkhaz Chikobava","doi":"10.35945/gb.2021.12.019","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.35945/gb.2021.12.019","url":null,"abstract":"According to a review of \"Central Banks: Monthly Balance Sheets\", prepared by the consulting company Yardeni Research, Inc., the assets of the four leading central banks in the world - the US Federal Reserve (FED), the European Central Bank\u0000(ECB), the Bank of Japan and the People's Bank of China (PBOC), increased by 4.8 times over the specified period. Consequently, the liabilities of the big four central banks increased by 4.8 times. As it is known, the bulk of the Central Bank's liabilities is money\u0000issued by central banks (in the form of cash and deposits, on which commercial banks place their funds). Therefore, the money supply issued by four banks in a quarter of a century has also increased by 4.8 times. The FED was especially distinguished by the fact that it began to sharply increase the issue of money in the midst of the\u0000financial crisis of 2008-2009. This was done under the flag of \"quantitative easing\" (QE). There were three \"quantitative easing\" programs, the last one ended in 2014. However, when the US declared a \"pandemic\" and began to impose quarantine restrictions,\u0000the Fed's printing press was again launched at full capacity. Now the Fed buys $ 120 billion a month in the securities market ($ 80 billion in US Treasury securities and another $ 40 billion in mortgage securities). Accordingly, the dollar supply is increasing by the same amount every month. The Bank of Japan is on the second place in terms of the growth rate of assets (and money supply). It began to build up\u0000assets and money supply earlier than other leading central banks, from the end of the 20th century to the beginning of the 21st century. At the end of February 2021, the picture has changed radically. We see a rapid rise in the value of the indicator at the Bank of Japan, at the turn of 2018-2019. It crossed the 100% bar. Now its assets are equal to 127.4% of GDP. The indicators of the relative level of assets of the Fed and the ECB have grown very much. But the Central Bank of China has reduced the relative value of its assets by about a third. This is both the result of curbing the activity of the Chinese Central Bank and the fact that China has experienced high rates of GDP growth.\u0000As for the other three leading central banks, their policy of increasing money supply will continue. The head of the US Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, makes it clear that the US Central Bank, at least until the end of the year, will continue to buy securities in the same volumes (that is, $ 120 billion a month). ECB President Christine Lagarde said in March that the bank would accelerate asset purchases in the coming months under\u0000the Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program (PEPP). The volume of this program is 1.85 trillion EUR. In addition, the main ECB repurchase program continues to operate.\u0000Other central banks that are not included in the survey by Yardeni Research, Inc. are also pursuing an asset buildup course. Among them are the Bank of England and the Swiss National Bank.\u0000Leading","PeriodicalId":272914,"journal":{"name":"Globalization and Business","volume":"11 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-12-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126616444","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
In the 50s and 60s of the twentieth century, when a proper parity was established in the economic rivalry between the capitalist and socialist systems, the economists and sociologists in the bourgeois reformist current formulated the theory of convergence (“convergence” comes from Latin convergere - from con- ‘together’ + vergere - ‘incline’). Convergence implies to merge, to bring two different socio-economic systems (capitalism and communism) together and to create a common techno-industrial system. Convergence involves similarity and integration of some characteristic features of different social and political systems and their structures, which gradually become similar and by means of interrelationship, cooperation and mutual understanding overcome the obstacles and acquire common character and become especially active in the conditions of scientific and technical development, internationalization and globalization until they create a new type, mixed, i.e. hybrid society, which includes the positive features of both capitalism and socialism. The global problems common to all mankind must be solved according to the above said.
{"title":"MODERN ASPECTS OF CONVERGENCE THEORY","authors":"Jemal Kharitonashvili","doi":"10.35945/gb.2021.12.007","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.35945/gb.2021.12.007","url":null,"abstract":"In the 50s and 60s of the twentieth century, when a proper parity was established in the economic rivalry between the capitalist and socialist systems, the economists and sociologists in the bourgeois reformist current formulated the theory of convergence (“convergence” comes from Latin convergere - from con- ‘together’ + vergere - ‘incline’).\u0000Convergence implies to merge, to bring two different socio-economic systems (capitalism and communism) together and to create a common techno-industrial system. Convergence involves similarity and integration of some characteristic features of different social and political systems and their structures, which gradually become similar and by means of interrelationship, cooperation and mutual understanding overcome the obstacles and acquire common character and become especially active in the conditions of scientific and technical development, internationalization and globalization until they create a new type, mixed, i.e. hybrid society, which includes the positive features of both capitalism and socialism. The global problems common to all mankind must be solved according to the above said.","PeriodicalId":272914,"journal":{"name":"Globalization and Business","volume":"12 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-12-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128474709","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
The COVID-19 pandemic has caused an economic crisis in almost every country in the world and has exacerbated economic, social, cultural, legal, educational, and other problems. Artificial intelligence, as the technology of the future, offers new ways to solve the problems of the post-pandemic period, to make technological decisions, to develop business processes using modern innovative advances, to improve management processes, to improve medical services opportunity etc. Artificial intelligence is a field of special interest for researchers, one of the promising technologies of modern digital culture, which seeks not only to understand the nature of intelligence but also to create artificial systems with intelligent behavior. The potential of artificial intelligence can be harnessed in healthcare, agriculture, finance, energy, communications, economics, cybersecurity, and many more. However, artificial intelligence is associated with many risks, such as its use for criminal purposes, loss of jobs, or potential replacement. The main goal of the research is to determine the possibilities of introducing artificial intelligence systems in Georgia in the post-pandemic period, to select innovative approaches to increase economic efficiency, and to find ways to solve the postpandemic socio-economic problem. In the scientific paper, to determine the possibility of using artificial intelligence in the post-pandemic period and indepth analysis of the current situation, both Georgian and foreign scientific literature, studies, and statistical data were studied. Using quantitative-statistical research methods, some conclusions and recommendations were developed based on the sharing of existing practices related to the use the artificial intelligence. Artificial intelligence plays a special role in the process of sustainable development of the post-pandemic economy and maximization of economic prosperity.
{"title":"POSSIBILITIES OF USING ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE IN POST-PANDEMIC GEORGIA","authors":"G. Giguashvili, Tamar Makasarashvili","doi":"10.35945/gb.2021.12.011","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.35945/gb.2021.12.011","url":null,"abstract":"The COVID-19 pandemic has caused an economic crisis in almost every country in the world and has exacerbated economic, social, cultural, legal, educational, and other problems. Artificial intelligence, as the technology of the future, offers\u0000new ways to solve the problems of the post-pandemic period, to make technological decisions, to develop business processes using modern innovative advances, to improve management processes, to improve medical services opportunity etc.\u0000Artificial intelligence is a field of special interest for researchers, one of the promising technologies of modern digital culture, which seeks not only to understand the nature of intelligence but also to create artificial systems with intelligent behavior.\u0000The potential of artificial intelligence can be harnessed in healthcare, agriculture, finance, energy, communications, economics, cybersecurity, and many more. However, artificial intelligence is associated with many risks, such as its use for criminal purposes, loss of jobs, or potential replacement. The main goal of the research is to determine the possibilities of introducing artificial intelligence systems in Georgia in\u0000the post-pandemic period, to select innovative approaches to increase economic efficiency, and to find ways to solve the postpandemic socio-economic problem.\u0000In the scientific paper, to determine the possibility of using artificial intelligence in the post-pandemic period and indepth analysis of the current situation, both Georgian and foreign scientific literature, studies, and statistical data were studied. Using quantitative-statistical research methods, some conclusions and recommendations were developed based on the sharing of existing practices related to the use the artificial intelligence. Artificial intelligence plays a special role in the process of sustainable development of the post-pandemic economy and maximization of economic prosperity.","PeriodicalId":272914,"journal":{"name":"Globalization and Business","volume":"5 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-12-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124139219","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
The main objective of the presented paper is to identify investment opportunities in the apple value chain and also to evaluate the specific apple project using the state programs/projects. The methodological part provides a financial evaluation of a specific business project, taking into account state funding programs/projects. Furthermore, general investment opportunities of apples are analyzed in the paper. In addition, in order to study the investment potential, the investment climate of Georgia and Georgia’s international ratings are discussed. A brief description and analysis of various state support projects are also provided. Additionally, an overview of local apples and the world market is given. Due to the climate conditions and soil types of Georgia, the production of intensive apple varieties has a great potential in the country. Promoting the cultivation of intensive apple orchards through the use of various state supporting programs/projects and full compliance with apple production technologies, Georgia will have potential to increase the average apple yield per hectare. It is important for Georgia to use the existing free trade relations with other countries and to diversify the apple export market, which will further increase its competitiveness. Based on the financial evaluation, key performance indicators are positive and beneficial for the investors, which should give the motivation to the investors to invest in the apple value chain. In the field of agriculture, the continuation of the implementation of various state co-financing projects/programs and their development will give additional motivation to local and foreign investors, which will further increase the competitiveness of Georgian apple value chain.
{"title":"APPLE PRODUCTION INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES IN GEORGIA AND GLOBAL CONTEXT","authors":"Ekaterine Zviadadze, Lasha Zivzivadze LASHA ZIVZIVADZE, Mikheili Kuchava","doi":"10.35945/gb.2021.12.028","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.35945/gb.2021.12.028","url":null,"abstract":"The main objective of the presented paper is to identify investment opportunities in the apple value chain and also to evaluate the specific apple project using the state programs/projects. The methodological part provides a financial evaluation\u0000of a specific business project, taking into account state funding programs/projects. Furthermore, general investment opportunities of apples are analyzed in the paper. In addition, in order to study the investment potential, the investment climate of Georgia\u0000and Georgia’s international ratings are discussed. A brief description and analysis of various state support projects are also provided. Additionally, an overview of local apples and the world market is given. Due to the climate conditions and soil types of Georgia, the production of intensive apple varieties has a great potential in\u0000the country. Promoting the cultivation of intensive apple orchards through the use of various state supporting programs/projects and full compliance with apple production technologies, Georgia will have potential to increase the average apple yield per\u0000hectare. It is important for Georgia to use the existing free trade relations with other countries and to diversify the apple export market, which will further increase its competitiveness. Based on the financial evaluation, key performance indicators are positive and beneficial for the investors, which should give the motivation to the investors to invest in the apple value chain. In the field of agriculture, the continuation of the implementation of various state co-financing projects/programs and their development will give additional motivation to local and foreign investors, which will further increase the competitiveness of Georgian apple value chain.","PeriodicalId":272914,"journal":{"name":"Globalization and Business","volume":"98 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-12-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"116067365","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Entrepreneurial activity has always been a major factor in the socio-economic development of any country in the world. This is especially evident in the discussion of the problems of economic growth, when the efficiency of the functioning of the entrepreneurial sphere within the country clearly determines both the rates of economic growth and the state of the social sphere and the well-being of the people. It is noteworthy that in modern conditions, against the background of the high importance of the formation of the knowledge economy, the innovative aspect of entrepreneurial activity in the context of all business entities is gaining special urgency. The effectiveness of the whole innovation process depends on the effective functioning of knowledge-based entrepreneurship. The aim of the research is to identify the requirements of the entrepreneurial field for human capital skills, to identify the imbalances in the labor market, to determine the compliance of the skills required for the teaching and learning activities of high schools, to identify the existing challenges and to formulate separate recommendations. The research process used the methods of induction, deduction, qualitative, quantitative, comparison, statistical analysis, benchmarking. The processing of existing literature, retrieval of statistical data (including with the direct assistance of the National Statistics Office of Georgia), automatic download of data (so-called scraping) from various employment sites, conducting surveys and in-depth interviews, sorting and quantitative analysis of retrieved data were included in the own research. The consideration of expert opinions is within the research. Research has shown that when considering the skills of entrepreneurs, as a starting point, the entrepreneurial activity in a particular country and the requirements for its development should be considered. It should be noted, however, that the labor market may not be able to meet the needs of the entrepreneurial sector (employers). On the other hand, the perceptions of the entrepreneurial subjects themselves about the required skills are often limited and conditioned by the relatively short-term current perceptions of the modern technologies of the entrepreneurial activity itself. The research and the analysis of the positive practical experience of the developed countries of the world clearly showed that in this regard, close cooperation with universities in the field of entrepreneurship in the form of entrepreneurship training and short-term courses will be effective. The involvement and support of the state in the development and implementation of innovative entrepreneurial policies would also be important here.
{"title":"DEVELOPMENT OF ENTREPRENEURIAL ACTIVITY, LABOR MARKET AND MODERN CHALLENGES OF HIGHER EDUCATION","authors":"Givi Bedianashvili, Quji Bichia, E. Natsvlishvili","doi":"10.35945/gb.2021.12.002","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.35945/gb.2021.12.002","url":null,"abstract":"Entrepreneurial activity has always been a major factor in the socio-economic development of any country in the world. This is especially evident in the discussion of the problems of economic growth, when the efficiency of the functioning of the entrepreneurial sphere within the country clearly determines both the rates of economic growth and the state of the social sphere and the well-being of the people. \u0000It is noteworthy that in modern conditions, against the background of the high importance of the formation of the knowledge economy, the innovative aspect of entrepreneurial activity in the context of all business entities is gaining special urgency.\u0000The effectiveness of the whole innovation process depends on the effective functioning of knowledge-based entrepreneurship.\u0000The aim of the research is to identify the requirements of the entrepreneurial field for human capital skills, to identify the imbalances in the labor market, to determine the compliance of the skills required for the teaching and learning activities of high\u0000schools, to identify the existing challenges and to formulate separate recommendations.\u0000The research process used the methods of induction, deduction, qualitative, quantitative, comparison, statistical analysis,\u0000benchmarking. The processing of existing literature, retrieval of statistical data (including with the direct assistance of the National Statistics Office of Georgia), automatic download of data (so-called scraping) from various employment sites, conducting surveys and in-depth interviews, sorting and quantitative analysis of retrieved data were included in the own research. The consideration of expert opinions is within the research.\u0000\u0000Research has shown that when considering the skills of entrepreneurs, as a starting point, the entrepreneurial activity in a particular country and the requirements for its development should be considered. It should be noted, however, that the labor\u0000market may not be able to meet the needs of the entrepreneurial sector (employers).\u0000On the other hand, the perceptions of the entrepreneurial subjects themselves about the required skills are often limited and conditioned by the relatively short-term current perceptions of the modern technologies of the entrepreneurial activity itself.\u0000The research and the analysis of the positive practical experience of the developed countries of the world clearly showed that in this regard, close cooperation with universities in the field of entrepreneurship in the form of entrepreneurship training\u0000and short-term courses will be effective. The involvement and support of the state in the development and implementation of innovative entrepreneurial policies would also be important here.","PeriodicalId":272914,"journal":{"name":"Globalization and Business","volume":"24 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-12-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"121541872","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
The findings presented in this article are to some extent continuation of the previous studies done by Georgian authors on the economy of Georgia using CGE models. The main instrument used in our research is based on a standard model tailored by Hosoe (Hosoe, 2004) to specifics of open small economy and is its modification of a certain kind. Two types of factors of production are used in this model to produce goods and services: labour and capital. The model also includes four types of commodities and production activities: agriculture, industry, construction and services. Under the necessary assumptions and restrictions, our model is a system composed of 99 equations and as many of endogenous variables. 36 of these equations correspond to the peculiarities of domestic production; 13 of them describe the government behavior; 4 characterize the investment demand function; The other 46 equations represent the behavioral characteristics of government, households, and the external sector. The social accounting matrix corresponding to the state of the economy of Georgia in 2019 is specially constructed for our research. To build it, we used the information contained in the Geostat Supply and Use tables (SUT), separate aggregates of national accounts, balance of payments, consolidated budget, and labor force survey data. Parameters of CGE model are calibrated based on the social accounting matrix. For this purpose, 2019 is considered as a base year and it is assumed that at that time economy of Georgia was in equilibrium. To define units of measurement for commodities and factors of production we set all prices of initial equilibrium to be equal to 1. Using our estimated model we arrange three different scenarios for the Georgian economy to find out what could have happened after implementing certain economic policies under ceteris paribus. According to the first scenario, the initial equilibrium of the economy is determined as of 2019 and the rate of indirect taxes is reduced by 10%. In the second scenario, we assume that the Georgian lari, has depreciated by 15% against the US dollar under ceteris paribus and we examine the expected results of the event. Lastly, in the third scenario, we assume under ceteris paribus that export increases by 20% and determine the aftereffects of export incentives.
{"title":"ESTIMATION OF THE POLICY EFFECTS USING COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL\u0000(THE CASE OF GEORGIA)","authors":"Iuri Ananiashvili, Natia Matsiashvili","doi":"10.35945/gb.2021.12.018","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.35945/gb.2021.12.018","url":null,"abstract":"The findings presented in this article are to some extent continuation of the previous studies done by Georgian authors on the economy of Georgia using CGE models. The main instrument used in our research is based on a standard model tailored by Hosoe (Hosoe, 2004) to specifics of open small economy and is its modification of a certain kind. Two types of factors of production are used in this model to produce goods and services: labour and capital. The model also includes four types of commodities and production activities: agriculture, industry, construction and services. Under the necessary assumptions and restrictions, our model is a system composed of 99 equations and as many of endogenous variables. 36 of these equations\u0000correspond to the peculiarities of domestic production; 13 of them describe the government behavior; 4 characterize the investment demand function; The other 46 equations represent the behavioral characteristics of government, households, and\u0000the external sector. The social accounting matrix corresponding to the state of the economy of Georgia in 2019 is specially constructed for our research. To build it, we used the information contained in the Geostat Supply and Use tables (SUT), separate aggregates of national accounts, balance of payments, consolidated budget, and labor force survey data. Parameters of CGE model are calibrated based on the social accounting matrix. For this purpose, 2019 is considered as a base year and it is assumed that at that time economy of Georgia was in equilibrium. To define units of measurement for commodities and factors of production we set all prices of initial equilibrium to be equal to 1.\u0000Using our estimated model we arrange three different scenarios for the Georgian economy to find out what could have happened after implementing certain economic policies under ceteris paribus.\u0000According to the first scenario, the initial equilibrium of the economy is determined as of 2019 and the rate of indirect taxes is reduced by 10%. In the second scenario, we assume that the Georgian lari, has depreciated by 15% against the US dollar under\u0000ceteris paribus and we examine the expected results of the event. Lastly, in the third scenario, we assume under ceteris paribus that export increases by 20% and determine the aftereffects of export incentives.","PeriodicalId":272914,"journal":{"name":"Globalization and Business","volume":"135 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-12-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"116077548","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}