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Voter coordination in elections: A case for approval voting 选举中的选民协调:批准投票的案例
IF 1.1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2024.04.007
François Durand , Antonin Macé , Matías Núñez

We study how voting rules shape voter coordination in large three-candidate elections. We consider three rules, that differ on the number of candidates that voters can support: Plurality (one), Anti-Plurality (two) and Approval Voting (one or two). We show that the Condorcet winner is always elected at some equilibrium under Approval Voting, and that this rule provides better welfare guarantees than Plurality. We then numerically study a dynamic process of political tâtonnement which delivers rich insights. The Condorcet winner is virtually always elected under Approval Voting, but not under the other rules. The dominance of Approval Voting is robust to several alternative welfare criteria and the introduction of expressive voters.

我们研究了投票规则如何影响大型三候选人选举中的选民协调。我们考虑了三种规则,它们在选民可支持的候选人数量上有所不同:多票制(一票)、反多票制(两票)和赞成票制(一票或两票)。我们证明,在赞成票制下,康德赛特获胜者总能在某种均衡状态下当选,而且该规则比多数票制能提供更好的福利保障。然后,我们用数字研究了一个动态的政治tâtonnement过程,该过程提供了丰富的启示。在赞成票制下,康德赛特获胜者几乎总是当选,而在其他规则下则不然。赞成票的优势在几种其他福利标准和引入表达选民的情况下都很稳健。
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引用次数: 0
The Texas Shoot-Out under Knightian uncertainty 奈特不确定性下的得克萨斯枪战
IF 1.1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2024.04.009
Gerrit Bauch , Frank Riedel

We investigate a widely used mechanism to resolve disputes among business partners, known as Texas Shoot-Out, under Knightian uncertainty. For a non-degenerate range of intermediate valuations, an ambiguity-averse divider truthfully reveals their valuation in equilibrium. As a consequence, the resulting outcome is efficient, in contrast to the Bayesian case. With equal shares, both agents prefer ex-ante to be the chooser and would like to avoid triggering the mechanism in the first place.

在奈特不确定性条件下,我们研究了一种被广泛使用的解决商业伙伴之间争端的机制,即德克萨斯州的 "枪战"(Texas Shoot-Out)。对于非退化范围的中间估值,模棱两可的分割者会在均衡状态下如实揭示自己的估值。因此,结果是有效的,这与贝叶斯情况相反。在份额相等的情况下,两个代理人都倾向于事先成为选择者,并希望从一开始就避免触发该机制。
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引用次数: 0
Winner's effort in multi-battle team contests 多战斗团队竞赛优胜者的努力
IF 1.1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2024.04.006
Stefano Barbieri , Marco Serena

In multi-battle team contests with pairwise battles, how battles are organized—sequentially or (partially) simultaneously—may affect the expected winner's total effort (WE), a natural objective in R&D races, elections, and sports. We focus on noise (modeled via the contest success function's discriminatory power) and across-team heterogeneity, abstracting from player-specific heterogeneity. With sufficient noise, we show that: (1) If teams are symmetric, all temporal structures yield the same WE; and (2) If teams are asymmetric, WE is maximized by a fully simultaneous contest and minimized by a fully sequential one. With no noise, we show that: (3) If teams are symmetric, WE is maximized by a fully sequential contest and minimized by a fully simultaneous one; and (4) If teams are asymmetric, neither the fully sequential nor the fully simultaneous temporal structures maximize or minimize WE. Our results use a novel technique that simplifies temporal structure comparisons: extractions and mergers.

在多对战的团队竞赛中,如何组织战斗--按顺序或(部分)同时--可能会影响预期获胜者的总努力(WE),这是研发竞赛、选举和体育运动中的一个自然目标。我们将重点放在噪声(通过竞赛成功函数的判别能力建模)和跨队异质性上,而不考虑特定球员的异质性。在噪声足够大的情况下,我们证明(1) 如果参赛队是对称的,所有时间结构都会产生相同的 WE;(2) 如果参赛队是不对称的,完全同步的竞赛会使 WE 最大化,而完全顺序的竞赛会使 WE 最小化。在没有噪音的情况下,我们证明(3) 如果参赛队是对称的,则完全顺序竞赛可使 WE 最大化,而完全同步竞赛可使 WE 最小化;以及 (4) 如果参赛队是不对称的,则完全顺序和完全同步的时间结构都不能使 WE 最大化或最小化。我们的结果采用了一种简化时间结构比较的新技术:提取和合并。
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引用次数: 0
Oddness of the number of Nash equilibria: The case of polynomial payoff functions 纳什均衡数的奇异性:多项式报酬函数的情况
IF 1.1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2024.04.005
Philippe Bich , Julien Fixary

In 1971, Wilson (1971) proved that “almost all” finite games have an odd number of mixed Nash equilibria. Since then, several other proofs have been given, but always for mixed extensions of finite games. In this paper, we present a new oddness theorem for large classes of polynomial payoff functions and semi-algebraic sets of strategies. Additionally, we provide some applications to recent models of games on networks such that Patacchini-Zenou's model about juvenile delinquency and conformism (Patacchini and Zenou, 2012), Calvó-Armengol-Patacchini-Zenou's model about social networks in education (Calvó-Armengol et al., 2009), Konig-Liu-Zenou's model about R&D networks (König et al., 2019), Helsley-Zenou's model about social networks and interactions in cities (Helsley and Zenou, 2014).

1971 年,威尔逊(Wilson,1971 年)证明了 "几乎所有 "有限博弈都有奇数个混合纳什均衡。从那时起,又有人给出了其他一些证明,但都是针对有限博弈的混合扩展。在本文中,我们针对多项式报酬函数和半代数策略集的大类提出了一个新的奇数定理。此外,我们还提供了一些近期网络博弈模型的应用,如 Patacchini-Zenou 关于青少年犯罪和守规的模型(Patacchini 和 Zenou,2012 年)、Calvó-Armengol-Patacchini-Zenou 关于教育社交网络的模型(Calvó-Armengol et al、2009)、Konig-Liu-Zenou 的研发网络模型(König et al.
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引用次数: 0
Identity change and economic mobility: Experimental evidence 身份变化与经济流动性:实验证据
IF 1.1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2024.04.004
Manuel Muñoz

I study the impact identity change (assimilation) has on economic mobility. I experimentally assign people to different group identities, majority or minority, before they interact in a social coordination setting. In equilibrium, minority assimilators achieve economic mobility by integrating with the majority. In the experiment, assimilators are discriminated against and cannot integrate, if majority members encounter conformists (non-assimilators) in the minority. Thus, assimilators fail to attain economic mobility because those who maintain the status quo impose negative externalities on those who risk changing it.

我研究的是身份变化(同化)对经济流动性的影响。我通过实验将人们分配到不同的群体身份,多数群体或少数群体,然后再让他们在社会协调环境中互动。在均衡状态下,少数群体同化者通过融入多数群体实现经济流动。在实验中,如果多数成员遇到少数成员中的守成者(非同化者),同化者就会受到歧视,无法融入。因此,同化者无法实现经济流动,因为维持现状的人对冒险改变现状的人施加了负外部性。
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引用次数: 0
Auction design with heterogeneous priors 具有异质先验的拍卖设计
IF 1.1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2024.04.002
Hien Pham , Takuro Yamashita

We consider an auction design problem with private values, where the seller and bidders may enjoy heterogeneous priors about their (possibly correlated) valuations. Each bidder forms an (interim) belief about the others based on his own prior updated by observing his own value. If the seller faces uncertainty about the bidders' priors, even if he knows that the bidders' priors are within any given distance from his, he may find it worst-case optimal to propose a dominant-strategy auction mechanism.

我们考虑的是一个具有私人价值的拍卖设计问题,在这个问题中,卖方和竞标者可能对自己的价值(可能是相关的)有不同的先验。每个投标人都会根据自己的先验值形成对其他人的(临时)信念,而先验值是通过观察自己的价值更新的。如果卖方面临投标人先验的不确定性,即使他知道投标人的先验与他的先验在任何给定的距离之内,他也会发现在最坏的情况下,提出占优策略拍卖机制是最优的。
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引用次数: 0
Maximal Condorcet domains a further progress report 最大康德塞特域的进一步进展报告
IF 1.1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2024.04.001
Clemens Puppe , Arkadii Slinko

Condorcet domains are sets of preference orders such that the majority relation corresponding to any profile of preferences from the domain is acyclic. The best known examples in economics are the single-peaked, the single-crossing, and the group separable domains. We survey the latest developments in the area since Monjardet's magisterial overview (2009), provide some new results and offer two conjectures concerning unsolved problems. The main goal of the presentation is to illuminate the rich internal structure of the class of maximal Condorcet domains. In an appendix, we present the complete classification of all maximal Condorcet domains on four alternatives obtained by Dittrich (2018).

康德赛特域是偏好次序的集合,使得与该域中任何偏好轮廓相对应的多数关系是非循环的。经济学中最著名的例子是单峰域、单交叉域和组可分离域。我们回顾了自蒙雅尔德(Monjardet)的权威综述(2009 年)以来该领域的最新发展,提供了一些新结果,并提出了两个关于未决问题的猜想。介绍的主要目的是阐明最大康德赛域类丰富的内部结构。在附录中,我们介绍了迪特里希(2018)获得的关于四个备选方案的所有最大康德赛域的完整分类。
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引用次数: 0
Contests within and between groups: Theory and experiment 组内和组间竞赛:理论与实验
IF 1.1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2024.03.017
Puja Bhattacharya , Jeevant Rampal

We examine behavior in a two-stage group contest where intra-group contests are followed by an inter-group contest. Rewards accrue to the winning group, with winners of the intra-group contest within that group receiving a greater reward. The model generates a discouragement effect, where losers from the first stage exert less effort in the second stage than winners. In contrast to the related literature, we show that a prior win may be disadvantageous, generating lower profits for first stage winners as compared to losers. We consider exogenous asymmetry between groups arising from a biased group contest success function. Although the asymmetry occurs in the second stage, its effect plays out in the first stage, with higher intra-group conflict in the advantaged group. Experimental results support the qualitative predictions of the model. However, losers from the first stage bear a higher burden of the group contribution than the theoretical prediction.

我们研究了两阶段小组竞赛中的行为,即组内竞赛之后是组间竞赛。获胜组将获得奖励,组内竞赛的获胜者将获得更多奖励。该模型会产生挫败效应,即第一阶段的失败者在第二阶段付出的努力少于获胜者。与相关文献不同的是,我们的研究表明,先前的胜利可能是不利的,与失败者相比,第一阶段的胜利者获得的利润更低。我们考虑了群体竞赛成功函数的偏差所导致的群体间外生不对称性。虽然不对称发生在第二阶段,但其影响在第一阶段就已显现,优势组的组内冲突更高。实验结果支持模型的定性预测。然而,与理论预测相比,第一阶段的失败者承担了更高的群体贡献负担。
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引用次数: 0
Information flows and memory in games 游戏中的信息流和记忆
IF 1.1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2024.03.018
Pierpaolo Battigalli , Nicolò Generoso

The standard extensive-form partitional representation of information in sequential games fails to distinguish the description of the rules of interaction from the description of players' personal traits. Indeed, this representation does not model how the information given to players as per the rules of the game blends with players' cognitive abilities. We propose a representation of sequential games that explicitly describes the flow of information accruing to players rather than the stock of information retained by players encoded in information partitions. Then, we add a game-independent description of players' mnemonic abilities. If players have perfect memory, our flow representation gives rise to information partitions satisfying the perfect recall property, but different combinations of information flows and players' mnemonic abilities may induce the same information partitions. We show how to use our framework to explicitly model a wide array of cognitive limitations and embed them in the representation of game situations.

顺序游戏中信息的标准广义形式分区表示法未能区分对互动规则的描述和对游戏者个人特征的描述。事实上,这种表示法并没有模拟按照游戏规则给予玩家的信息是如何与玩家的认知能力相融合的。我们提出的顺序博弈表征明确描述了博弈者获得的信息流,而不是博弈者保留在信息分区中的信息存量。然后,我们对棋手的记忆能力添加了与博弈无关的描述。如果棋手拥有完美的记忆力,我们的信息流表示法就会产生满足完美回忆特性的信息分区,但信息流和棋手记忆能力的不同组合可能会产生相同的信息分区。我们展示了如何利用我们的框架来明确模拟各种认知限制,并将其嵌入游戏情境的表示中。
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引用次数: 0
Experimental evidence on the relationship between perceived ambiguity and likelihood insensitivity 感知模糊性与可能性不敏感之间关系的实验证据
IF 1.1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2024.03.015
Luca Henkel

Observed individual behavior in the presence of ambiguity shows insufficient responsiveness to changes in subjective likelihoods. Despite being integral to theoretical models and relevant in many domains, evidence on the causes and determining factors of such likelihood insensitive behavior is scarce. This paper investigates the role of beliefs in the form of ambiguity perception – the extent to which a decision-maker has difficulties assigning a single probability to each possible event – as a potential determinant. Using an experiment, I elicit measures of ambiguity perception and likelihood insensitivity and exogenously vary the level of perceived ambiguity. The results provide strong support for a perception-based explanation of likelihood insensitivity. The two measures are highly correlated at the individual level, and exogenously increasing ambiguity perception increases insensitivity, suggesting a causal relationship. In contrast, ambiguity perception is unrelated to ambiguity aversion – the extent to which a decision-maker dislikes the presence of ambiguity.

在模棱两可的情况下,观察到的个人行为对主观可能性的变化反应不足。尽管这种行为与理论模型密不可分,并与许多领域相关,但有关这种对可能性不敏感行为的原因和决定因素的证据却很少。本文研究了模糊感知形式的信念所起的潜在决定性作用--模糊感知是指决策者在多大程度上难以为每种可能事件分配单一概率。通过一项实验,我引出了模糊感知和可能性不敏感性的测量方法,并外生地改变了感知模糊的程度。实验结果为基于感知的可能性不敏感解释提供了有力支持。这两种测量方法在个体水平上高度相关,外生增加模糊感知会增加不敏感性,这表明两者之间存在因果关系。与此相反,模糊感知与模糊厌恶--即决策者不喜欢模糊存在的程度--无关。
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引用次数: 0
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Games and Economic Behavior
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