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Harmful temperatures and consumption expenditure: Evidence from Nigerian households 有害温度和消费支出:来自尼日利亚家庭的证据
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108874
Jubril Animashaun , Lotanna E. Emediegwu , Okiemua T. Okoror , Nneka E. Osadolor
We examine the welfare effects of interannual variation in extreme temperatures on consumption expenditure using nationally representative household survey data from Nigeria. Prior work shows that small-scale farmers attenuate the impact of extreme heat on agricultural productivity through the short-term use of non-traded productive inputs, such as land. However, when investment in tradable inputs, such as drought-resistant technologies, is higher, attenuating weather shocks may reduce the welfare of net food buyers if it increases food prices. Using microdata on consumption expenditure from Nigerian households and controlling for seasonality and other time- and zone-specific trends, we examine the effect of changes in extreme temperature on households’ food expenditure. We find that extreme heat increases per capita consumption expenditure during the dry season but not during the wet season. Compared with households in urban areas, rural households pay more for food during the dry season. We interpret this as a reflection of the higher production costs associated with extreme heat during the dry season. Our results support policies that provide income support to vulnerable households to mitigate the impact of weather shocks in agrarian communities in developing countries.
我们使用尼日利亚具有全国代表性的家庭调查数据来检验极端温度年际变化对消费支出的福利影响。先前的研究表明,小农通过短期使用非贸易生产性投入(如土地)来减弱极端高温对农业生产力的影响。然而,当对可贸易投入物(如抗旱技术)的投资较高时,减弱天气冲击可能会降低粮食净购买者的福利,因为它会提高粮食价格。利用尼日利亚家庭消费支出的微观数据,并控制季节性和其他特定时间和地区的趋势,我们研究了极端温度变化对家庭食品支出的影响。我们发现,极端高温会增加旱季的人均消费支出,而在雨季则不会。与城市家庭相比,农村家庭在旱季的食物支出更高。我们将此解释为旱季极端高温导致生产成本上升的反映。我们的研究结果支持为弱势家庭提供收入支持的政策,以减轻气候冲击对发展中国家农业社区的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Regional aspects of climate change beliefs in the U.S 美国气候变化信仰的区域方面
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108875
Radhika Lahiri, Chamupathy Samaratunga, Annastiina Silvennoinen
We examine U.S. climate change beliefs and their covariates from a regional perspective. We consider six dimensions of these beliefs, measured using survey data on awareness and risk-consciousness regarding global warming and its impact. Using a multi-level mixed-effects regression methodology, we consider the impact of labour market conditions, political affiliations and ideology, and extreme weather conditions on these beliefs, and whether administrative and legislative control of a region by the Republican or Democratic parties influences beliefs. We find that political affiliation and ideology matter more relative to other socioeconomic and demographic variables: Democratic affiliation and liberal views are positively associated with belief in climate change, while Republican affiliation and conservative views show a negative association. At the regional level, we find that while exposure to extreme weather-related events is related to greater belief in climate change and increased personal risk, there is a stronger relation to the beliefs of the political parties that have administrative and legislative ruling power in the region, but not necessarily in consensus-building form. Specifically, a higher percentage of states under Republican control in a region is associated with greater belief in climate change among Democrats, but not among Republicans. Adverse labour market conditions have a strong negative relation to beliefs and can also negatively affect beliefs of Democrats. These results imply that building consensus for sustainable climate mitigation policies may be difficult, and rests critically on favourable economic conditions and effective communication relating to potential economic benefits of such policies.
我们从区域角度考察了美国的气候变化信念及其协变量。我们考虑了这些信念的六个维度,使用关于全球变暖及其影响的意识和风险意识的调查数据进行测量。使用多层次混合效应回归方法,我们考虑了劳动力市场条件、政治派别和意识形态以及极端天气条件对这些信念的影响,以及共和党或民主党对一个地区的行政和立法控制是否会影响信念。我们发现,政治派别和意识形态对其他社会经济和人口变量的影响更大:民主党派别和自由主义观点与气候变化信念呈正相关,而共和党派别和保守观点呈负相关。在区域层面上,我们发现,虽然暴露于极端天气相关事件与对气候变化的更大信念和个人风险增加有关,但与该地区拥有行政和立法执政权力的政党的信念有更强的关系,但不一定是以建立共识的形式。具体来说,在一个地区,共和党控制的州的比例越高,民主党人对气候变化的信念就越强,而共和党人则不然。不利的劳动力市场条件与信念有很强的负相关,也会对民主党的信念产生负面影响。这些结果表明,就可持续气候缓解政策达成共识可能很困难,关键取决于有利的经济条件和与此类政策的潜在经济效益有关的有效沟通。
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引用次数: 0
Normal for whom? Exploring socioeconomic variation in a travel cost analysis of urban shoreline fishing 对谁来说正常?探索城市岸线捕鱼旅行成本分析中的社会经济差异
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108872
Camille Antinori , Tobias Börger , Philip King , Matthew Peterson
A travel cost analysis based on the multivariate Poisson-log normal model explores the varying effects of income and race/ethnicity on visitation to a low-cost urban blue space amenity for angling. Using data from an on-site survey in San Francisco Bay, we estimate a consumer surplus value of $78 per angling visit, which breaks down into $74, $91 and $45 for low, medium and high income brackets, respectively, questioning the normal good assumption for environmental amenities in close proximity to large, diverse urban populations. Further, income effects vary across race/ethnicity groups whose representation at the shoreline contrasts with the local managing municipality, revealing the location’s value as a regional resource. Both observed and contingent behavior information estimated simultaneously within the model shows that a quality change in the form of a reopened pier would almost double visitation, with the largest relative increase among wealthier anglers. The paper contributes to analysis of access and equity in outdoor recreation by illustrating distinct features of urban shoreline fishing, with implications for multilayered coastal governance and competing policy agendas.
一项基于多元泊松对数正态模型的旅行成本分析探讨了收入和种族/民族对低成本城市蓝色空间钓鱼设施访问的不同影响。利用旧金山湾现场调查的数据,我们估计每次垂钓的消费者剩余价值为78美元,在低收入、中等收入和高收入人群中分别为74美元、91美元和45美元,这对靠近大型、多样化城市人口的环境设施的正常良好假设提出了质疑。此外,不同种族/民族的收入影响不同,他们在海岸线的代表与当地管理市政当局形成鲜明对比,揭示了该地点作为区域资源的价值。模型中同时估计的观察和偶然行为信息表明,重新开放码头形式的质量变化几乎会使访问量增加一倍,而富裕的垂钓者的相对增长最大。本文通过阐述城市岸线渔业的独特特征,分析了户外休闲活动的可及性和公平性,并对沿海多层次治理和相互竞争的政策议程产生了影响。
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引用次数: 0
Differentiated vs. homogeneous payments for biodiversity conservation — Microeconomic theory and systematic literature review 生物多样性保护的差异化与同质支付——微观经济学理论与系统文献综述
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108847
Sophie Harzer, Martin F. Quaas
Differentiated payments are discussed as a means to increase allocative efficiency in biodiversity conservation. Yet, homogeneous payments are less demanding in terms of information and foster competition. We set up a microeconomic model to characterize conditions on social biodiversity conservation objectives and conservation costs such that homogeneous payments would implement an efficient allocation of conservation efforts, both for input-based and output-based payments. We show that the efficiency of homogeneous payments depends on assumptions about the social biodiversity benefits. Assumptions on conservation cost are relevant for differentiation of payments only if the regulator strives for price discrimination to minimize conservation payments; for example by means of auctions or tenders. In a systematic review of the literature on payments for biodiversity conservation, we assess to which extent the literature has been imposing such assumptions, and conclude that most studies specify biodiversity objectives such that homogeneous payments would implement efficient biodiversity conservation.
探讨了差别化支付作为提高生物多样性保护配置效率的一种手段。然而,同质支付在信息方面要求较低,并促进竞争。我们建立了一个微观经济模型来描述社会生物多样性保护目标和保护成本的条件,从而使基于投入和基于产出的支付都能实现保护努力的有效分配。我们表明,同质支付的效率取决于对社会生物多样性效益的假设。只有当监管机构努力实行价格歧视以使保护费用最小化时,保护成本的假设才与差别支付有关;例如通过拍卖或投标的方式。在对生物多样性保护支付文献的系统回顾中,我们评估了文献在多大程度上施加了这样的假设,并得出结论,大多数研究都明确了生物多样性目标,这样均匀的支付将实现有效的生物多样性保护。
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引用次数: 0
Low carbon transition's macroeconomic impacts in Latin America 低碳转型对拉丁美洲的宏观经济影响
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108868
Guilherme Magacho , Marco Brancher , Luca Tausch
This paper delves into the complex challenges faced by Latin American countries in transitioning to a low-carbon economy. Using a hybrid multi-regional input- output model, we assess the region's sectoral capabilities in generating foreign exchange, fiscal revenues, employment and wages. Our findings underscore the potential adverse effects of this profound structural change, shedding light on constraints that may emerge, particularly in economies striving to promote structural transformation. The analysis of developing countries’ current exposure and vulnerabilities to the low- carbon transition emphasizes the importance of tailoring effective policies to each unique context. The shift toward a greener economy necessitates significant public investments in green infrastructure, support for emerging industries and technologies, and social protection measures.
Latin American countries, with among the world’s highest per capita GHG emissions, face the imperative of ambitious policies, technological innovation, and international collaboration to facilitate the transition while safe- guarding critical economic and social aspects. Our assessment of Latin American countries’ capacity to adapt to the constraints of the low-carbon transition and its social safety net reveals that the region exhibits high exposure, low productive and technological capabilities, and limited social protection, signifying a high degree of vulnerability to the low- carbon transition.
本文探讨了拉美国家在向低碳经济转型过程中面临的复杂挑战。我们采用多地区混合投入产出模型,评估了该地区在创造外汇、财政收入、就业和工资方面的部门能力。我们的研究结果强调了这种深刻的结构性变化的潜在不利影响,揭示了可能出现的制约因素,特别是在努力促进结构转型的经济体中。对发展中国家目前面临的低碳转型风险和脆弱性的分析强调了根据每一独特情况制定有效政策的重要性。向绿色经济的转变需要对绿色基础设施进行大量公共投资,支持新兴产业和技术,并采取社会保护措施。拉丁美洲国家是世界上人均温室气体排放量最高的国家之一,它们迫切需要雄心勃勃的政策、技术创新和国际合作,以促进转型,同时保护关键的经济和社会方面。我们对拉丁美洲国家适应低碳转型及其社会安全网约束的能力的评估表明,该地区暴露程度高,生产和技术能力低,社会保护有限,表明该地区在低碳转型中具有高度脆弱性。
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引用次数: 0
Identifying leverage points in the social housing system: Housing associations on the path towards degrowth? 确定社会住房制度的杠杆点:住房协会走向去增长的道路?
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108841
Anna Pagani , Al Walker , Alex Macmillan , Arfenia Nita , Michael Davies , Nici Zimmermann
Conceived as a publicly-funded means of providing affordable, secure homes, social housing has historically been integral to growth-driven economies. With the gradual retrenchment of welfare policies, the sector continues facing mounting tensions between market imperatives and its social mission—challenges further compounded by the climate crisis. Degrowth proposes an emancipation from a growth-oriented system to reconcile socio-ecological goals; however, the compatibility of a degrowth agenda with that of social housing providers is underexplored. We investigated social housing providers' perceptions of the interventions needed to address the system structures that undermine social housing management and provision—such as declining housing quality, demolition, disinvestment in physical and social infrastructure, and lack of tenant representation—and explored their potential to catalyse the transformational change envisioned by degrowth. In a workshop with representatives of four London-based housing associations, we used participatory system dynamics (SD) to identify systemic interventions, and discuss their feasibility, impact, and implementation barriers. We then bridged systems thinking and degrowth frameworks to explore the kinds of transformation these interventions may enact, and their synergies with approaches to creating degrowth-oriented value. Approaches such as ‘Equalising inequalities’ and ‘Shrinking, slowing, and extending resource cycles’ were more frequently linked to interventions at shallower leverage points in the system. Conversely, most interventions associated with ‘Democratic, purpose-driven, and transparent governance’ and ‘Overcoming economic growth dynamics’ targeted the deepest type of leverage points in the system. Our findings demonstrate the value of SD in helping stakeholders formulate interventions addressing symptoms and root causes of systemic issues arising from growth-oriented structures, offering guidance for future research and practice.
作为一种公共资助的提供负担得起的、安全的住房的方式,社会住房历来是增长驱动型经济的组成部分。随着福利政策的逐步紧缩,该行业继续面临市场需求与其社会使命之间日益紧张的关系,气候危机进一步加剧了这一挑战。去增长提出了从以增长为导向的体系中解放出来,以调和社会生态目标;然而,去增长议程与社会住房提供者议程的兼容性尚未得到充分探讨。我们调查了社会住房提供者对解决破坏社会住房管理和供应的系统结构所需的干预措施的看法,例如住房质量下降,拆迁,对物理和社会基础设施的投资减少,以及缺乏租户代表,并探索了它们催化去增长所设想的转型变革的潜力。在与四个伦敦住房协会代表的研讨会上,我们使用参与式系统动力学(SD)来确定系统干预措施,并讨论其可行性、影响和实施障碍。然后,我们将系统思维和去增长框架结合起来,探索这些干预措施可能实施的转型类型,以及它们与创造以去增长为导向的价值的方法的协同作用。“平衡不平等”和“缩小、减缓和延长资源周期”等方法更频繁地与系统中较浅杠杆点的干预措施联系在一起。相反,大多数与“民主、目的驱动和透明治理”和“克服经济增长动力”相关的干预措施针对的是体系中最深层的杠杆点。我们的研究结果表明,可持续发展的价值在于帮助利益相关者制定干预措施,解决由增长导向的结构引起的系统性问题的症状和根源,为未来的研究和实践提供指导。
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引用次数: 0
The double dividend: Fact or fiction? Evidence from the European Union 双重红利:事实还是虚构?来自欧盟的证据
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108851
Vít Ješina, Markéta Arltová
The public often considers environmental protection as detrimental to the economy. Our paper aims to contribute to this debate by examining the reality of the theory of double dividend on sixteen years (2008–2023) of historic European data. Using auto-regressive distributive lag (ARDL) models, we analyze indicators related to environmental performance, economy and taxation in order to verify the individual dividends as well as the revenue-recycling effect. Six models, each in three variations for groups of the original, the new and all member states, provide differing results. The double-dividend theory is wholly proven only for the original member states. The new member states showed conflicting results in the environmental dividend, and while the economic one was seemingly proven, the revenue-recycling effect was not. The same applies to the pooled group, except the revenue-recycling effect was also conflicting. The results thus show that some European states successfully turned the theory into reality, and others thus might have a chance to do the same.
公众通常认为环境保护对经济有害。我们的论文旨在通过研究欧洲历史数据的十六年(2008-2023)双重股息理论的现实,为这场辩论做出贡献。利用自回归分配滞后(ARDL)模型,我们分析了环境绩效、经济和税收相关指标,以验证个人红利和收入循环效应。六种模型提供了不同的结果,每种模型都有三种变化,分别适用于原成员国、新成员国和所有成员国。双红利理论仅在原成员国中得到充分证明。新成员国在环境红利方面表现出相互矛盾的结果,而经济红利似乎得到了证实,但收入循环效应却没有得到证实。这同样适用于合并组,除了收入循环效应也相互冲突。因此,结果表明,一些欧洲国家成功地将理论变为现实,而其他国家也可能有机会这样做。
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引用次数: 0
Heterogeneity of artisanal fishers’ perception of marine protected areas. The case of the Tuscan Archipelago (Mediterranean Sea) 个体渔民对海洋保护区认知的异质性。托斯卡纳群岛(地中海)案例
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108865
Antonio Di Cintio , Sara Mohamed Santamaria , Miquel Ortega , Federico Niccolini , Fabio Bulleri
Marine protected areas (MPAs) are one of the most relevant management tools to halt marine resource degradation. Since MPAs success depends on the integration of ecological objectives with economic and social standards, assessing the perceptions of local communities (namely, fishers) prior to MPA establishment is pivotal for enhancing their effectiveness. Using Q methodology, we collected viewpoints of the artisanal fishing sector in the Tuscan Archipelago (Mediterranean GSA 9), one of the most important Mediterranean UNESCO Biosphere Reserve. The survey reveals a heterogeneity of perceptions about MPAs. Three main discourses are identified: i)the “proactive discourse”, acknowledging a state of crisis and expressing appreciation for MPAs alongside the desire to actively contribute to their creation and management; ii) the “NIMBY (Not in my backyard) discourse”, showing general appreciation for MPAs as a management tool, but unwilling to support their establishment in usual fishing grounds; iii) the “skeptical discourse”, minimizing the crisis of the artisanal fishing sector and expressing mistrust towards MPAs. Our results have important implications for the engagement of artisanal fishers in MPAs establishment and management within the framework of the European Union Biodiversity Strategy for 2030.
海洋保护区是阻止海洋资源退化的最相关的管理工具之一。由于海洋保护区的成功取决于生态目标与经济和社会标准的结合,因此在建立海洋保护区之前评估当地社区(即渔民)的看法对提高其有效性至关重要。使用Q方法,我们收集了托斯卡纳群岛(地中海GSA 9)手工渔业部门的观点,托斯卡纳群岛是联合国教科文组织最重要的地中海生物圈保护区之一。调查显示,人们对海洋保护区的看法存在差异。确定了三种主要话语:i)“积极话语”,承认危机状态,表达对海洋保护区的赞赏,并希望积极为海洋保护区的创建和管理做出贡献;ii)“邻避(不在我的后院)话语”,表示普遍赞赏海洋保护区作为一种管理工具,但不愿支持在通常的渔场建立海洋保护区;iii)“怀疑话语”,尽量减少手工捕鱼部门的危机,并对海洋保护区表示不信任。我们的研究结果对在欧盟2030年生物多样性战略框架下,让手工渔民参与海洋保护区的建立和管理具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
“Local Heroes”: Construction firms pioneering circular innovation “地方英雄”:循环创新的建筑公司
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108862
Elisa Chioatto , Alessandro Montanaro , Massimiliano Mazzanti
Innovation in the construction sector is critical to reducing environmental impacts, yet the adoption of circular innovations remains poorly understood. This paper examines the determinants of circular innovation adoption among 376 construction firms in the Emilia-Romagna region of Italy, based on an original survey dataset. Our analysis reveals that R&D investments increase the likelihood of circular innovation adoption by 24 percentage points, while larger firm size raises it by 13 points. Local market orientation exerts a strong positive effect: firms generating at least 50 % of their turnover locally are 15 percentage points more likely to adopt a circular innovation. Regulatory factors are not significant in aggregate, but become decisive for specific circular practices such as selective demolition and the use of sustainable inputs. Theoretically, the study demonstrates that circular innovations follow different adoption dynamics than traditional innovations in the construction industry, with proximity-based networks and local material flows playing a central role. Policy-wise, findings highlight the need to support R&D, especially in smaller firms, strengthen targeted regulatory incentives, and foster local inter-firm collaborations to reduce transaction costs and overcome secondary material quality risks.
建筑行业的创新对于减少环境影响至关重要,但人们对循环创新的采用仍然知之甚少。本文基于原始调查数据集,研究了意大利艾米利亚-罗马涅地区376家建筑公司采用循环创新的决定因素。我们的分析表明,研发投资使采用循环创新的可能性提高了24个百分点,而更大的公司规模使其提高了13个百分点。本地市场导向产生了强烈的积极影响:在本地产生至少50%营业额的公司采用循环创新的可能性要高15个百分点。管制因素总体上并不重要,但对具体的循环做法,如选择性拆除和使用可持续投入,具有决定性作用。从理论上讲,该研究表明,在建筑行业,循环创新遵循不同于传统创新的采用动态,基于邻近性的网络和本地材料流发挥着核心作用。在政策方面,研究结果强调需要支持研发,特别是在较小的公司,加强有针对性的监管激励措施,并促进当地公司间的合作,以降低交易成本和克服二次材料质量风险。
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引用次数: 0
Innovations and Dilemmas in Global Forest Governance - The Tortuous Pathway toward a Deforestation-free World: Introduction to the Special Issue 全球森林治理的创新与困境——通往无森林砍伐世界的曲折之路:特刊导言
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108840
Roldan Muradian , Peter May
Tropical deforestation remains one of the most pressing socio-ecological challenges, despite decades of international efforts to regulate forest use and commodity trade. This editorial article introduces the special issue “Deforestation-free trade: Global governance challenges and socio-environmental implications in producing countries” and situates its contributions within the historical evolution of global forest governance. We distinguish three “generations” of governance arrangements: a first based on intergovernmental soft law and contested notions of sovereignty and global commons; a second centered on voluntary standards, private certification, and the climatization of forests through REDD+; and a third, currently emerging, characterized by compulsory demand-side regulation (e.g., the EU Deforestation Regulation) and redistributive proposals (e.g., the Tropical Forest Forever Facility). Using the analytical lens of discursive framing, we show how shifting narratives have shaped governance regimes. We argue that territorial approaches (regulations addressing directly the main drivers of deforestation) are more likely to curb deforestation, as compared to value chain interventions (demand-driven regulations targeting global commodity chains associated with deforestation risk). However, they need to be supported by global redistributive mechanisms, to facilitate enforcement. The contributions to this special issue highlight the need for hybrid strategies that combine regulatory measures with cooperative redistribution and recognition of forest-dependent peoples. We conclude that effective global governance of forests requires reframing them beyond carbon and commodities while acknowledging their socio-cultural, ecological, and justice dimensions.
热带森林砍伐仍然是最紧迫的社会生态挑战之一,尽管几十年来国际上努力规范森林利用和商品贸易。这篇社论介绍了特刊《无毁林贸易:全球治理的挑战和生产国的社会环境影响》,并将其贡献置于全球森林治理的历史演变之中。我们将治理安排分为“三代”:第一代基于政府间软法和主权和全球公域等有争议的概念;第二部分侧重于自愿标准、私人认证以及通过REDD+实现的森林气候化;第三种是目前正在出现的,其特点是强制性需求方面的管制(例如,欧盟砍伐森林条例)和再分配建议(例如,热带森林永久设施)。使用话语框架的分析镜头,我们展示了如何转变叙事塑造治理制度。我们认为,与价值链干预措施(针对与森林砍伐风险相关的全球商品链的需求驱动型法规)相比,地域方法(直接解决森林砍伐主要驱动因素的法规)更有可能遏制森林砍伐。然而,它们需要得到全球再分配机制的支持,以促进执行。对本期特刊的投稿强调需要采取混合战略,将管制措施与合作再分配和承认依赖森林的人民结合起来。我们的结论是,有效的全球森林治理需要在承认其社会文化、生态和正义维度的同时,超越碳和商品对其进行重构。
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