首页 > 最新文献

Travel Behaviour and Society最新文献

英文 中文
Who waits longer to pick you up? behavioral and spatial inequities in ride-hailing pickup time based on real-world platform data 谁等得更久才来接你?基于真实平台数据的网约车接送时间的行为和空间不平等
IF 5.7 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2025.101224
Jiayan Zhang , Jiao Jiao , Xiang Wang , Inhi Kim , Tianqi Gu
Pickup time at the post-matching stage is a critical but often overlooked dimension of service equity in ride-hailing systems. While existing studies often rely on modeled or inferred estimates of wait time based on distance, traffic conditions, or simulation outcomes, few have access to actual pickup time records linked to real-name ride-hailing transactions. This study draws on a rare, real-world dataset comprising platform-recorded pickup durations and real-name verified driver profiles from Suzhou, China. Using a Geographically Weighted Random Forest (GWRF) model with SHAP interpretation, we examine how pickup responsiveness varies across driver characteristics (gender, age, residency), geography (central vs. peripheral zones), and time (weekday vs. holiday). Our findings show that young, local male drivers tend to achieve faster pickups due to broader geographic coverage and incentive sensitivity, while older, non-local female drivers face slower pickups, especially under uncertain or high-risk conditions. Moreover, spatial and temporal patterns reveal that conventional assumptions—such as the edge disadvantage or vehicle density effects—do not hold uniformly across groups. These findings suggest that pickup time is a socially embedded outcome rather than a purely algorithmic one. Building on this perspective, we propose behavior-aware dispatch strategies, targeted driver support programs, and regulatory design implications aimed at enhancing equity, inclusion, and responsiveness in ride-hailing governance.
在网约车系统中,匹配后阶段的接车时间是服务公平的一个关键因素,但往往被忽视。虽然现有的研究通常依赖于基于距离、交通状况或模拟结果的模型或推断的等待时间估计,但很少有人能够获得与实名叫车交易相关的实际取车时间记录。本研究利用了一个罕见的、真实的数据集,其中包括来自中国苏州的平台记录的取车时间和实名验证的司机资料。使用具有SHAP解释的地理加权随机森林(GWRF)模型,我们研究了不同驾驶员特征(性别、年龄、居住地)、地理位置(中心与外围区域)和时间(工作日与假日)的取车响应性差异。我们的研究结果表明,由于地理覆盖范围更广和激励敏感性,年轻的本地男性司机往往能够更快地接车,而年长的非本地女性司机则面临更慢的接车速度,尤其是在不确定或高风险的情况下。此外,空间和时间模式表明,传统的假设——如边缘劣势或车辆密度效应——在不同的群体中并不一致。这些发现表明,接送时间是一个社会嵌入的结果,而不是纯粹的算法。基于这一观点,我们提出了行为感知调度策略、有针对性的司机支持计划和监管设计启示,旨在提高网约车治理中的公平性、包容性和响应性。
{"title":"Who waits longer to pick you up? behavioral and spatial inequities in ride-hailing pickup time based on real-world platform data","authors":"Jiayan Zhang ,&nbsp;Jiao Jiao ,&nbsp;Xiang Wang ,&nbsp;Inhi Kim ,&nbsp;Tianqi Gu","doi":"10.1016/j.tbs.2025.101224","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tbs.2025.101224","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Pickup time at the post-matching stage is a critical but often overlooked dimension of service equity in ride-hailing systems. While existing studies often rely on modeled or inferred estimates of wait time based on distance, traffic conditions, or simulation outcomes, few have access to actual pickup time records linked to real-name ride-hailing transactions. This study draws on a rare, real-world dataset comprising platform-recorded pickup durations and real-name verified driver profiles from Suzhou, China. Using a Geographically Weighted Random Forest (GWRF) model with SHAP interpretation, we examine how pickup responsiveness varies across driver characteristics (gender, age, residency), geography (central vs. peripheral zones), and time (weekday vs. holiday). Our findings show that young, local male drivers tend to achieve faster pickups due to broader geographic coverage and incentive sensitivity, while older, non-local female drivers face slower pickups, especially under uncertain or high-risk conditions. Moreover, spatial and temporal patterns reveal that conventional assumptions—such as the edge disadvantage or vehicle density effects—do not hold uniformly across groups. These findings suggest that pickup time is a socially embedded outcome rather than a purely algorithmic one. Building on this perspective, we propose behavior-aware dispatch strategies, targeted driver support programs, and regulatory design implications aimed at enhancing equity, inclusion, and responsiveness in ride-hailing governance.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51534,"journal":{"name":"Travel Behaviour and Society","volume":"43 ","pages":"Article 101224"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2026-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145883803","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Time-use and values of time from microeconomic models with latent classes for committed activities 时间的使用和时间的价值从微观经济模型与潜在类别的承诺活动
IF 5.2 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-03-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101285
Pablo Reyes-Polanco, Sebastian Astroza, David Palma, Juan Antonio Carrasco, Sergio Jara-Díaz
{"title":"Time-use and values of time from microeconomic models with latent classes for committed activities","authors":"Pablo Reyes-Polanco, Sebastian Astroza, David Palma, Juan Antonio Carrasco, Sergio Jara-Díaz","doi":"10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101285","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101285","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51534,"journal":{"name":"Travel Behaviour and Society","volume":"294 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.2,"publicationDate":"2026-03-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147495603","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
From pumps to plugs: valuing time in refueling and EV charging transitions 从泵到插头:在加油和电动汽车充电过渡中评估时间
IF 5.2 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-03-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101279
Asal Mehditabrizi, Saeed Saleh Namadi, Cinzia Cirillo
{"title":"From pumps to plugs: valuing time in refueling and EV charging transitions","authors":"Asal Mehditabrizi, Saeed Saleh Namadi, Cinzia Cirillo","doi":"10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101279","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101279","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51534,"journal":{"name":"Travel Behaviour and Society","volume":"14 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.2,"publicationDate":"2026-03-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147496709","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Walking the preferred path: exploring spatial-temporal variation in pedestrian route choice through revealed preferences in a developing city 行走首选路径:通过揭示发展中城市行人路径选择的时空变化
IF 5.2 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-03-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101278
Xiaohan Liu, Sarah Wong, Bayi Li, Samuel Chng, Harvey Neo
{"title":"Walking the preferred path: exploring spatial-temporal variation in pedestrian route choice through revealed preferences in a developing city","authors":"Xiaohan Liu, Sarah Wong, Bayi Li, Samuel Chng, Harvey Neo","doi":"10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101278","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101278","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51534,"journal":{"name":"Travel Behaviour and Society","volume":"27 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.2,"publicationDate":"2026-03-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147496713","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Unequal streets, unequal journeys: The hidden mechanisms of shared mobility 不平等的街道,不平等的旅程:共享出行的隐藏机制
IF 5.2 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-03-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101284
Fengliang Tang, Yuanyuan Guo, Longhao Zhang, Kaixin Liu, Yingning Shen, Jiashu Yu, Shengbei Zhou
{"title":"Unequal streets, unequal journeys: The hidden mechanisms of shared mobility","authors":"Fengliang Tang, Yuanyuan Guo, Longhao Zhang, Kaixin Liu, Yingning Shen, Jiashu Yu, Shengbei Zhou","doi":"10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101284","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101284","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51534,"journal":{"name":"Travel Behaviour and Society","volume":"31 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.2,"publicationDate":"2026-03-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147495607","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Incorporating uncertainty quantification into deep-learning-based travel mode choice modeling: A Bayesian Neural Network approach and an uncertainty-guided active survey framework 将不确定性量化纳入基于深度学习的出行模式选择建模:贝叶斯神经网络方法和不确定性引导的主动调查框架
IF 5.2 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-03-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101282
Shuwen Zheng, Zhou Fang, Liang Zhao
{"title":"Incorporating uncertainty quantification into deep-learning-based travel mode choice modeling: A Bayesian Neural Network approach and an uncertainty-guided active survey framework","authors":"Shuwen Zheng, Zhou Fang, Liang Zhao","doi":"10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101282","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101282","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51534,"journal":{"name":"Travel Behaviour and Society","volume":"18 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.2,"publicationDate":"2026-03-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147496715","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Connecting the lines: how metro access shapes land development near intercity rail stations 连接线路:地铁通道如何影响城际火车站附近的土地开发
IF 5.2 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-03-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101283
Mi Diao, Meiyu Zhang, Wenyu Lyu, Zheng Chang, Xueli Liu
{"title":"Connecting the lines: how metro access shapes land development near intercity rail stations","authors":"Mi Diao, Meiyu Zhang, Wenyu Lyu, Zheng Chang, Xueli Liu","doi":"10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101283","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101283","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51534,"journal":{"name":"Travel Behaviour and Society","volume":"17 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.2,"publicationDate":"2026-03-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147496716","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Access to fly: A scoping review of travellers with Disabilities’ experiences in air travel 乘坐飞机:残疾旅客航空旅行经历的范围审查
IF 5.2 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-03-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101276
Daryl Patrick Gamboa Yao, Delphine Labbé, Himani Prajapati, William C. Miller
Accessible air travel is recognised as a human right for travelers with disabilities. However, many travellers with disabilities have negative experiences when they fly. While existing research has examined travel constraints faced by travellers with disabilities, we do not know how travellers with disabilities navigate through these challenges. We conducted this scoping review to analyze how the existing literature has studied the air travel experiences of people with disabilities and the environmental factors that impact their experiences. We also seek to identify the gaps for future research. We reviewed published scientific articles indexed in nine electronic databases and published from January 1990 to April 2024. A total of 26 articles met the inclusion criteria. The findings of the included studies were thematically analysed. Five themes were identified that captured the experiences of air travellers with disabilities: (1) issues related to accessing information, (2) concerns related to interaction with personnel, (3) built infrastructure barriers, (4) assistive device problems, and (5) policies and procedure constraints. The review identified gaps pertaining to the underrepresentation of people with hidden disabilities, insufficient training among personnel, limitations to independent travel planning, and variability in policies and procedures across jurisdictions. These represent potential areas for future research that can help promote a more inclusive air travel experience for travelers with disabilities.
无障碍航空旅行被认为是残疾旅客的一项人权。然而,许多残疾旅客在乘坐飞机时都有不愉快的经历。虽然现有的研究调查了残疾旅行者面临的旅行限制,但我们不知道残疾旅行者如何应对这些挑战。我们进行了这次范围审查,以分析现有文献如何研究残疾人的航空旅行体验以及影响他们体验的环境因素。我们还试图找出未来研究的差距。我们回顾了1990年1月至2024年4月在9个电子数据库中收录的已发表的科学论文。共有26篇文章符合纳入标准。对纳入研究的结果进行主题分析。我们确定了五个主题,捕捉了残疾航空旅客的体验:(1)与获取信息有关的问题,(2)与工作人员互动有关的问题,(3)建筑基础设施障碍,(4)辅助设备问题,以及(5)政策和程序限制。审查发现了与隐性残疾人代表性不足、工作人员培训不足、独立旅行计划受到限制以及各司法管辖区政策和程序的差异有关的差距。这些都代表了未来研究的潜在领域,有助于为残疾旅客提供更具包容性的航空旅行体验。
{"title":"Access to fly: A scoping review of travellers with Disabilities’ experiences in air travel","authors":"Daryl Patrick Gamboa Yao, Delphine Labbé, Himani Prajapati, William C. Miller","doi":"10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101276","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101276","url":null,"abstract":"Accessible air travel is recognised as a human right for travelers with disabilities. However, many travellers with disabilities have negative experiences when they fly. While existing research has examined travel constraints faced by travellers with disabilities, we do not know how travellers with disabilities navigate through these challenges. We conducted this scoping review to analyze how the existing literature has studied the air travel experiences of people with disabilities and the environmental factors that impact their experiences. We also seek to identify the gaps for future research. We reviewed published scientific articles indexed in nine electronic databases and published from January 1990 to April 2024. A total of 26 articles met the inclusion criteria. The findings of the included studies were thematically analysed. Five themes were identified that captured the experiences of air travellers with disabilities: (1) issues related to accessing information, (2) concerns related to interaction with personnel, (3) built infrastructure barriers, (4) assistive device problems, and (5) policies and procedure constraints. The review identified gaps pertaining to the underrepresentation of people with hidden disabilities, insufficient training among personnel, limitations to independent travel planning, and variability in policies and procedures across jurisdictions. These represent potential areas for future research that can help promote a more inclusive air travel experience for travelers with disabilities.","PeriodicalId":51534,"journal":{"name":"Travel Behaviour and Society","volume":"21 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.2,"publicationDate":"2026-03-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147465866","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Understanding the elements of the tourism accessibility chain 了解旅游无障碍链的要素
IF 5.7 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2025.101161
Francisco López-del-Pino , José M. Grisolía , Juan de Dios Ortúzar
This study investigates how different components of the accessibility chain influence tourist destination choices, using a Hybrid Discrete Choice (HDC) model that integrates stated preferences and latent attitudinal constructs. Drawing on a sample of visitors to Gran Canaria, the results show that staff preparedness, accessible environments, and reliable information significantly affect destination choice, with staff training emerging as the most influential factor. The research is grounded in the Social Model of Disability, which views disability as a social construct, and the Capability Approach, which focuses on individuals’ freedom to live the lives they value. These frameworks reframe accessibility not as an isolated technical issue but as a systemic condition enabling or constraining effective participation. The study also adopts a Universal and Inclusive Design perspective within this framework, recognising human diversity as a central design parameter in tourism systems. The estimated model reveals substantial heterogeneity in preferences: individuals with direct or indirect experience of disability place greater importance on staff support and trustworthy information. At the same time, younger and non-disabled tourists prioritise price and location. By combining behavioural and attitudinal data, the study demonstrates the added value of HDC models for understanding how accessibility is cognitively evaluated and behaviourally enacted. The findings have practical implications for inclusive destination design. Rather than addressing accessibility through isolated improvements, tourism systems should adopt a chain-based approach, ensuring coherence across all stages of the travel experience. As societies age and accessibility becomes a strategic imperative, this model provides a transferable tool for evaluating service gaps and guiding inclusive policy design.
本研究使用混合离散选择(HDC)模型,结合陈述偏好和潜在态度构念,探讨可达性链的不同组成部分对旅游目的地选择的影响。通过对大加那利岛游客的抽样调查,结果表明,工作人员的准备、无障碍的环境和可靠的信息显著影响目的地的选择,其中工作人员培训成为最具影响力的因素。该研究基于残疾的社会模型和能力方法,前者将残疾视为一种社会建构,后者关注个人过自己所珍视的生活的自由。这些框架不再将无障碍视为孤立的技术问题,而是将其视为能够或限制有效参与的系统条件。该研究还在这一框架内采用了通用和包容性设计的视角,将人类多样性视为旅游系统的核心设计参数。估计的模型揭示了偏好的实质性异质性:有直接或间接残疾经历的个人更重视工作人员的支持和可靠的信息。与此同时,年轻和非残疾游客优先考虑价格和位置。通过结合行为和态度数据,该研究证明了HDC模型在理解可访问性如何进行认知评估和行为制定方面的附加价值。研究结果对包容性目的地设计具有实际意义。旅游系统不应通过孤立的改进来解决可达性问题,而应采用基于链条的方法,确保旅游体验各个阶段的一致性。随着社会老龄化和无障碍成为战略要求,该模型为评估服务差距和指导包容性政策设计提供了可转移的工具。
{"title":"Understanding the elements of the tourism accessibility chain","authors":"Francisco López-del-Pino ,&nbsp;José M. Grisolía ,&nbsp;Juan de Dios Ortúzar","doi":"10.1016/j.tbs.2025.101161","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tbs.2025.101161","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study investigates how different components of the accessibility chain influence tourist destination choices, using a Hybrid Discrete Choice (HDC) model that integrates stated preferences and latent attitudinal constructs. Drawing on a sample of visitors to Gran Canaria, the results show that staff preparedness, accessible environments, and reliable information significantly affect destination choice, with staff training emerging as the most influential factor. The research is grounded in the Social Model of Disability, which views disability as a social construct, and the Capability Approach, which focuses on individuals’ freedom to live the lives they value. These frameworks reframe accessibility not as an isolated technical issue but as a systemic condition enabling or constraining effective participation. The study also adopts a Universal and Inclusive Design perspective within this framework, recognising human diversity as a central design parameter in tourism systems. The estimated model reveals substantial heterogeneity in preferences: individuals with direct or indirect experience of disability place greater importance on staff support and trustworthy information. At the same time, younger and non-disabled tourists prioritise price and location. By combining behavioural and attitudinal data, the study demonstrates the added value of HDC models for understanding how accessibility is cognitively evaluated and behaviourally enacted. The findings have practical implications for inclusive destination design. Rather than addressing accessibility through isolated improvements, tourism systems should adopt a chain-based approach, ensuring coherence across all stages of the travel experience. As societies age and accessibility becomes a strategic imperative, this model provides a transferable tool for evaluating service gaps and guiding inclusive policy design.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51534,"journal":{"name":"Travel Behaviour and Society","volume":"42 ","pages":"Article 101161"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145404750","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A novel integrated machine learning and inferential modeling approach to explore non-linear effects of built environment on travel: a three-wave repeated cross-sectional study 一种新的集成机器学习和推理建模方法来探索建筑环境对旅行的非线性影响:三波重复横断面研究
IF 5.7 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2025.101146
Niaz Mahmud Zafri , Ming Zhang
This study investigates the dynamic effects of the built environment on travel in Austin, Texas, over a 20-year period. Using three waves of household travel surveys from 1997, 2006, and 2017, the research employs a repeated cross-sectional approach to address the limitations of traditional longitudinal and cross-sectional studies, and to more accurately estimate effect sizes. Methodologically, we introduce a novel integration of machine learning and inferential modeling to uncover non-linear relationships and threshold effects of the built environment characteristics on travel. Using Gradient Boosted Decision Trees (GBDT) and Partial Dependence Plots (PDPs), we first identify optimal threshold points in the relationships, which are then incorporated into piecewise multilevel models.
Findings from the study reveal that the built environment serves as a sustainable tool for managing travel in the long term, contributing 50 % or more to the total feature importance in predicting individual travel—surpassing the combined effects of personal and household characteristics. Improved transit accessibility, enhanced local and regional accessibility, higher population and employment densities, and greater diversity are all associated with significant reductions in travel—particularly within their identified thresholds—though the magnitude of their influence varies across time periods and shows diminishing marginal returns.
These findings highlight the potential of smart growth policies—such as expanding transit accessibility, promoting high-density and mixed-use development, and discouraging single-use development and peripheral sprawl—as effective strategies to reduce car dependency and manage travel demand. Moreover, the study demonstrates that the proposed integrated approach can effectively capture complex non-linear effects while enhancing flexibility and interpretability, reducing researcher bias, and enabling statistical inference—ultimately providing more robust and policy-relevant insights.
本研究调查了20多年来德克萨斯州奥斯汀市建筑环境对旅行的动态影响。利用1997年、2006年和2017年的三波家庭旅行调查,该研究采用了重复的横断面方法来解决传统纵向和横断面研究的局限性,并更准确地估计效应量。在方法上,我们引入了机器学习和推理建模的新集成,以揭示建筑环境特征对旅行的非线性关系和阈值效应。利用梯度提升决策树(GBDT)和部分依赖图(pdp),我们首先确定了关系中的最佳阈值点,然后将其纳入分段多级模型。研究结果表明,从长远来看,建筑环境是管理旅行的可持续工具,在预测个人旅行的总特征重要性中贡献了50%或更多,超过了个人和家庭特征的综合影响。交通可达性的改善、当地和区域可达性的提高、人口和就业密度的提高以及多样性的增加都与旅行的显著减少有关,特别是在其确定的阈值范围内,尽管其影响的程度因时期而异,并且边际收益递减。这些发现强调了智能增长政策的潜力,例如扩大交通可达性,促进高密度和混合用途开发,阻止单一用途开发和周边扩张,作为减少汽车依赖和管理出行需求的有效策略。此外,该研究表明,所提出的综合方法可以有效地捕捉复杂的非线性效应,同时增强灵活性和可解释性,减少研究者偏见,并实现统计推断,最终提供更稳健和与政策相关的见解。
{"title":"A novel integrated machine learning and inferential modeling approach to explore non-linear effects of built environment on travel: a three-wave repeated cross-sectional study","authors":"Niaz Mahmud Zafri ,&nbsp;Ming Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.tbs.2025.101146","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tbs.2025.101146","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study investigates the dynamic effects of the built environment on travel in Austin, Texas, over a 20-year period. Using three waves of household travel surveys from 1997, 2006, and 2017, the research employs a repeated cross-sectional approach to address the limitations of traditional longitudinal and cross-sectional studies, and to more accurately estimate effect sizes. Methodologically, we introduce a novel integration of machine learning and inferential modeling to uncover non-linear relationships and threshold effects of the built environment characteristics on travel. Using Gradient Boosted Decision Trees (GBDT) and Partial Dependence Plots (PDPs), we first identify optimal threshold points in the relationships, which are then incorporated into piecewise multilevel models.</div><div>Findings from the study reveal that the built environment serves as a sustainable tool for managing travel in the long term, contributing 50 % or more to the total feature importance in predicting individual travel—surpassing the combined effects of personal and household characteristics. Improved transit accessibility, enhanced local and regional accessibility, higher population and employment densities, and greater diversity are all associated with significant reductions in travel—particularly within their identified thresholds—though the magnitude of their influence varies across time periods and shows diminishing marginal returns.</div><div>These findings highlight the potential of smart growth policies—such as expanding transit accessibility, promoting high-density and mixed-use development, and discouraging single-use development and peripheral sprawl—as effective strategies to reduce car dependency and manage travel demand. Moreover, the study demonstrates that the proposed integrated approach can effectively capture complex non-linear effects while enhancing flexibility and interpretability, reducing researcher bias, and enabling statistical inference—ultimately providing more robust and policy-relevant insights.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51534,"journal":{"name":"Travel Behaviour and Society","volume":"42 ","pages":"Article 101146"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145157784","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Travel Behaviour and Society
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:604180095
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1