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Global Warming Drives Phenological Shifts and Hinders Reproductive Success in a Temperate Octocoral 全球变暖驱动物候变化并阻碍温带十月珊瑚的繁殖成功
IF 12 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2026-01-14 DOI: 10.1111/gcb.70660
Núria Viladrich, Andrea Gori, Pol Capdevila, Maria Montseny, Andreu Santín, Ignasi Montero-Serra, Marta Pagès-Escolà, Joaquim Garrabou, Cristina Linares

Global warming is profoundly reshaping biodiversity. Until now, most research has focused on the impacts of extreme temperature events. However, in many ecosystems, it is becoming increasingly apparent that climate change is accelerating the onset of spring warming conditions. These advanced warming conditions can significantly disrupt critical biological processes such as reproduction, which is key for population persistence. While interest in phenological shifts has increased in recent years, their effects on marine foundation species, such as corals, remain poorly understood. Here, we combined observational and experimental approaches to assess the effects of advanced spring warming conditions driven by climate change on the reproduction of the Mediterranean octocoral Paramuricea clavata, a foundation species. Our findings reveal that a 2°C warming leads to a 2-week advancement in P. clavata spawning, as evidenced by both field observations, and ex-situ experiments. These results underscore the role of advanced spring warming as a significant driver of phenological shifts in coastal marine ecosystems. Furthermore, we show that this phenological shift lead to a reduction in the number of spawning events, as well as decreases in larval biomass, survival rates, and settlement success. These findings highlight the urgent necessity to monitor phenological changes in foundational marine species, as such shifts can undermine the long-term viability of coral populations and contribute to substantial decline in associated biodiversity. Consequently, the increased vulnerability of species caused by phenological responses driven by seasonal changes may lead to more dramatic consequences of ocean warming than previously anticipated.

全球变暖正在深刻地重塑生物多样性。到目前为止,大多数研究都集中在极端温度事件的影响上。然而,在许多生态系统中,越来越明显的是,气候变化正在加速春季变暖条件的出现。这些先进的变暖条件可以显著破坏关键的生物过程,如繁殖,这是种群持续存在的关键。虽然近年来人们对物候变化的兴趣有所增加,但它们对海洋基础物种(如珊瑚)的影响仍然知之甚少。本文采用观测和实验相结合的方法,评估了气候变化导致的春季提前变暖条件对地中海基础物种Paramuricea clavata繁殖的影响。我们的研究结果表明,2°C的升温导致P. clavata产卵提前2周,这一点得到了实地观察和非原位实验的证明。这些结果强调了春季提前变暖作为沿海海洋生态系统物候变化的重要驱动因素的作用。此外,我们表明,这种物候变化导致产卵事件的数量减少,以及幼虫生物量、存活率和定居成功率的降低。这些发现强调了监测基础海洋物种物候变化的迫切必要性,因为这种变化会破坏珊瑚种群的长期生存能力,并导致相关生物多样性的大幅下降。因此,由季节变化驱动的物候反应导致的物种脆弱性增加,可能导致海洋变暖的后果比先前预期的更为严重。
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引用次数: 0
Phase-Asymmetric Thermal Sensitivity Amplifies Respiration Hysteresis in Heatwaves 相位-不对称热敏放大了热浪中的呼吸滞后
IF 12 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2026-01-13 DOI: 10.1111/gcb.70691
Jiaye Ping, Jianyang Xia, Shuli Niu, Yiqi Luo

Understanding how extreme climate events reshape the temperature response of ecosystem respiration (Re) is critical for predicting carbon–climate feedbacks. Here, we combine observational data and land surface model simulations to investigate Re responses to heatwaves, focusing on temperature sensitivity (Q10) and thermal hysteresis. We develop a quantitative framework capturing hysteresis via temperature thresholds, their seasonal timing, and phase-specific Q10 indices (Q10,I, warming phase; Q10,II, cooling phase). Flux-tower observations from the 2003 and 2018 heatwaves showed widespread amplification of thermal hysteresis in comparison with years without heatwaves. This amplification was primarily driven by asymmetric shifts in thermal sensitivity, especially a dominant decline in Q10,II. The response of ecosystem respiration after summer is the most affected in years that have experienced strong heatwaves at most sites. Q10,II retains strong associations with the timing of optimal temperature (r = 0.55), whereas Q10,I becomes largely decoupled. Principal component analysis further confirms this divergence, with the two phase-specific sensitivities varying along orthogonal axes under heatwaves. We further analyzed individual sites to see how much each Q10 phase contributed to the overall change in temperature sensitivity. Across sites, the temperature sensitivity of respiration in the post-heatwave phase accounts for an average of 71% of the total phase-specific Q10 change induced by heatwaves. This reinforces the central role of Q10,II in amplifying thermal hysteresis. Structural equation modeling shows that the heatwave-amplified thermal hysteresis in Re is fully mediated by Q10,II decline, shaped by both thermal thresholds and their seasonal timing. These findings reveal a phase-asymmetric temperature sensitivity of Re that underpins thermal hysteresis, suggesting that short-term heatwaves could trigger prolonged carbon losses even under post-peak warming scenarios.

了解极端气候事件如何重塑生态系统呼吸(Re)的温度响应对于预测碳-气候反馈至关重要。在此,我们结合观测数据和陆地表面模式模拟来研究Re对热浪的响应,重点关注温度敏感性(q10)和热滞后。我们开发了一个定量框架,通过温度阈值、它们的季节时序和特定阶段的q10指数(q10, I,变暖阶段;q10, II,冷却阶段)来捕获滞后。2003年和2018年热浪的通量塔观测显示,与没有热浪的年份相比,热滞后现象普遍放大。这种放大主要是由热敏度的不对称变化驱动的,特别是q10, II的显性下降。夏季后生态系统呼吸响应受强热浪年份的影响最大。q10, II与最佳温度的时间保持强烈的关联(r = 0.55),而q10, I在很大程度上是解耦的。主成分分析进一步证实了这种差异,在热浪下,两相特异性灵敏度沿正交轴变化。我们进一步分析了各个位点,以了解每个q10阶段对温度敏感性的总体变化有多大贡献。在所有站点中,热浪后阶段呼吸的温度敏感性平均占热浪引起的总阶段特异性q10变化的71%。这加强了q10, II在放大热滞后中的核心作用。结构方程模型表明,Re地区热浪放大的热滞后完全由q10和qii下降介导,并由热阈值及其季节时间决定。这些发现揭示了Re的相位不对称温度敏感性是热滞后的基础,表明即使在峰值后的变暖情景下,短期热浪也可能引发长时间的碳损失。
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引用次数: 0
Co-Invasion by Distantly Related Invasive Plants Drives Invasional Meltdown via Synergistic Increases in Putative Soil Fungal Pathogens 远亲入侵植物的共同入侵通过协同增加假定的土壤真菌病原体驱动入侵融化。
IF 12 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2026-01-13 DOI: 10.1111/gcb.70710
Changchao Shen, Zhibin Tao, Kaoping Zhang, Wenchao Qin, Hao Wu, Xiangyang Xu, Xinhao Chen, Evan Siemann, Wei Huang

Biological invasion is a major component of global change, and co-invasion of multiple invasive species is becoming increasingly common under accelerating globalization, climate warming, and land-use change. Such co-invasions can generate non-additive impacts on ecosystems, either exacerbating or mitigating invasion outcomes, yet their ecological consequences and underlying mechanisms remain poorly understood. We conducted a two-phase greenhouse experiment using Solidago canadensis as a focal invader and 16 co-occurring invaders to condition soils in monocultures and mixtures, and then tested effects of these soils on a native plant community. We found that non-additive effects of co-invasions on native community biomass were generally negative, with phylogenetically distant co-invaders exerting stronger negative effects. These patterns were largely driven by synergistic increases in the richness of putative soil fungal pathogens induced by distantly related co-invaders. A complementary field survey confirmed these patterns in natural communities, showing that greater phylogenetic distance among co-invaders was associated with higher richness of putative soil fungal pathogens and stronger reductions in native plant abundance. Our study provides the first empirical evidence that evolutionary relatedness among co-invaders predicts the direction and magnitude of their combined impacts via soil microbial pathways. These findings highlight the importance of incorporating evolutionary and belowground mechanisms into invasion theory, and underscore the urgent need to recognize co-invasion as a key process for predicting and managing invasion impacts under global change.

生物入侵是全球变化的重要组成部分,在全球化加速、气候变暖和土地利用变化的背景下,多种入侵物种的共同入侵越来越普遍。这种共同入侵可以对生态系统产生非加性影响,加剧或减轻入侵结果,但其生态后果和潜在机制仍然知之甚少。以加拿大一枝黄花(Solidago canada)为中心侵染源,以16种共发生侵染源,对单栽和混栽土壤进行了两期温室试验,考察了这些侵染源对本地植物群落的影响。我们发现,共同入侵对本地群落生物量的非加性效应一般为负,系统发育距离较远的共同入侵对本地群落生物量的负性效应更强。这些模式在很大程度上是由远亲共入侵者诱导的假定土壤真菌病原体丰富度的协同增加所驱动的。一项补充性的野外调查证实了自然群落中的这些模式,表明共同入侵者之间的系统发育距离越远,假定的土壤真菌病原体的丰富度越高,本土植物丰度的减少越明显。我们的研究提供了第一个经验证据,表明共同入侵者之间的进化相关性预测了它们通过土壤微生物途径产生的综合影响的方向和程度。这些发现强调了将进化机制和地下机制纳入入侵理论的重要性,并强调了迫切需要认识到共同入侵是预测和管理全球变化下入侵影响的关键过程。
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引用次数: 0
Soil Protist Diversity and Biotic Interactions Shape Ecosystem Functions Under Climate Change 气候变化下土壤原生生物多样性与生物相互作用影响生态系统功能
IF 12 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2026-01-12 DOI: 10.1111/gcb.70692
Hongwei Liu, Catarina S. C. Martins, Guiyao Zhou, Ramesha H. Jayaramaiah, Haiyang Zhang, Jiayu Li, Pankaj Singh, Zhenzhen Yan, Juntao Wang, Peter B. Reich, Nico Eisenhauer, Manuel Delgado-Baquerizo, Brajesh K. Singh

Soil protists significantly influence ecosystem multifunctionality (EMF) through their roles in microbial predation, parasitism, and organic matter decomposition. However, the multifaceted contributions of protist diversity, along with its interactions with other microbial groups and plant diversity, to EMF—especially under climate-induced stresses such as drought—remain poorly understood. To address this knowledge gap, we conducted a factorial microcosm experiment, manipulating microbial diversity (protists, bacteria and fungi), plant species richness, and drought stress. In total, 203 microcosms were established, generating 812 soil samples and 2436 amplicon sequencing libraries. Using structural equation modelling (SEM) and multiple regression analyses, we found that protist diversity was positively correlated with EMF, carbon sequestration, soil organic matter (SOM) decomposition, and nutrient cycling. Furthermore, protist communities exhibited distinct, phylum-specific relationships with these ecosystem functions. Under drought conditions, microbial interaction networks experienced significant restructuring, with protists emerging as keystone taxa—enhancing protist connectivity and highlighting their central role in ecosystem resilience, especially in relation to leaf carbon dynamics. Our findings provide novel empirical evidence that protists act as multitrophic integrators in soil ecosystems and highlight their role in buffering ecosystems against global environmental change.

土壤原生生物通过其在微生物捕食、寄生和有机物分解中的作用显著影响生态系统的多功能性。然而,原生生物多样性及其与其他微生物群和植物多样性的相互作用对emf的多方面贡献——特别是在气候诱导的压力(如干旱)下——仍然知之甚少。为了解决这一知识差距,我们进行了一个因子微观实验,操纵微生物多样性(原生生物、细菌和真菌)、植物物种丰富度和干旱胁迫。共建立203个微环境,得到812个土壤样品和2436个扩增子测序文库。利用结构方程模型(SEM)和多元回归分析发现,原生生物多样性与EMF、固碳、土壤有机质(SOM)分解和养分循环呈正相关。此外,原生生物群落与这些生态系统功能表现出明显的门特异性关系。在干旱条件下,微生物相互作用网络经历了重大重组,原生生物成为关键分类群,增强了原生生物的连通性,并突出了它们在生态系统恢复力中的核心作用,特别是在叶片碳动态方面。我们的研究结果提供了新的经验证据,表明原生生物在土壤生态系统中扮演着多营养整合者的角色,并突出了它们在缓冲生态系统应对全球环境变化方面的作用。
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引用次数: 0
Correction to “Cross-Scale Anthropogenic Threats Jointly Drive Declines in China's Estuarine Fish Assemblages Over the Past Half-Century” 更正“过去半个世纪以来,跨尺度的人为威胁共同导致中国河口鱼类种群数量下降”。
IF 12 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2026-01-12 DOI: 10.1111/gcb.70693

Ren, J., Wang, S., Chen, Y., Zhang, T., Zhuang, P., & Zhao, F. (2025). Cross-Scale Anthropogenic Threats Jointly Drive Declines in China's Estuarine Fish Assemblages Over the Past Half-Century. Global Change Biology, 31(10), e70566. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.70566.

In the published version of this article, an error occurred in Figure 2a during figure preparation. One river was incorrectly labelled as the Yellow River, whereas it should have been labelled as the Yangtze River. This labelling error has been corrected in the revised figure. The figure caption remains unchanged. No analyses, numerical results, statistics, or interpretations in the text are affected by this correction. All other figures, tables, and statements in the manuscript remain valid.

We apologize for this error.

任军,王世生,陈勇,张涛,庄鹏,赵峰(2025)。在过去的半个世纪里,跨尺度的人为威胁共同导致了中国河口鱼类种群的减少。生态学报,31(10),394 - 394。在本文的发布版本https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.70566.In中,在图2a中出现了一个错误。一条河被错误地标记为黄河,而它应该被标记为长江。这个标签错误已在修订后的图中更正。图的标题保持不变。本文中的分析、数值结果、统计或解释不受此更正的影响。手稿中的所有其他数字、表格和陈述仍然有效。我们为这个错误道歉。
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引用次数: 0
Beyond Plant Diversity: Plant Productivity Responses to Extreme Drought Are Linked to Arbuscular Mycorrhizal Fungal Diversity 超越植物多样性:植物生产力对极端干旱的反应与丛枝菌根真菌多样性有关。
IF 12 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2026-01-12 DOI: 10.1111/gcb.70697
Wei Fu, Qiang Yu, Haiyang Zhang, Chong Xu, Xingguo Han, Baodong Chen

Plant and arbuscular mycorrhizal (AM) fungal diversity are both positively linked to ecosystem productivity across diverse ecosystems. However, given their high sensitivity to climate extremes such as extreme drought, the persistence and adaptability of these diversity-productivity relationships under rapid climate changes remain poorly understood. To address this, we established a grassland experiment at two proximate sites with distinct natural plant and AM fungal communities, imposing two contrasting extreme drought regimes (intense and chronic), each exceeding a 20-year recurrence interval based on site-specific precipitation records. We show that AM fungal diversity consistently outperforms plant diversity in predicting plant aboveground/net primary productivity (ANPP/NPP), as well as compositional shifts in plant species productivity, despite pronounced drought sensitivity in both communities. Notably, enhanced drought resistance in plant productivity was primarily associated with the stability of AM fungal richness rather than plant richness, highlighting their mutual dependence under extreme drought. Structural equation modelling confirmed that AM fungal richness buffered drought effects on ANPP, NPP and plant richness, with stronger effects on ANPP and NPP than those of plant richness and soil properties. These results suggest that AM fungal diversity may play a greater role than plant diversity in buffering plant communities against climate extremes. While causality remains to be fully resolved, these findings shed light on the adaptive significance of this ancient symbiont in sustaining ecosystem functioning under rapid climate change.

植物和丛枝菌根(AM)真菌多样性都与不同生态系统的生态系统生产力呈正相关。然而,由于它们对极端气候(如极端干旱)的高度敏感性,这些多样性-生产力关系在快速气候变化下的持久性和适应性仍然知之甚少。为了解决这个问题,我们在两个具有不同天然植物和AM真菌群落的近处建立了一个草地实验,施加了两种截然不同的极端干旱制度(强烈和慢性),每一个都超过20年的复发间隔,基于特定地点的降水记录。研究表明,AM真菌多样性在预测植物地上/净初级生产力(ANPP/NPP)以及植物物种生产力的组成变化方面始终优于植物多样性,尽管这两个群落都存在明显的干旱敏感性。值得注意的是,植物生产力抗旱性的增强主要与AM真菌丰富度的稳定性有关,而不是与植物丰富度的稳定性有关,这突出了它们在极端干旱下的相互依赖性。结构方程模型证实AM真菌丰富度缓冲了干旱对ANPP、NPP和植物丰富度的影响,且对ANPP和NPP的影响强于植物丰富度和土壤性质的影响。这些结果表明,AM真菌多样性可能比植物多样性在缓冲植物群落对极端气候的影响方面发挥更大的作用。虽然因果关系仍有待完全解决,但这些发现揭示了这种古老共生体在快速气候变化下维持生态系统功能的适应性意义。
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引用次数: 0
Why Tropical Forest Loss Persists: A Framework for Transformative Conservation Action 热带森林损失为何持续:转型保护行动框架。
IF 12 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2026-01-09 DOI: 10.1111/gcb.70694
Ronald C. Estoque
<p>While covering only 14% of Earth's land area (Dinerstein et al. <span>2017</span>), tropical forests are vital for biodiversity conservation, climate regulation, and ecosystem services. They harbor at least 50% of Earth's biodiversity (Lewis et al. <span>2015</span>) and store 54% of the planet's forest carbon stock (Pan et al. <span>2024</span>). Their average ecosystem service value per unit area, encompassing provisioning, regulating, habitat, and cultural services, is 75% higher than that of temperate forests (de Groot et al. <span>2012</span>). These figures alone underscore the global significance of tropical forests and reinforce why their conservation should remain part of the central priorities for sustainability.</p><p>Concerns about tropical forest depletion are not new. As early as the 1940s, scientists and conservationists warned of rising pressures on tropical forests and emphasized that they must be protected and conserved for future generations (Corner <span>1946</span>). In the early 1970s, researchers documented the rapid degradation of these ecosystems, attributing forest loss primarily to human activities such as agricultural expansion (Gómez-Pompa et al. <span>1972</span>). They regarded tropical forests as a nonrenewable resource, noting that their destruction was occurring faster than natural regeneration processes, leading to the irreversible loss of ecological functions.</p><p>Yet, despite decades of awareness, global tropical forest loss persists. In 1960, tropical forests covered an estimated 2001 million hectares, but by 2019, this had declined to 1814 million hectares, representing a net loss of 187 million hectares, equivalent to 2.5 times the size of the entire Borneo Island (Figure 1a). Satellite-based monitoring further indicates that although annual tropical forest loss declined during 2016–2021, it went up again in 2022–2024, and the average annual rate remains above the pre-2015 level (Figure 1b). The year 2015 marks the adoption of both the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and the Paris Agreement. Consistent with observations from the 1970s (Gómez-Pompa et al. <span>1972</span>), recent assessments show that most tropical forest loss occurs in landscapes dominated by agricultural production systems (Pendrill et al. <span>2022</span>).</p><p>The central question, therefore, is this: if tropical forests are indeed vital, why has their loss, recognized for more than half a century, remained unresolved? This paper argues that global tropical forest loss has become a deeply embedded systemic issue. Effectively addressing it requires first clarifying and understanding the system in which it is rooted.</p><p>To help unravel the system of global tropical forest loss, a general framework is proposed. This framework categorizes the drivers of tropical forest loss into natural and anthropogenic (Figure 1c). Natural drivers include wildfires, pests and diseases, volcanic eruptions, landslides, and other forms of na
热带森林仅占地球陆地面积的14% (Dinerstein et al. 2017),但对生物多样性保护、气候调节和生态系统服务至关重要。它们拥有地球上至少50%的生物多样性(Lewis et al. 2015),储存了地球上54%的森林碳储量(Pan et al. 2024)。它们的单位面积平均生态系统服务价值(包括供应、调节、栖息地和文化服务)比温带森林高75% (de Groot et al. 2012)。仅这些数字就突出了热带森林的全球重要性,并进一步说明了为什么保护热带森林仍应是可持续发展的核心优先事项之一。对热带森林枯竭的担忧并不新鲜。早在20世纪40年代,科学家和自然资源保护主义者就警告说热带森林面临的压力越来越大,并强调必须为子孙后代保护和保存热带森林(Corner 1946)。在20世纪70年代初,研究人员记录了这些生态系统的迅速退化,将森林损失主要归因于农业扩张等人类活动(Gómez-Pompa et al. 1972)。他们认为热带森林是一种不可再生的资源,注意到热带森林的破坏速度快于自然再生过程,导致生态功能不可逆转地丧失。然而,尽管人们几十年来一直意识到这一点,但全球热带森林的损失仍在继续。1960年,热带森林覆盖面积估计为2001万公顷,但到2019年,这一面积已降至18.14亿公顷,净损失1.87亿公顷,相当于整个婆罗洲岛面积的2.5倍(图1a)。基于卫星的监测进一步表明,尽管2016-2021年热带森林年损失量有所下降,但2022-2024年热带森林年损失量再次上升,年均损失率仍高于2015年前的水平(图1b)。2015年是联合国通过可持续发展目标和《巴黎协定》的一年。与20世纪70年代的观测结果一致(Gómez-Pompa et al. 1972),最近的评估表明,大多数热带森林损失发生在以农业生产系统为主的景观中(Pendrill et al. 2022)。因此,核心问题是:如果热带森林确实是至关重要的,为什么半个多世纪以来人们已经认识到热带森林的消失,却仍然没有得到解决?本文认为,全球热带森林损失已成为一个根深蒂固的系统性问题。有效地解决这一问题需要首先澄清和理解其根源所在的系统。为了帮助揭示全球热带森林损失系统,提出了一个总体框架。该框架将热带森林损失的驱动因素分为自然因素和人为因素(图1c)。自然因素包括野火、病虫害、火山爆发、山体滑坡和其他形式的自然干扰。人为驱动因素包括砍伐森林(或将森林转变为农业等其他土地用途)、木材采伐和采矿等活动,范围从家庭一级到大规模经营。鉴于它们在形成当前趋势方面的主导作用,该框架强调人为驱动因素。该框架的一个关键贡献是明确关注导致热带森林损失的“环境”(图1c)。它确定国家政策和治理是主要的促成因素,特别是与土地使用有关的政策,指定土地,包括森林,用于特定目的。无论砍伐森林、伐木和采矿的规模如何,都依赖于这些政策。例如,在没有政策授权的情况下,森林不能转变为牧场或大豆、油棕或橡胶种植园。同样,伐木和采矿也需要政府颁发许可证。国家政策受到一系列内部和外部因素的影响(图1c)。内部因素包括一个国家的经济、社会和环境需求、目标和优先事项,而外部因素包括全球对森林相关产品的需求和国际贸易政策。这些因素动态地相互作用。例如,国家目标和优先事项可能会根据全球市场趋势而变化,而贸易政策则反映一个国家的战略利益。同时,国家政策影响和重塑了内外因素,强化了一个复杂而相互关联的系统。一个国家的需求、目标和优先事项也受到各种活动结果反馈的动态影响,而这些反馈又反过来影响国家和贸易政策(图1c)。例如,可以根据新出现的需要修订土地使用政策或谈判新的贸易政策。 与此同时,“环境”的演变是为了应对热带森林损失带来的更广泛的社会生态后果,包括温室气体排放、生物多样性下降、灾害风险和脆弱性增加,这是可持续发展目标(https://sdgs.un.org)、《巴黎协定》(https://unfccc.int/)、《格拉斯哥森林和土地利用领导人宣言》(https://forestdeclaration.org)等国际倡议的关键主题。昆明-蒙特利尔全球生物多样性框架(https://www.cbd.int/gbf),以及最近启动的热带森林永久基金(https://cop30.br)。随着全球努力的发展,它们与各国的优先事项相互作用,并进一步塑造“环境”。因此,要解决全球热带森林损失问题,就需要改变使之得以实现、促进和维持的“环境”,使之至少走向一种使之丧失能力的状态,从而解决其系统性问题。这是一项复杂而艰巨的挑战。这一挑战的核心是“房间里的大象”:国家政策和治理,这是一个政治上敏感的问题。每个国家都有主权,有权根据自己的需要、目标和优先事项来管理自己的资源。发展中热带国家尤其面临着双重挑战,一方面要推进社会经济发展,另一方面要保护森林,因为森林具有丰富的生物多样性,并提供必要的生态系统服务。先前的一项与森林转型理论一致的研究发现,更发达、收入更高的国家呈现出更有利的森林变化趋势,这表明,除非得到及时的必要援助,否则不发达、收入较低的国家需要首先努力实现经济进步和稳定,以增强其遏制森林损失的能力(Estoque et al. 2022)。这一现实说明了协调全球保护目标与国家发展需要的困难。尽管存在这些挑战,加强国家政策框架仍然至关重要。国家一级的倡议应促进可持续农业,同时减少大规模砍伐森林的诱因。发达国家也发挥着关键作用,应重新考虑对热带森林相关产品的依赖(Estoque et al. 2022)。例如,他们可以利用自己的森林,而不是严重依赖进口的热带木材,特别是在过去几十年森林覆盖面积增加的温带地区。不用说,就生物多样性保护而言,热带地区栖息地的丧失无法通过温带地区栖息地的增加来抵消。作为加强国家政策和治理的一部分,还必须加强国际协定的执行。最近的一项评估显示,《巴黎协定》下的国家自主贡献在森林保护、管理和恢复方面存在重大差距,表明实现全球保护目标的国家行动不足(https://www.unep.org/resources/report/raising-ambition-accelerating-action-towards-enhanced-nationally-determined)。即使在保护区内,热带森林也在继续消失,进一步破坏了生物多样性保护目标。因此,必须加强治理机制,以确保有效履行承诺并将其转化为行动。为了澄清和更好地理解全球热带森林损失系统(图1c),推进跨学科研究至关重要,因为热带森林损失同时是一个生态、经济和政治问题。一个关键的研究优先事项是澄清造成和维持使热带森林持续损失的“环境”的因素。了解国际贸易协定如何影响国家与森林有关的政策,以及它们是否阻止或鼓励热带森林的丧失,需要进行更深入的分析。遥感必须继续在监测森林变化和帮助阐明其驱动因素方面发挥重要作用。研究还应区分森林损失在多大程度上是由人为原因造成的还是由自然原因造成的,并审查治理失败,包括合法和非法森林损失,以及腐败与政策执行之间的关系。进一步的研究还应评估从家庭和小农到大型企业的不同规模的热带森林损失的贡献,并评估农业、采矿和基础设施方面的外国直接投资如何影响国家土地使用和
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引用次数: 0
The Global Woody Surface: A Planetary Interface for Biodiversity, Ecosystem Function, and Climate 全球木质表面:生物多样性、生态系统功能和气候的行星界面。
IF 12 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2026-01-09 DOI: 10.1111/gcb.70699
Jonathan Gewirtzman
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引用次数: 0
Phytoplankton With Flexible Pigment Content Disadvantaged by Projected Future Decrease in Variability of the Ocean Light Spectrum 具有弹性色素含量的浮游植物由于预计未来海洋光谱变异性的减少而处于不利地位。
IF 12 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2026-01-09 DOI: 10.1111/gcb.70671
Francesco Mattei, Anna E. Hickman, Julia Uitz, Vincenzo Vellucci, Laurence Garczarek, Frédéric Partensky, Stephanie Dutkiewicz

Phytoplankton are key components of ocean ecosystems that play a critical role in regulating Earth's climate. However, how climate-driven changes in light availability in the ocean will affect marine phytoplankton remains poorly understood. Here, we assess the impact of climate-induced shifts in the spectral quality of the underwater light field on the relative fitness of phytoplankton with distinct pigment traits using a global ecosystem model. We focus on Synechococcus pigment types, comparing light color specialists with a chromatic acclimator capable of adjusting its pigment composition. Under a high-emission scenario, the model simulation projected an increase in the average blue-to-green ratio across 76% of the ocean area by the end of the 21st century, while 24% of the simulated ocean showed a shift toward greener wavelengths. Regions characterized by larger seasonal variability in blue-to-green ratio values appeared to be reduced due to climate-driven spectral changes. We find that reduced variability in the ocean light field makes the chromatic acclimators' plasticity less advantageous, and this pigment type was most negatively affected. These findings highlight the potential of Synechococcus pigment types as functional bioindicators of ecosystem change and underscore the importance of incorporating functional diversity in global models to better predict phytoplankton responses to changing ocean conditions.

浮游植物是海洋生态系统的关键组成部分,在调节地球气候方面发挥着关键作用。然而,气候驱动的海洋光供应变化将如何影响海洋浮游植物仍然知之甚少。在此,我们利用全球生态系统模型评估了气候引起的水下光场光谱质量变化对具有不同色素性状的浮游植物相对适合度的影响。我们专注于聚球菌的色素类型,比较浅色专家与能够调整其色素组成的色彩适应器。在高排放情景下,模型模拟预测,到21世纪末,76%的海洋区域的平均蓝绿比将增加,而24%的模拟海洋显示出向更绿波长的转变。由于气候驱动的光谱变化,蓝绿比值季节性变化较大的区域似乎减少了。我们发现,海洋光场变异性的降低使得色适应物的可塑性降低,并且这种色素类型受到的负面影响最大。这些发现强调了聚球菌色素类型作为生态系统变化的功能性生物指标的潜力,并强调了将功能多样性纳入全球模型以更好地预测浮游植物对变化的海洋条件的响应的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Interannual Variability in Greenhouse Gas Emissions Challenges Post-Restoration Net Sink Predictions in California Delta Wetlands 温室气体排放的年际变化挑战加州三角洲湿地恢复后净汇预测。
IF 12 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2026-01-09 DOI: 10.1111/gcb.70700
Kuno Kasak, Arman Ahmadi, Iryna Dronova, Ariane Arias-Ortiz, Tianxin Wang, Alex C. Valach, Daphne Szutu, Joseph Verfaillie, Dennis D. Baldocchi

Globally, wetlands can sequester and store large amounts of soil carbon over the long term due to high primary productivity and slow decomposition. Yet centuries of drainage for agriculture and development have turned many of these carbon sinks into greenhouse gas (GHG) sources. Restoring degraded wetlands, particularly in peat-rich landscapes, is increasingly promoted as a nature-based solution for climate change mitigation. However, the trajectory and timing of recovery remain uncertain, especially given the complex interplay among vegetation dynamics, hydrology, and GHG fluxes. In this study, we analyzed 44 site-years of continuous eddy covariance measurements of carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4) fluxes from restored wetlands in California's Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta. Our findings reveal substantial interannual variability in GHG exchange across sites, driven by differences in restoration design, water management, and vegetation establishment. While rapid vegetation growth, especially dense stands of macrophytes, can enhance CO2 uptake, it often elevates CH4 emissions and complicates predictions of when wetlands become net GHG sinks. Crucially, wetlands with delayed vegetation establishment due to high or inconsistent water levels (e.g., significant drawdown) remained persistent GHG sources, even years after restoration. Conversely, sites with tailored planting or natural and rapid recolonization exhibited earlier transitions to net sink status, including earlier shifts towards net negative radiative forcing since the restoration. The study highlights the importance of adaptive, site-specific restoration strategies and long-term monitoring to capture switchover dynamics from sources to sinks. As global investment in wetland restoration grows, our findings underscore the need to balance climate mitigation goals with ecological realities and the self-designing processes of vegetation succession.

在全球范围内,由于初级生产力高和分解速度慢,湿地可以长期隔离和储存大量的土壤碳。然而,几个世纪以来的农业和发展排水已经将许多碳汇变成了温室气体(GHG)源。恢复退化的湿地,特别是在富含泥炭的景观中,日益被作为一种基于自然的缓解气候变化的解决办法加以推广。然而,恢复的轨迹和时间仍然不确定,特别是考虑到植被动态、水文和温室气体通量之间复杂的相互作用。在这项研究中,我们分析了加利福尼亚州萨克拉门托-圣华金三角洲恢复湿地的二氧化碳(CO2)和甲烷(CH4)通量的连续44个站点年的涡动相关测量。我们的研究结果表明,由于恢复设计、水管理和植被建设的差异,不同地点之间的温室气体交换存在显著的年际变化。虽然快速的植被生长,特别是密集的大型植物林分,可以增加二氧化碳的吸收,但它往往会增加CH4的排放,并使湿地何时成为温室气体净汇的预测复杂化。至关重要的是,由于高水位或不一致的水位(例如,显著下降)而延迟植被建立的湿地,即使在恢复多年后,仍然是持久的温室气体源。相反,有定制种植或自然和快速再定殖的地点表现出较早的向净汇状态的转变,包括自恢复以来较早向净负辐射强迫的转变。该研究强调了适应性的、特定地点的恢复策略和长期监测的重要性,以捕捉从源到汇的转换动态。随着全球湿地恢复投资的增长,我们的研究结果强调了平衡气候减缓目标与生态现实和植被演替的自我设计过程的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
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Global Change Biology
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