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Co-creation in a duopoly considering the effect of product return 考虑产品回报效应的双元垄断中的共同创造
IF 6.7 2区 管理学 Q1 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2024-07-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.omega.2024.103140
Rui Yang , Lin Feng , Jianxiong Zhang , Xiangqian Li

Co-creation has become popular in experience good markets as it can resolve the uncertainty of the mismatch between product attributes and customer preferences. This paper delves into an examination of how firms strategize product co-creation with their customers in a competitive duopoly context, all the while taking into account the potential product return stemming from mismatch uncertainty. Results show that when the launching cost is moderate and the customer’s participation cost is relatively small, an asymmetric equilibrium with one firm launching the project and the other not is reached; otherwise, both firms adopt co-creation or not, conditional on the launching cost. Besides, firms may fall into a prisoner’s dilemma in which both firms launch the project when the launching cost is moderate. Furthermore, it is shown that co-creation functions as an effective way for firms to escape the Bertrand trap and reap the benefits of the product’s high valuation. Additionally, there is a mutual influence between co-creation and product return. A higher product return cost incentivizes firms to embrace co-creation, but meanwhile, it makes them more susceptible to falling into a prisoner’s dilemma scenario. In a state of equilibrium, co-creation consistently diminishes the product return for the firm engaging in it. Particularly, the firm not providing co-creation can take a free ride on the competitor’s co-creation benefits in reducing product return when the return cost is relatively large. Lastly, the value of co-creation can be amplified through the implementation of a price discrimination strategy, particularly when the participation cost is relatively large.

共同创造可以解决产品属性与客户偏好不匹配的不确定性问题,因此在体验产品市场很受欢迎。本文深入研究了在竞争性双头垄断背景下,企业如何与客户制定产品共创战略,同时考虑到错配不确定性带来的潜在产品回报。结果表明,当启动成本适中且客户的参与成本相对较小时,会出现一家企业启动项目而另一家企业不启动项目的非对称均衡;反之,两家企业都会根据启动成本的条件采取共同创造或不采取共同创造。此外,当启动成本适中时,企业可能会陷入囚徒困境,即两家企业都启动项目。此外,研究还表明,共同创造是企业摆脱伯特兰陷阱并从产品的高估值中获益的有效途径。此外,共同创造与产品回报之间存在相互影响。较高的产品回报成本会激励企业进行共同创造,但同时也会使企业更容易陷入囚徒困境。在均衡状态下,共同创造会持续减少参与企业的产品回报。特别是,当回报成本相对较高时,不提供共同创造的企业可以免费利用竞争对手的共同创造收益来降低产品回报。最后,通过实施价格歧视战略,特别是在参与成本相对较大的情况下,共同创造的价值可以放大。
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引用次数: 0
How groups manage conflict when using model-driven decision support: An epistemic motivation lens 团体在使用模型驱动决策支持时如何管理冲突:认识论动机透视
IF 6.7 2区 管理学 Q1 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.omega.2024.103142
Ayşegül Engin , L. Alberto Franco , Etiënne A.J.A. Rouwette

In this study we investigate whether the preference for deliberate and deep information processing, also known as epistemic motivation, affects an important feature of model-driven decision support practice, namely, to serve as an aid to surface and manage cognitive conflict within the group. We report on an experimental study that adopts a process-oriented methodology to examine the conflict management behaviours and trajectories of groups high and low in epistemic motivation. Our findings reveal that groups exhibited a variety of patterns of conflict management despite using the same model-driven decision support approach. In addition, three facets of epistemic motivation (discomfort with ambiguity, decisiveness, preference for order and structure) were significant co-variates of the variance in groups’ conflict management trajectories. Notably, only a small proportion of groups high in epistemic motivation were able to confront their conflict and resolve it in positive ways. Our findings have significant implications for the theory and practice of model-driven decision support.

在本研究中,我们探讨了对深思熟虑的信息处理(也称为认识动机)的偏好是否会影响模型驱动决策支持实践的一个重要特征,即作为一种辅助工具来浮现和管理小组内的认知冲突。我们报告了一项实验研究,该研究采用了一种以过程为导向的方法,考察了高认识动机和低认识动机小组的冲突管理行为和轨迹。我们的研究结果表明,尽管使用了相同的模型驱动决策支持方法,但各小组表现出了不同的冲突管理模式。此外,认识动机的三个方面(对模糊性的不适感、果断性、对秩序和结构的偏好)是群体冲突管理轨迹差异的重要共变因素。值得注意的是,只有一小部分高认识动机的小组能够正视冲突,并以积极的方式解决冲突。我们的发现对模型驱动决策支持的理论和实践具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Data-driven prioritization strategies for inventory rebalancing in bike-sharing systems 共享单车系统库存再平衡的数据驱动优先排序策略
IF 6.7 2区 管理学 Q1 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2024-07-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.omega.2024.103141
Maria Clara Martins Silva , Daniel Aloise , Sanjay Dominik Jena

The popularity of bike-sharing systems has constantly increased throughout the recent years. Most of such success can be attributed to their multiple benefits, such as user convenience, low usage costs, health benefits and their contribution to environmental relief. However, satisfying all user demands remains a challenge, given that the inventories of bike-sharing stations tend to be unbalanced over time. Bike-sharing system operators must therefore intervene to rebalance station inventories to provide both available bikes and empty docks to the commuters. Due to limited rebalancing resources, the number of stations to be rebalanced often exceeds the system’s rebalancing capacity, especially close to peak hours. As a consequence, operators are forced to manually select a subset of stations that should be prioritized for rebalancing. While most of the literature has concentrated either on predicting optimal station inventories or on the rebalancing itself, the identification of critical stations that should be prioritized for rebalancing has received little attention. Given the importance of this step in current operating practices, we propose three strategies to select the stations that should be prioritized for rebalancing, using features such as the predicted trip demand and the inventory levels at the stations themselves. Two sets of computational experiments aim at evaluating the performance of the proposed prioritization strategies on real-world data from Montreal’s bike-sharing system operator. The first set of experiments focuses on both the 2019 and 2020 seasons, each of which exhibits distinct travel patterns given the restrictive measures implemented in 2020 to prevent the spread of COVID-19. One of these strategies significantly improves by reducing the estimated lost demand by up to 65%, while another strategy reduces the estimated number of required rebalancing operations by up to 33% when compared to the prioritization scheme currently in use at the considered bike-sharing system. The second set of experiments evaluates the performance of the proposed strategies when rebalancing decisions are optimized in a rolling horizon planning. The results highlight various benefits of the proposed strategies, which are efficiently solved as transportation problems and improve lost demand over two intuitive baselines.

近年来,共享单车系统越来越受欢迎。这种成功主要归功于其多重优势,如方便用户、使用成本低、有益健康以及有助于缓解环境问题。然而,要满足所有用户的需求仍然是一个挑战,因为随着时间的推移,共享单车站点的库存往往是不平衡的。因此,共享单车系统运营商必须采取干预措施,重新平衡站点库存,为通勤者提供可用的单车和空车位。由于重新平衡资源有限,需要重新平衡的站点数量往往超过系统的重新平衡能力,特别是在接近高峰时段。因此,运营商不得不手动选择优先进行再平衡的车站子集。虽然大部分文献都集中在预测最佳车站库存或再平衡本身,但确定应优先进行再平衡的关键车站却很少受到关注。鉴于这一步骤在当前运营实践中的重要性,我们提出了三种策略,利用预测的出车需求和车站本身的库存水平等特征来选择应优先进行再平衡的车站。我们进行了两组计算实验,目的是在蒙特利尔共享单车系统运营商提供的真实数据上评估所提出的优先策略的性能。第一组实验侧重于 2019 年和 2020 年两季,由于 2020 年实施了防止 COVID-19 传播的限制性措施,这两季的出行模式各不相同。与考虑的共享单车系统目前使用的优先级排序方案相比,其中一种策略大大提高了效率,估计损失的需求量最多减少了 65%,而另一种策略则将所需的重新平衡操作估计次数最多减少了 33%。第二组实验评估了在滚动范围规划中优化再平衡决策时所建议策略的性能。结果凸显了所提策略的各种优势,这些策略作为交通问题得到了有效解决,与两个直观的基线相比,改善了需求损失。
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引用次数: 0
Capacitated Mobile Facility Location Problem with Mobile Demand: Efficient relief aid provision to en route refugees 有移动需求的移动设施定位问题:为途中难民提供高效救济援助
IF 6.7 2区 管理学 Q1 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2024-07-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.omega.2024.103138
Amirreza Pashapour , Dilek Günneç , F. Sibel Salman , Eda Yücel

As a humanity crisis, the tragedy of forced displacement entails relief aid distribution efforts among en route refugee to alleviate their migration hardships. This study aims to assist humanitarian organizations in cost-efficiently optimizing the logistics of capacitated mobile facilities utilized to deliver relief aid to transiting refugees in a multi-period setting. The problem is referred to as the Capacitated Mobile Facility Location Problem with Mobile Demands (CMFLP-MD). In CMFLP-MD, refugee groups follow specific paths, and meanwhile, they receive relief aid at least once every fixed number of consecutive periods, maintaining continuity of service. To this end, the overall costs associated with capacitated mobile facilities, including fixed, service provision, and relocation costs, are minimized. We formulate a mixed integer linear programming (MILP) model and propose two solution methods to solve this complex problem: an accelerated Benders decomposition approach as an exact solution method and a matheuristic algorithm that relies on an enhanced fix-and-optimize agenda. We evaluate our methodologies by designing realistic instances based on the Honduras migration crisis that commenced in 2018. Our numerical results reveal that the accelerated Benders decomposition excels MILP with a 46% run time improvement on average while acquiring solutions at least as good as the MILP across all instances. Moreover, our matheuristic acquires high-quality solutions with a 2.4% average gap compared to best-incumbents rapidly. An in-depth exploration of the solution properties underscores the robustness of our relief distribution plans under varying migration circumstances. Across several metrics, our sensitivity analyses also highlight the managerial advantages of implementing CMFLP-MD solutions.

作为一场人类危机,被迫流离失所的悲剧需要向途中难民分发救济援助,以减轻他们的迁移困难。本研究旨在帮助人道主义组织以具有成本效益的方式优化用于在多周期环境下向过境难民提供救济援助的移动设施的物流。该问题被称为移动需求下的移动设施定位问题(Capacitated Mobile Facility Location Problem with Mobile Demands,CMFLP-MD)。在 CMFLP-MD 中,难民群体遵循特定路径,同时每隔固定数量的连续时段至少接受一次救济援助,以保持服务的连续性。为此,需要最大限度地降低与容纳性移动设施相关的总体成本,包括固定成本、服务提供成本和迁移成本。我们提出了一个混合整数线性规划(MILP)模型,并为解决这一复杂问题提出了两种求解方法:一种是作为精确求解方法的加速本德斯分解法,另一种是依赖于增强的固定和优化议程的成熟算法。我们通过设计基于 2018 年开始的洪都拉斯移民危机的现实实例来评估我们的方法。我们的数值结果表明,加速本德斯分解法优于 MILP,运行时间平均缩短了 46%,同时在所有实例中获得的解决方案至少与 MILP 一样好。此外,我们的数学启发式还能快速获得高质量的解决方案,与现有最佳方案相比,平均差距仅为 2.4%。对解决方案特性的深入探讨强调了我们的救济分配计划在不同迁移情况下的稳健性。在多个指标上,我们的敏感性分析也凸显了实施 CMFLP-MD 解决方案的管理优势。
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引用次数: 0
Integrating confidence and preservation of information in the preference elicitation process: A lexicographic order approach for inconsistent judgments 在偏好激发过程中整合信心和信息保存:针对不一致判断的词典排序方法
IF 6.7 2区 管理学 Q1 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2024-07-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.omega.2024.103136
Alexandre Ricardo , José Rui Figueira , Luís Valadares Tavares

The Pairwise Comparison Table for the Deck of Cards Method enables the elicitation of preference parameters through an interactive process between an analyst and a Decision-Maker (DM). As in other preferences elicitation processes in Multiple Criteria Decision Aiding (MCDA) problems, this methodology can result in several inconsistent judgments. One way to address this concern is to use Linear Programming (LP) techniques to find solutions that minimize the number of initial inconsistent judgments that must be modified to restore consistency. However, since this approach does not allow further differentiating solutions, it can be inefficient in decision problems with multiple inconsistent information and several distinct solutions to overcome such inconsistencies. To enhance the decision-making process and to suggest solutions based on enriched information, we propose a new procedure for addressing inconsistent judgments based on two additional criteria to complement the minimum cardinality criterion. While the first additional criterion concerns the confidence level of the DM in their initial judgments, the second seeks to minimize the modifications made to the initial judgments to distort them as little as possible. Solving the three criteria in a specific LP-based lexicographic order defined by the DM makes it possible to determine a comprehensive ranking of eligible solutions to restore consistency. Proposing these solutions to the DM according to their position in the ranking enables revising the initial inconsistent judgments more efficiently. The new methodology also considers the possibility of missing confidence information, which can decrease the cognitive effort of the DM in real-world decision problems when eliciting preferences.

纸牌配对比较表法可通过分析师与决策者(DM)之间的互动过程来激发偏好参数。与多标准辅助决策(MCDA)问题中的其他偏好激发过程一样,这种方法可能会导致多个不一致的判断。解决这一问题的方法之一是使用线性规划(LP)技术来寻找解决方案,以尽量减少为恢复一致性而必须修改的初始不一致判断的数量。然而,由于这种方法不允许进一步区分解决方案,因此在具有多个不一致信息和多个不同解决方案来克服这些不一致的决策问题中,这种方法的效率可能会很低。为了改进决策过程,并根据丰富的信息提出解决方案,我们提出了一种新的程序来处理不一致的判断,该程序基于两个额外的标准,以补充最小卡方标准。第一条附加标准涉及管理学家对其初始判断的信心水平,第二条标准则力求最大限度地减少对初始判断的修改,从而尽可能减少对初始判断的扭曲。按照 DM 定义的基于 LP 的特定词法顺序解决这三个标准,就有可能确定符合条件的解决方案的综合排名,以恢复一致性。根据这些方案在排序中的位置向 DM 提出这些方案,可以更有效地修改最初的不一致判断。新方法还考虑了缺失置信度信息的可能性,这可以减少 DM 在实际决策问题中激发偏好时的认知努力。
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引用次数: 0
Scheduling for additive manufacturing with two-dimensional packing and incompatible items 二维包装和不兼容项目的增材制造排程
IF 6.7 2区 管理学 Q1 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.omega.2024.103139
Benedikt Zipfel , Rym M’Hallah , Udo Buscher

Additive manufacturing technology can enable low-cost, efficient production of low-demand, highly-complex customized items with reduced lead time if production is judiciously planned. This paper addresses the assignment of requested items into batches and the scheduling of the batches onto 3D printers. The objective is to minimize the manufacturing makespan while satisfying items’ compatibility, two-dimensional no-overlap and containment packing constraints within a batch, and machine’s capability to manufacture a batch. The problem is modeled as a mixed integer linear program (MIP) that solves instances up to 100 items. For hard and large instances, this paper proposes a matheuristic that fathoms packings using a step-wise check procedure. Computational results reveal that the proposed heuristic improves the makespan of MIP solutions of hard instances by 12% on average, with improvements reaching up to 72% for instances with 150 items. They further show that the proposed heuristic finds the best makespan for 88% of all cases. Finally, we provide useful managerial insights for production flexibility and scheduling policies.

如果对生产进行合理规划,快速成型制造技术可实现低成本、高效率地生产低需求、高复杂度的定制物品,并缩短交付周期。本文探讨了将所需物品分配到批次中以及将批次安排到三维打印机上的问题。目标是在满足项目兼容性、批次内二维无重叠和包容包装约束以及机器制造批次的能力的同时,最大限度地缩短生产周期。该问题被建模为混合整数线性规划(MIP),最多可解决 100 个项目的实例。对于难以解决的大型实例,本文提出了一种利用逐步检查程序摸索打包方法的数学启发式。计算结果表明,所提出的启发式能将困难实例的 MIP 解法的有效期平均缩短 12%,对于 150 个项的实例,有效期可缩短 72%。结果进一步表明,所提出的启发式能在 88% 的情况下找到最佳有效期。最后,我们为生产灵活性和调度政策提供了有用的管理见解。
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引用次数: 0
Robust dynamic train regulation integrated with stop-skipping strategy in urban rail networks: An outer approximation based solution method 城市铁路网中与停车跳车策略相结合的鲁棒动态列车调控:基于外近似的求解方法
IF 6.7 2区 管理学 Q1 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2024-06-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.omega.2024.103135
Zebin Chen , Andrea D’Ariano , Shukai Li , Marta Leonina Tessitore , Lixing Yang

In dense urban rail networks with high passenger demands, uncertain disturbances occur frequently, and the resulting train delays will likely spread over the whole network rapidly, hence degrading the service quality offered to passengers. To cope with the uncertainties of frequent disturbances in urban rail networks, this paper proposes a robust train regulation strategy based on the information gap decision theory, which allows the operators to adjust the conservativeness of adjustment schemes flexibly by varying system performances but without the need for prior knowledge of uncertain disturbances. Specifically, considering the coupling relationship between train dynamic flows and passenger dynamic flows, a mixed integer quadratically constrained programming (MIQCP) model is constructed for the robust train regulation problem to generate solutions with immunity against disturbance uncertainties, in which the envelope-bound model is used to characterizing the uncertain sets of disturbances. To meet the real-time requirements of train operation adjustment, a tailored outer approximation algorithm incorporating a two-phase heuristics method is devised to effectively solve the developed robust train regulation model, thereby quickly generating high-quality solutions. Moreover, the warm start technique and domain reduction technique are carefully developed to accelerate the solving procedure. Numerical experiments based on the Beijing metro network illustrate the robustness of the proposed train regulation strategies and the effectiveness of the designed solution approach.

在客流密集的城市铁路网中,不确定干扰频繁发生,由此导致的列车延误很可能迅速蔓延至整个铁路网,从而降低为乘客提供的服务质量。为应对城市轨道交通网络中频繁出现的不确定性干扰,本文提出了一种基于信息差距决策理论的稳健列车调节策略,该策略允许运营商通过改变系统性能灵活调整调节方案的保守性,而无需事先了解不确定性干扰。具体而言,考虑到列车动态流量与乘客动态流量之间的耦合关系,针对鲁棒列车调节问题构建了一个混合整数二次约束编程(MIQCP)模型,以生成具有抗干扰不确定性的解决方案,其中包络约束模型用于描述不确定的干扰集。为满足列车运行调节的实时性要求,设计了一种结合两阶段启发式方法的定制外近似算法,以有效求解所建立的鲁棒列车调节模型,从而快速生成高质量的解。此外,还精心开发了热启动技术和域缩减技术,以加快求解过程。基于北京地铁网络的数值实验说明了所提出的列车调节策略的鲁棒性以及所设计的求解方法的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Knowledge flows in Data Envelopment Analysis. The role of peer effects 数据包络分析中的知识流。同行效应的作用
IF 6.7 2区 管理学 Q1 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2024-06-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.omega.2024.103137
Nikos Chatzistamoulou , Kostas Kounetas , Kostas Tsekouras

Although the benchmarking literature has amassed both theoretical developments and empirical evidence on the performance of DMUs, the void related to the learning perspective of benchmarking remains to be filled. Further required methodological and empirical justifications aiming to fill this gap, are presented in this paper. Specifically, the mechanisms of knowledge transfer among the examined entities and the identification of the most influential source of learning require further investigation. We introduce a novel heuristic algorithm based on the Peer Removal to Improve Mean Efficiency in a Data Envelopment Analysis context to explore knowledge transfer within a benchmarking set. Based on sequential re-modifications of the technology following the removal of knowledge transmitters, a taxonomy arises including the role models, the knowledge receivers and the minimum efficiency DMU. Knowledge transfer is quantified by the calculation of the learning trace, following the removal of knowledge transmitters. We employ the most productive scale size to identify the most influential unit in terms of knowledge contribution. Findings from an illustrative example and a case study on European regions indicate that knowledge flows are not equally strong across benchmarking rounds.

尽管标杆管理文献已经积累了关于 DMU 业绩的理论发展和经验证据,但与标杆管理的学习视角相关的空白仍有待填补。本文提出了进一步所需的方法论和实证论证,旨在填补这一空白。具体而言,需要进一步研究被考察实体之间的知识转移机制,并确定最有影响力的学习来源。在数据包络分析的背景下,我们引入了一种基于 "去除同行以提高平均效率 "的新型启发式算法,以探索基准集内的知识转移。在移除知识传递者之后,根据对技术的连续再修改,产生了一个分类法,包括角色模型、知识接收者和最低效率 DMU。在去除知识传授者后,通过计算学习轨迹来量化知识转移。我们采用最具生产力的规模大小来确定在知识贡献方面最具影响力的单位。一个示例和一项关于欧洲地区的案例研究结果表明,各轮基准测试中的知识流动并不均衡。
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引用次数: 0
A column and row generation approach to the crowd-shipping problem with transfers 用列和行生成法解决有转移的人群运输问题
IF 6.7 2区 管理学 Q1 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2024-06-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.omega.2024.103134
Patrick Stokkink , Jean-François Cordeau , Nikolas Geroliminis

Crowd-shipping is a last-mile delivery concept in which commuters pick up and deliver parcels on their pre-existing paths. In urban areas, crowd-shipping circumvents problems that traditional last-mile delivery systems suffer from, such as road congestion and lack of parking spaces, especially if more sustainable modes of transport are utilized, like bikes or e-bikes. Using transfers between crowd-shippers allows for expanding the service area and improving the overall performance. However, as this requires synchronization over space and time, it makes the problem more complex. In this work, we develop a model that can encompass fully heterogeneous crowd-shippers and parcels. Thereby, it allows for both direct time-synchronized transfers as well as intermediate storage at designated parcel lockers. We design a column generation algorithm to solve large-scale realistic instances to optimality. We extend the problem to allow crowd-shippers to carry multiple parcels at the same time and for this, we extend the algorithm to simultaneous column and row generation. We evaluate the performance of our algorithm as well as the potential of crowd-shipping with transfers on a realistic case study of a bike-based crowd-shipping system in Washington DC. Our methods solve realistic instances with 1000 crowd-shippers and 1000 parcels within minutes. The results show that a gain in revenue and service level of 30% can be obtained by allowing transfers. By letting part of the population of crowd-shippers carry two or three parcels at the same time, the revenue and service level can be further increased by 30 to 50%. Maximum locker capacities are shown to be reasonable and are the highest in areas where there is a large gap between the moment when parcels are dropped off and when they are picked up from parcel points, which are mainly in the city center.

人群托运是一种最后一英里递送概念,通勤者在他们预先存在的路径上取送包裹。在城市地区,众包可以规避传统最后一英里递送系统所面临的问题,如道路拥堵和缺乏停车位,尤其是在使用自行车或电动自行车等更可持续的交通工具时。利用众包车之间的换乘可以扩大服务范围,提高整体性能。然而,由于这需要空间和时间上的同步,因此使问题变得更加复杂。在这项工作中,我们开发了一个模型,可以涵盖完全异构的人群运输者和包裹。因此,它既允许直接的时间同步传输,也允许在指定的包裹储藏室进行中间存储。我们设计了一种列生成算法,用于求解大规模现实实例的最优性。我们对问题进行了扩展,允许人群托运人同时携带多个包裹,为此,我们将算法扩展为同时生成列和行。我们在华盛顿特区一个基于自行车的人群运输系统的现实案例研究中,评估了我们算法的性能以及人群运输转运的潜力。我们的方法能在几分钟内解决 1000 名人群运输者和 1000 个包裹的实际问题。结果表明,允许转运可使收入和服务水平提高 30%。通过让部分人群同时携带两个或三个包裹,收入和服务水平可进一步提高 30%至 50%。储物柜的最大容量是合理的,并且在包裹投放点与包裹提取点之间存在较大空隙的地区,储物柜的最大容量是最高的,这些地区主要位于市中心。
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引用次数: 0
Heterogeneous joint vaccine allocation and quarantine restriction planning under uncertainty: The COVID-19 pandemic 不确定情况下的异质联合疫苗分配和检疫限制规划:COVID-19 大流行
IF 6.7 2区 管理学 Q1 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2024-06-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.omega.2024.103133
Mehrdad Mohammadi , Erfan Asgari , Maryam Karimi Mamaghan , Amir Pirayesh , Tom van Woensel

Once effective vaccines are discovered for a pandemic and initial distribution infrastructure, and mechanisms are implemented, the next concern is an optimal vaccination campaign to stop the disease or minimize the casualties. This paper studies the optimization of a Vaccine Distribution Network (VDN) through a single-objective Mixed-Integer Non-Linear Programming (MINLP) model for minimizing the total cost in terms of governmental aid (to maintain the economy), logistics, vaccination, and hospitalization costs. The proposed model develops the optimal joint vaccination-quarantine strategy under equity considerations to (1) determine the optimal allocation of available vaccine stockpiles to different population classes in different regions and (2) seek to impose quarantine restrictions to different regions optimally. The proposed model was applied to a real case study, the vaccine distribution network in France. Through a comprehensive numerical analysis, the optimal vaccine allocation is calculated, and the impact of equity and quarantine on the performance of the distribution network is investigated. Moreover, fractional dosing on the number of infections is examined. The results show that equity considerations, counter-intuitively, lead to an increased number of infections. Furthermore, it is illustrated that fractional dosing helps policymakers to control the pandemic better under a limited supply of vaccines.

一旦发现了针对大流行病的有效疫苗,并实施了最初的配送基础设施和机制,下一步要做的就是开展最佳疫苗接种活动,以阻止疾病或最大限度地减少人员伤亡。本文通过单目标混合整数非线性编程(MINLP)模型研究了疫苗分发网络(VDN)的优化问题,以最小化政府援助(维持经济)、物流、疫苗接种和住院费用等方面的总成本。所提出的模型开发了公平考虑下的最优联合疫苗接种-检疫策略,以 (1) 确定不同地区不同人群可用疫苗库存的最优分配,以及 (2) 寻求对不同地区实施最优检疫限制。所提出的模型被应用于一个实际案例研究,即法国的疫苗配送网络。通过全面的数值分析,计算出了最优疫苗分配,并研究了公平和检疫对分配网络性能的影响。此外,还研究了分数剂量对感染数量的影响。结果表明,与直觉相反,公平因素会导致感染人数增加。此外,还说明了在疫苗供应有限的情况下,部分剂量有助于决策者更好地控制大流行病。
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Omega-international Journal of Management Science
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