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Influenza pandemics and macroeconomic fluctuations 1871-2016. 流感大流行和宏观经济波动1871-2016。
IF 1.5 1区 历史学 Q2 ECONOMICS
Cliometrica
Pub Date : 2023-05-29 DOI: 10.1007/s11698-023-00269-w
Fraser Summerfield, Livio Di Matteo

This paper documents the short-run macroeconomic impacts of influenza pandemics across 16 countries spanning 1871-2016 using the Jordà-Schularick-Taylor Macrohistory Database and the Human Mortality Database. We find pandemic-induced mortality contributed meaningfully to business cycle fluctuations in the post 1870 era. We identify negative causal impacts on the cyclical component of GDP using pandemics to instrument for working-age mortality. The analysis of short-run economic outcomes extends literature dominated by long-run economic growth outcomes and case studies of several specific health shocks such as the Black Death, Spanish Flu or COVID-19. Our findings illustrate that less catastrophic pandemics still have important economic implications.

本文使用Jordà-Schularick-Taylor宏观历史数据库和人类死亡率数据库，记录了1871-2016年流感大流行对16个国家的短期宏观经济影响。我们发现，疫情导致的死亡率对后1870年代的商业周期波动有重要影响。我们利用流行病作为工作年龄死亡率的工具，确定了对GDP周期性成分的负面因果影响。对短期经济结果的分析扩展了以长期经济增长结果为主导的文献，以及对黑死病、西班牙流感或新冠肺炎等几种特定健康冲击的案例研究。我们的研究结果表明，灾难性较小的流行病仍然具有重要的经济影响。
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引用次数: 0
The Celestial Empire: solar eclipses, political legitimacy, and economic performance in historical China 天朝:日食、政治合法性和中国历史上的经济表现
IF 1.6 1区 历史学 Q2 ECONOMICS
Cliometrica
Pub Date : 2023-05-28 DOI: 10.1007/s11698-023-00270-3
Chengjiu Sun, Hongfei Li
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引用次数: 0
An analysis of the occupations of free women in the antebellum USA 美国南北战争前自由女性职业分析
IF 1.6 1区 历史学 Q2 ECONOMICS
Cliometrica
Pub Date : 2023-04-28 DOI: 10.1007/s11698-023-00268-x
B. Chiswick, RaeAnn Halenda Robinson
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引用次数: 0
Economic development, female wages and missing female births in Spain, 1900–1930 1900-1930年西班牙的经济发展、女性工资和女性失踪
IF 1.6 1区 历史学 Q2 ECONOMICS
Cliometrica
Pub Date : 2023-03-30 DOI: 10.1007/s11698-023-00267-y
Rebeca A. Echávarri, Francisco J. Beltrán Tapia
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引用次数: 2
Path dependence in an evolving system: a modeling perspective 演化系统中的路径依赖:建模视角
IF 1.6 1区 历史学 Q2 ECONOMICS
Cliometrica
Pub Date : 2023-03-23 DOI: 10.1007/s11698-023-00266-z
T. Brenner, Sonja zu Jeddeloh
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引用次数: 0
Gender inequality in a transition economy: heights and sexual height dimorphism in Southwestern France, 1640–1850 转型经济中的性别不平等:1640-1850年法国西南部的身高和两性身高二态性
IF 1.6 1区 历史学 Q2 ECONOMICS
Cliometrica
Pub Date : 2023-03-08 DOI: 10.1007/s11698-023-00264-1
Leonardo Ridolfi
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引用次数: 1
Measuring stock market integration during the Gold Standard 衡量金本位时期的股票市场整合
IF 1.6 1区 历史学 Q2 ECONOMICS
Cliometrica
Pub Date : 2023-03-03 DOI: 10.1007/s11698-023-00265-0
Rebecca Stuart
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引用次数: 0
The urban–rural height gap: evidence from late nineteenth-century Catalonia 城乡身高差距：来自19世纪末加泰罗尼亚的证据
IF 1.6 1区 历史学 Q2 ECONOMICS
Cliometrica
Pub Date : 2023-02-11 DOI: 10.1007/s11698-022-00263-8
Ramon Ramon-Muñoz, Josep-Maria Ramon-Muñoz
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引用次数: 2
Competitive devaluations in the 1930s: myth or reality? 20世纪30年代的竞争性贬值：神话还是现实？
IF 1.6 1区 历史学 Q2 ECONOMICS
Cliometrica
Pub Date : 2022-12-18 DOI: 10.1007/s11698-022-00262-9
Jonas Ljungberg
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引用次数: 0
Escaping from hunger before WW1: the nutritional transition and living standards in Western Europe and USA in the late nineteenth century 第一次世界大战前逃离饥饿：19世纪末西欧和美国的营养转型和生活水平
IF 1.6 1区 历史学 Q2 ECONOMICS
Cliometrica
Pub Date : 2022-11-25 DOI: 10.1007/s11698-022-00259-4
I. Gazeley, Ros Holmes, A. Newell, Kevin Reynolds, H. Rufrancos
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引用次数: 1
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