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Emerging Regulation for the Digital Economy: Challenges and Opportunities for Multilateral Global Governance 数字经济新兴监管:多边全球治理的挑战与机遇
IF 0.9 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2021-06-14 DOI: 10.17323/1996-7845-2021-01-02
M. Larionova, A. Shelepov
The role of information and communications technology (ICT), high-speed communication infrastructure, digital content and the digital economy is expected to grow in the post-pandemic society. Simultaneously, competition for digital technologies and solutions and the contest to influence norms, standards and regulatory mechanisms is escalating. The new regulatory mechanisms and approaches are concurrently being shaped in the key international institutions, including the United Nations (UN), the International Telecommunication Union (ITU), the World Trade Organization (WTO), the Organisation for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD), the European Union (EU), the Group of 20 (G20) and the BRICS group of Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa.This article presents analysis of the current cooperation on issues of digital economy regulation within the main international institutions. The study aims to assess the influence of the existing and emerging regulatory mechanisms on the balance of power between the key international actors.This assessment of the emerging mechanisms’ impact on the balance of power among international actors indicates that advantages and leverage capabilities accruing from them are distributed unevenly. The advanced members of the OECD and the G20 gain significant advantages, and there is a risk that the new mechanisms will consolidate the balance of power embodied by the Bretton Woods system, which has successfully resisted decades-long endeavors for its reform.However, regulation of the digital economy is not yet built as an established order. A window of opportunity was opened in 2020, not only to implement the G20’s 2008 pledge to reform the international financial and economic architecture, but also to build a new digital economy governance system, ensuring thatemerging markets and developing countries have a voice in decision-making commensurate with their weight in the global economy.The article is structured in three parts. The introduction presents the research questions and objectives and describes the parameters of comparative analysis and influence assessment criteria. The second section reviews the emerging mechanisms and instruments and reflects on their influence on the balance of power. The third section puts forward conclusions and recommendations for enhancing the influence of emerging markets and developing countries on the shaping and functioning of the emerging digital economy’s regulatory mechanisms.
信息和通信技术、高速通信基础设施、数字内容和数字经济的作用预计将在疫情后社会中发挥作用。与此同时,对数字技术和解决方案的竞争以及影响规范、标准和监管机制的竞争正在升级。包括联合国、国际电信联盟、世界贸易组织、经济合作与发展组织、欧盟、20国集团和巴西、俄罗斯、印度、,中国和南非。本文分析了当前主要国际机构在数字经济监管问题上的合作。该研究旨在评估现有和新兴的监管机制对主要国际行为者之间力量平衡的影响。对新兴机制对国际行为者力量平衡影响的评估表明,这些机制所产生的优势和杠杆能力分布不均。经合组织和二十国集团的先进成员获得了显著优势,新机制有可能巩固布雷顿森林体系所体现的权力平衡,布雷顿森林体系成功地抵制了数十年来的改革努力。然而,对数字经济的监管还没有成为一种既定的秩序。2020年打开了一扇机会之窗,不仅是为了落实二十国集团2008年关于改革国际金融和经济架构的承诺,也是为了建立一个新的数字经济治理体系,确保新兴市场和发展中国家在与其在全球经济中的地位相称的决策中拥有发言权。这篇文章分为三个部分。引言介绍了研究的问题和目的,并描述了比较分析的参数和影响评估标准。第二节审查了新出现的机制和工具,并反思了它们对权力平衡的影响。第三部分提出了增强新兴市场和发展中国家对新兴数字经济监管机制形成和运作的影响的结论和建议。
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引用次数: 4
BRICS’ Contribution to the Global Transition to Sustainable Consumption and Production Patterns 金砖国家对全球向可持续消费和生产模式转型的贡献
IF 0.9 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2021-06-14 DOI: 10.17323/1996-7845-2021-01-01
A. Sakharov, I. Andronova
The rationalization of production and consumption patterns lies at the core of sustainable development as it determines the level of anthropogenic impact on the environment, which is ultimately the subject of all international climate arrangements. This topic broadly encompasses not only sustainable development goal (SDG) 12, but also certain aspects of SDGs 7 and 11. The role of BRICS countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) in promoting the concept of sustainability globally is determined by their place among the leading producers and consumers of natural resources and emitters of pollutants, as well as the parties to major global agreements in this area. This article focuses on the institutional contribution of the BRICS agenda to the international community's efforts to achieve the SDG targets related to the rationalization of resource production and consumption. In addition, because the socio-economic crisis of 2020 caused by the COVID-19 pandemic is seen as one of the factors impeding the implementation of the goals, the article also highlights the impact of COVID-19 and the crisis response of BRICS governments on long-term strategic planning for sustainable development.
生产和消费模式的合理化是可持续发展的核心,因为它决定了人类对环境的影响程度,而环境最终是所有国际气候安排的主题。这一主题不仅广泛涵盖可持续发展目标12,还包括可持续发展目标7和11的某些方面。金砖国家(巴西、俄罗斯、印度、中国和南非)在全球推广可持续发展理念方面的作用取决于它们在自然资源主要生产国和消费者、污染物排放国以及该领域主要全球协议缔约方中的地位。本文重点介绍金砖国家议程对国际社会努力实现与资源生产和消费合理化相关的可持续发展目标的制度贡献。此外,由于新冠肺炎疫情导致的2020年社会经济危机被视为阻碍目标实施的因素之一,文章还强调了新冠肺炎和金砖国家政府的危机应对对可持续发展长期战略规划的影响。
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引用次数: 0
The Current State of, and Perspectives on, Foreign Trade Between the EU and Central Asia in a Period of Geoeconomic Change 地缘经济变化时期欧盟与中亚对外贸易的现状与展望
IF 0.9 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2021-06-01 DOI: 10.17323/1996-7845-2021-01-07
E. Kašťáková, M. Žatko, Natália Barinková
The article examines the current foreign trade relations between the EU and Central Asia. Based on econometric analysis, it sets out possible perspectives for the further development of mutual trade relations in the time of geoeconomic changes. As one of the most important integration groupings in the world, the EU has a significant influence in promoting its foreign trade interests. Central Asia is a part of Asia consisting of several states that are members of different regional integration groupings with different priorities. The result of the research is an analysis of mutual foreign trade relations. Character and perspective of mutual trade relations is assessed by using of selected one-factor indicators (trade complementarity index and trade intensity index). With the help of time-series forecast model, the article also tries to estimate the future development of EU exports as well as EU imports in relation to Central Asian countries. While the EU imports from Central Asian countries are dominated by minerals and fuels in the long term, EU exports consist of more sophisticated and diversified production. This represents the potential for further development of the business relationships and growth of mutual trade. In the case of favourable circumstances, a continuing growth trend in trade can be expected, especially on the side on EU exports.
本文考察了当前欧盟与中亚地区的对外贸易关系。在计量经济学分析的基础上,提出了地缘经济变化时期双边贸易关系进一步发展的可能前景。欧盟作为世界上最重要的一体化集团之一,在促进其对外贸易利益方面具有重要的影响。中亚是亚洲的一部分,由几个国家组成,这些国家是不同区域一体化集团的成员,具有不同的优先事项。研究的结果是对双方对外贸易关系的分析。利用选定的单因素指标(贸易互补性指数和贸易强度指数)来评价双方贸易关系的特征和前景。借助时间序列预测模型,本文还试图对欧盟出口的未来发展以及欧盟对中亚国家的进口进行预测。从长期来看,欧盟从中亚国家的进口主要是矿物和燃料,而欧盟的出口则是更为复杂和多样化的产品。这代表了进一步发展业务关系和相互贸易增长的潜力。在有利的情况下,可以预期贸易的持续增长趋势,特别是在欧盟出口方面。
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引用次数: 1
G20 in the Second Decade of the 21st Century.Steering the World Towards Inclusive Growthand Sustainable Development 二十国集团在21世纪第二个十年引领世界实现包容性增长和可持续发展
IF 0.9 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2021-06-01 DOI: 10.17323/1996-7845-2021-02-01
S. Lukash
In 2020, the world community, states and citizens faced the serious global challenge. The COVID-19 pandemic jeopardized the implementation of the goals of sustainable development and inclusive growth, and has become a major challenge for the international cooperation and the action of global institutions. Being the main platform for cooperation among the world's leading economies, the G20 is often criticized for its inability to effectively withstand crises. However, as shown in this article, the G20 managed to quickly implement a coordinated set of large-scale measures to overcome the pandemic and its consequences and become a coordinator of anti-crisis actions. The author concludes that the unique characteristics of the G20 will allow it to remain the flagship of international efforts to ensure strong, sustainable, balanced and inclusive growth of the world economy, and suggests a number of priorities for the implementation of which the G20 agenda should be aimed at in the near future.
2020年,国际社会、各国和公民面临着严峻的全球挑战。新冠肺炎疫情危及可持续发展和包容性增长目标的实现,已成为国际合作和全球机构行动的重大挑战。作为世界主要经济体之间合作的主要平台,二十国集团经常因无力有效抵御危机而受到批评。然而,如本文所示,二十国集团成功地迅速实施了一系列协调一致的大规模措施,以克服疫情及其后果,并成为反危机行动的协调人。作者认为,二十国集团的独特特点将使其继续成为确保世界经济强劲、可持续、平衡和包容性增长的国际努力的旗舰,并提出了在不久的将来实施二十国集团议程的一些优先事项。
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引用次数: 0
G20 and Global Risk Analysis G20与全球风险分析
IF 0.9 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2021-06-01 DOI: 10.17323/1996-7845-2021-02-04
E. Gurvich, I. Prilepskiy
This article studies the work carried out by the Group of 20 (G20) between the global crises of 2008¬–09 and 2020. Active G20 efforts to ensure financial stability and control imbalances helped to mitigate vulnerabilities to crises of the 2008–09 type. Other key achievements included the transition of several G20 members to market-determined exchange rates and the Standard for Automatic Exchange of Financial Account Information as a part of the effort to combat base erosion and profit shifting. However, the G20 proved unprepared for the 2020 crisis, even though G20 leaders had noted the risks linked to infectious diseases in 2015. During the period between the crises, the G20 failed to establish an effective system for analyzing global risks. Indeed, its analysis was mainly adaptive as opposed to forward-looking; no mechanism was formed for controlling policies to manage risks. G20 members’ involvement in the analysis was inadequate, reflecting the consistent pattern of lower incentives for cooperation in the context of comparatively benign global economic conjunctures. Currently, however, the importance of managing global systemic risks is obvious and is reflected in the G20 Action Plan for supporting the global economy through the COVID-19 pandemic. This article presents recommendations for the key elements of this risk management (systematic identification of most probable/destructive vulnerabilities; development of strategies to minimize critical risks and mitigate their possible consequences; monitoring for early warning signs of the most critical vulnerabilities; organizing prompt consultations and adopting swift measures in response to the materialization of globally important risks), including mechanisms for members’ self-accountability and collaboration with international organizations. Management of systemic risks should start with resolving the challenges related to the COVID-19 pandemic: improving public health response systems; promoting structural economic transformations while ensuring prompt return to full employment; and striking the right balance between economic stimulus and macroeconomic stability.
本文研究了二十国集团(G20)在2008 -09年全球危机至2020年期间所开展的工作。G20在确保金融稳定和控制失衡方面的积极努力,有助于减轻2008-09年那种危机的脆弱性。其他重要成就包括一些G20成员国向市场决定汇率的过渡,以及《金融账户信息自动交换标准》,作为打击税基侵蚀和利润转移努力的一部分。然而,事实证明,20国集团对2020年的危机毫无准备,尽管20国集团领导人在2015年就指出了与传染病有关的风险。在两次危机之间,G20未能建立一个有效的全球风险分析体系。的确,它的分析主要是适应性的,而不是前瞻性的;未形成风险管理政策调控机制。二十国集团成员参与分析的力度不够,反映出在全球经济形势相对良性的背景下,合作动力一贯较低。当前,管理全球系统性风险的重要性是显而易见的,这体现在《二十国集团应对新冠肺炎疫情支持全球经济行动计划》中。本文提出了风险管理关键要素的建议(系统地识别最可能/最具破坏性的脆弱性;制定战略以尽量减少严重风险并减轻其可能的后果;监测最严重脆弱性的早期预警信号;组织迅速磋商并采取迅速措施,以应对全球重大风险的出现,包括成员自我问责和与国际组织合作的机制。系统性风险管理应从解决与COVID-19大流行相关的挑战着手:改善公共卫生应对系统;促进经济结构转型,同时确保迅速恢复充分就业;在经济刺激和宏观经济稳定之间取得适当的平衡。
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引用次数: 0
Sustainable Development and Digitalization: The Unusual COVID-19 Crisis Requires Original Solutions 可持续发展和数字化:不寻常的COVID-19危机需要独创的解决方案
IF 0.9 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2020-12-30 DOI: 10.17323/1996-7845-2020-04-05
T. Lanshina, V. Barinova, A. Kondratyev, M. Romantsov
This article provides a content analysis of over 20 policy proposals for coping with the COVID-19 crisis that have been published by influential international organizations, governments, corporations, academics and civil society groups The current situation, the role of digitalization during the crisis, and the composition of anti-crisis measures already taken by the worldʼs largest economies are investigated, and long-term measures are proposed aimed at restoring the global economy and moving toward more equitable and sustainable development The authors identify a significant green component in public policy proposals published since the pandemic began and note that many proposals relate to equity and inclusiveness in development and meeting the needs of individuals The authors further identify key areas of sustainable development that require action in the near future and which can create new opportunities for economic development: renewable energy and clean transport, cyclical economy, digitalization and environmental protection At the same time, it is noted that the transition to a green economy is of a long-term nature and may conflict with the need in the short term to support the economy in overcoming the crisis These priority areas for government action require attention within the framework of Russiaʼs anti-crisis policy Given the sharp drop in oil prices, the acceleration of digitalization and decarbonization, and the magnitude of the 2020 economic crisis, Russia needs to begin an accelerated transition to low-carbon energy, a cyclical economy and the restoration of its ecosystems with accelerated digitalization © 2020, International Organisations Research Journal All Rights Reserved
本文对有影响力的国际组织、政府、企业、学术界和民间社会团体发表的应对新冠肺炎危机的20多项政策建议进行了内容分析,调查了数字化在危机中的现状、作用以及世界最大经济体已经采取的应对危机措施的构成。提出了旨在恢复全球经济并朝着更加公平和可持续的发展方向发展的长期措施。作者指出,自疫情开始以来发布的公共政策建议中有一个重要的绿色组成部分,并指出,许多建议涉及发展中的公平和包容性以及满足个人需求。作者进一步指出,可持续发展的关键领域需要在不久的将来采取行动,并可以创造新的成果经济发展的机遇:同时指出,向绿色经济转型是长期性的,可能与短期内支持经济克服危机的需要相冲突。这些政府行动的优先领域需要在俄罗斯反危机政策框架内予以关注。鉴于油价大幅下跌,数字化和脱碳进程加快,鉴于2020年经济危机的严重程度,俄罗斯需要开始加速向低碳能源、循环经济的过渡,并通过加速数字化恢复其生态系统©2020,国际组织研究杂志版权所有
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引用次数: 6
Sustainable Development in Canada’s Arctic Territories: Goals and Results 加拿大北极地区的可持续发展:目标和结果
IF 0.9 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2020-12-30 DOI: 10.17323/1996-7845-2020-04-07
A. Sakharov, I. Andronova
The sustainable development agenda is gaining singular prominence in the context of studying development challenges in the Arctic. This region is particularly vulnerable to climate change and its ramifications and faces, due to its geographical remoteness, some of the greatest challenges in terms of the socio-economic aspects highlighted in the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals. This article reviews the experience of Canada, as a large northern country with vast territories and water areas beyond the Arctic Circle, in implementing national strategies and programmes for the development of its Arctic territories. The article identifies effective policy measures to create favourable conditions for sustainable socio-economic development through an analysis of the actual dynamics of key sustainable development indicators in Canada’s northern territories.Socio-economic development of the northern territories - Nunavut, Northwest Territories and Yukon - is one of the key priorities of Canada’s strategic development plans. These include the Federal Sustainable Development Strategy, the Northern Strategy and the Arctic and Northern Policy document. The following indicators were selected to analyze the implementation of these plans: population dynamics, life expectancy, gross regional product (GRP), unemployment rate, level of education of the population, share of economically active population, labour productivity, balance of regional budgets, federal subsidies in the structure of regional budgets, number of educational institutions, share of new renewable energy sources in the structure of electricity production, greenhouse gas emissions per capita, and hydrocarbons extraction.
在研究北极发展挑战的背景下,可持续发展议程正变得尤为突出。由于地理位置偏远,该地区特别容易受到气候变化及其后果的影响,并且在联合国可持续发展目标所强调的社会经济方面面临着一些最大的挑战。本文回顾了加拿大作为一个在北极圈以外拥有广阔领土和水域的北方大国,在实施其北极领土发展的国家战略和方案方面的经验。文章通过分析加拿大北部地区主要可持续发展指标的实际动态,确定了为可持续社会经济发展创造有利条件的有效政策措施。北部地区- -努纳武特、西北地区和育空地区- -的社会经济发展是加拿大战略发展计划的关键优先事项之一。其中包括《联邦可持续发展战略》、《北方战略》和《北极与北方政策》文件。选择以下指标来分析这些计划的执行情况:人口动态、预期寿命、地区生产总值(GRP)、失业率、人口受教育水平、经济活动人口比例、劳动生产率、地区预算平衡、联邦补贴在地区预算结构中的比例、教育机构数量、新可再生能源在电力生产结构中的比例、人均温室气体排放量和碳氢化合物开采。
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引用次数: 3
Review of the IMF Working Paper “Tec(h)tonic Shifts: Taxing the “Digital Economy” 对国际货币基金组织工作文件《Tec(h)tonic Shifts:对“数字经济”征税》的审查
IF 0.9 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2020-12-30 DOI: 10.17323/1996-7845-2020-04-11
A. Shelepov
The working paper is devoted to the issues of taxation in the digital economy. The main focus is on the concept of "user value". The authors argue that the widespread adoption of this concept has led to developing new approaches to calculating this value and the subsequent taxation of companies that profit from the use of user data. The working paper examines the steps taken at the country level to develop taxation based on user value and the difficulties of implementing the concept. Nevertheless, the authors come to the conclusion that reforming the global tax system in this direction is inevitable.
该工作文件专门讨论数字经济中的税收问题。主要关注点是“用户价值”的概念。作者认为,这一概念的广泛采用导致了计算这一价值的新方法的发展,以及随后对从使用用户数据中获利的公司征税。工作文件审查了在国家一级为发展基于用户价值的税收而采取的步骤以及实施这一概念的困难。然而,作者得出的结论是,朝着这个方向改革全球税收制度是不可避免的。
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引用次数: 1
Что стоит за цифровым налогом: вызовы борьбы Европейского союза за технологический суверенитет 数字税的背后:欧盟技术主权斗争的挑战
IF 0.9 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2020-12-30 DOI: 10.17323/1996-7845-2020-04-02
Nicola Bilotta
The COVID-19 pandemic has laid bare how critical digital platforms are to the functioning of our economy Big Tech companies are likely going to emerge stronger from the COVID-19 emergency, due to the massive surge in demand for public, retail and corporate digital services This megatrend has consolidated the dominant market position of digital multinationals – almost all of them from the US – in the EU markets, raising critical questions ranging from the EU’s ambition for technological sovereignty to the much more urgent issue of how Big Tech’s profits should be taxed The “digital tax” issue – already the source of a lively international debate before COVID-19 – has gained in prominence as it would be an important instrument for governments in dire need of raising money to finance the post-pandemic economic recovery With the digital tax included the Next Generation EU recovery fund presented by the European Commission, the EU is expected to further consolidate its global leadership in tech regulations However, European regulatory activism could also raise barriers to transatlantic trade and investments, thus producing new tensions with the US © 2020, International Organisations Research Journal All Rights Reserved
新冠肺炎疫情暴露了数字平台对我们经济运行的重要性。由于对公众的需求激增,大型科技公司可能会在新冠肺炎紧急情况下变得更加强大,零售和企业数字服务这一大趋势巩固了数字跨国公司在欧盟市场的主导市场地位,几乎所有跨国公司都来自美国,提出了一些关键问题,从欧盟对技术主权的野心,到更紧迫的大型科技公司利润应如何征税问题。“数字税”问题——在新冠肺炎之前就已经是一场激烈的国际辩论的源头——已经变得越来越突出,因为它将成为迫切需要筹集资金为疫情后的经济复苏随着数字税包括欧盟委员会提出的下一代欧盟复苏基金,预计欧盟将进一步巩固其在科技监管方面的全球领导地位。然而,欧洲的监管行动也可能增加跨大西洋贸易和投资的壁垒,从而与美国产生新的紧张关系©2020,国际组织研究期刊版权所有
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引用次数: 2
Что означает понятие «суверенитет» в цифровом мире? 在数字世界中,“主权”意味着什么?
IF 0.9 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2020-12-30 DOI: 10.17323/1996-7845-2020-04-03
Stéphane Couture, Sophie Toupin
Статья посвящена особенностям употребления понятия «суверенитет» в реалиях цифровизации. Рассматриваемое понятие все чаще используется для описания всевозможных форм независимости, контроля и автономии в отношении элементов цифровой инфраструктуры, технологий и данных. Представленный анализ основывается на результатах предшествующих и текущих исследований (с привлечением специалистов и экспертов), в рамках которых авторы обнаруживают примеры применения понятия «суверенитет» для описания технологических процессов, которые существенно отличаются от деятельности государств. Авторы рассматривают ряд публикаций, чтобы продемонстрировать разнообразие существующих подходов, принятых в рамках различных групп и объединений. Наглядно показано, что хотя в отдельных случаях понятие «суверенитет» используется для установления некой формы коллективного контроля над цифровой информацией и (или) инфраструктурой, возможны и совершенно иные подходы к определению рассматриваемого понятия.
这篇文章是关于在数字化现实中使用“主权”一词的特殊性。越来越多地使用这个概念来描述数字基础设施、技术和数据元素的各种形式的独立、控制和自治。提交的分析基于以前和现在的研究(包括专家和专家)的结果,提交人发现了使用“主权”来描述与国家活动截然不同的技术过程的例子。作者们正在研究一些出版物,以展示不同群体和协会采用的现有方法的多样性。虽然在某些情况下,“主权”一词被用来建立某种形式的对数字信息和(或)基础设施的集体控制,但定义这个概念的方法却截然不同。
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引用次数: 11
期刊
Vestnik Mezhdunarodnykh Organizatsii-International Organisations Research Journal
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