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The welfare effects of mobile broadband internet: Evidence from Nigeria 移动宽带互联网的福利效应:尼日利亚的证据
IF 5 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103314
Kalvin Bahia , Pau Castells , Genaro Cruz , Takaaki Masaki , Xavier Pedrós , Tobias Pfutze , Carlos Rodríguez-Castelán , Hernán Winkler

This paper estimates the impacts of mobile broadband coverage on household welfare in Nigeria. The analysis exploits a unique data set that integrates a longitudinal household survey with information from Nigerian mobile operators on the deployment of mobile broadband internet between 2010 and 2016. Overall, estimates show that mobile broadband coverage had large and positive impacts on household consumption thereby reducing poverty significantly. This effect is if anything stronger among poorer households. Labor force participation explains a big part of this welfare-enhancing effect.

本文估算了移动宽带覆盖对尼日利亚家庭福利的影响。分析利用了一个独特的数据集,该数据集将纵向家庭调查与尼日利亚移动运营商提供的有关 2010 年至 2016 年移动宽带互联网部署情况的信息整合在一起。总体而言,估算结果显示,移动宽带覆盖率对家庭消费产生了巨大的积极影响,从而显著减少了贫困。这种影响在贫困家庭中更为明显。劳动力参与是这一福利提升效应的主要原因。
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引用次数: 0
Social distancing and COVID-19 under violence: Evidence from Colombia 暴力事件下的社会疏远与 COVID-19:来自哥伦比亚的证据
IF 5 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103313
Diego A. Martin , Dario A. Romero

Did violence increase social distancing and decrease COVID-19 cases? We investigated the effects of massacres on social distancing and subsequent impacts on COVID-19 cases in Colombia. Using an augmented synthetic control method model, we find that massacres reduced human mobility toward parks by six percentage points compared to unaffected areas. However, we did not find significant changes in workplace mobility. Moreover, alterations in social interactions caused by the violence had minimal effects on the spread of COVID-19. Following the occurrence of the first massacre, there was a decrease in 35 new cases per 100,000 inhabitants in the subsequent four months, with no evidence of changes in COVID-19 deaths. By leveraging an exogenous shock unrelated to the fear of the disease or its previous levels, we demonstrate the effect of social distancing and offer insights into social dynamics and public health.

暴力是否加剧了社会疏远并减少了 COVID-19 病例?我们调查了屠杀对社会距离的影响以及随后对哥伦比亚 COVID-19 病例的影响。通过使用增强合成控制法模型,我们发现与未受影响的地区相比,屠杀事件使人们向公园的流动性降低了 6 个百分点。然而,我们并没有发现工作场所流动性的显著变化。此外,暴力事件导致的社会交往改变对 COVID-19 的传播影响甚微。第一场屠杀发生后,在随后的四个月中,每 10 万居民中新增病例数减少了 35 例,但没有证据表明 COVID-19 的死亡人数发生了变化。通过利用与疾病恐惧或其先前水平无关的外源冲击,我们证明了社会距离的影响,并提供了对社会动态和公共卫生的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Information frictions, belief updating and internal migration: Evidence from Ghana and Uganda 信息摩擦、信念更新和国内移民:来自加纳和乌干达的证据
IF 5.1 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103311
Sarah Frohnweiler , Bernd Beber , Cara Ebert

Information frictions about benefits of migration can lead to inefficient migration choices. We study the effects of randomly assigned information treatments concerning regional income differentials in Ghana and Uganda to explore participants’ belief updating and changes in internal migration intentions, destination preferences, and actual migration. Treated participants prefer higher income destinations, while effects on intent plausibly follow subjects’ initial under- or overestimation of potential gains, with asymmetric updating propensities. Effects persist for 18 months, and discussions with others about migrating increase, but actual migration does not. Knowledge about income affects intentions and destination choices, but barriers to actual relocation are complex.

有关移民益处的信息摩擦会导致低效的移民选择。我们研究了随机分配的有关加纳和乌干达地区收入差异的信息处理效果,以探讨参与者的信念更新以及国内移民意向、目的地偏好和实际移民的变化。接受信息处理的参与者偏好收入较高的目的地,而对意向的影响则可能是受试者最初对潜在收益的低估或高估,且更新倾向不对称。这种影响会持续 18 个月,与他人讨论移民的次数会增加,但实际移民次数不会增加。对收入的了解会影响迁移意向和目的地选择,但实际迁移的障碍是复杂的。
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引用次数: 0
In someone else’s shoes: Reducing prejudice through perspective taking 换位思考通过透视减少偏见
IF 5 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103309
Marisol Rodríguez Chatruc , Sandra V. Rozo

This study investigates the effectiveness of online, low-cost, scalable interventions aimed at reducing prejudice against an out-group through the use of perspective taking. We conducted an online experiment in which Colombian natives were randomly assigned to either watch a video documentary about Venezuelan forced migrants crossing the Colombian border on foot or to play an online game that immersed them in the life of a Venezuelan forced migrant. Compared to a control group, both treatments led to increased altruism toward Venezuelans and improved attitudes toward forced migrants. However, only the game significantly boosted self-reported trust. In terms of effectiveness per minute of treatment, the video was at least four times more efficient than the game in enhancing prosociality. Given the video’s comparably shorter duration, greater ease of dissemination, and lower demand for active involvement, it appears a superior option to enhance prosocial behaviors in the short term.

本研究调查了低成本、可扩展的在线干预措施的有效性,这些干预措施旨在通过使用透视法来减少对外部群体的偏见。我们进行了一项在线实验,随机分配哥伦比亚本地人观看关于委内瑞拉被迫移民徒步穿越哥伦比亚边境的视频纪录片,或者玩一个在线游戏,让他们沉浸在委内瑞拉被迫移民的生活中。与对照组相比,两种治疗方法都提高了对委内瑞拉人的利他主义,改善了对被迫移民的态度。然而,只有游戏显著提高了自我报告的信任度。就每分钟的治疗效果而言,视频在提高亲社会性方面的效率至少是游戏的四倍。鉴于视频的持续时间较短、更易于传播、对主动参与的要求较低,它似乎是在短期内增强亲社会行为的一个更优选择。
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引用次数: 0
Using technology to prevent fraud in high stakes national school examinations: Evidence from Indonesia 利用技术防止全国学校考试中的舞弊行为:印度尼西亚的证据
IF 5 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103307
Emilie Berkhout , Menno Pradhan , Rahmawati , Daniel Suryadarma , Arya Swarnata

Cheating reduces the signaling value of examinations. It also shifts the focus of teachers and students away from learning. Combating widespread cheating is difficult as students, teachers, and bureaucrats all benefit from high reported grades. We evaluate the impact of computer-based testing (CBT), an at-scale policy implemented by the Indonesian government to reduce widespread cheating in the national examinations. Exploiting the phased roll-out of the program from 2015 to 2019, we find that test scores declined dramatically, by 0.5 standard deviations, after the introduction of CBT. Schools with response patterns that indicated cheating prior to CBT adoption experienced a steeper decline. The effect is similar between schools with and without access to a computer lab, indicating that the reduction in the opportunity to cheat is the main reason for the test score decline. In districts with high adoption of CBT, schools that still used paper-based exams cheated less and scored lower, indicating spillovers of CBT. The results highlight the potential role of technology in improving the effectiveness in efforts to overcome collusive behavior in the education sector.

作弊降低了考试的信号价值。作弊还使教师和学生的注意力从学习上转移开来。由于学生、教师和官员都能从高分中获益,因此打击普遍作弊现象十分困难。我们评估了计算机辅助考试(CBT)的影响,这是印尼政府为减少国家考试中普遍存在的作弊现象而实施的一项大规模政策。我们利用从 2015 年到 2019 年分阶段推出该计划的机会,发现在引入 CBT 后,考试成绩急剧下降了 0.5 个标准差。在采用 CBT 之前,答卷模式显示有作弊行为的学校,其分数下降幅度更大。有计算机实验室的学校和没有计算机实验室的学校之间的影响相似,这表明作弊机会的减少是考试成绩下降的主要原因。在大量采用 CBT 的地区,仍然使用纸质考试的学校作弊较少,得分也较低,这表明 CBT 具有溢出效应。这些结果凸显了技术在提高克服教育部门合谋行为的有效性方面的潜在作用。
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引用次数: 0
Information and immigrant settlement 信息和移民安置
IF 5 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103305
Toman Barsbai , Victoria Licuanan , Andreas Steinmayr , Erwin Tiongson , Dean Yang

We study a randomly-assigned program providing information on U.S. settlement for new Filipino immigrants. The intervention, a 2.5-hour pre-departure training and an accompanying paper handbook, has no effect on employment, settlement, and subjective wellbeing, but leads immigrants to acquire substantially fewer social network connections. We rationalize these findings with a simple model, showing that information and social network links are substitutes under reasonable assumptions. Consistent with the model, the treatment reduces social network links more when costs of acquiring network links are lower. Offsetting reductions in the acquisition of social network connections can hence reduce the effectiveness of information interventions.

我们研究了一项为菲律宾新移民提供美国定居信息的随机分配项目。干预措施是 2.5 小时的出发前培训和随附的纸质手册,对就业、定居和主观幸福感没有影响,但却导致移民获得的社会网络联系大大减少。我们用一个简单的模型来解释这些发现,表明在合理的假设条件下,信息和社会网络联系是相互替代的。与该模型一致的是,当获取社会网络联系的成本较低时,治疗会更多地减少社会网络联系。因此,获取社会网络联系的抵消性减少会降低信息干预的效果。
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引用次数: 0
The effectiveness of entry deregulation: Novel evidence from removing minimum capital requirements 放松准入管制的有效性:取消最低资本要求的新证据
IF 5 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103304
Hua Cheng , Siying Ding , Yongzheng Liu

Although minimum paid-in capital requirements impede firm entry, governments worldwide have only recently started to reduce or remove such requirements. This study is among the first to examine the effectiveness of an entry deregulation reform in China that eliminated such requirements. We exploit city–year–month variation in reform implementation and employ a large nationwide administrative dataset of firm registrations, finding that the deregulation strongly encourages firm and job creation. Moreover, we find that the deregulation exerts a pro-competitive effect by encouraging the entry of small and medium-sized firms, private firms, and single-shareholder firms, which diversifies the industrial bases and reduces the industrial concentration of economic activity. Finally, we provide suggestive evidence that the deregulation promotes economic growth in the deregulated cities.

尽管最低实收资本要求阻碍了企业的进入,但世界各国政府直到最近才开始减少或取消此类要求。本研究是首批研究中国放松准入管制、取消此类要求的改革效果的研究之一。我们利用改革实施过程中的城市-年-月差异,并采用了全国范围内企业注册的大型行政数据集,发现放松管制极大地鼓励了企业和就业岗位的创造。此外,我们还发现,放松管制通过鼓励中小型企业、私营企业和单一股东企业的进入,产生了有利于竞争的效果,从而实现了产业基础的多样化,降低了经济活动的产业集中度。最后,我们提供了放松管制促进放松管制城市经济增长的提示性证据。
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引用次数: 0
Fracking, farmers, and rural electrification in India 印度的压裂、农民和农村电气化
IF 5 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103308
T. Robert Fetter , Faraz Usmani

The shale gas revolution in the United States induced an unprecedented commodity boom across northwestern India. Leveraging population-based discontinuities in the contemporaneous roll-out of India’s national rural electrification scheme, we show that access to electricity increased total employment and non-agricultural employment in villages affected by this exogenous economic shock, but had no impact on labor markets elsewhere. This combination of two natural experiments highlights how complementary economic conditions drive heterogeneity in the labor-market impacts of rural electrification. It also helps explain the large variation in the reported impacts of such resource-intensive infrastructure investments globally.

美国的页岩气革命引发了印度西北部前所未有的商品繁荣。利用印度全国农村电气化计划同期推出的基于人口的不连续性,我们表明,在受外生经济冲击影响的村庄,通电增加了总就业和非农业就业,但对其他地方的劳动力市场没有影响。这两个自然实验的结合凸显了互补性经济条件如何驱动农村电气化对劳动力市场影响的异质性。这也有助于解释全球范围内报告的此类资源密集型基础设施投资影响的巨大差异。
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引用次数: 0
Is the glass half full or half empty? Examining the impact of Swatch Bharat interventions on sanitation and hygiene in rural Punjab, India 杯子是半满还是半空?考察 Swatch Bharat 干预措施对印度旁遮普农村地区环境卫生和个人卫生的影响
IF 5 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103295
Saubhik Deb, George Joseph, Luis Alberto Andrés, Jonathan Grabinsky Zabludovsky

This paper reports the findings of a cluster-randomized control study to assess the impact of India's flagship sanitation program, as implemented in Punjab, that aimed to eliminate the practice of open defecation and improve the awareness and practice of good hygiene across rural Punjab. The study finds that the program interventions specific to the Gram Panchayats (villages) had a modest effect on improving access to toilets and reducing open defecation among households with children in rural Punjab. However, awareness of the importance of handwashing before eating and after defecation among school-going children improved by 8–14 percentage points in treatment arms relative to control, though no significant impact on handwashing practices was observed. Consistent with the problem of implementation failure, the findings indicate the inherent difficulties of implementing bottom-up interventions through a large-scale government program.

本论文报告了一项分组随机对照研究的结果,该研究旨在评估印度旗舰卫生计划的影响,该计划在旁遮普邦实施,目的是在旁遮普邦农村消除随地大小便的做法,并提高人们对良好卫生习惯的认识和实践。研究发现,针对村委会(Gram Panchayats)的计划干预措施对改善旁遮普省农村地区有儿童的家庭使用厕所和减少露天排便现象起到了一定的作用。不过,与对照组相比,治疗组中上学儿童对饭前便后洗手重要性的认识提高了 8-14 个百分点,但对洗手习惯的影响并不显著。与实施失败的问题相一致,研究结果表明,通过大规模的政府项目实施自下而上的干预措施存在固有的困难。
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引用次数: 0
Medication against conflict 预防冲突的药物
IF 5 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103306
Andrea Berlanda , Matteo Cervellati , Elena Esposito , Dominic Rohner , Uwe Sunde

Adverse health conditions and social conflict constitute major impediments for developing countries. The potential for reducing social conflict by successful public health interventions is largely unknown. This paper closes this gap by evaluating the effect of a major health intervention—the successful expansion of anti-retroviral therapy (ART) to combat the HIV/AIDS pandemic in Africa. Combining exogenous time variation in access to ART with cross-sectional variation in the scope for treatment for identification, we find that the ART expansion significantly reduced the number of violent events in African countries and sub-national regions. The effect pertains to social conflict, not civil war. The evidence also shows that the effect is related to health improvements, greater approval of government policy, and increased trust in political institutions. Results of a counterfactual simulation reveal that the ART expansion reduced the number of social conflict events by about 10%.

不利的健康状况和社会冲突是发展中国家的主要障碍。成功的公共卫生干预措施在减少社会冲突方面的潜力在很大程度上是未知的。本文通过评估一项重大卫生干预措施--成功推广抗逆转录病毒疗法(ART)以抗击艾滋病毒/艾滋病在非洲的流行--的效果,填补了这一空白。结合获得抗逆转录病毒疗法的外生时间变化和治疗范围的横截面变化,我们发现,抗逆转录病毒疗法的推广大大减少了非洲国家和国家以下地区的暴力事件数量。这种效应与社会冲突而非内战有关。证据还显示,这种效应与健康状况的改善、政府政策获得更多认可以及政治机构信任度的提高有关。反事实模拟的结果显示,抗逆转录病毒疗法的推广使社会冲突事件的数量减少了约 10%。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Development Economics
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