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The long-run costs of highly competitive exams for government jobs 竞争激烈的政府职位考试的长期成本
IF 5.1 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103331
Kunal Mangal

Public sector recruitment exams can be highly competitive. Does this competition encourage candidates to develop generalizable skills, or do investments in exam preparation burden candidates who fail to get selected? I address this question by studying the impact of a partial public sector hiring freeze in the state of Tamil Nadu, India on male college graduates. The hiring freeze eliminated 86% of the usual vacancies. This increased the applicant-to-vacancy ratio for the remaining posts. Cohorts that were exposed to the hiring freeze delayed full-time employment, most likely in order to invest more time in exam preparation. A decade after the hiring freeze ended, the affected cohorts demonstrate a lower earning capacity, have delayed household formation, and appear more likely to remain unemployed. Together, these results suggest that highly competitive exams encourage candidates to make investments that are ultimately unproductive.

公共部门招聘考试可能竞争激烈。这种竞争是鼓励应聘者发展通用技能,还是给未能入选的应聘者带来备考投资的负担?为了解决这个问题,我研究了印度泰米尔纳德邦部分公共部门冻结招聘对男性大学毕业生的影响。招聘冻结取消了 86% 的常规职位空缺。这增加了剩余职位的申请者与空缺率。受到招聘冻结影响的群体推迟了全职就业,很可能是为了投入更多时间准备考试。招聘冻结结束十年后,受影响的群体显示出较低的收入能力,推迟了组建家庭的时间,而且似乎更有可能继续失业。总之,这些结果表明,竞争激烈的考试会鼓励考生做出最终无益的投资。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial inefficiencies in Africa’s trade network 非洲贸易网络的空间效率低下问题
IF 5.1 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103319
Tilman Graff

I assess the efficiency of transport networks for every country in Africa. Using spatial data from various sources, I simulate trade flows over more than 70,000 links covering the entire continent. I maximise over the space of networks and find the optimal road system for every African state. My simulations predict that Africa would gain 1.3% of total welfare from reorganising its national road systems, and 0.8% from optimally expanding it by a tenth. I then construct a dataset of local network inefficiency and find that colonial infrastructure projects significantly skew trade networks towards a sub-optimal equilibrium today. I find suggestive evidence that regional favouritism played a role sustaining these imbalances.

我对非洲每个国家的运输网络效率进行了评估。利用各种来源的空间数据,我模拟了覆盖整个非洲大陆的 7 万多条线路上的贸易流。我对网络空间进行了最大化,为每个非洲国家找到了最佳公路系统。根据我的模拟预测,非洲将从重组其国家公路系统中获得 1.3% 的总福利,而将其最优化地扩大十分之一将获得 0.8% 的总福利。然后,我构建了一个地方网络效率低下的数据集,发现殖民时期的基础设施项目极大地扭曲了贸易网络,使其趋向于今天的次优均衡状态。我发现有暗示性证据表明,地区偏袒在维持这些不平衡方面发挥了作用。
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引用次数: 0
How important are matching frictions in the labor market? Experimental & non-experimental evidence from a large Indian firm 劳动力市场中的匹配摩擦有多重要?来自一家印度大型企业的实验和非实验证据
IF 5.1 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103330
Abhijit V. Banerjee , Gaurav Chiplunkar

This paper provides evidence of matching frictions in the Indian labor market. Using several methods to elicit genuine preferences of job-seekers over jobs, we show that: (a) there is substantial variation in job-seekers preferences over the same jobs; and (b) placement officers, responsible for placing job-seekers in jobs, have poor knowledge of it. Providing placement offers with this information improves matching of job-seekers to interviews, even after taking into account redistribution of jobs across job-seekers. Treated job-seekers get more preferred jobs and retain them in the short run (three months), but not in the longer run (six months).

本文提供了印度劳动力市场匹配摩擦的证据。我们使用多种方法来了解求职者对工作的真实偏好,结果表明(a) 求职者对相同工作的偏好存在很大差异;(b) 负责为求职者安排工作的安置官员对此知之甚少。即使考虑到求职者之间工作岗位的重新分配,向就业指导人员提供这些信息也能改善求职者的面试匹配情况。经过培训的求职者在短期内(3 个月)获得了更多心仪的工作,并留住了这些工作,但在长期内(6 个月)则不然。
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引用次数: 0
In-group competition for incentives 组内竞争激励
IF 5 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103320
Michael Olabisi , Mywish Maredia , Jiawen Liu , Toyin Ajibade , Hakeem Ajeigbe

How can one motivate field staff to meet activity goals on time? Can introducing competition within groups motivate workers to meet goals faster than simply setting targets for workers? We conducted an experiment that assigned temporary field workers for a mobile app registration project into two treatment groups: field workers pursuing individual goals versus competing for a shared group-goal. We measure whether field workers reached their goal, the time to reach the goal, and the number of registered users per field worker. Our model suggests that field workers complete tasks more quickly with in-group competitive targets compared to individual targets. In line with this prediction, we observed that in-group competition led to an increased number of registrations and faster target achievement. Although the effects do not significantly vary by gender, the competition treatment proved more effective for employed individuals, those with less experience, and those with higher ability.

如何激励外勤人员按时完成活动目标?与简单地为工人设定目标相比,在小组内引入竞争能否激励工人更快地完成目标?我们进行了一项实验,将一个移动应用程序注册项目的临时外勤人员分为两个处理组:追求个人目标的外勤人员组和为实现共同小组目标而竞争的外勤人员组。我们对外勤人员是否达到目标、达到目标的时间以及每位外勤人员的注册用户数量进行了测量。我们的模型表明,与个人目标相比,野外作业人员更快地完成组内竞争目标的任务。与这一预测相一致,我们观察到,组内竞争导致注册用户数量增加,目标完成速度加快。虽然不同性别的效果没有明显差异,但竞争待遇对就业人员、经验较少的人员和能力较强的人员更有效。
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引用次数: 0
Altruism in governance: Insights from randomized training for Pakistan's junior ministers 治理中的利他主义:巴基斯坦初级部长随机培训的启示
IF 5 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103317
Sultan Mehmood , Shaheen Naseer , Daniel L. Chen

Randomizing different schools of thought in training altruism finds that training junior deputy ministers in the utility of empathy renders at least a 0.4 standard deviation increase in altruism. Treated ministers increased their perspective-taking: blood donations doubled, but only when blood banks requested their exact blood type. Perspective-taking in strategic dilemmas improved. Field measures such as orphanage visits and volunteering in impoverished schools also increased, as did their test scores in teamwork assessments in policy scenarios. Overall, our results underscore that the utility of empathy can be a parsimonious foundation for the formation of prosociality, even impacting the behavior of adults in the field.

对不同流派的利他主义培训进行随机分析后发现,对初级副部长进行移情效用培训至少能使利他主义增加 0.4 个标准差。接受培训的部长们提高了他们的洞察力:献血量增加了一倍,但只有当血库要求他们提供准确血型时才会这样。在战略困境中的透视能力有所提高。实地考察孤儿院和到贫困学校做义工等活动也有所增加,他们在政策情景团队合作评估中的考试成绩也有所提高。总之,我们的研究结果表明,共情的效用可以为亲社会性的形成奠定坚实的基础,甚至会影响成年人在实地的行为。
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引用次数: 0
Passing the message: Peer outreach about COVID-19 precautions in Zambia 传递信息:在赞比亚开展有关 COVID-19 预防措施的同伴宣传活动
IF 5 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103318
Alfredo Burlando , Pradeep Chintagunta , Jessica Goldberg , Melissa Graboyes , Peter Hangoma , Dean Karlan , Mario Macis , Silvia Prina

During public health emergencies, spreading accurate information and increasing adherence to recommended behaviors is critical for communal welfare. However, uncertainty, mistrust, and misinformation can slow the adoption of best practices. Preexisting social networks can amplify and endorse information from authorities, and technology makes peer-to-peer messaging scalable and fast. Using text messages and small cash incentives, we test a peer-based information campaign to encourage adherence to recommended COVID-19-related health behaviors in Zambia. None of the treatments affected health behavior among primary study participants or their peers. The suggestion to pass messages to peers increases dissemination, but financial incentives do not have any additional impact.

在公共卫生突发事件期间,传播准确的信息和加强对建议行为的遵守对于社区福利至关重要。然而,不确定性、不信任和错误信息会延缓最佳实践的采用。已有的社交网络可以放大和认可来自权威机构的信息,而技术则使点对点信息传播具有可扩展性和快速性。利用短信和小额现金奖励,我们在赞比亚测试了一种基于同伴的信息宣传活动,以鼓励人们遵守与 COVID-19 相关的健康行为建议。没有一种治疗方法会影响主要研究参与者或其同伴的健康行为。将信息传递给同伴的建议增加了信息的传播,但经济激励并没有产生额外的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Evidence on designing sanitation interventions 设计卫生设施干预措施的证据
IF 5.1 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103316
Britta Augsburg , Andrew Foster , Terence Johnson , Molly Lipscomb

Sanitation is a public good, the responsibility for which is shared between households and the government. Interventions in the sector, therefore, must be designed with an eye toward reducing crowd out. We discuss the new findings on sanitation provision from the 12 papers in this special issue in the context of a simple model of household choice of levels of sanitation investment in the face of joint responsibility between the government and households over sanitation. The model provides micro-foundations for understanding when we should be particularly concerned about the potential for crowd-out together with intuition for the implications of the choice of intervention design between information, in-kind transfers, cash transfers, and subsidies. We use the framework of the model to discuss the findings of the papers in this special issue.

环境卫生是一项公益事业,由家庭和政府共同承担。因此,在设计该领域的干预措施时,必须着眼于减少挤出效应。在政府和家庭共同承担卫生责任的情况下,我们通过一个简单的家庭选择卫生投资水平的模型来讨论本特刊中 12 篇论文中关于卫生设施提供的新发现。该模型提供了微观基础,让我们了解何时应特别关注挤出的可能性,并直观地了解在信息、实物转让、现金转让和补贴之间选择干预设计的影响。我们利用该模型的框架来讨论本特刊中论文的研究结果。
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引用次数: 0
Punishing mayors who fail the test: How do voters respond to information about educational outcomes? 惩罚考试不及格的市长:选民如何回应有关教育成果的信息?
IF 5 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103315
Loreto Cox , Sylvia Eyzaguirre , Francisco A. Gallego , Maximiliano García

This paper explores the electoral effects of providing information on the educational outcomes of municipal schools when the mayor is running for reelection. We designed and implemented an experiment in Chile whereby we sent 128,033 letters to voters in 400 randomly selected polling stations prior to the 2016 municipal elections. The letters included information on past test scores for local public schools (levels and changes), and either average or maximum outcomes for comparable municipalities. Our findings do not reveal a relevant average impact of the letters, but when they contain poor educational outcomes, voter turnout decreases, translating almost one to one in decreases in votes for the incumbent mayor. Voters respond to educational results in levels and to letters that have average results as a benchmark. The results are especially strong when poor educational outcomes come as bad news to voters. We also find spillover effects in the municipal council election. Overall, our findings suggest that voters hold politicians accountable when faced to certain (but not all) types of information on their performance. JEL Codes: D72, H75, I25.

本文探讨了在市长竞选连任时提供市立学校教育成果信息的选举效果。我们在智利设计并实施了一项实验,在 2016 年市政选举之前,我们向随机抽取的 400 个投票站的选民发送了 128 033 封信件。信中包含了当地公立学校过去考试成绩(水平和变化)的信息,以及可比城市的平均或最高成绩。我们的调查结果显示,这些信件并没有产生相关的平均影响,但当信件中包含较差的教育结果时,选民的投票率就会下降,这与现任市长的得票率下降几乎是一比一。选民对教育结果的水平和以平均结果为基准的信件都有反应。当糟糕的教育结果对选民来说是个坏消息时,结果尤其明显。我们还在市议会选举中发现了溢出效应。总之,我们的研究结果表明,选民在面对某些(但不是所有)类型的政客表现信息时,会让政客承担责任。JEL Codes:D72, H75, I25.
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引用次数: 0
Big hits in export growth 出口大幅增长
IF 5 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103310
Melise Jaud , Olivier Cadot , Anne-Célia Disdier , Akiko Suwa-Eisenmann

This paper identifies export accelerations at the country pair-product level that are large enough to drive aggregate export growth in the medium run. In a sample of 100 countries, these export “big hits” are rare, less than 2 percent of all export spells, yet account for over two-thirds of export growth in a given country. The paper then explores their microfoundations using matched customs-census firm-level data for France. We find that typically, two firms are sufficient to generate a big hit and these firms’ access to external financing is key to their ability to drive export success. Moreover, big hits spread within firms across destinations and products. Our results offer new evidence on the granularity of export growth by linking micro-level entrepreneurial decisions with country-level export outcomes.

本文从国家对-产品层面找出了出口加速现象,这些现象足以在中期内推动总体出口增长。在 100 个国家的样本中,这些出口 "大事件 "非常罕见,在所有出口事件中占比不到 2%,但却占了特定国家出口增长的三分之二以上。随后,本文利用法国海关普查企业层面的匹配数据,对其微观基础进行了探讨。我们发现,通常情况下,两家公司就足以产生一个大订单,而这些公司能否获得外部融资是其能否推动出口成功的关键。此外,重大突破在不同目的地和不同产品的企业内部都有扩散。通过将微观层面的创业决策与国家层面的出口结果联系起来,我们的研究结果为出口增长的粒度提供了新的证据。
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引用次数: 0
Types of communications technology and civil conflict 通信技术类型与国内冲突
IF 5 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103312
Tushar Bharati , Michael Jetter , Muhammad Nauman Malik

Why do different types of information and communications technologies (ICTs) differentially relate to civil conflict incidence? We distinguish one-way (radio; television) from two-way ICTs (phone; internet; social media), contrasting technologies enabling one-directional broadcasting against technologies facilitating dialogue. The former predominantly allow rulers to misinform rebels about attainable rents, which, according to our theoretical framework, consequentially reduces conflict potential. However, two-way ICTs primarily help rebels overcome communication and coordination problems, which ultimately increases conflict potential. Strong political institutions are predicted to weaken these relationships but should remain unable to overturn their signs. Empirically, we observe consistent patterns in (i) country-level panel analyses of civil conflict and (ii) individual-level survey responses eliciting anti-government attitudes. Radio and television availability and usage consistently emerge as negative predictors of conflict incidence and anti-government attitudes — but less so under strong political institutions. Opposite results materialize for mobile phone, internet, and social media availability and usage.

为什么不同类型的信息与传播技术(ICTs)与国内冲突发生率的关系不同?我们区分了单向(广播、电视)和双向(电话、互联网、社交媒体)的信息与传播技术,将单向广播技术与促进对话的技术进行对比。根据我们的理论框架,前者主要允许统治者向反叛者误导可获得的租金,从而降低冲突的可能性。然而,双向信息和通信技术主要是帮助反叛者克服沟通和协调问题,这最终会增加冲突的可能性。据预测,强大的政治体制会削弱这些关系,但仍无法推翻其迹象。从经验上看,我们在(i)国家层面的国内冲突面板分析和(ii)个人层面的反政府态度调查中观察到了一致的模式。广播和电视的可用性和使用率始终是冲突发生率和反政府态度的负面预测因素--但在强大的政治体制下,情况就不太一样了。手机、互联网和社交媒体的可用性和使用情况则出现了相反的结果。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Development Economics
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