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E-PARTICIPATION IN EUROPE: A COMPARATIVE PERSPECTIVE 欧洲的电子参与:比较视角
IF 0.3 Q4 PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.17323/1999-5431-2022-0-5-7-29
Armenia Androniceanu, I. Georgescu
Public participation is a way for stakeholders of public institutions to participate in the public decision-making process, planning, organizing, and financing activities to achieve common public goals. The research underlying this paper examines the ability of EU states to support e-participation in various ways and activities. The aim of the research is to identify the particularities of EU countries regarding e-participation and to analyze comparatively the changes that took place in the administrations of European states in the period 2010-2018. For this, EViews was applied with the ARDL model (Autoregressive Distributed Lag) to analyze both the variables and the dynamics of the relations between them in the considered period. The data on which the research was conducted were selected from the Eurostat portal, the World Bank, and the United Nations E-Government Database. The results show that during the period analyzed, in most European countries platforms and programs dedicated to cooperation and consultation between the administration, citizens, and economic agents were developed. These changes have led to a reduction in the costs of operating the administrative apparatus and a considerable decrease in administrative bureaucracy. The originality of the research lies in using the ARDL analysis model on e-participation data series in most European countries when ICT (information and communication technology) had a major impact on accelerating the cooperation of administrations with their stakeholders. Good e-participation practices identified in European countries show that efforts to integrate information and communication technologies into state administrations and their relations with citizens are needed and generate major economic and social benefits. States can take models from each other and adapt good practices to their specific realities. Research has highlighted the real need to accelerate this process in Europe, for effective communication between state administrations and between them and their stakeholders.
公共参与是指公共机构的利益相关者为实现共同的公共目标而参与公共决策过程、规划、组织和筹资活动的一种方式。本文的基础研究考察了欧盟国家以各种方式和活动支持电子参与的能力。该研究的目的是确定欧盟国家在电子参与方面的特殊性,并比较分析2010-2018年期间欧洲国家行政部门发生的变化。为此,EViews采用了ARDL模型(Autoregressive Distributed Lag,自回归分布滞后)来分析变量及其在考虑周期内的动态关系。进行研究的数据选自欧盟统计局门户网站、世界银行和联合国电子政务数据库。结果表明,在分析期间,大多数欧洲国家都开发了致力于政府、公民和经济主体之间合作与协商的平台和方案。这些变化导致了行政机构运作费用的减少和行政官僚主义的大量减少。这项研究的独创性在于,当信息和通信技术(ICT)对加速行政部门与其利益相关者的合作产生重大影响时,对大多数欧洲国家的电子参与数据系列使用了ARDL分析模型。欧洲国家确定的良好电子参与实践表明,需要努力将信息和通信技术融入国家行政部门及其与公民的关系,并产生重大的经济和社会效益。各国可以相互借鉴,使良好做法适应本国的具体现实。研究强调了加速欧洲这一进程的真正需要,以便国家行政当局之间以及它们与利益攸关方之间进行有效沟通。
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引用次数: 7
COMPANY TOWNS OF THE URAL FEDERAL DISTRICT: DEVELOPMENT RISK MATRIX 乌拉尔联邦区公司镇:发展风险矩阵
IF 0.3 Q4 PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.17323/1999-5431-2022-0-3-171-192
M. Fomin, O. Smirnov, T. Miriazov
The study focuses on company towns of the Ural Federal District (UFD). Based on the analysis of the features of these settlements’ development, their typology was built as a tool for identifying the potential; and promising models and scenarios of spatial development were suggested. The research is based on the analysis of statistical materials, regulatory and legislative acts of the Russian Federation, as well as unconnected observations and expert interviews conducted by the authors on expeditions in 2020-2022. The study showed that among the company towns of the UFD region, settlements with a difficult socio-economic situation or with risks of its deterioration prevail. In addition, company towns form single-industry districts in the Sverdlovsk and Chelyabinsk regions. Promising scenarios of spatial development of Ural mono-settlements are considered: «local» (the development of company towns only by the administrations of cities and settlements), «regional» (participation in the development of company towns of forces and means at the regional level) and «federal» (the development of company towns with the help of a purposeful, coordinated state policy at the level of the whole country). For a more visual visualization of the results, the mapping method in the original development was used. According to the results of the study, it is concluded that with synchronized federal and regional support, the classic resource specializations of company towns can develop in the branches of a new techno paradigm. In order to systematically improve the situation in the mono–settlements of the Urals and prevent crisis phenomena in them, first of all, measures are needed aimed at increasing the competitiveness of city-forming enterprises, as well as increasing the social burden of large businesses – owners of city-forming enterprises.
该研究的重点是乌拉尔联邦区(UFD)的公司城镇。在分析这些聚落发展特征的基础上,建立了类型学,作为识别潜力的工具;提出了未来空间发展的模式和设想。该研究基于对统计材料、俄罗斯联邦监管和立法法案的分析,以及作者在2020-2022年的考察中进行的不相关观察和专家访谈。研究表明,在统一民主联盟地区的公司城镇中,社会经济状况困难或有恶化危险的定居点占多数。此外,公司镇在斯维尔德洛夫斯克和车里雅宾斯克地区形成单一工业区。乌拉尔单一居民点的空间发展前景被认为是:“地方”(仅由城市和居民点管理部门开发公司城镇),“区域”(在区域一级参与力量和手段的公司城镇发展)和“联邦”(在全国一级有目的、协调的国家政策的帮助下开发公司城镇)。为了使结果更加可视化,我们使用了原始开发中的映射方法。研究结果表明,在联邦政府和地方政府的同步支持下,公司城镇的经典资源专业化可以在新技术范式的分支中发展。为了系统地改善乌拉尔地区单一住区的状况,防止乌拉尔地区出现危机现象,首先需要采取措施,提高城市形成企业的竞争力,同时增加城市形成企业的大企业主的社会负担。
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引用次数: 2
FINANCIAL SECTOR PROSPECTIVE PUBLIC REGULATION (THE CASE OF RUSSIAN ECONOMY) 金融部门未来的公共监管(以俄罗斯经济为例)
IF 0.3 Q4 PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.17323/1999-5431-2022-0-3-87-113
M. Afanasyev, Thi Tan Chuong Pham, N. Shash
The article explores the development and implementation of promising options for state regulation of the financial sector in the Russian Federation under economic sanctions. It is noted that the presence of systemic problems that caused the slowdown in the development of key segments of the financial market in the pre-sanctions period did not allow the potential of the financial sector to be used in order to stabilize the growth rates of the national economy during the sanctions period. It is shown that the solution of this problem requires stimulating the development of key segments of the financial market (credit market, equity market, debt market and insurance market) through government tools, including a set of diagnostic models, regulatory and strategic tools. Based on the selection of indicators and rates with the strongest correlation, a set of diagnostic models was developed, the testing of which in financial market segments made it possible to establish target strategic values characterizing the level of their development. Theoretical and methodological justification is proposed and testing of diagnostic models of the development level of key financial market segments is carried out. The authors suggested proposals for selecting and implementing the tools for state regulation of the financial sector of the Russian Federation under economic sanctions. Promising options for state regulation of the financial sector to achieve the target values of financial depth indicators based on data from the pre-sanction period are shown and measures for their implementation are proposed that remain relevant in the current sanctions restrictions. The use of the proposed regulatory tools can make it possible to build forecasts for the development of key segments of the financial market of the Russian Federation for the period up to 2028, taking into account the changes in the Russian economy caused by sanctions pressure, which becomes critically important when compensating for serious macroeconomic shocks.
本文探讨了在经济制裁下俄罗斯联邦金融部门国家监管的有希望的选择的发展和实施。委员会指出,由于存在体制问题,导致制裁前时期金融市场关键部门的发展放缓,因此在制裁期间无法利用金融部门的潜力来稳定国民经济的增长率。研究表明,解决这一问题需要通过政府工具,包括一套诊断模型、监管工具和战略工具,刺激金融市场关键环节(信贷市场、股权市场、债务市场和保险市场)的发展。在选择相关性最强的指标和比率的基础上,开发了一套诊断模型,并在金融市场部门中对其进行了测试,从而可以建立表征其发展水平的目标战略价值。提出了理论和方法论证,并对主要金融细分市场发展水平的诊断模型进行了检验。作者提出了在经济制裁下选择和实施国家监管俄罗斯联邦金融部门的工具的建议。报告显示了国家监管金融部门以实现基于制裁前时期数据的金融深度指标目标值的有希望的备选方案,并提出了在当前制裁限制下仍然适用的实施措施。利用拟议的监管工具,可以对俄罗斯联邦金融市场关键部门到2028年的发展进行预测,同时考虑到制裁压力造成的俄罗斯经济变化,这在补偿严重的宏观经济冲击时至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
WHEN RADICALISATION MEETS BUREAUCRACY: FLUID RADICALISATION AND ITS CONSEQUENCES ON POLICY ALTERNATIVES IN INDONESIAN DE-RADICALISATION POLICIES 当激进化遇到官僚主义:印尼去激进化政策中的流动激进化及其对政策选择的影响
IF 0.3 Q4 PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.17323/1999-5431-2022-0-5-65-86
Oemar Madri Bafadhal, A. Santoso, K. Murti
The increasing attention to counter-terrorism practices through counter-terrorism and de-radicalisation policies has not been matched by in-depth and comprehensive studies on terrorism and radicalisation.As a result, there is a misconception of both, leading to discriminatory counter-terrorism and de-radicalisation policies, which allow certain groups and the state to commit violence and take freedom from groups stigmatised as radical.This study seeks to examine terrorism and radicalism by exploring the interpretation of the government as an institution, which has the authority to interpret terrorism and radicalism,resulting in de-radicalization and counter-terrorism policies. A dataset consisted of news items about government activities on terrorism and radicalisation from three ministries/non-ministerial institutions wasused for corpus linguistics (CL) and critical discourse analysis (CDA) assisted by AntConc application. We found that the three agencies developed interpretations of radicalisitonas part of their main duties and functions. Radicalisation has become a very flexible concept, adapting to bureaucratic spaces, not to be solved but to obtain budget spaces. Finally, the government responded to the entry of radicalism as a public issue by fragmenting the whole concept of radicalisation and splitting it into various agencies, where it is suitable to be resolved,rather than unifying it comprehensively inthe National Counter-Terrorism Agency's mission.
反恐和去极端化政策对反恐实践的关注日益增加,但对恐怖主义和极端化的深入和全面研究却没有跟上。因此,人们对两者都有误解,导致歧视性的反恐和去激进化政策,允许某些团体和国家实施暴力,并从被污名为激进的团体手中夺走自由。本研究试图通过探索政府作为一个机构的解释来审视恐怖主义和激进主义,政府有权力解释恐怖主义和激进主义,从而导致去激进化和反恐政策。在AntConc应用程序的辅助下,使用了一个由三个部委/非部委机构关于政府恐怖主义和激进化活动的新闻项目组成的数据集,用于语料库语言学(CL)和批评话语分析(CDA)。我们发现,这三个机构将对激进主义的解释作为其主要职责和职能的一部分。激进化已经成为一个非常灵活的概念,适应于官僚空间,不是为了解决而是为了获得预算空间。最后,政府对激进主义作为一个公共问题的进入的回应是,将激进化的整个概念碎片化,并将其拆分为适合解决的各个机构,而不是将其全面统一在国家反恐机构的使命中。
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引用次数: 0
ON QUANTITATIVE RISK ASSESSMENT OF INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS WITH STATE PARTICIPATION 国家参与基础设施项目风险定量评估研究
IF 0.3 Q4 PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.17323/1999-5431-2022-0-4-30-60
I. Belyakov
International experience shows that creating large infrastructure objects (as a rule, with state participation) is often accompanied by significant cost overruns. Importance of this issue is especially high due to responsibility for the use of public resources. The article reviews most recognized methods of the project risks evaluation that play a key role in assessing the total cost of large and long-term projects. Approaches of international organizations, official documents of selected developed countries and requirements for Russian infrastructure projects with state funding are compared. Particular attention is paid to a comprehensive quantitative risk evaluation, which is not sufficiently represented in the Russian official methodology, based on Monte-Carlo simulation modelling. The study considers some practical aspects of applying this method for conditional cost estimation. As an illustration, a model calculation of the impact of risks on the indicators of one of the latest PPP infrastructure projects (CRR-1) is given.
国际经验表明,建造大型基础设施项目(通常是由国家参与)往往伴随着严重的成本超支。由于对公共资源的使用负有责任,这个问题的重要性特别高。本文综述了在大型和长期项目总成本评估中发挥关键作用的项目风险评估方法。比较了国际组织的做法、选定的发达国家的官方文件以及俄罗斯国家资助基础设施项目的要求。特别注意以蒙特卡罗模拟模式为基础的全面定量风险评价,这在俄罗斯官方方法中没有充分体现。研究考虑了应用该方法进行条件成本估算的一些实际问题。本文以一个最新PPP基础设施项目(CRR-1)为例,给出了风险对指标影响的模型计算。
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引用次数: 0
Solving the homelessness problem: Model of social adaptation and re-socialization of homeless people in a region 解决无家可归问题:一个地区无家可归者的社会适应与再社会化模式
IF 0.3 Q4 PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.17323/1999-5431-2022-0-1-170-192
E. Meteleva, G. Bogdanova
Nowadays solving the problem of homelessness is not among the priorities of the State social policy. This fact is caused by the complexity of the problem scale’s evaluation, as well as a lack of relevant research. Contemporary studies are devoted to a nature, causes of appearance, negative aspects, some methods of dealing with the homelessness phenomena, but those investigations are not much oriented at the development of the systemized approach to such a problem group of citizens. The paper summarizes the results of the survey of foreign researchers and the analysis of the approaches developed abroad. The authors fixed upon a reasonable and relevant approach, based on the specificity of a national scientific and managerial tradition. The comprehensive approach to solving the problem of homelessness, as well as social adaptation and re-socialisation of homeless people in the Russian regions is described in the paper. The authors developed a Model of social adaptation and re-socialisation of homeless people in a region. The Model presents a schematic description of an activity system that coordinate goals, tasks, responsible authorities, instruments, stages of performance, financial sources and criteria for effectiveness evaluation with each other. The developed Model of social adaptation and re-socialisation of homeless people will allow improving the process of inter-departmental interaction and providing the systematic approach to dealing with the homeless people.
目前,解决无家可归问题不在国家社会政策的优先事项之列。这是由于问题量表评价的复杂性以及相关研究的缺乏造成的。当代的研究致力于无家可归现象的性质、产生的原因、消极的方面,以及处理这些现象的一些方法,但这些研究并不太注重对这一问题群体的系统化方法的发展。本文对国外研究人员的调查结果进行了总结,并对国外的研究方法进行了分析。作者根据国家科学和管理传统的特殊性,确定了一种合理和相关的方法。本文描述了解决无家可归问题的综合方法,以及俄罗斯地区无家可归者的社会适应和再社会化。作者开发了一个地区无家可归者的社会适应和再社会化模型。该模型提供了一个活动系统的概要描述,该活动系统相互协调目标、任务、主管部门、工具、绩效阶段、资金来源和有效性评价标准。已发展的无家可归者社会适应及再社会化模式,有助改善部门间的互动过程,并为处理无家可归者提供系统的方法。
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引用次数: 0
THE PROBLEM OF LINKING FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES WITH THE GOALS OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT: THE ASPECT OF TARGET INDICATORS 将财政发展战略与社会经济发展目标联系起来的问题:目标指标方面
IF 0.3 Q4 PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.17323/1999-5431-2022-0-4-127-153
Y. Danilov
The study is devoted to the problem of linking financial development strategies with socio-economic development strategies in terms of matching the target indicators of such strategies related to different levels of the hierarchy of strategic planning documents. The isolation of financial development from the goals and priorities of socio-economic development in Russia begins with strategic planning. This is most clearly manifested in the discrepancy between target indicators of these two levels of strategic planning. The article presents 4 options for a complex of financial development indicators linked to the goals and objectives at the upper level of strategic planning. Their development was based on the analysis of the impact of individual parameters of financial development on the parameters of socio-economic development and global competition of the national financial sector; individual areas of financial development on financial development in general, as well as on isolating the role of financial regulators in raising the level of financial development of the country. These indicators were suggested while providing expert support for the development of various financial development strategies, but their use as a whole, as a complex of indicators, was hindered by departmental interests. In the process of interdepartmental discussions, a complex of target indicators subject to a single logic was replaced by unrelated, easily achievable indicators, or fundamentally unmeasurable indicators. The main contribution of this article is drafting of a complex of target indicators for financial development, as well as making conclusions from the experience of their practical application / non-application.
这项研究的目的是要把财政发展战略与社会经济发展战略联系起来,使这些战略的目标指标与战略规划文件的不同层次相匹配。在俄罗斯,财政发展与社会经济发展的目标和优先事项之间的隔离始于战略规划。这一点最明显地表现在这两个战略规划层次的目标指标之间的差异。本文提出了与战略规划上层的目标和目的有关的金融发展综合指标的4个备选方案。它们的发展是基于对金融发展的个别参数对社会经济发展和国家金融部门全球竞争参数的影响的分析;金融发展的个别领域对金融发展的总体影响,以及对隔离金融监管机构在提高国家金融发展水平方面的作用。这些指标是在为制定各种金融发展战略提供专家支持的同时提出的,但作为一个整体,作为一个复杂的指标,它们的使用受到部门利益的阻碍。在部门间的讨论过程中,由单一逻辑的目标指标组成的综合体被不相关的、容易实现的或根本无法测量的指标所取代。本文的主要贡献是起草了一整套金融发展目标指标,并从实际应用/不应用这些指标的经验中得出结论。
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引用次数: 2
EFFECTIVE LOCAL GOVERNANCE: LARGE OR SMALL UNITS (THE ARMENIAN CASE) 有效的地方治理:大小单位(亚美尼亚案例)
IF 0.3 Q4 PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.17323/1999-5431-2022-0-5-134-151
Ruben Hayrapetyan, Tigran Mnatsakanyan
The purpose of this research was to identify the impact of the size of local government units on the local public services, whether small or large local government units are preferable for the implementation of effective local governance. A whole complex of financial and socio-economic indicators from 465 amalgamated communities in Armenia, as well as the newly formed 52 clusters, were collected and analyzed, by creating a database and polynomial regression models to quantitatively measure the impact of the size of local government units on the provision of public services. The analysis has quantitatively proven that for certain public services it would be more favorable to have larger local government units, however, the small and medium-size consolidated clusters do not provide a significant increase in the provision of public services. Thus, for having substantial outcomes from consolidation the new local government units have to be much larger than they were before. Moreover, effective local governance requires both large and small local government units with its own powers and responsibilities. Disclosure of such relationships can be useful not only for ensuring better reforms in territorial administration and local governance but also for contributing to the theory and practice of public administration and local government.
本研究的目的是确定地方政府单位的规模对地方公共服务的影响,无论小型还是大型的地方政府单位更有利于实施有效的地方治理。通过建立数据库和多项式回归模型,收集和分析了亚美尼亚465个合并社区以及新成立的52个集群的一整套财政和社会经济指标,以定量衡量地方政府单位规模对提供公共服务的影响。分析在数量上证明,对于某些公共服务,拥有较大的地方政府单位将更为有利,然而,中小型合并集群并没有显著增加公共服务的提供。因此,为了从整合中获得实质性成果,新的地方政府单位必须比以前大得多。此外,有效的地方治理需要大大小小的地方政府单位都有自己的权力和责任。公开这种关系不仅有助于确保更好地改革领土行政和地方治理,而且有助于促进公共行政和地方政府的理论和实践。
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引用次数: 2
ON QUALITY CRITERIA FOR STATE PROJECTS 国家工程质量标准研究
IF 0.3 Q4 PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.17323/1999-5431-2022-0-4-61-96
T. Marshova, I. Kirichenko
The development of strategic planning in Russia using program-targeted budgeting approaches, the adoption of effective managerial decisions in the public sector determines the relevance of the problem of improving the efficiency of projects and programs implemented mainly at the expense of the state budget. The importance of these issues is growing due to the scale of the tasks solved through government programs and national projects, significant amounts of resources allocated for their implementation in the presence of budgetary constraints in the context of global instability and a significant level of uncertainty. An analysis of the domestic regulatory legal, methodological framework governing the development of national projects, international experience in project management, shows that the assessment of the quality of project development is not sufficiently carried out and methodologically supported. At the same time, the success and efficiency of the project is largely determined by the quality of the development plan for its implementation. The article defines general principles and proposes a model for assessing the quality of the development of national and federal projects. Based on the approbation of the proposed tools, shortcomings in the planning of national and federal projects were identified, proposals were made to improve the methodological support for the development of plans for their implementation. It is concluded that the implementation of project quality assessment procedures will improve the planning of state projects, including through increased performance discipline, a more balanced and thoughtful approach of developers to drafting projects. The combination of a formalized state assessment and independent public expertise will ensure a high degree of objectivity in the audit of project plans and will help improve the efficiency and effectiveness of their implementation.
俄罗斯战略规划的发展采用以项目为目标的预算方法,在公共部门采用有效的管理决策,决定了主要以牺牲国家预算为代价来提高项目和计划执行效率的问题的相关性。这些问题的重要性正在增长,因为通过政府计划和国家项目解决的任务规模,在全球不稳定和重大不确定性的背景下,在预算限制的情况下,为其实施分配了大量资源。对管理国家项目发展的国内规章、法律、方法框架和项目管理方面的国际经验的分析表明,对项目发展质量的评价没有得到充分的执行和方法上的支持。同时,项目的成功和效率在很大程度上取决于其实施的发展规划的质量。本文定义了评估国家和联邦项目开发质量的一般原则,并提出了一个模型。在核准拟议工具的基础上,确定了国家和联邦项目规划方面的缺点,并提出建议,以改进对制定执行计划的方法支助。结论是,实施项目质量评估程序将改善国家项目的规划,包括通过增加绩效纪律,开发商在起草项目时采用更平衡和更周到的方法。正式的国家评估与独立的公共专业知识相结合,将确保项目计划审计的高度客观性,并有助于提高其实施的效率和效果。
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引用次数: 2
Exit from registered unemployment: Estimating the impact of individual characteristics 登记失业的退出:个体特征影响的估计
IF 0.3 Q4 PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.17323/1999-5431-2022-0-1-193-219
M. Giltman, A. Merzlyakova, Liubov Antosik
The subject of this study is the individual characteristics of the unemployed, which determine the speed of exit from registered unemployment to various employment options or economic inactivity. The relevance of such assessments is determined by the reform of the State Regional Employment Services, which began in 2019. In the very beginning of the reform it is important to understand which citizens, with which individual characteristics, are employed through the State Regional Employment Services and for which jobs. The article shows with whom the state employment centers are already working quite effectively, and which categories of citizens are still more successful in finding work on their own. The Tyumen region has become one of 16 pilot subjects of the Russian Federation in which the transition to a new type of the State Regional Employment Service started earlier than in most Russian regions. In addition in 2019 the institution of paying benefits to registered unemployed people has changed. That is why in our study we refer to the data for 2019, kindly provided to the authors of the article by the Employment Service of the Tyumen region. The purpose of this work is to assess the influence of individual characteristics of the unemployed on the duration of stay in the status of a registered unemployed. Estimates of the Kaplan-Meier function to determine the exit from unemployment were carried out for various socio-demographic groups, taking into account gender, age and educational heterogeneity of individuals, as well as differences in their place of residence. The study was carried out on data provided by the employment services of the Tyumen region for 2019. The results showed that individuals with a low level of human capital (without higher education), as well as those who lived in a village and / or agreed to temporary employment, were the fastest to get employed with the help of employment services. Those who found work on their own, as a rule, got employed in higher career positions. The least qualified unemployed are the fastest to join the group of economically inactive people. The obtained results allow us to conclude that the modernization of the employment service, increasing its role in employment is impossible without the formation of a more diverse bank of vacancies, close cooperation with employers and the formation of effective approaches to the employment of unemployed with a high level of qualifications.
本研究的主题是失业者的个人特征,这决定了从登记失业到各种就业选择或经济不活动的退出速度。这种评估的相关性取决于2019年开始的国家区域就业服务改革。在改革的最初阶段,重要的是要了解通过国家区域就业服务机构雇用哪些公民,哪些公民具有哪些个人特征,以及从事哪些工作。这篇文章展示了国家就业中心已经与哪些人进行了相当有效的合作,以及哪些类别的公民在自己找工作方面仍然更成功。秋明州已成为俄罗斯联邦16个试点项目之一,在这些项目中,向新型国家区域就业服务机构的过渡开始得比俄罗斯大多数地区都早。此外,2019年,向登记失业人员支付福利的制度发生了变化。这就是为什么在我们的研究中,我们参考了秋明地区就业服务中心向本文作者提供的2019年数据。这项工作的目的是评估失业人员的个人特征对登记失业人员居留时间的影响。考虑到个人的性别、年龄和教育异质性以及居住地的差异,对确定失业退出的Kaplan-Meier函数进行了估计。该研究是根据秋明地区2019年就业服务机构提供的数据进行的。结果表明,人力资本水平低(没有受过高等教育)的个人,以及居住在村庄和/或同意临时就业的个人,在就业服务的帮助下最快找到工作。一般来说,那些靠自己找到工作的人会得到更高的职位。资格最低的失业者是最快加入非经济活动人群的。所获得的结果使我们能够得出结论,如果没有形成更多样化的空缺银行,与雇主密切合作以及形成有效的方法来就业具有高水平资格的失业者,就业服务的现代化,增加其在就业中的作用是不可能的。
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引用次数: 0
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