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Coupling Time-Series Analysis and Agent-Based Modeling to Design Non-Price Demand Side Management Policies for Water Saving 耦合时间序列分析和基于agent的模型设计节水非价格需求侧管理政策
IF 12.8 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENGINEERING, ENVIRONMENTAL Pub Date : 2026-02-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.watres.2026.125501
Yacong Hu, Chen Feng, Bingqian Zhang, Haoge Xu, Hao Xiao, Shiyu Wan, Hanbo Gao, Kun Yan, Jinping Tian, Lyujun Chen
Urban water scarcity increasingly requires demand-side management (DSM) to complement conventional supply-side engineering, yet evaluation is challenging when behavior is reversible and heterogeneous. This study proposes an integrated framework that combines time-series analysis with agent-based modeling (ABM) to simulate how non-price DSM policies—environmental education and behavioral nudges—jointly promote water-saving behavior. High-resolution dormitory meter data from a leading university were analyzed to extract baseline consumption trends, periodicities, and holiday effects, which were then translated into empirically grounded behavioral rules for agents in the ABM. The calibrated model reproduced the observed campus dynamics with high fidelity (R²=0.96). Key findings include: (1) education-only and nudge-only policies deliver short-term water savings that regress toward a low-level equilibrium due to the ∼15% endogenous reversion tendency. (2) A combined policy activates an ordered cascade effect: high-quality education first seeds early adopters, generating a conservation signal that is subsequently amplified by nudges across the social network, driving a system-wide shift toward water conservation. (3) Across adoption stages, the combined DSM strategy reduced per capita water usage by 1.8% to 10.7%, and increased the share of water-saving students. Threshold analysis reveals that, when the non-water saving ratio is 70%, adding nudges expands the feasible intervention space by 65.3%, while education quality outweighs coverage for crossing behavioral tipping points. The model results were validated through a sensitivity analysis using the Hornberger-Spear-Young algorithm. This study provides a data-driven framework for evaluating DSM policies and offers a roadmap for designing staged, cascade-oriented policies aimed at achieving water savings.
城市水资源短缺越来越需要需求侧管理(DSM)来补充传统的供应侧工程,但当行为是可逆的和异质的时,评估是具有挑战性的。本研究提出了一个综合框架,将时间序列分析与基于主体的建模(ABM)相结合,模拟非价格需求侧管理政策——环境教育和行为推动——如何共同促进节水行为。我们分析了一所一流大学的高分辨率宿舍计量数据,以提取基线消费趋势、周期性和假日效应,然后将其转化为ABM中代理商的经验基础行为规则。校正后的模型对观察到的校园动态具有较高的逼真度(R²=0.96)。主要发现包括:(1)由于~ 15%的内生回归趋势,纯教育和纯推动政策提供了短期的水资源节约,并回归到低水平均衡。(2)综合政策激活了有序的级联效应:高质量的教育首先为早期采用者提供了种子,产生了一种保护信号,随后通过社会网络的推动放大了这种信号,推动了整个系统向节水的转变。(3)在采用阶段,综合DSM策略将人均用水量降低1.8%至10.7%,并增加了节水学生的比例。阈值分析表明,当非节水率为70%时,增加助推使可行干预空间扩大了65.3%,而教育质量对跨越行为临界点的影响大于覆盖范围。通过使用Hornberger-Spear-Young算法进行敏感性分析,验证了模型结果。本研究为评估DSM政策提供了一个数据驱动的框架,并为设计旨在实现节水的分阶段、级联导向的政策提供了路线图。
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引用次数: 0
Screening toxic transformation products of emerging pollutants in advanced oxidation processes with 3D deep learning and in vitro assays 筛选有毒转化产物的新兴污染物在先进的氧化过程与3D深度学习和体外分析
IF 12.8 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENGINEERING, ENVIRONMENTAL Pub Date : 2026-02-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.watres.2026.125499
Fulin Shao, Weiying Li, Zhiwei Liang, Yu Zhou, Dawei Zhang, Yu Chang
The rapid and precise toxicity assessment of chemical pollutants and their byproducts formed during water treatment and in aquatic environments remains a significant environmental challenge, as the predictive power of conventional quantitative structure–activity relationship (QSAR) models is limited by their reliance on simplified molecular descriptors. To address this, ToxD4C, a novel multi-modal deep learning framework, was developed to simultaneously classify and regress 31 toxicity endpoints, covering nuclear receptor and enzyme panels, stress response assays, mutagenicity, carcinogenicity, cardiopulmonary toxicity, and various environmental toxicities of concern for water quality management. ToxD4C uniquely integrates three-dimensional molecular geometries, graph attention networks, and SE(3)-equivariant Transformer architectures, effectively capturing complex stereochemical and electronic molecular features. In parallel, a pretrained Uni-Mol model was fine-tuned via transfer learning on Density Functional Theory (DFT)-optimized structures, independently generating normalized toxicity predictions with enhanced reliability and generalization. Both approaches outperformed traditional descriptor-based models across validation tests. Feature‑attribution analysis (SHAP) highlighted key physicochemical drivers of predicted toxicity, and receptor docking offered mechanistic context for selected receptor‑mediated endpoints. Applied to realistic UV/H₂O₂ advanced oxidation scenarios in a real water matrix, this approach efficiently identified high-risk transformation products, and their predicted toxicity was further validated in vitro using JC-1 mitochondrial membrane potential, CCK-8 cell viability, and nuclear receptor/stress-response reporter assays. These tools are integrated within the open-source Tox-Agents platform, enabling rapid and interpretable decision-making for water treatment and environmental risk assessment.
由于传统的定量构效关系(QSAR)模型依赖于简化的分子描述符,其预测能力受到限制,因此对水处理过程和水生环境中形成的化学污染物及其副产物进行快速、精确的毒性评估仍然是一项重大的环境挑战。为了解决这个问题,开发了一种新的多模态深度学习框架ToxD4C,以同时对31个毒性终点进行分类和回归,包括核受体和酶面板,应激反应试验,诱变性,致癌性,心肺毒性以及与水质管理有关的各种环境毒性。ToxD4C独特地集成了三维分子几何、图形注意网络和SE(3)等变变压器结构,有效地捕获复杂的立体化学和电子分子特征。同时,通过密度泛函理论(DFT)优化结构的迁移学习,对预训练的Uni-Mol模型进行微调,独立生成标准化毒性预测,提高了可靠性和泛化性。两种方法在验证测试中都优于传统的基于描述符的模型。特征归因分析(SHAP)强调了预测毒性的关键物理化学驱动因素,受体对接为选定的受体介导的终点提供了机制背景。该方法应用于真实水基质中真实的UV/H₂O₂高级氧化场景,有效地识别了高风险转化产物,并通过JC-1线粒体膜电位、CCK-8细胞活力和核受体/应激反应报告基因试验进一步验证了其预测的毒性。这些工具集成在开源的Tox-Agents平台中,可以为水处理和环境风险评估提供快速和可解释的决策。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of human activities on groundwater biogeochemical cycles and microbial communities: Insights from metagenomic analysis 人类活动对地下水生物地球化学循环和微生物群落的影响:来自宏基因组分析的见解
IF 12.8 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENGINEERING, ENVIRONMENTAL Pub Date : 2026-02-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.watres.2026.125493
Zhengxing Chen, Xiufeng Tang, Yirui Su, Tao Liu, Uli Klümper, Feng Ju, Min Liu, Ping Han
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引用次数: 0
Enabling microbial electrolysis cell scale-up via electrochemistry-, hydrodynamic-, and microbial ecology-informed framework 通过电化学、流体动力学和微生物生态学的信息框架,使微生物电解细胞规模扩大
IF 12.8 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENGINEERING, ENVIRONMENTAL Pub Date : 2026-02-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.watres.2026.125503
Danbee Kim, Nakyeong Yun, Hongang Du, Cheng Li, Sarah Preheim, Ruggero Rossi
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引用次数: 0
Reconciling the reactivity-biocompatibility trade-off in nanoscale zero-valent iron with an amorphous core and pseudocapacitive biointerface for enhanced anaerobic methanogenesis 调和纳米级零价铁与无定形核心和伪电容生物界面的反应性-生物相容性权衡,以增强厌氧甲烷生成
IF 12.8 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENGINEERING, ENVIRONMENTAL Pub Date : 2026-02-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.watres.2026.125495
Linxuan Che, Ziruo Wang, Hui Xu, Lu Lv, Weiming Zhang, Bingcai Pan, Qingran Zhang, Ming Hua
Nanoscale zero-valent iron (nZVI) serves as an effective electron donor to enhance anaerobic methanogenesis, yet its high reducibility often induces microbial nanotoxicity, creating a fundamental conflict between reactivity and biocompatibility. Herein, we synthesized an extracellular polymeric substance (EPS)-modified nZVI bio-composite (nZVI@EPS) via one-step liquid-phase reduction, with a focus on the structural characteristics and functional interplay of its core-shell architecture in bio-nano systems. We found that EPS decelerated precursor reduction kinetics, suppressing supersaturation-induced crystallization and favoring the formation of an amorphous iron core with elongated Fe–Fe bonds that enhanced its thermodynamic driving force for electron donation. Simultaneously, the resulting EPS layer served as a biocompatible and pseudocapacitive biointerface, physically shielding microorganisms from direct contact and electrochemically buffering electron surge from the highly reductive iron core through a storage and controlled-release mechanism. Hydrogen evolution experiments confirmed that the amorphous core ensured sufficient electron supply, while the EPS biointerface merely regulated the electron release kinetics without sacrificing ultimate utilization efficiency. In the anaerobic digestion of waste activated sludge, the optimized core-interface synergistically enhanced methane yield and biogas purity by 31.11% and 37.42%, respectively. Such improvements were underpinned by enhanced enzymatic activities, reinforced energy conservation, and a redirected methanogenic metabolic flux toward the hydrogenotrophic pathway. This study leverages insights from iron core-interface functional decoupling to propose a synchronized optimization strategy, establishing a universal design framework for engineering nZVI materials that integrate high reactivity with biocompatibility for efficient waste-to-energy conversion.
纳米级零价铁(nZVI)是一种有效的电子供体,可促进厌氧甲烷生成,但其高还原性往往会引起微生物纳米毒性,造成反应性和生物相容性之间的根本冲突。本文通过一步液相还原法合成了细胞外聚合物(EPS)修饰的nZVI生物复合材料(nZVI@EPS),重点研究了其核壳结构在生物纳米体系中的结构特征和功能相互作用。我们发现EPS减缓了前驱体还原动力学,抑制了过饱和诱导的结晶,有利于形成具有延长的Fe-Fe键的非晶态铁核,从而增强了其给电子的热力学驱动力。同时,EPS层作为一种生物相容性和伪电容性的生物界面,通过存储和控释机制,物理上屏蔽微生物与高还原性铁核的直接接触,并通过电化学缓冲电子涌。析氢实验证实,非晶核保证了足够的电子供应,而EPS生物界面只是调节了电子释放动力学,而不牺牲最终的利用效率。在废活性污泥厌氧消化过程中,优化后的核心-界面协同作用使甲烷产率和沼气纯度分别提高了31.11%和37.42%。这些改进是由增强的酶活性、加强的能量节约和向氢营养途径的甲烷代谢通量的重定向所支持的。本研究利用铁核-界面功能解耦的见解,提出了一种同步优化策略,为工程nZVI材料建立了一个通用的设计框架,该框架将高反应性与生物相容性结合起来,实现高效的废物转化为能源。
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引用次数: 0
Bridging Causality and Deep Learning for Harmful Algal Bloom Prediction 基于因果关系和深度学习的有害藻华预测
IF 12.8 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENGINEERING, ENVIRONMENTAL Pub Date : 2026-02-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.watres.2026.125492
Pouya Zarbipour, Mohammad Reza Nikoo, Hassan Akbari, Rouzbeh Nazari, Maryam Karimi
Accurate estimation of chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) is essential for monitoring harmful algal blooms (HABs), particularly in vulnerable coastal regions. However, most machine learning (ML) approaches rely on purely correlative patterns, often lacking causal interpretability and robustness under changing environmental conditions. This study introduces an enhanced causal machine learning framework that integrates causal discovery, treatment effect estimation, and deep learning within a Causally Informed Neural Network (CINN). Using 31 environmental predictors from MODIS, ERA5, and HYCOM over the Persian Gulf, a region where HABs threaten desalination, fisheries, and coastal ecosystems, the model embeds causal graphs derived from the DECI algorithm and average treatment effects from double machine learning. Monotonic causal constraints were incorporated to align predictions with ecological expectations. Results show that CINN and its monotonic extension (MCINN) consistently outperform baselines, including Random Forests, XGBoost, and Support Vector Machines, achieving R² up to 0.926 (a 10-17% improvement over baselines) while reducing RMSE by up to 25%. Mediation and sensitivity analyses confirm the causal validity of key drivers, including sea surface temperature, non-fluorescence line height, and nutrient fluxes. Uncertainty quantification and counterfactual simulations further demonstrate the framework’s potential for operational early-warning systems and policy interventions. By bridging causality and deep learning, this framework delivers an interpretable, data-efficient, and uncertainty-aware solution for predicting algal blooms in data-scarce, climate-sensitive marine environments.
准确估计叶绿素-a (Chl-a)对监测有害藻华(HABs)至关重要,特别是在脆弱的沿海地区。然而,大多数机器学习(ML)方法依赖于纯粹的相关模式,在变化的环境条件下往往缺乏因果可解释性和鲁棒性。本研究介绍了一个增强的因果机器学习框架,该框架将因果发现、治疗效果估计和深度学习集成在因果信息神经网络(CINN)中。该模型使用来自MODIS、ERA5和HYCOM的31个环境预测因子对波斯湾(一个赤潮威胁海水淡化、渔业和沿海生态系统的地区)进行预测,嵌入了来自DECI算法的因果图和来自双重机器学习的平均处理效果。单调的因果约束被纳入预测,使其与生态预期保持一致。结果表明,CINN及其单调扩展(MCINN)始终优于基线,包括随机森林,XGBoost和支持向量机,实现R²高达0.926(比基线提高10-17%),同时RMSE降低高达25%。中介分析和敏感性分析证实了关键驱动因素的因果有效性,包括海面温度、非荧光线高度和营养通量。不确定性量化和反事实模拟进一步证明了该框架在业务预警系统和政策干预方面的潜力。通过连接因果关系和深度学习,该框架提供了一个可解释的、数据高效的、不确定性感知的解决方案,用于预测数据稀缺、气候敏感的海洋环境中的藻华。
{"title":"Bridging Causality and Deep Learning for Harmful Algal Bloom Prediction","authors":"Pouya Zarbipour, Mohammad Reza Nikoo, Hassan Akbari, Rouzbeh Nazari, Maryam Karimi","doi":"10.1016/j.watres.2026.125492","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.watres.2026.125492","url":null,"abstract":"Accurate estimation of chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) is essential for monitoring harmful algal blooms (HABs), particularly in vulnerable coastal regions. However, most machine learning (ML) approaches rely on purely correlative patterns, often lacking causal interpretability and robustness under changing environmental conditions. This study introduces an enhanced causal machine learning framework that integrates causal discovery, treatment effect estimation, and deep learning within a Causally Informed Neural Network (CINN). Using 31 environmental predictors from MODIS, ERA5, and HYCOM over the Persian Gulf, a region where HABs threaten desalination, fisheries, and coastal ecosystems, the model embeds causal graphs derived from the DECI algorithm and average treatment effects from double machine learning. Monotonic causal constraints were incorporated to align predictions with ecological expectations. Results show that CINN and its monotonic extension (MCINN) consistently outperform baselines, including Random Forests, XGBoost, and Support Vector Machines, achieving R² up to 0.926 (a 10-17% improvement over baselines) while reducing RMSE by up to 25%. Mediation and sensitivity analyses confirm the causal validity of key drivers, including sea surface temperature, non-fluorescence line height, and nutrient fluxes. Uncertainty quantification and counterfactual simulations further demonstrate the framework’s potential for operational early-warning systems and policy interventions. By bridging causality and deep learning, this framework delivers an interpretable, data-efficient, and uncertainty-aware solution for predicting algal blooms in data-scarce, climate-sensitive marine environments.","PeriodicalId":443,"journal":{"name":"Water Research","volume":"253 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":12.8,"publicationDate":"2026-02-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146101915","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Linking ecological strategies to niche breadth: interpretable machine learning unravels community patterns of nirS-type aerobic denitrifiers along oxygen gradients in drinking water reservoirs 将生态策略与生态位宽度联系起来:可解释的机器学习揭示了饮用水水库中nirs型好氧反硝化菌沿氧梯度的群落模式
IF 12.4 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENGINEERING, ENVIRONMENTAL Pub Date : 2026-02-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.watres.2026.125498
Kun Shi , Wanying Li , Jiafeng Zhang , Rui Huo , Yuting Zhao , Shilei Zhou
Aerobic denitrifying bacteria are increasingly recognized for nitrogen removal in deep drinking-water reservoirs, yet how dissolved oxygen (DO) gradients relate to their ecological strategies, niche breadth, and co-occurrence networks remains unclear. We investigated nirS-type aerobic denitrifiers in 14 drinking-water reservoirs in North China using depth-stratified water-column samples, and classified communities into four functional groups based on K/r strategies and niche generalization/specialization. Ecological threshold detection, community assembly, and network analyses identified a DO breakpoint at 8.31 mg/L, separating an oxygen-limited niche (OLN) and an oxygen-enriched niche (OEN). Dissolved organic matter (DOM) was dominated by protein-like components in both niches, while fluorescence intensity was higher in OLN. Along the OLN→OEN gradient, dominant genera shifted from Sulfuritalea to Rhodanobacter, Pseudomonas, and Achromobacter. Assembly analyses suggested stronger environmental selection and dispersal limitation for K-strategists and specialists in OLN, whereas stochasticity increased in OEN; r-strategists and generalists exhibited greater stochasticity across both niches. Co-occurrence networks indicated that r-strategists and generalists formed more cohesive networks and showed higher cohesion-based structural stability, particularly in OEN. Random-forest models interpreted with SHapley Additive exPlanations and partial least squares path modeling suggested that stability in OLN was most strongly associated with temperature, manganese, and chemical oxygen demand, whereas in OEN it was more strongly associated with inorganic nitrogen and DOM composition, largely via indirect links through β-diversity. Overall, DO regimes are linked to systematic shifts in community assembly and interaction structure of aerobic denitrifiers in drinking-water reservoirs, offering testable hypotheses for assessing combined effects of oxygen, nitrogen loading, and DOM properties.
好氧反硝化细菌在深层饮用水水库中的脱氮作用日益得到认可,但溶解氧(DO)梯度与它们的生态策略、生态位宽度和共生网络之间的关系尚不清楚。采用深度分层水柱样本对华北地区14个饮用水水库中的nirs型好氧反硝化菌进行了调查,并根据K/r策略和生态位泛化/特化将群落划分为4个功能类群。生态阈值检测、群落装配和网络分析发现,DO断点为8.31 mg/L,分离出限氧生态位(OLN)和富氧生态位(OEN)。在两个生态位中,溶解有机物(DOM)以蛋白质样成分为主,而在OLN中荧光强度更高。沿OLN→OEN梯度,优势属由硫杆菌属向罗丹诺杆菌属、假单胞菌属和无色杆菌属转移。集合分析表明,在OLN中,k -战略家和专家的环境选择和分散限制更强,而在OEN中,随机性增加;r型战略家和多面手在这两个利基中都表现出更大的随机性。共现网络表明,r-战略家和通才形成了更有凝聚力的网络,并表现出更高的基于凝聚力的结构稳定性,尤其是在OEN中。用SHapley加性解释和偏最小二乘路径模型解释的随机森林模型表明,OLN的稳定性与温度、锰和化学需氧量的关系最为密切,而OEN的稳定性与无机氮和DOM组成的关系更为密切,主要是通过β-多样性间接联系起来的。总体而言,DO机制与饮用水水库中好氧反硝化菌群落组装和相互作用结构的系统性变化有关,为评估氧、氮负荷和DOM特性的综合影响提供了可测试的假设。
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引用次数: 0
Effects of biomass feedstock and hydrothermal temperature on the molecular composition and bioavailability of invasive plant-based hydrochar-derived dissolved organic matter 生物质原料和水热温度对入侵植物烃类溶解有机质分子组成和生物利用度的影响
IF 12.4 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENGINEERING, ENVIRONMENTAL Pub Date : 2026-02-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.watres.2026.125497
Rongdi An , Xiamu Zelang , Donglin Wang , Shiting Liu , Nan Lu , Chao Ma , Hongfeng Bian , Lianxi Sheng , Jiunian Guan
Hydrothermal carbonization demonstrates a potential for converting invasive plants into multifunctional carbonaceous material. Invasive plant-based hydrochar derived dissolved organic matter (HDOM) becomes an important source of anthropogenic dissolved organic matter, however, the molecular composition and bioavailability of HDOM and the controlling factors were not sufficiently revealed. Thus, in this study, a variety of invasive plants were selected to fabricate hydrochar at different hydrothermal temperatures to investigate the molecular composition via FT-ICR-MS and bioavailability based on microbial fuel cell system. The results indicated dissolved organic carbon (DOC) yield peaked at 200°C and pH fluctuated within a range of 5.0 ‒ 6.0. Along with the increase in hydrothermal temperature, macromolecular humic-like substances promoted via depolymerization, dehydration, and condensation of lignocellulose, likewise unsaturated-reduced molecules as well as the diversity of CHO group in HDOMs. Van Krevelen diagrams demonstrated highly unsaturated and phenolic compounds as lignin-like/CRAMs were the dominant components. Biomass feedstocks did not greatly alter the molecular distribution pattern of HDOMs. HDOMs were introduced into the microbial fuel cell system as the substitute carbon source of sodium acetate, according to the output voltage, HDOMs demonstrated a superior bioavailability, and the effects of biomass feedstocks and hydrothermal temperature were in line with the percentage of labile compounds (MLBL%). HDOMs may serve as a carbon substrate that upregulated catabolic pathways to enhance the bioavailability, and act as metabolic driver to promote the nitrogen removal efficiency via enhancing denitrification and anammox. Environmental implications of HDOMs based on molecular composition and bioavailability were further discussed. This work provided theoretical foundation for optimizing the hydrothermal carbonization of invasive plants and reducing the ecological risks of invasive plant-based hydrochar.
水热炭化证明了将入侵植物转化为多功能碳质物质的潜力。入侵植物烃类溶解有机质(HDOM)已成为人为溶解有机质的重要来源,但其分子组成、生物利用度及其控制因素研究尚不充分。因此,本研究选择多种入侵植物在不同水热温度下制备水合物,通过FT-ICR-MS研究其分子组成和基于微生物燃料电池系统的生物利用度。结果表明,溶解有机碳(DOC)产率在200℃时达到峰值,pH值在5.0 ~ 6.0范围内波动。随着水热温度的升高,木质纤维素的解聚、脱水和缩聚促进了大分子腐殖质样物质的产生,也促进了hdom中不饱和还原分子的产生以及CHO基团的多样性。Van Krevelen图显示高度不饱和和酚类化合物(木质素样/ cram)是主要成分。生物质原料对hdom的分子分布格局影响不大。将hdom作为醋酸钠的替代碳源引入微生物燃料电池系统,从输出电压来看,hdom具有良好的生物利用度,生物质原料和水热温度的影响与不稳定化合物的百分比(MLBL%)一致。hdom可能作为碳底物上调分解代谢途径以提高生物利用度,并作为代谢驱动物通过增强反硝化和厌氧氨氧化提高脱氮效率。基于分子组成和生物利用度进一步讨论了hdom对环境的影响。本研究为优化入侵植物热液炭化工艺,降低入侵植物烃类的生态风险提供了理论依据。
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引用次数: 0
Interface Synergetic Adsorption and Catalysis Achieve Efficient Ozone Decomposition: Surface Atomic Oxygen-triggered Hydroxyl Radicals Increment for Dependable Water Purification 界面协同吸附和催化实现有效的臭氧分解:表面原子氧触发的羟基自由基增加可靠的水净化
IF 12.8 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENGINEERING, ENVIRONMENTAL Pub Date : 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.watres.2026.125489
Yang Shen, Zhonglin Chen, Jimin Shen, Pengwei Yan, Jing Kang, Binyuan Wang, Shengxin Zhao, Yu Ji, Qiang Tan, Ruihang Chen
Improving the interfacial mass transfer efficiencies of ozone and pollutants in heterogeneous catalytic ozonation systems is crucial to solving the technical barrier of low reactive oxygen species (ROS) yield, thereby minimizing interference from coexisting components in water to achieve efficient decontamination. Herein, a biochar-coupled manganese oxide catalyst (MnO@BC) was designed, which achieved a dual adsorption and interfacial reaction between ozone and pollutants, significantly enhanced the hydroxyl radical (·OH) yield, leading to a 92.5% removal efficiency for atrazine (ATZ). The hydroxyl groups on the carbon layer achieve effective adsorption of ozone molecules (Eads=-0.72 eV), inducing Mn-O bond formation with Mn sites and the transfer of 0.29 e⁻, leading to the generation of surface atomic oxygen (*O). Subsequently, this *O spontaneously converts into ·OH, as evidenced by the highly negative Gibbs free energy change (ΔG = -13.9 eV). The improved synergetic process significantly increases ·OH yield by 3.8 times compared to ozone alone. Benefiting from the dual synergy process, the constructed O3/MnO@BC system significantly resists the interference of coexisting components in water, exhibiting unique advantages compared to traditional catalytic systems. It also performed well in purifying broad-spectrum micropollutants, synchronously weakening the toxicity, and blooming superior prospects for filtered water purification. The study designs catalysts from the perspective of the microscopic heterogeneous interface, providing novel theoretical insights and solutions to solve the technical barrier of heterogeneous catalytic ozonation.
提高非均相催化臭氧化系统中臭氧与污染物的界面传质效率,对于解决低活性氧(ROS)产率的技术障碍至关重要,从而最大限度地减少水中共存组分的干扰,实现高效去污。设计了一种生物炭偶联氧化锰催化剂(MnO@BC),实现了臭氧与污染物的双重吸附和界面反应,显著提高了羟基自由基(·OH)的产率,对阿特拉津(ATZ)的去除率达到92.5%。碳层上的羟基对臭氧分子(Eads=-0.72 eV)进行了有效的吸附,诱导Mn-O与Mn位点形成键,并转移0.29 e⁻,导致表面原子氧(*O)的生成。随后,*O自发地转化为·OH,这可以从高度负的吉布斯自由能变化(ΔG = -13.9 eV)中得到证明。与单独使用臭氧相比,改进后的协同过程可显著提高·OH产率3.8倍。得益于双协同过程,构建的O3/MnO@BC体系明显抵抗水中共存组分的干扰,与传统催化体系相比具有独特的优势。对广谱微污染物的净化效果良好,毒性同步减弱,在过滤水净化中具有良好的应用前景。本研究从微观非均相界面角度设计催化剂,为解决非均相催化臭氧化的技术障碍提供了新的理论见解和解决方案。
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引用次数: 0
Handling Left-Censored Wastewater Surveillance Data at the City Level: A State-Space Model Incorporating a Logistic Function 城市层面的污水监测数据处理:一个包含逻辑函数的状态空间模型
IF 12.8 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENGINEERING, ENVIRONMENTAL Pub Date : 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.watres.2026.125488
Hiroki Ando, Kelly Reynolds
Left-censored data (i.e., microbial non-detection data) in wastewater surveillance hinder accurate understanding of disease incidence and the early detection of epidemic signals in the initial stages. In this study, we propose state-space models incorporating a logistic model to handle left-censored data. Using simulation data, we show that the state-space models can provide accurate estimates of wastewater concentrations from detection rates. The models outperformed the substitution method (i.e., a method that replaces non-detection data with a specific value), lowering the mean of absolute percentage error from 0.39 to 0.053. We also found that the estimation accuracy of the models was improved by increasing the number of tested samples and sampling frequency. In the simulation analysis, higher sampling frequency was more critical than the number of daily analyzed samples, as long as weekly totals remained consistent. Subsequently, we applied the models to real-world data for influenza A virus (IAV) and respiratory syncytial viruses (RSV) in the USA, estimating wastewater concentration and wastewater-based effective reproduction number (Reww). Estimated Reww ranged from 0.80 to 1.36 for IAV and 0.74 to 1.66 for RSV, which was consistent with Re reported in previous studies using clinical data. As a comparison, dynamics of wastewater concentration and Reww were estimated using the substitution approach. We observed that the substitution approach underestimated concentrations in the period during which left-censored data were observed. The substitution approach also overestimated Reww in early epidemic stages and underestimated Reww in the end stage. These findings demonstrate the utility of the state-space models to handle left-censored data and enhance our ability to understand epidemic dynamics through wastewater surveillance. To facilitate its use, we provided a file for inputting wastewater-based data along with scripts. The state-space models can be run easily by adding wastewater-based data in a provided CSV file without advanced programming skills.
废水监测中的左删节数据(即微生物未检测数据)阻碍了对疾病发病率的准确了解和在初始阶段早期发现流行病信号。在本研究中,我们提出了包含逻辑模型的状态空间模型来处理左删减数据。使用模拟数据,我们表明状态空间模型可以根据检测率提供准确的废水浓度估计。该模型优于替代法(即用特定值替代非检测数据的方法),将绝对百分比误差的平均值从0.39降低到0.053。我们还发现,增加测试样本的数量和采样频率可以提高模型的估计精度。在模拟分析中,只要每周总数保持一致,较高的采样频率比每日分析样本的数量更为关键。随后,我们将模型应用于美国甲型流感病毒(IAV)和呼吸道合胞病毒(RSV)的实际数据,估计废水浓度和废水基有效繁殖数(Reww)。IAV的估计Reww范围为0.80 ~ 1.36,RSV的估计Reww范围为0.74 ~ 1.66,这与先前使用临床数据的研究报告的Re一致。作为比较,用替代法估计了废水浓度和Reww的动态。我们观察到,替代方法低估了左删节数据观测期间的浓度。替代法还高估了疫情早期的Reww,低估了疫情末期的Reww。这些发现证明了状态空间模型在处理左删减数据方面的实用性,并增强了我们通过废水监测了解流行病动态的能力。为了方便使用,我们提供了一个用于输入基于废水的数据的文件和脚本。通过在提供的CSV文件中添加基于废水的数据,无需高级编程技能,即可轻松运行状态空间模型。
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Water Research
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