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Investigating GIA-driven intraplate deformation in Eastern Canada with GNSS clustering and 3D strain rate analysis 利用GNSS聚类和三维应变率分析研究加拿大东部由地理信息系统驱动的板内变形
IF 12.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2026-02-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.earscirev.2026.105421
Alexander L. Peace, D. Sarah Stamps, Rui Xu
Intraplate seismicity in Eastern Canada is characterised by spatially clustered earthquakes within the relatively stable continental interior. This seismicity poses significant seismic hazards to urban centres like Ottawa, Montreal, and Quebec City. Deciphering the mechanisms driving the spatiotemporal distribution of intraplate seismicity in eastern Canada has proven elusive with previous work suggesting a complex interplay of far-field tectonic and glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA) processes acting on older geologic structures. We explore the application of a microplate tectonic framework and strain rate analysis based on Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) velocities to better understand the physical processes driving the distribution of seismicity and deformation in this region. We test the application of the microplate model in eastern Canada by analysing horizontal GNSS velocities using an established machine learning cluster analysis approach and comparing results with the distribution of GIA signals. The machine learning-based clustering does not reveal distinct microplate boundaries; however, we identify zones of different styles of deformation that align well with zones of uplift and subsidence associated with GIA. For the strain rate analysis, we test the influence of deformation due to GIA by including vertical GNSS velocities in our strain rate calculations assuming volume conservation. In eastern Canada, we quantify volumetric strain rates due to vertical deformation ranging from -1.16 × 10-9/yr to 4.12 × 10-9/yr and suggest these values may be sufficient to reactivate ancient faults. This work contributes to our understanding of seismic risks associated with GIA by highlighting regions where future seismicity may occur and quantifying volumetric strain rate values that may be sufficient to reactivate preexisting structures.
加拿大东部的板块内地震活动的特点是在相对稳定的大陆内部空间上聚集地震。这种地震活动对渥太华、蒙特利尔和魁北克市等城市中心构成了重大的地震危险。破译驱动加拿大东部板内地震活动时空分布的机制已被证明是难以捉摸的,先前的工作表明,远场构造和冰川均衡调整(GIA)过程对较老的地质结构起着复杂的相互作用。为了更好地了解驱动该地区地震活动和变形分布的物理过程,我们探索了基于全球导航卫星系统(GNSS)速度的微板块构造框架和应变率分析的应用。我们通过使用既定的机器学习聚类分析方法分析水平GNSS速度,并将结果与GIA信号的分布进行比较,测试了微孔板模型在加拿大东部的应用。基于机器学习的聚类不显示明显的微孔板边界;然而,我们确定了不同类型的变形带,这些变形带与与GIA相关的隆起和沉降带很好地对齐。对于应变率分析,我们在假设体积守恒的情况下,通过在应变率计算中包含垂直GNSS速度来测试GIA变形的影响。在加拿大东部,我们量化了垂直变形引起的体积应变率,范围从-1.16 × 10-9/yr到4.12 × 10-9/yr,并认为这些值可能足以重新激活古断层。这项工作有助于我们了解与GIA相关的地震风险,通过突出未来可能发生地震活动的区域,并量化可能足以重新激活先前存在的结构的体积应变率值。
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引用次数: 0
Varied animal-resource exploitation strategies sustained the late Neolithic settlement on the northeastern Tibetan plateau 不同的动物资源开发策略维持了新石器时代晚期青藏高原东北部的定居
IF 2.8 1区 地球科学 Q1 ANTHROPOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-02-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.jas.2026.106480
Lele Ren, Yishi Yang, Xin Zhao, Junmei Zhang, Linying Wang, Zhipeng Li, Qianqian Wang, Guanghui Dong
The northeastern Tibetan Plateau served as a key gateway for prehistoric high-altitude dispersal, yet the role of animal resources in sustaining early settlements remains poorly understood. Here, we integrate zooarchaeology, AMS 14C dating, stable isotope (δ13C, δ15N), and ancient DNA analyses of faunal specimens from four Late Neolithic sites in this region to reconstruct a two-stage strategy of animal resource exploitation. Between 6000 and 4300 cal BP, human occupation was largely confined to low-elevation valleys, where hunting provided the majority of meat and modest pig herds were maintained alongside millet cultivation. Notably, blue sheep and golden monkeys during this period exhibit distinctly elevated δ13C values, indicating sustained provisioning with millet or its by-products and providing early evidence consistent with their short-term management or foddering on the Tibetan Plateau. After 4300 cal BP, the introduction of frost-tolerant wheat, barley, and domestic sheep/goats facilitated expansion to higher elevations. Management of blue sheep ceased, while yak domestication (∼3750 cal BP) provided a cold-adapted livestock complement. These findings demonstrate that flexible strategies encompassing hunting, foddering, temporary captivity, and eventual domestication supported sustained Neolithic settlement across the northeastern Tibetan Plateau.
青藏高原东北部是史前高海拔迁徙的重要通道,但动物资源在维持早期定居中的作用仍然知之甚少。在此,我们综合了动物考古学、AMS 14C测年、稳定同位素(δ13C, δ15N)和该地区四个新石器时代晚期动物标本的古代DNA分析,重建了该地区动物资源开发的两阶段策略。在距今6000至4300 cal BP之间,人类的活动主要局限于低海拔的山谷,在那里狩猎提供了大部分的肉类,适度的猪群和小米种植一起维持。值得注意的是,蓝羊和金丝猴在这一时期的δ13C值明显升高,表明它们以谷子或谷子副产品为食,为它们在青藏高原的短期经营或觅食提供了早期证据。4300 cal BP之后,耐寒小麦、大麦和家养绵羊/山羊的引入促进了向更高海拔地区的扩张。蓝羊的管理停止了,而牦牛的驯化(~ 3750 cal BP)提供了一种适应冷的牲畜补充。这些发现表明,包括狩猎、觅食、临时圈养和最终驯化在内的灵活策略支持了新石器时代在青藏高原东北部持续的定居。
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引用次数: 0
Trace metal and carbon isotope composition of amorphous calcium carbonate-derived CaCO3 minerals as a function of temperature and time 无定形碳酸钙衍生CaCO3矿物的微量金属和碳同位素组成与温度和时间的关系
IF 3.9 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2026-02-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.chemgeo.2026.123303
Vasileios Mavromatis, Jean-Michel Brazier, Anna L. Harrison, Sylvia Riechelmann, Jacques Schott
Amorphous calcium carbonate (ACC) is a common precursor of crystalline CaCO3 minerals whose chemical and isotopic composition are readily used as environmental archives. Yet the existing understanding on how chemical composition of ACC derived solids evolves during and after crystallization is rather limited. To address this question, in this study, impurity free ACC was introduced in a solution containing a high concentration of dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC), as well as B, Li, Na and Mg and let transform to crystalline CaCO3. The aqueous fluid was also enriched in 13C in order to assess the progress of the transformation reaction. Experiments were conducted at 5, 25 and 40 °C and the total reaction time was 90 days. The transformation of ACC mainly proceeds via its dissolution and re-precipitation and the mineralogy of the crystalline product varies at the different reaction temperatures. The observed mineral transformations are mainly affected by temperature, whereas the reaction progress is not the same in all reaction temperatures and a complete mixing of C pools between solid and reactive fluid is only observed in 25 °C runs. Moreover, the distribution coefficients of Li and Na between the solids and the fluid reduce significantly over time and at the end of the runs appear similar to those observed in seeded growth experiments conducted at low degrees of supersaturation with respect to CaCO3. These observations are discussed in combination with the implications they have for the interpretation of the chemical compositions of biogenic and abiotic samples that are derived from ACC and are routinely used as environmental proxies.
无定形碳酸钙(ACC)是晶体碳酸钙矿物的常见前体,其化学和同位素组成很容易作为环境档案。然而,现有的对ACC衍生固体在结晶过程和结晶后化学成分变化的理解相当有限。为了解决这一问题,本研究将无杂质ACC引入含有高浓度溶解无机碳(DIC)以及B、Li、Na和Mg的溶液中,并使其转化为结晶CaCO3。水溶液中还富集13C,以评估转化反应的进展。实验分别在5、25和40 °C下进行,总反应时间为90 天。ACC的转变主要通过其溶解和再沉淀进行,不同反应温度下结晶产物的矿物学特征不同。观察到的矿物转变主要受温度的影响,而在所有反应温度下的反应过程并不相同,只有在 °C的25次运行中观察到固体和反应流体之间的C池完全混合。此外,Li和Na在固体和流体之间的分布系数随着时间的推移显着降低,并且在运行结束时,与在低过饱和程度的CaCO3下进行的种子生长实验中观察到的情况相似。这些观察结果结合它们对解释来自ACC的生物和非生物样品的化学成分的影响进行了讨论,这些样品通常被用作环境代用物。
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引用次数: 0
ELM-MOSART-DOC: A Large-Scale Riverine Dissolved Organic Carbon Model and Its Application Over the United States ELM-MOSART-DOC:美国大尺度河流溶解有机碳模型及其应用
IF 4.6 2区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-16 DOI: 10.1029/2025MS005307
Lingbo Li, Hong-Yi Li, Guta Abeshu, Xiaojuan Yang, Jinyun Tang, Zeli Tan, Chang Liao, Dongyu Feng, Peter Thornton, L. Ruby Leung

Riverine dissolved organic carbon (DOC), primarily sourced from soil organic carbon (SOC), plays a crucial role in regional and global carbon cycles. However, the complexities of the underlying mechanisms and limited observations present significant challenges for predictive understanding of DOC at regional or larger scales. Recently, we developed a machine learning-based (ML) map of DOC transformation rates, bridging the gap between SOC and DOC leaching flux and simplifying terrestrial DOC representation. Building on this advancement, we introduce ELM-MOSART-DOC, a DOC module integrated into the riverine component of the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM)—the Model for Scale Adaptive River Transport (MOSART). ELM-MOSART-DOC simulates DOC transport and transformation across both headwater streams and river networks, including those managed. Model validation demonstrates the ability of ELM-MOSART-DOC to accurately capture long-term average DOC concentrations, with Kling-Gupta Efficiency (KGE) scores of 0.58 and 0.76 at large and local stations, respectively. We further assess the impact of reservoirs through different simulation schemes, revealing that reservoirs significantly alter DOC fluxes by regulating streamflow patterns and promoting DOC mineralization. Model simulations indicate that reservoirs reduce total DOC flux from the Mississippi River into the ocean by 7.5%, with the long-term average annual export decreasing from 3.34 to 3.14 teragrams (Tg) per year. ELM-MOSART-DOC integrates process-based modeling with ML parameterization to enhance the predictive understanding of riverine biogeochemical processes. This approach reduces uncertainties in modeling regional and global carbon cycle ESMs and provides new insights into carbon cycling and its implications for global environmental change.

河流溶解有机碳(DOC)主要来源于土壤有机碳(SOC),在区域和全球碳循环中起着至关重要的作用。然而,潜在机制的复杂性和有限的观测为在区域或更大尺度上预测DOC提出了重大挑战。最近,我们开发了一个基于机器学习(ML)的DOC转化率地图,弥合了SOC和DOC淋溶通量之间的差距,简化了陆地DOC的表示。在此基础上,我们引入了ELM-MOSART-DOC,这是一个集成到Energy Exascale地球系统模型(E3SM) -尺度自适应河流运输模型(MOSART)的河流组件中的DOC模块。ELM-MOSART-DOC模拟了DOC在源头溪流和河流网络中的传输和转化,包括那些被管理的河流。模型验证表明,ELM-MOSART-DOC能够准确捕获长期平均DOC浓度,大型站和局地站的KGE分别为0.58和0.76。我们通过不同的模拟方案进一步评估了水库的影响,发现水库通过调节水流模式和促进DOC矿化显著改变了DOC通量。模型模拟表明,水库使从密西西比河进入海洋的DOC总通量减少了7.5%,长期平均年出口量从每年3.34兆克(Tg)减少到3.14兆克(Tg)。ELM-MOSART-DOC将基于过程的建模与ML参数化相结合,以增强对河流生物地球化学过程的预测理解。该方法减少了区域和全球碳循环esm建模的不确定性,并为碳循环及其对全球环境变化的影响提供了新的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing Bayesian model averaging ensemble model performance via feature partitioning and set pair analysis for freshwater-saltwater interface prediction 基于特征划分和集对分析的淡水-咸水界面预测贝叶斯平均集成模型性能改进
IF 6.4 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2026-02-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2026.135155
Zhengyang Jia, Hai Yang, Zi Chen, Enping Xie, Quanping Zhou, Yun Li, Xuan Yu, Shijun Zhang
Accurate prediction of upper and lower freshwater-saltwater interface elevations (FSIEs) is critical for the sustainable management of coastal groundwater resources. While Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) ensemble learning methods are widely utilized to improve predictive accuracy, their performance is often constrained by prior weight settings that are not only empirically-derived or subjective but also inherently static, rendering them inaccurate for shifting hydrological conditions. To overcome this limitation, this study proposes a novel framework integrating Feature Partitioning (FP) and Set Pair Analysis (SPA) to generate dynamic, data-driven prior weights for BMA. The methodology began with the development of four base models: eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGB), Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), Random Forest (RF), and Support Vector Machine (SVM). Subsequently, SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis identified groundwater electrical conductivity (GWC) as the key feature guiding the partitioning of the dataset into distinct zones. Within each zone, SPA was applied to generate accurate prior weights, enabling the BMA component to utilize adaptive weighting for each hydrological condition. On an independent test set, the proposed FP-SPA-BMA ensemble model demonstrated superior performance, achieving coefficients of determination (R2) of 0.947 and 0.927 for upper and lower FSIEs in the core well, with Coverage Width-based Criterion (CWC) values as low as 0.57 m and 0.54 m. The successful application at a verification well further demonstrated the framework’s spatial transferability. This study establishes that the FP-SPA framework offers a robust and transferable solution to the prior weight problem in BMA, significantly advancing the reliability of FSIE prediction.
淡水-咸水界面高程的准确预测对沿海地下水资源的可持续管理至关重要。虽然贝叶斯模型平均(BMA)集成学习方法被广泛用于提高预测精度,但它们的性能往往受到先验权重设置的限制,这些权重设置不仅是经验推导的或主观的,而且本质上是静态的,使得它们对于不断变化的水文条件不准确。为了克服这一限制,本研究提出了一个结合特征划分(FP)和集对分析(SPA)的新框架,以生成动态的、数据驱动的BMA先验权值。该方法始于四个基本模型的开发:极端梯度增强(XGB),卷积神经网络(CNN),随机森林(RF)和支持向量机(SVM)。随后,SHapley加性解释(SHAP)分析将地下水电导率(GWC)确定为指导数据集划分为不同区域的关键特征。在每个区域内,应用SPA生成准确的先验权重,使BMA分量能够针对每个水文条件使用自适应权重。在一个独立的测试集上,所提出的FP-SPA-BMA集成模型表现出优异的性能,对岩心井的上部和下部fsi的决定系数(R2)分别为0.947和0.927,覆盖宽度基准(CWC)值分别低至0.57 m和0.54 m。验证井的成功应用进一步证明了该框架的空间可移植性。本研究表明,FP-SPA框架为BMA中的先验权重问题提供了一个鲁棒性和可转移的解决方案,显著提高了FSIE预测的可靠性。
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引用次数: 0
Contribution of bioaerosols from terrestrial ecosystems to ice-nucleating particles over the Arctic Ocean 来自陆地生态系统的生物气溶胶对北冰洋上空冰核粒子的贡献
IF 9 1区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-16 DOI: 10.1038/s41612-025-01291-7
Takeshi Kinase, Fumikazu Taketani, Yutaka Tobo, Masayuki Takigawa, Kouji Adachi, Takuma Miyakawa, Chunmao Zhu, Yugo Kanaya
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引用次数: 0
The dentognathic material of the Neanderthals from Chagyrskaya (Altai, Russia): Morphology and paleobiology. 俄罗斯阿尔泰Chagyrskaya地区尼安德特人的牙齿材料:形态学和古生物学。
IF 3.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ANTHROPOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-02-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhevol.2026.103808
Arthur Gicqueau, Bruno Maureille, Sandrine Costamagno, Kseniya Kolobova, William Rendu, Sergei Markin, Bence Viola

Located in the northernmost part of Central Asia, the western foothills of the Altai Mountains (Western Siberia) represent to date the easternmost known boundary of Neanderthal distribution, far from their main cultural areas currently known in Western Eurasia. This geographic situation suggests the possibility of distinct cultural and biological traits in Altai Neanderthals. In this region, Chagyrskaya Cave contains the most substantial paleoanthropological collection, with 75 remains, including 20 craniodental elements attributed to at least eight individuals of varying ages (22 permanent teeth and four deciduous teeth), dating to between approximately 59 and 51 ka BP. Previous paleogenetic analyses suggest several individuals from this site are closely related. Our study is the first to comprehensively analyze the morphology of the entire set of dentognathic elements. In this study, we document the phenotypic variability of the Chagyrskaya's individuals by examining the dimensions and proportions of the crown and root tissues, the nonmetric traits of the outer enamel surface, and the enamel-dentine junction of the 26 teeth from this site and by comparing them to published data of both fossil and more recent material. Furthermore, we explore aspects related to their lifestyle and behavior describing the antemortem lesions affecting their dentognathic elements. Our results show that the dental traits of these human remains fall within the known Neanderthal phenotypic variability while also presenting certain specificities, the origins of which we discuss. In addition, the identification of several lesions on some of these fossils allows us to document their oral health and the use of their teeth for paramasticatory activities.

位于中亚最北端的阿尔泰山脉(西伯利亚西部)的西部山麓是迄今为止已知的尼安德特人分布的最东端边界,远离目前已知的尼安德特人在欧亚大陆西部的主要文化区。这种地理位置表明,阿尔泰尼安德特人可能具有独特的文化和生物特征。在该地区,Chagyrskaya洞穴拥有最丰富的古人类标本,共有75件遗骸,其中包括至少8个不同年龄的个体(22颗恒牙和4颗乳牙)的20个颅碘元素,其年代约在59 - 51 ka BP之间。先前的古成因分析表明,该遗址的几个个体关系密切。我们的研究首次全面分析了整个牙颌元素的形态。在这项研究中,我们记录了Chagyrskaya个体的表型变异,通过检查冠和根组织的尺寸和比例,外牙釉质表面的非计量特征,以及该地点26颗牙齿的牙釉质-牙本质连接,并将它们与化石和最新材料的已发表数据进行比较。此外,我们探讨了与他们的生活方式和行为有关的方面,这些方面描述了影响他们牙颌元素的临终病变。我们的研究结果表明,这些人类遗骸的牙齿特征属于已知的尼安德特人表型变异性,同时也呈现出某些特异性,我们讨论了其起源。此外,在其中一些化石上发现的几个病变使我们能够记录他们的口腔健康状况和使用牙齿进行辅助吞咽活动。
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引用次数: 0
Asymmetric Impacts of Urbanization on Precipitation in the Ordos Plateau Urban Agglomeration 鄂尔多斯高原城市群城市化对降水的不对称影响
IF 8 1区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.wace.2026.100871
Yixuan Wang, Tingxi Liu, Ruizhong Gao, Xiaomin Liu, Limin Duan, Shaojie Chu, Jin Sun, Ping Miao, Hongli Ma
Understanding how urbanization intensifies precipitation, especially in water-sensitive arid regions, is critical for climate adaptation. This study investigates the nonlinear and scale-dependent responses of precipitation to urbanization in the Ordos Plateau, China, an ecologically fragile arid region experiencing rapid urban expansion. We parameterized urbanization intensity and precipitation amplification to quantify their relationship across different quantiles (τ) and time scales using a mixed-effects nonlinear quantile regression model. This approach allowed us to control for site-specific variability and isolate the generalizable urbanization effect. Our results reveal a robust urbanization intensity-dependent precipitation enhancement. On average, across the time scales considered, a tenfold increase in urbanization intensity amplifies extreme precipitation (τ = 0.99) by approximately 0.590 units, which is about 4.6 times greater than its effect on light precipitation (τ = 0.01). Furthermore, the marginal contribution of urbanization to precipitation amplification diminishes with increasing urbanization levels but remains persistently higher for extreme events. Crucially, these nonlinear effects are more pronounced at monthly and seasonal scales than at the annual scale, underscoring a heightened vulnerability to short-term extremes. These findings reveal that urban expansion in arid and semi-arid regions disproportionately exacerbates extreme precipitation risks. It is therefore suggested that urban planning, water resource management, and disaster prevention policies integrate this nonlinear, urbanization intensity–dependent relationship to enhance climate resilience.
了解城市化如何加剧降水,特别是在水资源敏感的干旱地区,对气候适应至关重要。本文研究了鄂尔多斯高原生态脆弱干旱区城市化进程的非线性尺度响应。我们采用混合效应非线性分位数回归模型,将城市化强度和降水放大参数化,量化它们在不同分位数(τ)和时间尺度上的关系。这种方法使我们能够控制特定地点的可变性,并隔离可推广的城市化效应。我们的研究结果揭示了一个强大的城市化强度依赖的降水增强。平均而言,在考虑的所有时间尺度上,城市化强度增加10倍会将极端降水(τ = 0.99)放大约0.590个单位,比其对轻降水的影响(τ = 0.01)大4.6倍。此外,城市化对降水放大的边际贡献随着城市化水平的增加而减小,但在极端事件中保持较高的边际贡献。至关重要的是,这些非线性效应在月和季节尺度上比在年尺度上更为明显,强调了对短期极端事件的高度脆弱性。这些发现表明,干旱和半干旱地区的城市扩张不成比例地加剧了极端降水的风险。因此,建议城市规划、水资源管理和防灾政策整合这种非线性的城市化强度依赖关系,以增强气候适应能力。
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引用次数: 0
Oxygen Isotopes in Tree Rings Track Neotropical Climate Dynamics 树木年轮中的氧同位素追踪新热带气候动力学
IF 5.2 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2026-02-16 DOI: 10.1029/2025gl120744
Isabel González-Méndez, Kevin J. Anchukaitis, Diego Pons, Kiyomi Morino, Talia G. Anderson, Soumaya Belmecheri, Laia Andreu-Hayles
Central America faces increasing risks from climate variability and extreme weather events. Limited observational records and model biases have constrained our ability to understand the ocean–atmosphere dynamics that influence precipitation variability in the region over longer timescales. Paleoclimate proxies, including the stable oxygen isotope ratio of the cellulose of tropical trees, can extend the climate record, allowing recent trends and variability to be evaluated in a long-term context and improving our understanding of forced and unforced variability of the climate system. Here, we present a new multidecadal record of tree-ring δ18O�${{updelta }}^{18}mathrm{O}$� from Abies guatemalensis (Guatemalan Fir) from Guatemala and Honduras. We demonstrate that this proxy records boreal summer rainfall and is tightly coupled to neotropical ocean–atmosphere dynamics. This precisely dated, high-resolution proxy can be used for multicentury hydroclimate reconstructions of the Intertropical Convergence Zone dynamics and its interactions with the eastern Pacific Ocean and Caribbean Sea.
中美洲面临着气候变化和极端天气事件带来的越来越大的风险。有限的观测记录和模式偏差限制了我们理解在较长时间尺度上影响该地区降水变率的海洋-大气动力学的能力。古气候代用物,包括热带树木纤维素的稳定氧同位素比值,可以扩展气候记录,允许在长期背景下评估最近的趋势和变率,并提高我们对气候系统的强迫和非强迫变率的理解。本文报道了危地马拉和洪都拉斯冷杉(Abies guatemalensis)树木年轮δ18O${{updelta}}^{18}mathrm{O}$的新多年代际记录。我们证明,这一代理记录了北方夏季降雨,并与新热带海洋-大气动力学紧密耦合。这种精确定年的高分辨率替代方法可用于多世纪热带辐合带动力学及其与东太平洋和加勒比海相互作用的水文气候重建。
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引用次数: 0
Water quality spatial-temporal imputation using diffusion graph convolutional networks: A case study in Georgia, USA 基于扩散图卷积网络的水质时空反演:以美国乔治亚州为例
IF 6.4 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2026-02-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2026.135158
Jiayu Fang, Lewei Xie, Mengnan Shi, Qiang Yao, Hongtao Li
Water quality monitoring is essential for environmental management and public health, yet the sparsity of sensor deployments often leads to missing spatio-temporal data, necessitating accurate imputation techniques to infer water quality at unobserved monitoring locations. Conventional methods rarely capture water quality’s spatio-temporal, multi-parameter dynamics or handle noisy, evolving sensor networks. To address this, a novel hybrid framework—the Water Quality Auxiliary-Enhanced Spatio-Temporal Imputation Framework based on Diffusion Graph Convolutional Networks is proposed. This framework employs diffusion graph convolutional networks to model the spatio-temporal correlations of pH data and adaptively integrates auxiliary variables to generate node-specific enhancement signals. In addition, a subgraph-sampling design enables to address the influence of noisy neighboring nodes and facilitate generalization across dynamic monitoring networks. Extensive experiments on a real-world daily water-quality dataset from 37 monitoring locations in Georgia, USA demonstrate that our model outperforms state-of-the-art baselines; on the test set, it achieves an MAE of 0.0084, MAPE of 1.27%, and RMSE of 0.0119 for pH imputation, reducing these metrics by 56.0%, 57.0%, and 51.6% relative to the best baseline. These results suggest that the proposed framework provides a practical and scalable tool for spatio-temporal water-quality imputation at unobserved monitoring locations in river networks. The experimental data and codes for this study can be found at https://github.com/Xielewei/Water-Quality.git.
水质监测对环境管理和公共卫生至关重要,但传感器部署的稀缺性往往导致时空数据的缺失,因此需要精确的估算技术来推断未观测到的监测地点的水质。传统的方法很少捕捉到水质的时空、多参数动态或处理嘈杂的、不断发展的传感器网络。为了解决这一问题,提出了一种新的混合框架——基于扩散图卷积网络的水质辅助增强时空插值框架。该框架采用扩散图卷积网络对pH数据的时空相关性进行建模,并自适应集成辅助变量以生成特定节点的增强信号。此外,子图采样设计能够解决噪声相邻节点的影响,并促进跨动态监测网络的泛化。对来自美国佐治亚州37个监测点的真实世界每日水质数据集进行的广泛实验表明,我们的模型优于最先进的基线;在测试集上,pH imputation的MAE为0.0084,MAPE为1.27%,RMSE为0.0119,相对于最佳基线,这些指标分别降低了56.0%,57.0%和51.6%。这些结果表明,所提出的框架为河网中未观测到的监测地点的时空水质输入提供了一个实用且可扩展的工具。本研究的实验数据和代码可在https://github.com/Xielewei/Water-Quality.git上找到。
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