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Weakening of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation driven by subarctic freshening since the mid-twentieth century 二十世纪中叶以来亚北极清新驱动的大西洋经向翻转环流减弱现象
IF 18.3 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-11-18 DOI: 10.1038/s41561-024-01568-1
Gabriel M. Pontes, Laurie Menviel

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation is the main driver of northward heat transport in the Atlantic Ocean today, setting global climate patterns. Whether global warming has affected the strength of this overturning circulation over the past century is still debated: observational studies suggest that there has been persistent weakening since the mid-twentieth century, whereas climate models systematically simulate a stable circulation. Here, using Earth system and eddy-permitting coupled ocean–sea-ice models, we show that a freshening of the subarctic Atlantic Ocean and weakening of the overturning circulation increase the temperature and salinity of the South Atlantic on a decadal timescale through the propagation of Kelvin and Rossby waves. We also show that accounting for upper-end meltwater input in historical simulations significantly improves the data–model agreement on past changes in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, yielding a slowdown of 0.46 sverdrups per decade since 1950. Including estimates of subarctic meltwater input for the coming century suggests that this circulation could be 33% weaker than its anthropogenically unperturbed state under 2 °C of global warming, which could be reached over the coming decade. Such a weakening of the overturning circulation would substantially affect the climate and ecosystems.

大西洋经向翻转环流是当今大西洋热量向北输送的主要驱动力,决定着全球气候模式。在过去的一个世纪中,全球变暖是否影响了这一翻转环流的强度仍存在争议:观测研究表明,自二十世纪中叶以来,这一环流持续减弱,而气候模式则系统地模拟了稳定的环流。在这里,我们利用地球系统和允许涡流的海洋-海冰耦合模式表明,亚北极大西洋的清新和翻转环流的减弱通过开尔文波和罗斯比波的传播,在十年时间尺度上增加了南大西洋的温度和盐度。我们还表明,在历史模拟中考虑上端融水输入可显著改善大西洋经向翻转环流过去变化的数据-模型一致性,自 1950 年以来每十年减慢 0.46 sverdrups。根据对未来一个世纪亚北极融水输入的估计,在全球变暖 2 ℃ 的情况下,这一环流可能会比其人为未扰动状态减弱 33%。这种翻转环流的减弱将对气候和生态系统产生重大影响。
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引用次数: 0
Solar Activity Effects on the Near-Earth Space Regions During the Descending Phase of Solar Cycle 24 太阳活动在太阳周期 24 下降阶段对近地空间区域的影响
IF 2.6 2区 地球科学 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-11-17 DOI: 10.1029/2024JA032860
Zhaohai He, Jiyao Xu, Lei Dai, Suping Duan, Hong Gao, Guojun Wang, Ilan Roth, Chi Wang

The solar cycle includes multi-scale variations in the near-Earth space regions including plasmasphere, inner radiation belt (IRB), ionosphere, mesosphere and lower thermosphere (MLT). We present a thorough analysis of the extent of solar cycle effect on those four regions by using mesospheric and thermospheric geopotential height and temperature from SABER on TIMED, ionospheric hmF2 from Chinese Meridian Project, high-energy protons in IRB and electron density in plasmasphere from Van Allen Probes within 2013–2018 intervals. By analyzing evolutions of these quantities, we find that entire IRB, ionosphere and MLT region shrink at solar minimum and stretch at solar maximum by ∼103, 50–102, and 1 km scales, respectively, while plasmapause shows an opposite trend. Fourier spectra of these quantities have been investigated by Lomb–Scargle periodogram. The mid-term periodic oscillations (13.5-day, 45-day, and 52-day) have been observed in MLT region, matching well with plasmapause locations and geomagnetic indices, which have not been observed in solar EUV radiation and IRB. This may indicate that those oscillations facilitate energy exchange and mass transportation between MLT region and plasmasphere due to magnetic storms and substorms. The oscillation periods of higher energy (102.6 MeV) in IRB have not been observed in MLT region except for annual variations. The impact of higher energy protons on MLT regions may not be significant, although they could penetrate deeper into MLT region. Our results reveal relationships between some quantities and solar cycle multi-scale modulation, which may provide assistance and monitors for mass transportation in the near-Earth space regions.

太阳周期包括近地空间区域的多尺度变化,包括等离子体、内辐射带(IRB)、电离层、中间层和低温层(MLT)。我们利用 TIMED 上 SABER 的中间层和热层位势高度和温度、中国子午工程的电离层 hmF2、IRB 的高能质子和 2013-2018 年区间内 Van Allen 探测器的等离子体电子密度,对太阳周期对这四个区域的影响程度进行了深入分析。通过分析这些量的变化,我们发现整个IRB、电离层和MLT区域在太阳最小时缩小,在太阳最大时伸展,尺度分别为103、50-102和1千米,而等离子体则呈现相反的趋势。这些量的傅立叶频谱是通过伦布-斯卡格尔周期图研究的。在 MLT 区域观测到了中期周期振荡(13.5 天、45 天和 52 天),与质点位置和地磁指数非常吻合,而在太阳 EUV 辐射和 IRB 中却没有观测到。这可能表明,这些振荡促进了磁暴和亚暴引起的 MLT 区域和质球之间的能量交换和质量运输。除了每年的变化之外,在 MLT 区域还没有观测到 IRB 中更高能量(102.6 MeV)的振荡周期。虽然高能质子可能会深入 MLT 区域,但对 MLT 区域的影响可能并不大。我们的研究结果揭示了某些数量与太阳周期多尺度调制之间的关系,这可能为近地空间区域的大规模运输提供帮助和监测。
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引用次数: 0
Geostatistical Interpolation Approach for Improving Flood Simulation Within a Data-Scarce Region in the Tibetan Plateau 改进青藏高原数据匮乏地区洪水模拟的地质统计插值法
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-11-17 DOI: 10.1002/hyp.15336
Kanon Guédet Guédé, Zhongbo Yu, Florentin Hofmeister, Huanghe Gu, Babak Mohammadi, Xuegao Chen, Hui Lin, Tongqing Shen, Willy Franz Gouertoumbo

The complex orography of the Tibetan plateau (TP) and the scarcity and uneven spatial distribution of meteorological stations present significant challenges in accurately estimating meteorological variables for hydrological simulations. This study aims to enhance the accuracy of daily precipitation and temperature interpolation for hydrological simulations in the Lhasa River Basin (LRB), particularly during flood events. We evaluate and compare the performance of deterministic Inverse Distance Weighting—IDW and geostatistical (Ordinary Kriging—OK and Kriging with External Drift—KED) interpolation methods for estimating precipitation and temperature patterns. Subsequently, we investigate the influence of different interpolation methods on hydrological simulations by using the interpolated meteorological data as input for the Water Balance Simulation Model (WaSiM) to simulate daily discharge in the LRB. Our results revealed that geostatistical methods, specifically OK and KED, are more effective in capturing the spatial variability and anisotropy inherent in precipitation patterns influenced by the Indian summer monsoons. In addition, the KED method effectively captured the daily variation of the temperature lapse rate, indicating the inadequacy of using a constant lapse rate for hydrological modelling in high-elevation regions like the TP. The geostatistical technique outperformed the Deterministic method, with KED realising the best temperature and precipitation interpolation performance based on cross-validation results. However, although KED provides superior results based on cross-validation performance, applying its precipitation interpolation as input into WaSiM led to the poorest discharge simulation. The combination of OK for precipitation and KED for temperature produced the most accurate discharge simulations in the LRB, highlighting the importance of not solely relying on cross-validation results but also considering the practical implications of interpolation methods on hydrological model outputs. Our study offers a robust framework for improving flood simulations and water resource management in a data-scarce, high-elevation region like the TP.

青藏高原(TP)地形复杂,气象站稀少且空间分布不均,这给准确估算水文模拟中的气象变量带来了巨大挑战。本研究旨在提高拉萨河流域(LRB)水文模拟中日降水量和温度插值的精度,尤其是在洪水事件期间。我们评估并比较了确定性反距离加权法(Inverse Distance Weighting-IDW)和地质统计法(普通克里金法(Ordinary Kriging-OK)和带外部漂移的克里金法(Kriging with External Drift-KED))在估计降水和温度模式方面的性能。随后,我们使用插值气象数据作为水平衡模拟模型(WaSiM)的输入,模拟塱原的日排水量,从而研究不同插值方法对水文模拟的影响。我们的研究结果表明,地质统计方法,特别是 OK 和 KED,能更有效地捕捉受印度夏季季风影响的降水模式中固有的空间变异性和各向异性。此外,KED 方法还能有效捕捉温度失效率的日变化,这表明在像大洋洲这样的高海拔地区使用恒定失效率来建立水文模型是不够的。根据交叉验证结果,地质统计技术优于确定性方法,其中 KED 的温度和降水插值性能最佳。然而,尽管根据交叉验证结果,KED 提供了更优越的结果,但将其降水量插值作为 WaSiM 的输入,却导致了最差的排放模拟结果。降水 OK 和温度 KED 的组合在 LRB 中产生了最准确的排水模拟,这突出表明了不能仅仅依赖交叉验证结果,还要考虑插值方法对水文模型输出的实际影响。我们的研究为改善像大埔这样数据稀缺的高海拔地区的洪水模拟和水资源管理提供了一个稳健的框架。
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引用次数: 0
Study on Acoustic Variability Affected by Upper Ocean Dynamics in South Eastern Arabian Sea 受阿拉伯海东南部上层海洋动力学影响的声学可变性研究
IF 2.9 3区 地球科学 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-11-17 DOI: 10.1029/2023EA003497
Kotta Srinivasu, M. C. Sanjana, G. Latha, T. V. S. Udaya Bhaskar, Hasibur Rahaman, A. Thirunavukkarasu, R Venkatesan

The influence of upper ocean dynamics on the acoustic field in the South Eastern Arabian Sea (SEAS) is studied using in situ oceanographic/acoustic measurements from a moored buoy, along with satellite-derived and climatological data sets. Upper-ocean variability at the site is quantified using Mixed Layer Depth (MLD), Isothermal Layer Depth (ILD), Barrier Layer Thickness (BLT), Maximum Spice Depth (MSD), and Sonic Layer Depth (SLD), along with surface variability factors such as Sea Surface Temperature, Sea Surface Salinity, Spice, and Sea Level Anomaly. The mixed layer acoustic duct (MLAD) varies from 2 to 100 m, with BLT varying from 5 to 99 m, and a mean SLD of 43 m. A thick transition layer connects the mixed layer with the thermocline during winter. The observations reveal that maximum SLD, MSD, and BLT occurred during January–March. Unlike other seasons when SLD follows MLD, winter SLD is influenced by BLT, suggesting strong salinity stratification due to low-salinity water intrusion from the Bay of Bengal by East India Coastal Current. During these months, the SLD varies from 80 to 100 m, with the corresponding minimum cut-off frequency varying from 300 to 200 Hz. Results are correlated with estimated Sound Pressure Level (SPL) from Ambient Noise Measurements during November 2018 to November 2019. SPL variation follows SLD for low and mid-frequencies, with the highest SPL noted during January-February. Acoustic propagation simulations at 250 and 1,000 Hz revealed features like acoustic duct leakage and channeling, indicating energy transfers between the surface acoustic duct and deeper layers.

利用系泊浮标的现场海洋学/声学测量数据以及卫星和气候学数据集,研究了上层海洋动力学对阿拉伯海东南部(SEAS)声场的影响。利用混合层深度(MLD)、等温层深度(ILD)、障碍层厚度(BLT)、最大辣度深度(MSD)和声波层深度(SLD),以及海面温度、海面盐度、辣度和海平面异常等海面变化因素,对该地点的上层海洋变化进行了量化。混合层声导管(MLAD)在 2 至 100 米之间变化,BLT 在 5 至 99 米之间变化,平均 SLD 为 43 米。观测结果表明,最大 SLD、MSD 和 BLT 出现在 1-3 月份。与其他季节的 SLD 随 MLD 变化不同,冬季 SLD 受 BLT 影响,这表明东印度沿岸流从孟加拉湾入侵的低盐度海水造成了强烈的盐度分层。在这几个月中,SLD 在 80 米至 100 米之间变化,相应的最小截止频率在 300 赫兹至 200 赫兹之间变化。结果与 2018 年 11 月至 2019 年 11 月期间环境噪声测量的估计声压级 (SPL) 相关联。低频和中频的声压级变化与 SLD 一致,1 月至 2 月期间的声压级最高。250 和 1,000 Hz 的声传播模拟显示了声导管泄漏和通道等特征,表明表层声导管和深层之间存在能量转移。
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引用次数: 0
A Quaternary aminostratigraphy for the Pannonian Basin: The competing influences of time, burial depth and temperature in deep-core material 潘诺尼亚盆地第四纪氨基地层学:深岩心物质中时间、埋藏深度和温度的相互影响
IF 3.2 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2024-11-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2024.109044
Ellie Nelson , Zoltán Püspöki , Dustin White , György Pogácsás , Richard William McIntosh , Bálint Szappanos , Lucy Wheeler , Tamás Fancsik , Kirsty Penkman
Long-term terrestrial archives of Quaternary climate change illustrate how global changes affect regional climates, but correlation of terrestrial deposits to global records can be challenging due to a lack of material for radiometric dating. The Pannonian Basin (Hungary) contains large river basins, with near-continuous Quaternary deposits ∼600 m in depth. This study tested the IcPD (intra-crystalline protein degradation) approach to amino acid geochronology using bithyniid snail opercula to date deep-core material in geothermally warm regions. Material from seven fully-cored boreholes was collected from four sub-regions: the Körös and Jászság basins, Makó Trough and Békés Basin. IcPD increased with age until approximately 2.3 million years ago, generally supporting stratigraphic correlations previously made between the boreholes. IcPD was consistent between different boreholes within the same sub-region. However due to the steep geothermal gradient in this region, IcPD was systematically different between sub-regions that had different sedimentation rates. Equivalently aged samples buried more deeply had higher IcPD levels, indicating a greater geothermic effect. This provides an insight into how variations in burial temperature can affect protein decomposition within a deeply-buried (>80 m) fossil over geological time, and demonstrates the importance of understanding the geothermal setting for amino acid geochronology. This study shows the utility of IcPD to correlate terrestrial deep-core sediments over the Pleistocene.
第四纪气候变化的长期陆地档案说明了全球变化是如何影响区域气候的,但由于缺乏用于放射性测年的材料,将陆地沉积物与全球记录进行关联可能具有挑战性。潘诺尼亚盆地(匈牙利)包含大河流域,其第四纪沉积物的深度接近 600 米。这项研究利用双疣蜗牛厣对氨基酸地质年代学的 IcPD(结晶内蛋白质降解)方法进行了测试,以确定地温较高地区深层岩芯材料的年代。从 Körös 盆地、Jászság 盆地、Makó 海槽和 Békés 盆地等四个次区域的七个全芯钻孔中采集了材料。IcPD 随着年龄的增长而增加,直到大约 230 万年前,总体上支持了之前在钻孔之间进行的地层关联。同一次区域内不同钻孔的 IcPD 是一致的。然而,由于该地区地热梯度陡峭,沉积速率不同的子区域之间的 IcPD 存在系统性差异。埋藏较深的同等年龄样本的 IcPD 水平较高,表明地热效应较大。这让我们了解了埋藏温度的变化如何影响深埋(80 米)化石中蛋白质的分解,并证明了了解地热环境对氨基酸地质年代的重要性。这项研究显示了 IcPD 对更新世陆地深层岩心沉积物相关性的实用性。
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引用次数: 0
Groundwater flow and salinity dynamics in swash Zones: Combined effects of Evaporation, Waves, and geologic heterogeneity 沼泽区的地下水流和盐度动态:蒸发、波浪和地质异质性的综合影响
IF 5.9 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-11-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.132322
Xiaolong Geng , Holly A. Michael , James W. Heiss , Michel C. Boufadel , Hailong Li , Yan Zhang
This study employs groundwater simulations to examine the combined effects of waves, evaporation, and geologic heterogeneity on the flow and salinity dynamics in a shallow beach environment. The modeling results reveal that wave motion generates a saline plume beneath the swash zone, with hypersalinity near the surface triggered by evaporation. Geologic heterogeneity critically controls the temporal and spatial patterns of evaporation, moisture content, and salinity in the swash zone. Heterogeneous capillarity creates localized moisture hotspots within the unsaturated zone, which support enhanced evaporation and therefore facilitate salt accumulation at the surface, even when the overall moisture conditions along the swash zone are not conducive to high rates of evaporation. The formation of capillary barriers allows these moisture hotspots to persist over tidal cycles, leading to the retention of saltwater pockets within heterogeneous unsaturated finer sediments. As the swash zone recedes and evaporation intensifies, salt begins to accumulate near the beach surface. The moisture hotspots create preferential pathways that facilitate the penetration of hypersaline water into deeper, saturated sediments. In contrast, within the saturated zone, groundwater flow and salt transport are predominantly driven by preferential flow within high-permeability coarse sediments where capillarity is relatively low. Such transport and capillary mechanisms are crucial for a better understanding of coastal groundwater flow, interstitial habitats, biogeochemical conditions, and consequent nutrient cycling and contaminant transport in coastal zones. This highlights the necessity of considering integrated coastal physical drivers when investigating flow and transport processes in coastal swash zones.
这项研究利用地下水模拟来研究波浪、蒸发和地质异质性对浅滩环境中的水流和盐度动态的综合影响。建模结果表明,波浪运动会在冲刷区下方产生一个含盐羽流,蒸发会引发地表附近的盐度过高。地质异质性在很大程度上控制着斜滩区蒸发、含水量和盐度的时空模式。异质毛细管在非饱和区内形成局部湿度热点,支持增强蒸发,从而促进盐分在地表积累,即使斜坡带的整体湿度条件不利于高蒸发率。毛细管屏障的形成使这些湿度热点在潮汐周期中持续存在,导致盐水洼地保留在异质非饱和细沉积物中。随着冲刷带的后退和蒸发的加剧,盐分开始在海滩表面附近积聚。水汽热点会形成优先通道,促进高盐水渗透到更深的饱和沉积物中。相比之下,在饱和区内,地下水流和盐分迁移主要是由毛细管度相对较低的高渗透性粗沉积物内的优先流驱动的。在这种情况下,要更好地了解沿岸地下水流、间隙生境、生物地球化学条件以及随之而 来的沿岸带养分循环和污染物迁移情况,这种迁移和毛细管机制是至关重要的。在研究沿岸沼泽区的流动和传输过程时,有必要考虑沿岸综合物理驱动因素。
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引用次数: 0
A New Generation of Hydrological Condition Simulator Employing Physical Models and Satellite-Based Meteorological Data 采用物理模型和卫星气象数据的新一代水文条件模拟器
IF 2.9 3区 地球科学 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-11-17 DOI: 10.1029/2023EA003228
Wenchao Ma, Kenshi Hibino, Kosuke Yamamoto, Misako Kachi, Riko Oki, Haruya Yoshikawa, Kei Yoshimura
<p>Determining the distribution and dynamics of water on land at any given moment poses a significant challenge due to the constraints of observation. Consequently, as advancements in land surface models (LSMs) have been made, numerical simulation has emerged as an increasingly accurate and effective method for hydrological research. Nonetheless, systems that represent multiple land surface parameters in a near-real-time manner are scarce. In this study, we present an innovative land surface and river simulation system, termed Today's Earth (TE), which generates state and flux values for the near-surface environment with multiple outputs in near-real-time. There are currently three versions of TE, distinguished by the forcing data utilized: JRA-55 version, employing the Japanese 55-year Reanalysis (JRA-55, from 1958 to the present); GSMaP version, utilizing, the Global Satellite Mapping of Precipitation (GSMaP, from 2001 to the present), and MODIS version, utilizing the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS, from 2003 to the present). These long-term forcing data set allow for outputs of the JRA-55 version from 1958, the GSMaP version from 2001, and the MODIS version from 2003. Aiming to provide water and energy values on a global scale in real-time, the TE system utilizes the LSM Minimal Advanced Treatments of Surface Interaction and Runoff (MATSIRO) (Takata et al., 2003, https://doi.org/10.1016/s0921-8181(03)00030-4; Yamazaki et al., 2011, https://doi.org/10.1029/2010wr009726) at a horizontal resolution of 0.5°, along with the river routing model CaMa-Flood (Yamazaki et al., 2011, https://doi.org/10.1029/2010wr009726) at a horizontal resolution of 0.25°. Both land surface and river products are available in 3-hourly, daily, and monthly intervals across all three versions. A notable feature of TE is its ability to release both state and flux parameters in near-real-time, offering convenience for various aspects of hydrological research. In addition to presenting the general features of TE-Global, this study examines the performance of snow depth, soil moisture, and river discharge data in daily intervals from 2003 to 2021, with validation spanning 2003 to 2016. When comparing snow depth results, the correlation coefficient ranged between 0.644 and 0.658, while for soil moisture it ranged between 0.471 and 0.494. These findings suggest that the LSM yields comparable results when utilizing JRA-55, MODIS, or GSMaP. Interestingly, river output from the three products exhibited distinct characteristics varying from GSMaP to JRA-55 and MODIS. For river discharge, the correlation coefficient ranged from 0.494 to 0.519, the root mean square error ranged from 3,730 m<sup>3</sup>/s to 6,330 m<sup>3</sup>/s, and the mean absolute error ranged from 3,000 m<sup>3</sup>/s to 5,160 m<sup>3</sup>/s among the different forcing versions. The overall bias in river discharge from GSMaP was 1,570 m<sup>3</sup>/s, in contrast to −589 m<sup>3</sup>/s fo
由于观测条件的限制,在任何特定时刻确定陆地上水的分布和动态都是一项重大挑战。因此,随着地表模型(LSMs)的进步,数值模拟已成为水文研究中越来越精确和有效的方法。然而,能够以接近实时的方式表示多个地表参数的系统却非常稀缺。在本研究中,我们介绍了一种创新的陆地表面和河流模拟系统,称为 "今天的地球"(TE),它能近实时生成近地表环境的状态和通量值,并提供多种输出。TE 目前有三个版本,按所使用的强迫数据区分:JRA-55 版本采用日本 55 年再分析数据(JRA-55,1958 年至今);GSMaP 版本采用全球降水卫星图(GSMaP,2001 年至今);MODIS 版本采用中分辨率成像分光仪(MODIS,2003 年至今)。通过这些长期强迫数据集,可以输出 1958 年的 JRA-55 版本、2001 年的 GSMaP 版本和 2003 年的 MODIS 版本。为了实时提供全球范围内的水和能量值,TE 系统采用了水平分辨率为 0.5°的 LSM 地表相互作用和径流最小高级处理(MATSIRO)(Takata 等人,2003 年,https://doi.org/10.1016/s0921-8181(03)00030-4;Yamazaki 等人,2011 年,https://doi.org/10.1029/2010wr009726),以及水平分辨率为 0.25°的河流路由模型 CaMa-Flood(Yamazaki 等人,2011 年,https://doi.org/10.1029/2010wr009726)。在所有三个版本中,陆地表面和河流产品均以 3 小时、日和月为间隔提供。TE 的一个显著特点是能够近实时发布状态和流量参数,为水文研究的各个方面提供了便利。除了介绍 TE-Global 的一般特性外,本研究还考察了 2003 年至 2021 年期间雪深、土壤水分和河流排水量数据在日间隔上的性能,并对 2003 年至 2016 年期间的数据进行了验证。在比较雪深结果时,相关系数介于 0.644 和 0.658 之间,而土壤水分的相关系数介于 0.471 和 0.494 之间。这些结果表明,当使用 JRA-55、MODIS 或 GSMaP 时,LSM 得出的结果具有可比性。有趣的是,从 GSMaP 到 JRA-55 和 MODIS,三种产品的河流输出结果呈现出不同的特征。就河流排放量而言,在不同的强迫版本中,相关系数从 0.494 到 0.519 不等,均方根误差从 3,730 立方米/秒到 6,330 立方米/秒不等,平均绝对误差从 3,000 立方米/秒到 5,160 立方米/秒不等。全球降水测绘卫星的河流排水量总体偏差为 1,570 立方米/秒,而 JRA-55 为-589 立方米/秒,MODIS 为-200 立方米/秒。这些指标表明,TE 系统能够生成实用的陆地表面和河流产品,突出显示了使用各种类型的强迫数据所产生的差异。这一综合系统对于监测与水有关的运动、预测灾害以及促进水资源的精细化管理非常有价值。在应用方面,TE 系统已被世界气象组织列为全球水文模拟系统。可以通过文件传输协议免费访问 TE 全球的所有产品。
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引用次数: 0
Responses of Sr, Nd, and S Isotopes of Seawater to the Volcanic Eruptions During the Early Middle Triassic, South China 海水 Sr、Nd 和 S 同位素对华南早中三叠世火山喷发的响应
IF 2.9 2区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-11-17 DOI: 10.1029/2024GC011552
L. J. Shen, Y. J. Zhao, Z. J. Zhu, C. L. Liu

The wide distribution of tuff layers, locally named the “green bean rocks” (GBRs) in the Yangtze Block straddling the Early Middle Triassic marine sequence indicates intense volcanic eruption(s). Sr, Nd, and S isotope compositions and trace elements of marine sediments were analyzed spanning the tuff layers to elucidate their responses to the volcanic eruptions and related environmental changes. The Sr isotope compositions of marine sediments are comparable to those of open seawater during the time interval of ca. 245–248 Ma. Sr and Nd isotope compositions of the samples show synchronous increases in the 87Sr/86Sr ratios and εNd(t) values during the deposition of GBRs. The elevated 87Sr/86Sr ratios and εNd(t) values are proposed to be caused by the input of volcanic tephra and increased influx of weathering product of mafic rocks (most likely the Emeishan flood basalts). The S isotope compositions of sulfates exhibit a negative shift in the GBRs, which could possibly be attributed to greater input of lighter 32S from weathering products and volcanic eruptions. The variation of Th/U ratios indicate that the GBRs formed in an anoxic environment, resulting from high marine productivity as a consequence of more nutrients from weathering and volcanic materials. The responses of Sr, Nd, and S isotopes to volcanic eruptions during the Early Middle Triassic indicate this event resulted in adverse effects, namely enhanced eutrophication and low O2 levels, acidic precipitation, toxic components, etc., that could cause ecological destruction both on land and in the sea.

横跨早中三叠世海相序列的凝灰岩层(当地命名为 "绿豆岩"(GBRs))在扬子地块的广泛分布表明了强烈的火山喷发。分析了跨越凝灰岩层的海洋沉积物的Sr、Nd和S同位素组成和微量元素,以阐明它们对火山喷发和相关环境变化的响应。海洋沉积物的锶同位素组成与约 245-248 Ma 时间段的开阔海水相当。在GBR沉积过程中,样品的Sr和Nd同位素组成显示出87Sr/86Sr比值和εNd(t)值的同步增长。87Sr/86Sr比值和εNd(t)值升高的原因可能是火山表屑的输入和岩浆岩风化产物(很可能是峨眉山洪积玄武岩)流入的增加。硫酸盐的 S 同位素组成在 GBR 中呈现负偏移,这可能是由于风化产物和火山喷发产生了更多较轻的 32S。Th/U 比值的变化表明,大堡礁是在缺氧环境中形成的,由于风化和火山物质提供了更多的营养物质,海洋生产力较高。Sr、Nd和S同位素对早中三叠世火山爆发的反应表明,火山爆发造成了不利影响,即富营养化加剧和氧气含量低、酸性降水、有毒成分等,可能会对陆地和海洋生态造成破坏。
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引用次数: 0
Distinct tropospheric anomalies during sudden stratospheric warming events accompanied by strong and weak Ural Ridge 平流层突然变暖事件期间伴随着强乌拉尔山脉和弱乌拉尔山脉的不同对流层异常现象
IF 8.5 1区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-17 DOI: 10.1038/s41612-024-00826-8
Chongyang Zhang, Jiankai Zhang, Amanda C. Maycock, Wenshou Tian
Different tropospheric precursor anomalies leading to sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs) may result in different circulation evolution. This study finds that there are distinct differences in tropospheric circulation evolutions during SSWs following anomalously strong- (SUR-SSWs) and weak- (WUR-SSWs) Ural ridge. SUR-SSWs exhibit enhanced East Asian trough in the following week, while enhanced Greenland ridge and negative tropospheric annular mode anomalies can persist for 1 month. In contrast, WUR-SSWs exhibit surface cooling over northern Eurasia without notable tropospheric annular mode anomalies. During SUR-SSWs, waves induced by the enhanced Ural wave source tend to propagate below the tropopause, amplifying the East Asian trough. Additionally, due to decreased wave phase speed, the preexisting Ural ridge anomalies migrate westward and amplify the Greenland ridge. Before WUR-SSWs, preexisting cooling over Northeast Asia migrates westward and amplifies northern Eurasia cooling. Thus, the Ural ridge anomalies prior to SSWs significantly influence post-SSW tropospheric circulation.
导致平流层骤暖(SSWs)的对流层前兆异常可能会导致不同的环流演变。本研究发现,在乌拉尔脊异常强(SUR-SSWs)和弱(WUR-SSWs)之后的SSWs期间,对流层环流演变存在明显差异。SUR-SSWs在接下来的一周里会出现增强的东亚低谷,而增强的格陵兰脊和对流层环模负异常会持续一个月。相反,WUR-SSW 在欧亚大陆北部表现出地表冷却,但对流层环模异常并不显著。在SUR-SSW期间,增强的乌拉尔波源诱发的波往往在对流层顶以下传播,从而放大了东亚低谷。此外,由于波相速度降低,先前存在的乌拉尔海脊异常向西移动,放大了格陵兰海脊。在 WUR-SSWs 出现之前,东北亚上空原有的降温向西移动,放大了欧亚大陆北部的降温。因此,西南气旋之前的乌拉尔海脊异常会对西南气旋之后的对流层环流产生重大影响。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the efficacy of Permeable Interlocking Concrete Pavers (PICP) in managing stormwater runoff under climate change and land use scenarios 评估透水混凝土联锁铺路砖(PICP)在气候变化和土地使用情况下管理雨水径流的功效
IF 5.9 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-11-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.132329
Yasir Abduljaleel , Sylvester Richard Chikabvumbwa , Faraz Ul Haq
The study examines Permeable Interlocking Concrete Pavers (PICP) systems in urban and suburban areas facing intensified stormwater challenges due to climate change and evolving land use patterns. It investigates various factors affecting PICP performance, including soil, topography, vegetation, and rainfall intensity, using advanced modeling techniques. The study’s methodology integrates Personal Computer Storm Water Management Model (PCSWMM) model and Python scripting, utilizing historical and projected data to guide resilient PICP designs. Climate projections from 2030 to 2080 show a significant increase in stormwater runoff due to urbanization, emphasizing flood risk concerns. The findings indicated a substantial 43 % increase in runoff for the City of Renton-Cedar watershed in Washington from 2030 to 2069. Without PICP implementation, a notable 20.3 % surge in total runoff volume is anticipated. This highlights the crucial role of PICP and sustainable urban planning in mitigating urbanization’s impact on hydrology. With PICP implementation, the results show that the total runoff may reduce to a range within 24 %–75 % for the three land use scenarios (15 %, 25 % and 35 %). The results also exhibited a significant (P < 0.05) and strong (R2 > 0.8) direct relationship between clogging and PICP systems. Overall, the research underscores PICP systems’ effectiveness in managing stormwater, emphasizing their importance in diverse urban settings, and advocating for green infrastructure adoption to enhance urban resilience amidst changing environmental dynamics.
由于气候变化和不断变化的土地使用模式,城市和郊区面临着日益严峻的雨水挑战,本研究对这些地区的透水混凝土联锁铺路系统(PICP)进行了考察。研究采用先进的建模技术,调查了影响 PICP 性能的各种因素,包括土壤、地形、植被和降雨强度。研究方法整合了个人电脑雨水管理模型 (PCSWMM) 模型和 Python 脚本,利用历史和预测数据来指导具有弹性的 PICP 设计。2030 年至 2080 年的气候预测显示,城市化导致雨水径流显著增加,洪水风险问题尤为突出。研究结果表明,从 2030 年到 2069 年,华盛顿州伦顿市锡达流域的径流量将大幅增加 43%。如果不实施 PICP,预计径流总量将显著增加 20.3%。这凸显了 PICP 和可持续城市规划在减轻城市化对水文影响方面的关键作用。结果表明,在实施 PICP 后,三种土地利用方案(15%、25% 和 35%)的径流总量可能会减少 24%-75%。研究结果还显示,堵塞与 PICP 系统之间存在明显的直接关系(P < 0.05),且关系密切(R2 > 0.8)。总之,这项研究强调了人与生物界面系统在管理雨水方面的有效性,强调了其在不同城市环境中的重要性,并倡导采用绿色基础设施来增强城市在不断变化的环境动态中的适应能力。
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引用次数: 0
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