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A Machine Learning Approach to Rapidly Downscale Sea Surface Temperature Extremes and Heat Stress on the Great Barrier Reef
IF 4.6 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-04-23 DOI: 10.1029/2024GL114521
Ajitha Cyriac, Chaojiao Sun, John Taylor, Richard Matear, Scott A. Condie, P. Jyoteeshkumar Reddy, Tongliang Liu

Reef-scale climate projections, such as those generated by CMIP6, are critical for guiding the development of effective intervention strategies for mass coral bleaching events. We developed a machine learning (ML) model based on a super resolution deconvolutional neural network to rapidly downscale sea surface temperature (SST) on the Great Barrier Reef (GBR). When downscaling 80 km data to 10 km resolution, the ML model outperforms conventional interpolation methods by capturing the spatial variability of SST and extreme thermal events. We applied this model to independent datasets from both present-day and future climates, demonstrating its robustness. Additionally, we demonstrated the ML model's capability to reconstruct the spatial variability of degree heating weeks for coral bleaching risk analysis. With its ease of implementation and low computational cost, this ML model could be readily used or easily trained to rapidly downscale climate model outputs for coral reefs around the world.

{"title":"A Machine Learning Approach to Rapidly Downscale Sea Surface Temperature Extremes and Heat Stress on the Great Barrier Reef","authors":"Ajitha Cyriac,&nbsp;Chaojiao Sun,&nbsp;John Taylor,&nbsp;Richard Matear,&nbsp;Scott A. Condie,&nbsp;P. Jyoteeshkumar Reddy,&nbsp;Tongliang Liu","doi":"10.1029/2024GL114521","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL114521","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Reef-scale climate projections, such as those generated by CMIP6, are critical for guiding the development of effective intervention strategies for mass coral bleaching events. We developed a machine learning (ML) model based on a super resolution deconvolutional neural network to rapidly downscale sea surface temperature (SST) on the Great Barrier Reef (GBR). When downscaling 80 km data to 10 km resolution, the ML model outperforms conventional interpolation methods by capturing the spatial variability of SST and extreme thermal events. We applied this model to independent datasets from both present-day and future climates, demonstrating its robustness. Additionally, we demonstrated the ML model's capability to reconstruct the spatial variability of degree heating weeks for coral bleaching risk analysis. With its ease of implementation and low computational cost, this ML model could be readily used or easily trained to rapidly downscale climate model outputs for coral reefs around the world.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"52 8","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-04-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2024GL114521","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143861958","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Radar Imaging With India’s Earth Observation Satellite-04: Earth resource monitoring using C-band synthetic aperture radar system
IF 14.6 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-04-23 DOI: 10.1109/mgrs.2025.3556395
C. V. N. Rao, Deepak Putrevu, V. Manavala Ramanujam, Bimal Kumar Bhattacharya, C. Patnaik, Dharmendra Kumar Pandey, Anup Das, Jayaprasad P., Abhisek Chakraborty, Ratheesh Ramakrishnan, Sushil Kumar Singh, Ashwin Gujrati, Sreejith K. M., Ritesh Agrawal, Sanid Chirakkal, Tarun Maganti, Mukesh Kumar, Tathagata Chakraborty, Raghav Mehra, KrishnaMurari Agrawal, Shweta Sharma, Partha Sarathi Nandy, Jolly Dhar, Vinay Kumar, Sanjeev Kulshrestha, Raj Kumar, Nilesh M. Desai
{"title":"Radar Imaging With India’s Earth Observation Satellite-04: Earth resource monitoring using C-band synthetic aperture radar system","authors":"C. V. N. Rao, Deepak Putrevu, V. Manavala Ramanujam, Bimal Kumar Bhattacharya, C. Patnaik, Dharmendra Kumar Pandey, Anup Das, Jayaprasad P., Abhisek Chakraborty, Ratheesh Ramakrishnan, Sushil Kumar Singh, Ashwin Gujrati, Sreejith K. M., Ritesh Agrawal, Sanid Chirakkal, Tarun Maganti, Mukesh Kumar, Tathagata Chakraborty, Raghav Mehra, KrishnaMurari Agrawal, Shweta Sharma, Partha Sarathi Nandy, Jolly Dhar, Vinay Kumar, Sanjeev Kulshrestha, Raj Kumar, Nilesh M. Desai","doi":"10.1109/mgrs.2025.3556395","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/mgrs.2025.3556395","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48660,"journal":{"name":"IEEE Geoscience and Remote Sensing Magazine","volume":"3 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":14.6,"publicationDate":"2025-04-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143866840","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Alluvial dynamics of a formerly glaciated Rocky Mountain headwater valley, Colorado
IF 2.8 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2025-04-23 DOI: 10.1002/esp.70061
Jens C. Suhr, Sara L. Rathburn, Daniel McGrath, Michael J. Ronayne

Following Pinedale deglaciation (~12 ka), unconfined valleys in the Rocky Mountains experienced periods of fluvial aggradation and incision, creating distinctive valley morphologies and substrates that influence present-day hydrological and ecological characteristics. Valley floors are thus physically important sediment storage sites that preserve alluvial records of past landscape dynamics. Using geologic mapping, ground-penetrating radar surveys, sediment coring, and radiocarbon and optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) geochronology, we investigated an unconfined portion of the South Fork Cache la Poudre River Valley, Colorado Front Range, to identify the dominant processes and temporal patterns of valley alluviation and incision following glacial retreat. We mapped a variety of glacial and fluvial deposits in the valley including two till deposits, distinct outwash terraces, fluvial terraces and an extensive floodplain. Abundant glaciofluvial outwash (65 m observed at one drill site) was deposited up-valley of the Last Glacial Maximum terminal moraine. Lateral bar migration, channel filling and vertical accretion of sediments were important processes of outwash aggradation and floodplain deposition. OSL dating of unconsolidated, laminated sand and silt suggests ponding up-valley of the terminal moraine between 13.4 and 11.5 ka, and the potential for an outburst flood(s). Channel incision occurred prior to 7.8–1.5 ka, creating outwash terraces that comprise over 30% of the valley floor area. Sedimentation occurred on the fluvial terrace and floodplain from at least 2.1 to 1.3 ka. The modern floodplain has been aggrading for at least 500 years. The South Fork Valley has anomalously thick post-glacial sediment from lateral migration and channel filling, whereas other Colorado headwater valleys are dominated by mass wasting deposits, beaver pond sediments or fluvial vertical accretion. The relict glacial topography and low hillslope-floodplain connectivity exerts the strongest control on alluvial dynamics in the South Fork Valley. Results of this study broaden the foundation for understanding post-glacial alluvial dynamics in unconfined mountain valleys. Knowledge of the processes that create and maintain alluvial fills is critical for effective management of these valleys.

{"title":"Alluvial dynamics of a formerly glaciated Rocky Mountain headwater valley, Colorado","authors":"Jens C. Suhr,&nbsp;Sara L. Rathburn,&nbsp;Daniel McGrath,&nbsp;Michael J. Ronayne","doi":"10.1002/esp.70061","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/esp.70061","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Following Pinedale deglaciation (~12 ka), unconfined valleys in the Rocky Mountains experienced periods of fluvial aggradation and incision, creating distinctive valley morphologies and substrates that influence present-day hydrological and ecological characteristics. Valley floors are thus physically important sediment storage sites that preserve alluvial records of past landscape dynamics. Using geologic mapping, ground-penetrating radar surveys, sediment coring, and radiocarbon and optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) geochronology, we investigated an unconfined portion of the South Fork Cache la Poudre River Valley, Colorado Front Range, to identify the dominant processes and temporal patterns of valley alluviation and incision following glacial retreat. We mapped a variety of glacial and fluvial deposits in the valley including two till deposits, distinct outwash terraces, fluvial terraces and an extensive floodplain. Abundant glaciofluvial outwash (65 m observed at one drill site) was deposited up-valley of the Last Glacial Maximum terminal moraine. Lateral bar migration, channel filling and vertical accretion of sediments were important processes of outwash aggradation and floodplain deposition. OSL dating of unconsolidated, laminated sand and silt suggests ponding up-valley of the terminal moraine between 13.4 and 11.5 ka, and the potential for an outburst flood(s). Channel incision occurred prior to 7.8–1.5 ka, creating outwash terraces that comprise over 30% of the valley floor area. Sedimentation occurred on the fluvial terrace and floodplain from at least 2.1 to 1.3 ka. The modern floodplain has been aggrading for at least 500 years. The South Fork Valley has anomalously thick post-glacial sediment from lateral migration and channel filling, whereas other Colorado headwater valleys are dominated by mass wasting deposits, beaver pond sediments or fluvial vertical accretion. The relict glacial topography and low hillslope-floodplain connectivity exerts the strongest control on alluvial dynamics in the South Fork Valley. Results of this study broaden the foundation for understanding post-glacial alluvial dynamics in unconfined mountain valleys. Knowledge of the processes that create and maintain alluvial fills is critical for effective management of these valleys.</p>","PeriodicalId":11408,"journal":{"name":"Earth Surface Processes and Landforms","volume":"50 5","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2025-04-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/esp.70061","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143865872","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Excess mortality, COVID deaths, and spatial accessibility to health care services in the conterminous United States
IF 4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-04-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2025.103633
Xuwei Chen
Since the onset of COVID 19, the pandemic has put extra burden on mortality in the United States. This study aims to investigate the regional variations of death rates and the associations between excess deaths and the underlying population characteristic and spatial access to medical services during the pandemic. To this end, this study estimated the excess deaths in 2020 and the travel times to the nearest healthcare facilities, PCP ratios, and medical facility to population ratios at the county level in the conterminous United States. Coupling the death data with population characteristics, socio-economic factors, health factors and access to healthcare facilities, this study employed spatial statistical methods, including global and local spatial autocorrelation analyses, bivariate spatial analysis and geographically weighted generalized linear regression to investigate their relationships. The results revealed that the impact of COVID varied across the country. The South, particularly the Deep South, was hit the hardest. Compared to the spatially varying relationship between COVID deaths, unemployment, minority, smoking rates and excess deaths, poverty was the primary factor linked to excess deaths nationally. While the access to healthcare services was not associated with excess deaths in general, it did vary significantly between counties with high/low death rates.
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引用次数: 0
Multispecies MHD Simulations of the Crustal Field Influence at the Mars Magnetotail Current Sheet
IF 2.6 2区 地球科学 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-04-23 DOI: 10.1029/2024JA033445
N. A. Quartey, M. W. Liemohn

The magnetotail current sheet of Mars exhibits a dawn-to-dusk asymmetry that has been seen in satellite observations and MHD simulations. However, the influence of season has not been thoroughly investigated in MHD simulations. This investigation incorporates seasonal variations, driven by planetary eccentricity and solar variability, within the BATS-R-US multispecies MHD code to examine the influence of crustal magnetic fields and the ionosphere on the magnetotail current sheet. The solar wind interaction at Mars is analyzed for the following cases: solar maximum at perihelion (PERMAX), solar maximum at aphelion (APHMAX), solar minimum at perihelion (PERMIN), and solar minimum at aphelion (APHMIN). Simulation results show that the current sheet exhibits a duskward shift at solar maximum and a dawnward shift at solar minimum. In simulations that omit the crustal sources, the current sheet remains symmetric along the Y=0 $Y=0$ plane. Because these results did not induce a shift, the ionization rates were adjusted for the PERMAX and APHMIN cases. The ionization rates were increased by four orders of magnitude in the PERMAX case, but the current sheet remained symmetric. However, the current sheet in the APHMIN case shifted slightly duskward when the ionization rates were decreased by nine orders of magnitude. It was determined that the crustal magnetic fields dominate the magnetotail current sheet shift, and the code setups from this investigation should be scrutinized for refined model comparison.

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引用次数: 0
Mountain glaciers regulate the response of Tibetan Plateau dust activity to global climate change during the last glacial
IF 3.2 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2025-04-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2025.109375
Liangqing Cheng , Hao Long , Linhai Yang , Jingran Zhang , Yougui Song , Zhong Chen , Yubin Wu , Zhibao Dong
The Tibetan Plateau (TP) is an important source in the global atmospheric dust cycle, while its response of dust activity to global and regional climate change remains unclear. This study presented high-resolution last glacial records for dust activity, near-surface wind intensity, annual temperature, and precipitation from a 4.8-m thick sedimentary sequence from the Yarlung Tsangpo River valley in the southern TP. The results indicated that dust activity in the southern TP is mainly regulated by the near-surface wind intensity modulated by temperature. On the orbital scale, dust activity roughly responds to changes in the Northern Hemisphere summer insolation (NHSI). On the millennium scale, dust activity shows prominent ∼5-kyr cycles, responding to changes in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Current (AMOC). Mountain glaciers in the southern TP could regulate the response amplitude of dust activity to the NHSI and AMOC through modulating regional temperature and associated wind intensity. This study highlights the impact of mountain glaciers on dust activity in the southern TP, which has important implications for understanding climate change on the TP and its response to global climate change.
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引用次数: 0
A seawater oxygen oscillation recorded by iron formations prior to the Great Oxidation Event
IF 18.3 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-04-23 DOI: 10.1038/s41561-025-01683-7
Xueqi Liang, Eva E. Stüeken, Daniel S. Alessi, Kurt O. Konhauser, Long Li

Earth’s atmosphere underwent permanent oxidation during the Great Oxidation Event approximately 2.45–2.22 billion years ago (Ga) due to excess oxygen (O2) generated by marine cyanobacteria. However, understanding the timing and tempo of seawater oxygenation before the Great Oxidation Event has been hindered by the absence of sensitive tracers. Nitrogen (N) isotopes can be an indicator of marine oxygenation. Here we present an ~200 Myr nitrogen isotope oscillation recorded by Neoarchaean and Palaeoproterozoic banded iron formations from the Hamersley Basin, Western Australia, that were deposited in relatively deep marine shelf environments. Paired with the Jeerinah Formation shale record, our data from the Marra Mamba Iron Formation suggest that oxic conditions expanded to banded iron formation depositional environments from ~2.63 to 2.60 Ga. Subsequently, a positive δ15N excursion occurred in the ~2.48 Ga Dale Gorge Member, marking a decline in seawater O2 and enhanced denitrification. This O2 deficit was followed by a second phase of increasing O2 levels as indicated by a gradual return to moderately positive δ15N values in the ~2.46 Ga Joffre Member and 2.45 Ga Weeli Wolli Iron Formation. These variations underscore a nonlinear history of marine oxygenation and reveal a previously unrecognized oscillation in seawater O2 levels preceding the Great Oxidation Event.

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引用次数: 0
Unraveling Arctic Sea Ice Response to Atmospheric Rivers—Insights From Sea Ice Modeling
IF 4.6 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-04-23 DOI: 10.1029/2025GL115152
Pengfei Zhang, Patrick C. Taylor, Melinda Webster, David A. Bailey, Qinghua Ding, Laifang Li

Atmospheric rivers (ARs) in winter can induce significant melting of sea ice as they approach the ice cover. However, due to the complex physical properties of sea ice, the specific processes within the ice pack that are responsible for its response to ARs remain poorly understood. This study aims to shed light on this question using a stand-alone sea ice model forced by observed atmospheric boundary conditions. The findings reveal that the AR induced ice melt and hindered ice growth in the marginal seas are attributed to a combination of thermodynamic and dynamic processes. The AR-wind transports ice floes from the marginal seas back to the central Arctic dynamically, resulting in a thickening of the ice cover in that region. Among the thermodynamic processes, reduced congelation growth (54%–56%), enhanced basal melting (17%–26%), and inhibited snow-ice formation (11%–21%) play major roles in the sea ice loss in the marginal seas.

冬季的大气河流(ARs)在接近冰盖时会导致海冰大量融化。然而,由于海冰的物理特性非常复杂,人们对冰群内部导致其对 AR 反应的具体过程仍然知之甚少。本研究旨在利用观测到的大气边界条件强迫下的独立海冰模型来揭示这一问题。研究结果表明,AR 引起的边缘海冰层融化和冰层生长受阻是热力学和动力学过程共同作用的结果。AR 风以动态方式将浮冰从边缘海运回北极中部,导致该地区冰盖增厚。在热动力过程中,凝结生长减少(54%-56%)、基底融化增强(17%-26%)和雪冰形成受抑制(11%-21%)是边缘海海冰损失的主要原因。
{"title":"Unraveling Arctic Sea Ice Response to Atmospheric Rivers—Insights From Sea Ice Modeling","authors":"Pengfei Zhang,&nbsp;Patrick C. Taylor,&nbsp;Melinda Webster,&nbsp;David A. Bailey,&nbsp;Qinghua Ding,&nbsp;Laifang Li","doi":"10.1029/2025GL115152","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL115152","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Atmospheric rivers (ARs) in winter can induce significant melting of sea ice as they approach the ice cover. However, due to the complex physical properties of sea ice, the specific processes within the ice pack that are responsible for its response to ARs remain poorly understood. This study aims to shed light on this question using a stand-alone sea ice model forced by observed atmospheric boundary conditions. The findings reveal that the AR induced ice melt and hindered ice growth in the marginal seas are attributed to a combination of thermodynamic and dynamic processes. The AR-wind transports ice floes from the marginal seas back to the central Arctic dynamically, resulting in a thickening of the ice cover in that region. Among the thermodynamic processes, reduced congelation growth (54%–56%), enhanced basal melting (17%–26%), and inhibited snow-ice formation (11%–21%) play major roles in the sea ice loss in the marginal seas.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"52 8","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-04-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2025GL115152","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143861959","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
In search of draught cattle: An identification method
IF 2.6 1区 地球科学 Q1 ANTHROPOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-04-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.jas.2025.106229
Phoebe Liu, Lenny Salvagno, Benjamin Wimmer, Umberto Albarella
Draught cattle, used for ploughing and carting, contributed to drive social transformations in prehistoric societies by replacing or complementing human power. However, identifying draught cattle from archaeological sites has proven challenging due to the dearth of direct evidence. This paper presents a biometric approach to identifying draught cattle in archaeological assemblages based on metapodials, and first and second phalanges. The analysis includes over 150 modern non-draught cattle encompassing various species and breeds, along with a smaller group of draught cattle. Statistical tests and multivariate analyses were first adopted, revealing distinct morphological differences between the two groups, which do not appear to be highly correlated with age. Although cattle limb bone morphology could vary between breeds, the principal component analysis suggests traction is the predominant factor distinguishing between modern draught and non-draught cattle. Biometric data from metapodials and phalanges were then applied to construct five predictive logistic regression models, with the first phalanges showing the highest balanced accuracy for separating the draught and non-draught groups, a clear advance from Lin et al. (2016)'s pioneering work. The predictive models were then applied to data from two British sites to demonstrate the applicability of the proposed approach to archaeological assemblages. The results show that this biometric approach has the potential to significantly enhance our understanding of draught cattle exploitation in the past.
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引用次数: 0
Sporadic-E Layer Responses to Super Geomagnetic Storm 10–12 May 2024
IF 4.6 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-04-23 DOI: 10.1029/2025GL115154
Lihui Qiu, Huixin Liu

Sporadic E (Es) layer plays a prominent role in revealing both upward and downward atmosphere-ionosphere coupling process. This study investigates the responses of Es layers to the May 2024 super geomagnetic storm by using 37 ground-based ionosondes distributed globally and space-based COSMIC-2 radio occultation observations. The results show that Es layers were significantly enhanced during the recovery phase of geomagnetic storm. In addition, the enhanced Es layers mainly occurred over Southeast Asia, Australia, the South Pacific and the East Pacific. The temporal evolution of foEs disturbances over the Asian-Australian sector clearly shows the “wave propagation” characteristics from high to low latitudes, indicating that the enhancements of the Es layers are most likely caused by the disturbed neutral winds in the E region. This study presents observational evidence for the downward impacts of the geomagnetic storm on the E-region ionosphere.

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引用次数: 0
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